Migration pathway, age at ocean entry, and SARs for Snake River Basin fall Chinook prior to summer...
-
Upload
solomon-long -
Category
Documents
-
view
214 -
download
4
Transcript of Migration pathway, age at ocean entry, and SARs for Snake River Basin fall Chinook prior to summer...
Migration pathway, age at ocean entry, and SARs for Snake River Basin fall Chinook prior to summer spill at LGR, LGS, and LMN dams
Snake River
Columbia River
Salmon
Grande Ronde
Imnaha
0 50 100 Km
N
Clearwater
MONTANA
Swan Falls
Estuary
Core Area
Prehistorical Metapopulation- Subyearling ocean entrants
Snake River
Columbia River
Salmon
Grande Ronde
Imnaha
0 50 100 Km
N
Clearwater
MONTANA
Swan Falls
Estuary
Contemporary Subpopulations -Subyearling and yearling ocean entrants
Brownlee
McNary
Bonneville
OREGON
WASHINGTON
IDAHO
Oxbow
Hells Canyon
John Day
The Dalles
Ice
Har
bo
r
Lo
wer
Gra
nit
e
Lo
wer
Mo
nu
men
tal
Lit
tle
Go
ose
Dw
ors
hak
1998
Return Year
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Per
cen
tag
e o
f an
nu
al s
amp
le
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
(2)
(101) (55)
(6)
(65)(92)
(305)
Subyearling inter-annual mean 59%Yearling inter-annual mean 41%
2005 2006
(126)(444)
Fig 1. - Age at ocean-entry for random samples of wild Snake River Basin full-term fall Chinook salmon adults (i.e., II-Salts) collected at Lower Granite Dam.
Briefly explore the complex and diverse juvenile life history of Snake River Basin fall Chinook salmon;
1) Describing migration pathways and the subyearling and yearling tactics (a.k.a., ages at ocean entry)
2) Summarizing the limited information on SARs for the migration pathways and subyearling and yearling tactics
Data Collected during Non-spill years (1992 to present)
Validated scale pattern analysis
PIT-tag detection histories
A complete data set describing migration pathway, age at ocean entry, and SARs for wild Snake River Basin fall Chinook Salmon does not exist
Therefore, existing data are subject to interpretation and this requires some generalization and speculation
#1 Migration Pathway = Transportation
• Subyearling ocean entrants winter at sea (prevalent in summer barged groups)
• Yearling ocean entrants winter below Bonneville Dam (prevalence increases in fall trucked groups)
• Subyearling ocean entrants are numerically dominant
Fig 2.- Smolt-to-adult return rates (full-term adults detected at LGR / number of smolts transported system-wide) for surrogate and run-at-large Snake River subyearlings (brood year 2001) transported from a collector dam in 2002.
Summer transport Fall transport
Migration pathway
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%S
mo
lt-t
o-a
du
lt r
etu
rn r
ate
81 / 17,282
32 / 875
Prevalence of yearling ocean entry increases
Summer transport75-100 mm FL
Fall transport175-200 mm FL(or larger)
Size and Timing of Release Downstream of Bonneville Dam
#2 Migration Pathway = Inriver Migration
• Subyearling ocean entrants winter at sea (prevalent for Snake River subpopulation)
• Yearling ocean entrants winter above or below Bonneville (prevalent for Clearwater River subpopulation)
• Active subyearling migrants are numerically dominant
05/01/200606/16/2006
08/01/200609/16/2006
11/01/200612/17/2006
02/01/200703/19/2007
Passage date at Lower Granite Dam
0
20
40
60
80
100
120E
stim
ated
nu
mb
er p
asse
dRadio tagsClearwater
Dewatering
PIT-tag detectionsystem typicallydewatered
SnakeMostlysubyearling
Mostlyyearling
All yearling(reservoir types)
Never detected group(reservoir types)
Fig 3.-Seasonal migration patterns in 2006-2007 for wild fall Chinook salmon juveniles (brood year 2005) from the Snake River Basin upstream of Lower Granite Reservoir.
Fig 4.- Smolt-to-adult return rates (full-term adults detected at LGR / smolts detected and bypassed system-wide) for surrogate subyearlings released into the Snake River in 2002 (i.e., brood year 2000) that migrated to the sea inriver.
Summer inriver
Migration pathway
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%S
mo
lt-t
o-a
du
lt r
etu
rn r
ate
8 / 3,310
Fall inriver
4 / 178
Spring inriver
56 / 1,229
ND inriver
72 / ?
Subyearlingsprevalent
Yearlingsprevalent
Yearlingsprevalent
Yearlings
Subyearling inriver100-125 mm FL
Yearling inriver 200-225 mm FL
Size at Bonneville Dam Passage
Fig 5.- Smolt-to-adult return rates for surrogate and run-at-large subyearlings by migration pathway in 2002 (i.e., brood year 2001) given with the percentage of smolts detected using each migration pathway.
Summer inriver
Migration pathway
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%S
mo
lt-t
o-a
du
lt r
etu
rn r
ate
Fallinriver
Summertransport
Falltransport
Pe
rcen
tage o
f smo
lts5.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%95% of Smolts
5% of Smolts
Avg.SAR0.4%
Avg.SAR3.4%
Discussion
Diversity increases fitness
There will be a “Darwinian Debt” to pay if the population evolves completely to the yearling tactic (e.g., Williams et al. in press; Evolutionary Applications)
Discussion (Cont)
Summer spill (2005 to 2007)
Will summer spill increase the SARs of active inriver migrants destined to enter the ocean as subyearlings, thereby balancing
juvenile life history diversity in the population?
Summer inriver
Migration pathway
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
Sm
olt
-to
-ad
ult
ret
urn
rat
e
Summertransport
Percen
tage o
f smo
lts
5.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Conclusions
1. The juvenile life history of Snake River Basin fall Chinook salmon is complex and diverse; unlike Snake River Basin spring Chinook salmon, this complexity and diversity is exhibited within the hydropower system and the estuary
2. The relatively large number of active early migrants destined to become subyearling ocean entrants likely compensates for the relatively low SARs for active early migrants
3. The relatively high SARs for late migrants destined to become yearling ocean entrants compensated for the relative small number of fish that likely survive to become yearling ocean entrants
4. Consequently, both the subyearling and yearling tactics contribute largely to the return of full-term adults