Monitoringthe Public Opinion: a Serendipity Effect of the ... · Chito Guala, director of OMERO,...
Transcript of Monitoringthe Public Opinion: a Serendipity Effect of the ... · Chito Guala, director of OMERO,...
The Olympic Legacy: People, Place, Enterprise
University of Greenwich, May 8th&9th, 2008
Monitoring the Public Opinion: a Serendipity Effect
of the Winter Olympic Games Torino 2006
(longitudinal survey 2002-2007)
Chito Guala, director of OMERO, University of Torino
OMERO includes also L. Bobbio, P. Bondonio, E. Dansero, S. Scamuzzi, A.
Mela
OMERO (Olympics and Mega Events Research Observatory)
(University of Torino 2000-2008)
1 The project of a Cultural, Sports and Leisure District in the
Olympic Valleys: the new Foundation TOP (Torino Olympic
Park) is now working, as a Legacy of the Games
2 Olympic Communication and Citymarketing Strategy:
how to overcome the “One Company Town” stereotype
3 Territorial and Environmental Transformations (in the City
but especially in the Alp Valleys
4 Survey on Public Opinion in Torino & Valleys
Torino: from Nov. 2002 till December 2006: 4 polls before the Games, 2 after (900 interviews per year)
Alp Valleys: from Febr. 2003 till March 2006: 3 polls before the Games, 1 after (400 interviews per y.)
5 The Institutional Legacy & the Governance Networks
6 Monitoring the Legacy: the research is working, and deals
with TOP activities, the local economy, the “culture” tourism
Surveys & polls about the public opinion
tools: questionnaires, interviews, telephone polls
Tools for monitoring Olympics: national & local
Surveys before the bidding, during the event or after the nomination
panel studies and/or longitudinal surveys/polls
Referendumcompulsory or non-compulsory
propositive / confirmative / abrogative
Other researchabout the
main effects of the Games
Main effects studied
economics (new firms & jobs , tourism)
urban regeneration & city marketing
communication, Media, image & visibility of a Place
international repositioning of a city
urban planning and environment
re-building the local identity & culture
improving the social capital & governance
Monitoring the Olympic Experience:
a long tradition for cities hosting the Games
Polls: Lillehammer Winter 1994
2 samples (national: Norway, and local: Lillehammer)
Longitudinal surveys 1991-1994
Only 50% in favour in the first surveys
High favour after WG (80% national 88% in Lillehammer)
Difference between the high favour diffused among the
interviewed population and the lack of positive effects after
the games: the “intermezzo” syndrome
(source: Spilling, Lesio)
Polls: Atlanta Summer 19962 samples (national: Georgia and local: Atlanta)
9000 interviews from 1992 to 1996, 2 polls per year
In Atlanta a very simple questionnaire was used : ten questions using the
Likert Scale, with a questionnaire already used in Calgary Winter1988
in a research carried out by Ritchie
Some results:
1. before the Games high fears were diffused among the population, with
attention to traffic, inflation, security, expenses for the local community
2 after the Games the % of fears dramatically fell: only 1 item remained
steady, the security, because of a bomb explosion in the Olympic Park
Other research underlined:
1 limited urban regeneration in Atlanta downtown
2 limited improvement of the public transportation system
3 positive case of visibility for Atlanta and Georgia (repositioning)
(source: Mihalik, Juloya)
Polls: Nagano Winter 1998In 1997 a national survey on the possibilty of attending the Games
showed that :
1. the Japanese interviewed 1 year before the OG were uncertain :
2. only 3% said they would attend the Games
3. main fears dealt with logistics, transportation, accommodation
(source: Roper Poll 1997)
Polls and referendums: Salt Lake City Winter 2002
1. a referendum held in 1989 was in favour of the bidding competition
for the WG in 2002
2 in a post event research, those interviewed were strongly in favour
of having hosted the Games
3 In a post event research, Utah Tourism measured positive shifts in
tourism perception within key European markets after the OWG
(source: Hiller, Heinemann, Ritchie)
Calgary Winter Olympics 1988
“Each Olympic Games, while drawing on the legacy of its
forerunners, reflects a unique set of circumstances. The
characteristics of the host region and its people, the prevailing
international situation….all combine to produce a set of
impacts which can be anticipated but which are difficult to
predict accurately.”
(source: Guala, Turco, presentation at EASM Congress, 2007, Torino)
A longitudinal survey
“Olympulse” : in a Landmark longitudinal research (2000) on
the post-Olympic effects of the Calgary Games, Ritchie said:
Referendums Many referendums were against the participation
to the bid competition (source Chappelet, Preuss, OMERO Centre)
The recalled case of Salt Lake City shows that :
- A referendum (1989) was in favour of the Bid (majority of 57%)
- A post event survey confirmed a much more favourable judgement
The Swiss case shows conflicts between Municipalities and Cantons:
this internal opposition weakened the Confederation in organizing
the bidding and obtaining the nomination; after two positive
referendum in St. Moritz (1928, 1948), all the other referendum were
generally uncertain, or against the bidding (Valais, Interlaken, Davos).
Only in Sion a referendum (2002) was in favour; but, after that,
Sion was defeated by Torino at the last step of the competition
In Italy the Aosta Valley in 1991 held a referendum about the bidding
for the 1998 OWG : a large majority voted “no” (84.7%), rejecting the
regional law in favour of financing the Games.
Some findings from Torino 2006 survey Surprise: since 2002, people agree with the OWG, and is in
favour with the project of hosting the Games
2005 2004 2003 2002
Don't know 2% 2% 0% 4%
Agree 85% 80% 79% 79%
Slightly agree 9% 10% 17% 13%
Slightly disagree 2% 4% 3% 1%
Disagree 2% 4% 2% 3%
0,0%
20,0%
40,0%
60,0%
80,0%
100,0%
Survey
2005
Survey
2004
Survey
2003
Survey
2002
Slightlyagree
Agree
77 7782 79
4957 57
77 76 79 78
5349
54
88 87 90 87
7479
56
8883
87 84
69 72
0
25
50
75
100
ameliorism of
infrastructures
ameliorism of
sport facilities
increasing
fame and
visibility
abroad
tourism and
culture
development
new jobs, new
firms
new occasions
for the
stakeholders
preserving
nature and
enviroment
Survey 2005 Survey 2004 Survey 2003 Survey 2002
People understand that the Games represent a
catalyst of visibility, urban change, repositioning
Positive effects of the 2006 Games (surveys before)
Positive Effects linked to the Games
(answers: completely agree + sligthly agree)Comparison: the 2006 survey and the 4 survey before
93% 93%83%
73%
62% 58%
47%
82% 84% 80%
55%
82%
65%61%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
tourism and
culture
development
increasing
fame and
visibility
abroad
ameliorism of
sport facilities
preserving
nature and
enviroment
ameliorism of
infrastructures
new
occasions for
the
stakeholders
new jobs, new
firm
s
survey 2006 average before the Games
67 64 67
28
63
35
707066
72
32
69
42
7476 7670
63
34
68
45
8073 71
6359
25
62
35
76
0
25
50
75
100
heavy public
works before
the Games
traffic
problems
during the
Games
confusion,
crowding
during the
Games
excess
expenditure
of local
municipalities
Hazardous
investments
for privates
unusefull
sport facilities
enviromental
problems and
pollution
corruption
cases
survey 2005 survey 2004 survey 2003 survey 2002
People show many fears looking at the Games
Big expectations and big fears at the same time
Problems linked to the 2006 Games (surveys before)
The success of the 2006 OWG lowers the previous fears
After the Games. Problems emerging from the survey
The 2006 survey and the surveys before
(answers: completely agree + slightly agree)
43% 41% 40% 39% 36%
17% 15%9%
75% 71%65% 65% 66%
40%
30%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
corruption
cases
traffic
problems
during the
Games
excess
expenditure of
local
municipalities
unusefull sport
facilities
confusion
crowding
during the
Games
enviromental
problems and
pollution
hazardous
investm
ents
for privates
public safety
survey 2006 average before the Games
Serendipity effect: an unexpected optimism for the future
% of people confident that the positive effects of the Games
will be long lasting after the WOG (surveys 2002-2007)
43%
37%34%
51%53%
44%
18% 18%21%
6%
18%19%
0%
25%
50%
75%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Enduring
Only during the Games
Percentage of “right answers” to the questions about the
destination of the main building and facilities (survey 2007)
Problems about information: one year after the Games, there is a
lack of knowledge about the re-use of the Olympic facilities
70,5%
48,8%42,3%
28,0%
20,4% 20,2%16,7%
12,3% 10,2%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Stadio
Comunale
Olympic
village
(atheltes)
Palaghiaccio
Palaisozaki
Torino
Esposizioni
Olympic
village
(media)
Oval
Lingotto
Palavela
offices of the
Organizing
Committee
Participation: people were involved in the “Olympic athmosphere”
% of interviewed people that during the Games in Torino :
39%
58%62%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
joined exibitions and
festivals, and visited the
museums
visited the sport
facilities and the
Nation’s Houses
went to downtown in
occasion of the “white
nigths” during the Plays
Serendipity: a new way of considering the future of Torino
Do you think that Torino will overcome its difficulties (the Fiat
crisis) and develope new opportunities for its future ? (% of yes)
78%
96%
82%84%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2002 2003 2003 2004 2004 2005 2005 2006 2006 2007
% Yes
Why monitor the public opinion: a lesson from Torino
and a suggestion looking forward to London 2012
Monitoring the public opinion - means new tools for the governance, and contributes to
legitimate the public decision process and to plan the Legacy
- it creates discussion, attention, concerns among groups,
associations, individuals, political parties : this process facilitates
participation, and helps the creation of a new local identity
- it allows to re-define the community, to create a new image of
the Place, to “sell the territory” with a citymarketing strategy
- I would like to share with you our questionnaire for a survey
in Greenwich, that we all can use in a comparative analysis
thank you