MF0015-SLM-Unit-09
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Unit 9 Management of Foreign
Exchange Exposure
Structure
9.1 Caselet
9.2 Introduction
Objectives
9.3 Tools of Foreign Exchange Risk Management
9.4 Distinguishing between Functional and Reporting Currency
9.5 Currency Volatility Over Time9.6 Risk Management Products
9.7 Techniques of Exposure Management
9.8 Case Study
9.9 Summary
9.10 Glossary
9.11 Terminal Questions
9.12 Answers
References/e-References
9.1 Caselet
A pr imer on corporate hedging
In the recent past, many instances relating to capital losses have surfaced
due to wrong decisions taken by companies in regard to the market
movements and erroneous hedging. Without hedging, a company is open
to the elements of the markets on which they have no control and in adverse
times the companies post losses due to poor market condition.
A case in point is with Hexaware Systems. The company booked a loss of
Rs 10.3 crore ($2.6 million). This was mainly because of dealing in foreignexchange options contracts. Another example is that of Larsen and Tuobro.
It had booked a `200-crore ($51 million) loss on commodity futures on the
London Metals Exchange. Many IT companies were also mercilessly hit by
the sharp depreciation in the dollar in 2007. The reason attributed was
inadequate hedging. These instances bring out the need and importance
of having a clear-cut and guiding policy frame-work for hedging by corporate.
However, one must not confuse these situations from losses that banks
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(such as ICICI Bank) have incurred due to taking speculative positions in
financial markets. The basic rule behind the policy of hedging is that it is a
preventive measure taken to reduce losses in a possible adverse market
situation. The etymology of the word probably comes from the fact that
hedges protect gardens from destructive visitors like stray dogs. It is a
myth that all hedging is financial; for example, constituting a ‘bench strength’
in an IT company to ensure availability of talent when required; diversification
to reduce reliance on one market or one client and decentralization and
creation of back-ups to reduce reliance on a few key employees are all
examples of non-financial or strategic hedging. Typically, the level of financial
hedging is more in companies whose main activity is trading (such asinvestment banks and hedge funds) vis-a-vis ‘brick-and-mortar’ companies
that produce something.
Source: Adapted from http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/todays-paper/
article1620827.ece?ref=archive
Accessed on 8 October 2012
9.2 Introduction
In the previous unit, you learnt about the concept of foreign exchange exposure.
The different types of exposure had also been discussed. You also studied howto measure economic exposure and the various translation methods.
In this unit, we will take the concept forward and understand how foreign
exchange exposure is managed. You will learn about the various tools and
techniques of foreign risk management and the risk management products.
You will understand the differences between the functional and the reporting
currency and various techniques used for exposure management.
Objectives
After studying this unit, you should be able to:
• discuss the tools and techniques of foreign exchange risk management
• define the differences between functional and reporting currency
• assess risk management products and currency volatility
• discuss the techniques of exposure management
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9.3 Tools of Foreign Exchange Risk Management
Various financial instruments are used by companies in India and abroad in
order to hedge the exchange risk. Such kinds of instruments are available to
the company at varying costs. The various tools that hedge the different kinds
of risks are given below:
• Forward contracts: A forward contract is a non-standardized contract
that takes place between two parties for the purpose of selling or buying
an asset at a specified future time at a price that has already been agreed.
The party who buys the underlying position assumes a long position andthe party who sells the asset assumes a short position. Delivery price is
the price that has been agreed upon. It is one of the most common means
of hedging transactions in foreign currencies. It offers the ability to the
users to lock in a sale price or a purchase without the involvement of any
direct cost. It is also used by speculators who use forward contracts so as
to place bets on the price movements of the underlying asset. Banks and
many multinational corporations also use it to hedge the price risk by the
elimination of uncertainty about prices.
• Futures contracts: It is a standardized contract that takes place between
two parties for buying and selling a specified asset of standardized quality
and quantity for a price that has been agreed at the present date. The
payment and delivery takes place at a future specified date which is also
known as the delivery date.
• Option contracts: In this type of contract, the buyer of the option has the
right but not the obligation to fulfill the transaction while the seller has the
responsibility of fulfilling the conditions stated in the contract through the
delivery of the shares to the appropriate party.
An option can be distinguished as a call option or a put option. The option
conveying the right to buy the underlying asset at a specific price is called
a call and the option conveying the right to sell the underlying asset at a
specific price is known as the put option.
• Currency Swap: The agreement that takes place between two parties
through which they exchange a series of cash flows in one currency for a
series of cash flows in another currency is known as currency swap. It
takes place at agreed intervals and over an agreed period of time. Law
doesn’t require it to be shown on a company’s balance sheet as it is
considered to be a foreign exchange transaction.
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Act ivity 1
Select an MNC of your choice and study the hedging techniques it had
applied for foreign risk management. Make a report.
Hint:
• Browse the Internet and find out the hedging techniques that are applied
in the market.
Self-Assessment Questions
1. A ____________ is a non-standardized contract that takes place between
two parties for the purpose of selling or buying an asset at specified future
time at price that has already been agreed.
2. The option conveying the right to buy the underlying asset at a specific
price is called a ____________ .
3. ____________ is a standardized contract that takes place between two
parties for buying and selling a specified asset of standardized quality
and quantity for a price that has been agreed at the present date.
9.4 Distinguishing between Functional and Reporting Currency
In December 1981, the Financial Accounting Standards Board Statement 52
(FASB 52) was issued after which it was required of all the American MNCs to
adopt the statement for fiscal years starting on or after 15 December 1982. The
FASB 52 states that the firms must make use of the current rate method for
translating foreign currency denominated assets and liabilities into dollars. The
expense items on the income statement and all the foreign currency revenue
must be translated at either the exchange rate in effect on the date when these
items were recognized or at an appropriated weighted average exchange rate
for the period. It is also required by the FASB 52 that the translation gains and
the losses needs to be accumulated and presented in a different equity account
on the parent’s balance sheet and this account is known as the ‘cumulative
translation adjustment’ account. A foreign affiliate’s ‘functional’ and ‘reporting’
currency have also been differentiated by ASB 52.
The currency of the primary economic environment where the affiliate
operates and in which it generates cash flows is known as functional currency.
It is also the local currency in which most of the business of the entity is
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conducted. However, in some situations, it can also function as the home country
currency of the parent firm or some third country currency.
The reporting currency on the other hand is the one in which the financial
statements are prepared by the parent firm. It is also generally the currency in
which the parent is located and most of the business is conducted.
The management also needs to determine the nature and purpose of the
foreign operations in order to decide on the appropriate functional currency.
Generally the functional currency will become the local currency of the country
if the operations of the foreign affiliate are self-contained and integrated with a
particular country.
Self-Assessment Questions
4. In December 1981, the Financial Accounting Standards Board Statement
52 (FASB 52) was issued. (True/False)
5. The currency of the primary economic environment where the affiliate
operates and in which it generates cash flows is known as reporting
currency. (True/False)
9.5 Currency Volatili ty Over Time
Currency volatility can be defined as the measure of the change in price that
takes place over a given time period. It doesn’t remain constant from one time
period to another. The currency volatility keeps on changing from time to time
and thus the assessment conducted by the MNCs of the future volatility of the
currency will not be accurate. However, it can still be beneficial for the MNCs as
they can derive information even though the MNCs may not be able to predict
accurately. Currencies such as the British pound whose value is most likely to
remain constant unlike the highly volatile currencies like the South Korean Won
or the Italian Lira can be identified.
Change in the value of a company that accompanies an unanticipated
change in exchange rates is called as economic exposure risk. This is also
related to the currency volatility over time. Of all the three exposures, economic
exposure is the most important as it has an impact on the valuation of a firm.
Suppose a Japanese company imports children toys from India. The same
product is also available from China but it is costly. If the rupee appreciates
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against the yen and the Chinese currency decreases against yen, Japan will
prefer to import the toys from China as it will get at a cheaper rate.
Since economic exposure comes from unanticipated changes, its
measurement is not as precise as those of transaction and translation exposures.
Shapiro has classified economic exposure into two components, transaction
exposure and operating exposure. The changes in the value of financial
obligations incurred before a change in exchange rates but to be settled after
the change is defined as transaction exposure. Operating exposure has an
impact on the firm’s future operating costs and cash flows. Since the firm is
valued as a going concern entity, its future revenues and costs are to be affected
by the exchange rate changes. If the firm succeeds in passing on the impact of higher input costs fully by increasing the selling price, it does not have any
operating risk exposure as its operating future cash flows are likely to remain
unaffected. In addition to supply and demand elasticity, the firm’s ability to shift
production and sourcing of inputs is another major factor affecting operating
risk exposure. High-low Position Index (HLPI) is an important tool that is used
to measure the volatility of currencies and also to describe the position of the
current exchange rate relative to its one year high and low.
Self-Assessment Questions
6. Currency volatility can be defined as the measure of the change in price
that takes place over a given time period. (True/False)
7. Transaction exposure has an impact on the firm’s future operating costs
and cash flows. (True/False)
9.6 Risk Management Products
The most important products that the firms use to meet their exchange risk
management risks are through the forward, swap and options contracts. A survey
conducted by the Fortune 500 firms found that the most popular product is thetraditional forward contract. A currency option is the next most commonly used
instrument followed by options contract. In another survey conducted by
Jesswein, Kwok and Folks, it has been stated that the finance/insurance/real
estate industry is the one which uses the risk management products most
frequently. It also further stated that the corporate use of foreign exchange risk
management is also related to international involvement of a firm.
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Through a forward contract, a buyer or a seller can lock in a purchasing
or selling price for an asset with the arrangement that the transaction would
take place in the future. In this contract, the buyer or the seller arrives at a price
and date when they are obligated to buy or sell a given asset. Until the expiry or
the delivery date, there is no exchange of cash or assets and on the day of the
delivery it can be be settled either by physical delivery of the asset or the cash
settlement. It helps the buyer and the seller to reduce the fluctuation risks in the
currency markets through which businesses are affected.
Currency swap: A derivative in which cash flows of the financial instrument of
one party is exchanged for the cash flow of another party’s financial instrument
is known as a swap. The type of the financial instrument involved determinesthe benefits in question. The dates when the cash flows are to be paid and the
way in which they are to be calculated are defined by the swap agreement.
Various kinds of swaps are available but the most commonly used swaps are
the interest rate swaps and currency swaps. An interest rate swap can be defined
as a financial contract that takes place between two parties through which interest
payments are made on a notional amount of principal on a number of occasions
throughout a specified period. One of the parties involved in the contract make
a cash payment on each payment date during the specified period. This cash
payment depends on the differential between the fixed and the floating rates. A
currency swap on the other hand can be defined as a contract which takesplace in order to exchange interest payments in one currency for those
denominated in another currency. Back-to-back loans and parallel loans gives
way to currency swap and at present the current swap market is smaller and
less sophisticated.
Option: A derivative financial instrument through which a contract takes place
between two parties for a future transaction on a particular asset at a reference
price is known as an option. In this type of contract, the buyer gains the right but
not the obligation to engage in that transaction. There are different types of
options market. They are exchange traded option and over-the-counter option.
Exchange traded options are a class of exchange traded derivatives that are
settled through a clearing house and the fulfillment is guaranteed by the OptionsClearing Corporation (OCC). In this type of contracts, accurate pricing models
are often available as the contracts are standardized. In case of over-the-counter
options, the trade takes place between two private parties who are not listed on
an exchange. The options can also be individually tailored to meet any business
needs.
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Self-Assessment Questions
8. Through a____________, a buyer or a seller can lock in a purchasing or
selling price for an asset with the arrangement that the transaction would
take place in the future.
9. A derivative financial instrument through which a contract takes place
between two parties for a future transaction on a particular asset at a
reference price is known as an____________.
10. ____________are a class of exchange traded derivatives that are settled
through a clearing house and the fulfillment is guaranteed by the OptionsClearing Corporation (OCC).
9.7 Techniques of Exposure Management
9.7.1 Managing Transaction Exposure
Transaction exposure calculates gains or losses which occur after the current
financial compulsions according to terms of reference are resolved. Taken that
the deal would lead to a future inflow or outflow of foreign currency cash, any
unprecedented alterations in rate of exchange amid the period in which
transaction is entered and the time taken for it to settle in cash would guide to achange in worth of net flow of cash in terms of the home currency. For example
a transaction exposure of an Indian company will be the account receivable
which is associated with a sale denominated in US dollars or the compulsion of
an account payable in Euro debt.
Presume an Indian firm sells goods with an open account to a German
buyer for €1,800,000 payment of which is to be done in 2 months. The current
exchange rate is ` 50/€, and the Indian seller expects to exchange the euros
received for ` 90,000,000 when payment is received. If euro weakens to `45/€
when payment is received, the Indian seller will receive only `81,000,000, or
some`9,000,000 less than anticipated. Opposite will be the case should eurostrengthen. Thus exposure is a chance of either gain or loss.
Alternative 1: Invoice the German buyer in rupees; but the Indian firm might
not have obtained the sale in the first place.
Alternative 2: Invoice the German buyer in dollars; both the parties are exposed
should an unanticipated change in exchange rate between dollar and the
respective home currency.
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In either case, the remedy might be worse than the disease!
(i) Forward market hedge: If you might owe foreign currency in upcoming
future, be in agreement to purchase foreign currency in present by entering
into long position in a onward contract. If you might get foreign currency
in future, consent to sell it now by entering into small time position in a
forward contract.
Let us take an example of an Indian importer of readymade garments
from Britain who has just placed the order for next year’s stock. Payment
of amount of £100 million is pending in coming year. Question: How can
you fix outflow of cash in rupees?
Another method involves putting oneself in a situation that lets one gain £
100 million a year, resulting in a long forward contract on the pound.
Suppose both the spot and one-year forward exchange rate is `80/£. If
he does not hedge the £100 million payable, in one year your gain (loss)
on the unhedged position is calculated as follows. The importer will be
better off if the pound depreciates: he still buys £100 million but at an
exchange rate of only `79/£, he saves `100 million relative to `80/£. But
he will be worse off if the pound appreciates.
If the importer agrees to buy £100 million in one year at forward exchange
rate of `80/£, his gain (loss) on the forward is as follows. If he agrees tobuy £100 million at a price of `80 per pound, he will make `50 million if
the price of a pound reaches `80.50. If he agrees to buy £100 million at a
price of `80 per pound, he will lose `50 million if the price of a pound is
only `79.50. This analysis is based on actual results as the future spot
rate cannot be predicted. However, the decision of going forward with the
hedge must be based on the predications. So the firm has to form an
expectation about future spot rate
(a) If E(ST)=F, the ‘expected’ gains or losses are zero. But forward
hedging eliminates exchange exposure.
(b) If E(ST)<F, the firm expects a loss from forward hedging. Thus thefirm would be less inclined to hedge under this scenario. However,
assuming that the firm is averse to risk and the firm does go ahead
with the hedge, the reduction in the predicted proceeds (in dollars)
can also be viewed as the ‘insurance premium’. In other words, it
can be used to make necessary payments in order to avoid or
minimize the risks involved with exchange rates.
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(c) If E(ST)>F, the firm expects a positive gain from forward hedging.
Thus the firm would be more inclined to hedge under this scenario.
(ii) Money market hedge: In order to hedge the payable foreign currency, a
firm can purchase a lump sum of that foreign currency and then sit on it
for a long period of time. This can be done in following ways:
• The current value of the payable foreign currency can be bought.
• The amount may be invested at the foreign rate.
• The amount can be converted back at maturity. This ensures that
the investment grows enough to cover the payable foreign currency.
The Indian importer of British readymade garments, owes in one year
£100 million to the British supplier. The spot exchange rate is `80/£. The
one-year interest rate in UK is i£ = 5 per cent. Borrow ` x million in India.
Translate ` x million into pounds at the spot rate S(`/£) = `80/£. Invest £x/
80 million in the UK at i£ = 5 per cent for one year. In one year investment
£x (1.05)/80 million will have grown to £100 million. Solving for x, we get
x=7619 (approximately), so that we have redenominated a one-year £100
million payable into a `7619 million payable due today. If the interest rate
in India is i` = 6 per cent, the Indian importer could borrow the `7619
million today and owe in one year.
`8076 million = `7619 million ×(1.06)
Let us suppose that a firm wishes to hedge £ received in the sum of £ y
along with a maturity of T:
(i) Borrow £y/(1+ i£)T at t = 0.
(ii) Exchange £y/(1+ i£)T for $x at the prevailing spot rate.
At the time of maturity, the firm will owe a $y which can be paidwith the receivable sum. This way, the firm’s exposure to theexchange rates involving dollar and pound will be reducedconsiderably.
(iii) Option hedge: One possible shortcoming of both forward and moneymarket hedges is that the firm has to forgo the opportunity to benefit from
favourable exchange rate changes. Keeping several options available
creates a flexible hedge against the downside. At the same time, it helps
in preserving the upside potential. The payable buys are called on the
foreign currency in order to hedge the currency. If there is an appreciation
in the value of the currency, then the call option allows the firm to purchase
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the currency at the exercise price of the call. In order to hedge a foreign
currency, receivable buy is put on the currency. In case of depreciation in
the value of the currency, the put option allows the firm to sell off the
currency at the exercise rate.
Suppose our importer buys a call option on £100 million with an exercise
price of `80 per pound. He pays ` 8 per pound for the call, so that the total
payment for the option is `800,000,000. This transaction provides Indian
importer with the right, but not the obligation, to buy upto £100 million for
`80/£, regardless of the future spot rate.
Assume that the spot exchange rate turns out to be `79.50 on the expiration
date. Since the importer has the right to buy each pound at `80, he will
not exercise the option. However if the rupee depreciates to `80.50 on
the expiration date, he will surely exercise the call option by buying each
pound at a much cheaper rate of `80. The foremost benefit of option
hedging is that it allows the firm to decide if it wants to exercise this option
on the basis of the realized spot exchange rate on expiry. Recall that
Indian importer has paid `800,000,000 upfront for the option. Considering
the time value of money, this upfront cost at i` = 6 per cent is equivalent
to `848,000,000 (= `800,000,000 x 0.06) as of expiration date.
Transaction
Buy a call option on £100 million for an upfront cost of `800,000,000. In one
year, decide whether to exercise the option upon observing the prevailing spot
exchange rate.
Outcome
Assurance of not having to pay more than ` 848,000,000, in case the future
spot exchange rate is found to be more than the exercise exchange rate.
Cross-hedging minor currency exposure
In today’s market, the most prominent currencies are US dollar, euro, Canadian
dollar, Swiss francs, Japanese yen and Mexican pesos. Currencies like Thaibath, Indian rupee and Korean won are minor currencies circulating in the market.
Obtaining financial contracts for hedge exposure of these minor currencies is a
difficult task and proves to be costly. For this purpose, cross-hedging is often
used. It can be understood as the hedging of a particular position in one asset
and replacing a position in some other asset. The success and effectiveness of
cross-hedging depends on the degree of interrelatedness of the assets.
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9.7.2 Managing Operating Exposure
Operating exposure is alternatively known as economic exposure. It evaluates
the changes that occur in the current value of the firm. The change in the current
value may be a result of the change that takes place in predicted operating
cash flows on account of fluctuations in exchange rates.
They are similar in that they both deal with future cash flows. They differ
in terms of which cash flows management considers. Transaction exposure
deals with the predicted cash flows for future that have already been contracted
and hence accounted for. At the same time, the operating exposure focuses on
the predicted-but not yet contracted-cash flows in future. These future cashflows may undergo changes in case of a major fluctuation in the exchange rate,
resulting in changes in the overall competitiveness at international level.
Suppose an Indian MNC, such as Videocon, has sales in India, United
States, China and Europe and therefore, posts a continuing series of foreign
currency receivables (and payables). Sales and expenses that are already
contracted for are traditional transaction exposures. Sales that are highly
probable based on the Videocon’s historical business line and market share but
have no legal basis yet are anticipated transaction exposures. Let us extend
the analysis of the firm’s exposure to exchange rate changes even further into
the future. The analysis of this longer term – where exchange rate changes are
unpredictable and, therefore, unexpected – is the goal of operating exposure
analysis. Broadly speaking, operating exposure and its implications are not limited
to the sensitivity and dependability of the future cash flows of a firm upon the
unpredictable fluctuations in foreign exchange rates. It is also directly affected
by other chaif macroeconomic variables. This phenomenon is often known as
macroeconomic uncertainty.
Some firms face operating exposure without even dealing in foreign
exchange. Consider an Indian perfume manufacturer who sources and sells
only in the domestic market. Since the firm’s product competes against imported
perfumes (say from Paris) it is subject to foreign exchange exposure. It faces
severe competition when rupee gains against other currencies (here, euro),lowering the prices of imported perfumes.
Suppose that an Indian manufacturer has contracted to sell 100 pairs of
jeans per year to Britain at `1200 per pair and to buy 200 yards of denim from
Britain in this same period for £2 per yard. Suppose that 2 yards of denim are
required per pair and that the labour cost for each pair is `400. Suppose that at
the time of contracting the exchange rate is S(`/£) = 80 and the rupee is then
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devalued to S(`/£) = 81. Suppose also that the elasticity of demand for Indian
jeans in Britain is -2 and that after the contract expires the Indian manufacturer
raises the price of jeans to `1205 per pair. What are the gains/losses from the
devaluation on the jeans sold and on the denim bought at the pre-contracted
prices? (i.e., what are the gains/losses from transaction exposure on payables
and receivables?) What are the gains/losses from the extra competitiveness of
Indian jeans, that is, from operating exposure?
Solution: Effect of transaction exposure
Before the devaluation
Expected total revenue/year =100 pairs x `1200/pair =`1,20,000. Expected totalcost /year =100 pairs x 2yd/pair × £2/yd x `80/£ + 100 pairs x `400/pair =
`72,000. Expected profit = `120,000 – `72,200 = `48,000.
After the devaluation
Expected total revenue/year =100 pairs x `1200/pair =`1,20,000. Expected total
cost /year =100 pairs x 2yd/pair x £2/yd x `81/£ + 100 pairs x `400/pair = `72,400.
Expected profit = `120,000 – ̀ 72,400 = `47,600. Exporter’s profit on contracted
quantities and prices of jeans supplied and denim purchased is reduced by
`400 per year because of the transaction exposure.
Solution: Effect of operating exposure
Before the devaluation
Expected profit = ` 48,000
After the contract expires
When the rupee price of jeans rises from `1200/pair to `1205/pair, the pound
price falls from £15 to £14.88, i.e., a 0.8 per cent reduction. With a demand
elasticity of -2, it will result in sales increasing by 1.6 per cent to 101 pairs per
year. Expected total revenue/year =101 pairs x `1205/pair =`121,705. Expected
total cost /year =101 pairs x 2yd/pair x £2/yd x `81/£ + 101 pairs x `400/pair =
`73,124. Expected profit = `121,705 – `73,124 = `48,581. We find that theexporter’s profit is increased by `581 per year from the devaluation because of
operating exposure.
The operating exposure of a firm is dependent upon the following:
1. The overall market structure in terms of inputs and products
2. The level of competitiveness and monopoly existing in the market
that the firm is looking to face
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3. The capability of the firm to align its marketing strategies, product
mix, and sourcing in relation to the exchange rates and the
accompanying changes
In case, the cost or the price of a firm is directly affected by the changes
in the exchange rates, then the firm is understood to be subjected to increased
levels of operating exposure. As an extension of this, when the cost as well as
the price of the firm is being affected by the changes in exchange rates, then
firm can be said to have little or no operating exposure.
Consider a hypothetical company, Ford Indiana, a subsidiary of Ford,
which imports cars from US and distributes in India. If dollar is expected to
appreciate against the rupee, Ford Indiana’s expected cost goes up in rupee
terms. Whether this creates operating exposure for Ford critically depends on
the structure of the car market in India. If Ford Indiana faces competition from
India (or other foreign) car makers for whom rupee costs did not arise, raising
the rupee price of imported car is not a feasible option. In contrast, if Ford
Indiana faces competition only from other US car makers (like General Motors)
for whom rupee costs would have similarly been affected by dollar appreciation,
competitive position of Ford Indiana would not be adversely affected, leading to
a higher rupee price of imported cars.
Even if Ford Indiana faces competition from local car makers in India, it
can reduce exposure by starting to source Indian parts and materials, whichwould be cheaper in dollar terms after the dollar appreciation. Ford can even
start to produce cars in India by hiring local workers and sourcing local inputs,
thereby making its costs less sensitive to changes in the dollar/rupee exchange
rate. The firm’s flexibility regarding production locations, sourcing, and financial
hedging strategy is an important determinant of its operating exposure to
exchange risk.
Suppose the annual inflation rate in US is 2 per cent and in India, it is 6
per cent. Recollect the relative PPP condition: the exchange rate change during
a period should equal the inflation differential for that same time period, to avoid
possibility of any arbitrage.Case 1: dollar appreciates about 4 per cent against the rupee. Since the
rupee prices of both Ford and locally produced cars rise by the same 6 per cent
(for Ford it includes a 2 per cent increase in the dollar price of cars + a 4 per
cent appreciation of dollar against rupee), the 4 per cent appreciation of the
dollar will not affect the competitive position of Ford vis-à-vis local car makers.
Ford is thus not exposed to exchange risk
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Case 2: Suppose dollar appreciates by more than 4 per cent against
rupee. Ford cars will become relatively more expensive than locally produced
cars, adversely affecting Ford’s competitive position. Ford is thus exposed to
exchange risk.
Managing operating exposure
(i) Selecting low cost production sites: A firm may wish to diversify the
location of their production sites to mitigate the effect of exchange rate
movements. The adverse repercussions of the fluctuations in exchangerates can be avoided, if the location of the production sites is shifted to
other countries with currencies that have depreciated in real terms. Onecondition to this is that the production costs in these countries should
involve plenty of local and topical content. The Japanese car maker Nissanhas manufacturing facilities in US other than Japan. During the January-
May, 1993 yen appreciated against the dollar by more than 13 per cent,thereby affecting the competitive position of Nissan in US car market.
Nissan choose to shift production from Japan to US manufacturing facilitiesin order to mitigate the negative effect of the strong yen on US sales.
Another example is of Honda Group, which constructed factories in North America in the view of the strong position of yen in the market. However,
later when the yen began to weaken, the company decided to import
more cars from Japan than to build them in North American factories.(ii) Flexible sourcing policy: It is found that if the inputs and raw materials
are bought in foreign markets where the local content in the production
costs is considerably high, then the fluctuations in excshange rates resultin a corresponding change in the relative cost of sourcing from alternative
sources.
Example: Facing strong yen, Japanese manufacturers in the car andconsumer electronics industries, depend heavily on parts and intermediate
products from such low-cost countries as Thailand, Malaysia and China.Sourcing is not limited to components used in production but also extend
to hiring ‘guest workers’. For instance, Japan Airlines recruited peoplefrom foreign countries for its crew in order to retain its competitive edge in
the wake of strong yen. Later, however, it reversed its strategy when theyen began to weaken and there was a rise in the rate unemployment in
the local market.
(iii) Diversification of market: this can be understood in terms of sale of
products in a number of markets in order to maximize advantage on
account of diversification of the exchange rate risk. Suppose Infosys is
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outsourcing its services in US as well as in Germany. Reduced outsourcing/
sales in US, following rupee appreciation against dollar can be
compensated by increased sales in Germany due to rupee depreciation
against the euro. As a result Infosys overall cash flows will be much more
stable, than would be the case if it were to outsource in only one country.
(iv) R&D and product differentiation: This entails an effective R&D in order
to facilitate the following:
• Cost reduction
• Increase in productivity
• Product differentiation
An effect ive product differentiation results in a decrease in demand
elasticity, which in turn, translates into reduced risks involving exchange
rate fluctuations.
(v) Financial hedging: Transaction exposure to currency risk is mostly short-
term in nature. In contrast operating exposure has a very long time horizon.
The four most commonly employed financial hedging policies are:
• Matching currency cash flows
• Risk-sharing agreements
• Back-to-back or parallel loans• Currency swaps
(a) Matching currency cash flows: Let us suppose, that an Indian
company is involved in continuous export sales in the US market. In
order to gain a competitive advantage, the firm invoices all its sales
in American dollars. This strategy leads to a continuous receipt of
dollars every month. This continuous string of transactions results in
a continuous hedging with forwards and contractual agreements.
Alternatively, the firm can match its continual inflow of American
dollars, with an equivalent outflow by acquiring debt denominated in
dollars.Exposure:The sale of manufactured products in the US markets
results in the creation of a foreign currency exposure out of inflow of
American dollars.
Hedge: The payment of debts in American dollars serves as a
financial hedge. It requires debt service, which is an outflow of
American dollars.
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Situation 1: A predicted and constant exposure to a company can
be counterbalanced by acquiring debt dominated in the currency, by
the method of matching.
Situation 2: Alternatively, the method of currency switching can be
adopted, according to which, the company can pay the foreign
supplier/ dealers in American dollars.
(b) Risk-sharing agreements: Long-term cash flow exposure between
firms can also be managed by using the method of risk sharing. The
risk-sharing method involves a contractual agreement between the
buyer firm and the seller firm, to ‘share’ or divide the impact, if any,
of the currency movements on the transaction being done between
them. This agreement serves as an ideal and co-operative way of
functioning between firms that look forward to building a long-term
relationship based on the product quality and mutual reliability. It
facilitates building a relationship that does not depend on the whims
of the unpredictable currency markets. It helps in smoothening the
impact of the changes and movements of exchange rates by dividing
the burden of the impact on the involved parties (firms).
For example, Ford’s operations in America involve importing the
automotive parts from Mazda in Japan every year. Major fluctuations
in the exchange rates tend to profit one firm at the expense of theother.
The Agreement
• All purchases by Ford will be made in Japanese yen at the
current exchange rate, as long as the spot exchange rate on
the date of invoice is between ¥ 115/$ and ¥ 125/$; so that
whatever transaction exposure exists is borne by Ford.
• If however, the exchange rate falls outside this range on the
payment date, Ford and Mazda will share the difference equally.
Suppose Ford has an account payable of ¥ 25,000,000 for the monthof March and the spot rate on the date of invoice is ¥110/$, i.e., the
Japanese yen would have appreciated versus dollar increasing Ford’s
costs from $217,391.30 to $227,272.73. However, since the rate
falls outside the stipulated range, the difference of ¥5/$ would be
shared between Ford and Mazda; so that Ford’s total payment in
Japanese yen would be calculated using an effective exchange rate
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of ¥112.5/$, and saves Ford $5,050.51. This ‘savings’ is a reduction
in an increased cost, not a true cost reduction.
(c) Back-to-Back loans: When two companies from two different
countries borrow each other’s currencies for a particular time period,
the arrangement is termed as back-to-back loan (parallel loan or
credit swap). The borrowed currencies are returned on a terminal
decided with retural consent. Suppose a British parent firm discuss
of make funds investment to invest funds in its Dutch subsidiary
locates a Dutch parent firm that wants to invest funds in the UK. The
British parent lends pounds to the Dutch subsidiary in UK, while the
Dutch parent lends euros to the British subsidiary in the Netherlands.The two loans would be for equal values at the current spot rate and
for a specified maturity. At maturity the two separate loans would
each be repaid to the original lender, without the need to use the FX
markets.
Two primary obstacles to the extensive usage of the back-to-back
loan exist which are as follows:
• It is not easy for a firm to find a partner, termed a counterparty
for the currency amount and timing desired.
• One risk is that one of the parties will fail to return the borrowed
funds at the designated maturity—although each party has 100
per cent collateral (denominated in a different currency).
These disadvantages have resulted in the rapid development and
wide use of the currency swap, where a firm and a swap dealer or
swap bank agree to exchange an equivalent amount of two different
currencies for a specified amount of time.
(d) Currency Swaps: This is already discussed in earlier subsection.
Act ivity 2
Find out the various alternatives that are available to the Indian corporatefor hedging risk. Put it down on a chart.
Hint:
• Some of the alternatives are forward market hedge, money market
hedge, futures market hedge and options market hedge.
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Self-Assessment Questions
11. In order to ____the payable foreign currency, a firm can purchase a lump
sum of that foreign currency and then sit on it for a long period of time.
12. Cross-hedging is the hedging of a particular position in one asset and
replacing a position in some other asset. (True/False)
9.8 Case Study
Reserve Bank of India eases hedging rules to aid volumes
For the purpose of boosting trading volumes in the over-the-counter market,
the Reserve Bank of India has liberalized the norms related to hedging. It
has imposed these restrictions for restricting speculation in the foreign
exchange market after the weakening of the rupee by over 18 per cent
between August and December 2011.
This has enabled the exporters to credit 100 percent of their foreign
exchange earnings to the EEFC (exchange earners’ foreign currency
account) without the need of converting 50 per cent of it in rupee terms.
EEFC is an account that is maintained in foreign currency with a bank or an
authorized dealer. The foreign exchange earners are provided this facilityto credit 100 per cent of their foreign exchange earnings to the account.
However, it is needed that the exporters convert the total accrual into rupee
terms by the end of the month.
Experts state that this measure will help the exporters in hedging their
exposures with banks in turn giving a boost to the rupee which has become
weak by 9 per cent against the dollar in the first quarter of the financial year
2013. Anil Bhansali, the vice-president of Mecklai Financial said that though
exporters might sell, it will stand to have a limited impact as the demand for
dollars is high and one-off inflows have not helped the rupee correct much
in the recent pastThe exporters have also been permitted by the RBI to book and cancel
forward contracts to about 25% of their total contracts that have been booked
for hedging exposures. RBI has already stated in a circular that was issued
in July that the forward contracts that have been booked once will not be
cancelled. While getting into a forward contract, the exporters and the
importers comes to an agreement to buy or sell a currency at a pre-
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determined exchange rate at a given time. Subir Gokarn, the deputy
governor of SBI had said that the steps that have been taken by the RBI
seem to be helping in the reduction of volatility.
“And having reached that situation, we felt that there was some room to
give our participants a little more flexibility in their management of their
exposures, their genuine hedging requirements and that has motivated the
actions that we took today.”
RBI has also freed the net overnight open positions (NOOP) of overseas
branches of banks from the limits imposed earlier. Net open positions are
transactions which have not been squared off on an overnight basis.
“This liberalizes the NOOP a bit more,” said the ED, trading, UBS. “These
moves are directed towards undoing the restrictions the RBI had put in
place in December. Trading volumes in the OTC market will certainly
increase,” he added.
Questions
1. Do you think that the steps taken by the RBI will help in easing hedging?
2. What are the opinions of the experts in this matter?
Source: Adapted from http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2012-
08-01/news/32981521_1_eefc-foreign-currency-exporters-and-importers
Accessed on 5 August 2012
9.9 Summary
Let us recapitulate the important concepts discussed in this unit:
• The different tools that hedge the different kinds of risks are forward
contracts, futures contracts, Option contracts and currency swap.
• An option can be distinguished as a call option or a put option.
• In December 1981, the Financial Accounting Standards Board Statement
52 (FASB 52) was issued after which it was required of all the AmericanMNCs to adopt the statement for fiscal years starting on or after 15
December 1982.
• The FASB 52 states that the firms must make use of the current rate
method for translating foreign currency denominated assets and liabilities
into dollars.
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• The hedge involves a money market position to cover a future payable or
receivables position.
• A natural hedge is applied when the contractual hedge fails to give good
results. It may be mentioned that the contractual hedge provides only
temporary protection against exchange rate movement.
• Risk-sharing is a contractual arrangement through which the buyer and
the seller agree to share the exposure.
9.10 Glossary
• Hedge: To make an investment for the reduction of the risk of adverse
price movements in an asset
• Underlying asset: The security or property or loan agreement through
which the option holder receives the right to buy or to sell
• Cumulative: A preferred stock where the publicly-traded company must
pay all dividends
• Aff ili ate: A corporation that is related to another corporation by one
owning shares of the other
• Transaction exposure: Transaction exposure measures gains or loses
that arises from the settlement of existing financial obligations the terms
of which are stated in a foreign currency
• Translation exposure: Accounting exposure, also called translation
exposure, arises because financial statements of foreign subsidiaries –
which are stated in foreign currency—must be restated in the parent’s
reporting currency for the firm to prepare consolidated financial statements
9.11 Terminal Questions
1. Define the tools of foreign exchange risk management.
2. Discuss functional currency.
3. What is the function of a forward contract? Discuss.
4. Define reporting currency.
5. Explain the types of contractual hedges.
6. What is transaction exposure?
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9.12 Answers
Answers to Self -Assessment Questions
1. Forward contract
2. Call option
3. Futures contracts
4. True
5. False6. True
7. False
8. Forward contract
9. Option
10. Exchange traded options
11. hedge
12. True
Answers to Terminal Questions
1. The different tools of Foreign risk management are:
• Forward contracts
• Future contracts
• Options contract
• Currency swap
For further details, refer to Section 9.3.
2. The currency of the primary economic environment where the affiliateoperates and in which it generates cash flows is known as functional
currency.
For further details, refer to Section 9.4.
3. The reporting currency on the other hand is the one in which the financial
statements are prepared by the parent firm.
For further details, refer to Section 9.4.
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4. Currency volatility can be defined as the measure of the change in price
that takes place over a given time period. It doesn’t remain constant from
one time period to another.
For further details, refer to Section 9.5.
5. Through a forward contract, a buyer or a seller can lock in a purchasing
or selling price for an asset with the arrangement that the transaction
would take place in the future. In this contract, the buyer or the seller
arrives at a price and date when they are obligated to buy or sell a given
asset.
For further details, refer to Section 9.6.6. Transaction exposure calculates gains or losses which occur after the
current financial compulsions according to terms of reference are resolved.
For further details, refer to Section 9.7.1.
References/ e-References
• Kaur, Dr. Harmeet. International Financial Management. Delhi: Vikas
Publishing.
• Kuntluru, Dr. Sudarshan. International Financial Management. Delhi: Vikas
Publishing.
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