Moving ForwardPresentation to the Commission

April 1, 2011

“By 2020, America will once again have the highest proportion of college graduates in the world.”

February 24, 2009

The Challenge Set by President Obama

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What We KnowU.S. Lags Other Countries in Higher Education

CompletionLifetime Earnings Are Greater for Those with

More EducationAnnual Income Increases with Additional

EducationUnemployment During Recessions is Worst for

Those with Least EducationBy 2018, 54% of Illinois Jobs Will Require

Associate’s Degree or MoreCurrently, 41% of IL Residents Age 25 – 64 have

an Associate’s or More4

Unemployment is greater for those with less education

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14.6%

9.7%

6.8%5.2%

2.5%

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

HS Dropout HS Graduate Associate's Bachelor's Master's +

2009 Unemployment Rate

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2009

11%

24%

52%

39%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%

Lowest 2nd Lowest Top 3 Overall Average

Income Quintiles

% Of Students Who Complete Within 12 Years Of Graduating 8th Grade By Income Quintile

Students-in-Need Do Not Complete College

6Source: Goldberger, Susan, “Doing the Math: What It Means to Double the Number of Low-Income College Graduates,” Minding the Gap: Why Integrating High School with College Makes Sense and How to Do It, 2007.

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Big Goal

Help Illinois Increase to 60% the Proportion of Adults with a High Quality Post-Secondary Credential by 2025

Specifically, Help Illinois Increase to At Least 45% the Post-Secondary Attainment Rate of Low-Income Students

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Goal is Consistent with Major Foundation GoalsLumina’s “Big Goal”: Increase the proportion

of Americans with high-quality degrees and credentials to 60 percent by the year 2025

Gates Foundation Goal: Double the number of low-income adults who earn a college degree or credential with genuine marketplace value by age 26

Complete College America: Only national organization focused solely on supporting states to dramatically improve college completion rates.

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ISAC Can Help Illinois Meet College Attainment Goal

I. Build external support to foster systemic change

II. Provide high quality, informed researchIII.Improve high school to college transitionIV.Support students in college or returning

to collegeV. Help families pay for collegeVI.Align agency financial strategies and

support services with program goals11

I. Build External Support for Big Goal

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Build External Support for Big GoalMany Adopted the 60% by 2025 Goal:

P-20 CouncilHigher Education Finance Commission IBHE Public AgendaLieutenant Governor visiting campuses to promote “60 x 25”

Complete College America Lieutenant Governor, Legislators, IBHE, ICCB, ISAC,

University Chancellors, Business Members--strategies to reach 60 x 25

Senator Maloney’s SB 1773-funding for higher education based on completion performance

Representative Pritchard’s HB 1710-builds on the College Illinois Corps to provide outreach activities for students who would be first in their families to attend college

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II. Provide High Quality, Informed Research

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Provide High Quality, Informed ResearchBuild Database to Measure Progress Toward

GoalMaintain Active Role in Longitudinal Data

System Development As Superior Research ToolEmphasize Program Evaluation of ISAC Efforts

and PartnershipsEngage Outside Researchers in Higher

Education Policy QuestionsLead Higher Education Research PartnershipMake Research Available and Accessible

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III. Improve High School to College Transition for Students-in-Need

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Large Portions of Illinois have Less Than 50% College Completion

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Regional Gaps in College AttainmentHamper Economic Growth

Percent of population, 25-64, with associate’s degree or higher. Regional variations in college credentials show large gaps — and opportunities — in raising the level of educational attainment in Illinois. Source: 2006 ACS (PUMS)

Summary of the Problem

18Source: “The Illinois Public Agenda for College and Career Success,” Illinois Board of Higher Education, 2009, p 4.

Improve High School to College Transition for Students-in-Need

Expand ISAC Role in College and Career Planning, including Outreach, Match to the Right School, Financial Aid Awareness, Support, Good Decision-Making, and Program Quality

Expand College Illinois CorpsDevelop Formalized Certification for Counselors

and College Access ProfessionalsTake FAFSA Completion Initiative StatewideProvide Tools for Schools and Students,

including What’s Next Illinois and transcript service

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IV. Support Students in College or Returning to College

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Current educational levels are not sufficient for the jobs of 2018

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Support Students in College or Returning to CollegeDevelop Strategies for:

Students who were in College Illinois Corps programs and are now in college

Recipients of ISAC-administered Programs- MAP, including 2+2 Pilot

Adults Returning to SchoolVeteransPostsecondary Institutions – ISAC’s interaction

and supportEvaluate How Call Center Can Advance

Completion22

V. Help Families Pay for College

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Help Families Pay for CollegeReduce Financial Barriers through:

College Illinois! Prepaid Tuition Program17 ISAC-administered Gift Assistance

ProgramsMonetary Award Program (MAP)

Recognize role of loans in reaching completion goal

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VI. Align Agency Financial and Support Services with Program Goals

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Align Agency Financial Strategies and Support Services with Program GoalsRecognize Role of Debt Management, IDAPP and

Other Areas in Generating and Managing Revenue to Support Agency

Redesign Internal Budget Development Process to Focus on Goals

Review and Realign Regulations with Completion

GoalEvaluate Ways Agency Support Units Can Align

with Strategic Direction26

Summary of Strategic DirectionI. Build external support to foster systemic

changeII. Provide high quality, informed researchIII.Improve high school to college transitionIV.Support students in college or returning

to collegeV. Help families pay for collegeVI.Align agency financial strategies and

support services with program goals

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U.S. Lags Other Countries in Higher Education Completion

Percent of Adults with Associates Degrees or Higher by Age-GroupLeading OECD Countries and the U.S. (2006)

Source: OECD, Education at a Glance (2008)

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Individual Return to Education: Lifetime Earnings Are Greater for Those with More Education

30Source: Georgetown University Center on Education and the Workforce, Help Wanted: Projections of Jobs and Education Requirements through 2018, June 2010, Figure 5.6

Annual Income Increases with Additional Education Source: US Census, Current Population Survey

professional

phd

master’s

bachelor’s

associatesome college

high school

From presentation by Dewayne Matthews, Lumina Foundation, to IBHE, June, 2010 31

Unemployment During Recessions is Worst for those with the Least Education Source: US Census, Current Population Survey

Recession of November

73 to March 75 High school

dropout

Bachelor’s

Some college

High school graduate

Recession of January 80

to July 80

Recession of July 81 to November 82

Recession of July 90 to March 91

Recession of March 01 to

November 01

Recession of December

07 to present

From presentation by Dewayne Matthews, Lumina Foundation, to IBHE, June, 2010 32

By 2018, 54% of Illinois Jobs Will Require Associate’s Degree or MoreEducation Level Projected Jobs in

2018% of Jobs

TOTAL 6,901,000 100%

HS Dropout 699,000 10%

HS Graduate 1,820,000 26%

Some College, No Degree 621,000 9%

SUBTOTAL: Jobs Requiring Associate’s or Higher

3,761,000 54%

Associate’s 1,510,000 22%

Bachelor’s 1,468,000 21%

Graduate 783,000 11%

Source: Help Wanted report

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Currently, 41% of IL Residents Age 25 – 64 Have Associate’s Degree or More

341,962 465,668

1,715,637

1,514,533 559,536

1,407,451

816,132 Less than 9th Grade

No Diploma

HS Graduate

Some College

Associate's

Bachelor's

Graduate or Professional

Source: Lumina Foundation from U.S. Census Bureau, 2008,American Community Survey, www.luminafoundation.org/state_data/illinois.html

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