Momentum Picks Date Scrip I-Direct Code Action...
Transcript of Momentum Picks Date Scrip I-Direct Code Action...
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Research Analysts
Nitin Kunte, CMT
Vinayak Parmar
Dharmesh Shah
Pabitro Mukherjee
Ninad Tamhanekar, CMT
Momentum Picks
May 29, 2020For Instant stock ideas:
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Open Recommendations
Gladiator Stocks
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Scrip Action
Sagar Cement Buy
Tube Investments Buy
Larsen & Toubro Buy
Duration: 6 Months
New recommendations
Date Scrip I-Direct Code Action Initiation Range Target Stoploss Duration
29-May-20 Nifty Nifty Buy 9355.00-9380.00 9416.00/ 9464.00 9319.00 Intraday
29-May-20 Cipla Cipla Buy 625.00-629.00 635.20/643.00 618.70 Intraday
29-May-20 United Spirits UNISPI Sell 566.00-570.00 560.80/554.00 575.70 Intraday
28-May-20 Aarti Drugs AARDRU Buy 900.00-922.00 1010.00 845.00 14 Days
28-May-20 TVS Motors TVSMOT Buy 327.00-335.00 365.00 307.00 14 Days
Open recommendations
Date Scrip I-Direct Code Action Initiation Range Target Stoploss Duration
22-May-20 Mindtree MINLIM Buy 885.00-905.00 985.00 835.00 14 Days
14-May-20 Radico Khaitan RADKHA Buy 310.00-315.00 343.00 296.00 14 Days
Intraday recommendations are for current month futures. Positional recommendations are in cash segment
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ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 2
Nifty Technical Picture
Technical Outlook
Source: Bloomberg, Spider, ICICI Direct Research
Mom
entum
Pic
ks
NSE Nifty Daily Candlestick Chart
Positive: Pharma, Auto, IT,
Chemicals
Neutral: Metal, Oil & Gas
Sectors in focus (Intraday):
NSE (Nifty): 9490
NSE Nifty Daily Candlestick Chart
Action
Price Range
Target
Stoploss
Nify Future Intraday Recommendation
9319.00
Buy
9416.00/ 9464.00
9355.00-9380.00
Indices Close 1 Day Chg 1 Day % Chg
SENSEX Index 32200.59 595.37 1.88
NIFTY Index 9490.10 175.15 1.88
Nifty Futures 9426.00 125.50 1.35
BSE500 Index 12271.50 216.26 1.79
Midcap Index 11622.06 154.23 1.34
Small cap Index 10769.34 150.33 1.42
SGX Nifty 9395.00 -31.00 -0.33
* SGX Nifty at 7:30 am
Domestic Indices
Open High Low Close
9364.95 9511.25 9336.50 9490.10
Intraday Short term
Trend
Support 9370-9329 9000
Resistance 9490-9545 9900
20 day EMA 9177
200 day EMA 10620
Key support breakdown
Daily Stochastic inching upward, indicating extended pullback
9890
7511
8055
Elongated up move signifies
rejuvenation of upward
momentum
Day that was…
Equity benchmarks ended the monthly derivative expiry session on a
positive note underpinned by buoyant global cues. The Nifty ended at
9490, up 175 points or 1.9%. The market breadth remained positive
with A/D ratio of 2.3:1. Sectorally, auto, financials and metal outshone
Technical Outlook
• The price action formed a bull candle carrying a higher high-low,
indicating continuance of positive move. In the process, the index
approached our intermediate target of 9500
• Key point to highlight during the ongoing up move is that both the
Nifty and Bank Nifty witnessed the longest pullback in magnitude
over the past four weeks (as the Nifty rallied 705 vs. previous up
move of 541 points. Similarly, the Bank Nifty rallied 2350 points
compared to earlier rally of 1835 points), indicating rejuvenation of
upward momentum, auguring well for durability of ongoing up
move. This makes us confident that the index would resolve higher
and eventually challenge the psychological mark of 10000 in
coming weeks as it is based on: a) since beginning of CY20 strong
positive correlation has been observed in developed markets and
emerging markets. As the US market has resolved above 61.8%
retracement of CY20 decline (29569-18214), at 25210. We expect
domestic markets to maintain same rhythm of positive correlation
and challenge the April 2020 high of 9890, b) 50% retracement of
entire CY20 fall (12450-7511), at 9970, c) sharp pullback (~19%) of
mid-March got arrested at negative gap (10334 –10040)
• Over past two sessions index has rallied ~500 points, leading daily
stochastic to approach overbought condition (at 85), indicating
possibility of temporary breather cannot be ruled out. However,
we believe such a breather would make market healthy. Therefore,
any cool off from here on should be capitalised on as incremental
buying opportunity to ride next leg of up move, as we believe Nifty
has strong support at 9000.
• In the coming session, Nifty futures is likely to open on a subdued
note tracking weak global cues. We expect index to take breather
after two sessions 500 points up move amid stock specific action.
Hence, intraday dip towards 9355 – 9380 should be used to create
long position for 9464
Structurally, during March-April, the index witnessed the longest
pullback (~32%) in magnitude since life-time high of 12430. During
this pullback, we observed that internal rallies have got elongated (as
last rally of 1830 points was larger in magnitude compared to end of
March rally of 1530 points) while internal correction got arrested after
retracing 61.8%. Currently, the index has retraced almost 61.8% of
April 2020 up move (8055-9890), indicating possibility of higher base
541 points
up move
705 points
up move
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Bank Nifty: 19169
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 3
Nifty Bank daily change Technical Outlook Bank Nifty Index – Daily Candlestick Chart
Source: Bloomberg, Spider, ICICI Direct Research
The daily 14 period RSI in up trend thus
supports positive bias
The Bank Nifty ended the monthly expiry session on a positive
note up by more than 2%. The index gained for the third
consecutive session on the back of strong global cues. The up
move was lead by the private banking stocks which
outperformed the PSU banking stocks. The Bank Nifty ended
the session at 19169, up by 459 points or 2.5%.
Technical Outlook
• The daily price action formed a bull candle which maintained
a higher high – low signalling positive bias and a follow
through of Wednesday strong up move.
• The index on Wednesday session has resolve above falling
trend line (drawn adjoining April-May high of 21967 –
20122), at 18200 levels, indicating conclusion of secondary
corrective phase and open upside towards 20100 levels in
the coming week being the swing high of mid May’20 and
61.8% retracement of the entire previous decline (21967-
17105).
• Index after 10% up move in just two sessions a temporary
breather can not be ruled out which will make the index
healthier. Such breather towards the trendline breakout area
of 18000-18500 should be capitalised as incremental buying
opportunity to ride next leg of up move
• The Bank Nifty has crucial support around 17200- 17000
range, as it is the confluence of (a) 80% retracement of the
entire up move of the last six weeks (16116-21967) at 17300
and (b) price parity with the previous major decline (21462-
17143) as projected from the April 2020 high (21967) and (c)
The last two months lows area also placed around 17100
• In the coming session, the index is opening on a negative
note on the back of weak Asian cues. The index has seen
sharp up move in last two sessions so some cool off can not
be ruled out. However, bias remain positive so use intraday
dips towards 18780-18830 for creating long position for
target of 19030 with a stop loss of 18710
Among oscillators, the daily 14 periods RSI continue to remain
in up trend and sustaining above its nine periods average thus
supports the positive bias in the stock
16116
Major support breakdown
21967
Support @
17200-17000
17143
Open High Low Close
18924.45 19455.55 18818.95 19169.80
Indices Close Change Change%
Nifty Bank 19169.80 459.30 2.45
Intraday Short term
Trend
Support 18810- 18700 17000
Resistance 19100- 19380 20100
20 day EMA 18756
200 day EMA 25820
Nifty Bank Technical Picture
32613
20122
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Stock Picks
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 4
United Spirits (UNISPI) – Daily candlestick Chart
Cipla (CIPLA) – Daily candlestick Chart
Source: Bloomberg, Spider, ICICI Direct Research
Duration: Intraday
Technical Observations
Technical Observations
Daily stochastic giving sell signal
Price consolidating above the recent range breakout area and sustaining
above the 20 days EMA signalling continuation of the up move
Daily 14 periods RSI sustaining above its nine periods average
thus validates positive bias
CMP 629.10
Action Buy
Initiation Range 625.00-629.00
Target 635.20/643.00
Stop Loss 618.70
Rationale
Price consolidating above the
recent range breakout area and
sustaining above the 20 days
EMA and RSI in up trend
Price closed below 200 days EMA and a rising channel breakdown signalling
corrective bias in the coming sessions
CMP 563.25
Action Sell
Initiation
Range
566.00-570.00
Target 560.80/554.00
Stop Loss 575.70
Rationale
Price closed below 200 days EMA
and a rising channel breakdown
and stochastic in sell mode
200 days EMA
20 days EMA
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Buy TVS Motor (TVSMOT) in the range of 327.00-335.00
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 6
Source: Bloomberg, Spider Software, ICICI Direct Research
Technical Observations
Stock Picks
Target: 365.00 Stop Loss: 307.00
Duration: 14 days
• The entire pullback of the last two
months is well channelled. The
stock has recently rebounded
taking support at the lower band
of the rising channel as can be
seen in the adjacent chart, hence
provides fresh entry opportunity
with a favourable risk reward set
up
• The stock has already taken 11
sessions to retrace just 80% of the
previous 10 sessions up move |
292-360. A slower retracement
signals a higher base formation
for the stock
• The stock has immediate support
at | 310-307 levels being the
confluence of the low of the
current week and 80%
retracement of the current up
move (| 300-337) placed at | |
308 levels
• Among oscillators, the daily 14
periods RSI has recently
generated a bullish crossover
above its nine periods average
thus validates positive bias
• Based on the above technical
observations the stock is expected
to continue with its current up
move and head towards | 365
levels being the 50% retracement
of the entire CY’20 decline (| 499-
240)
Recommendation initiated on i-click to gain at 15:23 on May 28, 2020
The daily 14 periods RSI has generated a buy signal moving above its nine periods
average thus supports positive bias
The stock has witnessed a steady rebound from the lower band of the
rising channel containing the entire pullback of the last two months thus
provides fresh entry opportunity with a favourable risk reward set up
360
292
Daily Bar Chart
A slower retracement
signal a higher base
formation for the stock
240
Target @
365
499
support @
310-307
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Buy Aarti Drugs (AARDRU) in the range of 900.00-922.00
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 5
Source: Bloomberg, Spider Software, ICICI Direct Research
Technical Observations
Stock Picks
Target: 1010.00 Stop Loss: 845.00
Duration: 14 days
• The stock has generated a major
range breakout of the last five
years signalling structural
turnaround and offers fresh entry
opportunity to ride the next up
move in the stock
• The recent price rally of the last
two months is supported by
strong volume of more than four
times the 50 weeks average
volume of 1.5 lakhs share per
week, indicating larger
participation in the direction of
trend
• The stock has immediate support
at | 850 levels being the 50%
retracement of the last up move |
762- 951
• Among oscillators, the weekly
MACD in up trend and is seen
diverging from its nine periods
average thus supports the
positive bias in the stock
• We expect the stock to continue
with its current up trend and head
towards | 1030 levels being the
161.8% external retracement of
the previous decline (| 812-422)
Recommendation initiated on i-click to gain at 15:15 on May 28, 2020
The weekly MACD in up trend and is seen diverging from its nine periods average
Price breakout from a five years consolidation range signalling structural
turnaround and offers fresh entry opportunity
875
785
Weekly Bar Chart
Support at | 850 levels being the
50% retracement of the last up
move | 762- 951
422
Target @ 1010
432
Price rally with strong volume signalling larger participation in
the direction of trend
812
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Buy MindTree (MINLIM) in the range of 885.00-905.00
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 7
Source: Bloomberg, Spider Software, ICICI Direct Research
Technical Observations
Stock Picks
Target: 985.00 Stop Loss: 835.00
Duration: 14 days
• The stock has recently generated
a resolute breakout above the
falling trendline joining the high of
Feb’20 (|1062) and May’20 (|927)
and is seen sustaining above the
same in the last four sessions.
Thus, forming a higher base for
the next leg of up move
• The share price is also seen
sustaining above the rising 50
days EMA indicating positive bias
and continuation of the up move
• It has immediate support at | 850-
840 levels being the confluence of
the 61.8% retracement of the
current up move (| 816-923) and
the rising 50 days EMA placed at |
855 levels
• Among oscillators, the weekly
MACD is in up trend and is seen
sustaining above its nine periods
average thus supports the positive
bias in the stock
• Based on the above technical
observations we expect the stock
to continue with its positive
momentum and head towards |
985 levels being the 80%
retracement of the Feb-Mar
decline (| 1062-692)
Recommendation initiated on i-click to gain at 10:26 on May 22, 2020
The weekly MACD in up trend and is seen sustaining above its
nine periods average thus validates positive bias
The stock is seen consolidating above the recent trendline
breakout area signalling higher base formation for the next leg
of up move thus offers fresh entry opportunity
1062
927
Daily Bar Chart
816
Target @
985
692
Support @
850-840
923
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Buy Radico Khaitan (RADKHA) in the range of 310.00-315.00
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 8
Source: Bloomberg, Spider Software, ICICI Direct Research
Technical Observations
Stock Picks
Target: 343.00 Stop Loss: 296.00
Duration: 14 days
• The stock is at the cusp of
breakout from the last five weeks
triangular consolidation pattern
signalling reversal of the
corrective trend and offers fresh
entry opportunity
• The stock has already taken 18
sessions to retrace just 38.2% of
the previous 14 sessions up move
| 220-330. A slower retracement
signals a higher base formation
for the stock
• The stock has immediate support
at | 300-296 levels being the
61.8% retracement of the
previous up move (| 280-318) and
the lower band of the last five
weeks triangular consolidation
• Among oscillators, the daily 14
periods RSI is in up trend and is
seen sustaining above its nine
periods average thus supports the
positive bias in the stock
• We expect the stock to maintain
positive bias and head towards |
343 levels being the 123%
external retracement of the last
decline (| 330-280) placed at | 343
levels
Recommendation initiated on i-click to gain at 14:52 on May 14, 2020
The daily 14 periods RSI is in up trend and is seen sustaining above its nine periods average
The stock is at the cusp of breakout from the triangular consolidation pattern
signalling reversal of the corrective trend and offers fresh entry opportunity
439
280
Daily Bar Chart
A slower retracement
signal a higher base
formation for the stock
220
Target @
343
330
support @
300
Price rise supported by strong volume
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Market Activity Report
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 9
Global Equity Market PerformanceGlobal Currency, Commodities and Bond
Advance Decline
Source: Bloomberg, Investing, ICICI Direct Research
Close1 Day %
Change
Currency
USD INR 75.72 0.1
Dollar Index 98.42 -0.1
EURO USD 1.10 0.1
GBP USD 1.23 0.1
JPY 107.43 -0.2
Swiss Franc 0.96 -0.1
Commodities ($)
Gold 1,719.70 0.4
Brent 35.84 -0.6
Copper 5,332.00 1.4
Silver 17.95 -0.1
Yield (bps change)
India 105.99 0.00
US 0.67 -4.20
EURO -0.42 -1.19
Japan 0.00 0.00
0
500
1000
1500
2000
19-May 20-May 21-May 22-May 26-May 27-May 28-May
Advances Declines
1.8
1.2
1.1
-0.2
-0.5
-0.9
1.9
-0.6
-1.1
-1.3 -0.8 -0.3 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.7
France
UK
Germany
China
Japan
Hong Kong
India
US
Brazil
% Change
1 Day Change
1 Day Change
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Market Activity Report
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 10
Sectoral Indices Performance Fund Flow activity of the last 5 sessions
Source: Bloomberg, ICICI Direct Research
India - Sectoral Close1 Day %
Change
Sensex 32,200.6 1.9
Nifty 9,490.1 1.9
BSE Auto 13,864.7 3.5
Bankex 22,021.7 2.4
Capital Goods 12,027.4 5.1
Consumer
Durables19,056.7 2.0
FMCG 10,591.4 0.9
Healthcare 15,297.3 0.1
IT 14,204.9 0.4
Metal 6,691.3 2.4
Oil & Gas 11,444.4 0.9
Power 1,469.9 1.1
Realty 1,350.7 2.6
BSE 500 12,271.5 1.8
BSE Midcap
Index11,622.1 1.3
BSE Small Cap 10,769.3 1.4
-259
-1,354
4,716
-335
2,354
-1,800
-1,300
-800
-300
200
700
1,200
1,700
2,200
2,700
3,200
3,700
4,200
4,700
21-May 22-May 26-May 27-May 28-May
Rs C
rore
Date
FII
402
-344
2,841
2,409
145
-600
400
1,400
2,400
21-May 22-May 26-May 27-May 28-May
Rs C
rore
Date
DII
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Trend Scanner
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 11Source: Bloomberg, ICICI Direct Research
52 Weeks Low
Negative Trend Universe: NSE 500
Candlestick Pattern
Positive Trend Universe: NSE 500 52 Weeks High
Oversold Stocks
Heat Map
Overbought Stocks
Larsen & Toubro 905.50 6.42 842.00 41.24
Hero Motocorp 2298.10 5.63 2097.00 27.53
Britannia 3323.25 3.20 3105.00 37.44
Infoedge 2570.90 5.72 2528.00 37.45
Scrip Name Close
Change
%
20-Day
SMA
Delivery
( %)
Scrip Name LTP
Arman Financial 299.8
Sterling tool 117
Scrip Name LTP Stochastic
Godrej Inds 312 91.6
Coal India 133.5 92.5
Bullish Candlestick Formations Bearish Candlestick Formations
Scrip Name Pattern name LTP Scrip Name Pattern name LTP
L&T Continuation 900.0 Indiabull realestate Engulfing 46.0
ABFRL Engulfing 119.1 LIC Housing Fin Dark cloud cover 243.9
Ambuja Cement Engulfing 191.2 PNB Dark cloud cover 26.8
Nesco Engulfing 439.9
Scrip Name LTP Stochastic
Divis Lab 2290 19.8
Cochin Shipyard 220.2 5.1
Scrip Name LTP
Bayer crop science 5350
Alkyl amine 2074
Dhanuka Agritech 570
Shriram transport Finance 567.50 2.25 657.00 30.87
Scrip Name Close
Change
%
20-day
SMA
Delivery
(%)
Zee Ent.
181
Eicher
16,237
L&T
906 Hero
Moto
2,298 Indusind
Bank
387
9.9% 8.5% 6.4% 5.6% 4.9%
HDFC
Bank
945
Maruti
5,468
Hindalco
138
HDFC Ltd
1,624 Bharti
Infratel
224
4.6% 4.3% 3.8% 3.4% 3.3%
Britannia
3,323 Tata
Motors
87
Tata Steel
296 ICICI
Bank
327
Coal India
134
3.2% 2.9% 2.6% 2.5% 2.4%
Vedanta
90
HCl Tech
543
Ultratech
3,809 Reliance
Ind.
1,472
M&M
440
2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 1.8% 1.8%
Sun
Pharma
459 Grasim
Ind
577
Nestle
16,989 Shree
Cement
20,809 Adani
Ports
332
1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Titan
899 Asian
Paints
1,644
ONGC
79
TechM
530
NTPC
96
1.5% 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1%
Axis Bank
391 Kotak
Bank
1,229
UPL
391 Bajaj
Auto
2,600 Bajaj
Finserv
4,286
1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.7%
HUL
2,010 Bajaj
Finance
1,948
GAIL
89
Infosys
707
IOC
78
0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Dr Reddy
3,888 Power
Grid
157
TCS
2,004 Bharti
Airtel
563
SBI
158
0.1% 0.1% 0.0% -0.1% -0.3%
JSW
Steel
184
Cipla
628
ITC
191
BPCL
326
Wipro
199
-0.4% -0.7% -0.8% -0.9% -0.9%
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Intraday Supports and Resistance (Cash)
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 12Source: Bloomberg, ICICI Direct Research
Scrip Name Trend Close S1 S2 S3 R1 R2 R3
NIFTY 50 Positive 9490.1 9381 9271 9206 9556 9621 9730
S&P BSE SENSEX INDEX Positive 32200.59 31807 31412 31181 32432 32662 33058
NIFTY BANK Positive 19169.8 18840 18511 18204 19477 19785 20114
NIFTY 50 FUTURES Positive 9490.75 9375 9260 9200 9551 9611 9726
NIFTY BANK FUTURES Positive 19170.2 18800 18431 18113 19487 19805 20175
ACC LTD Neutral 1272.2 1259 1246 1237 1282 1292 1305
AMBUJA CEMENTS Positive 191.3 188 183 181 195 197 201
ADANI POWER LTD Negative 36 36 34 33 39 40 41
ADANI ENTERPRISE Positive 142.65 142 139 138 145 147 149
ADANI PORTS AND Positive 331.8 328 324 321 335 338 341
ASHOK LEYLAND Positive 44.4 43 42 42 45 46 46
AMARA RAJA BATT Positive 614.4 611 608 604 619 623 626
APOLLO HOSPITALS Negative 1337.05 1318 1299 1281 1355 1373 1392
ASIAN PAINTS LTD Positive 1643.6 1621 1597 1579 1663 1681 1704
APOLLO TYRES LTD Positive 98.05 96 93 92 100 101 104
AUROBINDO PHARMA Neutral 713.95 706 698 690 722 730 738
AXIS BANK LTD Positive 390.95 382 374 362 403 416 424
BAJAJ FINANCE LT Positive 1947.7 1923 1897 1867 1979 2009 2035
BATA INDIA LTD Neutral 1300.05 1286 1271 1249 1322 1343 1358
BHARTI AIRTEL Positive 562.75 556 550 544 568 574 580
BHARAT ELECTRON Positive 69.65 68 65 63 72 73 76
BHARAT HEAVY ELE Positive 26.85 25 24 23 27 28 29
BHARAT FORGE CO Positive 306.95 294 282 273 314 322 334
BALKRISHNA INDS Positive 1105.65 1086 1066 1054 1118 1130 1149
BIOCON LTD Negative 345.45 341 336 329 353 360 366
BAJAJ AUTO LTD Neutral 2600 2495 2388 2325 2664 2727 2834
BAJAJ FINSERV LT Positive 4285.95 4223 4161 4110 4336 4387 4449
BANK OF BARODA Positive 38.6 38 37 36 40 41 41
BANK OF INDIA Positive 32.05 31 31 30 32 33 33
BOSCH LTD Positive 9872.1 9538 9205 8999 10077 10283 10617
BHARAT PETROL Positive 326.45 320 313 306 334 341 348
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Intraday Supports and Resistance (Cash)
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 13Source: Bloomberg, ICICI Direct Research
Scrip Name Trend Close S1 S2 S3 R1 R2 R3
BERGER PAINTS Positive 460.4 455 449 443 466 471 477
BRITANNIA INDS Positive 3323.25 3221 3118 3047 3395 3466 3569
CANARA BANK Positive 83.3 82 81 80 85 87 88
CONTAINER CORP Positive 351.65 346 340 333 359 366 372
CADILA HEALTHCAR Positive 338.1 333 328 324 343 348 352
CENTURY TEXTILE Positive 284.55 282 279 275 289 293 297
CESC LTD Neutral 573.15 561 548 540 582 590 602
CHOLAMANDALAM IN Neutral 135.1 130 126 123 138 142 146
CIPLA LTD Neutral 628.35 624 619 613 636 643 648
COLGATE PALMOLIV Positive 1298.35 1283 1268 1254 1311 1324 1340
COAL INDIA LTD Positive 133.9 132 128 127 137 138 142
DABUR INDIA LTD Neutral 448.4 429 410 399 459 470 489
DIVI LABS LTD Negative 2285.1 2260 2235 2215 2305 2325 2349
DLF LTD Positive 144.05 138 133 129 147 151 157
DR REDDY'S LABS Positive 3887.75 3849 3812 3781 3918 3948 3986
EICHER MOTORS Positive 16236.5 15380 14523 13998 16762 17287 18144
EQUITAS HOLDINGS Positive 42.75 41 41 39 44 45 46
ESCORTS LTD Positive 890.65 869 849 830 908 927 948
EXIDE INDUS LTD Neutral 158.7 156 154 153 160 162 164
FED BANK LTD Positive 42.8 41 39 38 43 45 46
GAIL INDIA LTD Positive 89.1 87 86 83 90 92 94
GODREJ CONSUMER Positive 604.4 582 560 546 618 632 655
GMR INFRASTRUCTU Positive 17.8 18 17 17 19 19 20
GLENMARK PHARMA Negative 343.2 338 335 328 349 355 359
GRASIM INDS LTD Positive 576.5 562 548 538 587 596 611
HAVELLS INDIA Positive 499.75 482 463 451 512 523 542
HCL TECH LTD Positive 542.65 528 514 505 551 560 574
HOUSING DEV FIN Positive 1623.7 1586 1548 1519 1653 1682 1720
HDFC BANK LTD Positive 945.25 922 900 886 958 972 994
HERO MOTOCORP LT Positive 2298.1 2197 2097 2028 2366 2435 2535
HINDALCO INDS Positive 138.4 135 131 129 140 143 146
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Intraday Supports and Resistance (Cash)
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 14Source: Bloomberg, ICICI Direct Research
Scrip Name Trend Close S1 S2 S3 R1 R2 R3
HINDUSTAN PETRO Positive 185.85 183 181 178 188 191 193
HINDUSTAN UNILEV Positive 2009.95 1995 1980 1970 2020 2030 2045
VODAFONE IDEA LT Positive 5.8 6 6 6 6 6 7
IDFC FIRST BANK Neutral 20.25 19 19 19 20 21 21
INDRAPRASTHA GAS Neutral 470.75 461 451 445 477 483 494
INDIABULLS HOUSI Positive 120.8 118 116 112 124 128 131
INDUSIND BANK Positive 386.85 370 354 336 404 422 439
INTERGLOBE AVIAT Positive 977.7 952 926 910 994 1010 1037
INFOSYS LTD Positive 707.4 694 682 674 714 722 734
INDIAN OIL CORP Positive 77.7 77 76 76 79 80 80
ICICI PRUDENTIAL Positive 367.7 358 347 341 375 381 391
ITC LTD Neutral 190.65 189 187 185 193 195 197
JINDAL STEEL & P Positive 119.1 115 111 108 122 125 129
JSW STEEL LTD Neutral 184.15 181 179 176 187 191 192
JSW ENERGY LTD Positive 40.7 40 40 39 42 42 43
JUBILANT FOODWOR Positive 1689.4 1673 1656 1630 1716 1742 1759
JUST DIAL LTD Positive 378.05 364 349 338 389 400 415
CUMMINS INDIA Positive 359.7 349 336 330 367 374 386
KOTAK MAHINDRA Positive 1229.45 1207 1186 1162 1252 1276 1298
LIC HOUSING FIN Positive 244.65 240 235 228 251 257 262
LUPIN LTD Negative 881.15 869 857 847 892 903 914
LARSEN & TOUBRO Positive 905.5 870 834 813 927 948 984
L&T FINANCE HOLD Positive 53.55 53 52 51 55 56 57
MAHANAGAR GAS LT Neutral 924.7 913 902 888 939 954 965
MAX FINANCIAL SE Positive 466.1 441 416 402 481 496 521
MANAPPURAM FINAN Positive 120.15 118 117 115 121 123 124
MAHINDRA & MAHIN Positive 440.4 428 416 408 448 456 468
M&M FIN SERVICES Positive 136.6 135 133 130 141 144 146
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Intraday Supports and Resistance (Cash)
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 15Source: Bloomberg, ICICI Direct Research
Scrip Name Trend Close S1 S2 S3 R1 R2 R3
MARICO LTD Positive 330.15 324 317 312 336 341 348
MRF LTD Positive 58466.2 57962 57458 56964 58960 59454 59958
MARUTI SUZUKI IN Positive 5468.35 5293 5119 5018 5568 5669 5843
MOTHERSON SUMI Positive 92.4 87 83 79 95 99 104
MINDTREE LTD Positive 896.5 884 873 863 906 915 927
MUTHOOT FINANCE Positive 852.7 837 821 810 865 877 893
NATIONAL ALUMIN Positive 29.35 28 28 28 29 30 30
NBCC INDIA LTD Positive 17.2 17 17 16 17 17 17
NESTLE INDIA LTD Positive 16989.15 16770 16550 16420 17120 17250 17470
NIIT TECH LTD Negative 1472.9 1449 1426 1394 1503 1534 1557
NCC LTD Positive 23.5 22 20 19 25 26 28
NMDC LTD Positive 78.95 76 72 70 82 84 88
NTPC LTD Positive 95.7 96 94 94 98 98 100
OIL INDIA LTD Positive 83.6 83 81 80 86 87 89
OIL & NATURAL GA Positive 78.85 77 75 74 81 83 84
PAGE INDUSTRIES Neutral 18406.8 18173 17938 17612 18734 19060 19295
PIDILITE INDS Positive 1425.35 1407 1389 1375 1439 1453 1471
PIRAMAL ENTERPRI Positive 957.8 939 921 903 976 993 1012
PETRONET LNG LTD Positive 238.2 234 230 225 243 248 252
PUNJAB NATL BANK Positive 26.75 26 26 25 27 28 29
POWER FINANCE Positive 77.3 76 75 73 78 80 81
PVR LTD Positive 884.05 866 849 836 896 909 926
POWER GRID CORP Positive 157.25 156 155 153 158 159 160
RBL BANK LTD Positive 116.65 113 111 106 120 125 128
REC LTD Positive 87.9 85 84 82 89 90 92
RELIANCE INDS Positive 1472.25 1454 1436 1424 1485 1498 1516
STEEL AUTHORITY Positive 30.2 29 29 28 30 31 31
STATE BANK IND Positive 158.2 156 153 150 161 165 167
SHRIRAM TRANSPRT Positive 567.5 557 547 534 581 593 604
SIEMENS LTD Positive 1071.5 1037 1002 983 1091 1110 1145
SHREE CEMENT Neutral 20808.9 20325 19841 19422 21227 21647 22130
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Intraday Supports and Resistance (Cash)
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 16Source: Bloomberg, ICICI Direct Research
Scrip Name Trend Close S1 S2 S3 R1 R2 R3
SRF LTD Neutral 3409.4 3366 3323 3276 3456 3503 3546
SUN PHARMA INDU Neutral 459.1 448 438 431 465 472 482
SUN TV NETWORK Negative 389.9 386 383 378 395 399 403
TATA STEEL LTD Positive 295.5 291 286 282 301 304 310
TATA CONSULTANCY Positive 2004.3 1980 1954 1937 2023 2040 2065
TECH MAHINDRA LT Positive 529.7 520 511 505 535 541 550
TATA CONSUMER PRODUCT Neutral 371.15 367 363 359 374 377 381
TORRENT POWER LT Negative 305.35 302 299 295 309 313 316
TATA POWER CO Positive 36.9 37 35 35 38 39 40
RAMCO CEMENT/THE Positive 617 610 602 596 625 632 640
TORRENT PHARMA Negative 2357.95 2320 2280 2228 2411 2462 2502
TITAN CO LTD Positive 899.45 882 864 853 911 922 940
TATA CHEMICALS Positive 304.1 298 292 283 313 322 328
TATA MOTORS LTD Positive 87 86 83 82 89 91 93
TVS MOTOR CO LTD Positive 333.1 325 317 310 339 345 353
UNITED BREWERIES Positive 943.1 924 905 885 963 983 1002
UJJIVAN FINANCIA Positive 169.3 160 151 142 177 185 194
UNITED SPIRITS Negative 563.6 553 543 529 577 591 601
UPL LTD Positive 391.1 387 382 376 398 404 409
ULTRATECH CEMENT Positive 3809.2 3744 3678 3640 3848 3886 3952
VEDANTA LTD Positive 89.95 89 87 86 92 93 95
VOLTAS LTD Positive 486.8 472 457 448 496 505 520
WIPRO LTD Neutral 199.35 197 193 189 204 207 211
YES BANK LTD Neutral 27 27 26 25 29 30 31
ZEE ENTERTAINMEN Positive 180.7 167 152 141 193 204 218
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Forthcoming Economic Event Calendar
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 17Source: Bloomberg, ICICI Direct Research
Date Event Date Event
US China
28-May GDP Annualized QoQ 28-May Industrial Profits YoY
29-May PCE Deflator MoM 31-May Manufacturing/Non-Manufacturing PMI
29-May Wholesale Inventories MoM
29-May MNI Chicago PMI
UK
India 27-May Retail Price Index
29-May Fiscal Deficit INR Crore 28-May Nationwide House PX MoM
31-May GDP Annual Estimate YoY 29-May GfK Consumer Confidence
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Momentum Picks: Strategy Follow up
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 18
Duration: Intraday
Date Scrip Idirect Code Strategy Recommended Price Targets SL Gain/Loss % Comment
28-May-20 Nifty Nifty Buy 9305.00-9327.00 9364.00/ 9412.00 9268.00 - No Trade
28-May-20 Britannia Industries BRIIND Buy 3228.00-3234.00 3258.80/3287.00 3202.40 1.70 Target 2 Achieved
28-May-20 Hero Motocorp HERMOT Buy 2174.00-2180.00 2195.80/2215.00 2157.20 1.80 Target 2 Achieved
Duration: Cash Positional
Date Scrip Idirect Code Strategy Recommended Price Targets SL Gain/Loss % Comment
21-May-20 Tata Communications TATCOM Buy 480.00 535.00 444.00 6.00 Book 50% profit at 510.00
27-May-20 Granules India GRAIND Buy 171.50 188.00 162.00 5.00 Book 50% profit at 179.50
27-May-20 Bandhan Bank BANBAN Buy 213.00 235.00 198.00 8.00 Book 50% profit at 229.00
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Gladiator Stocks: Open Recommendations
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 19
Back to Top
Date Scrip Name Strategy Recommendations Price Target Stoploss Time Frame
28-May-20 Tube Investments Buy 315.00-325.00 375.00 291.00 6 Months
28-May-20 Sagar Cement Buy 270.00-282.00 332.00 246.00 6 Months
20-May-20 Dr Reddy Buy 3800.00-3920.00 4470.00 3545.00 6 Months
13-May-20 Larsen & Toubro Buy 845-870 995.00 790.00 6 Months
13-May-20 Teamlease Services Buy 1535-1570 1890.00 1390.00 6 Months
12-May-20 Zydus Wellness Buy 1240-1270 1460.00 1140.00 6 Months
6-May-20 SBI Life Insurance Buy 715.00-740.00 840.00 665.00 6 Months
30-Apr-20 City Union Bank Buy 133.00-138.00 165.00 115.00 6 Months
24-Apr-20 Ipca Laboratories Buy 1580.00-1630.00 1885.00 1440.00 6 Months
All the recomedations are in Cash segment
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May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 20
Price history of last three years
Source: Spider Software, ICICI Direct Research
TVS Motors
MindTree Radico Khaitan
Aarti Drugs
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Product Guidelines......
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 21
• In case of intraday stock recommendations, execute the trade within +/- 0.25% of the recommended range provided in
the report. The stock recommendation has to be execute after the first 5 minutes of trade and only up to 11:00 am. In
case of Nifty future execute after the first 5 minutes of trade and up to 03:00 pm
• In case of positional recommendations, execute the recommendations in the range provided in the report
• Once the recommendation is executed, it is advisable to maintain strict stop loss as provided in the report. For positional
recommendation maintain stop loss on daily closing basis
• We adapt a trading strategy of booking 50% profit when the position is in profit by 4-5% and trail stop loss on remaining
position to the entry point (In case of positional stock recommendations)
• In case of intra day Nifty futures recommendation, once recommendation is activated, consider booking 50% profit near
1st
Target (tolerance of 3 points) and trail stop loss to cost for remaining positions
• If the recommended intra day stock hits the target price before getting activated, then it is considered not initiated
• The Intra day recommendations are valid only for the day and should be squared off by 15:10 hrs. The positional
recommendations are valid only for the prescribed period and are to be squared off at the end of mentioned period
unless communicated otherwise through separate mail or on i-click to gain page
• Only stocks in derivatives segment have been considered for intra day recommendations
• Medium to long-term prospects of a stock does not have any bearing on the intra day view
Trading portfolio allocation
• It is recommended to spread out the trading corpus in a proportionate manner between the various technical research
products
• Please avoid allocating the entire trading corpus to a single stock or a single product segment
• Within each product segment it is advisable to allocate equal amount to each recommendation
• For example: The ‘Momentum Pick’ product carries 2 to 4 intraday recommendations. It is advisable to allocate equal
amount to each recommendation
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May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 22Source: ICICI Direct Research
Recommended product wise trading portfolio allocation
Duration
Momentum Picks-
Intraday
10% 30-50% 2 Stocks 1-2% Intraday
Momentum Picks-
Positional
25% 8-10% 8-10 Per Month 5-8% 14 Days
Yearly Technical 25% 12-15% 7-9 Per Year 20-30% 1 Year
Gladiator Stocks 35% 10-13% 15-20% 6 Months
Cash 5%
-
100%
Number of Calls Return Objective
Product Product wise
allocation
Allocations
Max allocation
In 1 Stock
Opportunity Based
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Candlestick patterns describe the market sentiment for the specified period. Some of the formations suggest reversal of sentiment (trend) and, therefore, are important
for a chart reader. By themselves, the patterns do not carry any price target but only an indication of change in market behaviour. More importance needs to be given
to the placement of the pattern within larger trend
Morning Star: Potential bottom reversal pattern made of three candle lines. The first sizeable black candle reflects a market in which the bears are in complete charge.
The next candle line--the small real body--shows a slight diminution of the bearish force. The white candle that makes up the last part of the morning star visually
displays the bulls are gaining the upper hand. Lowest low amongst three candles becomes technical support
Bullish Engulfing Line: A potential bottom reversal pattern. This pattern typically appears at the culmination of a decline or downtrend. The market falls, and a black
candle forms (ideally a small black candle). Next, a white real body wraps around the prior session’s black body. Low of the pattern becomes short term support for
prices
Piercing Line: Potential bottom reversal pattern. A black body forms in the downtrend. The market continues moving south on the next session’s open but that session
culminates in a white real body that closes (e.g. pierces) than half way or more into the prior black body. Lowest low between two candles is referred to as technical
support for prices
Hammer: A candlestick line which, during a downtrend, has a very long lower shadow and small real body (black or white) at the top end of the session’s range. There
should be no, or a very small, upper shadow. Pattern suggests buying support during declines and needs confirmation in terms of sustainability of prices above head of
the Hammer in following session
Evening Star: Potential Top reversal pattern made of three candle lines. Comparable with a traffic signal. First white candle reflects a market in bullish trend. The next
candle line--the small real body—warns waning momentum. The black candle that completes the evening star visually exhibits that prior up trend has stopped or
reversed
Bearish Engulfing Line: Potential top reversal signal. This two candlestick pattern emerges during a rally. A black candle real body wraps around a white real body
(classically a small white candle) Highest high between two candles becomes resistance level for prices for future reference
Dark Cloud cover: A dark cloud cover forms a top reversal pattern. The first session should be a strong, white real body. The second session’s price opens over the
prior session’s high (or above the prior session’s close). By the end of the second session, it closes near the low of the session and should fall well into the prior
session’s white body. Pattern suggests that market has a poor chance of rising immediately
Shooting Star: A single candlestick line during a rally in which there is a small real body (white or black) at the bottom end of the session's range and a very long
upper shadow. The candle line should also have little or no lower shadow. Pattern suggest the trouble for prices overhead
Continuation Patterns: Other than widely known Candlestick reversal patterns discussed above, there are numerous patterns mentioned in literature on Candlestick
which describe the continuation of existing sentiments i.e. bullish or bearish. We have refrained from mentioning names of these patterns to avoid confusion. However,
the remark Continuation Pattern refers to bullish or bearish candlestick patterns which suggest continuation of existing trend
Candlesticks Glossary
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 23
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Pankaj Pandey Head – Research [email protected]
ICICI Direct Research Desk,
ICICI Securities Limited,
1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No 7, MIDC,
Andheri (East)
Mumbai – 400 093
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 24
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We /I, Dharmesh Shah, Nitin Kunte, Ninad Tamhanekar, Pabitro Mukherjee, Vinayak Parmar Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the
subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. Analysts are not registered as research analysts by FINRA and are not associated
persons of the ICICI Securities Inc. It is also confirmed that above mentioned Analysts of this report have not received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report in the preceding twelve months and do not serve as an officer, director or employee
of the companies mentioned in the report.
Terms & conditions and other disclosures:
ICICI Securities Limited (ICICI Securities) is a full-service, integrated investment banking and is, inter alia, engaged in the business of stock brokering and distribution of financial products. ICICI Securities Limited is a SEBI registered Research Analyst with SEBI
Registration Number – INH000000990. ICICI Securities Limited SEBI Registration is INZ000183631 for stock broker. ICICI Securities is a subsidiary of ICICI Bank which is India’s largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of
housing finance, asset management, life insurance, general insurance, venture capital fund management, etc. (“associates”), the details in respect of which are available on www.icicibank.com
ICICI Securities is one of the leading merchant bankers/ underwriters of securities and participate in virtually all securities trading markets in India. We and our associates might have investment banking and other business relationship with a significant percentage of
companies covered by our Investment Research Department. ICICI Securities generally prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts and their relatives from maintaining a financial interest in the securities or derivatives of any companies that the analysts cover.
Recommendation in reports based on technical and derivative analysis centre on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions, trading volume etc as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with the
recommendation in fundamental reports. Investors may visit icicidirect.com to view the Fundamental and Technical Research Reports.
Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein.
ICICI Securities Limited has two independent equity research groups: Institutional Research and Retail Research. This report has been prepared by the Retail Research. The views and opinions expressed in this document may or may not match or may be contrary
with the views, estimates, rating, target price of the Institutional Research.
The information and opinions in this report have been prepared by ICICI Securities and are subject to change without any notice. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in
any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ICICI Securities. While we would endeavour to update the information herein on a reasonable basis,
ICICI Securities is under no obligation to update or keep the information current. Also, there may be regulatory, compliance or other reasons that may prevent ICICI Securities from doing so. Non-rated securities indicate that rating on a particular security has been
suspended temporarily and such suspension is in compliance with applicable regulations and/or ICICI Securities policies, in circumstances where ICICI Securities might be acting in an advisory capacity to this company, or in certain other circumstances.
This report is based on information obtained from public sources and sources believed to be reliable, but no independent verification has been made nor is its accuracy or completeness guaranteed. This report and information herein is solely for informational
purpose and shall not be used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the
same time. ICICI Securities will not treat recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your
specific circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient.
This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. The recipient should independently evaluate the investment risks. The value and return on investment may vary because of changes in interest rates, foreign exchange
rates or any other reason. ICICI Securities accepts no liabilities whatsoever for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure
Document to understand the risks associated before investing in the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice.
ICICI Securities or its associates might have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company or might have been mandated by the subject company for any other assignment in the past twelve months.
ICICI Securities or its associates might have received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report during the period preceding twelve months from the date of this report for services in respect of managing or co-managing public offerings,
corporate finance, investment banking or merchant banking, brokerage services or other advisory service in a merger or specific transaction.
ICICI Securities encourages independence in research report preparation and strives to minimize conflict in preparation of research report. ICICI Securities or its associates or its analysts did not receive any compensation or other benefits from the companies
mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report. Accordingly, neither ICICI Securities nor Research Analysts and their relatives have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report.
Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions.
ICICI Securities or its subsidiaries collectively or Research Analysts or their relatives do not own 1% or more of the equity securities of the Company mentioned in the report as of the last day of the month preceding the publication of the research report.
Since associates of ICICI Securities are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial ownership in various companies including the subject company/companies mentioned in this report.
ICICI Securities may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report.
Neither the Research Analysts nor ICICI Securities have been engaged in market making activity for the companies mentioned in the report.
We submit that no material disciplinary action has been taken on ICICI Securities by any Regulatory Authority impacting Equity Research Analysis activities.
This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law,
regulation or which would subject ICICI Securities and affiliates to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in
whose possession this document may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restriction.
May 29, 2020 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research 25
Disclaimer