Mondi Group Fixed Income Investor Presentation · Fixed Income Investor Presentation April 2016 . 2...
Transcript of Mondi Group Fixed Income Investor Presentation · Fixed Income Investor Presentation April 2016 . 2...
2
Agenda
Group Overview and strategy
Capital structure and financial policies
2015 financial results
Operational overview
Summary
Appendices
3
#1 Kraft paper #1 Industrial bags2 #3 Release liner
#2 Virgin containerboard #1 Uncoated fine paper #2 Extrusion coatings Europe
Mondi at a glance
1) Segment revenues, before elimination of inter-segment revenues 2) Also #1 industrial bags producer in North America
2015
Revenue1
&
ROCE
Products
25.5% 13.9% 10.7% 25.6% 30.1%
30%
€2,156m
29% 8%
23%
10%
€2,031m €1,469m €1,233m €652m
South Africa
29%
27% 19%
16%
9%
Packaging Paper Fibre Packaging Uncoated Fine Paper Consumer Packaging
Market
positions
South Africa
#1 BHKP
#1 White-top kraftliner
#1 Uncoated fine paper #1 Containerboard #3 Corrugated packaging Emerging Europe
4
622 574 699 767 957
15.0% 13.6%
15.3%
17.2%
20.5%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
ROCE
68.1 69.2 95.0 107.3 133.7
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR 18.4%
Underlying earnings per share
Consistent strategy delivering industry leading returns
Underlying operating profit and ROCE
€ million Euro cents per share
5
Robust financial position
● Financial policy focused on retaining
investment grade ratings
● Provides confidence and ability to invest
through the cycle
● Current credit ratings:
o Moody’s Baa2 (stable)
o S&P BBB (stable)
● Flexibility within current ratings
Strong cash flow generation and robust balance sheet provide financial flexibility
831 1,875 1,619 1,613 1,498
0.9x
2.0x
1.5x 1.4x
1.1x
(0.5)
-
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Net debt Net debt / EBITDA
Net debt and Net debt / EBITDA
€ million
6
Strong cash flow generation through the cycle
1 Net cash generated before capital expenditure, shareholder distributions, acquisitions and disposals 2 Source: FOEX Indexes Ltd
0.3
(1.4)
Cash flow bridge over 5 year period
538 705 516 648 549 715 796 1,037 300
400
500
600
700
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Virgin Containerboard
Cash flow generation1 and Virgin Containerboard selling price2
€ / tonne
€ million
€5 .5 b i l l ion cash generated over the las t 8 years
7
Benefiting from a low cost emerging market asset base ...
2015 Net operating assets
by location (%)
20%
29%
51%
Group’s 2015 revenue
by destination (%)
38%
22%
40%
€5.2 billion €6.8 billion Emerging Europe
Other emerging markets
Mature markets
Asset base and sales by destination
... with a balance in sales between higher growth emerging markets and more stable
mature markets
8
6%
19% 20% 21% 23% 17%
15% 16% 18% 19%
33%
32% 34%
34% 36%
41%
31% 29% 26%
21%
Consumer packaging Fibre based packaging Packaging paper Uncoated fine paper Other
Development of Capital Employed per business as a % of total
Consistent, clear strategic focus – growing our packaging
businesses ...
2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
... offering higher growth, diversification and less volatility though the cycle
9
100% 56% 100% 11% 77% 100%
44% 100% 23% 100%
58% 11%
8% 12% 12%
Wh
ite
-to
p k
raftlin
er
Un
ble
ach
ed
kra
ftlin
er
NS
SC
flu
tin
g
Re
cycle
d flu
tin
g
Un
ble
ach
ed
sa
ck
kra
ft p
ap
er
UF
P²
BH
KP
(p
ulp
)³
1) Delivered to Frankfurt except where noted 2) Includes specialities 3) Delivered to Rotterdam 4) Source: RISI and Mondi estimates, Q3 2015. EURRUB 70.46. Includes Varkaus
High quality, low-cost asset base
% capacity in cost quartile across main grades¹
Q4
Q3
Q2
Q1
10
1.7
0.3 1.4
Strong vertical integration
Note: Consumption represents total consumption by Mondi’s downstream operations, including consumption of externally produced paper.
Pulp
Recycled containerboard
Virgin containerboard
Kraft paper
Self
sufficient
~ 60%
integration
~ 20%
integration
~ 70%
integration
4.0
3.8
0.2
Net position Consumption Production Net position Production Consumption
0.7
0.5
0.2
Consumption Production Net position
1.2
0.7
0.5
Net position Consumption Production
m tonnes
m tonnes
m tonnes
m tonnes
11
Investing in our business through the cycle
€3.7 billion invested in capex since 2008
693
517
394
263 294
405
562 595
113%
2012
86%
2011
78%
2010
117%
2009
148%
2008
186%
2013 2014
159%
2015
164%
130%
CAPEX as a % of depreciation and amortisation
Average capex
as
% D&A
Capital expenditure in € million and as % depreciation and amortisation
12
Appro
ved
Under
consid
era
tion
• €310 million
300 ktpa kraft top
white machine at
Ružomberok mill
• Replacement of the
recovery boiler at
Štĕti mill
• Installation of a
90 ktpa kraft paper
machine at one of
our central European
operations
• Other
€121m
• €60m Frantschach
recovery boiler
• €16m Syktyvkar bark
boiler
• €13m Stambolijski
steam turbine and
economiser
• €32m Richards Bay
steam turbine
Major project pipeline delivering strongly
€100 million incremental operating profit delivered from major projects in 2014/2015
€60 million incremental operating profit benefit expected in 2016
2013 2014 2015 2016
€228m
• €70m Štĕti bleached
kraft (155 ktpa)
• €128m Ružomberok
recovery boiler
• €30m Syktyvkar pulp
dryer (100ktpa)
€296m
• €166m Świecie
recovery boiler, turbine
and biomass boiler
• €106m Packaging
Paper
• €24m Fibre Packaging
€124m
• €94m Świecie phase II,
increased softwood
pulp (100 ktpa) and
lightweight kraftliner
(80 ktpa)
• €30m South Africa
Division woodyard
upgrade
2017+
>€500m
13
2010 2015
Packaging Paper
Cost reductions driven by
● Capital investment programme
○ In excess of €650 million invested over past 5 years in
major projects delivering cost and volume benefits
● Rationalisation of high-cost capacity – 4 mills closed or
sold
● Ongoing focus on operational efficiency
○ Exceeded target of 2% reduction in cash cost base per
annum, offsetting inflationary pressures
● Currency benefits due to emerging market currency
weakness mainly in Uncoated Fine Paper and South Africa
Division
Continuing to strengthen our cost leadership position by
investing in our low-cost, high-quality asset base
2010 2015
Uncoated Fine Paper
2010 2015
South Africa Division
Cost per tonne produced (€/t)
-6% -22% -16%
14
Our cash flow priorities remain unchanged
Free cash flow
priorities
As appropriate
Maintain our strong and stable financial position
and investment grade credit metrics
Support payment of dividends to our shareholders
Evaluate growth opportunities through M&A and/or
increased shareholder distributions
Grow through selective capital
investment opportunities
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Agenda
Group Overview and strategy
Capital structure and financial policies
2015 financial results
Operational overview
Summary
Appendices
16
Capital structure & financial policies
Conservative approach to leverage
● Capital structure to maintain investment grade ratings
● Articulated as a key strategic objective
Single bank facility covenant 3.5x Net Debt/EBITDA
● Significant headroom on current ratio
● Net Debt/EBITDA of 1.1x as at 31 December 2015
Rigorous asset management & capital deployment
● ROCE key internal and public management target
● Significant % of management performance indexed to ROCE
Group hedging policies
● Transactional FX exposures hedged
● Interest rate exposure hedged via fixed rate bonds
Dividend policy
● Dividend cover (underlying EPS / DPS) of 2 to 3 times on average through the cycle
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● Strong balance sheet provides strategic flexibility
● Public credit ratings
○ Moody’s at Baa2 (stable outlook)
○ Standard & Poor’s at BBB (stable outlook)
● Minimal structural subordination of € 96m
Finance costs and net debt
€ million
2014 2015
%
change
Net debt 1,613 1,498 7%
Average net debt 1,675 1,650 2%
Net underlying finance costs 97 105 (8%)
Effective interest rate (before capitalised interest) 5.4% 6.3%
Committed facilities 2,134 2,002 (6%)
Of which undrawn 456 598
Net debt/12-month trailing EBITDA (times) 1.4 1.1
46%
19%
14%
4%
2% 1% 14% Euro
Polish zloty
Czech koruna
Russian rouble
Rand
Pounds sterling
Other
A robust financial position
Currency split of net debt €1,498 million
18 1 Mondi – at 31 December 2015
500 500 85
41
34 23
164
57
593
-
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 > 2020
Bond Drawn Headroom
Committed debt facilities
● Largest facility is a €750m syndicated revolver maturing in July 2020 with an option to extend by a further year at the second
anniversary date of the facility
€593m was undrawn on the facility at 31 December 2015
● €500m 5.75% bond maturing in April 2017
Maturity profile of committed facilities (€ million)1
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Credit Ratings
“The Baa2 issuer rating with a stable outlook reflects
Mondi’s well-diversified business profile in terms of
products and regions, underpinned by leading regional
market positions…
…track record of relatively stable and strong margins
compared with peers, owing to the majority of the
group's assets being located in higher-growth and
lower-cost emerging markets...
…strong vertical integration into cost competitive fibre
and energy…
...solid and fairly stable operating performance and
cash generation...
... balanced financial policy, as reflected in a moderate
debt-load…”
Moody’s 24 November 2015
Long-Term Corporate Credit Rating: BBB
Outlook Stable
Issuer Rating: Baa2
Outlook Stable
Moody’s S&P
“The upgrade primarily reflects Mondi's continuous
improvement in operating performance and cash flows and
our expectation that the group will continue to maintain
stable profitability.
It also reflects our view that Mondi's strategy of expanding in
the stable consumer packaging segment partly mitigates the
higher volatility inherent to its other business segments.
We believe that ............. the pipeline of Mondi’s capital
expenditure projects will help to cement strong profitability....
...we consider that Mondi's continued geographical diversity,
leading position in its core markets, customer focus, and
strong cost position, with well-invested production facilities
in emerging markets, remain credit-positive for the rating.”
S&P 11 May 2015
20
8.25 8.90 9.55 13.23 14.38
17.75 19.10
26.45
28.77
37.62
2.6
2.5
2.6 2.6
2.6
1.5
1.7
1.9
2.1
2.3
2.5
2.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Interim dividend Final dividend Dividend cover (times)
Dividends – growing in line with earnings
Dividends declared and dividend cover
Euro cents per share
21
Agenda
Group Overview and strategy
Capital structure and financial policies
2015 financial results
Operational overview
Summary
Appendices
22
622 574 699 767 957
15.0% 13.6% 15.3%
17.2% 20.5%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
ROCE
● Excellent results achieved
○ Underlying operating profit up 25%
○ Underlying earnings up 25%
○ ROCE of 20.5%
● Significant profit improvement across all business units
● Capital projects delivering growth
○ €50 million incremental contribution to underlying
operating profit in 2015 from completed investments
○ Strong capital investment pipeline
● €94 million in acquisitions to enhance product offering in
Consumer Packaging
● Recommended full year dividend of 52 euro cents per
share, up 24% on prior year 68.1 69.2 95.0 107.3 133.7
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
CAGR 18.4%
Underlying earnings per share
Highlights
Strong results on all key metrics
Underlying operating profit and ROCE
€ million
Euro cents per share
23
Operating financial highlights
€ million
2014 2015
%
change
H2
2014
H1
2015
H2
2015
Group Revenue 6,402 6,819 7% 3,254 3,459 3,360
Underlying EBITDA
1,126 1,325 18% 573 671 654
% Margin 17.6% 19.4% 17.6% 19.4% 19.5%
Underlying operating profit
767 957 25% 390 490 467
% Margin 12.0% 14.0% 12.0% 14.2% 13.9%
Group ROCE
17.2% 20.5% 17.2% 19.0% 20.5%
25% increase in operating profit and ROCE of 20.5%
24
43%
13%
12%
18%
14%
2014
€212 million
1 Excludes Corporate costs of €35 million (2014: €33 million)
Divisional operating profit contribution
40%
12% 11%
21%
16%
2015
€102
million
€11
2
milli
on
€14
8
milli
on
€96
milli
on
Packaging Paper remains the largest contributor
EBIT contribution by segment¹
€342m
€102m
€96m
€148m
€112m
€391m
€120m €108m
€212m
€161m
Packaging Paper Fibre Packaging Consumer Packaging Uncoated Fine Paper South Africa Division
25
Agenda
Group Overview and strategy
Capital structure and financial policies
2015 financial results
Operational overview
Summary
Appendices
26
300 236 308 342 391
24.5%
17.8% 21.7%
23.7% 25.5%
14.6% 12.0% 14.9% 16.7% 18.1%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015ROCE Underlying operating profit margin
● Another strong performance, ROCE of 25.5% and
underlying profit up 14% on prior year
● Supported by
○ Higher selling prices in Containerboard
○ Benefits of completed capital investments
- Higher sales volumes of kraft paper and pulp
- Lower energy costs
○ Positive currency effects
○ Strong cost control through cost savings initiatives and
lower average wood, chemicals and energy costs
0.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
1.30
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
VCB RCB Kraft paper Market pulp
Volumes indexed to 2011
Packaging Paper
Underlying operating profit, margin and ROCE
€ million
Production volumes
27
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
€/tonne
Source: FOEX Indexes Ltd
Virgin containerboard (VCB)
● European demand growth of 4.7% in 2015
● Average 2015 European benchmark selling prices
○ Kraftliner brown up 4.4%
○ White-top kraftliner marginally up
● Recent downward pressure on prices due to European capacity increases and competition from emerging markets enjoying weaker currencies
○ Average decline in unbleached kraftliner prices of around €20-€25/tonne in early 2016
○ White-top kraftliner down €10-€15/tonne
Recycled containerboard (RCB)
● European demand growth of 3.9% in 2015
● Average 2015 European benchmark selling prices up 0.9%
● Net capacity additions of ±800 ktpa in 2016, expected to be matched by demand growth
Packaging Paper | industry fundamentals
Selling prices
White-top kraftliner RCB VCB
28
37.2 3.3 2.0-3.0
● Overall containerboard capacity expected to grow in line with demand
● In VCB grades, announced capacity increase likely to be compensated by grade substitution and/or reduction in net imports
○ Net imports of 0.6 million tonnes estimated in 2015
○ US kraftliner can be sold domestically at €100-€140/t higher than in Southern Europe
Incremental containerboard supply expected
to be absorbed by demand in the medium term
Source: demand, capacity and net imports based on RISI European 5 year Packaging Forecast, announced capacity additions and Mondi estimates. Price differential based on RISI US East open market
price vs. US export price delivered to South Europe. Please refer to the disclaimer statement at the end of this presentation in respect of forward looking statements.
2016E-2018E demand and capacity growth estimates in Europe (in mt)
+2-3% CAGR +1-2% +2-3%
Containerboard VCB RCB
7.5 0.6 0.2-0.4
Demand
growth
Net capacity
additions
2015
Capacity
Demand
growth
Net capacity
additions 2015
Capacity
29.7 2.7 1.8-2.6
Demand
growth
Net capacity
additions 2015
Capacity
29
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Source: Mondi
Sack kraft paper
● European demand moderately weaker
● Softness in export markets
○ Slowdown in construction activity in south east Asia
○ Political instability in Middle East and North Africa
● Average selling prices down 5-6% in early 2016
Speciality kraft paper
● Good demand growth
● Higher average selling prices in 2015
● Selling prices remain stable in early 2016
Packaging Paper | industry fundamentals
Sack kraft paper - Europe
Selling prices
Price indexed to 2011
30
74 93 86 102 120
11.3%
13.9% 11.8%
13.4% 13.9%
4.6% 5.9% 5.1% 5.5% 5.9%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015ROCE Underlying operating profit margin
Corrugated Packaging
● 3.3% higher like-for-like sales volumes, good growth in Poland and Czech Republic
● Good cost control and benefits of restructuring in 2014
● Turkey impacted by weaker Turkish lira, political instability and domestic inflation
● Capital investments contributed to improved performance
Industrial Bags
● Sales volumes up 11%
○ US acquisition
○ Market share growth in MENA and Europe
● Higher average selling prices
● Benefits from stronger USD, product innovation, commercial excellence projects and productivity improvements
Extrusion Coatings
● Gains from improved product portfolio
0.700.800.90
1.001.101.201.30
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Volumes indexed to 2011
Fibre Packaging
Industrial bags Extrusion coatings Corrugated packaging
Underlying operating profit, margin and ROCE
Production volumes
€ million
31
32 37 79 96 108
11.6%
9.0% 8.7%
10.4% 10.7%
5.1% 4.8% 5.6%
7.0% 7.4%
2011 2012¹ 2013 2014 2015
ROCE Underlying operating profit margin
1 Excludes €14 million one-off costs relating to Nordenia acquisition
● Underlying operating profit up 13% on prior year
● Margins supported by
○ Strong volume growth in higher value-added segments
○ Commercial excellence initiatives
- Improved sales infrastructure
- Material usage and efficiency
- Improving productivity
- Streamlining innovation process
● Steady progress in repositioning business
○ Exposure to lower value-added products reduced
- Closure of Spanish and Italian operations
- Sale of Malaysian and German plants
○ Ramp-up of Chinese plant and 2014 Polish acquisition
○ Acquisitions of Ascania (Germany) and KSP (South
Korea and Thailand)
- Broadens product portfolio and expands geographical reach
Consumer Packaging
Underlying operating profit, margin and ROCE
€ million
32
205 186 164 148 212
16.7% 16.7% 16.0% 16.1% 25.6%
14.3% 13.1% 12.3% 11.9% 17.2%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015ROCE Underlying operating profit margin
● Strong performance with ROCE of 25.6% and 43%
increase in underlying operating profit
● Selling price increases in Russia
● European prices increased in second half of year
● Sales volumes up 1.7%
● Good cost control through commercial excellence
initiatives
○ Lower wood, energy and chemical costs
● Higher euro pulp costs (up 26%) impact Neusiedler
operations
● Full realisation of benefits from new recovery boiler at the
Ružomberok mill – providing energy efficiencies and
increased pulp production
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Uncoated Fine Paper
Underlying operating profit, margin and ROCE
Production volumes – Uncoated fine paper
€ million
Volumes indexed to 2011
33
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
A4 B-copy Pulp (BHKP)
€/tonne
Source: FOEX Indexes Ltd
Demand
● Europe stable
● Decline in CIS of approximately 4%
Supply
● Significant capacity rationalisation through closures and
conversions - ±720 ktpa over 2015/2016
Prices
● Average benchmark pricing in Europe down 0.7% on prior
year, but up 1.9% in second half
● Price increase in Europe of up to 4% implemented –
effective February 2016
● Price increases in Russia announced for implementation
during Q1 2016
Uncoated Fine Paper | industry fundamentals
Pulp and A4 B-copy prices
34
63 69 93 112 161
8.7% 9.6%
16.0%
21.9%
30.1%
9.8% 9.8% 14.9%
18.8%
24.7%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
ROCE Underlying operating profit margin
Comparatives for 2011 have not been restated to include 100% of Mondi Shanduka Newsprint in South Africa Division and consequently reflect a 58% portion
● Strong performance, underlying profit up 44% and ROCE
of 30.1%
● Benefited from
○ Higher average selling prices in pulp and white-top
kraftliner
○ Good cost control
- Focus on improving productivity, driving efficiencies and
reducing waste
○ Significant currency gains on export volumes
● Sales volumes marginally lower, impacted by extended
Richards Bay shut
0.80
0.90
1.00
1.10
1.20
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Uncoated fine paper White-top kraftliner Market pulp
South Africa Division
Underlying operating profit, margin and ROCE
Production volumes
€ million
Volumes indexed to 2011
35
Agenda
Group Overview and strategy
Capital structure and financial policies
2015 financial results
Operational overview
Summary
Appendices
36
Summary
● Robust business model with proven and clear strategy
● Conservative management committed to investment grade credit metrics
● Strong liquidity position supported by significant cash generation
● Recent credit rating upgrades received from Moody’s and S&P reflecting the improved business risk
37
Indicative terms for potential transaction
Terms and Conditions
Issuer Mondi Finance plc
Guarantor Mondi plc
Expected Note Rating Baa2 stable / BBB stable (Moody's / S&P)
Status Senior Unsecured
Currency EUR
Tenor [7-8] years
Size EUR500m no-grow
Use of Proceeds General Corporate Purposes
Denomination 100k + 1k
Governing Law English
Listing London
Covenants / Terms Negative Pledge, 3mth Par Call
Documentation EMTN Programme
Bookrunners BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank, UniCredit
39
Agenda
Group Overview and strategy
Capital structure and financial policies
2015 financial results
Operational overview
Summary
Appendices
40
We are Mondi: IN TOUCH EVERY DAY
Leading international packaging and paper Group
● Around 25,000 employees
● present in more than 30 countries
● key operations located in central Europe, Russia, North America and South Africa
● Offering over 100 packaging and paper products, customised into more than 100,000 different solutions for customers, consumers and industrial end users
● Integrated across the packaging and paper value chain from managing forests and producing pulp, paper and compound plastics, to developing effective and innovative industrial and consumer packaging solutions
Dual listed company structure
● JSE Limited for Mondi Limited (primary listing)
● London Stock Exchange for Mondi plc (premium listing)
● Our products protect and preserve the things that matter and touch the lives of millions everyday
42
Currency
effects
0
Underlying operating profit development
Price, volume and input costs driving profitability
2014 Volume Price Variable
costs
Fixed
costs
Fair value
gains and other
Acquisitions
and
disposals
2015
767 26
142
95 (77) (7) 11 957
€ million
43
Net debt at
31 Dec 2015
Cash flow effects - movement in net debt
Significant cash generation
1,4986338
209
595
253
6
1,613 (1,279)
€ million
Net debt at
31 Dec 2014 Cash generated
from operations
Currency effects
(including
derivatives)
Tax and
financing costs
paid
Capex
investment Dividends paid
to equity holders
Acquisitions and
disposals
Other
44
Strong global presence
20%
10%
8%
7% 4%
40%
11%
Emerging Europe
Asia & Australia
Russia
South Africa
Other
Western Europe
North America
31%
10%
10%
1%
38%
10% Emerging Europe
Russia
South Africa
Other
Western Europe
North America
Sales by location of production €6,819 million
Emerging
Markets
Mature
Markets
48%
24%
18%
10% Consumer related packaging
Industrial packaging
Uncoated fine paper
Other
Product mix
Packaging
38%
10% 9%
3%
34%
6% Emerging Europe
South Africa
Russia
Other
Western Europe
North America
Operating net segment assets by geography €5,219 million
Emerging
Markets
Mature
Markets
Sales by location of customer €6,819 million
45
Financial review
€ million
2014 2015
%
change
H2
2014
H1
2015
H2
2015
Underlying operating profit
767 957 25% 390 490 467
Net underlying finance costs (97) (105) (8%) (47) (59) (46)
Net profit from associates 1 1 - - - 1
Underlying profit before tax 671 853 27% 343 431 422
Tax before special items (126) (161) (28%) (64) (82) (79)
Total non-controlling interests (26) (45) (73%) (11) (21) (24)
Underlying earnings 519 647 25% 268 328 319
Special items (after tax and non-controlling interests) (48) (47) 2% (32) (36) (11)
Reported profit after tax and non-controlling interests 471 600 27% 236 292 308
Basic earnings per share (euro cents) 97.4 124.0 27% 48.8 60.3 63.7
Underlying earnings per share (euro cents) 107.3 133.7 25% 55.4 67.8 65.9
Underlying earnings per share up 25%
46
575 764 711 811 794
10.0%
11.9%
11.0%
12.3% 11.6%
2011 2012¹ 2013 2014¹ 2015Working capital as a % of revenue
12%
1 Working capital as a % of revenue is based on annualised revenue from acquisitions
● Working capital as a percentage of revenue marginally
below revised target range of 12%-14% at year end
● Target range increased to reflect increased contribution
from more working capital intensive downstream
businesses
(68) (83)
(27)
(87)
9
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Working capital
Working capital cash flows
Working capital management
€ million
€ million
14%
47
Taxation
€ million
2014 2015
%
change
Tax charge 126 161 (28%)
Cash tax paid 106 160 (51%)
Effective tax rate 19% 19%
● Effective tax rate reflects underlying profit mix of Group plus
○ Benefits of tax incentives related to our capital investments
in Slovakia, Poland and Russia
○ Recognition of deferred tax assets on tax losses
● Expect tax rate to move towards 22% over next three years
○ Based on current geographic profit mix, prevailing tax rates
and
○ In the absence of further investment related tax incentives
Stable tax rate
48
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Pulp Paper Wood Paper for recycling Energy Chemicals Plastics Other variable costs
Comparatives for 2011 have not been restated to include 100% of Mondi Shanduka Newsprint in South Africa Division and consequently reflect a 58% portion
Input costs
Variable costs
€ million
49
22.1%
22.7% 23.1%
22.8% 23.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
22.0%
24.0%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Depreciation, amortisation and impairments Other net operating expenses
Personnel costs Maintenance and other indirect expenses
Fixed costs excluding depreciation, amortisation and impairments as a % of revenue
Comparatives for 2011 have not been restated to include 100% of Mondi Shanduka Newsprint in South Africa Division and consequently reflect a 58% portion
Fixed costs
Fixed costs composition
€ million
50
Further integrating sustainable development into our strategy
*excluding two climate-related commitments for the period 2004-2014
Progress against our 2015 commitments:
29 out of 35 commitments* achieved
Employee and contractor safety
A skilled and committed workforce
Fairness and diversity in the workplace
Sustainable fibre
Climate change
Constrained resources and environmental impacts
Biodiversity and ecosystems
Supplier conduct and responsible procurement
Relationships with communities
Solutions that create value for our customers
Securing access to sustainable fibre Highlight: 100% of owned and leased land is FSC®-certified
Contributing to our communities Highlight: Community engagement plans at all key operations
Minimising our contribution to climate change Highlight: 103% electrical self-sufficiency across our pulp and paper mills
Operating in a world of constrained resources Highlight: 25% of managed land set aside for conservation
Focusing on safety & health and securing talent Highlight: Industry-leading safety performance
Increasing the eco-efficiency of our products Highlight: 22% reduction of waste to landfill
Looking ahead to 2020:
16 commitments across 10 action areas
51
Track record of value accretive acquisitions
2 Duropack plants (Corrugated)
2007 2008 2010 2011 2012 2014
Tire Kutsan (Corrugated)
Loparex Europe &
Asia (Release Liner)
SKG plants (Industrial Bags)
Tekkote (Release Liner)
Swiecie Minorities (Containerboard)
Nordenia (Consumer
Packaging)
Graphic Packaging
plant (Kraft Paper &
Industrial Bags)
Intercell (Industrial Bags) Kutno facility
Poland (Consumer
Packaging)
2015
Ascania & KSP (Consumer
Packaging)
€1 .8bn invested in acquis i t ions s ince l is t ing (EV bas is ) , w hi ls t de leveraging and
achieving/mainta in ing Investment Grade cred i t ra t ing
52
New €310 million, 300 ktpa kraft top white machine investment
Ružomberok mill, Slovakia
Project description ● 300,000 tonne per annum kraft top white machine
● Debottlenecking pulp mill – increasing capacity by 100,000 tonnes per annum
Benefits ● Unique product offering
o targeted at fast growing white-top testliner and white-top kraftliner end uses
o virgin top layer provides higher brightness, printability and stability while recycled layer provides
a cost advantage for customer
o based on Mondi´s proven concept of unbleached kraft top liner grades
● Improves pulp production costs and the mill’s energy balance further benefiting Ružomberok’s overall
cost position
ROCE % Expected to be in excess of Group’s 13% hurdle rate for new investments within 3 years of start-up
Expected Start-up Mid 2019
Conditions ● Tax incentives
● Necessary permitting
53
Production volumes
2014 2015
%
change
Europe & International
Containerboard '000 tonnes 2,160 2,138 (1%)
Kraft paper '000 tonnes 1,130 1,162 3%
Softwood pulp '000 tonnes 2,085 2,108 1%
Corrugated board and boxes million m2 1,343 1,350 1%
Industrial bags million units 4,446 4,925 11%
Extrusion coatings million m2 1,401 1,389 (1%)
Consumer packaging¹ million m2 6,501 6,594 1%
Uncoated fine paper '000 tonnes 1,361 1,379 1%
Hardwood pulp '000 tonnes 1,127 1,161 3%
Newsprint '000 tonnes 202 197 (2%)
South Africa Division
Containerboard '000 tonnes 253 247 (2%)
Uncoated fine paper '000 tonnes 258 240 (7%)
Hardwood pulp '000 tonnes 649 619 (5%)
Newsprint '000 tonnes 117 113 (3%)
Softwood pulp '000 tonnes 139 138 (1%)
1 2014 figure restated
54 Source: Bloomberg
Exchange rate development vs EUR
0.600.700.800.901.001.101.201.301.40
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
Aug2013
Dec2013
Apr2014
Aug2014
Dec2014
Apr2015
Aug2015
Dec2015
GBP (LHS) USD (RHS)
24.50
25.00
25.50
26.00
26.50
27.00
27.50
28.00
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
Aug2013
Dec2013
Apr2014
Aug2014
Dec2014
Apr2015
Aug2015
Dec2015
PLN (LHS) TRY (LHS) CZK (RHS)
Emerging markets
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
Aug2013
Dec2013
Apr2014
Aug2014
Dec2014
Apr2015
Aug2015
Dec2015
ZAR vs EUR ZAR vs USD
South African rand
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
Aug2013
Dec2013
Apr2014
Aug2014
Dec2014
Apr2015
Aug2015
Dec2015
RUB
Russian rouble
Mature markets
55
Mondi: Forward-looking statements disclaimer
This document includes forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts included herein, inc luding, without limitation, those regarding Mondi’s financial position, business strategy, market
growth and developments, expectations of growth and profitability and plans and objectives of management for future operations, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are sometimes identified by the use
of forward-looking terminology such as “believe”, “expects”, “may”, “will”, “could”, “should”, “shall”, “risk”, “intends”, “estimates”, “aims”, “plans”, “predicts”, “continues”, “assumes”, “positioned” or “anticipates” or the negative
thereof, other variations thereon or comparable terminology. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements
of Mondi, or industry results, to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements and other statements
contained in this document regarding matters that are not historical facts involve predictions and are based on numerous assumptions regarding Mondi’s present and future business strategies and the environment in which
Mondi will operate in the future. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made.
No assurance can be given that such future results will be achieved; various factors could cause actual future results, performance or events to differ materially from those described in these statements. Such factors include in
particular but without any limitation: (1) operating factors, such as continued success of manufacturing activities and the achievement of efficiencies therein, continued success of product development plans and targets, changes
in the degree of protection created by Mondi’s patents and other intellectual property rights and the availability of capital on acceptable terms; (2) industry conditions, such as strength of product demand, intensity of competition,
prevailing and future global market prices for Mondi’s products and raw materials and the pricing pressures thereto, financia l condition of the customers, suppliers and the competitors of Mondi and potential introduction of
competing products and technologies by competitors; and (3) general economic conditions, such as rates of economic growth in Mondi’s principal geographical markets or fluctuations of exchange rates and interest rates.
Mondi expressly disclaims
a) any warranty or liability as to accuracy or completeness of the information provided herein; and
b) any obligation or undertaking to review or confirm analysts’ expectations or estimates or to update any forward-looking statements to reflect any change in Mondi’s expectations or any events that occur or circumstances that
arise after the date of making any forward-looking statements,
unless required to do so by applicable law or any regulatory body applicable to Mondi, including the JSE Limited and the LSE.
Disclaimer
56
The information contained in this Information Presentation is only being distributed to and is only directed at (i) persons who are outside the United Kingdom; or (ii) to investment professionals falling within Article 19(5) of the
Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the "Order"); or (iii) to high net worth entities and other persons to whom it may lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(2)(a) to (d) of the
Order (all such persons in (i), (ii) and (iii) above together being referred to as "relevant persons"). The securities are only available to, and any invitation, offer or agreement to subscribe, purchase or otherwise acquire such
securities will be engaged in only with, relevant persons. Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on the Information or any of its contents.
In any EEA Member State that has implemented the Prospectus Directive, the Information is only addressed to and is only directed at qualified investors in that Member State within the meaning of the Prospectus Directive. The
"Prospectus Directive" means Directive 2003/71/EC (and amendments thereto, including Directive 2010/73/EU, to the extent implemented in that Member State), and includes any relevant implementing measures in that Member
State.
The information contained in this Investor Presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as an offer or the solicitation of an offer to subscribe for or purchase the Notes in any jurisdiction or an
inducement to enter into investment activity, and nothing contained herein shall form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the
securities. Any decision to purchase the securities should be made solely on the basis of the information to be contained in the Prospectus and any supplements to the Prospectus (or equivalent disclosure documents) produced
in connection with the offering of the securities. Prospective investors are required to make their own independent investigations and appraisals of the business and financial condition of Mondi and the nature of the securities
before taking any investment decision with respect to the securities. The Prospectus and any supplements to the Prospectus (or equivalent disclosure documents) may contain information which differs from the information
contained in this Investor Presentation. Any purchase of securities should be made solely on the basis of the Prospectus and any supplements to the Prospectus (or equivalent disclosure documents) prepared in connection with
the offering of the securities.
The Information has been prepared by Mondi. BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank and UniCredit Bank AG (the “Managers”) acting in connection with the offering of the securities are acting exclusively for Mondi and no one else, and
will not be responsible for providing advice in connection with the information contained in this Investor Presentation to any party. Subject to applicable law, none of the Managers accepts any responsibility whatsoever and
makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, for the contents of the information contained in this Investor Presentation, including its accuracy, completeness or verification or for any other statement made or
purported to be made in connection with Mondi and nothing in this document or at this presentation shall be relied upon as a promise or representation in this respect, whether as to the past or the future. The Managers
accordingly disclaim all and any liability whatsoever, whether arising in tort, contract or otherwise (save as referred above) which any of them might otherwise have in respect of the information contained in this Investor
Presentation or any such statement.
Disclaimer