MET Observations Underpinning Space Weather Forecasting

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MET Observations Underpinning Space Weather Forecasting G. TISNADO Tecnofil s.a.

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MET Observations Underpinning Space Weather Forecasting. G. TISNADO Tecnofil s.a. Extremely strong “El Niño” rainfall periods occurrs: Only if the SIDC curve is on RED On the down leg of the SIDC curve when: coronal plasma ropes are more frequent. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of MET Observations Underpinning Space Weather Forecasting

Page 1: MET Observations Underpinning Space Weather Forecasting

MET Observations Underpinning Space Weather Forecasting

G. TISNADO

Tecnofil s.a.

Page 2: MET Observations Underpinning Space Weather Forecasting

Extremely strong “El Niño” rainfall periods occurrs:• Only if the SIDC curve is on RED • On the down leg of the SIDC curve when:

– coronal plasma ropes are more frequent.– rainfall storms rises the Ionosphere. (Goddard/NASA, G. Tisnado

1997.__2006)– Ionosphere feeds more heavy O+ ions into the magnetosphere

.

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GEOMAGNETIC INFLUENCES (AE) ON HYDROMETEOROLOGY (RIVER FLOW)

G. Tisnado, 1996 Goddard Space Flight Center, NASA.

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SELF EVIDENT SUNGLINT over The PACIFIC

GOES WEST IMAGE, near NOON ON 28JUL2006.

Notice the sharp Sunglint, just at the ITCZ produce N_S Boundaries

Notice also a dropbit line (at the bottom), due Injection phase of a big Magnetospheric SUBSTORM

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HAWAII SOUTH CLOSE-UP of 28 JULY SUNGLINT

NOTICE SUNGLINT (SG) ACTIONS:• Reconforming activity of EUV on clouds just South of SG.• Sharp boundary N_S Virtual Line (high and low tones),

just East of the visible SG.• Sharp E_W high cloud lines framing a rectangular void

[HERE UP]

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REMOTE SENSING VISUALIZATION TECHNIQUES

• Notice some small EUV patches off Baja Calif. And a big arch around the natural Sunglint, in YELLOW

• GREEN indicates its boundaries

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SOHO EXACTLY at 00:00UT ON 28 JULY 2006

NOTICE• Sun’s main

activity at the disk´s very center.

• N-S, E-W, 45° flare lines

• A secondary squared block S_W.

• A coronal Hole in between the two, in a dipole like configuration

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FLIPPED CLOSE-UP SOHO EIT171, 28JULY2006

NOTICE ITS SIMILARITY TO THE GOES IMAGE INCLUDING:• E_W Ttraces little South of the Sun’s Equatorial Plane.• N_S line of evenly spaced clouds, just East of the center.• Squarely frames in the intermediate scale size

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MET Observations Underpinning Space Weather Forecasting

• G. TISNADO

• Tecnofil s.a.

CLOUD EROSION

• August 28 2006

• Case Study

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EFFECT OF SUNGLINT EUV RADIATION ON THE ITCZ AND PERU STRATUS, 07AUG2006 CS

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SOLVING A BRAINTEASER: ¿ WHY STRATUS OFF PIURA ARE SQUARELY ?

• SOLUTION:• Because of the

eroding effect of the squarely solar flashes.

• So straight cloud-lines off PERU, are also influenced by such flashes

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NO EIT 171 IMAGE FOR THIS DATE LASCO C3