Multiyear Rate Plans for Pennsylvania Utilities PA... · •ARM design methods can be complex and...
Transcript of Multiyear Rate Plans for Pennsylvania Utilities PA... · •ARM design methods can be complex and...
Multiyear Rate Plans for Pennsylvania Utilities
Pennsylvania Public Utility Law Conference
May 31, 2019
Harrisburg, Pennsylvania
Mark Newton Lowry, PhDPresident
Pacific Economics Group Research LLC
1
2
Introduction
Act 58 of 2018 permits Pennsylvania’s Public Utility Commission to approve alternative rate regulation mechanisms (“Altreg”)
The Commission is specifically authorized to permit
– Revenue decoupling
– Performance-based rates (“PBR”)
– Multiyear rate plans (“MRPs”)
This presentation provides an overview of PBR and a closer look at multiyear rate plans
3What is PBR?
PBR: Regulation designed to improve utility performance with stronger incentives
4 well-established approaches
Targeted Performance Incentive Mechanisms (“PIMs”)
Multiyear Rate Plans (“MRPs”)
Revenue Decoupling
Special Incentives (e.g. cost trackers and capitalized expenses) to Use Underutilized Inputs
4
PBR Options
MRPs
Incentivizing Cost Trackers
PBR tools are often used in combination
Targeted PIMs
Revenue Decoupling
5
Multiyear Rate Plans
Key Components
• Reduced rate case frequency (e.g., 4 or 5 year cycle)
• Attrition relief mechanism (“ARM”) automatically escalates rates or revenue but is not linked to utility’s actual costs
• Trackers for some costs (e.g., energy, conservation)
• PIMs link revenue to reliability and customer service quality
Optional Components
• Revenue decoupling
• Additional PIMs (e.g., demand-side management)
• Integrated resource and distribution system planning
• Earnings sharing and off-ramp mechanisms
• Marketing flexibility (e.g., optional rates and services)
6
Case Study: Central Maine Power (CMP)
Attrition Relief Mechanism:
growth Rates = growth GDPPI – X (X=1%)
Capital Cost Tracker: Automated metering infrastructure
Earning Sharing: Asymmetric sharing of surplus earnings
Plan term: 5 years (2009-13)
Service Quality: Multi-indicator penalty mechanism
Marketing Flexibility: Light-handed regulation of optional targeted rate schedules and rate discounts
Reference: Maine Public Utilities Commission, “ARP 2008 Settlement,” June 2008
7
MRP Precedents: United States
MRPs are a common form of Altreg in U.S.
Popular for vertically integrated electric utilities (e.g., Hawaii)
Renewed popularity for power distributors (e.g., New England)
8
MRP Precedents: Canada
MRPs are the norm for Canadian gas & electric power distributors
Impetus has come mainly from policymakers
9
MRP Pros and Cons
Advantages
• Fewer, less overlapping rate cases free resources for other uses
• Stronger cost containment incentives encourage better performance
• May facilitate light-handed regulation of optional rates and services
• Benefits can be shared with customers
• Likely component of “utility of the future” regulation
Disadvantages
• Consumer groups wary of automatic rate increases
• Utility risk may increase
• ARM design methods can be complex and controversial
• Intervenors may lack resources and skills to protect consumers
• Difficult to accommodate capital cost surges
10
ARM Design Options
ARM design is biggest issue in most MRP proceedings
Several well-established approaches
▪ Indexing
e.g., growth Revenue = Inflation – X + growth Customers
▪ Forecasting
▪ Hybrid
X factor controversies in US and Canada
11
Challenge: Accelerated Modernization
Revenue
time
with accelerated modernization
without
Agreeing on ARMs for rapidly modernizing utilities can be difficult.
If ARM is indexed, utilities may seek supplemental capital revenue
Integrated distribution system planning can aid recognition of
capex requirements
12
Multifactor Productivity Trend of CMP Under MRPs
MRPs have improved utility performance
But some plan provisions (e.g., earnings sharing & capital cost trackers)
weaken incentives
Appendix13
14
Marketing FlexibilityMRPs can afford utilities more marketing flexibility by reducing rate case frequency and opportunities for cross-subsidization
e.g., “Streamlined regulation” of optional tariffs and services
Special contracts
Green power packages (utility scale and distributed)
Energy transformation services (e.g., EV charging, heat pump leasing)
Reliability-differentiated services
Other smart-grid-enabled services
MRPs have been popular in utility industries facing competition, technical change, and complex, changing demand
15
Encouraging Use of Underutilized Inputs
Track costs of underutilized inputs o Demand-side management programs
o Purchased power
o Premium payments for DG power at right times and locations
o Pilot programs
Bolster incentives to incur these costs by
– Capitalizing them
– adding an ROE premium
– awarding utility a share of them
16
BibliographyLowry, M. N., and Makos, M., “Regulatory Reform for the Hawaiian Electric Companies,” Public Utilities Commission of the State of Hawaii, Docket 2018-0088, filed January 4, 2019.
Lowry, M.N., Makos, M., Deason, J., and Schwartz, L., 2017. “State Performance-Based Regulation Using Multiyear Rate Plans for U.S. Electric Utilities,” for Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Grid Modernization Laboratory Consortium, U.S. Department of Energy, July 2017.
Lowry, M. N., and Woolf, T., 2016. “Performance-Based Regulation in a High Distributed Energy Resources Future,” for Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Future Electric Utility Regulation series, January 2016.
Public Utilities Commission of the State of Hawaii, Docket 2018-0088, Statement of Position of the Hawaiian Electric Companies, filed March 8, 2019.
Public Utilities Commission of the State of Hawaii, Docket 2018-0088, Division of Consumer Advocacy’s Statement of Position on Staff Proposal for Updated Performance-Based Regulations, filed March 8, 2019.
Public Utilities Commission of the State of Hawaii, Docket 2018-0088, Staff Proposal for Updated Performance-Based Regulations, filed February 7, 2019.
17
About Dr. Lowry
• President, Pacific Economics Group Research LLC
• Active in Altreg field since early 1990s
• Specialties: regulatory strategy, Altreg mechanism design, input price and productivity research, statistical benchmarking, expert witness testimony
• Teaches Altreg Workshop at EEI Electric Rates Advanced Course
• Former Penn State University energy economics professor
• PhD Applied Economics, University of Wisconsin
Pacific Economics Group Research LLC
44 East Mifflin St.
Madison, Wisconsin USA
608-257-1522 ext. 23
www.pacificeconomicsgroup.com