Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by...

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Meteorology – Lecture 19 Robert Fovell [email protected] 1

Transcript of Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by...

Page 1: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

Meteorology – Lecture 19

Robert Fovell [email protected]

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Page 2: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

Important notes •  These slides show some figures and videos prepared by Robert G.

Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

•  In some cases, the figures employed in the course video are different from what I present here, but these were the figures I provided to TGC at the time the course was taped.

•  These figures are intended to supplement the videos, in order to facilitate understanding of the concepts discussed in the course. These slide shows cannot, and are not intended to, replace the course itself and are not expected to be understandable in isolation.

•  Accordingly, these presentations do not represent a summary of each lecture, and neither do they contain each lecture’s full content.

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Page 3: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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Animations linked in the PowerPoint version of these slides may also be found here: http://people.atmos.ucla.edu/fovell/meteo/

Page 4: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) and drylines

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Page 5: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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This map shows a dryline that formed in Texas during April 2000. The dryline is indicated by unfilled half-circles in orange, pointing at

the more moist air. We see little T contrast but very large TD change.

Dew points drop from 68F to 29F -- huge decrease in humidity

Page 6: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

6 Animation

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Supercell thunderstorms

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Page 8: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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The secret ingredient for supercells is large amounts of vertical wind shear. CAPE is necessary but sufficient

shear is essential. It is shear that makes the difference between an

ordinary multicellular thunderstorm and the rotating supercell. The shear implies rotation. But, this rotation

needs to be TILTED.

Page 9: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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Look at this from the top down. Here’s the original cloud’s updraft, the one that lifted and tilted the vortex

tube. This storm is NOT ROTATING.

Page 10: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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The vortices create low pressure, on the flanks of the original updraft. Since the shear is westerly, the

vortices are on the N and S flanks. THIS IS NOT A SUPERCELL. There is still no NET sense of rotation.

Page 11: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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The low pressure is in the midtroposphere, and the upward-directed PGF draws air up. New storms are

created on the flanks of original. These are ROTATING supercell storms. Note the northern one is CW rotating

as seen from above.

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Finally, the original, ordinary cell updraft dies, as ordinary cells are wont to do. The rotating supercells survive. The storm appears to have SPLIT, though as

we have just shown, that’s an ILLUSION.

Page 13: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

13 Animation

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The sounding taken to the east of where the storms were forming shows an incredible amount of CAPE, and no convective inhibition. A surface parcel lifted to 300 mb undiluted would be 18C or 32 F warmer than the

environment.

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Supercell motion

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Page 16: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

16 Animation

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Here’s our right mover’s updraft. It’s a rotating updraft, spinning CCW.

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The updraft is still tilting vortex tubes, and so CW and CCW rotation are still being induced on the flanks, just

as for the original ordinary cell.

Page 19: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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But this time, the updraft is part of a rotating supercell. The storm moves towards the flank with the same sense of rotation. Here, to the south. For the left

mover, that would be to the north.

Page 20: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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We also have westerly vertical shear. And shear also creates pressure perturbations: low pressure on the

downshear side, high pressure upshear. This makes storm want to move to the EAST.

Page 21: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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The combination of these two effects is to make the storm move to the SE of the shear and the winds.

Here’s our RIGHT MOVING storm.

Page 22: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

Why right-movers are favored in the midwestern US

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Page 23: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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Typical Great Plains hodograph (Greek = ‘path-graph’). This shows my surface winds are from the SE. It’s very likely mT air coming up from the Gulf. The hodograph

reveals directional wind shear.

Page 24: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

24 Animation

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I’ve drawn on a couple of shear vectors. Note the shear vectors TURN with height. In the

midtroposphere, its pointing northwesterly rather than westerly.

Page 26: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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Originally, the shear vector was westerly, and did not favor either of the new split storms.

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But now, because of the directional shear, the midtropospheric shear now points more towards the

right mover, putting the low pressure on the DOWNSHEAR side in position where it can help its

updraft. The high on the upshear side is SUPPRESSING the ascent in the left mover.

Page 28: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

Hook echo

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Page 29: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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This image is from Laughlin AFB radar, on April 24, 2007, at 2351Z, just before 7PM local time.

Page 30: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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This image is from Laughlin AFB radar, on April 24, 2007, at 2351Z, just before 7PM local time.

The small area of purple color (representing 65 dBZ)

usually indicates hail. Only wet hail is reflective enough to produce echoes of this magnitude on this logarithmic

scale.

Page 31: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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The hook is at the echo’s south end. A tornado touched ground in Eagle Pass, TX, a few minutes later, killing 5

and injuring 41.

Page 32: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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We start with the basic hook echo shape.

Page 33: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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The frontal boundaries represent where evaporatively cooled air collides with the warm, moist environmental air. It’s very

reminiscent of an occluded extratropical cyclone, though MUCH SMALLER scale. It’s called a mesocyclone and the tornado might

be found there.

Page 34: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

34 Nearby is the main storm updraft…

Page 35: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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The two principal regions of descent are called the forward flank and rear flank downdrafts (FFD and RFD).

Page 36: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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Here’s the surface airflow around the storm. The updraft is being fed by unstable air from the mesocyclone’s warm sector.

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3D view of a supercell thunderstorm

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Page 38: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

38 Animation

Cloud outline

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39 Animation

Updraft hidden within

Page 40: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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Zoom in BENEATH the cloud. The deep blue area is the rainshaft or rain curtain. The orange tube indicates is where large,

concentrated rotation is. Large vertical vorticity. Large spin. Is this a tornado?

Page 41: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

41 Animation

Page 42: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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Radar image from Laughlin, TX, at the time the tornado was reported on the ground. Flow relative to the radar shown: cool towards, warm away.

Page 43: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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The tornado is indicated by the cool and warm colors in close proximity. This is the only part we can see, as the rest is parallel to the radar line of

sight.

Page 44: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

44 Sketched on the hook echo from reflectivity display. We’re seeing the

intense circulation of mesocyclone, if not the tornado ITSELF.

Page 45: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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Map of all tornado reports for a 7 year period ending 2008. Over 11000 reports are mapped. These cases resulted in 491 deaths and over 6500

injuries.

Page 46: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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Tornado frequency for same period, limited to Fujita scale F3-4-5. Less than 3% of total for this period, but accounted for almost

three-quarters of fatalities.

Page 47: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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WALL CLOUD

Photo by Prof. Kristen Corbosiero

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The WALL CLOUD is a distinctive feature of the supercell and a possible tornadic precursor.

It’s a place where the

supercell’s cloud base is ominously lowered.

Page 49: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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Another severe weather hazard is hail. There are over 12000 reports of hail exceeding penny size on this map, but representing only 8 months of

2007.

Page 50: Meteorology – Lecture 19 - Albany · Fovell (RGF) for his “Meteorology” course, published by The Great Courses (TGC). Unless otherwise identified, they were created by RGF.

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