Michael enescu keynote chicago2014_from_cloud_to_fog_and_iot
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1 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014 1
Michael Enescu CTO Open Source Initiatives
LinuxCon 2014 – August 21
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2 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014 2
• What is IoT and Fog Computing
• How did we get here
• Where are we going – the “Open” future of IoT
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3 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
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4 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Industries Safety
and Security
Connected Home Energy
B2C Smart Cities
Industry Innovation: Business
Processes and Operations
Networks and Protocols
Data Analytics
Control Systems
Sensors and Devices
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5 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
7.2 6.8 7.6
50
2010 2015 2020
0
40
30
20
10
Bill
ions
of d
evic
es
25
12.5
Inflection point
Timeline
Source: Cisco IBSG, 2011
50 Billion smart devices Adoption 5x faster than electricity, telephony
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6 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Information Technology (IT) Operational Technology (OT)
IoT
Campus Branch Plant Field Data Center
6
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7 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
• Storage and Compute declining faster • Network scales very differently than compute
Sensors will evolve faster than bandwidth Distributed computing more compelling over time
• Data gravity?
Compute
Storage
Network
Moore’s and Nielsen’s predictions hold
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8 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Centralized -> Decentralized
Decentralized -> Centralized
Fixed, role based model
Easier ops model, new apps
New devices, P2P, M2M
Dedicated compute loads
On-Demand, XaaS, AAA
New PIN’s, improved protocols
Mainframe -> Client-Server
Client-Server-> Cloud
Cloud -> Fog / IoT
1st 2nd 3rd Moore Nielsen Prediction
Pow
er +
com
pute
reac
h A
AA
Centralized -> Decentralized
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9 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
90% of the world’s data created in last 2 years
46 million smart meters in the U.S alone 1.1 billion data points (.5TB) / day A single consumer packaged good manufacturing machine generates 13B data samples/day A large offshore field produces 0.75TB data/week A jet engine produces 20TB flight data/hour
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10 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
ACTION
SENSORS
DATA
IoT Traffic will grow at 82% CAGR through 2017*
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11 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
• Networking is changing 50B+ Devices coming – Immense amount of data No longer about “data transport” Moving to “intelligence about data”: Understanding and taking actions
• Analytics are changing Massive data => can not move data fast enough to analytics => move analytics to the data Real-time actions => processing compute closer to the source
Next: Two important analytics related technology trends
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12 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Unified Platform
Network Compute Storage
CLOUD
STORE ANALYZE ACT NOTIFY
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13 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Unified Platform
Network Compute Storage
CLOUD EDGE
STORE ANALYZE ACT NOTIFY
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14 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Cloud
Device/Smart Object
North/South Flows East/West Flows Fog
Fog Nodes can be multi-tenant Shared, public or private (like cloud)
Highly virtualized environment Secured & isolated tenants, QoS, workload distribution
Mixed ownership & operation Single entity, federation of agencies
Service Mobility Ability to migrate a running instance from cloud to edge
Fog is the distributed, hierarchically organized platform where the Internet meets the physical world at M2M scale
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15 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Future data predicted
• Data from a sensor exhibits a consistent pattern over
time intervals Analytics, Prediction, Real Time Action
• Data at the edge (data in motion), moves to the core (data at rest) over time
Adaptive Systems, Machine Learning, Optimization Real Time Data – Sensors/Edge
Achieved data – Gateway/Server
Achieved data – DC/Cloud
T1
T2
T3
Tf Present
……
Time
Compare
Model
Correction
Prediction
Input
Output
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16 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
Industry Segment Type of Savings Estimated Value Over
15 Years (Billion nominal USD)
Aviation Commercial 1% fuel savings $30B
Power Gas-fired Generation 1% fuel savings $66B
Healthcare System-wide 1% Reduction in System Inefficiency $63B
Rail Freight 1% Reduction in System Inefficiency $27B
Oil & Gas Exploration & Development
1% Reduction in Capital Expenditures $90B
Total $276B
Source: “Industrial Internet: Pushing the Boundaries of Minds and Machines” GE, Nov 26, 2012
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17 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
• Like its Cloud predecessor, IoT will be mostly open source
• Devices: Core, Access, Gateway – mostly Open Source Edge – vectoring fast on Open Source
• Network: Core, Access, Gateway – Internet, all Open Source Edge – consolidation of protocols, renewed emphasis on robustness, security, privacy
• New Applications and Services Data Gravity – applications come to data (not the old/other way) – either open or closed … guess who will win?
… and just like in the early days of the dot com The emergence of the new breed of SPs – existential dilemma of the aging utility model
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18 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
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19 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
• New, IoT specific SP’s will emerge
• All IoT Software will be Open Source
• Why? Open Source = Credibility Open Source dominates Development Open Source dominates Virtualization and Cloud – Fog (as an extension of it) is no exception
• And where is Open Source already in the Internet of Things?
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20 Michael Enescu keynote – “From Cloud to Fog & The Internet of Things” – Chicago, LinuxCon 2014
[email protected] @michaelenescu
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