My Chap 009

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    9- 1

    Fundamentals

    of Corporate

    Finance

    Sixth Edition

    Richard A. BrealeyStewart C. Myers

    Alan J. Marcus

    Chapter 9

    McGraw Hill/Irwin Copyright 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved

    Using Discounted Cash Flow

    Analysis to Make Investment

    Decisions

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    Topics Covered

    Identifying Cash Flows

    Discount Cash Flows, Not Profits

    Discount Incremental Cash Flows

    Discount Nominal Cash Flows by the NominalCost of Capitol

    Separate Investment & Financing Decisions

    Calculating Cash Flows

    Example: Blooper Industries

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    Cash Flow vs. Accounting Income

    Discount actual cash flows

    Using accounting income, rather than cash flow,

    could lead to erroneous decisions.

    Example

    A project costs $2,000 and is expected to last 2

    years, producing cash income of $1,500 and $500

    respectively. The cost of the project can bedepreciated at $1,000 per year. Given a 10% required

    return, compare the NPV using cash flow to the NPV

    using accounting income.

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    500-500+IncomeAccounting

    $1,000-$1,000-onDepreciati

    500$$1,500InflowCash

    2Year1Year

    32.41$)10.1(

    500

    1.10

    500

    =NPVApparent 2 !

    Cash Flow vs. Accounting Income

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    5001,

    500+2,

    000-loashree

    2,000-ostProject

    500$$1,500In loash

    2ear1earToday

    14.223$)10.1(

    500

    )10.1(

    500,12,000=NPVCash2

    !

    Cash Flow vs. Accounting Income

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    Relevant Cash Flows

    The cash flows that should be included in acapital budgeting analysis are those that will

    only occur if the pro ect is accepted

    These cash flows are called incrementalcash flows

    Thestand-alone principle allows us to

    analyze each pro ect in isolation from the

    firm simply by focusing on incremental cash

    flows

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    9- 8

    Incremental Cash Flows

    Discount incremental cash flows

    Include All Indirect Effects

    Forget Sunk Costs

    Include Opportunity Costs

    Recognize the Investment in Working Capital

    Beware of Allocated Overhead Costs

    Remember Shutdown Cash Flows

    Incremental

    Cash Flow

    cash flow

    with pro ect

    cash flow

    without pro ect= -

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    9- 9

    Incremental Cash Flows

    IMPORTANTIMPORTANT

    Ask yourself this question

    Would the cash flow still exist if the pro ect

    does not exist?

    If yes, do not include it in your analysis.

    If no, include it.

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    Inflation

    INFLATION RULEINFLATION RULE

    Be consistent in how you handle inflation!!

    Use nominal interest rates to discount

    nominal cash flows.

    Use real interest rates to discount real cash

    flows.

    You will get the same results, whether youuse nominal or real figures

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    9- 11

    Inflation

    Example

    You own a lease that will cost you $8,000 next year,

    increasing at 3% a year (the forecasted inflation

    rate) for 3 additional years (4 years total). If

    discount rates are 10% what is the present value

    cost of the lease?

    1 real interest rate =1+nominal interest rate

    1+inflation rate

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    Inflation

    Example - nominal figures

    $29,0736,

    5688,

    742

    =8

    000x1.

    033

    7,014487,8=8000x1.032

    491,78,240=8000x1.031

    00.000,880000

    10%@PVFloCashear

    3

    2

    10.1

    8742310.1

    8487210.1

    8240

    !

    !

    !

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    Inflation

    Example - real figures

    29,073

    6,5688,0003

    7,0148,0002

    7,4918,00018,

    0008,

    0000

    PV 6.7961%FlowCashYear

    3

    2

    068.1

    8,000068.1

    8,000068.1

    8,000

    = $

    !

    !

    !

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    9- 14 Separation of Investment &Financing Decisions

    When valuing a pro ect, ignore how the

    pro ect is financed.

    Following the logic

    from incrementalanalysis ask yourself the following

    question:Is the project existence dependent

    on the financing? If no, you must separate

    financing and investment decisions.

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    9- 15

    Calculating Cash Flows

    Think ofcash flows ascoming from threeelements

    Total cash flow =

    + cash flows from capital investments

    + cash flows from changes in working capital

    + operating cash flows

    Operating cash flows = 1) Net income + depreciation if theres

    no interest expense or

    2) EBIT + depreciation taxes or

    3) (Sales costs) (1-tax rate)+ Depreciation *Tax rate = > Tax

    Shield approach: this last form is particularly useful when

    purchasing equipment

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    More on NWC

    Why do we have to considerchanges in NWCseparately? GAAP requires that sales be recorded on the income

    statement when made, not when cash is received

    GAAP also requires that we record cost of goodssoldwhen the corresponding sales are made, regardless ofwhen we actually pay oursuppliers

    So,cash flow timing differences exist between thepurchase of inventory, revenue and costs from itssale on

    the income statement, and the actual cash collection fromitssale

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    Depreciation

    The depreciation expense used forcapitalbudgeting should be the depreciationschedule required by the IRS for tax

    purposes

    Depreciation itself is a non-cash expense;consequently, it is only relevant because itaffects taxes

    Depreciation tax shield = DxT D = depreciation expense

    T = marginal tax rate

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    Computing Depreciation

    Straight-line depreciation D = (Initial cost salvage) / number of years

    Very few assets are depreciated straight-line for taxpurposes

    MACRS Need to know which asset class is appropriate for tax

    purposes

    Multiply percentage given in table by the initial cost

    Depreciate to zero Mid-yearconvention

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    After Tax Salvage

    If the salvage value is different from the bookvalue of the asset, then there is a tax effect

    Book value = initial cost accumulated

    depreciation After tax salvage = salvage T(salvage

    book value)

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    9- 20 Example: Depreciation and After-Tax

    Salvage

    You purchase equipment for $100,000 and itcosts $10,000 to have it delivered and installed.

    Based on past information, you believe that you

    can sell the equipment for $17,000 when you are

    done with it in 6 years. The companys marginal

    tax rate is40%. What is the depreciation expense

    each year, and the after tax salvage in year 6, for

    each of the following situations?

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    Example: Straight-line Depreciation

    Suppose the appropriate depreciationschedule isstraight-line

    D = ($110,000 17,000) / 6 = $15,500 every year

    for 6 years BV in year 6 = $110,000 6(15,500) = $17,000

    After-tax salvage = $17,000 - .4(17,000 17,000)

    = $17,000

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    Example: Three-year MACRS

    Year MACRSpercent

    D

    1 .3333 .3333(110,000) =

    36,663

    2 .4444 .4444(110,000) =48,884

    3 .1482 .1482(110,000) =

    16,302

    4 .0741 .0741(110,000) =8,151

    BV in year 6 =110,000 36,663 48,884 16,302 8,151 = 0

    After-tax salvage= 17,000 -.4(17,000 0) =$10,200

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    Calculating Cash Flows

    Cash Flow from Capital Investments Almost every pro ect requiressome sort of initial

    investment. This is often capitalized from an

    accounting perspective. In finance, the investment

    represents a negative cash flow.

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    Calculating Cash Flows

    Operating Cash Flow Operating cash flow =

    + Revenue

    - Costs

    - Taxes

    Methods of Handling Depreciation

    Method l: Dollars in Minus Dollars Out

    Method 2: Ad usted Accounting Profits Method 3: Add Back Depreciation Tax Shield

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    Blooper Industries

    650,2462,2283,2113,2950,1Profit

    427,1326,1230,1137,1050,1(35%).Tax078,4788,3513,3250,3000,3ProfitPretax

    000,2000,2000,2000,2000,2onDepreciati

    155,12576,11025,11500,10000,10Expenses

    233,18364,17538,16750,15000,15Revenues

    039,3679,1225214204575,2500,1in WCChange0039,3717,4493,4279,4075,4500,1WC

    00010InvestCap

    6543210Year

    ,

    (,000s)

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    Blooper Industries

    Cash Flow From Operations (,000s)Revenues

    - xpenses

    Depreciation= Pro it be ore tax

    .-Tax @ 35%

    = Net pro it+ Depreciation

    = CF rom operations

    15 000

    10 000

    2 000

    3 000

    1 050

    1 9502 000

    3 950

    ,

    ,

    ,

    ,

    ,

    ,

    ,

    ,

    or $3,950,000

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    Blooper Industries

    Net Cash Flow (entire pro ect) (,000s)

    4,3396,3294,2384,0693,9091,37511,500-FlowCashNet

    4,6514,4624,2834,1133,950OpromCF

    039,31,679225-214-204-2,575-1,500-in WCChange

    300,1

    10,000-

    valuealvage

    InvestCap

    6543210Year

    NPV 12% = $4,222,350

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    QuickQuiz

    How do we determine ifcash flows arerelevant to the capital budgeting decision?

    What are the common types ofcash flows?

    How do we determine operatingca

    sh flow

    s?

    What are the other 2 components of total

    cash flows from a pro ect?

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