MORO SOCIETIES IN THE PHILIPPINES BEFORE AND ......2018/10/12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - Patricio...

MORO SOCIETIESIN THE PHILIPPINES

BEFORE ANDAFTER THE 2017MARAWI CRISIS

BACKGROUND

EXTENT OF DEVASTATION

IMPACT

Group KIA Wounded/Dis-placed

Armed Forcesof thePhilippines

165 out of3,000deployed

1,4000 (1 missing)

Mautes 974 out of1,000estimatedforcedeployed

1 captured

Civilians 87 (40 due toillness

359,680 displaced(38.5% of totalprovincialpopulation =933,260)

MAUTE ABU SAYYAF ISIS?

ALLIES – REBELGROUPS(MNLF/ MILF)

WARLORDS, CONGRESSMEN, PRESIDENT

LOCAL MAYORS• Fajad Salic, former Marawi mayor (uncle-in-

law of Mautes)

• Maute financier

• Maute attack “a revenge attack againstthe incumbent mayor of Marawi by agroup of local politicians who lost the2016 elections.”

• involved in drug trade

• Omar Ali Solitarioformer Marawi mayor, formercommander of the Moro National LiberationFront

• involved in drug trade (P10 million drugsconfiscated by police in June 2017)

• suspected Maute ally (role as negotiatorrevoked)

• The Maute Network(in the military’s eyes)

ISIS

IsnilonHapilon

Cayamoraand Farhana

Maute

MayorsLucky

Seven ClubDrug Queen

ofMindanao

DrugSyndicates

MoroIslamic

LiberationFront

MoroNational

LiberationFront

Abdullahand

OmarMaute

Cousins,nephew,in-lawsand kin,Mayors

Muslimyouth

CommunityAbu

Sayyaf

Bangsamoro IslamicFreedomFighters

JemmahIslamiya

ORANG BESAR

THE MUSLIMSTRONGMAN(A 1969“SURVEY”)

Problem Datu Mayor Imam

Family relations x x

Agrarian problems x x

Who to vote for x x

Boundary disputes x x

Law violations x x

Financial problems x

Agriculturalproblems

x x

Hajj and religiousmatters

x

Health/Sanitation x x

Plant/animal pest x x

Others x x

MORO REBELLION

MORO ISLAMIC LIBERATION FRONT

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PERCENT WITH VERY MUCH TRUST IN SPECIFIC LAW ENFORCERS, MOROPROVINCES (%)

Official/Leader

Total Lanao delSur

Maguindanao Sulu Tawi-Tawi Lanao delNorte

Barangaycaptain

60 54 76 62 71 50

Mayor 59 35 75 57 69 53

Local police 42 18 56 47 63 43

Military 38 11 42 45 70 36

Shariah courts 36 38 46 51 48 24

Lawyers 30 9 47 37 45 23

Judges 28 6 45 41 43 22

Prosecutors 28 4 46 38 47 20

Secular courts 27 5 41 39 38 24

INSTITUTIONS WHICH FAMILIES INVOLVED IN RIDO GO TO SETTLE THECONFLICT

Province Localgovernment(LGU) officials

Military/Police Elders/TraditionalLeaders

LGU and elders/traditionalleaders

Basilan 44 7 3 3

Sultan Kudarat 5 - 3 10

Lanao del Norte 77 3 21 46

Tawi-Tawi 20 - 1 -

ZamboangaSibugay

37 8 20 3

Zamboanga delSur

24 5 18 10

Zamboanga delNorte

43 - 3 10

Sulu 62 2 12 16

North Cotabato 4 1 14 10

Total 312 (54%) 25 (4%) 81 (14%) 152 (26%)

PERCEPTION OF IMPACT OF JUDICIAL SYSTEM TO RESOLVE RIDO

Province Yes (%) No (%)

Zamboanga del Norte 57.1 40.5

Zamboanga del Sur 48.9 51.1

Zamboanga Sibugay 39.0 61.0

North Cotabato 30.0 70.0

Sultan Kudarat 38.9 61.1

Basilan 68.3 31.7

Lanao del Norte 51.3 48.7

Tawi-Tawi - 100

Sulu 571. 42.9

NARCO-POLITICSこのイメージは、現在表示できません。このイメージは、現在表示できません。


DRUG GROUPS IN THE PHILIPPINES

Region+ Geographical distribution ofneutralized drug groups (2008)

Geographical distribution ofneutralized drug groups (2009)

National CapitalRegion

6 57

Luzon 20 85

Visayas 5 49

ARMM 0 6

Rest of Mindanao 6 51

LANAO DEL SUR’S SHADOWECONOMY

• Lanao del Sur central site of drugprocessing and distribution ofmethamphetamine (shabu)

• Marawi – processing site of high-grade shabu

• Profitable business/better earningoccupation: ($3.00 sachet anddaily average of 20 sachets earnpusher US$60/day)

• Family affair




NARCO-POLITICS

• In 2012, 88% unrecorded andun-taxed shadow economyconstitutes 88% of ARMM’sannual generated revenue(total: P600M)

• Not a single drug conviction in 5ARMM provinces in the last 15years

• Lanao del Sur’s ”Lucky SevenClub”


RIDOANDDRUGS


MINDANAO SOCIAL CONDITION

Mindanao Regions Poverty Incidence amongPopulation

Autonomous Region for MuslimMindanao

59%

SoCSarGen 44.5

Caraga 43%

Northern Mindanao 40.9%

Zamboanga Peninsula 39%

Davao Region 26.7%

Philippines 26.3%


GUN OWNERSHIP

Categories ARMM NorthernMindanao

Population(2007))

4.1 million 3.9 million

Licensed guns 20,203 26,514

Illegal guns 114,189 42,231

Total guns 134,392 68,745

FIREARMS NATIONWIDE AND PERCENTAGE SHAREPER ISLAND GROUP

Location Firearms Percent

Luzon 1.387 million 73

Visayas 152,000 8

Mindanao 361,000 19

Philippines 1.9 million 100


FIREARMS NATIONWIDE AND PERCENTAGESHARE PER ISLAND GROUP

Location Firearms Percent

Luzon 1.387 million 73

Visayas 152,000 8

Mindanao 361,000 19

Philippines 1.9 million 100

ILLICIT GUNS DISTRIBUTION, MINDANAO,2009/2010 (ESTIMATES)

Location Threat (Rebel)Groups (2009)

Percentage toest. total

Crime Groups(2009)

Percentage toest. total

Estimated total Illicit Guns(2010)

ARMM 5,179 4.5 1,440 1.26 114,189

Central Mindanao 2,984 4.75 360 0.57 62,718

Northern Mindanao 1,737 4.11 490 1.16 42,231

Davao Provinces 1,109 2.25 30 0.06 49,178

Southwestern Mindanao 750 1.63 80 0.17 45,974

Caraga 381 0.86 180 0.40 43,960

Mindanao 12,140 3.38 2,580 0.72 358, 250

Philippines 15,640 0.8 4,980 0.26 1,905679

• The Datu-politicoNetwork

ISIS

IsnilonHapilon

Mayors FahurSalic andSolitario

MayorsLucky Seven

ClubDrug Queen of

Mindanao

DrugSyndicates

MoroIslamic

LiberationFront

MoroNational

LiberationFront

Cousins,nephew,in-lawsand kin,

FarhanaMaute

Muslimyouth andstudents Community

AbuSayyaf

BangsamoroIslamic

FreedomFighters

JemmahIslamiya

Omarand

AbdullahMaute

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