Missouri River Program - University of Florida
Transcript of Missouri River Program - University of Florida
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Presented by Craig Fleming, Integrated Science Program
July 29, 2014
Structured Decision Making, Adaptive Management and Missouri River
Recovery Implementation Committee (MRRIC): a path forward
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• Background • Existing Adaptive Management (AM) and
Reviews • Path Forward
– ISAP/MRRIC recommendations – Structured Decision Making expertise and process
Outline
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Background • History
– BiOP and RPA • AM • Prescriptive • Constrained
– MR System Master Manual
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Background • History continued
– WRDA Section 5018: authorized Missouri River Recovery
Implementation Committee • Provide guidance on MR study • Provide collaborative forum • Provide guidance to AM process
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Background
• History – MRRIC and Independent
Science Advisory Panel (ISAP) • Within Collaborative MRRIC
identified need for Independent Science Advisory Panel
– To provide interpretations of available science
– To provide independent scientific advice
– To provide expert guidance to overall process (MRRIC and Agencies)
Independent Science Advisory Panel Members •Martin W. Doyle, Ph.D. – River Hydrologist/Geomorphologist •Adrian H. Farmer, Ph.D. – Least Tern/Piping Plover Specialist •Christopher S. Guy, Ph.D. – Sturgeon Specialist •Steven M. Bartell, Ph.D. – Quantitative Ecologist/Statistician •Dennis D. Murphy, Ph.D. – Conservation Biologist
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Existing Adaptive Management – Existing efforts
• Emergent Sandbar Habitat • Shallow Water Habitat
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Reviews of Existing AM • ISAP Recommendations
– Integrated AM plan (flow and mechanical actions)
– Preceded by Effects Analysis – Develop CEM’s – Evaluate base flows – Redesign monitoring – Identify decision criteria – Other managed flow
programs and adaptive management plans should be evaluated as guiding models for MRRP.
• National Academy of Science Reports – The Missouri River
Ecosystem: Exploring the Prospects for Recovery, 2002
– Missouri River Planning: Recognizing and Incorporating Sediment Management, 2011
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Path Forward • Follow ISAP Guidance
– Effects Analysis • CEM’s, • hypotheses, • quantitative models • assessments
– Tools and information for
AM and MR Management Plan
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Path Forward • Follow ISAP Guidance
– SDM Process with stakeholder involvement
• Problem Definition • Objectives • Alternatives • Consequences • Trade offs
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Conclusions • Independent Science Advisory
Panel engagement – Review of products and process
• Stakeholder engagement – values highlighted throughout the
process
• Expected outcomes – Focused implementation – Stakeholder and ISAP engagement
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Questions?
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•12
–It is not the critic who counts…. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood; who strives valiantly; who errs and comes short again and again, because there is no effort without err and shortcoming.
–-- Theodore Roosevelt