Mexico Grows as Grain Importer, Supplied Primarily by the ... · Mexico Japan South Korea Egypt EU...

Grain:

World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

United States

Department of

Agriculture

Foreign

Agricultural

Service

August 2017

Mexico Grows as Grain Importer,

Supplied Primarily by the United States

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0

5

10

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Corn, Wheat, and Rice Imports

EU

Egypt

Mexico

Japan

South Korea

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100%

Proportion of Corn, Wheat, and Rice Imports

from the United States

Mexico

Japan

South Korea

Egypt

EU

Over the past decade, Mexico has expanded its role as a top grain importer, nearly doubling its

combined imports of corn, wheat, and rice over this period. Mexico’s imports are now forecast to

slightly exceed those of Japan, which for many years had been the top grain importer. Greater corn

demand to satisfy Mexico’s growing feed sector drives this growth. Wheat imports have been

stimulated by increased use of high-quality bread wheat, in comparison to durum which the country

produces (and exports). Rice imports have also grown as production has not kept pace with rising

consumption.

Cumulatively, the United States is the top global supplier of these three major grains and has been the

dominant supplier for the Mexican market. In addition to the opportunities provided through NAFTA,

the freight and logistical advantages have kept this trade relationship strong. Even as competition from

South American and Black Sea exporters has reduced U.S. market share in other top grain importers,

Mexico has proved a generally stable market.

Despite some recent competition in the Mexican market, the prospects continue to remain strong for the

United States to be the primary supplier. From October to June, U.S. exports of corn and distiller’s

dried grains with solubles (DDGS) exceeded the previous year. In the case of wheat, the U.S. share of

imports rebounded from just over half in 2015/16 to nearly three-quarters in 2016/17. With rice, a

strong preference for price-competitive U.S. paddy continues despite the creation of a tariff-rate quota

for all types of rice.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4

Rice .................................................................................................................. 10

Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 16

Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 38

Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 57

The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD)

database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply

and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.

To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database

(PSD Online): (http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx), scroll down to Reports, and

Click the plus sign [+] next to Grains.

FAS Reports and Databases:

Current World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

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Archives World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

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Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online):

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Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

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Export Sales Report:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

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Other USDA Reports:

World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

Economic Research Service:

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

National Agricultural Statistics Service:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA August 2017Office of Global Analysis


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http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Million Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2017/182016/172015/162017/182016/172015/162017/182016/172015/16

Production

United States (Jun-May) 56.1 62.9 47.3 6.1 7.1 5.9 345.5 384.8 359.5

Other 680.9 692.1 695.9 465.8 476.8 476.7 624.0 685.7 674.0

World Total 737.0 755.0 743.2 471.9 483.9 482.6 969.5 1,070.5 1,033.5

Domestic Consumption


Other 677.1 704.1 704.8 465.3 472.0 473.3 686.2 716.9 740.2

World Total 709.0 735.8 736.5 468.9 476.2 477.0 985.0 1,030.5 1,056.4

Ending Stocks


Other 216.3 226.4 239.3 114.3 117.9 121.9 169.4 168.4 143.2

World Total 242.9 258.6 264.7 115.8 119.4 122.9 213.5 228.6 200.9

TY Imports


Other 165.5 176.0 175.3 36.6 39.8 40.2 136.5 140.2 147.0

World Total 168.6 179.3 179.4 37.4 40.6 41.0 138.3 141.6 148.3

TY Exports


Other 150.2 152.3 156.3 37.0 39.7 40.3 93.5 89.7 105.2

World Total 172.0 181.8 182.3 40.4 43.3 43.9 144.7 144.7 152.2

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and

exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:

Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat

only.


4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

For 2017/18, global production is up this month as larger crops are expected in the Black Sea

countries—Russia, Ukraine, and Kazakhstan. Global trade is forecast up slightly this month

mainly on larger imports for Indonesia and Nigeria. Exports are raised for the Black Sea

countries which more than offset reductions for Canada and the EU. U.S. imports are projected

higher based on tightening supplies of high-protein wheat. The season-average farm price is

unchanged at $4.80 per bushel.

For 2016/17, global trade is up, based on higher imports for China, Nigeria, and Vietnam and

despite reductions for Bangladesh and South Africa. Exports for the United States and Canada

are revised up this month. U.S. imports are raised marginally this month.

PRICES

Domestic: Wheat prices for July were mainly lower. Hard Red Winter (HRW) plummeted

$29/ton to $217, while Soft Red Winter (SRW) declined $17/ton to $195. Hard Red Spring

(HRS) fell $21/ton to $322. Wheat prices remain elevated due to dry conditions in the Northern

Plains, but have settled lower from the peaks seen in early July on the anticipated harvest. On

the other hand, Soft White Winter (SWW) rose $8/ton to $212 with strong export sales.

100120140160180200220240260280300320340360380400

$/M

T

U.S. Daily FOB Export Bids

HRW SRW SWW HRS


5

FEATURE

Canadian and U.S. Wheat Exports Down on Tightening Supplies

Year-over-year, combined Canadian and U.S. wheat exports are projected lower based on

smaller crops in both countries. However, massive carryin stocks partially offset the lower

production. Drought conditions have affected spring wheat production, leading to tight supplies

of high-protein wheat. U.S. exports are forecast down year-over-year, while Canada’s exports

are forecast nearly unchanged amid robust global demand for high-protein wheat. However, a

larger amount of Canadian supplies are likely to go to the United States, leaving less for other

importers.

The limited availability of Canadian and U.S. wheat is expected to have a major impact on the

global market. The EU and Russia are both forecast to have larger crops and are expected to

pick up exports at the expense of the United States and Canada. However, the vast majority of

the EU and Russian crops will not be of adequate protein to compensate for the reduced

availability of U.S. and Canadian spring wheat. Protein premiums have soared in recent months

based on tightening supplies of high-protein spring wheat.

TRADE CHANGES IN 2017/18

Selected Importers

Bangladesh is lowered 300,000 tons to 6.5 million based on slower expected

consumption growth in light of lower 2016/17 consumption.

Brazil is up 200,000 tons to 7.2 million on a smaller crop.

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Indonesia is raised 500,000 tons to 10.0 million with larger expected feed demand.

Nigeria is up 400,000 tons to 5.0 million based on higher expected demand for

wheat-based products.

United States is up 300,000 tons to 4.1 million based on tightening supplies of high-

protein spring wheat.

Selected Exporters

Canada is down 1.5 million tons to 20.5 million based on lower exportable supplies.

European Union is down 500,000 tons to 29.5 million based on stronger competition

from Russia and Ukraine.

Kazakhstan is up 500,000 tons to 7.5 million on greater exportable supplies and

strong international demand for high-protein wheat.

Russia is up 1.0 million tons to a record 31.5 million on record production.

Ukraine is up 2.0 million tons to 16.0 million based on a much larger crop.


Selected Importers- based on trade data

Algeria is up 200,000 tons to 8.2 million.

Bangladesh is down 500,000 tons to 5.5 million.

China is raised 400,000 tons to 4.8 million.

Nigeria is up 325,000 tons to 4.9 million.

South Africa is down 280,000 tons to 1.2 million.

United States is up 47,000 tons to 3.3 million.

Vietnam is raised 200,000 tons to 5.2 million.

Selected Exporters- based on trade data

Canada is up 278,000 tons to 20.3 million.

United States is raised 188,000 tons to 29.5 million.


World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

TY Exports

11,50011,50012,1008,7504,2001,675 Argentina

22,00022,00022,07015,78216,57518,339 Australia

20,50022,00020,27822,13624,88322,156 Canada

29,50030,00027,00034,68635,45532,032 European Union

7,5007,0006,7507,6005,5078,000 Kazakhstan

1,4001,4001,4001,5681,1041,322 Mexico

31,50030,50027,80025,54322,80018,609 Russia

1,1001,1001,1008805931,198 Serbia

6,2006,2006,2005,6054,1354,293 Turkey

16,00014,00018,00017,43111,2699,755 Ukraine

9,1399,1399,65110,20512,35513,570 Others

156,339154,839152,349150,186138,876130,949 Subtotal

26,00026,00029,48821,81123,02331,529 United States

182,339180,839181,837171,997161,899162,478 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,6002,6002,7002,7002,0002,050 Afghanistan

8,0008,0008,2008,1537,2577,484 Algeria

6,5006,8005,5004,6933,9293,354 Bangladesh

7,2007,0007,7885,9225,8697,061 Brazil

3,0003,0004,8003,4761,9266,773 China

2,1502,1002,1502,0321,6271,746 Colombia

12,00012,00011,50011,92511,30010,150 Egypt

6,5006,5005,3006,9165,9793,976 European Union

4,0004,0006,15030027322 India

10,0009,50010,00010,1167,4787,391 Indonesia

2,5002,5002,3002,2182,2533,246 Iraq

5,8005,8005,9005,7155,8786,123 Japan

4,5004,5004,6504,4203,9424,288 Korea, South

5,2005,2005,2504,8054,4714,639 Mexico

4,8004,8005,5004,5034,0863,928 Morocco

5,0004,6004,9254,4104,2444,580 Nigeria

2,1502,1502,0201,7991,9072,114 Peru

5,6505,6505,6844,9185,0543,476 Philippines

3,8003,8003,7002,9313,4993,441 Saudi Arabia

2,5002,5002,4002,0212,6322,664 Sudan

3,0003,0003,5004,8173,4921,759 Thailand

5,4005,4004,5004,4055,9604,147 Turkey

2,8002,8002,7002,6622,2302,224 Uzbekistan

4,8004,8005,2003,0692,2962,157 Vietnam

3,4003,4003,2003,3323,2453,425 Yemen

52,01651,81150,47153,25751,89353,446 Others

175,266174,211175,988165,515154,720155,664 Subtotal

2,9732,8282,5523,4283,1902,029 Unaccounted

4,1003,8003,2973,0543,9894,785 United States

182,339180,839181,837171,997161,899162,478 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

Production

17,50017,50017,50011,30013,93010,500 Argentina

23,50023,50035,10924,16823,74325,303 Australia

26,50028,35031,70027,59429,42037,530 Canada

130,000130,000128,850130,190126,208121,930 China

8,1008,1008,1008,1008,3008,250 Egypt

149,560150,000145,699160,480156,912144,583 European Union

96,00096,00087,00086,53095,85093,506 India

15,00015,00015,50015,00013,00014,500 Iran

14,00013,00014,98513,74812,99613,941 Kazakhstan

5,8005,8002,7318,0645,1156,933 Morocco

26,20026,20025,60025,10025,97924,211 Pakistan

77,50072,00072,52961,04459,08052,091 Russia

19,50019,50017,25019,50015,25018,750 Turkey

26,50024,00026,80027,27424,75022,278 Ukraine

7,2007,2007,2007,2007,1506,800 Uzbekistan

52,98553,78555,58355,56155,14955,869 Others

695,845689,935692,136680,853672,832656,975 Subtotal

47,33447,89262,85956,11755,14758,105 United States

743,179737,827754,995736,970727,979715,080 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,35010,35010,30010,25010,0509,850 Algeria

11,70011,70011,90011,10010,70011,400 Brazil

8,4008,80010,2007,8709,0549,422 Canada

116,000116,000118,500112,000116,500116,500 China

20,00020,00019,70019,20019,10018,500 Egypt

127,250127,250128,500129,850124,677117,300 European Union

99,00099,00097,50088,55193,10293,848 India

9,5009,1009,5009,1007,3657,165 Indonesia

18,35018,35018,10017,80017,50017,000 Iran

10,30010,30010,2009,8009,0009,000 Morocco

25,40025,40024,50024,40024,50024,100 Pakistan

42,00041,00040,00037,00035,50034,100 Russia

17,70017,40017,40018,00017,50017,750 Turkey

10,20010,20010,30012,20011,50011,500 Ukraine

9,9009,9009,7009,3508,9008,400 Uzbekistan

168,688168,258167,812160,575153,998150,665 Others

705,314703,411707,616679,867673,755663,672 Subtotal

31,73331,86931,67631,94231,32834,260 United States

737,047735,280739,292711,809705,083697,932 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

5,5885,5888,9385,6394,6704,558 Australia

4,9635,1636,9135,1787,09010,398 Canada

127,592127,192111,39297,04276,10565,274 China

10,36610,07811,05615,55712,6979,938 European Union

10,03610,0369,53614,54017,22017,830 India

5,0255,0104,8256,8544,2794,316 Morocco

15,33611,83610,8365,6076,2875,177 Russia

60,40260,16162,82865,88668,86961,242 Others

239,308235,064226,324216,303197,217178,733 Subtotal

25,38225,53232,23426,55220,47716,065 United States

264,690260,596258,558242,855217,694194,798 World Total


Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jul

2017/18

Aug

2017/18

TY Imports none

9,866 North America 8,955 8,356 9,032 9,450 9,750

1,833 Central America 1,834 1,834 2,001 2,005 2,020

14,879 South America 13,132 13,342 16,338 15,230 15,505

3,976 European Union - 28 5,979 6,916 5,300 6,500 6,500

1,858 Other Europe 1,760 1,828 2,046 1,860 1,860

7,528 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,678 7,402 7,465 7,925 7,985

28,446 Middle East 26,932 24,499 22,820 24,820 24,820

25,246 North Africa 25,430 27,873 28,500 28,150 28,150

20,405 Sub-Saharan Africa 20,963 22,864 22,315 22,735 23,235

19,465 East Asia 14,115 16,224 17,850 15,830 15,830

6,721 South Asia 8,163 8,785 15,456 14,561 14,261

17,176 Southeast Asia 20,544 25,499 26,959 25,610 26,110

3,050 Others 3,224 3,147 3,203 3,335 3,340

160,449 Total 158,709 168,569 179,285 178,011 179,366

Production none

99,012 North America 88,254 87,462 98,443 79,892 77,484

19,762 South America 24,353 21,374 27,746 26,378 25,978

144,583 European Union - 28 156,912 160,480 145,699 150,000 149,560

4,228 Other Europe 4,088 4,359 4,749 4,235 4,235


41,708 Middle East 35,414 42,905 39,885 41,175 41,175

19,660 North Africa 17,028 19,976 14,081 17,800 17,800


123,248 East Asia 127,650 131,515 130,153 131,344 131,344

125,917 South Asia 130,057 119,676 120,688 130,300 130,300

25,716 Oceania 24,157 24,582 35,527 23,920 23,920

187 Others 186 199 181 171 171

715,080 Total 727,979 736,970 754,995 737,827 743,179

Domestic Consumption none

50,332 North America 47,232 46,812 49,426 48,069 47,533

27,281 South America 26,930 27,665 28,775 28,670 28,750

117,300 European Union - 28 124,677 129,850 128,500 127,250 127,250

4,857 Other Europe 4,875 4,935 5,030 5,005 5,010


58,764 Middle East 58,357 60,110 60,420 61,170 61,490

42,475 North Africa 42,726 43,666 44,768 45,275 45,275


130,201 East Asia 129,524 125,239 132,245 129,610 129,610

132,041 South Asia 132,305 128,905 139,489 142,721 142,421

16,610 Southeast Asia 19,295 23,195 25,575 24,170 24,770

8,280 Oceania 8,564 8,605 9,350 9,415 9,415

3,480 Others 3,574 3,582 3,781 3,840 3,865

690,760 Total 700,274 708,988 735,788 734,877 736,471

Ending Stocks none

26,782 North America 28,090 32,241 39,842 31,440 31,090

6,818 South America 8,613 3,956 4,898 4,549 4,517

9,938 European Union - 28 12,697 15,557 11,056 10,078 10,366

1,009 Other Europe 1,321 1,598 1,989 1,812 1,819


18,833 Middle East 18,477 19,871 15,946 13,686 13,516

14,044 North Africa 13,214 16,626 13,802 13,627 13,792


68,314 East Asia 79,217 100,432 114,770 130,514 130,914

21,661 South Asia 23,109 21,014 16,330 17,605 17,270

3,491 Southeast Asia 3,890 5,330 5,764 6,103 6,154

4,826 Oceania 4,926 5,865 9,105 5,772 5,775

418 Others 438 411 433 411 424

194,798 Total 217,694 242,855 258,558 260,596 264,690

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.


10

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW For 2017/18, global production is revised lower this month on smaller crops in Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, and the United States. Consumption is down fractionally, while stocks continue to grow with additional carryin supplies in Thailand. Global trade is revised higher this month to just below the 2014 record. The U.S. season-average farm price is raised. For 2016/17, global production is raised even further to a new record. Trade is revised up on increased demand from Bangladesh, the Philippines, and Sri Lanka.

PRICES

Over the past month, Asian quotes have generally declined, while those in the Western Hemisphere have risen. Thai and Indian quotes have converged around $410/ton, pressured lower by new crop supplies. Likewise, Pakistani and Vietnamese quotes have both settled just under $400/ton in the midst of their respective harvests. The Uruguay quotes crept up to $505/ton, while U.S. quotes rose to $530/ton, pressured higher in part by fresh demand from the Middle East.

300

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500

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$/MT Weekly Price Quotes: Last 12 Months

U.S. #2/4 (long-grain) THAI 100B VIETNAM 5%

INDIA 5% PAKISTAN 5% URUGUAY 5%


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Sri Lanka's Market Share of Global Rice Imports

FEATURE

Sri Lanka’s reduction in domestic rice supplies is spurring its return to the global market. Sri Lanka’s recent rice crops have been affected both by untimely flooding and its worst drought in 37 years. Subsequent seed shortages and diminished reservoir levels are hampering recovery efforts. See August 2017 World Agricultural Production for further details.

Although Sri Lanka started the year with ample carryin stocks still available from the record 2015/16 crop, the government has depleted most of these stocks by releasing them to stabilize prices. Despite the government’s urging traders to sell their rice stocks, the sale of private stocks has been limited as traders continue to wait for higher prices. With these constraints on domestic supplies, prices have continued to rise.

As a result, Sri Lanka is set to import a record 700,000 tons in 2017. Several countries, including Indonesia, India, and Pakistan have supplied limited amounts of food aid. However, the bulk of the imports are being negotiated through agreements with neighboring countries including India, Thailand, Vietnam, and Burma. In addition, the Sri Lankan government has substantially lowered the import tariff to encourage additional imports.

Over the past 60 years, Sri Lanka has become far less dependent on imports due to a steady increase in production. In the 1960s, Sri Lanka accounted for almost 10 percent of global rice imports while it has been virtually absent from the global rice market since 2000. The anticipated imports in 2017 would cause its share in global trade to surge once again.

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Sri Lanka Rice Imports at Record Levels

Production

Ending Stocks

TY Imports


http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewDocumentInfo.do?documentID=1860

12

Selected Trade Changes for 2018

• Sri Lanka imports are boosted 350,000 tons to 400,000 due to increased government efforts to offset the severe impact of drought on domestic production.

• China exports are raised 100,000 tons to 1.0 million on expectations of continued large shipments to Africa.

• Egypt exports are cut in half to 100,000 tons as the government continues to restrict exports.

• India exports are lifted 500,000 tons to 11.5 million due to continued regional demand. Selected Trade Changes for 2017

• Bangladesh imports are up 100,000 tons to 800,000 on government purchases to restore supplies after a poor crop.

• Nigeria imports are revised up 100,000 tons to 2.2 million on trade to date.

• Philippines imports are raised 200,000 tons to 1.6 million based on larger government purchases to replenish tight stocks.

• Sri Lanka imports are boosted 300,000 tons to 700,000 due to increased government efforts to offset the severe impact of drought on domestic production.

• China exports are raised 100,000 tons to 900,000 on continuously larger shipments to Africa.

• India exports are boosted 500,000 tons to 11.0 million due to higher drought-driven demand from Bangladesh and Sri Lanka.

• Vietnam exports are revised up 200,000 tons to 6.0 million on stronger sales within the region and a new government-to-government deal with Bangladesh.


World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

TY Exports

450450550527310494 Argentina

325325180165323404 Australia

700700650641895852 Brazil

1,7001,7001,9001,3001,7351,688 Burma

1,2501,2501,2001,1501,1501,000 Cambodia

1,000900900368262393 China

280280280270251284 European Union

500500450460486446 Guyana

11,50011,00011,00010,04011,04611,588 India

4,1004,1004,0004,3004,0003,700 Pakistan

500500470557371380 Paraguay

180180180198163187 Russia

10,00010,00010,0009,8679,77910,969 Thailand

900900925996718957 Uruguay

6,0006,0006,0005,0886,6066,325 Vietnam

9841,0841,0371,1401,1671,503 Others

40,36939,86939,72237,06739,26241,170 Subtotal

3,5503,5503,6003,3733,3812,947 United States

43,91943,41943,32240,44042,64344,117 World Total

none

TY Imports

575500550470450500 Angola

700700800355981,335 Bangladesh

600600600771363586 Brazil

540540520500500525 Cameroon

5,0005,0005,1004,6005,1504,450 China

1,5001,5001,3501,3001,150950 Cote d'Ivoire

580580510544575377 Cuba

1,9001,9001,8501,8161,7861,556 European Union

675675650700580590 Ghana

725725675650420520 Guinea

500500490431447387 Haiti

1,1001,1001,1001,1001,3001,400 Iran

1,0501,0501,0009301,0001,080 Iraq

685685685685688669 Japan

520520500500450440 Kenya

9009009008231,051989 Malaysia

800800800731719685 Mexico

625625600575575590 Mozambique

600600600530530520 Nepal

2,1002,1002,2002,1002,1003,200 Nigeria

1,8001,8001,6008002,0001,800 Philippines

1,4501,4501,4001,3001,6011,459 Saudi Arabia

1,0501,0501,000980990960 Senegal

950950925954912910 South Africa

825825750670580560 United Arab Emirates

12,52812,20312,66412,12012,92613,365 Others

40,27839,87839,81936,61539,44140,403 Subtotal

2,8912,7912,7533,0572,4452,959 Unaccounted

750750750768757755 United States

43,91943,41943,32240,44042,64344,117 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2017/18 is calendar year 2018, 2016/17 is calendar year 2017, and so on.


World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

Milled Production

34,18034,70034,57834,50034,50034,390 Bangladesh

8,0008,0008,3767,2108,4658,300 Brazil

12,30012,30012,40012,16012,60011,957 Burma

5,0005,0004,9504,8474,7004,725 Cambodia

145,000145,000144,850145,770144,560142,530 China

4,0004,0004,8004,0004,5304,750 Egypt

108,000108,000108,000104,408105,482106,646 India

37,00037,00037,15036,20035,56036,300 Indonesia

7,6007,6007,7807,6707,8497,931 Japan

3,9003,9004,1974,3274,2414,230 Korea, South

3,2503,2503,2242,8633,1903,361 Nepal

6,9006,9006,8006,8006,9006,798 Pakistan

11,20011,20011,50011,00011,91511,858 Philippines

20,40020,40019,20015,80018,75020,460 Thailand

28,45028,45027,97127,58428,16628,161 Vietnam

41,48941,88841,02940,59639,89739,792 Others

476,669477,588476,805465,735471,305472,189 Subtotal

5,9216,0747,1176,1337,1066,117 United States

482,590483,662483,922471,868478,411478,306 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

35,00035,20035,00035,10035,10034,900 Bangladesh

7,9007,9007,9257,9007,9257,900 Brazil

10,75010,75010,70010,75010,70010,450 Burma

3,7503,7503,7253,7003,6153,650 Cambodia

143,000143,000143,500144,000144,500143,000 China

4,2504,2504,2003,9004,0004,000 Egypt

97,00097,00096,50093,56898,24498,727 India

37,40037,40037,60037,80038,30038,500 Indonesia

8,5008,5008,5508,6008,6008,380 Japan

4,6504,6504,7004,2124,1974,422 Korea, South

3,8503,8503,8243,3533,7703,831 Nepal

4,9004,9005,1005,2005,4005,500 Nigeria

12,90012,90012,90013,00013,20012,850 Philippines

11,50011,50011,0009,10010,00010,600 Thailand

22,60022,70022,50022,60022,00022,000 Vietnam

65,30165,18664,29362,54661,59561,191 Others

475,335475,830476,144467,512473,093474,202 Subtotal

3,7313,8094,1913,5804,2843,978 United States

479,066479,639480,335471,092477,377478,180 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

75,53075,73569,43063,73557,43653,102 China

18,80019,40019,30018,40017,80022,800 India

3,6193,6193,5393,5094,1115,501 Indonesia

2,0772,0772,3722,5322,8213,007 Japan

1,3941,3941,7361,8311,406899 Korea, South

1,5101,5101,4101,8102,2101,695 Philippines

6,0035,0036,8538,40311,27011,999 Thailand

13,03012,74613,29614,11216,42513,969 Others

121,963121,484117,936114,332113,479112,972 Subtotal

9551,0361,4581,4751,5521,025 United States

122,918122,520119,394115,807115,031113,997 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jul

2017/18

Aug

2017/18

TY Imports none

1,801 North America 1,838 1,855 1,915 1,920 1,920

911 Caribbean 1,174 1,135 1,195 1,235 1,235

1,814 South America 1,685 1,955 1,617 1,657 1,632

132 Other Europe 128 136 140 140 140

626 Former Soviet Union - 12 571 455 461 470 470

6,711 Middle East 6,464 5,691 6,125 6,335 6,335

470 North Africa 396 446 535 435 435


6,044 East Asia 6,686 6,097 6,746 6,616 6,616

2,576 South Asia 1,693 905 2,410 1,670 2,020

5,023 Southeast Asia 5,677 3,883 4,130 4,305 4,305

2,392 Others 2,531 2,756 2,675 2,700 2,700

41,158 Total 40,198 37,383 40,569 40,628 41,028

Production none

6,248 North America 7,285 6,289 7,298 6,259 6,106

1,054 Caribbean 979 992 982 933 933

16,384 South America 16,431 15,436 16,554 16,293 16,293

1,937 European Union - 28 1,954 2,048 2,069 2,082 2,083


2,417 Middle East 2,245 2,392 2,455 2,475 2,475

4,776 North Africa 4,553 4,044 4,837 4,040 4,040


157,701 East Asia 159,486 160,179 159,571 159,244 159,244

154,255 South Asia 153,156 152,263 155,355 156,553 155,633

116,867 Southeast Asia 115,367 111,317 116,942 118,171 118,171

1,339 Others 1,207 811 1,317 1,346 1,346

478,306 Total 478,411 471,868 483,922 483,662 482,590


5,217 North America 5,522 4,814 5,456 5,089 5,011

1,200 Central America 1,203 1,305 1,358 1,326 1,326

1,992 Caribbean 2,051 2,127 2,171 2,203 2,203

14,584 South America 14,635 14,814 14,813 14,985 14,975

3,250 European Union - 28 3,400 3,550 3,650 3,750 3,750


9,140 Middle East 9,000 8,562 8,633 8,855 8,845

4,452 North Africa 4,407 4,274 4,622 4,675 4,675


159,414 East Asia 160,566 159,634 159,915 159,285 159,285

143,331 South Asia 143,183 138,819 142,177 142,923 142,773

102,763 Southeast Asia 102,757 102,070 103,576 104,226 104,126

717 Others 558 543 565 565 575

473,879 Total 475,430 468,909 476,208 477,245 476,982

Ending Stocks none

1,184 North America 1,717 1,602 1,616 1,267 1,186

210 Central America 233 294 292 267 267

264 Caribbean 223 234 200 170 155

1,837 South America 2,187 1,571 1,638 1,482 1,453

1,163 European Union - 28 1,151 1,181 1,170 1,120 1,123

1,777 Middle East 1,742 1,109 981 911 896

610 North Africa 924 924 1,574 1,174 1,274


57,296 East Asia 61,919 68,341 73,841 79,569 79,364

24,920 South Asia 21,428 21,371 21,429 21,574 21,204

21,976 Southeast Asia 20,660 17,058 14,714 12,969 13,969

241 Oceania 223 70 226 261 271

166 Others 187 159 132 112 112

113,997 Total 115,031 115,807 119,394 122,520 122,918




16

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

$/M

T

Corn Daily FOB Export Bids

Argentina Up River Black Sea Brazil Paranagua US Gulf

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

For 2017/18, global corn production is down slightly as smaller crops in Canada and the EU

more than offset higher prospects in Russia. Global trade is raised on higher projected imports

for the EU and Iran. Exports are boosted for Brazil and Ukraine. Barley trade is little changed as

a smaller barley crop in the EU reduces exportable supplies, while a larger crop in Ukraine

boosts barley export prospects. The U.S. season-average farm price is unchanged at $3.30 per

bushel.

For 2016/17, global corn production is up from last month driven by a larger crop in Brazil.

Global trade is slightly higher as greater exports for Ukraine more than offset lower shipments

from Brazil. The U.S. season-average farm price is unchanged at $3.35 per bushel.

PRICES

Global corn prices have trended down from last month’s WASDE on improved prospects for

abundant global supplies, as well as weather eroding premiums during July. Although Argentine

bids were mostly unchanged from last month at $153/ton, prices ended lower for other major

suppliers. Ongoing harvests pressured Brazilian prices lower by $3/ton, settling at $159. Black

Sea quotes dropped $6/ton to $170. U.S. quotes also fell slightly to $163/ton, owing to weather

prospects.


17

FEATURE

Colombia: A Promising Market for U.S. Corn

After Mexico, Colombia is the second-largest market for U.S. corn in the Western Hemisphere.

Because Colombia does not produce enough yellow corn domestically, it is heavily reliant on

imports to meet growing demand from its pork and poultry industries. U.S. corn has dominated

this nearly 4.5 million ton import market with almost complete market share in CY 2016. In

addition, the 2012 U.S.-Colombia Trade Promotion Agreement (TPA) provides for more

competitive U.S. corn prices relative to other suppliers (i.e. Argentina and Brazil), as the TPA

eliminated U.S. corn from being subject to variable duties under Colombia’s Andean Community

Price Band System. These duties are quite punitive when global corn prices are low.

As a result, imports have surpassed the U.S. corn quota every year since 2014, suggesting robust

demand and promising growth. As Colombia’s U.S. corn quota expands and duties outside the

quota continue to decline under the TPA, greater growth is expected in the future.


Selected Exporters

Brazilian corn is up 1.5 million tons to 35.0 million on a larger projected 2017 second-

crop harvest and expectations that some shipments will shift forward from the previous

year. 2016/17 exports are cut 1.0 million tons to 21.0 million.

Ukrainian corn is boosted 1.0 million tons to 21.5 million reflecting expectations of

robust EU and Iranian demand. 2016/17 exports are up 1.0 million tons to 21.5 million on

recent trade data.

4

4.25

4.5

4.75

5

2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017 2017/2018

Colombia Imports to Surge MMT


18

Note: Ukrainian corn stocks have been revised (MY 2008/09-2015/16) to better reflect

the State Statistical Committee’s published data.

Russian corn is up 500,000 tons to 6.5 million on a larger crop and strong demand from

Iran. 2016/17 exports are up 200,000 tons to 5.5 million due to recent trade data from the

Federal Customs Service.

Serbian corn is down 300,000 tons to 2.2 million reflecting a smaller crop and expected

intense competition from Ukraine.

South African corn is up 200,000 tons to 1.9 million on a larger new-crop 2017 harvest

and strong expected demand from African countries.

Canadian corn is down 200,000 tons to 1.3 million on a smaller crop and expected strong

competition from other global exporters. 2016/17 exports are up the same amount to 1.3

million on recent trade data.

EU corn exports are slashed 800,000 tons to 1.5 million reflecting a smaller crop and

expected competition from Ukraine, Russia, and South America.

Ukrainian barley is boosted 800,000 tons to 4.4 million on larger production and

expectations of competitive prices relative to other major suppliers.

EU barley is down 500,000 tons to 6.5 million on lower production and projected

substantial competition from Ukraine and Russia.

Australian barley is cut 200,000 tons to 5.8 million on smaller exportable supplies.

Tighter supplies were a result of higher 2016/17 exports, which are up 300,000 tons to 9.3

million on strong Chinese demand.

Russian barley is up 200,000 tons to 3.8 million on larger production.

U.S. sorghum is up 250,000 tons to 5.5 million on larger production and expectations of

robust Chinese demand.

Selected Importers

EU corn is boosted 1.0 million tons to a world-leading 16.0 million reflecting a smaller

crop and expectations of robust demand for corn from Ukraine and South America.

2016/17 imports are also up 300,000 tons to 13.4 million on recent trade data and

affordable global supplies.

Iranian corn is boosted 1.0 million tons to 10.0 million on expectations for continued

growth in the domestic feed industry and large global supplies. 2016/17 imports are

boosted 500,000 tons to 9.0 million on strong shipments from Ukraine and Brazil.


19

Zimbabwe corn is slashed 800,000 tons to 100,000 on expectations for a larger crop in

tandem with a current import ban.

Indian barley tripled to 300,000 tons on expectations of strong demand for imported feed

barley from South America.

Chinese sorghum is up 250,000 tons to 4.5 million on expectations of greater feed use.


Selected Exporters

Paraguayan corn is down 200,000 tons to 1.9 million on recent trade data.

Selected Importers

Chinese barley is boosted 300,000 tons to 6.5 million on continued strong purchases of

Australian barley.

Moroccan corn is trimmed 300,000 tons to 2.0 million on lower-than-expected imports

for the first half of 2017.


World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

TY Exports

29,90529,90529,50525,29021,00316,630 Argentina

6,7256,92510,1756,3897,2867,004 Australia

35,01533,51521,03035,41521,95422,059 Brazil

4,2504,5504,5504,6873,5995,482 Canada

8,3059,6057,73010,93415,0687,841 European Union

2,5152,5151,9152,6773,0312,718 Paraguay

10,3609,6608,7358,4659,1557,074 Russia

2,2502,5502,5601,5463,0011,799 Serbia

1,9101,7102,0257647622,128 South Africa

26,11024,31027,21021,45724,20824,125 Ukraine

6,4556,4556,9657,7158,37711,611 Others

133,800131,700122,400125,339117,444108,471 Subtotal

52,61552,86560,96059,29556,42356,776 United States

186,415184,565183,360184,634173,867165,247 World Total

none

TY Imports

5,3255,3255,1755,2244,8634,946 Algeria

2,2202,2201,9451,5051,7321,621 Chile

12,15011,90014,45017,49925,69912,445 China

5,3355,3355,0404,8244,7474,795 Colombia

1,4001,4001,3501,3511,2021,011 Dominican Republic

10,10010,1009,1058,8497,9408,775 Egypt

16,55515,55514,08014,2619,40816,355 European Union

1,1001,1001,0001,027881767 Guatemala

11,30010,30010,4008,3008,0006,600 Iran

1,6951,6951,7251,5101,6032,073 Israel

16,72016,72016,87017,06316,72617,501 Japan

1,4001,4001,4751,7221,4591,672 Jordan

1,3001,2001,200309717444 Kenya

10,27010,2709,88510,19210,24510,499 Korea, South

1,5001,5001,7001,9051,6851,493 Libya

4,0004,0003,8004,1343,2383,485 Malaysia

16,20016,20015,61014,88111,64011,312 Mexico

3,0003,0002,4043,1822,2172,858 Morocco

3,4203,4203,2203,0832,8632,336 Peru

14,51014,51014,71013,99211,11511,332 Saudi Arabia

4,6004,6004,7004,7813,9384,346 Taiwan

1,8001,8001,7001,7131,5251,449 Tunisia

1,5551,5551,2557132,7191,977 Turkey

1,6001,6001,0051,7382,4332,627 Venezuela

10,50010,5009,0008,6006,7004,300 Vietnam

18,66619,15623,64623,80520,83519,267 Others

178,221176,361176,450176,163166,130156,286 Subtotal

4,6444,6543,4754,4894,4425,638 Unaccounted

3,5503,5503,4353,9823,2953,323 United States

186,415184,565183,360184,634173,867165,247 World Total



World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

Production

47,25447,25448,56937,93936,78235,665 Argentina

11,42611,42616,90712,43712,60512,158 Australia

97,60197,601101,35369,12987,71482,634 Brazil

24,56525,77525,63025,61921,99228,745 Canada

223,040223,040227,439231,402222,405225,062 China

13,23513,23512,70013,03514,44213,079 Ethiopia

150,370152,700152,211152,661170,670159,212 European Union

42,20042,20044,20038,70143,07643,216 India

11,35011,35010,90010,5009,0009,100 Indonesia

31,82531,82533,50032,37832,68932,065 Mexico

18,25018,25018,50017,95019,01519,292 Nigeria

42,80041,65040,76537,42740,38635,735 Russia

13,04313,04317,2678,67811,11015,518 South Africa

13,14313,14310,89314,2439,39313,074 Turkey

38,49037,09039,25533,38739,38940,022 Ukraine

162,527161,522161,143157,203164,006153,035 Others

941,119941,104961,232892,689934,674917,612 Subtotal

373,029375,340402,598367,009377,234367,089 United States

1,314,1481,316,4441,363,8301,259,6981,311,9081,284,701 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

16,78416,78416,03414,32114,23213,695 Argentina

64,75064,75063,89260,24360,04858,053 Brazil

22,55523,26521,85021,23621,29522,345 Canada

255,630255,380251,330238,740228,709223,196 China

16,85816,85816,05815,80314,83214,122 Egypt

160,170160,320160,370157,260162,592164,401 European Union

43,60043,50042,60040,17040,45037,600 India

17,72016,72016,12013,82012,02011,320 Iran

17,05117,05117,18117,25716,87417,570 Japan

48,19048,19046,87044,71542,17540,935 Mexico

18,45018,45018,55018,15018,95019,350 Nigeria

32,20032,05031,72529,64031,13928,619 Russia

16,10516,10515,10514,10511,90511,411 Saudi Arabia

14,01814,01812,99814,09313,02313,414 Turkey

14,60014,60013,10012,2509,4008,200 Vietnam

257,291257,541255,248249,670250,411241,357 Others

1,021,6711,022,9521,023,435943,485964,302933,231 Subtotal

327,649328,284327,013312,597311,339305,044 United States

1,349,3201,351,2361,350,4481,256,0821,275,6411,238,275 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

4,3864,4864,7162,6814,2743,169 Argentina

10,3899,88910,7037,0728,23914,265 Brazil

3,6073,8074,9874,6673,3344,648 Canada

82,07582,095102,545112,051101,91782,544 China

12,30312,02313,80315,41218,88515,565 European Union

6,3546,0547,1147,1747,1345,094 Iran

6,5146,5147,3795,8894,8323,487 Mexico

41,40040,63447,38846,87450,75346,964 Others

167,028165,502198,635201,820199,368175,736 Subtotal

61,11462,40964,67948,11246,94834,313 United States

228,142227,911263,314249,932246,316210,049 World Total


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jul

2017/18

Aug

2017/18

TY Imports none

15,349 North America 16,648 19,954 20,135 20,610 20,610

2,923 Central America 3,456 3,938 3,925 4,100 4,100

2,330 Caribbean 2,444 2,597 2,710 2,830 2,830

13,180 South America 13,380 13,637 15,060 14,280 14,280

16,355 European Union - 28 9,408 14,261 14,080 15,555 16,555


26,475 Middle East 27,599 29,745 32,940 32,385 33,385

19,521 North Africa 18,230 20,873 20,084 21,725 21,725


44,865 East Asia 56,655 49,569 45,975 43,540 43,790

12,814 Southeast Asia 14,736 15,810 14,680 16,115 16,115

1,824 Others 1,868 2,942 2,846 2,971 3,171

159,609 Total 169,425 180,145 179,885 179,911 181,771

Production none

427,899 North America 431,915 425,006 461,728 432,940 429,419

132,830 South America 139,197 122,791 163,180 158,352 158,352

159,212 European Union - 28 170,670 152,661 152,211 152,700 150,370

8,992 Other Europe 10,927 9,271 11,328 10,522 10,122


22,274 Middle East 17,931 23,165 19,705 21,806 21,806

11,581 North Africa 10,989 12,292 9,263 11,039 11,039


227,452 East Asia 225,183 234,045 230,094 225,701 225,701

54,221 South Asia 54,182 50,176 56,261 54,734 54,734

31,006 Southeast Asia 30,949 31,550 34,349 34,833 34,833

12,794 Oceania 13,283 13,129 17,482 11,996 11,996

4,967 Others 4,555 4,244 4,715 4,699 4,699

1,284,701 Total 1,311,908 1,259,698 1,363,830 1,316,444 1,314,148


368,324 North America 374,809 378,548 395,733 399,739 398,394

95,106 South America 98,025 98,710 103,162 105,968 105,968

164,401 European Union - 28 162,592 157,260 160,370 160,320 160,170

7,803 Other Europe 8,347 8,650 8,929 9,152 9,052


46,218 Middle East 45,632 51,742 53,659 55,624 56,624

28,059 North Africa 30,230 32,141 31,317 32,733 32,683


257,340 East Asia 262,558 273,006 285,592 289,889 290,139

48,965 South Asia 52,095 53,181 56,130 57,649 57,749

39,043 Southeast Asia 41,183 43,942 45,866 48,050 48,000

5,754 Oceania 5,846 6,654 6,499 6,331 6,331

10,017 Others 10,257 10,766 11,217 11,566 11,566

1,230,632 Total 1,259,394 1,274,070 1,326,044 1,343,866 1,343,621

Ending Stocks none

42,448 North America 55,114 58,668 77,045 72,730 71,235

21,518 South America 15,952 14,182 19,169 17,573 18,213

15,565 European Union - 28 18,885 15,412 13,803 12,023 12,303

827 Other Europe 1,107 913 1,590 1,240 1,240


11,820 Middle East 12,620 14,309 13,260 11,302 11,582

5,638 North Africa 5,349 5,863 4,133 4,224 4,204


86,556 East Asia 105,819 116,403 106,815 86,157 86,137

4,025 South Asia 5,187 3,153 4,408 2,841 2,914

4,324 Southeast Asia 4,204 4,673 4,082 3,584 3,605

1,119 Oceania 1,639 1,262 2,115 1,000 900

924 Others 964 921 1,029 1,072 1,072

210,049 Total 246,316 249,932 263,314 227,911 228,142




World Corn Trade


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

TY Exports

27,50027,50026,50021,67818,44812,846 Argentina

35,00033,50021,00035,38221,90922,041 Brazil

1,2001,2001,1001,0001,2501,100 Burma

1,3001,5001,3001,7643951,939 Canada

1,5002,3002,0001,9494,0272,404 European Union

2,5002,5001,9002,6623,0122,714 Paraguay

6,5006,0005,5004,6913,2134,194 Russia

2,2002,5002,5001,5132,9641,780 Serbia

1,9001,7002,0007597462,104 South Africa

21,50020,50021,50016,59519,66120,004 Ukraine

4,0854,0854,4105,5535,9349,013 Others

105,185103,28589,71093,54681,55980,139 Subtotal

47,00047,50055,00051,19846,83150,691 United States

152,185150,785144,710144,744128,390130,830 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,7004,7004,5004,3294,1164,156 Algeria

1,1001,1001,0001,042482488 Bangladesh

2,0002,0001,8001,3001,5411,456 Chile

3,0003,0003,0003,1745,5163,277 China

5,0005,0004,7004,4584,4964,436 Colombia

1,0001,000925853886928 Cuba

1,4001,4001,3501,3511,2021,011 Dominican Republic

10,00010,0009,0008,7767,8418,726 Egypt

16,00015,00013,40013,7688,90816,014 European Union

1,1001,1001,0001,027881767 Guatemala

10,0009,0009,0006,6006,1005,500 Iran

1,4001,4001,3501,1521,2961,652 Israel

15,00015,00015,00015,19414,65715,121 Japan

1,2001,1001,100200600350 Kenya

10,20010,2009,80010,12110,16810,406 Korea, South

4,0004,0003,8004,1343,2383,485 Malaysia

15,50015,50014,80014,01111,34110,949 Mexico

2,5002,5002,0002,2241,9412,349 Morocco

3,3003,3003,1002,9852,7412,232 Peru

4,5004,5003,7003,5832,9042,684 Saudi Arabia

4,5004,5004,6004,6563,8104,179 Taiwan

1,3001,3001,2001,0171,042993 Tunisia

1,5001,5001,0005672,3771,381 Turkey

1,6001,6001,0001,7382,4332,626 Venezuela

10,50010,5009,0008,6006,7004,300 Vietnam

14,73515,42519,07519,66917,79016,396 Others

147,035145,625140,200136,529125,007125,862 Subtotal

3,8503,8603,1106,4362,5744,241 Unaccounted

1,3001,3001,4001,779809727 United States

152,185150,785144,710144,744128,390130,830 World Total



World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

Production

40,00040,00041,00029,00029,75026,000 Argentina

95,00095,00098,50067,00085,00080,000 Brazil

13,90014,40013,20013,55911,48714,194 Canada

215,000215,000219,554224,632215,646218,489 China

6,7006,7006,3506,8007,2356,492 Ethiopia

60,01061,60061,14058,74875,73464,931 European Union

25,00025,00026,00022,57024,17024,259 India

11,35011,35010,90010,5009,0009,100 Indonesia

25,00025,00027,40025,97125,48022,880 Mexico

6,9006,9007,2007,0007,5157,700 Nigeria

8,3008,3008,1106,9707,6717,532 Philippines

16,50016,00015,30513,16811,32511,635 Russia

6,6007,0007,6006,0007,7005,900 Serbia

12,50012,50016,7008,21410,62914,925 South Africa

28,50028,50028,00023,33328,45030,900 Ukraine

102,709101,55498,773100,515101,80898,875 Others

673,969674,804685,732623,980658,600643,812 Subtotal

359,502362,094384,778345,506361,091351,272 United States

1,033,4711,036,8981,070,510969,4861,019,691995,084 World Total

none

Total Consumption

11,80011,80011,0009,2009,3008,800 Argentina

61,50061,50060,50057,50057,00055,000 Brazil

13,80014,10012,72012,35412,82012,675 Canada

238,000238,000232,000217,500202,000208,000 China

15,90015,90015,10014,85013,90013,200 Egypt

74,90074,70072,90073,50077,88076,796 European Union

25,80025,80024,70023,55022,35019,600 India

12,20012,20012,20012,10012,20011,900 Indonesia

13,10012,10011,3008,8007,4006,800 Iran

15,10015,10015,10015,20014,60015,000 Japan

10,30010,3009,90010,12310,2509,891 Korea, South

40,70040,70039,90037,30034,55031,700 Mexico

9,8009,9009,5008,7008,1007,500 Russia

11,70011,70012,40010,97011,65011,500 South Africa

14,60014,60013,10012,2509,4008,200 Vietnam

170,948171,648164,592162,317161,846158,163 Others

744,970746,715741,829666,439682,431661,297 Subtotal

316,245316,880313,577298,785301,792292,958 United States

1,061,2151,063,5951,055,406965,224984,223954,255 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

3,2713,2713,5661,0612,8981,408 Argentina

10,0699,56910,2696,7697,84213,972 Brazil

81,25881,278101,278110,774100,47281,323 China

2,1952,1952,1052,2152,2952,398 Egypt

5,9435,5876,3336,6939,6266,891 European Union

5,7365,4366,2966,0565,7164,476 Iran

5,8635,8636,7635,2134,0902,603 Mexico

28,79328,55231,79730,60232,33129,413 Others

143,128141,751168,407169,383165,270142,484 Subtotal

57,73859,06060,20344,12343,97431,292 United States

200,866200,811228,610213,506209,244173,776 World Total


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jul

2017/18

Aug

2017/18

TY Imports none

12,354 North America 13,686 16,739 17,200 17,600 17,600

2,922 Central America 3,456 3,938 3,925 4,100 4,100

12,025 South America 12,067 12,223 13,580 12,850 12,850

16,014 European Union - 28 8,908 13,768 13,400 15,000 16,000


13,672 Middle East 15,147 14,896 17,825 19,200 20,200

17,036 North Africa 15,624 16,927 17,400 19,300 19,300


33,057 East Asia 34,198 33,179 32,470 32,750 32,750

12,768 Southeast Asia 14,722 15,795 14,665 16,100 16,100

2,330 Caribbean 2,444 2,597 2,705 2,830 2,830

1,468 Others 1,588 2,374 2,135 2,545 2,545

126,589 Total 125,816 138,308 141,600 146,925 148,335

Production none

388,346 North America 398,058 385,036 425,378 401,494 398,402

117,978 South America 127,240 109,366 150,067 145,915 145,915

64,931 European Union - 28 75,734 58,748 61,140 61,600 60,010

7,297 Other Europe 9,132 7,427 9,407 8,669 8,269


8,763 Middle East 7,785 9,213 8,587 8,628 8,628

5,919 North Africa 6,058 6,096 6,130 6,201 6,201


220,582 East Asia 218,095 226,983 221,908 217,359 217,359

34,100 South Asia 34,100 32,861 36,803 36,286 36,286

3,817 Central America 3,416 3,124 3,580 3,600 3,600

30,724 Southeast Asia 30,655 31,255 34,059 34,543 34,543

1,321 Others 1,453 1,356 1,376 1,278 1,278

995,084 Total 1,019,691 969,486 1,070,510 1,036,898 1,033,471


337,333 North America 349,162 348,439 366,197 371,680 370,745

83,906 South America 87,101 87,846 91,625 94,455 94,455

76,796 European Union - 28 77,880 73,500 72,900 74,700 74,900

5,897 Other Europe 6,297 6,622 6,900 7,095 6,995


20,195 Middle East 21,749 23,515 26,380 28,180 29,180

20,800 North Africa 22,100 22,990 23,720 25,350 25,300


239,185 East Asia 233,227 249,379 263,870 270,250 270,250

29,782 South Asia 32,773 35,136 36,886 38,585 38,585

38,754 Southeast Asia 40,849 43,634 45,560 47,750 47,700

6,600 Central America 6,710 7,030 7,365 7,630 7,630

3,581 Others 3,984 3,984 4,080 4,125 4,125

947,683 Total 967,038 984,999 1,030,489 1,056,928 1,056,393

Ending Stocks none

35,495 North America 49,466 51,579 69,389 66,946 65,624

19,019 South America 13,797 11,930 17,202 15,727 16,457

6,891 European Union - 28 9,626 6,693 6,333 5,587 5,943

529 Other Europe 896 796 1,443 1,147 1,147


5,971 Middle East 7,053 7,495 7,382 6,655 6,935

3,110 North Africa 3,196 2,976 2,856 3,053 3,047


84,864 East Asia 103,922 114,703 105,161 85,020 85,000

2,937 South Asia 3,834 2,444 3,174 2,102 2,145

4,318 Southeast Asia 4,198 4,667 4,082 3,584 3,605

597 Central America 600 591 711 766 766

396 Others 459 433 379 307 307

173,776 Total 209,244 213,506 228,610 200,811 200,866




World Barley Trade


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

TY Exports

1,8001,8002,6002,8361,5992,829 Argentina

5,8006,0009,3005,4015,2666,261 Australia

1,0001,1001,4501,1461,3861,714 Canada

6,5007,0005,4008,60310,6424,926 European Union

600600900776476501 Kazakhstan

757560598126 Moldova

3,8003,6003,2003,7355,8072,791 Russia

15015020049 Turkey

4,4003,6005,5004,6734,3323,827 Ukraine

7070120424336 Uruguay

858514082164571 Others

24,28024,08028,69027,35329,80023,491 Subtotal

130130125161291336 United States

24,41024,21028,81527,51430,09123,827 World Total

none

TY Imports

600600650864723778 Algeria

1001001007111 Belarus

650650750551489337 Brazil

4,5004,5006,5005,8699,8594,891 China

280280285301249253 Colombia

100100100729846 Egypt

35035045031526958 European Union

30010040011921 India

1,3001,3001,4001,7001,9001,100 Iran

250250320321278304 Israel

1,1001,1001,2001,1541,0971,294 Japan

700700800902759997 Jordan

200200400511412436 Kuwait

7007001,0001,3241,001681 Libya

10010010132184108 Mexico

500500400958276471 Morocco

10,00010,00011,00010,4008,2008,500 Saudi Arabia

1501502502020100 Syria

500500500696483456 Tunisia

400400400668394468 United Arab Emirates

1,0061,0061,4161,1921,6921,744 Others

23,78623,58628,33128,07628,38623,034 Subtotal

274274254-9121,275270 Unaccounted

350350230350430523 United States

24,41024,21028,81527,51430,09123,827 World Total



World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

Production

3,0003,0003,3004,9402,9004,750 Argentina

8,0008,00013,4048,5938,6469,174 Australia

1,9001,9002,1001,8491,9881,674 Belarus

7,0007,6008,8008,2267,11910,237 Canada

2,1002,1002,0001,8701,8101,700 China

2,0702,0702,0501,9501,9531,908 Ethiopia

58,59159,10059,81962,09560,60959,674 European Union

1,7001,7001,9001,6131,8311,752 India

3,1003,1003,0003,0003,2002,800 Iran

1,2751,2751,5501,5501,000944 Iraq

2,7002,5003,2312,6752,4122,539 Kazakhstan

2,0002,0006203,4001,7002,723 Morocco

18,50017,50017,54717,08320,02615,389 Russia

7,0007,0004,7507,4004,0007,300 Turkey

8,7007,2009,9008,7519,4507,561 Ukraine

9,3739,3739,6149,4979,1789,462 Others

137,009135,418143,585144,492137,822139,587 Subtotal

3,0533,1134,3394,7503,9534,719 United States

140,062138,531147,924149,242141,775144,306 World Total

none

Total Consumption

1,9501,9502,0502,1502,0502,050 Algeria

3,1003,1003,3003,3003,0002,800 Australia

2,0002,0002,2501,8502,0001,800 Belarus

6,8507,2507,1006,9686,4717,718 Canada

6,9006,9008,5007,90011,6006,300 China

2,0752,0752,0251,9901,9751,925 Ethiopia

53,50053,60055,40051,37550,93753,400 European Union

2,0001,9002,0001,5201,4001,200 India

4,6004,6004,8005,0004,6004,500 Iran

2,2002,0002,3002,0002,0002,000 Kazakhstan

2,4502,4502,2003,3502,7002,300 Morocco

14,60013,90014,50013,60014,10012,700 Russia

11,32511,32511,02510,2258,5258,625 Saudi Arabia

6,4006,4005,6006,9005,3506,950 Turkey

4,3004,0004,6004,7004,7005,000 Ukraine

16,95916,95918,17018,68716,76517,032 Others

141,510140,540145,198143,589137,361136,080 Subtotal

4,0944,0944,3344,4084,2354,775 United States

145,604144,634149,532147,997141,596140,855 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

7637639131,3131,3041,178 Algeria

1,0181,1181,8181,4431,2171,950 Canada

4,6704,7605,6796,0605,8345,621 European Union

1,0839839338361,533904 Russia

2,7292,7294,0444,0593,0743,389 Saudi Arabia

861861361961332899 Turkey

9196199149091,265971 Ukraine

4,5994,5746,6997,5177,8067,194 Others

16,64216,40721,36123,09822,36522,106 Subtotal

1,5291,5892,3522,2231,7111,791 United States

18,17117,99623,71325,32124,07623,897 World Total


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jul

2017/18

Aug

2017/18

TY Imports none

640 North America 779 613 315 500 500

886 South America 1,169 1,157 1,275 1,155 1,155

58 European Union - 28 269 315 450 350 350

163 Other Europe 120 84 115 120 120


12,537 Middle East 12,400 14,800 15,045 13,125 13,125

2,432 North Africa 2,581 3,914 2,650 2,400 2,400

116 Sub-Saharan Africa 138 40 120 135 135

6,320 East Asia 11,080 7,136 7,825 5,710 5,710

11 South Asia 22 187 431 151 351

46 Oceania 32 7 25 25 25

23,557 Total 28,816 28,426 28,561 23,936 24,136

Production none

15,550 North America 11,918 13,711 14,117 11,448 10,788

5,746 South America 3,793 5,926 4,662 4,256 4,256

59,674 European Union - 28 60,609 62,095 59,819 59,100 58,591

1,228 Other Europe 1,241 1,258 1,333 1,286 1,286


12,043 Middle East 8,653 12,558 9,725 11,785 11,785

4,739 North Africa 3,975 5,275 2,203 3,908 3,908


1,991 East Asia 2,134 2,158 2,297 2,398 2,398

2,261 South Asia 2,340 2,116 2,432 2,222 2,222

9,580 Oceania 9,052 9,030 13,749 8,340 8,340

144,306 Total 141,775 149,242 147,924 138,531 140,062


13,243 North America 11,556 12,301 12,384 12,244 11,844

3,531 South America 3,402 3,705 3,495 3,587 3,587

53,400 European Union - 28 50,937 51,375 55,400 53,600 53,500

1,334 Other Europe 1,414 1,373 1,374 1,387 1,387


24,410 Middle East 22,187 26,775 25,811 25,986 25,986

6,282 North Africa 7,182 8,203 6,638 6,428 6,428


8,009 East Asia 13,162 9,481 10,155 8,475 8,475

1,713 South Asia 1,923 2,053 2,568 2,488 2,588

3,240 Oceania 3,450 3,750 3,700 3,460 3,460

141,075 Total 142,408 145,923 150,154 144,503 145,303

Ending Stocks none

3,974 North America 3,326 4,052 4,594 3,066 2,906

822 South America 742 940 601 545 555

5,621 European Union - 28 5,834 6,060 5,679 4,760 4,670

246 Other Europe 165 82 89 58 58


5,781 Middle East 5,508 6,759 5,828 4,602 4,602

2,505 North Africa 2,105 2,838 1,223 1,117 1,103


1,038 East Asia 1,090 903 870 503 503

247 South Asia 259 271 446 301 331

747 Oceania 1,173 715 1,489 694 594

23,897 Total 24,076 25,321 23,713 17,996 18,171




World Sorghum Trade


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

TY Exports

600600400772954953 Argentina

6006005007171,701408 Australia

202015257575 Ethiopia

5050507412288 India

202025307351 Kenya

1001001005010050 Nigeria

150150150120156229 Ukraine

9090130123135179 Others

1,6301,6301,3701,9113,3162,033 Subtotal

5,4505,2005,8007,8959,2695,714 United States

7,0806,8307,1709,80612,5857,747 World Total

none

TY Imports

1501507013498109 Chile

4,4504,2004,7008,28410,1624,161 China

505050640104 Colombia

150150175119131184 European Union

5505506006499031,003 Japan

10010010010511794 Kenya

50050070066129162 Mexico

80801001208661 South Africa

150150501987108 South Sudan

20020010020012075 Sudan

350350545607363681 Others

6,7306,4807,19010,96212,0966,742 Subtotal

350350-45-1,2544621,002 Unaccounted

002598273 United States

7,0806,8307,1709,80612,5857,747 World Total



World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

Production

3,5003,5003,4003,3753,5004,400 Argentina

1,9001,9001,1072,0372,2091,282 Australia

1,6001,6001,7011,0802,0551,890 Brazil

1,8001,8001,6001,4361,7081,880 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1501,1501,1501,260 Cameroon

900900933835922800 Chad

3,8503,8503,8002,7502,8852,892 China

3,7653,7653,6003,9004,3393,829 Ethiopia

4,5004,5004,8004,2385,4455,542 India

1,3001,3001,4001,3001,272820 Mali

6,0006,0005,0505,5876,2708,500 Mexico

1,7001,7001,8081,8771,4261,320 Niger

6,5506,5506,5006,1506,7006,592 Nigeria

4,5004,5005,5002,3886,2812,249 Sudan

800800800820883832 Tanzania

7,1207,1227,2827,3407,8747,587 Others

50,93550,93750,43146,26354,91951,675 Subtotal

9,3839,04312,19915,15810,9889,966 United States

60,31859,98062,63061,42165,90761,641 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,9002,9003,1002,9002,8002,700 Argentina

1,1051,1057051,105505905 Australia

1,6501,6501,6001,1502,0002,000 Brazil

1,7601,7601,5601,4651,7001,900 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1801,1751,1751,275 Cameroon

950950930880930900 Chad

8,4508,2008,50011,00012,9006,800 China

3,8003,8003,7504,1004,1003,900 Ethiopia

4,6004,6004,7004,6005,1005,200 India

1,3501,3501,4001,3001,200950 Mali

6,4006,4005,8506,3006,6008,300 Mexico

1,8501,8501,9001,8201,4501,300 Niger

6,4506,4506,4006,0506,6506,550 Nigeria

4,8004,8005,5003,1006,0002,550 Sudan

800800800845845825 Tanzania

8,4398,4398,5148,7969,4249,089 Others

56,88856,63456,28156,11963,25156,220 Subtotal

4,0654,0656,0956,1872,4594,130 United States

60,95360,69962,37662,30665,71060,350 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

8529528529529711,202 Argentina

177177182280252177 Australia

542542702717706568 China

202202237352537343 Ethiopia

286286186286338647 Mexico

210210210200150200 Nigeria

216216321226743357 Sudan

1,1441,1491,5581,3952,0581,668 Others

3,6293,7344,2484,4085,7555,162 Subtotal

1,3281,2421,344930468864 United States

4,9574,9765,5925,3386,2236,026 World Total


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jul

2017/18

Aug

2017/18

TY Imports none

165 North America 56 759 725 500 500

240 South America 114 212 155 235 235

184 European Union - 28 131 119 175 150 150

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

233 Middle East 24 34 40 30 30

41 North Africa 1 1 5 0 0


5,281 East Asia 11,142 9,011 5,355 4,805 5,055

46 Southeast Asia 14 15 15 15 15

15 Others 32 231 55 50 50

6,745 Total 12,123 11,060 7,215 6,480 6,730

Production none

18,466 North America 17,258 20,745 17,249 15,043 15,383

327 Central America 326 337 326 335 335

94 Caribbean 92 92 91 91 91

7,536 South America 6,709 5,495 6,081 6,117 6,117

703 European Union - 28 887 678 620 700 648

706 Middle East 821 697 695 695 695

767 North Africa 809 755 755 755 755


2,895 East Asia 2,887 2,752 3,802 3,852 3,852

5,661 South Asia 5,548 4,383 4,930 4,630 4,630


1,282 Oceania 2,209 2,037 1,107 1,900 1,900

354 Others 224 191 275 250 250

61,641 Total 65,907 61,421 62,630 59,980 60,318


12,430 North America 9,059 12,487 11,945 10,465 10,465

317 Central America 321 345 321 335 335

94 Caribbean 92 92 96 91 91

6,130 South America 6,107 5,200 5,785 5,784 5,784

880 European Union - 28 995 810 770 820 770

828 Middle East 976 740 740 730 730

813 North Africa 785 755 755 755 755


7,951 East Asia 13,882 11,733 9,160 8,807 9,057

5,334 South Asia 5,235 4,956 4,880 4,780 4,780


905 Oceania 505 1,105 705 1,105 1,105

75 Others 75 75 125 105 105

59,274 Total 65,838 62,773 62,484 60,269 60,519

Ending Stocks none

1,511 North America 806 1,216 1,530 1,528 1,614

21 Central America 26 13 13 8 8

1,548 South America 1,307 1,155 1,131 1,164 1,064

18 European Union - 28 27 10 30 58 53

27 Middle East 39 35 30 25 25

22 North Africa 47 48 53 53 53


627 East Asia 765 773 755 595 595

364 South Asia 587 151 201 51 51

177 Oceania 252 280 182 177 177

76 Others 69 65 59 54 54

6,026 Total 6,223 5,338 5,592 4,976 4,957




World Oats Trade


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

TY Exports

555422 Argentina

250250300214264267 Australia

1,8001,8001,6501,6661,7291,732 Canada

505075138449 Chile

200200200220231291 European Union

10101016146 Russia

50505048466 Ukraine

1010109814 Others

2,3752,3752,3002,1902,3782,367 Subtotal


2,4052,4052,3302,2252,4072,396 World Total

none

TY Imports

252525312412 Algeria

555443 Bosnia and Herzegovina

101015111227 Canada

200200250172162116 China

555122 Colombia

303040382121 Ecuador


505050504746 Japan

100100100778693 Mexico

55107438 Norway

555122 Serbia

505030314619 South Africa

505050424951 Switzerland

555040 Turkey

555676 Uruguay

009442 Others

550550609484478441 Subtotal

15515514120316289 Unaccounted

1,7001,7001,5801,5381,7671,866 United States

2,4052,4052,3302,2252,4072,396 World Total



World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

Production

110110110110110110 Algeria

660660785553525445 Argentina

1,0501,0501,8671,3081,1981,255 Australia

500500400492522352 Belarus

696696828783351380 Brazil

3,2003,3003,0003,4282,9793,906 Canada

546546600533421610 Chile

190190185180255235 China

8,0118,0008,0857,5247,8218,380 European Union

250250335244226305 Kazakhstan

909072859391 Mexico

300300330286283224 Norway

4,9004,8004,7504,5275,2674,932 Russia

210210210210210210 Turkey

500500500498610467 Ukraine

328328344320291319 Others

21,54121,53022,40121,08121,16222,221 Subtotal

7807799401,3001,019938 United States

22,32122,30923,34122,38122,18123,159 World Total

none

Total Consumption

135135135137126118 Algeria

690690750550525425 Argentina

1,0501,0501,3501,025950950 Australia

500500400500500375 Belarus

725725775765345375 Brazil

1,6001,6001,6501,6161,6811,660 Canada

525525525485355570 Chile

380380430370400350 China

7,9007,9008,0007,4007,7308,075 European Union

275275300245225275 Kazakhstan

190190170190175185 Mexico

325325320295295245 Norway

4,9004,9004,6504,6005,2004,900 Russia

215215215210215215 Turkey

450450450450600475 Ukraine

530530537482466492 Others

20,52020,52020,84219,48119,78519,905 Subtotal

2,7402,7402,5082,7022,4472,757 United States

23,26023,26023,35022,18322,23222,662 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

606095656567 Argentina

11811836815193105 Australia

444478301417 Brazil

4045045949296731,054 Canada

546519630690770894 European Union

279179289199289230 Russia

434343433867 Ukraine

194194265202213193 Others

1,6881,6612,3622,3092,1552,627 Subtotal

497496762824780359 United States

2,1852,1573,1243,1332,9352,986 World Total


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jul

2017/18

Aug

2017/18

TY Imports none

1,986 North America 1,865 1,626 1,695 1,810 1,810

29 South America 30 45 50 40 40

3 European Union - 28 4 9 5 5 5

94 Other Europe 62 54 75 65 65


0 Middle East 4 0 5 5 5

12 North Africa 24 31 29 25 25


162 East Asia 209 222 300 250 250

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,307 Total 2,245 2,022 2,189 2,250 2,250

Production none

4,935 North America 4,091 4,813 4,012 4,169 4,070

1,478 South America 1,325 1,910 2,259 1,945 1,945

8,380 European Union - 28 7,821 7,524 8,085 8,000 8,011

359 Other Europe 411 418 464 423 423


210 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

156 North Africa 147 166 175 175 175


237 East Asia 257 181 186 191 191

1,283 Oceania 1,233 1,337 1,904 1,085 1,085

23,159 Total 22,181 22,381 23,341 22,309 22,321


4,602 North America 4,303 4,508 4,328 4,530 4,530

1,447 South America 1,285 1,865 2,146 2,023 2,023

8,075 European Union - 28 7,730 7,400 8,000 7,900 7,900

435 Other Europe 479 483 516 511 511


215 Middle East 215 210 215 215 215

164 North Africa 163 193 204 200 200


400 East Asia 450 420 480 430 430

978 Oceania 985 1,054 1,385 1,085 1,085

22,442 Total 22,235 22,022 23,165 23,130 23,130

Ending Stocks none

1,417 North America 1,459 1,757 1,362 1,006 907

129 South America 106 157 235 137 137

894 European Union - 28 770 690 630 519 546

52 Other Europe 46 35 58 35 35


8 Middle East 6 6 6 6 6

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


23 East Asia 39 22 28 39 39

105 Oceania 93 151 370 120 120

2,986 Total 2,935 3,133 3,124 2,157 2,185




World Rye Trade


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

TY Exports

2020202400 Belarus

1501501501118997 Canada

100100125160167201 European Union

5050252312183 Russia

101010211359 Ukraine

000011 Others

330330330339391441 Subtotal


335335335345394447 World Total

none

TY Imports


252525151833 Israel

202020162237 Japan

555548 Korea, South

1010102621 Norway

555555 Russia

555366 Switzerland

0001661 Others

120120120112163207 Subtotal

15151516-3136 Unaccounted

200200200217262204 United States

335335335345394447 World Total



World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18

Jul

2017/18

Aug

none

Production


800800800753867648 Belarus

320320410226218223 Canada

7,7107,9007,4957,8338,86410,151 European Union

2,5002,8002,5382,0843,2793,360 Russia

350350350350300365 Turkey

450450390394475638 Ukraine

163163145178175130 Others

12,37512,86512,20711,87914,27515,567 Subtotal

311311342295183194 United States

12,68613,17612,54912,17414,45815,761 World Total

none

Total Consumption


262625221919 Australia

800800800800850700 Belarus

160160160118134107 Canada

7,6007,8007,8008,0258,6009,650 European Union

404040376540 Kazakhstan

525230674635 Norway

2,5002,8002,4502,1753,2503,100 Russia

350350350350325350 Turkey

460460380420475625 Ukraine

11111111593107142 Others

12,19312,69312,26112,18713,97314,815 Subtotal

505505499515406424 United States

12,69813,19812,76012,70214,37915,239 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

59597999166149 Belarus

162162152524244 Canada

7647727041,0841,3861,204 European Union

555448 Kazakhstan

168168213130264344 Russia

141414141433 Turkey

55557575106128 Ukraine

001234 Others

1,2271,2351,2431,4601,9851,914 Subtotal


1,2491,2571,2611,4722,0001,921 World Total


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17

Jul

2017/18

Aug

2017/18

TY Imports none

204 North America 262 217 200 200 200

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

96 European Union - 28 96 50 50 50 50

28 Other Europe 12 5 15 15 15


33 Middle East 24 15 25 25 25


45 East Asia 26 21 25 25 25

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

411 Total 425 329 320 320 320

Production none

417 North America 401 521 752 631 631

59 South America 105 69 91 92 92

10,151 European Union - 28 8,864 7,833 7,495 7,900 7,710

57 Other Europe 83 108 64 84 84


365 Middle East 300 350 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

20 Oceania 20 22 25 26 26

15,761 Total 14,458 12,174 12,549 13,176 12,686


531 North America 540 633 659 665 665

59 South America 105 69 91 92 92

9,650 European Union - 28 8,600 8,025 7,800 7,800 7,600

86 Other Europe 97 112 79 99 99


383 Middle East 343 365 375 375 375


48 East Asia 27 22 26 26 26

19 Oceania 19 22 25 26 26

15,244 Total 14,374 12,683 12,728 13,186 12,686

Ending Stocks none

51 North America 57 64 170 184 184

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

1,204 European Union - 28 1,386 1,084 704 772 764

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0


33 Middle East 14 14 14 14 14


4 East Asia 3 2 1 0 0

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,921 Total 2,000 1,472 1,261 1,257 1,249




38

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR

SELECTED REGIONS AND

COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 39

China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 40

Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 41

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 42

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 46

Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 48

Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 50

Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 51

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..52

Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 53

World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 54

World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 55

World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 56

DG F/SA &F


European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

Imports Exports Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8

120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8

151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4

139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6

136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.9 124.755.035.56.05.926.7 2014/15 12.7

160.5 129.959.034.76.96.026.8 2015/16 15.6

145.7 128.556.527.05.35.327.3 2016/17 11.1

149.6 127.355.529.56.55.626.6 2017/18 10.4

Coarse Grains

140.3 150.9112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.7

138.8 157.2121.64.520.34.232.7 2007/08 13.1

165.2 154.5116.15.73.14.834.1 2008/09 21.3

158.0 152.8114.83.02.94.833.0 2009/10 26.3

143.2 155.0116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.9

150.1 151.7113.26.57.05.030.2 2011/12 15.7

146.2 153.3113.77.411.84.631.4 2012/13 13.1

159.2 164.4122.48.616.35.131.5 2013/14 15.6

170.7 162.6121.614.09.25.530.8 2014/15 18.9

152.7 157.3117.113.114.25.130.2 2015/16 15.4

152.2 160.4119.97.514.05.229.5 2016/17 13.8

150.4 160.2119.78.316.65.129.6 2017/18 12.3

Wheat and Coarse Grains

265.9 277.1173.118.513.24.757.1 2006/07 30.5

259.6 274.3174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9

317.2 282.1176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.7

297.7 278.4172.325.38.25.059.0 2009/10 42.9

279.9 277.8169.429.313.15.056.3 2010/11 28.8

288.3 278.9170.723.314.35.156.1 2011/12 29.3

280.1 272.6164.730.217.14.957.4 2012/13 23.8

303.8 281.7171.440.720.35.357.4 2013/14 25.5

327.6 287.3176.649.415.25.757.5 2014/15 31.6

313.1 287.1176.147.821.25.557.0 2015/16 31.0

297.9 288.9176.434.519.35.256.9 2016/17 24.9

299.9 287.4175.237.823.15.356.2 2017/18 22.7


China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.3 2012/13 54.0

121.9 116.516.00.96.85.124.1 2013/14 65.3

126.2 116.516.00.81.95.224.1 2014/15 76.1

130.2 112.010.50.73.55.424.1 2015/16 97.0

128.9 118.516.50.84.85.324.2 2016/17 111.4

130.0 116.013.00.83.05.424.2 2017/18 127.6

Coarse Grains

158.8 153.2104.75.51.25.131.1 2006/07 38.0

158.8 157.6106.40.91.25.031.8 2007/08 39.5

172.1 160.9108.80.21.75.332.2 2008/09 52.1

169.4 172.9118.80.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.2

183.5 188.1128.40.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

198.3 195.9131.70.17.95.635.5 2011/12 60.3

211.8 209.3145.70.15.65.737.1 2012/13 68.3

225.1 223.2157.40.012.45.938.3 2013/14 82.5

222.4 228.7158.40.025.75.739.2 2014/15 101.9

231.4 238.7166.40.017.55.840.2 2015/16 112.1

227.4 251.3172.70.114.55.839.0 2016/17 102.5

223.0 255.6175.20.012.26.037.3 2017/18 82.1


267.2 255.2108.78.21.54.954.7 2006/07 76.5

268.1 263.6114.43.71.24.855.5 2007/08 78.5

284.6 266.4116.80.92.15.155.8 2008/09 97.9

284.5 279.9128.81.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.6

298.6 298.6141.41.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2

315.7 318.4155.71.110.95.359.8 2011/12 116.2

332.9 334.3170.71.18.65.461.3 2012/13 122.2

347.0 339.7173.40.919.25.662.4 2013/14 147.8

348.6 345.2174.40.827.65.563.2 2014/15 178.0

361.6 350.7176.90.821.05.664.3 2015/16 209.1

356.3 369.8189.20.919.35.663.2 2016/17 213.9

353.0 371.6188.20.815.25.761.5 2017/18 209.7


Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

3.5 4.60.70.31.53.71.0 2006/07 1.2

3.7 4.81.00.51.93.81.0 2007/08 1.5

4.0 5.11.20.41.74.40.9 2008/09 1.7

3.8 4.91.00.51.73.91.0 2009/10 1.7

3.2 4.70.80.61.73.70.9 2010/11 1.3

3.6 4.91.00.51.94.20.9 2011/12 1.4

3.4 4.71.00.71.64.00.9 2012/13 1.1

4.2 4.91.21.31.94.60.9 2013/14 1.0

4.1 4.91.20.71.84.11.0 2014/15 1.3

4.4 4.91.21.01.84.70.9 2015/16 1.6

4.7 5.01.31.42.04.81.0 2016/17 2.0

4.2 5.01.31.31.94.60.9 2017/18 1.8

Coarse Grains

9.8 9.68.50.90.84.92.0 2006/07 1.3

6.9 7.96.80.10.93.42.0 2007/08 1.1

9.7 8.77.61.50.64.62.1 2008/09 1.1

9.7 8.77.51.40.74.92.0 2009/10 1.4

10.0 8.77.32.00.75.02.0 2010/11 1.4

9.5 8.47.02.30.84.62.0 2011/12 1.0

6.6 7.15.90.60.73.22.1 2012/13 0.6

9.0 7.86.41.90.94.52.0 2013/14 0.8

10.9 8.37.03.10.86.01.8 2014/15 1.1

9.3 8.77.31.60.85.11.8 2015/16 0.9

11.3 8.97.62.60.86.31.8 2016/17 1.6

10.1 9.17.72.30.85.41.9 2017/18 1.2


13.3 14.29.21.22.34.53.0 2006/07 2.5

10.6 12.67.80.62.73.53.0 2007/08 2.6

13.7 13.88.81.92.34.63.0 2008/09 2.8

13.5 13.78.51.92.44.53.0 2009/10 3.2

13.2 13.48.12.62.44.62.9 2010/11 2.7

13.1 13.38.12.82.74.52.9 2011/12 2.5

10.0 11.87.01.32.43.42.9 2012/13 1.7

13.2 12.77.63.12.74.52.9 2013/14 1.8

15.0 13.28.13.72.55.32.8 2014/15 2.4

13.6 13.68.52.52.65.02.7 2015/16 2.5

16.1 14.08.83.92.95.82.8 2016/17 3.6

14.4 14.18.93.52.75.12.8 2017/18 3.1


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

115.0 80.028.439.78.02.349.7 2011/12 26.6

77.8 71.721.625.47.31.844.1 2012/13 14.5

103.8 72.822.737.37.52.247.7 2013/14 15.8

112.4 75.024.540.27.72.446.6 2014/15 20.7

118.0 77.826.751.57.42.448.9 2015/16 16.8

130.5 79.228.153.77.52.650.6 2016/17 21.9

133.8 81.430.256.08.02.749.6 2017/18 26.2

Coarse Grains

78.6 53.537.624.61.02.927.0 2011/12 6.4

68.3 50.836.119.80.72.527.5 2012/13 4.9

87.9 56.841.130.80.83.029.4 2013/14 5.9

91.8 57.541.433.90.83.030.3 2014/15 7.2

82.6 53.838.631.30.52.928.0 2015/16 5.3

93.3 56.741.336.80.73.328.2 2016/17 5.8

93.9 57.041.737.40.73.427.8 2017/18 6.0


Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.3

13.7 6.92.17.60.11.211.6 2015/16 2.6

15.0 6.92.16.80.11.212.4 2016/17 4.0

14.0 6.92.17.50.11.211.5 2017/18 3.6

Russia

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.025.50.82.425.6 2015/16 5.6

72.5 40.017.027.80.52.727.0 2016/17 10.8

77.5 42.019.031.50.52.926.8 2017/18 15.3

Ukraine

24.8 11.54.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.7

27.3 12.25.117.40.03.87.1 2015/16 3.3

26.8 10.33.618.00.04.26.5 2016/17 1.9

26.5 10.23.616.00.04.06.6 2017/18 2.2

Uzbekistan

7.2 8.92.20.22.25.11.4 2014/15 2.2

7.2 9.42.30.22.75.11.4 2015/16 2.5

7.2 9.72.40.22.75.11.4 2016/17 2.5

7.2 9.92.50.22.85.11.4 2017/18 2.4

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

8.4 12.33.30.44.52.53.3 2014/15 3.2

8.7 12.33.30.73.82.73.2 2015/16 2.7

9.0 12.33.00.94.12.73.4 2016/17 2.6

8.6 12.43.00.84.62.63.3 2017/18 2.6

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

112.4 75.024.540.27.72.446.6 2014/15 20.7

118.0 77.826.751.57.42.448.9 2015/16 16.8

130.5 79.228.153.77.52.650.6 2016/17 21.9

133.8 81.430.256.08.02.749.6 2017/18 26.2



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

2.4 2.01.70.50.01.31.9 2014/15 0.2

2.7 2.01.70.80.01.32.0 2015/16 0.1

3.2 2.32.00.80.01.71.9 2016/17 0.3

2.7 2.21.90.60.01.51.8 2017/18 0.2

Russia

20.0 14.19.25.30.02.38.8 2014/15 1.5

17.1 13.68.94.20.12.18.0 2015/16 0.8

17.5 14.59.73.00.12.28.0 2016/17 0.9

18.5 14.69.93.80.12.37.9 2017/18 1.1

Ukraine

9.5 4.73.24.50.03.03.2 2014/15 1.3

8.8 4.73.24.40.02.93.0 2015/16 0.9

9.9 4.63.25.30.03.23.1 2016/17 0.9

8.7 4.32.94.40.03.32.7 2017/18 0.9

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2014/15 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2015/16 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2016/17 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2017/18 0.0


3.5 3.62.80.10.22.61.3 2014/15 0.4

3.9 3.72.90.10.02.91.3 2015/16 0.5

4.1 4.23.40.10.22.91.4 2016/17 0.4

3.7 3.93.10.10.22.81.3 2017/18 0.2


35.6 24.717.110.30.32.315.3 2014/15 3.4

32.6 24.316.99.60.12.314.5 2015/16 2.4

35.0 26.018.69.20.32.414.4 2016/17 2.5

33.9 25.318.08.90.32.513.8 2017/18 2.4



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

0.7 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2014/15 0.1

0.7 0.70.60.00.05.30.1 2015/16 0.2

0.8 0.70.60.10.05.60.1 2016/17 0.2

0.8 0.90.80.10.05.70.1 2017/18 0.1

Russia

11.3 8.17.23.20.04.42.6 2014/15 0.3

13.2 8.77.84.70.04.92.7 2015/16 0.2

15.3 9.58.65.50.15.52.8 2016/17 0.5

16.5 9.88.96.50.15.53.0 2017/18 0.8

Ukraine

28.5 8.67.219.70.06.24.6 2014/15 1.5

23.3 6.95.516.60.05.74.1 2015/16 1.4

28.0 6.85.421.50.16.64.3 2016/17 1.1

28.5 6.95.521.50.06.34.5 2017/18 1.3

Uzbekistan

0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2014/15 0.0

0.1 0.20.10.00.03.40.0 2015/16 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2016/17 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2017/18 0.0


3.4 3.43.10.30.43.70.9 2014/15 0.8

2.5 2.92.60.10.32.90.9 2015/16 0.5

3.2 3.12.70.30.33.50.9 2016/17 0.6

3.4 3.43.00.20.33.70.9 2017/18 0.7


44.0 20.818.123.20.55.38.3 2014/15 2.8

39.9 19.316.621.40.45.17.8 2015/16 2.3

47.4 20.217.527.40.45.98.1 2016/17 2.4

49.3 21.118.328.20.45.78.6 2017/18 2.8


Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

10.5 6.10.12.30.03.03.5 2013/14 2.5

13.9 6.40.35.30.02.85.0 2014/15 4.8

11.3 5.90.29.60.02.93.9 2015/16 0.6

17.5 5.90.111.70.03.45.2 2016/17 0.5

17.5 6.00.111.50.03.15.6 2017/18 0.5

Australia

25.3 7.03.618.60.22.012.6 2013/14 4.6

23.7 7.23.816.60.21.912.4 2014/15 4.7

24.2 7.23.816.10.21.912.8 2015/16 5.6

35.1 8.04.524.00.22.712.9 2016/17 8.9

23.5 8.04.519.00.21.912.6 2017/18 5.6

Canada

37.5 9.44.223.30.43.610.4 2013/14 10.4

29.4 9.13.724.20.53.19.5 2014/15 7.1

27.6 7.92.722.10.52.99.6 2015/16 5.2

31.7 10.25.020.30.53.68.9 2016/17 6.9

26.5 8.43.220.50.52.99.0 2017/18 5.0

European Union

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.9 124.755.035.56.05.926.7 2014/15 12.7

160.5 129.959.034.76.96.026.8 2015/16 15.6

145.7 128.556.527.05.35.327.3 2016/17 11.1

149.6 127.355.529.56.55.626.6 2017/18 10.4

Kazakhstan

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.3

13.7 6.92.17.60.11.211.6 2015/16 2.6

15.0 6.92.16.80.11.212.4 2016/17 4.0

14.0 6.92.17.50.11.211.5 2017/18 3.6

Russia

52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.025.50.82.425.6 2015/16 5.6

72.5 40.017.027.80.52.727.0 2016/17 10.8

77.5 42.019.031.50.52.926.8 2017/18 15.3



Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Ukraine

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 11.54.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.7

27.3 12.25.117.40.03.87.1 2015/16 3.3

26.8 10.33.618.00.04.26.5 2016/17 1.9

26.5 10.23.616.00.04.06.6 2017/18 2.2

Total Wheat Competitors

306.2 192.174.8112.65.63.295.4 2013/14 38.3

320.8 201.181.8121.17.63.495.4 2014/15 44.5

325.6 206.986.9133.18.53.397.4 2015/16 38.5

344.3 209.888.8135.66.63.4100.1 2016/17 44.1

335.1 208.888.0135.57.73.498.7 2017/18 42.6



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.5

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.0

21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

27.0 7.95.318.70.06.84.0 2012/13 1.3

26.0 8.85.817.10.07.63.4 2013/14 1.4

29.8 9.36.019.00.08.53.5 2014/15 2.9

29.0 9.25.921.60.08.33.5 2015/16 1.1

41.0 11.07.327.50.08.44.9 2016/17 3.6

40.0 11.88.028.50.08.24.9 2017/18 3.3

Brazil

56.1 48.541.511.60.44.312.9 2009/10 6.5

57.4 50.043.08.40.84.213.8 2010/11 6.3

73.0 51.544.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 4.2

81.5 52.544.524.90.95.215.8 2012/13 9.2

80.0 55.046.021.00.85.115.8 2013/14 14.0

85.0 57.048.034.50.35.415.8 2014/15 7.8

67.0 57.549.014.03.44.216.0 2015/16 6.8

98.5 60.551.035.00.55.617.6 2016/17 10.3

95.0 61.552.034.00.35.417.7 2017/18 10.1

China

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

205.6 200.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 67.6

218.5 208.0150.00.03.36.036.3 2013/14 81.3

215.6 202.0140.00.05.55.837.1 2014/15 100.5

224.6 217.5153.50.03.25.938.1 2015/16 110.8

219.6 232.0162.00.13.06.036.8 2016/17 101.3

215.0 238.0166.00.03.06.135.0 2017/18 81.3

South Africa

13.4 10.64.92.10.04.13.3 2009/10 2.8

10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 1.0

12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 1.3

12.4 11.05.12.10.13.83.2 2012/13 0.7

14.9 11.55.52.00.14.93.1 2013/14 2.2

10.6 11.76.20.72.03.53.0 2014/15 2.4



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


8.2 11.05.70.82.23.72.2 2015/16 1.1

16.7 12.46.42.50.15.63.0 2016/17 2.9

12.5 11.75.81.70.14.32.9 2017/18 2.1

Total Corn Competitors

258.5 231.0169.430.31.75.150.4 2009/10 63.1

270.8 248.0181.327.32.25.152.9 2010/11 60.8

299.5 257.2184.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 65.7

326.5 271.4198.945.83.75.658.1 2012/13 78.7

339.4 283.3207.340.04.15.858.6 2013/14 98.9

341.0 280.0200.254.17.85.759.4 2014/15 113.7

328.8 295.2214.136.58.85.559.8 2015/16 119.7

375.8 315.9226.765.13.66.062.2 2016/17 118.1

362.5 323.0231.864.23.46.060.5 2017/18 96.7



Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Australia

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5

7.5 3.01.84.50.02.13.6 2012/13 0.5

9.2 2.81.56.20.02.43.8 2013/14 0.7

8.6 3.01.75.20.02.14.1 2014/15 1.1

8.6 3.32.05.70.02.14.1 2015/16 0.7

13.4 3.32.09.30.03.34.0 2016/17 1.5

8.0 3.11.85.80.02.13.8 2017/18 0.6

Canada

9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

10.2 7.76.51.60.03.92.7 2013/14 2.0

7.1 6.55.31.50.13.32.1 2014/15 1.2

8.2 7.05.81.20.23.52.4 2015/16 1.4

8.8 7.15.91.40.14.02.2 2016/17 1.8

7.0 6.95.71.00.13.52.0 2017/18 1.0

European Union

62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6

53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.9 51.235.83.00.54.311.9 2011/12 6.1

54.9 51.035.55.00.14.412.5 2012/13 5.0

59.7 53.438.05.70.04.812.4 2013/14 5.6

60.6 50.935.79.50.14.912.4 2014/15 5.8

62.1 51.436.510.80.35.112.2 2015/16 6.1

59.8 55.440.55.20.44.812.3 2016/17 5.7

58.6 53.538.66.50.44.712.3 2017/18 4.7



Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 0.9

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

4.7 2.32.01.80.04.51.1 2012/13 0.8

4.4 2.72.31.30.04.41.0 2013/14 1.2

3.5 2.82.40.90.04.50.8 2014/15 1.0

3.4 2.92.50.50.04.50.8 2015/16 1.0

3.4 3.12.70.40.04.90.7 2016/17 0.9

3.5 2.92.50.60.04.60.8 2017/18 0.9

Australia

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

2.2 1.11.11.20.03.40.6 2012/13 0.2

1.3 0.90.90.40.02.40.5 2013/14 0.2

2.2 0.50.51.60.03.00.7 2014/15 0.3

2.0 1.11.10.90.03.00.7 2015/16 0.3

1.1 0.70.70.50.02.70.4 2016/17 0.2

1.9 1.11.10.80.03.00.6 2017/18 0.2


U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

26,55231,9424,06421,81121,1683,0543,06856,117nr319,149 2015/16

32,23431,6764,19529,48828,7163,2973,21562,859nr417,762 2016/17

25,38231,7334,08226,00026,5354,1004,08247,334nr315,425 2017/18

Corn

44,123298,785129,86751,19848,2881,7791,716345,506nr1132,680 2015/16

60,203313,577137,80155,00056,5181,4001,397384,778nr1135,106 2016/17

57,738316,245138,43647,00046,9921,3001,270359,502nr1133,790 2017/18

Sorghum

9306,1872,7077,8958,6269811715,158nr53,177 2015/16

1,3446,0953,3025,8005,715252512,199nr52,494 2016/17

1,3284,0651,5245,4505,334009,383nr42,149 2017/18

Barley

2,2234,4081,0861612353504054,750nr41,278 2015/16

2,3524,3341,003125952302194,339nr41,035 2016/17

1,5294,0947621301093503273,053nr4788 2017/18

Oats

8242,7021,58635291,5381,4751,300nr3516 2015/16

7622,5081,37730501,5801,556940nr2397 2016/17

4972,7401,57930291,7001,724780nr2356 2017/18

Rye

1251527065217222295nr2148 2015/16

1849925154200167342nr2168 2016/17

2250525856200204311nr2174 2017/18

Rice, Milled

1,4753,580nr3,3733,3967687666,1338,76181,046 2015/16

1,4584,191nr3,6003,6837507407,11710,16781,253 2016/17

9553,731nr3,5503,4617507685,9218,45981,004 2017/18

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY)

statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and

'Exports' columns contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and

sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is Aug/July.


Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,218.2 339.11,301.9619.5203.32.2541.9 1988/89

1,327.4 320.31,346.2644.5208.92.4548.2 1989/90

1,417.6 368.31,369.6669.8190.12.6545.7 1990/91

1,355.6 357.91,366.0653.5207.52.5543.3 1991/92

1,431.8 398.61,388.3664.2205.22.6545.9 1992/93

1,356.5 366.01,389.1657.2188.22.5536.0 1993/94

1,393.1 363.21,395.8670.6200.12.6534.2 1994/95

1,338.9 320.31,381.8641.8187.52.5527.3 1995/96

1,490.2 368.71,441.8674.7198.32.7545.8 1996/97

1,490.8 416.11,443.4685.8190.42.8535.2 1997/98

1,481.3 449.01,448.4685.4198.72.8520.2 1998/99

1,465.6 444.11,469.9690.4214.02.9506.1 1999/00

1,446.3 418.31,472.2700.4204.82.8509.2 2000/01

1,480.0 402.71,495.6713.6208.32.9511.6 2001/02

1,444.9 341.41,506.2711.6209.22.9504.2 2002/03

1,473.5 279.01,535.9718.1205.82.9511.2 2003/04

1,642.6 335.61,586.0756.2214.43.2514.8 2004/05

1,599.8 318.11,617.3757.8222.53.1517.5 2005/06

1,584.5 272.61,630.0749.4229.93.1519.3 2006/07

1,691.5 289.01,675.2763.6244.73.2534.6 2007/08

1,792.5 359.31,722.2774.6253.53.3539.6 2008/09

1,805.3 396.41,768.2783.2254.13.4533.7 2009/10

1,749.1 359.21,786.2775.9249.83.3523.6 2010/11

1,855.4 361.01,853.7808.8287.03.4538.5 2011/12

1,798.4 341.31,818.1809.6279.63.4532.9 2012/13

1,999.8 404.81,936.2865.1327.73.7542.0 2013/14

2,039.9 464.01,980.7886.1335.83.7547.8 2014/15

1,996.7 492.81,967.9904.7356.63.6547.8 2015/16

2,118.8 521.92,089.7946.9365.23.9547.0 2016/17

2,057.3 492.82,086.4954.9368.83.8541.7 2017/18

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

537.5 156.6545.696.999.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.3 165.3572.6101.4104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 199.0576.5106.2104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.5 210.5579.0109.4102.02.7219.2 1998/99

587.5 210.3587.6104.6111.92.8212.7 1999/00

582.8 206.1587.0111.2102.02.7215.4 2000/01

583.9 203.3586.7112.0107.92.7214.3 2001/02

569.7 169.2603.9116.1106.52.7213.4 2002/03

555.7 135.9588.9101.7103.52.7208.0 2003/04

626.8 156.5606.2110.7113.22.9215.8 2004/05

618.8 153.3622.0117.7114.12.8217.5 2005/06

596.7 133.5616.5113.1115.32.8212.3 2006/07

611.9 128.2617.2104.6116.02.8216.9 2007/08

684.0 169.2642.9124.0143.23.1224.1 2008/09

687.2 203.7652.8122.3135.33.0225.6 2009/10

649.5 199.0654.1116.8134.03.0216.8 2010/11

697.3 198.9697.4148.7153.63.2221.0 2011/12

658.6 177.7679.9138.2147.23.1215.9 2012/13

715.1 194.8697.9126.7162.53.3219.7 2013/14

728.0 217.7705.1131.5161.93.3221.5 2014/15

737.0 242.9711.8136.4172.03.3225.1 2015/16

755.0 258.6739.3146.9181.83.4222.5 2016/17

743.2 264.7737.0140.6182.33.4220.3 2017/18

Coarse Grains

801.4 163.7836.2544.988.32.6310.5 1995/96

908.9 203.5869.1573.394.32.9318.7 1996/97

880.6 217.2866.9579.685.82.9308.8 1997/98

890.8 238.5869.4575.996.73.0301.0 1998/99

878.1 233.8882.3585.7102.13.0293.4 1999/00

863.5 212.2885.2589.2102.82.9293.8 2000/01

896.1 199.3908.9601.5100.43.0297.3 2001/02

875.2 172.2902.3595.4102.73.0290.8 2002/03

917.8 143.1947.0616.5102.33.0303.3 2003/04

1,015.8 179.2979.7645.5101.23.4299.0 2004/05

981.0 164.8995.4640.1108.43.3300.0 2005/06

987.9 139.11,013.6636.3114.53.2306.9 2006/07

1,079.6 160.71,058.0659.0128.73.4317.7 2007/08

1,108.6 190.01,079.3650.6110.43.5315.6 2008/09

1,118.0 192.71,115.3660.9118.83.6308.1 2009/10

1,099.6 160.21,132.1659.1115.83.6306.8 2010/11

1,158.1 162.01,156.3660.1133.33.6317.5 2011/12

1,139.8 163.61,138.2671.4132.43.6317.0 2012/13

1,284.7 210.01,238.3738.4165.24.0322.3 2013/14

1,311.9 246.31,275.6754.6173.94.0326.3 2014/15

1,259.7 249.91,256.1768.2184.63.9322.7 2015/16

1,363.8 263.31,350.4800.0183.44.2324.5 2016/17

1,314.1 228.11,349.3814.3186.44.1321.4 2017/18

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

516.7 133.3536.8365.364.83.8135.1 1995/96

592.9 166.3559.9387.866.64.2141.5 1996/97

574.1 167.2573.3400.663.14.2136.3 1997/98

605.8 191.4581.6404.368.74.4139.0 1998/99

608.1 194.4605.1422.472.04.4138.8 1999/00

591.7 175.2610.8427.375.94.3137.1 2000/01

601.8 151.5625.6436.472.74.4137.1 2001/02

604.1 126.9628.7433.576.84.4137.7 2002/03

628.0 104.7650.2446.079.04.4141.6 2003/04

716.8 131.0690.5476.076.04.9145.3 2004/05

701.0 123.5708.5479.582.54.8145.5 2005/06

716.1 108.7730.8480.091.34.8150.5 2006/07

795.2 127.5776.4500.898.25.0160.2 2007/08

800.2 143.1784.6482.583.65.0158.8 2008/09

826.4 141.0828.5493.792.75.2158.6 2009/10

837.3 122.7855.6506.191.75.1164.9 2010/11

891.6 128.3886.0509.7103.75.2172.3 2011/12

873.0 132.9868.3521.2100.74.9177.9 2012/13

995.1 173.8954.3575.4130.85.5181.2 2013/14

1,019.7 209.2984.2587.2128.45.7180.3 2014/15

969.5 213.5965.2601.7144.75.4178.5 2015/16

1,070.5 228.61,055.4630.8144.75.8183.8 2016/17

1,033.5 200.91,061.2651.3152.25.7182.5 2017/18

Barley

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.2 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.3 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.7 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.553.1 2000/01

143.5 29.2136.995.517.22.655.7 2001/02

134.3 27.6135.994.716.32.554.7 2002/03

142.9 23.5147.0103.314.82.458.4 2003/04

152.4 33.1142.7100.217.02.757.4 2004/05

136.2 28.3141.197.417.42.555.2 2005/06

136.7 21.4143.698.414.62.456.3 2006/07

132.7 20.5133.691.018.52.455.7 2007/08

154.9 31.6143.8100.418.22.855.0 2008/09

150.9 37.3145.2101.517.32.854.1 2009/10

123.0 24.1136.191.315.22.647.1 2010/11

133.5 22.6134.991.721.42.749.2 2011/12

129.0 20.4131.288.822.22.650.2 2012/13

144.3 23.9140.997.323.82.950.6 2013/14

141.8 24.1141.697.630.12.949.6 2014/15

149.2 25.3148.0101.227.53.050.3 2015/16

147.9 23.7149.5105.428.83.148.3 2016/17

140.1 18.2145.6100.824.43.047.5 2017/18

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Productio

Productio

n

TY

Exports

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

490.8 111.6325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.3 120.6336.311.7345.33.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.6345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.9 126.7353.214.4353.33.5147.6 1991/92

524.0 123.1357.414.9353.93.6146.4 1992/93

526.1 118.9358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

539.9 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.3 1995/96

563.8 120.3378.218.9380.43.8150.2 1996/97

575.3 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.624.8394.93.8153.3 1998/99

608.8 143.1400.222.8409.33.9155.9 1999/00

594.0 146.7395.624.3399.23.9152.8 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.227.9399.53.9151.6 2001/02

563.0 103.0408.127.6378.23.8147.7 2002/03

585.4 81.7413.827.3392.53.9149.5 2003/04

596.4 74.0408.528.9400.83.9151.4 2004/05

622.3 76.5415.429.0417.94.0154.2 2005/06

625.0 75.4421.231.8420.14.1154.3 2006/07

643.6 80.9428.129.5433.64.2155.0 2007/08

669.6 93.2437.729.4449.94.2158.5 2008/09

655.2 95.2438.131.8440.04.2155.8 2009/10

671.5 100.0445.236.5450.04.2158.2 2010/11

696.8 106.6460.840.0467.44.4160.1 2011/12

704.6 113.9465.239.5472.54.4158.7 2012/13

713.3 114.0478.244.1478.34.4161.4 2013/14

713.3 115.0477.442.6478.44.4160.6 2014/15

703.4 115.8471.140.4471.94.4158.9 2015/16

721.7 119.4480.343.3483.94.5160.0 2016/17

719.9 122.9479.143.9482.64.4161.8 2017/18

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.


57

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

REGIONAL TABLES

North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States.

Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama.

Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British

Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies,

Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique,

Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the

Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S.

South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas

Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela.

EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark,

Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta,

Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom.

Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar,

Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland.

Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan,

Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan.

Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia,

Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen.

North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia.

Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa.

East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia,

Taiwan.

South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives.

Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore,

Thailand, Vietnam.

Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.


58

OTHER NOTES

Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main

harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed

begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2016/17 starts in 2016); except for summer grains

in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second

year begins the LMY (2016/17 starts in 2017). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum

Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb)

Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb)

Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug)

China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun)

European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May)

Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun)

Russia(Jul/Jun)

Turkey (Jun/May)

Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website

(http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx).

Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local

marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in

time.

Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed,

industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local

marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however,

reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only.

Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables

contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for

analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye

are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year.

EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union

(Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through

1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for

grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10,

plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00.

Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain

equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and

mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.


http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

59

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries,

and trade to countries outside the USDA database.

The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural

Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from

official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S.

agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information.

Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448.

Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade July 2017. For

further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production August

2017.

This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home

Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

Questions may be directed to the following staff:

Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Wheat

Shelbi Knisley (202) 690-2361 [email protected] Wheat

Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Rice

Rhiannon Elms (202) 649-3872 [email protected] Rice

Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Coarse Grains

Graham Soley (202) 772-4235 [email protected] Coarse Grains

Olutayo Akingbe (202) 690-1624 [email protected] Coarse Grains


http://www.fas.usda.gov/

mailto:[email protected]







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