Model structure and data treatment of IMACLIM-CHINA Wang Yu Institute of Energy, Environment and...
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Transcript of Model structure and data treatment of IMACLIM-CHINA Wang Yu Institute of Energy, Environment and...
Model structure and data treatment of IMACLIM-CHINA
Wang Yu
Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy
Tsinghua University
29 January, 2015
China’s Energy Balance China’s Energy balance
Base year 2010: match with five-year plan of China
Data Focus Industry: enlarge the industry sector in energy end-use into
42 sectors to describe the change between industry Transportation: reform the transportation sector according to
the international statistical standards Non-fossil energy: list the may non-fossil energy in the table
to simulate the contribution of energy structure improvement
Data process-11. Adjustment in energy types—14 types
Combined energy types from China’s Energy (4)
3
Raw Coal Cleaned Washed Briquettes Gangue
Total coal
Coke Coke OvenGas
Blast FurnaceGas
ConverterGas
Coke
Gasoline Kerosene Diesel Oil Fuel Oil Naphtha Lubricants
Petroleum
Waxes
White spirit
BitumenAsphalt
Petroleum
CokeLPG
Refinery
Gas
OtherPetroleumProducts
Liquid fuel
Natural Gas LNG
Gases
Data process-11. Adjustment in energy types—14 types
Original energy types from China’s Energy Balance (4)
Renewable energy types (6)
4
Crude oil Heat Electricity (thermal power) Other energy
Biomass Hydropower Nuclear Wind power Solar
Geothermal power and other RE
Data process-22. Adjustment in Total Primary Energy Supply--5 supplies
Indigenous Production
5
ElectricityIndigenous Production 10756.60 Hydro Power 8875.49 Nuclear Power 907.99 Wind Power 548.40Total Final Consumption 48381.12 Agriculture 1200.11 Industry 34785.04 Construction 593.90 Transport, Storage and Post 902.74 Wholesale, Retail Trade and Hotel, Restaurants 1587.87 Others 3013.30 Residential Consumption 6298.17
Hydro Nuclear Wind Electricity
Indigenous production 8875.49 907.99 548.40
Total final consumption 8875.00 908.00 548.00 33790.94
Data process-22. Adjustment in Total Primary Energy Supply--5 supplies
Recovery of Energy– no change Imports (Import and Domestic Airplanes and Ships Refueling) Exports (Export and Oversea Airplanes and Ships Refueling) Stock Change– no change
6
Import
Domestic Air planes & Ships Refueling in Abroad
Export (-)
Oversea Air planes &Ships Refueling in China
Import
Export
Data process-33. Adjustment in Input and Output of Transformation -- 8 transformations
Separate coal to oil from petroleum refineries Merge natural gas liquefaction and briquettes to other transformation
7
二 . 加工转换投入产出量 Input(-) & Output(+) of Transformation
1. 火力发电 Thermal Power Thermal Power
2. 供 热 Heating Supply Heating Supply
3. 洗 选 煤 Coal Washing Coal Washing
4. 炼 焦 Coking Coking
5. 炼油及煤制油 Petroleum Refineries and coal to oilPetroleum Refineries
Coal to oil
6. 制 气 Gas Works Gas works
7. 天然气液化 Natural Gas LiquefactionOthers
8. 煤制品加工 Briquettes
* According to literature review: whole coal consumed in item 5 was assumed to be used to generate oil. The the production of coal to oil was 1.5 million tce in 2010
Data process-44. Adjustment in Transportation
100% of gasoline consumed in agriculture and residential sector, and 95% of gasoline consumed in industry, construction and service sectors were moved to transportation
95% of diesel consumed in agriculture and residential sector, and 35% of diesel consumed in industry, construction and service sectors were moved to transportation
8
Total Final Consumption Gasoline Diesel Oil
Agriculture 248.77 1758.33 2018.04
Industry 1014.34 2981.46 17321.90
Construction 404.19 714.27 3480.73
Transport, Storage and Post 4715.73 12412.39 27308.83
Wholesale, Retail Trade and Hotel, Restaurants 247.45 286.47 386.87
Others 1715.98 1875.56 3755.28
Residential Consumption 1785.77 1123.02 2582.46
Data process-44. Adjustment in Transportation—4 modes
Transporta-tion
Road
Public Private
Urban Rural
Railway
Freight Passenger
Flight
Freight Passenger
Water
Freight Passenger
* Separate according to Turnover Volume
Data process-55. Adjustment in Industry
四 . 终端消费量 Total Final Consumption
1. 农、林、牧、渔业
Farming, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, Fishery Conservancy
2. 工业 Industry
3. 建筑业 Construction
4. 交通运输、仓储和邮政业 Transport, Storage and Post
5. 批发、零售业和住宿、餐饮业 Wholesale, Retail Trade and
Hotel, Restaurants
6. 其他 Others
7. 生活消费 Residential Consumption
Mining and Quarrying(6)
Mining and Washing of Coal
Extraction of Petroleum and Natural Gas
Manufacturing (30)
Processing of Food from Agricultural Products
Manufacture of Non-metallic Mineral Products
Smelting and Pressing of Ferrous Metals
Manufacture of Transport Equipment
Manufacture of Electrical Machinery and Equipment
Gas and Water Production and Supply(2)
Production and Distribution of Gas
Production and Distribution of Water
Final Energy Consumption By Industrial Sector-2010
Data process-66. Adjustment between Input and Output of Transformation and final
energy consumption in Industry
Final consumption Coal Coke Petroleum Crude Oil Natural Gas Heat Electricity
Production and Distribution of Electric Power and Heat Power 2272.11 19.78 121.71 0.37 8.95 231.39 3833.58
Transformation Thermal Power
Heating Supply
Transportation
Data process-77. Adjustment in Renewable Energy (6 types)
Non-fossil energy
Biomass
Electricity
Biogas
BiofuelHydro power
Solar energy
Electricity
Heating
Nuclear power
Wind power
Geothermal & others
Electricity
Heating
Data process-7I. Electricity generation
Based on energy balance table
Renewable TWh 761
Hydro power 687Wind power 49Biomass 25Solar power 0.1Geothermal 0.15
Nuclear 87
II. Gas generation Biogas 108 m3 143
III. Heating supply Solar water heater 104 tce 2128Geothermal 460
IV. Fuels Biomass pellets 104 ton 300Bio-ethanol 186Bio diesel 50
V. Total National electricity generation TWh 42278
RE & nuclear electricity/ total % 18.00%
Data process-77. Adjustment in Renewable Energy (6 types)
All the Renewable Electricity are connected to Grid All the Renewable Energy are consumed by Final Consumer
煤合计 焦炭 油品合计 原油 生物质能 水能 核能 风能 太阳能 地热能及其他 RE
天然气 热力 电力 其他能源
Coal Total
Coke Total
Petroleum Crude Oil Bio-mass Hydro
PowerNuclear Power
Wind Power
Solar Power Other RE Natural
Gas Heat Electricity OtherEnergy
59113.02 38721.15 56854.11 1151.25 420.57 8875.00 908.00 548.00 1.38 2.77 10986.96 9808.27 33790.94
Data process-77. Adjustment in Renewable Energy (6 types)
-Bio-mass fuel includes Biomass Briquette, Bioethanol and Biodiesel
-Bioethanol and Biodiesel → Transportation -Biomass Briquette → Industry and Residential Consumption in
Rural Area (1:2) -Methane → First Industry and Residential Consumption in Rural
Area (1:8) -Solar Water Heater → Third Industry and Residential Consumption
in Rural Area (1:1) -Geo-Heating → First Industry, Third Industry and Residential
Consumption equally in Rural Area and Urban Area (3:47:50)
15
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