Minhan Dai (戴民汉 - PICES
Transcript of Minhan Dai (戴民汉 - PICES
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Multiple stressors in the coastal ocean
近海海洋环境科学国家重点实验室(厦门大学)State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science (Xiamen University)
近海海洋环境科学国家重点实验室(厦门大学)State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science (Xiamen University)
Minhan Dai (戴民汉)
Collaborators: JW Liu, WP Jing, XH Guo, ZQ Yin
PICES Annual Meeting, Oct. 16, 2013, Nanaimo, Canada
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Overview • Ocean Acidification (OA): Another CO2 problem has
emerged– yet coastal ocean more complex
• Coastal ecosystems under multiple forcings: temp rising + O2 decline+ acidification within a similar time frame
• Need consider the hydrodynamics: e.g., Upwelling/Submarine Groundwater Discharge
• OA observation system & multidisciplinary researches essential and consider the multiple stressors at a system level
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Outline
• Coastal Ocean Acidification
• Multiple stressors in the Coastal Ocean
• Concluding Remarks
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Ocean Acidification: another CO2 problem: increase in [H+] or drawdown of pH
From PMEL
pH = -log (H+) = -log gH{H+} CaCO3 saturation state: = [Ca2+][CO3
2-]/Ksp’, a > 1 ~supersaturated
When CO2 invades sea water:
• [HCO3-]increases
• [CO32-]decreases
• Ω decreases • a small part of HCO3
-
formed dissociates into carbonates + H+ (“ocean acidification”)
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Calcification rate vs. arag in coral reef systems
Shamberger et al. (2011)
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Why Coastal Ocean?
• Characterized by complex circulations, abundant river/groundwater input, dynamic sediment boundary and high productivity: large gradients chemically and biologically
• A unique physical-biogeochemical ecosystem links the land and the open ocean but vulnerable
• Boundary processes across the land-margin and margin-ocean are key drivers
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An updated province –based global shelf air-sea CO2 flux:
~ 0.36 pg/yr
Dai et al., GRL, 2013
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Coastal ocean mitigates more CO2 than the open ocean
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pH dynamics in different marine
systems
Hofmann et al. (2011) High-Frequency Dynamics of Ocean pH: A Multi-Ecosystem Comparison. PLoS ONE 6(12): e28983. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0028983
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OA in coastal ocean more dramatic A NE Pacific Coastal Site
(Tatoosh Island, 2000-2008)
- Wootton et al., PNAS, 2008
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pH more variable in coastal systems
OnOn--Site ObservationSite ObservationOnOn--Site ObservationSite Observation
Jiang et al., L&O, 2011
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MEL-SMMC CO2-A
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– Anthropogenic CO2
– Upwellings of low pH waters
– Respirations
– Ground water
Cases: main drivers of OA in coastal ocean
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The South China Sea
(Station SEATS, 1998-2009)
- Arthur Chen, MEBC-SCS Conference Abstract, 2010
http://mebc-scs.marine.nsysu.edu.tw/images/Text/Abstract_Chen.pdf
Anthropogenic CO2-driven pH changes in the South China Basin
Surface pH decreasing: -0.002 yr-1
pCO
2 (
atm
)
350
360
370
380
390
pHSW
8.03
8.04
8.05
8.06
Year1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
ar
ag
3.52
3.56
3.60
3.64
3.68
Predicted anthropogenic CO2 induced pH decrease-
0.0019 yr-1
Air pCO2 2 atm yr-1
At TAlk=2200 mol kg-1; Temp=29.0 oC; S=33.5;
PO4=0.01 M; Si(OH)4=2 M
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– Anthropogenic CO2
– Upwellings of low pH waters
– Respirations
– Ground water
Examples: OA in coastal ocean
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Aragonite Saturation Depth (arag = 1.0) in the Global Oceans
- Feely et al., 2004 Coastal Upwelling System
Western NP vs. Eastern NP
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Case I: Continental shelf off the Oregon-California border
(Upwelling in the Eastern NP)
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Distribution of the depths of the undersaturated water (arag < 1.0; pH < 7.75) on the continental shelf of western North America.
- Feely et al., 2008
Due to the upwelling process, the corrosive water reaches all the way to the surface in the inshore waters near the Oregon-California border.
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- Feely et al., 2008
• Upwelling from depths of 150 to 200 m onto the shelf; • First observation of surface undersaturated waters with respect to aragonite (in open ocean surface waters until 2050); • ~30 mol kg-1 of anthropogenic CO2 lowered arag by ~0.2 units.
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Case II: The Northern South China
Sea (NSCS) Shelf (Upwelling in the Western NP)
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Leg 1 ( Transects 1-7; Jun 30 - Jul 8)
Leg 2 (Transects 5-2; Jul 9 - Jul 12)
Field work-2008 summer
112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 12220
21
22
23
24
25
Longitude (oE)
Latit
ude
(oN
)
Mainland China
Pearl River estuary
1
23
45
6 7
S201aS401a
S401bS401c
113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 12211220
21
22
23
24
25
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Upwelling Centers (UC): Low Temperature High DIC Low arag
UC 2 > UC 1
Upwelled waters were transported northward from the position of UC 2 to the position of UC 1 [Gan et al., 2009].
Surface arag values: 2.3 ~ 3.9 Lowest 2.3 in UC 2 Oversaturation state
114 115 116 117 118 119 12020
21
22
23
24
114 115 116 117 118 119 12020
21
22
23
24
114 115 116 117 118 119 12020
21
22
23
24
114 115 116 117 118 119 12020
21
22
23
24Leg 1 Leg 2
Temp. (oC)
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
114 115 116 117 118 119 12020
21
22
23
24
2.3
2.5
2.7
2.9
3.1
3.3
3.5
3.7
3.9arag
114 115 116 117 118 119 12020
21
22
23
24
arag
Temp. (oC)
1640
1690
1740
1790
1840
1890
1940
1990
2040DIC (mol kg-1)
DIC (mol kg-1)
Surface
UC 2UC 1
Leg 1 Leg 2
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arag in the upwelling
DIC (mol kg-1)
-80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40
ar
ag
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3.0
3.2
3.4
Transect 2Transect 4Stations S401a-cTransect 5
-80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40
fCO
2 (
atm
)
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750Transect 2Transect 4Stations S401a-cTransect 5
DIC (mol kg-1)
-80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40
ar
ag
1.8
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3.0
3.2
3.4Transect 2Transect 3Transect 4Transect 5
-80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40
fCO
2 (
atm
)
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
Transect 2Transect 3Transect 4Transect 5
Leg 1 Leg 2
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
Lowest values in UC 1 and UC 2 were largely imprints of upwelled subsurface waters enriched with both anthropogenic CO2 and respired CO2;
During the northward transport of the upwelled water, however, arag increased whereas fCO2 decreased with increasing DIC. The consistent biological production gradually consumed CO2 and raised [CO3], resulting in the increasing arag pattern in the upwelled water.
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NDIC (mol kg-1)1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
NTA
lk (
mol
kg-
1 )
2212
2214
2216
2218
2220
2222
2224
2226
Salinity34.0 34.1 34.2 34.3 34.4
Ca2
+ /N
Ca2
+ (
mol
kg-
1 )
9700
9800
9900
10000
10100
(a) (b)
y=(-0.18±0.06)x+(2577±129) r=0.89
y=(-0.14±0.00)x+(2482±2) r=1.00
y=(265.5±12.5)x+(948.3±428.7) r=0.99
Behaviors of DIC, TAlk and Ca2+ in the upwelled water
• NDIC variations ~30 mol kg-1; NTAlk variations ~6 mol kg-1
• Slopes of NTAlk against NDIC were close to -0.16
• Conservative behavior of Ca2+
No significant impact of the upwelling on the net community calcification!
OC metabolism: 106CO2+122H2O+16HNO3+H3PO4↔ (CH2O)106(NH3)16H3PO4+138O2, TAlk/DIC=-0.16 IC metabolsim: Ca2++2HCO3
-↔CaCO3+CO2+H2O, TAlk/DIC=2
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Summary for the NSCS upwelling
• Upwelling delivered low arag waters onto the shelf, but arag values are still > 1.0;
• Enhanced OC production during the upwelling further increased arag;
• The patterns of arag are largely controlled by water circulation and biological activities at present;
• Oversaturation for now.
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Shellfish 79%
Seaweed 11%
Fish 5%
Crustacean 5%
Composition of mariculture yields of China in 2002 [Zhang et al., 2005]
• Corrosive waters with < 1.0 may be possible on most of wide shelves including the NSCS shelf!
• How the calcifying organisms, including many species of shellfish of economic importance to coastal regions, deal with this intermittent exposure of corrosive waters?
China is the largest mariculture country, contributing to 68.81% of the total global yields (FAO, 2006);
Shellfish is the most important composition.
Production of shell fish in 2008 was ~ 10 MT
Context
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Aragonite Saturation Depth (arag = 1.0) in the Global Oceans
- Feely et al., 2004
Source Water Depth ~150 m ~150 m
Source Water pH ~7.95 < 7.75
Source Water arag ~1.9 < 1.0
Aragonite Saturation Depth
~500 m in the Western NP
100-300 m in the Eastern NP
The contrasting scenarios between the two cases are related to the different “acidity” of source waters of upwelling.
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– Anthropogenic CO2
– Upwellings of low pH waters
– Respirations/nutrification
– Ground water
Examples: OA in coastal ocean
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Aerobic respiration
(CH2O)106(NH3)16H3PO4 + 138 O2 + 18 HCO3
– 124 CO2 + 140 H2O + 16 NO3
– + HPO42–
Nitrification
NH4+ + 1.89 O2 + 1.98 HCO3–
0.984 NO3– + 0.016 C5H7O2N
+1.90 CO2 + 2.93 H2O
Fig A from Zhang Cao Fig B from Guo et al., 2008, CSR
Pearl River Estuary
Respiration + Nitrification induced pH drawdown in the Pearl River
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DO saturation (%)
Dep
th (m
)
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– Anthropogenic CO2
– Upwellings of low pH waters
– Respirations
– Ground water
Examples: OA in coastal ocean
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Acidification in Hainan Coral Reef
Low pH in Sanya fringing reef system
2-6 2-7 2-8 2-9 2-10 2-11 2-12 2-13 2-14
pH
_to
tal
sca
le_
@2
5℃
7.7
7.8
7.9
8.0
8.1
8.2
pH Sanya Coral Reef
pH Sanya Bay
2012-
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Major processes related to OA in the coastal ocean
River Plume
High TA Input pH ↑
Low TA Input pH ↓
Coastal Upwelling High CO2 pH ↓
Upwelling + OM Respiration CO2 ↑ pH ↓
OA pH ↓ Eutrophication CO2 ↓ pH ↑
Photosynthesis CO2 ↓ pH ↑ Respiration CO2 ↑ pH ↓
Coastal ocean has large natural variability due to changes in physical and biological conditions and various anthropogenic impacts including:
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Basics about coastal OA
• OA in coastal ocean? pH change in coastal ocean may be more complex, driven by anthropogenic CO2, riverine/groundwater input (eutrophication & respiration) and water circulation (upwelling of low pH/DO waters), and other biogeochemical reactions under low/no DO.
• Physical dynamics must be considered.
• OA observation is essential to set the stage of OA in coastal ocean
• Coastal ocean is particularly facing multiple stressors
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Outline
• Coastal Ocean Acidification
• Multiple stressors in the Coastal Ocean
• Concluding Remarks
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Multiple stressors in marine ecosystems
Doney et al., 2010
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Multiple forcings & responses: offset? Amplifying?
–Eutrophication-hypoxia + OA +temp?
–SGD + upwelling +….
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Multiple stressors: case 1
Enhanced OA by hypoxia and effect of temp?
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Hypoxia in the East China Sea off the Changjiang (Yangtze River) Estuary
Li & Zhang, 2002
(Wang, 2006)
(Zhu et al., 2011)
DO< 2 mg/L, ~10000 – 20000 km2
Taiwan: ~32,260 km2
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SST anomaly of global ocean in 20th century
The enhanced warming over the global subtropical western boundary currents in the 20th century might be attributable to the poleward shift of their mid-latitude extensions and/or intensification in their strength.
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All data points with S > 31 and depth > 10 m are selected.
Enhanced OA by respiration in hypoxic zone off the Changjiang estuary
Survey in Aug. 2011
The offshore water:
S = 33.2716
T = 26.7065
P = 10.471 dbar
DO = 208.31 μmol/kg
DIC = 1937.25 μmol/kg
TA = 2227.98 μmol/kg
NO3+NO2 = 0 μmol/kg
Silicate = 0 μmol/kg
Phosphate = 0 μmol/kg
pCO2_Calculted = 420 μatm
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Considering the slight TA change during respiration by TA:O=-17/138; DIC:DO=106/138
7.2
7.4
7.6
7.8
8.0
8.2
-50 0 50 100 150 200 250
pHT
O2 (μmol/kg)
Pre-industry
OAPI-P = -0.138Present
pHT = 8.05
OA'PI-P =
-0.209
pHT=
7.65
OA'P-F =
-0.360
OAP-F = -0.238
OA
Hypoxia
280 ppm
420 ppm
800 ppm
Model 1: S, T, P, and Nutrients Constant
BC: Buffering Capacity; PI: preindustrial pCO2 (280 ppm); P: present pCO2 (420 ppm ); F: future pCO2 (year 2100, 800 ppm)
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Consider the slight TA change during respiration by TA:O=-17/138; DIC:O=106/138
Model 2: S, P, Nutrients Constant, T Changes
7.2
7.4
7.6
7.8
8.0
8.2
-50 0 50 100 150 200 250
pHT
O2 (μmol/kg)
Pre-industry
OAPI-P = -0.138
Present
pHT = 8.05
OA'PI-P =
-0.203
pHT=
7.65
OA'P-F =
-0.318
OAP-F = -0.230
OA
Hypoxia
280 ppm, T-0.76oC
420 ppm, T constant
800 ppm, T+4oC
Consider the temperature change but no effect of temperature on respiration Tpreindustry: T-076oC Tyear 2100 : T+4oC
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The values beside the “/” come from the model 1 (left) and model 2 (right)
7.2
7.4
7.6
7.8
8.0
8.2
-50 0 50 100 150 200 250
pHT
O2 (μmol/kg)
OA'PI-P = -0.209/-0.203
pHT= 7.65
OA'P-F = -0.360/-0.318
Pre-industry
OAPI-P = -0.138/-0.138
Present
pHT = 8.05
OAP-F = -0.238/-0.230
OA
Hypoxia
280 ppm
420 ppm
800 ppm
280 ppm, T-0.76oC800 ppm, T+4oC
Model 1 vs 2: Higher temperature buffers the effect of ocean acidification
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Because the effect of temperature on CR, pH will drop 0.21unit (RespF-RespP) in the future than at present
7.2
7.4
7.6
7.8
8.0
8.2
-50 0 50 100 150 200 250
pHT
O2 (μmol/kg)
Pre-industry
OAPI-P = -0.138
Present
pHT = 8.05OA'PI-P = -0.187
pHT= 7.82
OA'P-F = -0.438
OAP-F = -0.230
OA
Hypoxia
280 ppm, T-0.76oC
420 ppm, T constant
800 ppm, T+4oC
Considering the effect of temperature on respiration
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Reminder
Subsurface enhancement of oxygen consumption and/or ocean acidification will depend on the seasonal hydrodynamics (if transport to the open ocean)
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Multiple stressors: case 2
Coastal Coral system under the impact of groundwater, upwelling
and anthropogenic CO2?
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Acidification in Coral Reef Environment
12'
13'
14'
15'
16'
17'
18 18'
109 20'21' 22' 23' 24' 25' 26' 27' 28' 29' 30' 31'
5m
5m10m
10m
10m
10m
20m
20m
30m30m
Sanya River
Dongmao Island
Sanya City
Ximao Island
Luhuitou Byland
Hainan Island, China
Sanya Bay
107 109 111 11317
19
21
23
Sanya National Coral Reef Reserves:
• fringing reef
• length ~ 3 km and width ~ 250~500 m
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Acidification in Hainan Coral Reef
Low pH in Sanya fringing reef system
2-6 2-7 2-8 2-9 2-10 2-11 2-12 2-13 2-14
pH
_to
tal s
cale
_@2
5℃
7.7
7.8
7.9
8.0
8.1
8.2
pH Sanya Coral Reef
pH Sanya Bay
2012-
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De
pth
(m
)
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2-6 2-7 2-8 2-9 2-10 2-11 2-12 2-13 2-14
22
4R
a d
pm
(1
00
L)-1
0
30
60
90
120
Salin
ity
33.3
33.4
33.5
33.6
33.7
33.8
224Ra Sanya Bay
Salinity Sanya Bay
2012-
Tidal-driven Submarine Groundwater Discharge (SGD) in Sanya fringing reef
Low salinity and high 224Ra during spring tide indicates the intrusion of SGD
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Upwelling in Sanya Coral Reef
108 110 112
18
19
20
DD203DD202
SY
Salinity (PSU)33.0 33.3 33.6 33.9 34.2 34.5 34.8
Pote
ntia
l Tem
p(℃
)
05
101520253035
DD203DD202SY-Coral Reef
Salinity (PSU)32.0 32.4 32.8 33.2 33.6 34.0 34.4
Pote
ntia
l Tem
p (℃
)
23
24
25
26
27
28
SY-Coral Reef
SY station is located at the edge of coral reef ecosystem.
Average depth of SY station: 14m
Upwelled water
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Contribution of SGD to acidification
Large diurnal changes of pH and pCO2 in spring tide when SGD was significant: up to 70% of the changes.
The aragonite saturation decreased to 1.77 during low tide of spring tide, a potential threat to coral reef systems.
2-6 2-7 2-8 2-9 2-10 2-11 2-12 2-13 2-14
arag
onite
satu
ratio
n
1
2
3
4
5
2012-
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Threats to coral reef around Hainan
Upwelling
Hainan Island
Coral reefs in Hainan waters account for more than 98% of the total area of that in China (Wu et al., 2012).
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Current and Future Scenarios
In 2100
• air pCO2=750 atm
• pH=7.6~7.8
• CaCO3 saturation down to 1.62~2.06.
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Multiple stresses to coastal coral reefs
Upwelling low pH
Groundwater table High tide
Low tide
Tidal pumping
Groundwater low pH
Anthropogenic CO2
Rising air temperature
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Upwelling low pH
Groundwater table ↑↓? High tide
Low tide
Tidal pumping
Anthropogenic CO2
Sea level?
Rising air temperature
Precipitation↑↓?
Groundwater ?low pH
Multiple stresses to coastal coral reefs: future changes?
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Gordian Knot?
from Boyd, 2013, Nature Climate Change, 3, 530-533
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Summary
• Coastal ecosystem are clearly under multiple stressors
– Hypoxic zones
– Coral reef systems
• The ecosystem responses/feedbacks to multiple stressors are complex.
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Concluding remarks • Penetration of CO2 in the coastal ocean has emerged
• The geochemistry of acidification is based on very well defined knowledge – yet coastal ocean more complex
• Coastal ecosystems under multiple forcings: temp rising + O2 decline+ acidification within a similar time frame
• Need consider the hydrodynamics: e.g., Upwelling/SGD
• OA observation system & multidisciplinary researches essential
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CHOICE-C: Carbon Cycling in China Seas- budget, controls and ocean acidification
A national program funded by Ministry of Science and Technology through National Basic Research Program of
China (973 Program) & a SOLAS endorsed program
Jan 2009-Aug 2013
http://973oceancarbon.xmu.edu.cn
Cocean
Air-sea CO2 flux
Processes
Ecological effects
Future trend
Thank you for your audience!
Funding sources: NSF-China, MOST