Merrill Lynch One-on-one meetings - Home | Home...Jul-01 Nov-01 Mar-02 Jul-02 Nov-02 Mar-03 Jul-03...
Transcript of Merrill Lynch One-on-one meetings - Home | Home...Jul-01 Nov-01 Mar-02 Jul-02 Nov-02 Mar-03 Jul-03...
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Merrill Lynch One-on-one meetings
25 May 2004
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Overview and strategy
Keith Rumble
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Introducing Implats
Implats is in the business of mining, refining and marketing the platinum
group metals and associated base metals
Implats has extensive operations on the two most significant PGM deposits in the world:
the Bushveld Complex in South Africa and
the Great Dyke in Zimbabwe
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Share price performance
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Jul-01 Jun-02 May-03 Apr-04
MSCI EM Index Implats Anglo Platinum Lonmin
Share price performance relative to Morgan Stanley Emerging Market EMEA Index
Source: UBS, Reuters, Datastream
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Analysis of shareholding
South Africa
USA
England, Scotland andWales
Europe
Other countries
60%
16%
12%
6%6%
40% held offshore (FY2002: 31%)
As at end March 2004:
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A multi-operation company
30%
4%64%
2%
Impala Marula Zimplats Mimosa
1999
69 Moz Pt 254 Moz Pt
2004
72%28%
BarplatsImpala
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Sustained production outlook
0
500
1000
1500
2000
FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06
Impala Growth Lonplats toll refining
000oz Track record of sustained growth
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Three-pronged strategy
Mine-to-market
Impala Refining Services
Strategic alliances and investments
Impala Marula Mimosa Zimplats
Aquarius Two Rivers
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Corporate structure
Impala Platinum
Marula Platinum
100%
80%*
*20% allocated to BEE partnership
**Subject to sale process
Lonplats**
Aquarius Platinum Ltd
Two Rivers
Zimplats
Mimosa
9%
45%
83.3%
50%
Concentrate offtake
agreements
Implats100%
Impala Refining Services (IRS)
Mine to market operations Strategic holdings
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Refined platinum production
159206Lonplats
1 6731 075Total
172111Metal returned
1 514869Headline production
192145Metal purchased
1 150613Mine-to-market
FY2003FY2004
First half000oz
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Metals produced
215132Rhodium
14 7008 055Nickel (tonnes)
893551Palladium
**1 673*1 075Platinum
3 1622 006 Total PGMs
FY2003FY2004
First half
000oz
* Includes 206 000 z of Western Platinum material – toll refined
** Includes 159 000oz of Western Platinum material – toll refined
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The market
Derek Engelbrecht and Bob Gilmour
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Platinum price
R/oz$/oz
300
450
600
750
900
1050
Jul-01 Nov-01 Mar-02 Jul-02 Nov-02 Mar-03 Jul-03 Nov-03 Mar-0430003500400045005000550060006500
$/oz R/oz
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Platinum supply and demand
(515)(305)360Net deficit
6 6156 5606 775Total supply
7 1306 8656 415Total demand
1 6701 6101 680Industrial/investment
2 8452 525 2 120Jewellery
2 6152 7302 615Automobile
Demand
200220032004*000 oz
* Forecast
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Platinum jewellery demand
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002
000oz
Source: Johnson Matthey, 2004
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Platinum autocatalyst demand
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
Source: Johnson Matthey, 2004
1994 1996
000oz
1998 2000 2002
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Overview – platinum market
Price at a 24-year high in US dollars in early 2004
High and volatile prices impact on jewellery market
Tighter emission legislation and further growth in diesel vehicle
sales have supported demand
Growth in RoW vehicle sales becoming a factor
Heightened profile for fuel cell activity
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Palladium price
0100200300400500600
Jul-01 Feb-02 Sep-02 Apr-03 Nov-030
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
$/oz R/oz
$/oz R/oz
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Autocatalyst demand for palladium
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
1996 1998 2000 20021994
Source: Johnson Matthey, 2004
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Palladium supply and demand
1 3851 4101 475Other
250590135Net deficit
7 1457 1606 970Total supply
6 8956 5706 840Total demand
980800 755Electronics
4 5304 3604 610Automobile
Demand
200220032004*000 oz
* Forecast
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Overview – palladium market
Fundamentals not supportive of current price levels
High inventory levels
Anaemic demand
Speculative activity behind recent price rally
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Other markets
Rhodium
Drop in rhodium price reflects a market that
is adequately supplied
Nickel• Rapid growth in stainless steel production
drives demand
• Lack of new capacity in tight market will keep
pressure on prices in short to medium term
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Financial issues
David Brown
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Headline earnings profile
SA cents/share
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
FY97 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04(halfyear)
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Dividend profile
SA cents
0
1500
3000
4500
6000
7500
FY97 FY98 FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04(halfyear)
Special dividend
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Implats R1 061m
Mining operations66%
IRS19%
Strategic holdings 15%
Contributions to net profit
For six months to December 2003:
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Key ratios and margins
1722IRS
5035Impala lease area
4331Gross
Margins
3017Return on assets
3722Return on equity
Ratios
FY2003FY2004 (Interim)
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Contribution to net profit
1003 4151001 061Implats
133114Aquarius
146(1)(12)*Zimplats
-11775Mimosa
1964614150Lonplats
(1)(35)(1)(9)Barplats
415119200IRS
752 56361643Impala Platinum
%FY2003%FY2004
(Interim)
R million
* Elimination of unearned profit
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Group capex*
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
FY2002 FY2003 FY2004 FY2005 FY2006 FY2007
Impala Barplats Marula Zimbabwe
$m * This excludes any future expansions in Zimbabwe
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Gross cash position
3,10
7
3,03
8
3,15
0
2,32
5
707
389
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 Est04
Group Cash Barplats sale
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Mining operations
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Impala Platinum
Keith Rumble and Paul Visser
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Impala Platinum
• Comprises mining operations on the Impala lease area, Mineral Processesand Refineries
• Includes 13 shaft systems and five declines• 30-year plan to produce 1M to 1.1Moz of platinum annually• Significant royalty agreement with RBN
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Bushveld Complex
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Implats – safety performance
0
0.04
0.08
0.12
0.16
0.2
FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004
* Re-stated to include Zimbabwe operations
Per millionman hours
0.158
0.134 0.1390.114
Implats - Fatal injury frequency rate*
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Implats – safety performance
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
FY2001 FY2002 FY2003 FY2004
* Re-stated to include Zimbabwe operations
Per millionman hours
8.43 7.90
5.654.94
Implats - Lost time injury frequency rate*
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Mining plan
Mining
Plan in place to produce 1M – 1.1M oz of platinum annually
for 30 years
Design and planning of new shafts to maintain output well
underway
Good progress with mechanised mining and opencast
operations
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Impala – planned production profile
Current Shafts
Opencast - Mer
E&F
20 Shaft
14B
11C
16 Shaft17Shaft
18 Shaft
19 Shaft
21 Shaft
Opencast UG2
16 Decl
17 Decl
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
Financial years
'000
tonn
es
Shaft
ShaftBlock
ensky
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Efficiencies
4.14.44.7Group Pt ounce/employee
474651Group tonnes per employee
404141Impala panel efficiencies ca/man
27 90028 40027 600Impala employees
FY2002FY2003FY2004
(Interim)
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New technology
Ultra-low profile machinery
Narrow reef continuous mining machine
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New technology
• Nylon rock straps – trial at Shafts 10 and 4
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Impala Platinum
Mineral Processes
Concentrator capacity of 1.1M oz of platinum
Smelter capacity of 2M oz
Refineries
Current capacity of 1.65M oz – expansion to 2M oz of platinum
underway
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Impala Platinum
Planned capex (Rm)
1 471
458
1 013
FY2005
1 6291 5521 079Total
37825279Refineries
1 2511 3001 000Rustenburg#
FY2006FY2004FY2003
# this includes mining operations and Mineral Processes (smelting andconcentrating)
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Marula Platinum
Les Paton
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Marula Platinum
• Greenfields project on eastern limb of Bushveld Complex• Property purchased in December 2000
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Location
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Marula Platinum
Resources
UG2 48.6 million tonnes
Merensky 45.4 million tonnes
BEE participation – 20%
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Original plan
Phased approachMine UG2 to depth of 600mMechanised miningTwo decline accesses
ClaphamDriekop
Planned full production of 233 000 ROM tonnes per month (100 000 oz Pt per annum at steady state)Life-of-mine – 22 years (Phase 1)Designed on a modular basis to facilitate future expansion
Capital cost of R1 360m
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Progress against plan
On-reef decline development behind schedule
Commissioning of surface infrastructure complete
2004 – 10 000 Pt oz in concentrate
Revised mining plan established
Entire UG2 orebody being considered
Production – 211 000 ROM tonnes per month 140 000 Pt oz
Life-of-mine – 25 years
Evaluation of Merensky in progress
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Geology
Merensky Reef
400m
UG2 Reef
Dyke
Generalised section of geology at Marula Platinum
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Mineral processing
Plant commissioned on time and within budget
Overall metallurgical recovery set at 82% of ROM grades
DMS plant being bypassed at present
Final concentrate transported to Mineral Processes
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Progress on site
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Empowerment model
BEE Ownership
Employment Equity
Elements of empowerment
Training Social/SMEDevelopment
MmakauMining (10%)
Community Trust (5%)
Affirmative Procurement
Business Interests
(5%)
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Zimbabwe
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Working in Zimbabwe
Working relationship with Government
Able to import fuel and capital goods
Exchange rate issues
Minerals legislation
Indigenization programme:
Zimplats
Mimosa
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Zimbabwe – a highly prospective area
Expansion opportunities
in Zimbabwe
Great Dyke one
of last unexploited
platinum prospects
HARARE
BULAWAYO
MusengeziComplex
Selukwe Complex
Wedza Complex
Mimosa
Hartley ComplexZimplats
UnkiAngloplat
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Zimplats
Mike Houston and Rob Dey
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Overview
• 83.3% stake• Current production of 85 000oz Pt pa
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Investment history
R1 307 millionGrand total*
2001R66 million (Delta)15%Zimplats
August 2002R205 million (Delta)21%
July 2003R142 million (Absa)15%
Sept 2003R647 million (minorities)31%
R1 060 million83.3%Total
2001R247 million30%Makwiro
Total resources: 161 million oz of platinum = R8/oz
* Makwiro and Zimplats
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Structure
Zimbabwe PlatinumMines Limited
Implats
Makwiro PlatinumMines (Private)
Limited
ZimplatsTenements
Impala Zim Minorities
100%70%
30%
100%
83.3% 16.7%
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Zimplats
Zimplats comprises:
the Ngezi opencast operation
Selous Metallurgical Complex
Hartley Platinum Mine (formerly owned by BHP)
Current production of 83 000oz Pt pa
Underground trial mining taking place
Significant expansion opportunities
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Expansion Phase 1
Bankable feasibility study complete
Aimed at exploiting Ngezi Ore Reserves by underground mining
methods
Alternative and optimal financing structures under review
Interim funding for infrastructure approved
Clarification on draft minerals bill required
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Zimplats
Potential Pt production (000oz)
0
100
200
300
400
2004 2006 2008 2010
Current
Phase 1
Phase 2
Phase 3
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Photo gallery
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Photo gallery
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Mimosa Platinum
Les Paton and Peter Breese
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Investment history (continued)
R376 million50%Total
July 2002R130 million (Zimasco)15%
August 2001R246 million (Zimasco)35%Mimosa
Total resources: 11.8 million oz of platinum = R32/oz
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Mimosa Platinum
Implats has a stake of 50%
Current production of 65 000oz of Pt
One of most efficient, lowest cost producers in the world
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Mineral Reserves
70
Mineral Resources – based on a 1.8m cut
3.812E2.9640.00Total
3.812E2.9640.00InferredNorth Hill
11.304E3.9389.42Total
0.884E3.817.19Inferred (oxides)
2.314E3.9518.17Inferred
3.874E3.8131.65Indicated
4.244E4.0732.41MeasuredSouth Hill
Ounces (M)PGM
element
Grade (g/t)Tonnes (M)CategoryOrebody
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Mimosa Platinum
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Expansion opportunities
Modifications to current concentrator to increase throughput
by up to 15 000 Pt oz (FY2006)
Evaluation drilling underway south of current workings
Feasibilty study to potentially double production will begin
post-drilling
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Impala Refining Services
David Brown and Chris McDowell
74
IRS created in July 1998
Key strategic thrust to:
Leverage surface assets and expertise
Reduce fixed unit costs (through economies of scale)
Seek growth through strategic alliances and joint ventures
Dedicated vehicle to house toll-refining and metal
concentrate purchases
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Key benefits
Reduced exposure to mining risk
Lower investment
Exploitation of smaller deposits:
Economy of scale benefits
World class smelting operation
State-of-the-art Precious Metals Refinery
76
Typical products processed via IRS
Flotation concentratesKroondalMarulaMessinaMimosa
Smelter matteZimplats
Autocatalyst materialsA1
Base metal residuesNickel intermediatesCobalt intermediates
Secondary materials
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Growth in platinum production from IRS
000oz
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
FY99 FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 (f irsthalf)
Lonplats
78
IRS revenue
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
FY00 FY01 FY02 FY03
R million
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Contract structures
Metal purchase agreements
Increases market share
IRS retains agreed proportion of metal value
Metal purchase after an agreed processing period
Toll refining agreements
Refining
Smelting
Handling charge
Agreed percentage of metal returned after an agreed processing
period
Combination of both
80
Potential growth
Zimplats
Mimosa
Marula Platinum
Everest South
Two Rivers
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Exploration
Les Paton
82
Exploration
South African Bushveld Complex
North and South America, Australia and Brazil
Alliance with Falconbridge
Niquelandia
Catete
Franconia JV
Zimbabwean Great Dyke
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Strategic holdings
David Brown, Les Paton and Cathie Markus
84
Location
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Lonplats
September 2003 – announced that Implats had entered into
negotiations on sale of 27.15 stake in Lonplats
May 2004 – progress report
Two tranches
9% to HDSA investors for US$240.1 m (R1.68 billion)
18.1% to Lonmin for US$554.1 m (R3.9 billion)
Implats and Lonmin to provide vendor financing package of
US$122 m (R840 m)
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Lonplats (2)
DME support for transaction
Minister says transaction in line with requirements of new mining
law
Compliance will be evaluated when conversion is applied for
DME has acknowledged that both parties will be allocated credits
proportional to the percentages and ounces that have been sold to
BEE parties.
Effectively credits in Impala’s hands of 8 to 9%
No financial impact in FY04
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Benefits for Implats shareholders
Net purchase price of US$794m – premium of 8% to market
value at the time the announcement was made
Credits applied to Impala
achieved at a discount of 1%
Cash to flow back to shareholders
Further simplification of structure
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Aquarius Platinum
9% in Aquarius Platinum Ltd and 25% in Aquarius Platinum
(South Africa)
Joint venture partner in Mimosa Platinum in Zimbabwe
Aquarius operations/projects include:
Kroondal
Marikana
Everest South
Total platinum production of 134 000 ounces in FY2004
BEE deal entered into in AQP(SA)
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Two Rivers
45% stake with ARM (formerly Avmin) holding 55%
Feasibility study completed
Trial mining underway
90
BEE and transformation
Cathie Markus and Humphrey Oliphant
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BEE – the context
A reality in doing business in Southern Africa
Implats aims to:Minimise costs to shareholdersMaximise opportunity
South AfricaMinerals ActMining Charter and ScorecardRoyalty Bill
ZimbabweDraft legislation
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Pillars of empowerment
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Equity ownership
Implats (listed company)RBN 1.5% of equity
ImpalaLonmin deal – 9% of production
Marula20% of project
Two Rivers project12% of Implats’ stake
Definition: 15% HDSA ownership in equity of attributable units of productionwithin five years
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Training and development
Skills development strategy in line with MQA
ABET offered to all employees
R126 million spent on skills development in FY03
Mentorship programme in place
Definition: Numeracy and literacy opportunities for all employees
Career paths for HDSA employees
Empowerment group mentoring system in place
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Affirmative procurement
HDSA preferred supplier status and affirmative procurement principles established in January 2002R400 million purchased from HDSA suppliers in FY2003Targets have been developed
Definition: Preferred supplier status to HDSAs
Current level of HDSA procurement identified
Commitment to progress over three years
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Beneficiation
Platinum supplied for local autocatalyst manufacture
Silplat initiative
Definition: Identify current level of beneficiation
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Opening of Silplat facility
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Silplat
Venture partners – Silmar of Italy, SA Link, Micofin and BAE-SAAB
Implats’ contribution
Direct equity stake of 17.5% for R14m
Platinum loan of 1 000kg over five years (equivalent to R17m)
Commercial lease rate paid on outstanding portion of loan
Highly competitive venture aimed at export market
To generate about R650m in annual sales
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Human Resources
Among others:
Social investment initiatives through the Impala Community
Development Trust and other rural development agencies
(TEBA)
R5m hostel upgrading
Definition: Non discrimination against migrant labourCo-operating in formulating/implementing integrated development plansEfforts to engage communitiesMeasures to improving housing conditions and nutrition of employees
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Transformation committee
To address transformation in an holistic manner
Mandate to:Address company’s policies and procedures on racial and gender issuesEnsure correct balance between transformation and provision of skillsEnsuring compliance with legislative requirements and protocols
Chaired by CEO, with two executive directors and one non-exec joining nine senior managers and a consultant
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Board structure
Non-executive ChairmanPeter Joubert
4 Executive directorsKeith RumbleDavid BrownCathie MarkusLes Paton
10 Non-executive directorsDaryl O’ Connor*Sifiso Dabengwa*Thandi Orleyn*Michael McMahonVivienne MennellThabo MokgatlhaMike Pleming*John Roberts*Dr Fred Roux*Lex van Vught*
* Independent
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ADR programme
Level 1 sponsored ADR initiated in Jan 2003
ADR split in Feb 2004 – now 4 ADRs:1 ordinary
DRIP programme initiated
Cost-benefit analysis of
upgrading listing
Depositary Receipt Activity Report
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
Jan-
03
Feb-
03
Mar
-03
Apr-
03
May
-03
Jun-
03
Jul-0
3
Aug-
03
Sep-
03
Oct
-03
Nov
-03
Dec
-03
Jan-
04
Feb-
04
AD
Rs
Out
stan
ding
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HIV/AIDS
Dr Jon Andrews
104
Implats/HIV AIDS policy
Collaborative management with unions and medical services
Policy provides for:
Joint planning and monitoring
HIV/AIDS
Anonymous statistical testing
Counselling, care and management of HIV/AIDS infected employees
Community outreach programmes
Private/public partnerships
Provision of ART and Wellness programmes through Impala Medical
Plan
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Prevalence levels
Full union co-operation
De-linked pre-operative data
Random anonymous surveys
Indicates a levelling of infection levels below expectations and below reported industry levels
0
1400
2800
4200
5600
7000
8400
9800
11200
12600
14000
1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 20100%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
0
WORST CASE
BEST CASE
Actual Impala HIV data
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Levels of awareness and risk behaviour
Current employees at 100% level of awareness
70% of employees have changed their sexual behaviour
(Markinor)
Prevalence levels have stabilised at 16%
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Implats’ HIV/AIDS programmes
Efforts are directed in two areas:
Preventing transmission among existing and particularly new
employees
Managing the impact of HIV/AIDS on infected and the company
And since January 2003, the delivery of ART through Impala
Medical Plan
108
Preventing transmission
Implats’ HIV/AIDS programmes
Public/private partnerships
Community youth programmes
Traditional healers
programe
STI programme
EAP counselling services
IMS treatment wellness programme
and ART
HIV +ve peer educators
Research:SAAVI
Educating new employees
Educating existing
employees
HIV/AIDS task team
Rustenburg Peer Education Project
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Managing the impact on the company
Positioned to limit impact of epidemic on operationsPolicies/procedures/benefits structured in line with paradigm of epidemicIndependent formal review of effects of programmes, HR policies, employee benefits, manpower, training costs and initiatives to maintain productivity
Medical cost
Absenteeism cost
Training cost
Other employee benefits
Funeral cost
Implats managing
impact
Maintain productivity
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198
445
84
2002/03
194216297384HIV +ive
resignations
398404124133AIDS
incapacitations
719813998Known AIDS
deaths
Year-to-date
10/12
2000/022000/011999/2000
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Merrill Lynch One-on-one meetings
25 May 2004