Situation in the Dairy Processing Sector in Minnesota DMaP Briefing Paper 15‐02
Minnesota-Wisconsin Dairy Policy Conference Brian W. Gould
description
Transcript of Minnesota-Wisconsin Dairy Policy Conference Brian W. Gould
Livestock Gross Margin for Dairy Livestock Gross Margin for Dairy Revenue Insurance: Recent Experience Revenue Insurance: Recent Experience and Alternatives for Increased Adoptionand Alternatives for Increased Adoption
Minnesota-Wisconsin Dairy Policy ConferenceMinnesota-Wisconsin Dairy Policy Conference
Brian W. GouldBrian W. GouldDepartment of Agricultural and Applied EconomicsDepartment of Agricultural and Applied Economics
University of Wisconsin-MadisonUniversity of Wisconsin-MadisonUniversity of Wisconsin ExtensionUniversity of Wisconsin Extension
April 3, 2012April 3, 2012
Overview of Today’s PresentationOverview of Today’s Presentation
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U.S. Dairy Industry Price and Margin VolatilityU.S. Dairy Industry Price and Margin Volatility
Use of LGM-Dairy as a Revenue Insurance Use of LGM-Dairy as a Revenue Insurance ProgramProgramProgram OverviewProgram OverviewRecent History of Use by Dairy Farm OperatorsRecent History of Use by Dairy Farm OperatorsPerformance Under Alternative Market ConditionsPerformance Under Alternative Market Conditions
Possible Program Changes to Increase AdoptionPossible Program Changes to Increase AdoptionSubsidy ScheduleSubsidy ScheduleCoverage LimitationsCoverage LimitationsPilot StatusPilot Status
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
20.00
22.00Class III/BFP/MW Prices ($/cwt)
Jan 70 - Dec 81
Jan 82 - Dec 87
Jan 88 - April 1995
May 95 - Dec 99
Jan 00 - Present
Support
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We have seen a tremendous increase in the We have seen a tremendous increase in the volatility of farm milk prices over the last 25 yearsvolatility of farm milk prices over the last 25 years
Parity milk price support
Federal Order Reform
BFP Pricing
Output Price Risk in Today’s Dairy IndustryOutput Price Risk in Today’s Dairy Industry
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The U.S. dairy industry is devoting more The U.S. dairy industry is devoting more resources to international market resources to international market developmentdevelopment Increased reliance Increased reliance →→ continued price volatility continued price volatility
The past decade has seen more volatile dairy markets, The past decade has seen more volatile dairy markets, driven by increasing global demand, tighter global driven by increasing global demand, tighter global supply and rising input prices. The forecast latent supply and rising input prices. The forecast latent demand gap described above will likely lead to even demand gap described above will likely lead to even more volatile markets… more volatile markets… ((U.S. Dairy Innovation Center, U.S. Dairy Innovation Center, 20092009))
Output Price Risk in Today’s Dairy IndustryOutput Price Risk in Today’s Dairy Industry
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2.5
4.0
5.5
7.0
8.5
10.0
11.5
13.0
14.5
U.S. Exports and Imports as a Percent of Total U.S. Milk Solids Production
Dairy Exports
Dairy Imports
% of Dairy Solids
Dramatic DropIn Milk Prices
Output Price Risk in Today’s Dairy IndustryOutput Price Risk in Today’s Dairy Industry
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Dairy Exports as % of Production
NFDM
Dry Whey
Butter
Cheese
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CheeseNFDM, Whey, Butter
Output Price Risk in Today’s Dairy IndustryOutput Price Risk in Today’s Dairy Industry
Milk Price CollapseMilk Price Collapse
0.90
1.10
1.30
1.50
1.70
1.90
2.10
2.30
2.50
Peterson
DF65
16% Dairy Ration
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16%16%, , PetersonPeterson and and DF65DF65 Dairy Feed Ration Indexes (2005 = 1) Dairy Feed Ration Indexes (2005 = 1)
16% Dairy Ration = 51% corn, 8% soybeans and 41% alfalfa hay
Peterson Ration = 59% corn, 14% SBM and 27% alfalfa hay
DF65 = 44% corn, 5% SBM and 51% alfalfa hay
16% Dairy Ration = 51% corn, 8% soybeans and 41% alfalfa hay
Peterson Ration = 59% corn, 14% SBM and 27% alfalfa hay
DF65 = 44% corn, 5% SBM and 51% alfalfa hay
Feed Cost Volatility and the Dairy IndustryFeed Cost Volatility and the Dairy Industry
2005 Prices($/cwt of milk)
Peterson: $5.45DF65: $3.57
2005 Prices($/cwt of milk)
Peterson: $5.45DF65: $3.57
Mar ʹ10 – Aug ʹ1116% Ration: 76.0%↑Peterson: 76.0%↑DF65: 75.2%↑
Mar ʹ10 – Aug ʹ1116% Ration: 76.0%↑Peterson: 76.0%↑DF65: 75.2%↑
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% of Total Feed Costs % of Total Feed Costs from Purchased Feedsfrom Purchased Feeds
Source: ERS Cost of Milk Source: ERS Cost of Milk Production, 2012Production, 2012
Feed Cost Volatility and the Dairy IndustryFeed Cost Volatility and the Dairy Industry
CA 75.8 NM 88.7FL 81.8 NY 49.2
GA 74.8 OH 52.8ID 82.1 OR 81.1IL 40.3 PA 49.1IN 64.7 TN 57.5IA 47.9 TX 68.4
KY 40.5 VT 50.0ME 57.7 VA 52.8MI 54.9 WA 73.8
MN 38.1 WI 33.7MO 62.0 US 59.9
Differences reflect wide Differences reflect wide range in technologies used, range in technologies used, scale of production and feed scale of production and feed market riskmarket risk
1.00
3.00
5.00
7.00
9.00
11.00
13.00
15.00
17.00
DF65
Peterson
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Dairy Margin VolatilityDairy Margin Volatility$ /CWT Milk Margin = All Milk Price – Feed CostMargin = All Milk Price – Feed Cost
August Margin Estimates
2007: $13.822008: $11.442009: $6.62
17.2%↓52.8%↓
1.00
2.75
4.50
6.25
8.00
9.75
11.50
13.25
15.00
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Dairy Margin VolatilityDairy Margin Volatility
$ /CWT
Margin = All Milk Price – Feed CostMargin = All Milk Price – Feed Cost
Peterson Margin ($/cwt)Peterson Margin ($/cwt)
DSA $4 Target for 100% subsidized revenue insurance
DSA $4 Target for 100% subsidized revenue insurance
% of Months With Indemnity
$4: 9.4%$6: 12.9%$8: 65.9%
% of Months With Indemnity
$4: 9.4%$6: 12.9%$8: 65.9%
DSA $8 Target w/ $0.922/cwtrevenue insurance premium,$7.078 net target
DSA $8 Target w/ $0.922/cwtrevenue insurance premium,$7.078 net target
DSA $6 Target w/ $0.155/cwtrevenue insurance premium,$5.845 net target
DSA $6 Target w/ $0.155/cwtrevenue insurance premium,$5.845 net target
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$/cwt$/cwt Milk revenue floorMilk revenue floor
Feed cost ceilingFeed cost ceiling
Minimum IOFCMinimum IOFC
Dairy Dairy RevenueRevenue Risk Management Risk Management
Could be very expensive Thin Class III options marketProblem of option contract size
Class III − 200,000/100,000 lbsLack of continuous grain trading
Corn: 5 months SBM: 8 months
Could be very expensive Thin Class III options marketProblem of option contract size
Class III − 200,000/100,000 lbsLack of continuous grain trading
Corn: 5 months SBM: 8 months
How can dairy producers establish a How can dairy producers establish a floorfloor on on their their marginmargin (i.e., (i.e., Income over Feed CostsIncome over Feed Costs,, IOFC) using existing tools?IOFC) using existing tools? One could use a One could use a Put/Call-based options Put/Call-based options strategystrategy Class III put options: Creates milk revenue Class III put options: Creates milk revenue floorfloor Feed call options: Establishes feed cost Feed call options: Establishes feed cost ceilingceiling
$/cwt$/cwt
IOFCIOFCIOFC*IOFC*
Class III PutClass III Put
Announced Class III ↑,→ Don’t use Class III Put
Announced Class III ↑,→ Don’t use Class III Put
$/cwt$/cwt
IOFCIOFC
Class III PutClass III Put
Feed CallsFeed Calls
Feed CallsFeed Calls
Feed Price ↓ → Don’tuse Corn/SBM Calls
Feed Price ↓ → Don’tuse Corn/SBM Calls
IOFC* greater than IOFCIOFC* greater than IOFC
IOFC* greater than IOFCIOFC* greater than IOFCIOFC*IOFC*
DairyDairy RevenueRevenue Risk Management Risk Management
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Put Premium < Class III↑?Put Premium < Class III↑?
Call Costs < Feed Cost ↓?Call Costs < Feed Cost ↓?
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Aug. 2008: Livestock Gross Margin Aug. 2008: Livestock Gross Margin Insurance for Dairy (Insurance for Dairy (LGM-DairyLGM-Dairy) became ) became availableavailable Objective: Establish minimum IOFCObjective: Establish minimum IOFC Similar to put/call options strategy Similar to put/call options strategy exceptexcept::
NoNo options purchased options purchased NoNo minimum size limitminimum size limit Upper limitUpper limit: 240,000 cwt over 10 mo./insurance yr: 240,000 cwt over 10 mo./insurance yr Premium not due until Premium not due until afterafter 11-month insurance 11-month insurance
periodperiod Subsidized premiumsSubsidized premiums
USDA-RMA administered and purchased from USDA-RMA administered and purchased from firms selling Federal crop insurancefirms selling Federal crop insurance
LGM-DairyLGM-Dairy: Introduction: Introduction
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LGM-Dairy is an RMA LGM-Dairy is an RMA pilot program pilot program as are as are all LGM products (i.e., swine, fed cattle, all LGM products (i.e., swine, fed cattle, feeder cattle)feeder cattle) $20 mil. for all LGM products$20 mil. for all LGM products Expenditures set by statute not administratively Expenditures set by statute not administratively
2010/11: $16 mil. in RMA LGM-Dairy 2010/11: $16 mil. in RMA LGM-Dairy expenditures expenditures Premium subsidies and A&O paymentsPremium subsidies and A&O payments Funds used up with March 2011 offeringFunds used up with March 2011 offering
2 hours: 318 contracts, 11.6 mil cwt insured2 hours: 318 contracts, 11.6 mil cwt insured
LGM-Dairy: IntroductionLGM-Dairy: Introduction
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2011/12 LGM-Dairy funding2011/12 LGM-Dairy funding Started w/October contract offering (Oct. Started w/October contract offering (Oct.
2828thth)) $7 mil initial allotment$7 mil initial allotment After 30 minutes, system crashedAfter 30 minutes, system crashed
440 contracts440 contracts 19.3 mil cwt insured19.3 mil cwt insured > $6 mil in RMA commitments> $6 mil in RMA commitments
Nov. 9Nov. 9thth $6.2 mil. added to allowable $6.2 mil. added to allowable commitment limitcommitment limit Funds were exhausted with Nov. 18Funds were exhausted with Nov. 18thth contract contract
offeringoffering
LGM-DairyLGM-Dairy: Introduction: Introduction
LGM-Dairy: History of AdoptionLGM-Dairy: History of Adoption
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# of # of Contracts Contracts
SoldSold
CWT CWT (000)(000)
GMG GMG (000$)(000$)
Prem. Prem. (000$)(000$)
Subsidies Subsidies (000$)(000$)
Indem.Indem.($000)($000)
Subsidy Subsidy Rate (%)Rate (%)
2008/092008/09 4545 402402 4,7164,716 287287 00 718718 00
2009/102009/10 153153 1,8721,872 24,91524,915 782782 00 281281 00
2010/112010/11 1,4121,412 46,17346,173 769,644769,644 25,01325,013 10,73610,736 6565 42.942.9
2011/122011/12 1,7831,783 40,55340,553 705,360705,360 19,18119,181 8,8788,878 00 46.346.3
TotalTotal 3,3933,393 89,00089,000 1,504,6351,504,635 45,26345,263 19,61419,614 1,0641,064 ------------
Note: There was no premium subsidy prior to Dec. 2010. Premiums shownNote: There was no premium subsidy prior to Dec. 2010. Premiums shownare prior to subsidy.are prior to subsidy.
StateStatePolicies SoldPolicies Sold CWT InsuredCWT Insured GMGGMG PremiumsPremiums SubsidiesSubsidies
Subsidy Subsidy %%No.No.
% of % of TotalTotal
000000% of % of TotalTotal
$000$000% of % of TotalTotal
$000$000% of % of TotalTotal
$000$000% of % of TotalTotal
2010/112010/11NY 86 6.1 3,259 7.1 55,355 7.2 1,950 8.8 773 7.2 39.6MIMI 119119 8.4 4,7234,723 10.210.2 80,07280,072 10.410.4 2,5032,503 11.411.4 956956 8.98.9 37.937.9WI 421 30.0 9,273 20.1 154,487 20.1 5,038 22.9 2,083 19.4 41.3CACA 4040 2.8 4,3814,381 9.5 73,62873,628 9.69.6 2,4452,445 11.111.1 1,1321,132 10.510.5 46.346.3
TotalTotal 1,4091,409 ----- 46,17346,173 ---------- 769,645769,645 ---------- 25,01325,013 ---------- 10,73610,736 ------------ 42.942.92011/122011/12
NYNY 5353 3.03.0 2,3752,375 5.95.9 41,28641,286 5.95.9 1,1061,106 5.85.8 504504 5.75.7 45.645.6MIMI 140140 7.9 3,5723,572 8.88.8 62,16862,168 8.88.8 1,6241,624 8.58.5 759759 8.58.5 46.746.7WIWI 662662 37.1 7,9637,963 19.6 138,590138,590 19.619.6 3,7583,758 19.619.6 1,7401,740 19.619.6 46.346.3CACA 5454 3.0 6,4136,413 15.8 111,499111,499 15.815.8 2,9612,961 15.415.4 1,3661,366 15.415.4 46.146.1
TotalTotal 1,7831,783 ----- 40,55340,553 ---------- 705,360705,360 ---------- 19,18119,181 ---------- 8,8788,878 ---------- 46.346.3
LGM-Dairy: 2010/11 & 2011/12 ActivityLGM-Dairy: 2010/11 & 2011/12 Activity
Note: 2011/12 data as of Mar 9, 2012. No subsidy existed prior to Dec. 2010Note: 2011/12 data as of Mar 9, 2012. No subsidy existed prior to Dec. 201017
Insurance Payout
Guaranteed Guaranteed Income Over Feed Income Over Feed
CostCost
Deductible Level
Expected Expected Feed CostFeed Cost
Profile of % Coverage Over Contract Life
CME Class III
CME Corn
CME SBM
Actual Actual Income Over Feed Income Over Feed
CostCost
Net Premiu
m
Actual Milk Actual Milk IncomeIncome
Final CME
Class III
Final CME Corn
Final CME SBM
Program Program RulesRules
Market Data
ProduceProducer Datar Data
Contract Design
SubsidSubsidyy
Expected Expected Milk Milk
MarketingsMarketings
Expected Expected Income Over Income Over
Feed CostFeed Cost
??
Expected Expected Milk IncomeMilk Income
Declared Declared Feed UseFeed Use
Net Guaranteed Income Over Feed
Cost
Program Outcom
e
Actual Feed Actual Feed CostCost
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LGM-Dairy is customizable with respect to: LGM-Dairy is customizable with respect to: Number of months insured by 1 contractNumber of months insured by 1 contract
1 1 –– 10 months 10 months 12 contracts each year12 contracts each year Difference between insurance vs. contract periodDifference between insurance vs. contract period
% of monthly IOFC (marketings) insured% of monthly IOFC (marketings) insured 0 – 100% of approved marketings0 – 100% of approved marketings % coverage can vary across coverage month% coverage can vary across coverage month
OtherOther farm specific farm specific insurance characteristicsinsurance characteristics Declared feed use: Only protect market-based risk?Declared feed use: Only protect market-based risk? Deductible and resulting premium subsidyDeductible and resulting premium subsidy
→→Premium specific to farm’s contractPremium specific to farm’s contract
LGM-Dairy: An OverviewLGM-Dairy: An Overview
Class III, corn, and soybean meal futures Class III, corn, and soybean meal futures markets used as information source to markets used as information source to determine determine Expected Expected (forward looking) and (forward looking) and ActualActual (final) prices (final) prices NoNo futures market transactionsfutures market transactions Actual farm prices not usedActual farm prices not used No basis added to prices: All prices at ChicagoNo basis added to prices: All prices at Chicago Feed converted to Corn and SBM equivalentsFeed converted to Corn and SBM equivalents
Once LGM-Dairy purchased producer has established Once LGM-Dairy purchased producer has established an IOFC an IOFC floorfloor for insured production for insured production
LGM-Dairy: An OverviewLGM-Dairy: An Overview
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Total Expected Gross Margin (TEGM) = Total Expected Gross Margin (TEGM) = Total contract Total contract Expected Expected value of milk value of milk –– Total contract Total contract ExpectedExpected feed costs feed costs = Sum of monthly (= Sum of monthly (Expected Expected milk prices x milk prices x
InsuredInsured milk) milk) – – Sum of monthly (Sum of monthly (ExpectedExpected feed prices x feed prices x Insured Insured feed use) feed use)
1 TEGM per contract 1 TEGM per contract regardlessregardless of months of months insuredinsured
LGM-Dairy: An OverviewLGM-Dairy: An Overview
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Total Actual Gross Margin (TAGM) = Total Actual Gross Margin (TAGM) = Total contract Total contract ActualActual milk value milk value – – Total Total contractcontract Actual Actual insuredinsured feed cost feed cost = Sum of monthly = Sum of monthly ((Actual Actual milk prices x milk prices x
InsuredInsured milk) milk) – – Sum of monthly Sum of monthly ((ActualActual feed prices x feed prices x InsuredInsured feed use) feed use)
1 TAGM regardless of months insured1 TAGM regardless of months insured
LGM-Dairy: An OverviewLGM-Dairy: An Overview
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Total Gross Margin Guarantee (TGMG) = Total Gross Margin Guarantee (TGMG) = TEGM TEGM –– ( (Deductible [Deductible [$/cwt$/cwt]] x cwt insured)x cwt insured) Higher deductible → Lower premiumHigher deductible → Lower premium
Producer assumes more riskProducer assumes more risk Subsidy increases with higher deductibleSubsidy increases with higher deductible $0 deductible: 18% subsidy, $1.10 - $2.00 $0 deductible: 18% subsidy, $1.10 - $2.00
deductible: 50% subsidydeductible: 50% subsidy
If TGMG If TGMG >> TAGM → Insurance indemnity TAGM → Insurance indemnity paidpaid Payout amount = TGMG Payout amount = TGMG –– TAGM TAGM Again: Again: Only 1 indemnity calculation per Only 1 indemnity calculation per
contractcontract regardless of months insured regardless of months insured
LGM-Dairy: An OverviewLGM-Dairy: An Overview
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We use the Peterson ration for this analysisWe use the Peterson ration for this analysis 8 contracts: Jan 2005 – Jan 2012 contracts8 contracts: Jan 2005 – Jan 2012 contracts
March –Dec. covered monthsMarch –Dec. covered months Wisconsin average 2011 monthly yields Wisconsin average 2011 monthly yields $0 deductible for LGM-Dairy$0 deductible for LGM-Dairy LGM-Dairy premiums do not include subsidiesLGM-Dairy premiums do not include subsidies $4.50 - $8.00 margins guarantees in $0.50 $4.50 - $8.00 margins guarantees in $0.50
incrementsincrements Targets are net targets adjusted using formula: Targets are net targets adjusted using formula:
Original DSA Targets − DSA PremiumOriginal DSA Targets − DSA Premium Control for All-Milk/Class III BasisControl for All-Milk/Class III Basis
Month-specific basis calculated over 2000-PresentMonth-specific basis calculated over 2000-Present
LGM-Dairy: A WI Case StudyLGM-Dairy: A WI Case Study
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We use the University of Wisconsin We use the University of Wisconsin LGM-Dairy OptimizerLGM-Dairy Optimizer to find least cost to find least cost design to generate required net margindesign to generate required net margin Only concerned with protection, not Only concerned with protection, not
likelihood of receiving an indemnitylikelihood of receiving an indemnity For low margin targets less than 100% of For low margin targets less than 100% of
milk needs to be insured to achieve targetmilk needs to be insured to achieve target i.e., to achieve a $5.85/cwt target less than 50% i.e., to achieve a $5.85/cwt target less than 50%
of total production needs to be insured as of total production needs to be insured as $11.70/cwt margin achievable$11.70/cwt margin achievable
Spread the $11.70 across all production to Spread the $11.70 across all production to achieve $5.85 averageachieve $5.85 average
LGM-Dairy: A WI Case StudyLGM-Dairy: A WI Case Study
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LGM-Dairy: A WI Case StudyLGM-Dairy: A WI Case Study
Net Target
% of 10-Month Milk Insured
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
4.00 27.3 33.733.7 35.535.5 40.040.0 64.0 39.039.0 54.754.7 46.746.74.49 32.9 40.340.3 42.342.3 48.348.3 73.9 46.146.1 65.865.8 55.755.74.96 38.5 46.946.9 49.149.1 56.656.6 82.8 53.053.0 77.677.6 64.664.65.42 44.1 53.353.3 55.655.6 65.065.0 91.7 59.659.6 90.090.0 73.573.55.85 49.7 59.859.8 62.462.4 73.273.2 ------ 66.166.1 ------------ 82.36.27 55.3 66.266.2 69.069.0 81.481.4 ------ 72.572.5 ------------ 91.06.57 61.1 72.572.5 75.575.5 89.689.6 ------ 79.079.0 ------------ 99.66.91 66.6 78.978.9 82.182.1 97.997.9 ------ 85.485.4 ------------ ------7.08 72.6 85.585.5 88.688.6 ------------ ------ 91.891.8 ------------ ------------
All MilkAll Milk 15.13 12.88 19.13 18.33 12.83 16.26 20.14 ------
FeedFeed 5.44 5.79 9.56 10.84 9.17 8.89 12.55 ------
RatioRatio 2.78 2.22 2.00 1.69 1.40 1.83 1.60 ------
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
$0.70
$0.80
$0.90
$4.50 $5.00 $5.50 $6.00 $6.50 $7.00 $7.50 $8.00
DSA 2012 2011
2010 2009 2008
2007 2006 2005
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Premiums Under DSA and LGM-Dairy ($/cwt)Premiums Under DSA and LGM-Dairy ($/cwt)
Note: LGM-Dairy unsubsidized premiums are $/cwt of farm milk not just insured milkNote: LGM-Dairy unsubsidized premiums are $/cwt of farm milk not just insured milk
LGM-Dairy: A WI Case StudyLGM-Dairy: A WI Case Study
LGM vs. DSA Costs2005 MF Ratio: 2.782009 MF Ratio: 1.40
*= DSA *= 2009 *= 2005
LGM vs. DSA Costs2005 MF Ratio: 2.782009 MF Ratio: 1.40
*= DSA *= 2009 *= 2005
*
** *
**
*
*
*
*
*
* **
***
**
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How can we increase participation?How can we increase participation? I hypothesize the demand is there not the I hypothesize the demand is there not the
budget as evidenced by rapid sales when budget as evidenced by rapid sales when program is availableprogram is available
Most important Most important would be to remove LGM-would be to remove LGM-Dairy from pilot status to enable ↑ fundingDairy from pilot status to enable ↑ funding Difficult to do as LGM-Dairy is privately Difficult to do as LGM-Dairy is privately
owned and administered by the USDAowned and administered by the USDA Owners may need to reduce significantly Owners may need to reduce significantly
payments receivedpayments received
LGM-Dairy: Possible Program ChangesLGM-Dairy: Possible Program Changes
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Could eliminate/reduce premium subsidiesCould eliminate/reduce premium subsidies Even without subsidies insurance cost is low Even without subsidies insurance cost is low
relative to options-based IOFC strategyrelative to options-based IOFC strategy Agents received calls from producers willing to Agents received calls from producers willing to
purchase w/o subsidy when funds exhaustedpurchase w/o subsidy when funds exhausted
LGM-Dairy: Possible Program ChangesLGM-Dairy: Possible Program Changes
Deductible ($/cwt)
Subsidy (%)
Deductible ($/cwt)
Subsidy (%)
00 0.180.18 0.600.60 0.310.31
0.100.10 0.190.19 0.700.70 0.340.34
0.200.20 0.210.21 0.800.80 0.380.38
0.300.30 0.230.23 0.900.90 0.430.43
0.400.40 0.250.25 1.001.00 0.480.48
0.500.50 0.280.28 1.10 – 2.001.10 – 2.00 0.500.50
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Establish a two-tier premium systemEstablish a two-tier premium system Have both subsidized and unsubsidized Have both subsidized and unsubsidized
premiumspremiums After subsidized pool exhausted After subsidized pool exhausted
premiums not subsidizedpremiums not subsidized
2012 Farm Bill could be used to increase 2012 Farm Bill could be used to increase the $20 million pilot funding while still a the $20 million pilot funding while still a pilotpilot
If nothing is changed fund will be If nothing is changed fund will be exhausted with Oct. 2012 offeringexhausted with Oct. 2012 offering
LGM-Dairy: Possible Program ChangesLGM-Dairy: Possible Program Changes
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Contact InformationContact Information
The Univ. of Wisconsin Dairy Marketing Website: The Univ. of Wisconsin Dairy Marketing Website: http://future.aae.wisc.eduhttp://future.aae.wisc.edu
Livestock Gross Margin Insurance: Livestock Gross Margin Insurance: http://future.aae.wisc.edu/lgm_dairy.htmlhttp://future.aae.wisc.edu/lgm_dairy.html
To join the LGM-Dairy Mailing List:To join the LGM-Dairy Mailing List:http://future.aae.wisc.edu/lgm_dairy.html#5http://future.aae.wisc.edu/lgm_dairy.html#5
Brian W. GouldBrian W. Gould(608)263-3212(608)[email protected]@wisc.edu