Monthly and Annual Real Sales Growth (%)...Retail Sales Survey 2 Graph 3 Real Sales Growth of...
Transcript of Monthly and Annual Real Sales Growth (%)...Retail Sales Survey 2 Graph 3 Real Sales Growth of...
1 Retail Sales Survey
Graph 1 Real Retail Sales Index Graph 2 Monthly and Annual Real Sales Growth (%)
2 Retail Sales Survey
Graph 3 Real Sales Growth of Commodity Groups (%, yoy)
Figure 1 July 2019 Real Sales Growth* by Region (%, yoy)
3 Retail Sales Survey
4 Retail Sales Survey
Appendix Graph
5 Retail Sales Survey
Appendix Table
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul* Jun Jul*
Motor vehicles part and Accessories 131.8 130.6 132.0 130.4 132.3 132.2 129.0 128.5 130.1 130.4 132.1 135.5 144.2 148.9 159.3 164.1 165.9 158.7 160.0 (7.2) 1.3
Food, Beverages, and Tobacco 213.6 212.0 224.5 232.1 253.1 260.9 232.0 231.3 225.1 221.0 226.7 256.5 232.6 234.9 248.8 245.6 269.2 252.0 235.5 (17.2) (16.5)
Automotive Fuels 79.4 75.8 82.4 88.9 88.2 85.4 89.7 90.9 92.5 96.3 96.6 95.0 88.3 84.5 85.6 88.8 88.9 76.1 80.5 (12.8) 4.4
Information & Communication Equipment 382.0 357.2 350.8 359.1 366.2 360.6 340.8 318.8 323.1 312.9 330.2 364.3 327.7 326.2 328.8 330.8 331.2 331.0 322.1 (0.2) (9.0)
Other Household Equipment 155.0 155.4 162.1 163.3 171.0 171.6 166.2 169.3 165.6 166.1 164.0 173.4 167.7 165.1 175.3 180.5 182.9 180.8 177.9 (2.1) (2.9)
Cultural and Recreation Goods 112.3 109.8 109.8 118.3 117.2 123.8 123.3 121.6 118.1 122.5 123.7 134.3 136.4 139.0 125.7 122.5 118.4 112.9 115.6 (5.5) 2.6
Other Goods 136.1 137.4 152.2 154.7 191.6 213.9 184.6 189.4 189.6 193.6 202.3 210.8 205.6 194.5 216.1 214.1 288.8 232.3 206.7 (56.5) (25.5)
- o/w Clothing 142.0 138.0 140.7 144.9 167.2 186.2 174.6 173.4 178.4 173.2 179.7 187.3 181.6 184.5 198.6 177.9 240.6 215.5 199.1 (25.1) (16.4)
TOTAL INDEX 203.5 200.0 209.1 215.0 232.0 237.8 216.0 214.3 210.8 208.1 213.7 236.3 218.1 218.2 230.2 229.3 249.8 233.6 221.0 (16.2) (12.6)
*) preliminary figure
2018 2019 ChangesDESCRIPTION
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul* Jun Jul*
Motor vehicles part and Accessories 3.7 9.5 11.0 8.4 8.3 1.1 1.6 0.1 1.3 2.1 2.0 3.7 9.4 14.0 20.7 25.8 25.4 20.0 24.0 (5.4) 4.0
Food, Beverages, and Tobacco 2.0 4.9 6.8 7.7 11.3 6.6 5.0 8.1 6.1 3.3 3.7 9.1 8.9 10.8 10.9 5.8 6.4 -3.4 1.5 (9.8) 4.9
Automotive Fuels 4.0 -0.7 5.9 11.5 9.3 10.7 15.4 12.2 17.5 17.9 18.0 13.7 11.1 11.5 3.9 -0.1 0.8 -10.9 -10.2 (11.7) 0.7
Information & Communication Equipment -12.7 -11.7 -16.3 -12.7 -9.5 -14.4 -13.9 -13.2 -13.7 -15.7 -15.0 -10.3 -14.2 -8.7 -6.3 -7.9 -9.6 -8.2 -5.5 1.4 2.7
Other Household Equipment -10.0 -4.1 0.1 2.4 6.7 -0.5 5.3 11.8 8.1 7.7 6.2 8.4 8.2 6.2 8.2 10.5 7.0 5.4 7.1 (1.6) 1.7
Cultural and Recreation Goods 3.1 5.6 2.2 5.2 0.4 3.7 5.6 3.4 4.3 7.5 10.9 14.4 21.5 26.5 14.5 3.6 1.0 -8.8 -6.3 (9.8) 2.5
Other Goods 5.0 16.2 20.0 21.4 34.9 8.1 25.9 36.5 43.0 44.3 51.2 48.3 51.1 41.6 42.0 38.4 50.7 8.6 12.0 (42.1) 3.4
- o/w Clothing 5.0 10.2 7.9 10.0 16.5 -11.2 13.0 20.4 28.1 24.6 29.0 27.9 27.9 33.7 41.2 22.8 43.9 15.8 14.0 (28.2) (1.7)
TOTAL INDEX -1.8 1.5 2.5 4.1 8.3 2.3 2.9 6.1 4.8 2.9 3.4 7.7 7.2 9.1 10.1 6.7 7.7 -1.8 2.3 (9.5) 4.1
*) preliminary figure
2018 Changes2019DESCRIPTION
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul* Jun Jul*
Motor vehicles part and Accessories 0.9 -0.9 1.1 -1.2 1.5 0.0 -2.4 -0.4 1.2 0.2 1.3 2.6 6.4 3.3 7.0 3.0 1.1 -4.3 0.8 (5.4) 5.1
Food, Beverages, and Tobacco -9.1 -0.8 5.9 3.4 9.0 3.1 -11.1 -0.3 -2.7 -1.8 2.6 13.1 -9.3 1.0 5.9 -1.3 9.6 -6.4 -6.5 (16.0) (0.2)
Automotive Fuels -4.9 -4.6 8.8 7.9 -0.8 -3.2 5.0 1.4 1.7 4.2 0.2 -1.6 -7.1 -4.3 1.3 3.8 0.1 -14.4 5.8 (14.5) 20.2
Information & Communication Equipment -5.9 -6.5 -1.8 2.4 2.0 -1.5 -5.5 -6.5 1.3 -3.2 5.5 10.3 -10.0 -0.5 0.8 0.6 0.1 -0.1 -2.7 (0.2) (2.7)
Other Household Equipment -3.1 0.3 4.3 0.8 4.7 0.4 -3.2 1.9 -2.2 0.3 -1.3 5.7 -3.3 -1.5 6.2 3.0 1.3 -1.1 -1.6 (2.5) (0.5)
Cultural and Recreation Goods -4.3 -2.2 0.0 7.7 -0.9 5.6 -0.4 -1.3 -2.9 3.7 1.0 8.6 1.6 1.9 -9.5 -2.5 -3.4 -4.6 2.3 (1.2) 7.0
Other Goods -4.3 0.9 10.8 1.7 23.8 11.6 -13.7 2.6 0.1 2.1 4.5 4.2 -2.5 -5.4 11.1 -0.9 34.9 -19.6 -11.0 (54.5) 8.6
- o/w Clothing -3.0 -2.9 2.0 3.0 15.4 11.4 -6.2 -0.7 2.9 -3.0 3.8 4.2 -3.0 1.6 7.7 -10.4 35.2 -10.4 -7.6 (45.7) 2.8
TOTAL INDEX -7.3 -1.7 4.5 2.8 7.9 2.5 -9.2 -0.8 -1.6 -1.3 2.7 10.6 -7.7 0.0 5.5 -0.4 8.9 -6.5 -5.4 (15.4) 1.1
*) preliminary figure
2018 Changes2019DESCRIPTION
Changes
I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II Q II - Q I
Motor vehicles part and Accessories 1.2 4.5 0.4 2.2 -4.1 3.3 -0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 -0.5 1.4 5.6 -0.1
Food, Beverages, and Tobacco -0.1 4.2 -3.7 3.4 -1.1 5.2 -4.6 3.5 -1.3 5.2 -4.7 4.6 -0.8 0.6
Automotive Fuels -0.4 -4.3 1.0 0.6 -0.9 -0.2 0.7 2.0 -0.3 1.3 2.7 0.9 -3.3 -3.5
Information & Communication Equipment 2.8 1.1 -1.8 4.8 -2.8 0.2 -3.8 2.8 -4.7 0.9 -3.5 4.2 -3.2 0.2
Other Household Equipment -4.4 4.3 -1.9 3.0 -4.3 2.2 -3.8 1.5 0.5 2.0 -1.2 1.6 0.5 1.1
Cultural and Recreation Goods -0.2 3.8 -0.2 0.5 -2.7 3.6 -1.7 1.2 -2.2 4.1 -1.5 4.4 -2.0 -3.5
Other Goods -4.6 11.0 -8.4 2.1 -5.4 17.1 -11.9 2.4 2.5 12.4 -3.7 3.6 1.1 4.8
- o/w Clothing -4.2 10.9 -7.6 1.9 -4.2 18.7 -12.1 1.7 -1.3 9.9 -1.3 1.7 2.1 4.8
TOTAL INDEX -0.2 3.8 -3.3 3.4 -2.1 4.5 -4.6 3.0 -1.5 4.4 -3.9 4.0 -0.7 0.7
20192016 2017 2018DESCRIPTION
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul* Jun Jul*
Jakarta 119.2 97.7 91.6 100.3 128.3 119.2 97.7 93.9 104.0 108.6 107.3 131.7 98.7 98.4 101.2 108.9 145.9 131.9 116.4 (14.0) (15.5)
Bandung 281.4 270.3 269.8 271.4 269.2 275.9 263.6 263.1 249.0 232.0 229.3 274.3 242.9 240.5 242.4 244.8 253.1 253.0 250.5 (0.1) (2.5)
Surabaya 169.2 181.9 204.2 212.4 218.4 230.7 223.9 228.1 231.4 237.3 246.2 252.0 255.8 282.9 307.9 282.5 278.0 273.2 258.1 (4.8) (15.2)
Medan 204.5 207.0 200.9 201.3 214.5 228.1 220.5 220.4 215.5 207.7 207.4 222.0 212.8 208.8 205.9 199.1 208.9 200.2 194.2 (8.6) (6.0)
Semarang ** 150.0 148.1 167.1 183.7 265.1 241.8 169.5 161.7 158.9 165.7 174.4 181.5 173.6 153.7 174.6 208.9 293.9 211.9 180.9 (82.0) (31.0)
Banjarmasin 142.9 122.6 124.6 116.2 131.4 101.5 100.7 103.2 105.9 109.4 111.3 115.02 120.39 117.55 121.38 120.85 125.13 128.32 136.01 3.2 7.7
Makasar 132.9 133.8 130.6 123.7 133.4 138.4 131.9 133.8 156.2 168.0 163.1 183.4 179.0 159.7 168.4 175.5 188.8 160.8 170.3 (28.1) 9.5
Manado 126.8 119.2 120.1 124.7 144.0 144.9 153.8 120.6 131.1 132.9 144.4 178.0 159.7 157.4 160.9 169.0 177.6 179.3 179.0 1.7 (0.3)
Denpasar 139.6 136.0 140.6 141.3 143.0 141.5 140.1 140.1 141.9 142.0 141.9 145.0 141.9 135.5 137.1 135.3 137.4 136.9 137.5 (0.5) 0.6
TOTAL INDEX 203.5 200.0 209.1 215.0 232.0 237.8 216.0 214.3 210.8 208.1 213.7 236.3 218.1 218.2 230.2 229.3 249.8 233.6 221.0 (16.2) (12.6)
*) preliminary figure
**) Incl. Semarang and Purwokerto
Changes2018 2019CITY
6 Retail Sales Survey
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul* Jun Jul*
Jakarta 17.6 24.1 -1.8 4.6 26.7 -14.2 2.9 -2.4 -0.1 10.5 -5.2 -4.6 -17.2 0.7 10.5 8.6 13.7 10.6 19.1 (3.1) 8.5
Bandung -10.1 -10.2 -11.5 -11.7 -15.2 -14.1 -12.8 -10.1 -14.6 -20.2 -22.2 -11.6 -13.7 -11.0 -10.2 -9.8 -6.0 -8.3 -5.0 (2.3) 3.4
Surabaya 28.3 33.0 44.4 47.6 52.5 65.2 55.4 52.8 52.6 49.8 49.1 51.7 51.2 55.6 50.8 33.0 27.3 18.4 15.3 (8.9) (3.2)
Medan 5.9 8.1 5.8 4.1 8.3 6.9 3.8 5.1 4.3 1.8 3.5 6.7 4.1 0.9 2.5 -1.1 -2.6 -12.2 -11.9 (9.6) 0.3
Semarang ** -6.8 10.0 13.2 17.5 37.9 -6.1 -5.0 -5.8 -3.9 7.0 16.9 4.2 15.8 3.8 4.5 13.7 10.9 -12.4 6.7 (23.3) 19.1
Banjarmasin 54.4 34.3 29.6 14.7 34.6 -10.9 4.2 8.0 11.3 16.0 12.1 -16.6 -15.7 -4.1 -2.5 4.0 -4.8 26.4 35.1 31.2 8.7
Makasar 5.5 8.3 4.7 -1.6 4.6 7.3 2.9 3.5 19.7 27.8 24.1 38.1 34.7 19.4 28.9 41.8 41.5 16.1 29.1 (25.4) 13.0
Manado -13.2 -14.2 -18.5 -17.2 -7.0 -13.1 2.8 -19.8 -12.8 -13.7 -5.4 4.0 26.0 32.1 34.0 35.6 23.3 23.8 16.4 0.4 (7.4)
Denpasar -13.3 -11.3 -11.4 -15.4 -10.5 -5.2 -21.1 -22.6 -4.1 -6.4 -7.8 1.7 1.7 -0.4 -2.5 -4.3 -3.9 -3.3 -1.9 0.6 1.4
TOTAL INDEX -1.8 1.5 2.5 4.1 8.3 2.3 2.9 6.1 4.8 2.9 3.4 7.7 7.2 9.1 10.1 6.7 7.7 -1.8 2.3 (9.5) 4.1
*) preliminary figure
**) Incl. Semarang and Purwokerto
20192018Changes
CITY
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul* Jun Jul*
Jakarta -13.7 -18.0 -6.3 9.6 27.9 -7.1 -18.0 -3.9 10.8 4.4 -1.3 22.8 -25.1 -0.3 2.8 7.7 33.9 -9.6 -11.7 (43.5) (2.1)
Bandung -9.4 -4.0 -0.2 0.6 -0.8 2.5 -4.5 -0.2 -5.4 -6.8 -1.2 19.7 -11.5 -1.0 0.8 1.0 3.4 0.0 -1.0 (3.4) (0.9)
Surabaya 1.8 7.5 12.3 4.0 2.8 5.6 -3.0 1.9 1.4 2.5 3.8 2.3 1.5 10.6 8.8 -8.3 -1.6 -1.7 -5.6 (0.1) (3.8)
Medan -1.8 1.3 -3.0 0.2 6.6 6.3 -3.3 0.0 -2.2 -3.6 -0.1 7.0 -4.1 -1.9 -1.4 -3.3 4.9 -4.1 -3.0 (9.0) 1.1
Semarang ** -13.9 -1.2 12.8 10.0 44.3 -8.8 -29.9 -4.6 -1.7 4.3 5.3 4.0 -4.3 -11.5 13.6 19.7 40.7 -27.9 -14.6 (68.6) 13.3
Banjarmasin 3.6 -14.2 1.6 -6.7 13.0 -22.7 -0.8 2.5 2.6 3.3 1.8 3.3 4.7 -2.4 3.3 -0.4 3.5 2.6 6.0 (1.0) 3.4
Makasar 0.1 0.7 -2.4 -5.3 7.8 3.8 -4.7 1.4 16.7 7.6 -2.9 12.4 -2.4 -10.7 5.4 4.2 7.6 -14.9 5.9 (22.5) 20.8
Manado -25.9 -6.0 0.7 3.8 15.5 0.6 6.2 -21.6 8.7 1.4 8.6 23.3 -10.3 -1.4 2.2 5.1 5.1 1.0 -0.2 (4.1) (1.1)
Denpasar -2.2 -2.6 3.4 0.5 1.2 -1.0 -1.0 0.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 2.2 -2.2 -4.5 1.2 -1.3 1.6 -0.4 0.4 (1.9) 0.8
TOTAL INDEX -7.3 -1.7 4.5 2.8 7.9 2.5 -9.2 -0.8 -1.6 -1.3 2.7 10.6 -7.7 0.0 5.5 -0.4 8.9 -6.5 -5.4 (15.4) 1.1
*) preliminary figure
**) Incl. Semarang and Purwokerto
Changes2018 2019CITY
Changes
I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II Q II - Q I
Jakarta -9.4 11.3 -3.1 2.6 30.9 32.6 31.4 44.2 13.3 5.7 0.1 0.2 -2.0 11.0
Bandung 29.9 20.6 10.5 13.3 6.2 6.0 0.4 -1.2 -10.6 -13.7 -12.5 -18.0 -11.6 -8.0
Surabaya -2.5 -2.6 3.7 3.2 -1.8 1.8 4.1 13.7 35.2 55.1 53.6 50.2 52.5 26.3
Medan 3.2 2.1 7.4 0.7 -1.8 4.3 1.3 6.0 6.6 6.4 4.4 4.0 2.5 -5.3
Semarang ** -14.2 9.5 19.8 6.7 2.6 9.2 -2.2 -1.4 5.5 16.4 -4.9 9.4 8.0 4.1
Banjarmasin -38.4 -38.1 -35.6 -21.2 32.9 45.7 43.4 57.1 39.4 12.8 7.9 3.8 -7.5 8.5
Makasar -1.2 0.2 3.0 4.4 4.0 4.1 4.1 5.2 6.2 3.4 8.7 30.0 27.7 33.2
Manado -18.3 -26.5 -30.2 -22.8 -13.2 -2.8 -5.3 -9.0 -15.3 -12.4 -9.9 -5.0 30.7 27.6
Denpasar -20.0 11.9 15.3 -0.6 -2.6 -7.8 -5.6 -8.2 -12.0 -10.4 -15.9 -4.2 -0.4 -3.8
TOTAL INDEX 11.5 13.7 9.4 9.5 4.8 4.9 0.2 1.8 0.7 4.9 4.6 4.7 8.8 4.2
*) preliminary figure
**) Incl. Semarang and Purwokerto
2016 2017 2018 2019CITY
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
General Price Expectations
- Next 3 months 155.1 164.0 169.0 153.7 152.0 135.8 140.2 144.3 159.3 163.9 160.1 156.9 154.3 153.9 174.6 160.5 138.3 131.4
- Next 6 months 161.5 149.2 150.8 163.1 165.8 170.9 177.8 177.3 173.3 172.4 161.5 168.0 157.9 155.3 152.8 157.1 155.0 163.1
Sales Expectations
- Next 3 months 142.2 153.7 161.2 140.0 140.2 128.4 140.4 139.7 165.9 156.0 143.3 141.3 140.7 155.1 154.9 143.0 136.3 138.0
- Next 6 months 140.3 147.6 141.1 146.2 140.7 160.3 161.6 148.3 143.8 141.7 149.3 148.8 136.3 151.3 149.9 153.7 144.5 162.5
2018 2019VARIABLES
7 Retail Sales Survey