Moray CPBBudget and Prevention

Calum Elliot

March 2013

Overview

• Wider context

• Cabinet priorities for the budget

• Public Sector Reform

• Prevention

Scottish Context

• Reducing budget allocations

• New tax and borrowing powers

• Referendum

• Reputation for Competence

Total Consolidation Plans (£bn)

2348

5981

104

18

2126

26

27

2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16

Spending Tax

Spending Review 2010 period

Longer and deeper consolidation

Source: Table 1.4 Autumn Statement 2012

Scotland Act 2012 - Financial provisions

Act introduces:

1. Scottish rate of income tax in place of part of UK income tax2. Devolution of stamp duty land tax and landfill tax 3. Power to introduce new Scotland-only taxes 4. New capital and revenue borrowing powers 5. Scottish cash reserve to manage fluctuations around

devolved tax receipts 6. New institutional framework.

Also planned (not in Act): offsetting reduction in Scottish block grant to take account of tax receipts

20202015 20172012

Stamp Duty and Landfill

Tax Devolved

Scottish Rate of Income Tax

(Transition Period)

Scottish Rate of Income Tax (Full Implementation)

Fiscal Consolidation

Complete

UK Spending Review 2013 (2 years only)

Capital Borrowing Permitted

General Election

ReferendumScottish

Parliament Election

Council Tax Benefit

Devolved

Timeline in Context

Period 1: Most certain

Period 2: Early indications

Period 3: Various contributing factors to take into account

? ? ? ? ? ? ?

? ?

Tax Revenues Raised in Scotland

Tax Revenues 2010/11

-

10

20

30

40

50

60

Current FundingFramework

Scotland BillProposals

Full FiscalResponsibility in

UK

Independence

Sco

ttis

h T

ax R

even

ue (

£ b

illio

n)

Devolved Reserved

Cabinet Priorities for the Budget

• Economic growth

• Capital investment

• Employment

• Green investment

• Fairness

• Public Sector Reform

• Securing increased fiscal powers

Christie Commission

“The greatest challenge facing public services is to combat the negative outcomes for individuals and communities arising from deep-rooted inequalities”

The future?

• We consider how to use the total resource

• We spend less time and money fixing failure because we don’t need to

• We change the map of deprivation

• We support the economy and the delivery of social ambitions

• And – as officials - we have a reputation for enabling solutions

Public Sector Reform

• Person centred• Asset based• Values driven

• Partnership• Workforce and leadership• Improving performance• Action on Prevention

Partnership

Actions include:• New arrangements for Community Planning • Integrating Health and Social Care provision• Community Empowerment and Renewal Bill• Introducing legal duty to work together to place

the child at the centre of service delivery planning

People

Actions include:•Community capability and capacity

•Workforce and leadership development

•Living Wage and pay restraint

Improving performancesix (hard) questions

• Do we all know what we are trying to achieve?• Are we prioritising most effective improvements?• Is everyone clear about how we aim to secure

improvement?• Are we measuring and reporting progress?• Do we know what to do when progress is slow?• Are we identifying and spreading learning?

Prevention

• How much effort and money are we investing in:

1. Making good things happen

2. Stopping bad things happening

3. Fixing things that have gone wrong

• Aim – to invest in 2 – to reduce 3 – which improves outcomes and allows us to maintain 1

Prevention

• Change Funds

• Early Years Collaborative

• Advisory Group on Prevention•Coherent story•Evidence•Tools•Sharing experience•Challenge

Every community planning partnership will have a prevention

plan

• Are we investing in the activities we know will reduce future demand on public services and improve outcomes?

• Can we demonstrate that we are reducing future need and improving outcomes?

• Are we controlling costs and releasing savings?