Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

48
Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs Taufan Marhaendrajana Ph.D. Candidate Texas A&M University SPE International Paper Contest 5 October 1999

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Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs. Taufan Marhaendrajana Ph.D. Candidate Texas A&M University. SPE International Paper Contest 5 October 1999. 10 Second Summary. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Page 1: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Taufan MarhaendrajanaPh.D. Candidate

Texas A&M University

SPE International Paper Contest5 October 1999

Page 2: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

10 Second Summary

Developed a new method to estimate the original oil/gas-in-place by analyzing production data from only one well.

This method can also be used to esti-mate the permeability-thickness product in the drainage area for a particular well.

These developments are based on an analytical solution for a multiwell model.

Page 3: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Why is this work important?

Multiwell Solution Accurate Rigorous and robust Very fast solution (can be run on a PC)

Multiwell Analysis Approach Can be based on single-well decline type curve "Total Material Balance Time" system volume Easy-to-apply

Validation Homogeneous reservoir case Heterogeneous reservoir case Field Cases (Arun Gas Field, Indonesia)

Page 4: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

OutlineOutline

Introduction Objectives Physical Model and Analytical Solution Decline Type Curve Analysis Field Application (Arun Field, Indonesia) Conclusions Recommendations for Extensions of This Work

Page 5: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

IntroductionIntroduction

Bounded Reservoirwith Multiple Wells

Current Multiwell Models Rodriguez and Cinco-Ley (1993) Camacho et al (1996)

– Constant pressure only– Pseudosteady-state only– Does not provide a mechanism

for analyzing production data

Modeling of Individual Well Performance?Current Multiwell Models Valko et al (1998)

– Pseudosteady-state only– Does not provide a mechanism

for analyzing production data

Single Well Model (Well-by-well analysis)

Production Data Analysis?

Is a single well model satis-factory?

Page 6: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

1.To Develop an Analytical Solution for a Single Well or Multiple Wells in a Multiwell Reservoir System Correctly models all flow regimes. Completely general formulation (constant rate, constant

pressure, or variable-rate/pressure).

2.To Develop a Method for the Analysis of Production Data from a Multiwell SystemEstimate the original oil/gas-in-place.Estimate the local flow capacity (permeability-thickness

product).

ObjectivesObjectives

Page 7: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Homogeneous, Closed ReservoirSlightly Compressible FluidFully Penetrating Wells

Assumptions:

(0,0,0) xe

ye

ze

Physical ModelPhysical Model

Page 8: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Well Pressure Solution (Convolution Form)Well Pressure Solution (Convolution Form)

i = well counterk = well index (well location where pressure is evaluated)

Constant Rate Solution For Single Well in A Closed

Rectangular Reservoir

Accuracy Speed Formulation

pD([xwD,k + ],[ywD,k + ],tDA) =

qD,i()dpD,cr(tDA – )

d k,id

0

tDA

i = 1

nwell

+ qD,k(tDA) sk

Page 9: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Initial PressureInitial Pressure ::5,000 psi5,000 psiPermeabilityPermeability ::5 md5 mdPorosityPorosity ::0.20.2Total Comp.Total Comp. ::3x103x10-6-6 1/psia 1/psiaThicknessThickness ::500 ft500 ftAreaArea ::16,86016,86022 ft ft22

No. of WellsNo. of Wells ::NineNineOil ViscosityOil Viscosity ::0.8 cp0.8 cpFVFFVF ::1.184 RB/STB1.184 RB/STBOOIPOOIP ::4,278 MMSTB

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Numerical Simulation Model (Base Case)Numerical Simulation Model (Base Case)

[3,1] [3,2] [3,3]

[2,1] [2,2] [2,3]

[1,1] [1,2] [1,3]

Permeability :5 md

OOIP :4,278 MMSTB

Page 10: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

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Well [3,1] Well [3,2] Well [3,3]

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Well [1,1] Well [1,2] Well [1,3]

Well [2,1] Well [2,2] Well [2,3]

Well [3,1] Well [3,2] Well [3,3]

Oil

Rat

e, S

TB/D

Time, Days

Page 12: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Analytical Solution Matches Analytical Solution Matches Numerical SolutionNumerical Solution

Oil

Rat

e, S

TB/D

Time, Days

Well [1,2]

Initial pwf

Variable pwf

Final pwf

Page 13: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Decline Type Curve AnalysisDecline Type Curve Analysis

Formulation for Multiwell Decline Type Curve Analysis

Fetkovich/McCray Decline Type Curve Decline Type Curve Analysis Procedure Application to Simulated Performance Data

Page 14: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Production Data(Pressure & Rate)

Total MaterialBalance Time

ttot =Np,fieldqwell

c(t) includes:-Transient flow-Reservoir shape-Well location

vs

Formulation for Multiwell AnalysisFormulation for Multiwell Analysisusing Decline Type Curvesusing Decline Type Curves

Original-Oil-in-Place

c(t) becomes constant at long

times

qk(t)(p i – pwf)

= 1

1Nct

1qk(t) q i(t)

i = 1

nwell

dt0

t+ c(t)c(t)c(t)

Page 15: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Type Curve ConstructionType Curve Construction(Multiwell System)(Multiwell System)

tDde,bar = 0.00633k t totctA

2

ln (reD/ D ) – 0.5

qDde = 141.2Bkh

qp ln (reD/ D ) – 0.5

D= 1 D= 9 D= 25

Page 16: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

"Total Material Balance Time" "Total Material Balance Time" Generalizes The Fetkovich/McCray Type Generalizes The Fetkovich/McCray Type

Curve Curve

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ss R

ate

Func

tions

, q D

de, q

Dde

i, q D

deid

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ensi

onle

ss R

ate

Func

tions

(qD

de, q

Dde

i, q D

deid

)

Dimensionless Total Material Balance Time, tDde,bar

=1x104

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qDde

qDdei

qDdeidreD/ D

Page 17: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Model(Dimensionless

Variables)

Log-log Plot

Dataqwell/pwell

tbar,tot=Np,field/qwell

Match

Original Oil/Gas-In-Place (N or G) Flow Capacity (kh)

Decline Type Curve Analysis Procedure Decline Type Curve Analysis Procedure

Page 18: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

All Curves Overlay Each OtherAll Curves Overlay Each Other(Homogeneous Reservoir Example)(Homogeneous Reservoir Example)

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101

q/

p, (

q/

p)i,

(q/

p)id

, ST

B/D

/psi

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Total Material Balance Time, tbar,e, Days

(q/ p)(q/ p)i

(q/ p)id

Legend:

Well [1,1]; Well [2,1]; Well [3,1] Well [1,2]; Well [2,2]; Well [3,2] Well [1,3]; Well [2,3]; Well [3,3]

q/p

, (q/

p) i,

(q/

p)id

, STB

/D/p

si

tbar,tot = Np,field/qwell, Days

(q/p)id is affected by severe rate changes(unlikely in practice)

Page 19: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

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ensi

onle

ss R

ate

Func

tions

, q D

de, q

Dde

i, q D

deid

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reD/ D =1x104

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47127

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ensi

onle

ss R

ate

Func

tions

(qD

de, q

Dde

i, q D

deid

)

Dimensionless Material Balance Time, tDd,bar or

Dimensionless Total Material Balance Time, tDde,bar

Multiwell Model Is More Accurate Multiwell Model Is More Accurate Than Single Well ModelThan Single Well Model

Total material balance functions align with

correct solution

Dimensionless Material Balance Time, tDd,bar

Dimensionless Total Material Balance Time, tDde,bar

reD/ D

Page 20: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

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irect

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Locally Homogeneous Reservoir ExampleLocally Homogeneous Reservoir Example

[ 25 mD ] [ 5 mD ] [ 10 mD ]

[ 15 mD ]

[ 20 mD ]

Issues: Can we analyze

multiwell performance?

Accuracy of results? In-place volume kh-product

Uniqueness of the analysis?

Page 21: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

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Bot

tom

Hol

e Fl

owin

g Pr

essu

re, p

si

Time, Days

Page 22: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Well [1,1] Well [1,2] Well [1,3]

Well [2,1] Well [2,2] Well [2,3]

Well [3,1] Well [3,2] Well [3,3]

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Rat

e, S

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Page 23: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

All Curves Converge to A Single All Curves Converge to A Single Material Balance Trend Material Balance Trend

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q/

p, S

TB

/D/p

si

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Total Material Balance Time, tbar,e, Days

Legend:

Well [1,1]; Well [2,1]; Well [3,1] Well [1,2]; Well [2,2]; Well [3,2] Well [1,3]; Well [2,3]; Well [3,3]

q/p

, STB

/D/p

si

tbar,tot = Np,field/qwell, Days

Decreasing Permeability Material BalanceTrend

Page 24: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Locally Homogeneous Reservoir ExampleLocally Homogeneous Reservoir Example

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ensi

onle

ss R

ate

Func

tions

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de, q

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i, q D

deid

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reD/ D =1x104

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Well [1,1]; Well [2,1]; Well [3,1] Well [1,2]; Well [2,2]; Well [3,2] Well [1,3]; Well [2,3]; Well [3,3]

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ensi

onle

ss R

ate

Func

tions

(qD

de, q

Dde

i, q D

deid

)

Dimensionless Total Material Balance Time, tDde,bar

reD/ D

Page 25: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

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irect

ion,

ft

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X-Direction, ft

[ 25 mD ] [ 5 mD ] [ 10 mD ]

[ 15 mD ]

[ 20 mD ]

[1,1] [1,2] [1,3]

[2,1] [2,2] [2,3]

[3,1] [3,2] [3,3]Well k, calc.

(md)k, input

(md)[1,1][1,2][1,3][2,1][2,2][2,3][3,1][3,2][3,3]

22.75.1510.15.159.7713.89.9414.218.9

255.0105.01015101520

22.7

9.77

OOIP (Input) 4,278 MMSTBOOIP (Calc.) 4,278 MMSTB

18.9

Page 26: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Field ApplicationField Application

Description/Layout of Arun Gas Field Analysis of Production Data (13 Wells) Comparison with Previous Results

Page 27: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Arun Field

N

Located in Northern part of Sumatra, Indonesia

Retrograde gas reservoirOne of the largest gas fields in the

worldArun Field has 111 wells:

79 producers 11 injectors 4 observation wells 17 wells have been abandoned

Arun Well A-015Arun Well A-016

Field Description

Page 28: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

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ell S

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e, M

scf/D

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Gas Rate

Wellhead Pressure

, Gas Rate and Wellhead Pressure for Well A-015 , Gas Rate and Wellhead Pressure for Well A-016

Gas

(Tot

al W

ell S

trea

m) R

ate,

Msc

f/D

Time, Days

Wellhead Pressure, psi

Wellhead Pressure

Gas Rate

Well Performance Data: Arun Well A-015

Page 29: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Type Curve Match: Arun Well A-015Type Curve Match: Arun Well A-015(Excellent Match of Data/Type Curve)(Excellent Match of Data/Type Curve)

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ensi

onle

ss R

ate

Func

tions

, q D

de, q

Dde

i, q D

deid

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Dimensionless Time, tDde

reD/ D =1x104

800

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Legend : C-III-02 (Arun A-015)

q/pp (q/pp)i (q/pp)id

Dim

ensi

onle

ss R

ate

Func

tions

(qD

de, q

Dde

i, q D

deid

)

Dimensionless Total Material Balance Time, tDde,bar

Transient Flow

TransitionBoundaryDominated

Flow

reD/ D

Page 30: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

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al W

ell S

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) Rat

e, M

scf/D

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Gas Rate

Wellhead Pressure

, Gas Rate and Wellhead Pressure for Well A-015 , Gas Rate and Wellhead Pressure for Well A-016

Gas

(Tot

al W

ell S

trea

m) R

ate,

Msc

f/D

Time, Days

Wellhead Pressure, psi

Wellhead Pressure

Gas Rate

Well Performance Data: Arun Well A-016

Page 31: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Type Curve Match: Arun Well A-016Type Curve Match: Arun Well A-016(Excellent Match of Data/Type Curve)(Excellent Match of Data/Type Curve)

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ensi

onle

ss R

ate

Func

tions

, q D

de, q

Dde

i, q D

deid

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Dimensionless Time, tDde

reD/ D =1x104

800

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471247

1218284880

1608001x104

Legend : C-III-04 (Arun A-016)

q/pp (q/pp)i (q/pp)id

Dim

ensi

onle

ss R

ate

Func

tions

(qD

de, q

Dde

i, q D

deid

)

Dimensionless Total Material Balance Time, tDde,bar

Transient Flow

TransitionBoundaryDominated

Flow

reD/ D

Page 32: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Well Flow Capacity(md-ft)

Arun A-015Arun A-016

Reservoir OGIP (TCF)

JPT (June 1983)This Study Numerical Sim.

912996

19.8 17.1

Difference

?Production History: (As of November 1998)Cumulative gas production (gross) = 21.3 TCFCumulative gas reinjected = 5.2 TCFNet cumulative gas production = 21.3-5.2 = 16.1 TCFCurrent monthly gas production = 50 BCF (0.6 TCF/yr)

Results of Multiwell Analysis at Arun FieldResults of Multiwell Analysis at Arun Field

CumulativeProduction(Nov. 1998)

16.1

Page 33: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

10-2

10-1

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101

102

103W

ell R

ate/

Pres

sure

-Dro

p Fu

nctio

n,

q/

p p, M

scf/D

/psi

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Total Material Balance Time, tbar,tot=Gp,field/qg,well, Days

Legend: Arun Gas Field

C-I-02 (A-036) C-III-02 (A-015) C-I-08 (A-027) C-III-03 (A-034) C-I-09 (A-044) C-III-04 (A-016) C-II-01 (A-037) C-III-06 (A-017) C-II-04 (A-024) C-III-09 (A-028) C-II-09 (A-021) C-III-05 (A-035) C-II-16 (A-029)

q/

p, S

TB/D

/psi

tbar,tot = Gp,field/qwell, Days

All Cases Converge to A Single All Cases Converge to A Single Material Balance Trend (Arun Field Data)Material Balance Trend (Arun Field Data)

Material BalanceTrendfor Arun Gas Field(OGIP=19.8 TCF)

Page 34: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

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ensi

onle

ss R

ate

Func

tions

, q Dde

, qD

dei,

q Dde

id

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Dimensionless Total Material Balance Time, tDde

reD/sqrt(D) = 1x104

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1x1041604818

77

C-I-02 (A-036) C-II-09 (A-021) C-III-04 (A-016)C-I-08 (A-027) C-II-16 (A-029) C-III-06 (A-017)C-I-09 (A-044) C-III-02 (A-015) C-III-09 (A-028)C-II-01 (A-037) C-III-03 (A-034) C-III-05 (A-035)C-II-04 (A-024)

reD/ D

Dim

ensi

onle

ss R

ate

Func

tions

(qD

de, q

Dde

i, q D

deid

)

Dimensionless Total Material Balance Time, tDde,bar

Type Curve Match: Arun Field--13 WellsType Curve Match: Arun Field--13 Wells(Excellent Match of Data/Type Curve)(Excellent Match of Data/Type Curve)

Page 35: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

1.Developed a Real Space Analytical Solution for a Closed Rectangular Reservoir with One or More Wells– Can serve as analytical reservoir simulator.– Completely general formulation (constant rate,

constant pressure, or variable-rate/pressure).

ConclusionsConclusions

Page 36: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

ConclusionsConclusions

2.This Solution Provides a Mechanism for the Decline Type Curve Analysis in a Multiwell Reservoir System Conserves volume of the entire system. Rigorous and accurate approach for estima-

ting original oil/gas-in-place in the overall reservoir system and formation permeability in the local reservoir system.

Can use pressure-rate performance data for only one well to estimate original oil/gas-in-place.

Can be used for well performance monitoring. The key for the decline type curve analysis in a multiwell system is to use total material balance time.

Page 37: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

ConclusionsConclusions

3.We Have Successfully Demonstrated the Application of the New Method to Analyze Production Data From Arun Gas Field

Page 38: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Recommendations for Extensions of This WorkRecommendations for Extensions of This Work

To extend this work, we recommend:

Including various reservoir outer boundary conditions other than the closed (no-flow) outer boundary.

Development and application of a method-ology to estimate the near-well skin factor.

Page 39: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Taufan MarhaendrajanaPh.D. Candidate

Texas A&M University

SPE International Paper Contest5 October 1999

Page 40: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

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irect

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ft

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Heterogeneous Reservoir ExampleHeterogeneous Reservoir Example

Issues: Effect of a

randomly heterogeneous medium?

Accuracy of results? In-place volume kh-product

Uniqueness/meaning of the analysis?

Page 41: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Well [1,1] Well [1,2] Well [1,3]

Well [2,1] Well [2,2] Well [2,3]

Well [3,1] Well [3,2] Well [3,3]

Bot

tom

Hol

e Fl

owin

g Pr

essu

re, p

si

Time, Days

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1000

02000150010005000

5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

0

2000150010005000

5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

02000150010005000

5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

02000150010005000

5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

0

Page 42: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Well [1,1] Well [1,2] Well [1,3]

Well [2,1] Well [2,2] Well [2,3]

Well [3,1] Well [3,2] Well [3,3]

Oil

Rat

e, S

TB/D

Time, Days

2000150010005000103

104

2000150010005000102

103

104

2000150010005000103

104

2000150010005000103

104

2000150010005000102

103

104

2000150010005000102

103

104

2000150010005000102

103

104

2000150010005000102

103

104

2000150010005000103

104

Page 43: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

10-2

10-1

100

101

q/

p, (

q/

p)i,

(q/

p)id

, STB

/D/p

si

100 101 102 103 104 105 106

Total Material Balance Time, tbar,e, Days

Legend:

Well [1,1]; Well [2,1]; Well [3,1] Well [1,2]; Well [2,2]; Well [3,2] Well [1,3]; Well [2,3]; Well [3,3]

Decreasing Permeability

q/p

, STB

/D/p

si

tbar,e = Np,field/q, Days

All Curves Converge to a Single All Curves Converge to a Single Material Balance Trend Material Balance Trend

Material BalanceTrend

Page 44: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Heterogeneous Reservoir ExampleHeterogeneous Reservoir Example

10-2

10-1

100

101

Dim

ensi

onle

ss R

ate

Func

tions

, q D

de, q

Dde

i, q D

deid

10-3 10-2 10-1 100 101 102

Dimensionless Time, tDde

reD/ D =1x104

800

16080 48 28 18 12 7 4

471247

1218284880

1608001x104

Well [1,1]; Well [2,1]; Well [3,1] Well [1,2]; Well [2,2]; Well [3,2] Well [1,3]; Well [2,3]; Well [3,3]

Dim

ensi

onle

ss R

ate

Func

tions

(qD

de, q

Dde

i, q D

deid

)

Dimensionless Total Material Balance Time, tDde

reD/ D

Page 45: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Well k(md)

OOIP(MMSTB)

[1,1][1,2][1,3][2,1][2,2][2,3][3,1][3,2][3,3]

4.043.274.444.302.523.383.933.993.64

4,2784,2784,2784,2784,2784,2784,2784,2784,278

Calculated ResultsCalculated Results(Randomly Heterogeneous Reservoir)(Randomly Heterogeneous Reservoir)

Page 46: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

16000

14000

12000

10000

8000

6000

4000

2000

0

Y-D

irect

ion,

ft

1600

0

1400

0

1200

0

1000

0

8000

6000

4000

20000

X-Direction, ft

1086420Permeability, mD

3.73

4.10

Well k, calc.(md)

k, input(md)

[1,1][3,3]

4.043.64

4.103.73

OOIP (Input) 4,278 MMSTBOOIP (Calc.) 4,278 MMSTB

Results:

Individual well performance appears to be "homogeneous"

Computed in-place volume is essentially exact

Computes permeability represents harmonic average in well drainage area

Observations:

Page 47: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Well Pressure Solution (Continued)Well Pressure Solution (Continued)

Exact Very fast (2-3 seconds/100 points)

New Single-Well Solution: (Constant Rate)

Characteristics:

pD(xD,yD,tDA) = 12 E1 amn + E1 bmn + E1 cmn + E1 dmnn = –

m = –

amn =(xD+ xwD+2nxeD)2 +(yD+ywD+2myeD)2

4tDAbmn =

(xD– xwD+2nxeD)2 +(yD+ywD+2myeD)2

4tDAcmn =

(xD+ xwD+2nxeD)2 +(yD–ywD+2myeD)2

4tDAdmn =

(xD– xwD+2nxeD)2 + (yD–ywD+2myeD)2

4tDA

Page 48: Modeling and Analysis of Flow Behavior  in Multiwell Bounded Reservoirs

Well Pressure SolutionWell Pressure Solution

+ qDi,0 [pDcr(tDA,n)]kii = 1

Nwell

pD([xwD,k + ],[ywD,k + ],tDA,n) =

+ (qDi,m – qDi,m – 1) [pD,cr(tDA,n – tDA,m – 1)]kii = 1

Nwell

m = 2

n – 1

– qDi,n – 1 [pD,cr(tDA,n – tDA,n – 1)]kii = 1

Nwell

+ qDi,n [pD,cr(tDA,n – tDA,n – 1)]kii = 1

Nwell

+ qDk(tDA,n) sk