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Transcript of Multi Attribute Analysis
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Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science
Summer 1977, Vol. 5, No. 3, 281-294
A Multi-Attribute Approach To
Understanding Shopping Behavior
Ronald L. Vaughn, Ph.D. and Behram J. HansoUa, Ph.D.
Bradley University
INTRODUCTION
Since the 1920's, there has been a continuing interest in building and testing
formal models of consumer spatial behavior. With the opening in 1950 of
Northgate, a regional shopping center in Seattle, a retailing innovation was
launched that rapidly diffused to other metropolitan suburbs. As the environment
of retailing continues to be a dynamic one due to spatial mobility, geographical
population redistribution and changes in other consumer and competitive factors,
the retailer is faced with the continuing challenge of trying to understand and/or
predict consumer spatial behavior in order to survive and prosper.
Some researchers have approached this retail problem by trying Reilly's formula,
substituting square footage of selling space and driving time for population and
distance. Generally, ho~vever, the results were mixed and unsatisfactory. Other
researchers have followed the lead of Huff who formulated a spatial model based on
Luce's choice axiom (Huff, 1962; and Luce, 1959). Huffs probabilistic approach to
modeling consumer spatial behavior states that the probability of a consumer
choosing a given shopping center is equal to the ratio of the utility of that center to
the combined utilities of alternative shopping centers and has typically been
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operationalized using such proxy variables for perceived utility and disutility as
shopping center square footage and distance, respectively. Even recent extensions
of the Huff model typically use surrogate indicators for estimating center attraction
or utility and cost or disutility (Bucklin, 1971; Hilliard, Vaughn, and Reynolds,
1975; and, Stanley and Sewall, 1976).
281 VAU(iHN AND HANSO'|'IA 282
SOME PROBLEMS
Despite some improvements in predicting consumer spatial behavior, several
limitations remain, including: appropriate parameter estimation procedures,
popt.lation heterogeneity, shopping center interdependence, appropriate measures
for what attracts an individual to a given shopping center, and missing variables
from the current approaches to modeling spatial behavior (See Vaughn, 1975, for a
more complete discussion of these issues). Only the latter two issues are examined in
this paper.
Recent theoretical developments by Luce (1959) on individual choice bahavior,
by the decision theorists, Baumol and lde (1956), and by Lancaster's (1971) new
utility approach to economics all seem to offer promising frameworks for
investigating those variables which determine individual shopping center choice.
Further, recent methodological developments such as conjoint measurement and
the revised least squares approach by Nakanishi and Cooper (1974) seem to present
the real possibility of a potential contribution to the theory and measurement of
consumer spatial behavior. Thus it would seem, that a number of approaches are
available to make the theory of consumer spatial behavior more isomorphic with
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reality, hopefully diminishing a common weakness of gravitational models, the
lack of an explicit theory to explain the workings of gravity models.
This paper attempts to expand spatial choice explanations by using the more
explicit behavioral approach offered by imagery research or multi-attribute models,
rather than just the "economic man" who is theoretically assumed to weigh the
utilities and disutilities of each choice alternative. The approach used in this paper
raises a number of interesting questions. Can a shopping center's relative
attractiveness be estimated by measuring it along salient image dimensions? If so,
which attributes are most important? Do determinant attributes exist? How is the
information about a center structurally organized, i.e., rather than just describing a
center as very beautiful or clean, how is information about a shopping center coded
and grouped into cognitive categories? Do some types of shopping centers have a
less well-defined image? if so, why? Studying these relatively new issues to consumer
spatial behavior should provide insight as to how spatial opportunities are
evaluated with respect to each other. While the objective of this paper is more
limited in scope than the usual gravitational objective of predicting consumer
spatial behavior, this study will serve as a prerequisite to developing new predictive
models.
METHODOLOGY
A questionnaire was designed to determine the relative importance of
characteristics that may influence a person's choice of a shopping center. Thirteen 283 A
MULTI-ATTRIBUTE APPROACH TO
UNDERSTANDING SHOPPING BEHAVIOR
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shopping center selection attributes were developed by interviewing about 3,000
Peoria, Illinois shoppers (as part of another study) and a review of the relevant
literature (Applebaum and Kaylin, 1974; Downs, 1970; Jonassen, 1955; and
Middleton and Vaughn, 1974). In the data collection, each subject was first asked to
indicate his/her frequency of visits and overall perference of each center.
Respondents were then asked to indicate the importance of each shopping center
selection criterion along a seven-point scale. Finally, subjects used a seven-point
scale to evaluate the degree of favorability of each of four different shopping centers
on thirteen different dimensions.
The shopping centers used in this study were selected on these bases: must be
located within the Peoria retail trade area; must not contain less than 125,000 square
feet of retail spa~e; and, must contain at least three different types of stores. Further,
all neighborhood centers, ribbon developments, and crossroad centers were
considered to be tertiary retail shopping facilities and they did not suit the purpose
of this study. Given these criteria, the following shopping centers qualified for this
design:
i. The Peoria Central Business District (CBD)--with well over 1,000,000 square
feet (depending on how the area is defined) of retail space;
2. Northwoods Mall (NW)--a large regional shopping center with about
750,000 square feet;
3. Sheridan Village (SV)--while it has about 350,000 square feet, its character-
istics seem to fall in between the two categories of a small regional center and
a large community-level center; and,
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4. Madison Park (MP)--a large neighborhood center of about 125,000 square
feet.
These centers are the primary retailing areas in Peoria.
The questionnaire was mailed to a random sample of 1,000 residences drawn
from the Peoria telephone directory, with 238 questionnaires being completed and
returned. The low response rate (24%) was a result of the combined factors of
difficulty with the constant sum preference scale, a lengthy questionnaire, and no
incentives provided for the respondent. However, respondents were contrasted with
the local population on the basis of census data and were found to be only slightly
skewed toward the upper socio-economic strata.
Relative Importance o! Shopping Center Selection Criteria
The first stage of the analysis was to determine the relative importance of the
various shopping center choice criteria (see Table 1). The variable means range from
a low of 3.80 for popularity with family and friends to a high of 6.312 for quality of
VAUGHN AND HANSOTIA 284
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i ~ 285 A MULTI-ATTRIBUTE APPROACH TO
UNDERSTANDING SHOPPING BEHAVIOR
merchandise. The rank of the choice criteria supports an earlier British study which
found that retail establishment factors (such as service quality) were more
important than shopping center structure and function factors (such as visual
appearance) in influencing shopping center choice (Downs, 1970). Table I indicates
that the average individual in the Peoria area puts a premium on the quality of the
merchandise, followed by variety of merchandise, availability of parking, helpful
and courteous sales assistants, convenience of days and hours open, and finally,
distance from home. These results suggest that gravitational modeling components
should be reconsidered. Distance, the most common disutility operationalization,
ranks only sixth. Further, the first five ranking variables suggest that typical
operationalizations of the utility component in the gravity models, e.g., mass or
retail square footage, are somewhat naive. While variety may closely parallel square
footage, this is not necessarily true with the quality of merchandise nor with helpful
and courteous sales assistants. The variables ranking third and fifth, availability of
parking and convenience of days and hours open, suggest other inconsistencies with
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the square footage 0perationalization. A prior test of two gravitational models in
the Peoria area noted that model predictions were poorer for the Central Business
District (CBD) than for a variety of other types of shopping areas. This study
suggested that square footage seemed to be a relatively poor proxy variable for the
CBD since the hours of operation were much shorter and since the CBD's ratio of
parking space to square footage was about one-third that of alternative shopping
areas (Vaughn, 1975). The fact that the present analysis found availability of
parking and convenience of days and hours open to be relatively important lends
additional credibility to this assertation. Finally, the fact that distance from work
had the second smallest mean, 3.994, indicates that most individuals do not tend to
shop in the vicinity of their work.
DETERMINANT ATTRIBUTES
The second stage of the analysis was to assess the principal shopping center
decision variables and their relative determinance in shopping center selection
decisions. Determinant attribute analysis should help to understand those features
which move the consumer to action, i.e., to make him prefer a particular shopping
area, actually shop there, recommend it to friends, etc., (Myers and Alpert, 1968).
Attribute determinance was estimated by evaluating (I) the importance associated
with a particular shopping center selection criterion (see column labeled
"Importance Rank" in Table I) and (2) the degree to which competing shopping
centers were preceived to differ in terms of that selection criterion (see column
labeled "Deviations Rank" in Table I). By averaging the two columns which rank
VAUGHN AND HANSOTIA 286
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order each attribute on each of the two criteria for attribute determinance, an
overall determinancy index was constructed. This index was then ranked for ease in
interpretation (see last column of Table 1). Several attributes stand out as relatively
determinant: Availability of parking, quality of merchandise, variety of
merchandise, distance from home, atmosphere of shopping area, and, possibly,
convenience of days and hours open. It should be noted that this overall ranking is
highly dependent on the diverse nature of the small sample of shopping areas
studied, e.g., availability of parking would have dropped several places in rank
order if the CBD with its unique parking problem was eliminated and, likewise, for
MP on quality of merchandise. However, some insight can still be gained. This
approach shows distance from home to be more closely associated to shopping
center selection than implied in the prior section; it is tied for the fourth rank with
atmosphere of the shopping area. On the other hand, helpful and courteous sales
assistance, despite its relatively high importance rank (fourth), dropped to seventh
place on the overall determinancy index rank due to the small perceived variation
among the centers. To a lesser extent, the same was true of quality of merchandise,
variety of merchandise, and convenienc~of days and hours open, for each of these
was one place (in rank order) higher on their importance rank than they were on
their determinant attribute rank. This analysis also shows inconsistencies with
traditional gravitational models, as distance still does not seem to be a dominant
factor in influencing shopping center selection. Similary, it seems intuitively
inconsistent for utility to be approximated by mass or square footage when other
variables which do not seem closely parallel have been shown to be relatively
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X 3 0.20206 0.66020**
X 4 0.44164 0.28241
X 5 0.46159 0.43353
X6 0.38106 0.50181
X 7 0.64466* 0.39190
X 8 0.68585* 0.23295
X 9 0.59900 0.41215
XIO 0.35144 0.50256
XII 0.36086 0.66321"*
XI2 0.10320 0.48192
XI3 0.40442 0.52760
*Variable useful in defining factor i.
**Variable useful in defining factor 2.
factor has high loadings on variables XI, X2, X7, and X8, which are quality of
merchandise, variety of merchandise, atmosphere of shopping area, and availability
of sale items (specials). The second factor has high loadings on variables three and
eleven, namely availability of parking and amount of walking required. Note, the
first factor deals with variables which can largely be controlled by management
once the center is established, as three of the variables are related to merchandise
and a fourth (which has the lowest loadings of the four) to the atmosphere of the
shopping area. This complex dimension we could term the "merchandise-
atmosphere" index. The second factor is loaded high on the structural properties of
availability of parking and amount of walking required, which are relatively outside
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the control of management after the shopping area has been established. We could
call this a "convenience" index. VAUGHN AND HANSOTIA 288
Northwoods Mall
Two factors were extracted which jointly accounted for 51 percent of the variance
(convergence was obtained in six iterations). The matrix of factor loadings after the
varimax rotation is given in Table 3. Factor 1 has high loadings on variables
TABLE 3
Factor Loadings for Northwoods Mall
Variables Factor 1 Factor 2
X 1 0.71170* 0.19327
X 2 0.61608* 0.26355
X 3 0.34536 0.41189
X 4 0.39410 0.31162
X 5 0.50496 0.27346
X 6 0.13955 0.63210**
X 7 0.53081 0.26355
X 8 0.57217 0.29273
X 9 0.70371* 0.23644
XI0 0.29032 0.68433**
XII 0.38155 0.63383**
XI2 0.26718 0.54473
XI3 0.45415 0.40733
*Variable useful in labeling factor i.
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**Variable useful in labeling factor 2.
X l, X2, and X9 which are quality of merchandise, variety of merchandise, and ease
of shopping comparisons. This seems to be a "merchandise" index (atmosphere of
shopping area which was heavier loaded for the CBD has a moderate loading for
Northwoods Mall). The second factor has high loadings on variables X6, X I0, and
X I I which are distance from home, pedestrian congestion, and amount of walking
required. Hence, it could also be labeled as a "convenience" index.
Sheridan Village
Analysis for this center resulted in two factors being extracted (convergence was
obtained in six iterations) accounting for 58 percent of the total variance. The
matrix of factor loadings after varimax rotation is presented in Table 4. The first
factor loaded on variables X6, XI I, and XI3 which are distance from home,
amount of walking required, and popularity with family or friends. As there is no
unifying thread in these variables (nor in the next several largest factor loadings), we
shall just label it as a "complex dimension" index. As the second factor is loaded
high on X 1, X2, and X7, namely quality of merchandise, variety of merchandise.
and atmosphere of shopping area, we will call this a "merchandise-atmosphere"
index. 289 A MULTi-ATTRIBUTE APPROACH TO
UNDERSTANDING SHOPPING BEHAVIOR
TABLE 4
Factor Loadings for Sheridan Village
Variables Factor i Factor 2
X 1 0.30235 0.66931**
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X 2 0.30453 0.73648**
X 3 0.56897 0.30296
X 4 0.45304 0,36988
X 5 0.52141 0.39839
X 6 0.64818* 0.22619
X 7 0.31410 0.74277**
X 8 0.35174 0.58727
X 9 0.37969 0.59093
XIO 0.57606 0.37264
XII 0.73314* 0.34411
XI2 0.54775 0.29745
XI3 0.62341* 0.45274
*Variable useful in labeling factor i.
**Variable useful in labeling factor 2.
Madison Park
In this case, three factors were extracted, together they accounted for 71 percent
of the total variance (convergence was obtained in 17 iterations). Reported in Table
5 is the matrix of factor loadings after the varimax rotation was performed. Factor l
had high loadings on variables XI, X2, X7, and X9 which are quality of
merchandise, variety of merchandise, atmosphere of shopping area, and ease of
shopping comparisons. This again turns out to be a "merchandise-atmosphere"
index, with variable X9, ease of shopping comparions, replacing variable X8,
availability of sale items (see CBD factor analysis). The second factor has high
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loadings on variables X3, XS, and Xll, which are availability of parking,
convenience of days and hours open, and amount of walking required. Note that an
additional variable, convenience of days and hours open~ has been included to the
second factor of the CBD. This factor may still be classified as a "convenience"
index. As the third factor has high loadings on variables X6 and X I2, i.e., distance
from home and distance from work, we can label it as a "distance" index. VAUGHN AND
HANSOTIA 290
TABLE 5
Factor Loadlngs for ~adiaon Park
Variables Factor I Factor 2 Factor 3
Xl 0.75365* 0.29799 0.28820
x 2 0.80852* 0.24602 0.25548
X 3 0.21577 0.80254~* 0.05485
](4 0.48700 0.40844 0.18645
x 5 0.34041 0.70590~ 0.29065
X 6 0.28775 0.19070 0.77936~
x 7 0.71047~ 0.30641 0.26589
X8 0.59904 0.28849 0.13106
X9 0.63916~ 0.41028 0.25467
XIO 0.35652 0.55883 0.24369
XI1 0.25726 0.72884*e 0.27028
X12 0.18939 0.28401 0.64560~*
XI3 0.53660 0.07528 0.51505
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9 useful in labeling factor 1.
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9 ~Vars useful in labeling factor 2.
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9 **Variable useful in labeling factor 3.
Summary of Factor Analysla
Several patterns evolved in the factor analytic results. First, factor analysis of
those shopping centers which were smaller in square footage had a higher degr~ of
the total variance explained than the larger centers, i.e., from the smallest size center
to the largest, the variation explained was 71, 58, 51, and 54 percent. While a
number of explanations for this apparent pattern may exist, one possibility is that
the individual can better generalize the image of a small, less complex shopping
center. Another possible explanation is that the smaller center's typical emphasis is
on convenience goods as opposed to shopping goods and the numerous periodic
shopping trips associated with convenience goods results in a high amount of
information (for those frequenting the center) or a well-defined image of that center.
It was somewhat surprising that the CBD had more variance explained than NW, as
it was believed that the rather nebulous definition of the CBD and a number of
streets serving as dividing lines would make it very difficult to generalize. However,
two other points should be considered as they may have some influence on the
amount of variance explained. First, Northwoods Mall (NW) is less than three
years old and the CBD has been getting almost daily publicity concerning stores
entering and leaving the downtown area, progress on providing more parking, and
the development of a downtown shopping mail Second, a merchandise or 291
TABLE 6
Summary of Factor Analysis
CBD--Two factors accounted for 54% of the total variance.
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I. Merchandlse-Atmosphere Index described by:
a. Quality of merchandise
b. Variety of merchandise
c. Atmosphere of shopping area
d. Availability of sale items
2. Convenience Index described by:
a. Availability of parking
b. Amount of walking required
NW- -Two factors accounted for 51% of the total variance.
1. Merchandise Index described by:
a. Quality of merchandise
b. Variety of merchandise
c. Ease of shopping comparisons
2. Convenience Index described by:
a. Pedestrian congestion
b. Amount of walking required
c. Distance from work
SV--Two factors accounted for 58% of the total variance.
1. Complex Index described by:
a. Distance from home
b." Amount of walking required
c. Popularlty with family or friends
2. Merchandlse-Atmosphere Index described by:
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a. Quality of merchandise
b. Variety of merchandise
c. Atmosphere of shopping area
MP--Three factors accounted for 71% of the total variance.
1. Merchandise-Atmosphere Index described by:
a. Quality of merchandise
b. Variety of merchandise
c. Atmosphere of shopping center
d. Ease of shopping comparisons
2. Convenience Index described by:
a. Availability of parking
b. Convenience of days and hours open
c. Amount of walking requlred
3. Distance Index described by:
a. Distance from home A MULTI-ATTRIBUTE APPROACH TO
UNDERSTANDING SHOPPING BEHAVIOR
292
merchandise-atmosphere underlying structure was found to exist in the case of each
center. This factor was expected in light of gravitational literature which has
explained the utility of a center using square footage as a surrogate. However, this
merchandise dimension was more complex than traditional gravitational models
seem to imply, as merchandise quality, merchandise variety, atmosphere of
shopping area, availability of sale items, and ease of shopping comparisions were all
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component parts of this underlying dimension. Third, distance from home was
apparent only in the smaller shopping centers as an underlying dimension. Further,
when it did appear as a heavily loaded factor (for SV and MP), it was combined
with other factors: in one case, MP, it was combined with amount of walking
required and, unexplainably, popularity with family or friends. Fourth, a
convenience dimension was discovered for three of the shopping centers (CBD,
NW, and MP) that seemed to be concerned with getting quickly in and out of the
shopping center.
In summary, merchandise and convenience seem to be the two underlying
dimensions which consistently appear, but the results of this study can only be
viewed as preliminary pending further study by other researchers.
RESEARCH IMPLICATIONS
To continue to improve our understanding of spatial choice processes, research is
needed on a variety of related issues, including the following:
I. Research is needed to deal with one of the most crucial problems of the
multi-attribute approach, i.e., does the individual actually formulate a general
image of a shopping center or is this image termed by aggregating in some
fashion the individual's perception of several ~key" stores at a given center.
2. For this approach to be practical in the sense that traditional gravitational
models have been frequently used, i.e., as a predictive tool, then research is
needed to test the comparative predictability of the multi-attribute approach.
With this in mind the Nakanishi and Cooper (1974) formulation may be a
useful approach.
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3. Not unlike other behavior, the spatial choice process of the consumer is
probably influenced by situational factors. 3 Fishbein (1975) has made a strong
case for the need for measuring consumer attitudes within a given situation:
If l'm interested in predicting someone's intention to perform a given
behavior in a given situation, i must assess his attitude toward performing
that behavior in that situation and not merely his attitude toward the
behavior per se. Needless to say, my attitude toward "drinking whiskey
first thing in the morning" may be different from my attitude toward
"drinking wlalskey at a party." This is not a trivial point, my attitude
toward buying a given product for a party, may be very different than my
attitude toward buying the same product for my personal use, or as a gift
tot someone else. 293 VAUGHN AND HANSOTIA
In fact, the traditional gravitational model is on the right track (i.e., if
situations are liberally interpreted to mean products) since its distance
parameter is generally estimated for different product categories. As situa-
tional variables are generally important behavioral influences, they should be
considered in evaluating predictability (Vaughn, 1973). Finally, does attribute
salience or determinancy vary with the shopping situation?
4. One of the frequently used theoretical frameworks for gravitational models,
that of Luce (1959), pertains only to single purpose shopping trips. Perhaps
the individuals perception of spatial alternative varies if evaluations are
made in a multi-purpose shopping context, or given that the trip is being
made in conjunction with non-shopping activities.
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5. Finally, does attribute salience or determinancy vary by the type of customer?
Research needs to explore the usefulness of these factors as criteria for
market segmentation and the design of patronage appeals.
FOOTNOTES
tHie, Norman H., et al. Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS, L New York:
McGraw-Hill, Inc., 1975.
John P. Van de Geer page 147 for the details of this approach.
;A review of the literature on situational influences is available in Vaughn, 1973, and
Woodside and Bearden. 1975.
REFERENCES
Applebaum, William and S.O. Kaylin. Case Studies in Shopping Center Development and
Operation. New York: International Council of Shopping Centers, 1974.
Baumol, William J. and Edward A. lde. "A Variety in Retailing," Management Science, Ill
(I) (October 1956), 93-101.
Bucklin, Louis P. "Trade Area Boundaries: Some Issues in Theory and Methodology,"
Journal of Marketing Research, 8 (February 1970, 30-7.
Downs, Roger M. "The Cognitive Structure of an Urban Sopping Center," Environment
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Fishbein, M. "Attitude, Attitude Change, and Behavior, A Theoretical Overview," In P.
Levine (ed.) Attitude Research Bridges the Atlantic. Chicago: American Marketing
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Hilliard, Jimmy E., Ronald L. Vaughn, and Fred D. Reynolds. "A Generalized Utility
Model of Shopping Behavior," Advances in Consumer Research, Volume 2, Association
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for Consumer Research Proceedings, Chicago, November 1974.
Huff, David L. Determination of Intra-Urban Retail Trade Areas. Los Angeles: Division
of Research, Graduate School of Business Administration, University of California, 1962.
Jonassen, C.T. The Shopping Center Versus Downtown. Columbus, Ohio: Bureau of
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Lancaster, Kelvin. Consumer Demand: A New Approach. New York: Columbia University
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