Most Imp Report

download Most Imp Report

of 17

Transcript of Most Imp Report

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    1/17

    DISCLOSURE APPENDIX CONTAINS ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND THE STATUS OF NON-US ANALYSTS. U.S.Disclosure: Credit Suisse does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result,investors should be aware that the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors

    should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

    25 April 2011

    Asia Pacific/India

    Equity Research

    Computer Services & IT Consulting (IT Services) / OVERWEIGHT

    Tata Consultancy Services(TCS.BO / TCS IN)

    DOWNGRADE RATING

    All positives priced in

    TCS reported in line March 2011 quarter results. Revenue grew 4.7%

    QoQ in dollar terms. Management indicated that excluding the Indian

    business, growth was 5.5% QoQ in dollar terms. The company reported flat

    margins despite a 200 bp fall in utilisation, benefiting from currency. PAT

    was 2.5% ahead of estimates due to higher other income.

    We believe demand environment is good but not extraordinary. Though

    leading Indian IT companies continue to point at the good demand

    environment, the March 2011 quarter was weaker than expectations at thebeginning of the quarter. We thus believe the environment is good but not

    extraordinary. Taking a reality check on our estimates, we now build a

    27%/26% YoY revenue growth in FY12/13 (USD-based, earlier 30%/28%).

    Strong performance with respect to peers is priced in. Over the past two

    years, TCS has delivered the best performance among the large Indian IT

    companies. This is also reflected in the share performance and the stock

    now trades at a P/E premium of 11% to Infosys and 20% to Wipro.

    Downgrade to NEUTRAL. Post results, due to reduction in our revenue

    estimates, our EPS numbers decline by 5%/8% for FY12/13 leading to the

    new target price of Rs1,275 (earlier: Rs1,325, DCF based). With a high

    overweight in investor portfolio and signs of strain on consensus upgrades,

    we believe the risk-reward is no more in our favour. With hardly a 7% upsideto our target price, we downgrade the stock to NEUTRAL. We would be

    more positive on the stock closer to Rs1,025 and less so around our target

    price of Rs1,275.

    Share price performance

    200

    700

    1200

    Apr-09 Aug-09 Dec-09 Apr-10 Aug-10 Dec-10

    0100200300400

    Price (LH S) R eb ased Rel ( RH S)

    The price relative chart measures performance against the

    BOMBAY SE 30 SHARE SENSITIVE index which closed at

    19602.23 on 21/04/11

    On 21/04/11 the spot exchange rate was Rs44.38/US$1

    Performance over 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 11.3 -1.7 51.9Relative (%) 1.3 -4.7 35.4

    Financial and valuation metrics

    Year 3/11A 3/12E 3/13E 3/14ERevenue (Rs mn) 373,245.1 463,239.6 581,861.7 713,375.6EBITDA (Rs mn) 111,893.7 135,476.8 170,064.3 204,805.7EBIT (Rs mn) 103,903.7 124,962.9 157,450.3 190,091.7Net income (Rs mn) 86,829.3 100,076.9 124,781.9 152,796.5EPS (CS adj.) (Rs) 44.36 51.13 63.75 78.07Change from previous EPS (%) n.a. -4.6 -7.8Consensus EPS (Rs) n.a. 52.3 61.8 59.5EPS growth (%) 26.3 15.3 24.7 22.5P/E (x) 26.9 23.3 18.7 15.3Dividend yield (%) 1.2 1.9 1.9 1.9P/B (x) 9.2 8.1 6.5 5.1ROE 37.6 37.2 38.6 37.2Net debt/equity (%) net cash net cash net cash net cashSource: Company data, Thomson Financial Datastream, Credit Suisse estimates

    Rating (from Outperform)NEUTRAL*Price (22 Apr 11, Rs) 1,191.65Target price (Rs) (from 1,325.00) 1,275.00Chg to TP (%) 7.0Market cap. (Rs mn) 2,332,322 (US$ 52,553)Enterprise value (Rs mn) 2,266,899Number of shares (mn) 1,957.22Free float (%) 25.9952-week price range 1238.00 - 699.10*Stock ratings are relative to the relevant country benchmark.

    Target price is for 12 months.

    Research Analysts

    Bhuvnesh Singh

    65 6212 3006

    [email protected]

    Sunil Tirumalai

    9122 6777 [email protected]

    Sagar Rastogi

    91 22 6777 3851

    [email protected]

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    2/17

    25 April 2011

    Tata Consultancy Services

    (TCS.BO / TCS IN) 2

    Focus charts and tablesFigure 1: TCS March 2011 quarter results(Rs mn) 4Q10 3Q11 4Q11 QoQ (%) YoY (%) CS Est Difference (%)

    Net sales 77,365 96,634 101,575 5.1 31.3 101,381 0.2

    EBIT 21,280 27,132 28,457 4.9 33.7 28,269 0.7

    EBIT margins (%) 27.5 28.1 28.027.9Net Income 19,312 23,302 24,021 3.1 24.4 23,439 2.5

    Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates

    Figure 2: TCS versus Infosys operating metrics comparison (March 2011)QoQ YoY

    TCS Infosys TCS Infosys

    Volume growth % 2.9 (1.4) 30.7 17.2

    Blended realisation change % (CC) 0.8 2.1

    $-revenue growth (%) 4.7 1.1 33.1 23.6

    Utilisation incl. trainees (bp increase) (200) (498) 80 (144)

    Headcount growth (%) 6.3 2.4 23.8 15.0

    LTM attrition rate (bp increase) - (50) 260 356

    EBIT margin change (bp) (6) (122) 51 (132)

    Note: 1) Infosys volume and pricing are for only IT services, 2) blended realisation change incorporatesimpact of mix change of onsite/offshore.Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates

    Figure 3: TCS 12-month fwd P/E based on consensus Figure 4: TCS versus Infosys P/E based on consensus

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct-10

    -50%

    -40%

    -30%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct-10

    Source: Bloomberg, Datastream, Company data Source: Bloomberg, Datastream, Company data

    Figure 5: Indian IT valuationsCMP Mkt cap TP P/E EV/EBITDA EV/sales

    Ticker Rs (US$ mn) Rating (Rs) FY3/12 FY3/13 FY3/12 FY3/13 FY3/12 FY3/13

    Tata Consultancy TCS.BO 1,192 52,565 N 1,275 23.3 18.7 16.7 13.0 4.9 3.8

    Infosys Technologies INFY.BO 2,909 37,830 N 3,400 21.2 16.9 14.9 11.7 4.5 3.6

    Wipro WIPR.BO 463 25,618 O 575 17.0 13.6 12.9 10.3 2.8 2.3

    HCL Technologies HCLT.BO 519 8,016 O 640 14.8 11.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0

    Mindtree MINT.BO 391 353 U 360 9.7 9.2 4.9 3.9 0.7 0.6

    Infotech Enterprises INFE.BO 154 386 U 140 11.8 10.0 6.1 4.9 0.9 0.8Hexaware HEXT.BO 69 454 U 50 13.8 11.9 9.2 7.9 1.1 1.0

    Mphasis MBFL.BO 453 2,145 N 550 10.5 8.8 7.0 6.0 1.5 1.4

    Persistent Systems PERS.BO 392 353 O 450 11.2 8.8 5.5 4.2 1.2 0.9

    Average 18.6 14.8 12.2 9.7 3.3 2.7

    Note: Closing prices as of 21 April 2011: Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates, Datastream

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    3/17

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    4/17

    25 April 2011

    Tata Consultancy Services

    (TCS.BO / TCS IN) 4

    Figure 8: TCS reported the weakest volume growth in eight quarters

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11

    Volume growth QoQ

    Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates

    Good performance versus Infosys

    TCS volume growth of 2.9% QoQ was unexciting. However, Infosys performance at QoQ

    volume decline of 1.4% was even worse. Thus, despite an in-line performance, relative

    comparison makes TCS seems good.

    Figure 9: TCS versus Infosys operating metrics comparison (March 2011)QoQ YoY

    TCS Infosys TCS Infosys

    Volume growth % 2.9 (1.4) 30.7 17.2

    Blended realisation change % (CC) 0.8 2.1

    $-revenue growth (%) 4.7 1.1 33.1 23.6

    Utilisation incl. trainees (bp increase) (200) (498) 80 (144)

    Headcount growth (%) 6.3 2.4 23.8 15.0

    LTM attrition rate (bp increase) - (50) 260 356

    EBIT margin change (bp) (6) (122) 51 (132)

    Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates

    Figure 10: TCS and Infosys revenue growth performance Figure 11: TCS and Infosys margin performance

    QoQ US$ revenue growth

    0%

    2%4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%14%

    Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10

    TCS Infosys

    EBIT m argins

    22%

    24%

    26%

    28%

    30%

    32%

    Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11

    TCS Infosys

    Source: Company data Source: Company data

    Margins sustained

    TCS reported an EBIT margin drop of just 6 basis points during the quarter despite a dropin utilisation of 200 basis points. The factors behind margin movement during the quarter

    were:

    (1) currency (+58 bp); (2) pricing (1 bp); and (3) provisions for doubtful debts (28 bp) and

    other SG&A expenses (19 bp).

    Write back of bad loans resulted in a margin movement of negative 20 basis points QoQ.

    Currency helped offsetimpact of other factors

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    5/17

    25 April 2011

    Tata Consultancy Services

    (TCS.BO / TCS IN) 5

    Figure 12: Impact of various costs on margins

    Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11

    Revenues (Rs mn) 71,718 72,070 74,351 76,503 77,365 82,173 92,864 96,634 101,575

    Costs as % of sales:

    Cost of services 52.1% 50.8% 51.7% 51.2% 50.8% 53.0% 51.5% 52.0% 51.7%

    Employee costs 44.4% 43.7% 45.0% 44.1% 44.1% 45.4% 44.9% 44.4% 44.4%

    Depreciation 1.5% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6%Travel 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8%

    Communication 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0%

    Rent 1.8% 1.9% 1.6% 1.9% 1.8% 1.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.5%

    other costs 2.4% 1.9% 1.7% 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 2.7% 2.4%

    Cost of equipment and software licenses 2.5% 3.6% 2.5% 2.4% 2.3% 2.3% 3.6% 3.1% 2.9%

    SG&A expenses 21.7% 20.7% 19.5% 19.2% 19.3% 17.5% 16.8% 16.9% 17.4%

    Employee costs 12.5% 12.6% 11.8% 11.7% 10.9% 11.4% 11.4% 11.2% 11.3%

    Depreciation 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7%

    Provision of doubtful debts and advances 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.8% -0.1% -0.3% -0.3% -0.1%

    Rent 1.5% 1.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9%

    Travel 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8%

    Communication 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%

    Recruitment and training 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6%

    Professional fees 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6%

    Research and development 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

    Other costs 3.5% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 2.2% 2.2% 2.0% 1.8%

    Source: Company data

    Customers continue to spend

    Management stated that while it continued to monitor the macro-environment, customers

    continued to spend on IT to improve efficiency or growth. It was seeing strong traction in

    enterprise solutions (up 18% QoQ in dollar terms), which indicated a return of discretionary

    spend.

    All verticals except telecommunications grew in the quarter. Going forward, management

    expects the vertical to grow, albeit at a slower pace compared to the rest of the company.

    Transportation and hi-tech verticals posted double-digit growth in the quarter in dollar

    terms.

    Enterprise solutions spend

    up 18% QoQ in dollar terms

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    6/17

    25 April 2011

    Tata Consultancy Services

    (TCS.BO / TCS IN) 6

    Figure 13: TCS quarterly operating metrics

    Mar 09 Jun 09 Sep 09 Dec 09 Mar 10 Jun 10 Sep 10 Dec 10 Dec 08

    Employee metrics

    Total (incl. Indian subsidiary) 143,761 141,642 141,962 149,654 160,429 163,700 174,417 186,914 198,614

    Total (excl. Indian subsidiary) 126,150 123,404 123,092 130,509 140,619 142,939 153,168 163,995 175,373

    Gross addition (excl. Indian subsidiary) 3,522 2,828 5,530 11,377 14,640 8,464 17,121 16,847 19,324

    Net addition (excl. Indian subsidiary) 521 (2,119) 320 7,417 10,110 2,320 10,229 10,827 11,700

    Attrition (%) 11.4% 11.5% 11.4% 11.5% 11.8% 13.1% 14.1% 14.4% 14.4%Attrition no. of people 3,001 4,947 5,210 3,960 4,530 6,144 6,892 6,020 7,624

    Utilisation (%)

    Blended with trainees 69.4% 71.3% 73.6% 77.2% 74.3% 74.8% 77.7% 77.1% 75.1%

    Blended without trainees 79.7% 79.2% 79.5% 81.1% 81.8% 82.6% 83.8% 83.8% 82.4%

    Client metrics

    Revenue concentration

    Top client (%) 4.7% 5.7% 6.8% 8.1% 8.2% 8.1% 8.0% 7.7% 7.4%

    Top 5 clients (%) 18.6% 19.4% 20.5% 21.5% 21.8% 22.0% 22.1% 21.9% 21.4%

    Top 10 clients (%) 26.9% 28.0% 28.9% 29.9% 30.2% 30.5% 30.1% 30.1% 29.6%

    Active clients 985 933 896 917 917 930 936 959 969

    New clients 36 26 30 32 39 36 30 35 39

    Repeat business (%) 95.6% 99.7% 98.2% 96.5% 95.7% 98.4% 98.3% 97.6% 97.1%

    Project type break-up of revenues

    Fixed price (%) 47.1% 47.4% 47.2% 48.0% 48.7% 49.1% 49.0% 49.7% 49.5%

    Time & Material (%) 52.9% 52.6% 52.8% 52.0% 51.3% 50.9% 51.0% 50.3% 50.5%

    Revenue break-up by delivery location

    Onsite (%) 48.2% 44.4% 42.7% 42.5% 43.6% 43.6% 43.9% 43.7% 44.7%

    Offshore (%) 4.1% 5.2% 6.2% 6.2% 5.4% 5.2% 5.0% 4.9% 5.0%

    GDC (%) 47.7% 50.4% 51.1% 51.3% 51.0% 51.2% 51.1% 51.4% 50.3%

    Key industry break up of revenues

    Financial Services (%) 42.8% 43.9% 45.0% 45.0% 44.4% 44.7% 44.0% 44.6% 44.0%

    Manufacturing (%) 9.8% 9.2% 8.7% 8.3% 8.3% 7.4% 7.4% 7.2% 7.5%

    Telecom (%) 13.1% 12.6% 12.0% 12.1% 12.1% 12.7% 12.8% 11.9% 11.0%

    Retail and distribution (%) 12.0% 12.2% 12.0% 12.0% 12.3% 11.0% 10.9% 10.9% 11.2%

    Key geographical break-up of revenues

    Americas (%) 52.4% 52.3% 53.4% 52.5% 54.0% 55.0% 53.7% 53.5% 53.4%

    UK (%) 17.9% 16.9% 16.5% 16.0% 15.2% 15.1% 15.3% 16.0% 15.5%

    Europe (%) 10.8% 11.0% 10.6% 10.4% 10.0% 8.9% 9.1% 9.3% 9.9%

    India (%) 8.2% 9.1% 7.3% 8.5% 8.9% 8.8% 9.9% 9.2% 8.8%

    Source: Company data

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    7/17

    25 April 2011

    Tata Consultancy Services

    (TCS.BO / TCS IN) 7

    Outlook remains positiveIn line with positive commentary from Infosys management, TCS also maintained that the

    environment remains strong. The company has guided to total gross hires of 60,000 in

    FY3/12. In our view, there is substantial scope for upward revision to this number. Margins

    could largely sustain at current levels.

    Weak volume growth by both Infosys and TCS indicates that while the demandenvironment is good, it is not extraordinary. Taking a reality check on our estimates, we

    reduce our EPS estimates by 5%/8% for FY12/13.

    Positive management commentary

    In line with positive commentary from Infosys management, TCS also maintained that the

    environment remains strong. The deal pipeline is better than it was 12 months ago, pricing

    could improve and nearly all verticals (except telecommunications) are exhibiting good

    traction.

    Conservative hiring guidance

    The company has guided to making total gross hires of 60,000 personnel in FY3/12. In our

    view, there is substantial scope for an upward revision to this number given that utilisation(including trainees) is fairly high at 75%.

    Management indicated that it would aim for a fresher:lateral hiring ratio of 50:50 in FY13/12

    versus the 45:55 ratio in FY3/11.

    Margins could sustain at current level

    The company plans to award wage hikes of 12-14% to its offshore employees and 2-4% to

    its onsite employees. Management hopes to offset the impact by price increases, operating

    leverage, utilisation increase (82-84% versus 77-78% historic) and improving efficiency.

    Taking a reality check on estimates

    Post results, we downgrade our revenue growth estimates to 27% and 26% over the nexttwo years. This, coupled with a slight change in our margin estimates, leads to a reduction

    of 5%/8% in our EPS estimates.

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    8/17

    25 April 2011

    Tata Consultancy Services

    (TCS.BO / TCS IN) 8

    Figure 14: TCS changes to consolidated estimatesOld estimates New estimates % change

    FY3/12E FY3/13E FY3/12E FY3/13E FY3/12E FY3/13E

    Rs/US$ 44.7 44.7 44.5 44.5 -0.5% -0.5%

    Revenues ($ mn) 10,649 13,630 10,410 13,076 -2.2% -4.1%

    YoY growth ($) 29.8% 28.0% 27.2% 25.6%

    Rs mn

    Revenues (Rs mn) 476,119 609,396 463,240 581,862 -2.7% -4.5%YoY growth (Rs) 27.6% 28.0% 24.1% 25.6%

    Gross profit 210,691 271,306 213,456 268,512 1.3% -1.0%

    Gross margins 44.3% 44.5% 46.1% 46.1%

    EBIT (Rs mn) 132,171 171,937 124,963 157,450 -5.5% -8.4%

    EBIT margins 27.8% 28.2% 27.0% 27.1%

    EBITDA 142,685 184,551 135,477 170,064 -5.1% -7.8%

    EBITDA margins 30.0% 30.3% 29.2% 29.2%

    PBT 135,540 178,004 129,431 164,278 -4.5% -7.7%

    PAT 104,911 135,366 100,077 124,782 -4.6% -7.8%

    Net margins 22.0% 22.2% 21.6% 21.4%

    EPS (Rs/share) 53.60 69.16 51.13 63.75 -4.6% -7.8%

    Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    9/17

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    10/17

    25 April 2011

    Tata Consultancy Services

    (TCS.BO / TCS IN) 10

    the stock now trades at a P/E premium of 11% to Infosys and 20% to Wipro (FY12

    estimates).

    Figure 18: TCS versus Infosys 12M fwd P/E (consensus) Figure 19: TCS versus Wipro 12M fwd P/E (consensus)

    -50%

    -40%

    -30%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct-10

    -30%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    10%20%

    30%

    40%

    Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct-10

    Source: Bloomberg, Datastream, Company data Source: Bloomberg, Datastream, Company data

    Downgrade to NEUTRAL

    Given strong share price performance, and high overweight in the investor portfolio, we

    believe that the risk-reward is no more in our favour. With hardly 7% upside to our targetprice, we downgrade shares to NEUTRAL. We would be more positive on the stock closer

    to Rs1,025 and less so around our target price of Rs1,275.

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    11/17

    25 April 2011

    Tata Consultancy Services

    (TCS.BO / TCS IN) 11

    FinancialsFigure 20: TCS summary financial estimatesYear-end 31 Mar (Rs mn) FY09A FY10A FY11A FY12E FY13E FY14E

    Income statement

    Net sales 278,129 300,289 373,245 463,240 581,862 713,376

    Gross profit123,738 138,660 167,853 213,456 268,512 328,639Gross margins (%) 44.5% 46.2% 45.0% 46.1% 46.1% 46.1%

    EBIT 66,044 79,591 103,904 124,963 157,450 190,092

    EBIT margins (%) 23.7% 26.5% 27.8% 27.0% 27.1% 26.6%

    Depreciation 5,766 7,208 7,990 10,514 12,614 14,714

    EBITDA 71,810 86,799 111,894 135,477 170,064 204,806

    EBITDA margins (%) 25.8% 28.9% 30.0% 29.2% 29.2% 28.7%

    Total non-oper. income (4,673) 2,256 5,247 4,468 6,827 10,983

    Pre-tax income 61,372 81,846 109,151 129,431 164,278 201,075

    Income tax exp/(gains) 9,013 12,088 21,203 27,984 37,920 46,467

    Net income 52,359 69,758 87,948 101,447 126,357 154,608

    Net income after extra-ordinaries and minorities 51,746 68,729 86,829 100,077 124,782 152,797

    EPS (Rs) 26.44 35.12 44.36 51.13 63.75 78.07

    Balance sheetTotal current assets 121,941 138,149 171,948 230,512 318,130 438,063

    Cash and short-term investments 14,839 46,774 47,401 73,448 122,152 199,233

    Receivables and other current assets 107,102 91,376 124,547 157,064 195,978 238,830

    Net fixed assets 37,490 41,706 52,340 60,479 67,865 73,151

    Gross fixed assets 64,023 75,447 94,072 112,633 132,633 152,633

    Less : depreciation 26,533 33,741 41,731 52,154 64,768 79,482

    Capital work in progress - - - - - -

    Other assets 50,989 58,518 89,929 74,969 74,969 74,969

    Associates and long term investments 17,271 37,839 18,390 20,522 20,522 20,522

    Total assets 227,691 276,213 332,608 386,481 481,485 606,704

    Total current liabilities 61,433 56,197 64,837 87,769 109,515 133,461

    Total LT liabilities 6,580 6,843 10,718 8,025 8,025 8,025

    Total equity 156,545 209,404 252,389 286,319 359,577 460,849

    Minority interest 3,133 3,768 4,663 4,368 4,368 4,368

    Total liabilities 227,691 276,213 332,608 386,481 481,485 606,704

    Cash flow statement

    Net income 51,746 68,729 86,829 100,077 124,782 152,797Add : Depreciation 5,766 7,208 7,990 10,514 12,614 14,714Total gross cash flows 57,512 75,937 94,819 110,591 137,396 167,510Change in working capital (2,847) 10,491 (24,531) (9,584) (17,168) (18,906)Cash flow from operation 54,666 86,427 70,288 101,006 120,228 148,605Change in LT investments-share of profit (17,081) (20,568) 19,449 (2,132) - -Change in fixed asset (13,042) (11,424) (18,624) (18,653) (20,000) (20,000)Change in other asset (27,216) (7,529) (31,411) 14,961 - -Cash flow from investing (57,339) (39,522) (30,586) (5,824) (20,000) (20,000)Equity dividend (16,036) (45,779) (32,013) (51,524) (51,524) (51,524)Change in debt and liabilities (131) 898 4,770 (2,988) - -Change in equity (2,985) 29,910 (11,831) (14,624) 0 (0)Cash flow from financing (19,152) (14,971) (39,074) (69,135) (51,524) (51,524)Change in cash (21,826) 31,935 628 26,047 48,704 77,081

    Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    12/17

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    13/17

    25 April 2011

    Tata Consultancy Services

    (TCS.BO / TCS IN) 13

    Companies Mentioned (Price as of 22 Apr 11)HCL Technologies (HCLT.BO, Rs518.65, OUTPERFORM, TP Rs640.00)Hexaware Technologies (HEXT.BO, Rs69.35, UNDERPERFORM [V], TP Rs50.00)Infosys Technologies Ltd. (INFY.BO, Rs2909.25, NEUTRAL, TP Rs3400.00)Infotech Enterprises Ltd (INFE.BO, Rs153.80, UNDERPERFORM [V], TP Rs140.00, MARKET WEIGHT)Mindtree Ltd (MINT.BO, Rs391.00, UNDERPERFORM [V], TP Rs525.00)Mphasis Ltd (MBFL.BO, Rs453.25, NEUTRAL, TP Rs550.00, MARKET WEIGHT)Persistent Systems (PERS.BO, Rs395.75, OUTPERFORM, TP Rs450.00)

    Tata Consultancy Services (TCS.BO, Rs1191.65, NEUTRAL, TP Rs1275.00)Wipro Ltd. (WIPR.BO, Rs463.20, OUTPERFORM, TP Rs575.00)

    Disclosure AppendixImportant Global Disclosures

    I, Bhuvnesh Singh, certify that (1) the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about all of the subject companies andsecurities and (2) no part of my compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed inthis report.

    See the Companies Mentioned section for full company names.

    3-Year Price, Target Price and Rating Change History Chart for INFY.BO

    INFY.BO Closing

    Price

    Target

    Price Initiation/

    Date (Rs) (Rs) Rating Assumption

    23-Jun-08 1,847.5 2150

    14-Jul-08 1,556.1 2050

    24-Sep-08 1,523.7 1800 N

    13-Oct-08 1,319.65 1400

    24-Nov-08 1,196.2 1650 O

    18-May-09 1,769.85 1825

    13-Jul-09 1,767.95 1950

    2-Sep-09 2,165.2 2550

    11-Dec-09 2,454.75 2900

    14-Apr-10 2,782.35 3150

    18-Oct-10 3107 3575

    11-Jan-11 3,329.25 4050

    18-Apr-11 2,905.2 3400 N

    21502050

    1800

    1400

    16501825

    1950

    2550

    2900

    3150

    3575

    4050

    3400

    N

    O

    N

    1101

    1601

    2101

    2601

    3101

    3601

    24-Apr

    -08

    24-Jun

    -08

    24-Aug

    -08

    24-Oct-

    08

    24-Dec

    -08

    24-Feb

    -09

    24-Apr

    -09

    24-Jun

    -09

    24-Aug

    -09

    24-Oct-

    09

    24-Dec

    -09

    24-Feb

    -10

    24-Apr

    -10

    24-Jun-10

    24-Aug

    -10

    24-Oct-

    10

    24-Dec

    -10

    24-Feb

    -11

    Closing Price Target Price Initiation/Assumption Rating

    Rs

    O=Outperform; N=Neutral; U=Underperform; R=Restricted; NR=Not Rated; NC=Not Covered

    3-Year Price, Target Price and Rating Change History Chart for TCS.BO

    TCS.BO Closing

    Price

    Target

    Price Initiation/

    Date (Rs) (Rs) Rating Assumption

    23-Jun-08 429.525 550

    25-Jun-08 438.875 O

    7-Jul-08 425 537.5

    17-Jul-08 391 487.5

    24-Sep-08 361.375 375 U

    23-Oct-08 266 312.5

    24-Nov-08 258.675 362.5 O

    21-Apr-09 272.95 325

    18-May-09 371.925 362.5

    20-Jul-09 500.6 500

    2-Sep-09 536.6 625

    19-Oct-09 607.5 650

    12-Jan-10 748 810

    18-Jan-10 800.6 900

    20-Apr-10 789 940

    22-Oct-10 1038 1175

    11-Jan-11 1108 1325

    550538488

    375313

    363325

    363

    500

    625 650

    810

    900940

    1175

    1325

    O

    UO

    222

    422

    622

    822

    1022

    1222

    24-Apr

    -08

    24-Jun

    -08

    24-Aug

    -08

    24-Oct-

    08

    24-Dec

    -08

    24-Feb

    -09

    24-Apr

    -09

    24-Jun

    -09

    24-Aug

    -09

    24-Oct-

    09

    24-Dec

    -09

    24-Feb

    -10

    24-Apr

    -10

    24-Jun-10

    24-Aug

    -10

    24-Oct-

    10

    24-Dec

    -10

    24-Feb

    -11

    Closing Price Target Price Initiation/Assumption Rating

    Rs

    O=Outperform; N=Neutral; U=Underperform; R=Restricted; NR=Not Rated; NC=Not Covered

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    14/17

    25 April 2011

    Tata Consultancy Services

    (TCS.BO / TCS IN) 14

    3-Year Price, Target Price and Rating Change History Chart for WIPR.BO

    WIPR.BO Closing

    Price

    Target

    Price Initiation/

    Date (Rs) (Rs) Rating Assumption

    23-Jun-08 287.73 318

    7-Jul-08 264 300

    21-Jul-08 223.59 240 U

    24-Sep-08 222.45 216

    23-Oct-08 163.35 19824-Nov-08 140.19 204 O

    18-May-09 254.79 240 N

    23-Jul-09 273.75 270

    2-Sep-09 332.73 360 O

    28-Oct-09 374.07 408

    12-Jan-10 416.73 474

    21-Jan-10 425.49 489

    25-Oct-10 430.3 475 N

    24-Jan-11 444.35 515

    21-Feb-11 450.25 575 O

    318300

    240216

    198204

    240 270

    360

    408

    474489 475

    515

    575

    ON

    O

    N

    O

    U

    120

    170

    220270

    320

    370

    420

    470

    520

    570

    24-Apr

    -08

    24-Jun

    -08

    24-Aug

    -08

    24-Oct-

    08

    24-Dec

    -08

    24-Feb

    -09

    24-Apr

    -09

    24-Jun

    -09

    24-Aug

    -09

    24-Oct-

    09

    24-Dec

    -09

    24-Feb

    -10

    24-Apr

    -10

    24-Jun-10

    24-Aug

    -10

    24-Oct

    -10

    24-Dec

    -10

    24-Feb

    -11

    Closing Price Target Price Initiation/Assumption Rating

    Rs

    O=Out erform; N=Neutral; U=Under erform; R=Restricted; NR=Not Rated; NC=Not Covered

    The analyst(s) responsible for preparing this research report received compensation that is based upon various factors including Credit Suisse's totalrevenues, a portion of which are generated by Credit Suisse's investment banking activities.Analysts stock ratings are defined as follows:Outperform (O): The stocks total return is expected to outperform the relevant benchmark* by at least 10-15% (or more, depending on perceived

    risk) over the next 12 months.Neutral (N): The stocks total return is expected to be in line with the relevant benchmark* (range of 10-15%) over the next 12 months.Underperform (U): The stocks total return is expected to underperform the relevant benchmark* by 10-15% or more over the next 12 months.*Relevant benchmark by region: As of 29th May 2009, Australia, New Zealand, U.S. and Canadian ratings are based on (1) a stocks absolute totalreturn potential to its current share price and (2) the relative attractiveness of a stocks total return potential within an analysts coverage universe**,with Outperforms representing the most attractive, Neutrals the less attractive, and Underperforms the least attractive investment opportunities.Some U.S. and Canadian ratings may fall outside the absolute total return ranges defined above, depending on market conditions and industryfactors. For Latin American, Japanese, and non-Japan Asia stocks, ratings are based on a stocks total return relative to the average total return ofthe relevant country or regional benchmark; for European stocks, ratings are based on a stocks total return relative to the analyst's coverageuniverse**. For Australian and New Zealand stocks a 22% and a 12% threshold replace the 10-15% level in the Outperform and Underperform stockrating definitions, respectively, subject to analysts perceived risk. The 22% and 12% thresholds replace the +10-15% and -10-15% levels in theNeutral stock rating definition, respectively, subject to analysts perceived risk.**An analyst's coverage universe consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the relevant sector.Restricted (R): In certain circumstances, Credit Suisse policy and/or applicable law and regulations preclude certain types of communications,

    including an investment recommendation, during the course of Credit Suisse's engagement in an investment banking transaction and in certain othercircumstances.

    Volatility Indicator [V]: A stock is defined as volatile if the stock price has moved up or down by 20% or more in a month in at least 8 of the past 24months or the analyst expects significant volatility going forward.

    Analysts coverage universe weightings are distinct from analysts stock ratings and are based on the expectedperformance of an analysts coverage universe* versus the relevant broad market benchmark**:Overweight: Industry expected to outperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months.Market Weight: Industry expected to perform in-line with the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months.Underweight: Industry expected to underperform the relevant broad market benchmark over the next 12 months.*An analysts coverage universe consists of all companies covered by the analyst within the relevant sector.**The broad market benchmark is based on the expected return of the local market index (e.g., the S&P 500 in the U.S.) over the next 12 months.

    Credit Suisses distribution of stock ratings (and banking clients) is:

    Global Ratings DistributionOutperform/Buy* 47% (62% banking clients)Neutral/Hold* 41% (58% banking clients)Underperform/Sell* 11% (51% banking clients)Restricted 2%

    *For purposes of the NYSE and NASD ratings distribution disclosure requirements, our stock ratings of Outperform, Neutral, and Underperform most closely correspond to Buy,Hold, and Sell, respectively; however, the meanings are not the same, as our stock ratings are determined on a re lative basis. (Please refer to definitions above.) An investor'sdecision to buy or sell a security should be based on investment objectives, current holdings, and other individual factors.

    Credit Suisses policy is to update research reports as it deems appropriate, based on developments with the subject company, the sector or themarket that may have a material impact on the research views or opinions stated herein.

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    15/17

    25 April 2011

    Tata Consultancy Services

    (TCS.BO / TCS IN) 15

    Credit Suisse's policy is only to publish investment research that is impartial, independent, clear, fair and not misleading. For more detail please refer to CreditSuisse's Policies for Managing Conflicts of Interest in connection with Investment Research:http://www.csfb.com/research-and-analytics/disclaimer/managing_conflicts_disclaimer.html

    Credit Suisse does not provide any tax advice. Any statement herein regarding any US federal tax is not intended or written to be used, and cannotbe used, by any taxpayer for the purposes of avoiding any penalties.

    See the Companies Mentioned section for full company names.Price Target: (12 months) for (INFY.BO)

    Method: Our target price of Rs3,400 for Infosys is based on discounted cash flow (DCF) method. We assume a 22% near-term growth rate, 21%medium-term growth and 5% terminal growth. We use a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 14.5% to arrive at our target price.Risks: Risks to our Rs3,400 target price for Infosys Technologies include: 1) a weaker economic environment in the US leading to slower IT servicesspending; 2) stronger competition by global vendors in the offshore arena; 3) large clients of the company shifting a greater proportion of their workto their in-house centres; 4) greater-than-expected wage inflation; and 5) adverse currency movements.Price Target: (12 months) for (TCS.BO)Method: Our target price of Rs1,275 for TCS is based on discounted cash flow (DCF) method. We assume a 24% near-term growth rate, 19%medium-term growth and 3% terminal growth. We use a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 14.5% to arrive at our target price.Risks: Potential risks to our target price of Rs1275 for Tata Consultancy include 1) a slowdown in the US economy, which could lead to a slowdownin revenues, 2) Better margins that we expect, 3) Sharp appreciation or depreciation in the Rs vs. the $Price Target: (12 months) for (WIPR.BO)Method: Our target price of Rs575 for Wipro is based on discounted cash flow (DCF) method. We assume a 21% near-term growth rate, 19%medium-term growth and 3% terminal growth. We use a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) of 14.5% to arrive at our target price.Risks: Risks to our Rs575 target price for Wipro include: 1) a weaker economic environment in the US leading to slower IT services; 2) greater-than

    expected wage inflation; 3) adverse currency movements on the downside and revenue and margin outperformance vs. peers on the upsidePlease refer to the firm's disclosure website at www.credit-suisse.com/researchdisclosures for the definitions of abbreviations typically used in thetarget price method and risk sections.

    See the Companies Mentioned section for full company names.The subject company (INFY.BO, TCS.BO, WIPR.BO) currently is, or was during the 12-month period preceding the date of distribution of this report,a client of Credit Suisse.Credit Suisse provided investment banking services to the subject company (INFY.BO, TCS.BO, WIPR.BO) within the past 12 months.Credit Suisse expects to receive or intends to seek investment banking related compensation from the subject company (INFY.BO, TCS.BO,WIPR.BO) within the next 3 months.As of the date of this report, Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC makes a market in the securities of the subject company (INFY.BO).

    Important Regional Disclosures

    Singapore recipients should contact a Singapore financial adviser for any matters arising from this research report.

    An analyst involved in the preparation of this report has visited certain material operations of the subject company (INFY.BO) within the past 12

    months. The analyst may not have visited all material operations of the subject company. The travel expenses of the analyst in connection withsuch visits were not paid or reimbursed by the subject company, other than de minimus local travel expenses.The analyst(s) involved in the preparation of this report have not visited the material operations of the subject company (TCS.BO, WIPR.BO) withinthe past 12 months.

    Restrictions on certain Canadian securities are indicated by the following abbreviations: NVS--Non-Voting shares; RVS--Restricted Voting Shares;SVS--Subordinate Voting Shares.Individuals receiving this report from a Canadian investment dealer that is not affiliated with Credit Suisse should be advised that this report may notcontain regulatory disclosures the non-affiliated Canadian investment dealer would be required to make if this were its own report.For Credit Suisse Securities (Canada), Inc.'s policies and procedures regarding the dissemination of equity research, please visithttp://www.csfb.com/legal_terms/canada_research_policy.shtml.

    As of the date of this report, Credit Suisse acts as a market maker or liquidity provider in the equities securities that are the subject of this report.

    Principal is not guaranteed in the case of equities because equity prices are variable.

    Commission is the commission rate or the amount agreed with a customer when setting up an account or at anytime after that.

    To the extent this is a report authored in whole or in part by a non-U.S. analyst and is made available in the U.S., the following are importantdisclosures regarding any non-U.S. analyst contributors:The non-U.S. research analysts listed below (if any) are not registered/qualified as research analysts with FINRA. The non-U.S. research analystslisted below may not be associated persons of CSSU and therefore may not be subject to the NASD Rule 2711 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions oncommunications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account. Bhuvnesh Singh, non-U.S. analyst, is a research analyst employed by Credit Suisse AG, Singapore Branch. Sunil Tirumalai, non-U.S. analyst, is a research analyst employed by Credit Suisse Securities (India) Private Limited. Sagar Rastogi, non-U.S. analyst, is a research analyst employed by Credit Suisse Securities (India) Private Limited.Taiwanese Disclosures: Reports written by Taiwan-based analysts on non-Taiwan listed companies are not considered recommendations to buy orsell securities under Taiwan Stock Exchange Operational Regulations Governing Securities Firms Recommending Trades in Securities toCustomers.

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    16/17

  • 7/31/2019 Most Imp Report

    17/17

    25 April 2011

    Asia Pacific/India

    Equity Research

    This report is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdictionwhere such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would subject Credit Suisse AG, the Swiss bank, or its subsidiaries or its affiliates(CS) to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. All material presented in this report, unless specifically indicated otherwise, is under copyright to CS. None ofthe material, nor its content, nor any copy of it, may be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed to any other party, without the prior express written permission of CS. Alltrademarks, service marks and logos used in this report are trademarks or service marks or registered trademarks or service marks of CS or its affiliates.The information, tools and material presented in this report are provided to you for information purposes only and are not to be used or considered as an offer or the solicitation of an

    offer to sell or to buy or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. CS may not have taken any steps to ensure that the securities referred to in this report are suitable forany particular investor. CS will not treat recipients as its customers by virtue of their receiving the report. The investments or services contained or referred to in this report may not besuitable for you and it is recommended that you consult an independent investment advisor if you are in doubt about such investments or investment services. Nothing in this reportconstitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your individual circumstances or otherwiseconstitutes a personal recommendation to you. CS does not offer advice on the tax consequences of investment and you are advised to contact an independent tax adviser. Pleasenote in particular that the bases and levels of taxation may change.CS believes the information and opinions in the Disclosure Appendix of this report are accurate and complete. Information and opinions presented in the other sections of the reportwere obtained or derived from sources CS believes are reliable, but CS makes no representations as to their accuracy or completeness. Additional information is available uponrequest. CS accepts no liability for loss arising from the use of the material presented in this report, except that this exclusion of liability does not apply to the extent that liability arisesunder specific statutes or regulations applicable to CS. This report is not to be relied upon in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment. CS may have issued, and may inthe future issue, a trading call regarding this security. Trading calls are short term trading opportunities based on market events and catalysts, while stock ratings reflect investmentrecommendations based on expected total return over a 12-month period as defined in the disclosure section. Because trading calls and stock ratings reflect different assumptions andanalytical methods, trading calls may differ directionally from the stock rating. In addition, CS may have issued, and may in the future issue, other reports that are inconsistent with, andreach different conclusions from, the information presented in this report. Those reports reflect the different assumptions, views and analytical methods of the analysts who preparedthem and CS is under no obligation to ensure that such other reports are brought to the attention of any recipient of this report. CS is involved in many businesses that relate tocompanies mentioned in this report. These businesses include specialized trading, risk arbitrage, market making, and other proprietary trading.Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future performance, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding futureperformance. Information, opinions and estimates contained in this report reflect a judgement at its original date of publication by CS and are subject to change without notice. Theprice, value of and income from any of the securities or financial instruments mentioned in this report can fall as well as rise. The value of securities and financial instruments is subjectto exchange rate fluctuation that may have a positive or adverse effect on the price or income of such securities or financial instruments. Investors in securities such as ADRs, thevalues of which are influenced by currency volatility, effectively assume this risk.Structured securities are complex instruments, typically involve a high degree of risk and are intended for sale only to sophisticated investors who are capable of understanding andassuming the risks involved. The market value of any structured security may be affected by changes in economic, financial and political factors (including, but not limited to, spot andforward interest and exchange rates), time to maturity, market conditions and volatility, and the credit quality of any issuer or reference issuer. Any investor interested in purchasing astructured product should conduct their own investigation and analysis of the product and consult with their own professional advisers as to the risks involved in making such a purchase.Some investments discussed in this report have a high level of volatility. High volatility investments may experience sudden and large falls in their value causing losses when thatinvestment is realised. Those losses may equal your original investment. Indeed, in the case of some investments the potential losses may exceed the amount of initial investment, insuch circumstances you may be required to pay more money to support those losses. Income yields from investments may fluctuate and, in consequence, initial capital paid to makethe investment may be used as part of that income yield. Some investments may not be readily realisable and it may be difficult to sell or realise those investments, similarly it mayprove difficult for you to obtain reliable information about the value, or risks, to which such an investment is exposed.This report may provide the addresses of, or contain hyperlinks to, websites. Except to the extent to which the report refers to website material of CS, CS has not reviewed the linkedsite and takes no responsibility for the content contained therein. Such address or hyperlink (including addresses or hyperlinks to CSs own website material) is provided solely for yourconvenience and information and the content of the linked site does not in any way form part of this document. Accessing such website or following such link through this report orCSs website shall be at your own risk.This report is issued and distributed in Europe (except Switzerland) by Credit Suisse Securities (Europe) Limited, One Cabot Square, London E14 4QJ, England, which is regulated in

    the United Kingdom by The Financial Services Authority (FSA). This report is being distributed in Germany by Credit Suisse Securities (Europe) Limited Niederlassung Frankfurt amMain regulated by the Bundesanstalt fuer Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht ("BaFin"). This report is being distributed in the United States by Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC ; inSwitzerland by Credit Suisse AG; in Canada by Credit Suisse Securities (Canada), Inc.; in Brazil by Banco de Investimentos Credit Suisse (Brasil) S.A. or its affiliates; in Mexico byBanco Credit Suisse (Mxico), S.A. (transactions related to the securities mentioned in this report will only be effected in compliance with applicable regulation); in Japan by CreditSuisse Securities (Japan) Limited, Financial Instrument Firm, Director-General of Kanto Local Finance Bureau (Kinsho) No. 66, a member of Japan Securities Dealers Association,The Financial Futures Association of Japan, Japan Securities Investment Advisers Association; elsewhere in Asia/Pacific by whichever of the following is the appropriately authorisedentity in the relevant jurisdiction: Credit Suisse (Hong Kong) Limited, Credit Suisse Equities (Australia) Limited , Credit Suisse Securities (Thailand) Limited, Credit Suisse Securities(Malaysia) Sdn Bhd, Credit Suisse AG, Singapore Branch, Credit Suisse Securities (India) Private Limited regulated by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (registration Nos.INB230970637; INF230970637; INB010970631; INF010970631), having registered address at 9th Floor, Ceejay House,Dr.A.B. Road, Worli, Mumbai - 18, India, T- +91-22 67773777, Credit Suisse Securities (Europe) Limited, Seoul Branch, Credit Suisse AG, Taipei Securities Branch, PT Credit Suisse Securities Indonesia, and elsewhere in the world by therelevant authorised affiliate of the above. Research on Taiwanese securities produced by Credit Suisse AG, Taipei Securities Branch has been prepared by a registered SeniorBusiness Person. Research provided to residents of Malaysia is authorised by the Head of Research for Credit Suisse Securities (Malaysia) Sdn. Bhd., to whom they should directany queries on +603 2723 2020.In jurisdictions where CS is not already registered or licensed to trade in securities, transactions will only be effected in accordance with applicable securities legislation, which will varyfrom jurisdiction to jurisdiction and may require that the trade be made in accordance with applicable exemptions from registration or licensing requirements. Non-U.S. customerswishing to effect a transaction should contact a CS entity in their local jurisdiction unless governing law permits otherwise. U.S. customers wishing to effect a transaction should do soonly by contacting a representative at Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC in the U.S.Please note that this report was originally prepared and issued by CS for distribution to their market professional and institutional investor customers. Recipients who are not market

    professional or institutional investor customers of CS should seek the advice of their independent financial advisor prior to taking any investment decision based on this report or forany necessary explanation of its contents. This research may relate to investments or services of a person outside of the UK or to other matters which are not regulated by the FSA orin respect of which the protections of the FSA for private customers and/or the UK compensation scheme may not be available, and further details as to where this may be the caseare available upon request in respect of this report.Any Nielsen Media Research material contained in this report represents Nielsen Media Research's estimates and does not represent facts. NMR has neither reviewed nor approvedthis report and/or any of the statements made herein.If this report is being distributed by a financial institution other than Credit Suisse AG, or its affiliates, that financial institution is solely responsible for distribution. Clients of thatinstitution should contact that institution to effect a transaction in the securities mentioned in this report or require further information. This report does not constitute investment adviceby Credit Suisse to the clients of the distributing financial institution, and neither Credit Suisse AG, its affiliates, and their respective officers, directors and employees accept anyliability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from their use of this report or its content.Copyright 2011 CREDIT SUISSE AG and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    CREDIT SUISSE (Hong Kong) LimitedAsia/Pacific: +852 2101-6000