Merrill Lynch Irish Investor Trip · 3 Merrill Lynch - June 2007 Projected Population 3,000,000...

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1 Merrill Lynch - June 2007 www.irishlifepermanent.ie Presentation by Denis Casey, Group CEO Merrill Lynch Irish Investor Trip Dublin, June 2007

Transcript of Merrill Lynch Irish Investor Trip · 3 Merrill Lynch - June 2007 Projected Population 3,000,000...

  • 1 Merrill Lynch - June 2007www.irishlifepermanent.ie

    Presentation by

    Denis Casey, Group CEO

    Merrill Lynch Irish Investor Trip

    Dublin, June 2007

    http://www.irishlifepermanent.ie/

  • 2 Merrill Lynch - June 2007

    Powerfully positioned in Irish Retail Financial Services Market

    Life & PensionsMarket leader [28% of new business in 2006]Broadest distribution reach and product offering

    Retail BankingMarket leader in residential mortgage lending [22% of new lending in 2006]Fastest growing customer base - 180,000+ customers added since 2004

    Investment ManagementNo. 2 asset manager in Ireland [25% of funds under management in 2006]No. 1 for inflows 2005 to 2007

    Where we are today

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    Projected Population

    3,000,000

    3,500,000

    4,000,000

    4,500,000

    5,000,000

    5,500,000

    6,000,000

    6,500,000

    2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

    Population growth & demographics

    A combination of natural demographics and migration will see the population continue to grow rapidly over the next 10 years

    Population forecast to reach 5 million in 2015 and exceed 5.3 million in 2020

    Labour force projected to grow at an annual average rate of 2.2% out to 2015

    Labour force growth combined with rising productivity point to potential GDP growth of circa 5% per annum out to 2015

    The Economically Active Age Groups

    2,000,000

    2,250,000

    2,500,000

    2,750,000

    3,000,000

    3,250,000

    3,500,000

    3,750,000

    2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

    Source : NCB

    Ireland - land of opportunity

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    Growing population implies a growing domestic customer base

    Growth in incomes will add momentum to the rate of growth in domestic demand

    Given the age profile of the population, growth in demand for financial products should be particularly strong

    Underlying demand for housing estimated at circa 65,000 per annum until 2015

    As personal wealth increases the propensity to save and to spend on retirement savings rises sharply

    Spending by Income Decile(% of State Average)

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th

    Pension Fund

    Domestic Services

    Hotels & Expenditure Abroad

    Private Health Insurance

    Meals Away from Home

    Clothing & Footwear

    Entertainment

    Mortgage Repayments & Home Insurance

    Personal Services

    Food

    Rent & Other Charges

    Fuel & Light

    Tobacco

    Source : NCB

    Pension Fund

    Ireland - land of opportunity

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    Middle Ireland (our traditional heartland) beginning to accumulate real wealth creating a significant opportunity to develop new wealth management products and services

    An ageing population combined with the extraordinary property price inflation of the last decade will accelerate the incidence of inherited wealth

    Employment growth and rising incomes will drive rapid growth in the retirement savings market

    1334681Net Assets202115Household Debt

    1536796Gross Assets

    3620Commercial Property

    3619Direct Equity

    5328Investment Funds8143Business Equity

    11464Pension Funds15780Deposits

    1059542Residential Property

    2015 2005€ Billions

    Irish Household Assets and Net Worth Forecast

    Ireland - land of opportunity

    Source : BoI Private Banking

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    Retail financial services market in Ireland continues to offer significant growth

    opportunities for Irish Life & Permanent

    Building our position in the retail / personal financial services market will remain our

    strategic priority

    Ireland - an opportunity rich environment

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    Banking

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    We have the opportunity and the capability to build the largest Retail bank in Ireland

    We define largest simply as the bank with the most personal customers

    This is our burning ambition, our singular focus and driver of growth

    Ireland’s largest Retail Bank

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    4 Building blocks make this possible

    Brand strength

    Exploit growth opportunities

    Sales management capability

    Customer acquisition capability

    Ireland’s largest Retail Bank

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    4.

    Summary of Fair Share Personality Dimensions

    Over Index– Safe– Reliable– Dependable– Traditional

    Over Index– Unhelpful– Impersonal– Traditional– Bureaucratic

    Over Index

    – Modern

    – Youtful

    – Dynamic

    BOIAIBPermanent TSB

    Under Index– Modern– Youthful

    Under Index– Dynamic– Youthful– Modern

    Under Index

    – Impersonal

    – Traditional

    – Bureaucratic

    Factors players over/under perform withinHugely successful merger created powerful bank platform

    We have built a modern, innovative brand that stands out from the crowd

    Untainted by traditional bank“baggage”

    Most trusted bank brand

    Brand Strength

    Bank X Bank Y

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    Customer Service: There is a measurable difference in the quality of the service we provide to our customers

    1© 2005 Ipsos-MORI All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos’ Confidential, Trade Secret and Proprietary Information.

    Overall Satisfaction with Main Financial InstitutionJuly 2005 - June 2006% very satisfied

    33%

    39%

    45%

    36%

    40%

    AIB

    Ulster Bank

    permanent tsb

    Bank of Ireland

    Overall

    Jan-Dec 2003

    42

    37

    42

    47

    36

    Jan-Dec 2004

    39

    34

    40

    44

    31

    Jan-Dec 2005

    38

    33

    43

    37

    31

    Brand Strength

    Overall

    permanent tsb

    Bank X

    Bank Y

    Bank Z

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    I feel that when I walk into a branch I am walking into a friends house for a chatptsb staff are great - they are personal the counter staff are brilliantthey have a very personal touch with their customers they are very welcoming very understanding and helpful, down to earth people the personality of the frontline staffptsb never forget that we are the customers they have great customer carethey offer simple products with a simple service they treat customers wellfriendliness, I feel at home with them, they call me by my first name ptsb has a customer service that no other bank can touch they put customers firstthe staff are lovely, they always make time for you they are nice and friendly very professional, made us feel at ease you are treated like an individualstaff are very easy to talk to they do employ nice staffthe lady who dealt with me was wonderfully helpful more user friendly bank they are 100% better, better communication, better staff, better service they remember methey don’t complicate things, they talk to me in my language the personal attentionthe customer service is brilliant in my particular bank I feel they are very honestptsb are more understanding and more approachableI have no idea what they do really well - their staff are very helpful though

    Customers genuinely feel, enjoy and acknowledge the difference in the experience and the quality of service provided by our front line staff

    Powerful differentiator

    We will vigorously protect and leverage this unique strength

    This is the foundation on which we will build our success

    Source : extracts from customer research

    What our customers say …

    Brand Strength

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    To become the largest Retail Bank in Ireland requires a relentless focus on new customer acquisition

    We must attract an additional 500,000 customers

    We have already created the products, marketing campaigns and sales processes to achieve this

    We are currently recruiting over 250 new customers to permanent tsb every day

    Superior service experience and state of the art sales processes will create real value from these new customer relationships

    Customer Acquisition Capability

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    Creating a state of the art sales infrastructure in the bank

    Making selling a repeatable, high quality process with predictable outcomes

    Sales Management Capability

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    Irish Life 1990’sSales process adviser drivenNot customer friendlyRandom outcomesPoorly managedLow productivity

    Irish Life todayTechnology led sales processEngaging customer experienceConsistent high quality adviceDisciplined rigorous managementFivefold increase in productivity

    permanent tsbUnleash the power of processA core competence of IL&P Successful execution for bancassuranceNew enabling branch remuneration structures in placeNext phase - extension to mainstream bank products - mortgages, current a/c etc

    Power of Process

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    Current Account Fuel for future growthResidential Mortgages Vigorously protect our market leadership position

    Commercial Lending Pursuing an opportunity to build a significant business

    permanent tsb Finance Leading provider of new car financeBluecube Loans - exploit competencies and capacity

    Springboard Targeting emerging specialist mortgage market

    Bancassurance Investing to expand bancassurance capacityNew products and technology to better serve mass affluent and HNW segments

    General Insurance Under exploited opportunity

    Capital Home Loans Mandate to pursue aggressive growth strategy

    Exploit Growth Opportunities

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    Life & Pensions

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    Market Leader

    Undisputed No. 1 in Life and Pensions Market

    Market Share 28%

    Perfectly positioned to exploit the opportunities presented by growth markets

    Three business divisions firing on all cylinders

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

    Source: Irish Insurance Federation

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

    Retail

    Corp Business

    ILIM

    APE Sales CAGR 1998 - 2006: 20%

    New Business 1998 - 200628%

    26%25%

    21%23%

    22%21%

    19%19%

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    Irish Life Retail

    Irish Life Corporate

    Irish Life Investment Managers

    Powerful distribution

    Highly effectivesales processes

    Diversified productofferings

    Excellent investmentperformance

    Divisions Capabilities

    Middle / Masspackaged investment,savings & pensionsproducts

    Markets

    Market Leader

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    2 big drivers of growth:

    Pensions

    Wealth management

    Growth Drivers

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    Pensions Opportunity

    Under-penetration of pensions in workforce and self-employed

    Under-funding of existing DC pension schemes

    Strong public policy and fiscal support

    Vehicle for wealth management and post retirement planning

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    Wealth creation and accumulation an emerging theme in Irish market

    Household wealth to double by 2015

    Enormous opportunity for Irish Life & Permanent

    Priority to expand structures, capability and products to exploit this opportunity:

    Creation of new business unit in Retail Life

    Build capability in direct sales and bancassurance

    Develop supporting technology and processes

    Broaden product offering

    Wealth Management Opportunity

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    No company has succeeded in positioning itself in Irish consumers minds as the “Investment Solutions Company”

    Given the rapid rate of wealth creation and accumulation and the new phenomenon of inherited wealth there is an enormous prize for the company that succeeds in doing this

    This is the space Irish Life intends to grab

    We aim to become the “Investment Solutions Company of Ireland”

    NCB

    Life Ambition

    http://www.friendsfirst.ie/index.shtmlhttp://www.davydirect.ie/public/homepagehttp://www.bloxham.ie/index.htmlhttp://www.ulsterbank.com/ri_personal.asp

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    Irish Life Brand Research

    Irish Life brand awareness outside top tier group - but gap is very bridgeable

    Some very positive brand personality characteristics:

    CaringProblem SolversSuccessfulNot bureaucratic

    Strong foundations from which to build

    9.

    Total Spontaneous Brand Awareness

    BOI/BOI Life, 83

    Permanent TSB, 69

    AIB/Ark Life, 77

    Eagle Star, 24

    Irish Life, 53

    An Post, 44

    Credit Union, 53

    EBS, 35

    Friends First, 14

    Canada Life, 25

    Anglo Irish Bank, 14

    New Ireland, 22

    First Active, 45

    Hibernian, 25

    Ulster Bank, 32

    Bank of Scotland, 15National Irish Bank, 13Scottish Provident, 9

    Standard Life, 15

    %

    Primary

    Secondary

    Tertiary

    (+12% pts)

    (+11% pts)

    (+12% pts)(+11% pts)

    Shifts(+/- 7%)

    (+9% pts)

    Irish Life Target 45%

    Brand :No single company has succeeded in establishing itself in consumers minds as the outstanding investment expert in the Irish market

    Irish Life Vision & Strategy

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    4.

    Summary of Fair Share Personality Dimensions

    Over Index– Amicable– Impersonal– Modern– Youthful– Bureaucratic

    Over Index– Safe– Reliable– Dependable– Traditional

    Over Index– Unhelpful– Impersonal– Traditional– Bureaucratic

    Over Index

    – Modern

    – Youtful

    – Dynamic

    Over Index

    – Caring

    – Traditional

    – Problem Solvers

    – Successful

    Eagle StarBOIAIBPermanent TSBIrish Life

    Under Index– Safe– Reliable– Traditional

    Under Index– Modern– Youthful

    Under Index– Dynamic– Youthful– Modern

    Under Index

    – Impersonal

    – Traditional

    – Bureaucratic

    Under Index

    – Modern

    – Youthful

    – Bureaucratic

    Factors players over/under perform within

    Irish Life Vision & Strategy

    Brand :No single company has succeeded in establishing itself in consumers minds as the outstanding investment expert in the Irish market

    Irish Life Brand Research

    Irish Life brand awareness outside top tier group - but gap is very bridgeable

    Some very positive brand personality characteristics:

    CaringProblem SolversSuccessfulNot bureaucratic

    Strong foundations from which to build

    Bank X Bank Y Bank Z

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    Opportunity to develop and promote Irish Life as theinvestment solutions company for an increasingly wealthy Ireland

    Significant project already underway to map out future brand strategy

    Major investment planned in Irish Life brand

    Brand - work to be done

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    Irish Life Retail

    Irish Life Corporate

    Irish Life Investment Managers

    Powerful distribution

    Highly effectivesales processes

    Diversified productofferings

    Excellent investmentperformance

    Divisions Capabilities

    Middle / Masspackaged investment,savings & pensionsproducts

    Mass affluent / HNWflexible / tailoredwealth managementand pension products& services

    Markets

    Creating the Investment Solutions Company

    Revitalised Brand

    Strong Platform for Growth

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    Clear and focused strategy

    Strong market positions

    Ambitious but achievable targets

    Create high performance culture

    Protect strong risk management and cost disciplines

    Driving Growth

    TARGETS

    Sales 15 - 20%Earnings 12 - 14%Dividend 10% +ROC (blended) 16%