MEPAGFEBRUARY 2008

Alan SternAssociate Administrator/SMD

Alan SternAssociate Administrator/SMD

SMD’s Science Program Leads The World

$4.441B/yr budget.

Large Earth science, heliophysics, planetary science, & astrophysics programs.

53 flight missions in operation.

41 flight missions in development.

3000+ operating R&A grants.

These numbers exceed the combined efforts of all other Earth & space science programs of the World.

SMD Major Activities: Next 12 months

COST OVERRUNS AND UNEXPECTED MISSION EXPENDITURES

But SMD’s Science Over-Runs Are Debilitating

FY09 SMD Budget Overview Recent MEP History Mars Next Decade MSL Issues Thought Questions

PRESENTATION OVERVIEW

FY09 PRESIDENT’S BUDGET: OVERVIEW

We will get more science done within our budget.

We will help ensure that U.S. Space Exploration Policy succeeds.

We will promote U.S. leadership across all of SMD’s science disciplines.

We will improve SMD’s actual and its perceived impact on, and relevance to,

the public.

We will create a better workplace.

SMD MANAGEMENT OBJECTIVES

SMD’S CROSS-CUTTING FY09 BUDGET OBJECTIVES

Accelerate the Earth Science Decadal Survey mission queue.

Increase space science R&A/MO&DA to get better value from our flight missions.

Increase the number of planned missions in all four of SMD’s science theme areas.

Support NRC Decadal Survey priorities.

Initiate an SMD lunar robotic science program.

Increase space science suborbital research programs to foster PI on-ramps, technology demonstration, and accomplish more science.

* FY2007 * FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013

Total NASA $16,231.0 $17,300.5 $17,610.7 $18,022.9 $18,457.0 $18,901.6 $19,355.4

Science $4,609.9 $4,706.2 $4,441.5 $4,482.0 $4,534.9 $4,643.4 $4,761.6

Earth Science $1,198.5 $1,280.3 $1,367.5 $1,350.7 $1,250.9 $1,264.4 $1,290.3

Planetary Science $1,215.6 $1,247.5 $1,334.2 $1,410.1 $1,537.5 $1,570.0 $1,608.7

Astrophysics $1,365.0 $1,337.5 $1,164.5 $1,122.4 $1,057.1 $1,067.7 $1,116.0

Heliophysics $583.7 $590.9 $575.3 $598.9 $689.4 $741.2 $746.6

DSN / Ground Network $247.2 $250.0

Aeronautics Research $593.8 $511.7 $446.5 $447.5 $452.4 $456.7 $467.7

Education $114.1 $137.9 $112.1 $122.7 $120.4 $120.4 $120.4

Exploration Systems $2,837.6 $3,143.0 $3,500.5 $3,737.7 $7,048.2 $7,116.8 $7,666.8

Constellation Systems $2,114.7 $2,471.9 $3,048.2 $3,252.8 $6,479.5 $6,521.3 $7,080.5

Advanced Capabilities $722.9 $671.1 $452.3 $484.9 $568.7 $595.5 $586.3

Space Operations $5,093.5 $5,526.2 $5,774.7 $5,872.7 $2,900.1 $3,089.9 $2,788.5

Space Shuttle $3,295.3 $3,266.7 $2,981.7 $2,983.6 $95.7

International Space Station $1,469.0 $1,813.2 $2,060.2 $2,277.0 $2,176.4 $2,448.2 $2,143.1

Space and Flight Support (SFS) $329.2 $446.3 $732.8 $612.1 $628.0 $641.7 $645.4

Cross-Agency Support $2,949.9 $3,242.9 $3,299.9 $3,323.9 $3,363.7 $3,436.1 $3,511.2

Agency Management and Operations $971.2 $830.2 $945.6 $945.5 $939.8 $950.5 $961.3

Institutional Investments $223.8 $319.7 $308.7 $331.7 $335.9 $330.4 $338.3

Congressionally Directed Items $80.0

Center Management and Operations $1,754.9 $2,013.0 $2,045.6 $2,046.7 $2,088.0 $2,155.2 $2,211.6

Inspector General $32.2 $32.6 $35.5 $36.4 $37.3 $38.3 $39.2

* FY07-08 are consistent w ith IBPD, and exclude latest Operating Plans. Subsequent charts INCLUDE Operating Plans.

NASA AND SMD PRESIDENT’S BUDGET: FY09-FY13

Heliophysics

Planetary Science

Astrophysics

Earth Science

Ground Network / DSN

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

$4,500

$5,000

FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013

SMD BUDGET BY SCIENCE THEME

MAJOR FY09 BUDGET INITIATIVES

Increased commitment to Earth Science over 5 years. Initiated seven new FY09 mission starts: more than in the past

four budgets combined; at least one per SMD science area: Earth Science: SMAP and IceSat II (2012, 2015 launches) Astrophysics: JDEM (launch in 2014/2015) Heliophysics: Solar Probe Plus (launch in 2015) Planetary: Outer Planets Flagship (launch by 2017) small

lunar science orbiter (launch by 2011), and lunar mini-landers (launch by 2014).

Substantial increases in astrophysics, heliophysics, and planetary science R&A/MO&DA.

Increased budgets for suborbital rockets and balloons.

Baseline Plan

SMD PLANETARY DIVISION’S CENTRAL ORGANIZING THEME THAT

STRETCHES ACROSS THE SOLAR SYSTEM

Fund a new start for the outer planets flagship mission (LRD 2016/2017); fund Cassini through 2011.

Initiate a new lunar robotic science flight mission line, with first launch (LADEE small orbiter) by 2011, second launch (two ILN landers) by 2014.

Continue all existing Mars missions; launches in 2009, 2013, 2016; also fund US ExoMars participation for 2013 launch; initiate sample return studies leading to 2018 and 2020 MSR missions; augment Mars DA and R&A (58% FY08, 7% FY09, 11% by FY10).

Fully fund Juno (2011 launch) and New Frontiers 3 (2016 launch), as well as GRAIL (launch by 2011) and the next Discovery launch in 2014.

Augment general planetary R&A 29% in FY09.

SELECTED FY09 BUDGET HIGHLIGHTS: PLANETARY

Baseline Plan

Launches by Calendar Year

New Horizons

STEREO

ST-5

* Hinode

ST-6

TWINS-A

CALIPSO

CloudSat

Phoenix

Daw n

GLAST

THEMIS

AIM

TWINS-B

* M3

HST SM-4

Kepler

* Herschel

* Planck

SDO

SOFIA

LWS SET-1

CINDI

IBEX

Glory

OCO

OSTM

MSL

WISE

ST-7

NPP

* Aquarius

Juno

Mars Scout

Discovery

RBSP

Mars 2013

Discovery

JWST

MIDEX

MMS

GPM Core

Earth Syst

* GPM Const

LDCM

Discovery

Sentinels

Mars 2016

New Frontiers

Einstein 1

ESSP

Discovery

MIDEX

Earth Syst

CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17

Earth

Helio

Astro

Planetary

Missions Led by International Partner Indicated By *

Airborne or Suborbital Missions Indicated By Italics

SMD’S FLIGHT PROGRAM: JANUARY 2007

Launches by Calendar Year

New Horizons

STEREO

ST-5

Hinode

ST-6

TWINS-A

CALIPSO

CloudSat

Phoenix

Daw n

THEMIS

AIM

* M3

HST SM-4

GLAST

* Herschel

* Planck

SDO

IBEX

LWS SET-1

CINDI

TWINS-B

Glory

OCO

OSTM

MSL

SOFIA

Kepler

WISE

ST-7

NPP

* Aquarius

Juno

GRAIL

LADEE

NuSTAR

LDCM

SMEX

RBSP

Mars Scout -Aeronomy

Lunar Mini-Lander 2

Lunar Mini-Lander 1

* ExoMars

JWST

SMEX

BARREL

BARREL

GPM Core

Discovery

MMS

* GPM Const

SMAP

JDEM

SMEX

Solar Probe

* Solar Orbiter

ICESat II

Mars 2016

New Frontiers

Venture 2

Venture 1

OPF

Discovery

ExoPlanet 1

ES Decadal 3

CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17

Earth

Helio

AstroPlanetary

Missions Led by International Partner Indicated By *

Airborne or Suborbital Missions Indicated By Italics

SMD’S FLIGHT PROGRAM: JANUARY 2008

M3 MoO

MMS

IBEX

ST-9

RBSP ExoMars MoO

LDCM

GRAIL

EPOXI MoO

NExT MoO

NuSTAR

Solar Orb MoO

BARREL MoO

OPF

LADEE

Scout 2013

New Frontiers

JDEM

SMEX 2012

SMEX 2013

SMEX 2015

SMEX MoO

Solar Probe

ICESat II

SMAP

FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09

Heliophysics

Planetary

Earth Science

Astrophysics

NEWLY STARTED MISSIONSNew Starts Defined as a Phase A Start Year or Final Downselect Year—Whichever is Later.

MEP Program FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13

Odyssey $12,858Mars Express $4,306Mars Exploration Rover $20,000 $20,000MRO $37,066 $25,721 $10,379 $1,727Mission Operations $1,809 $1,820 $1,820 $1,820Extended Mission $0 $29,878 $46,014 $30,000 $20,000 $20,000Phoenix $30,109 $499MSL $354,986 $223,331 $68,980 $54,575 $37,586Scout 2011 $2,250 $6,697 $68,527 $152,515 $170,746 $121,752Mars 2016 $10,000 $20,164 $30,829 $160,183MSR 20/22 $5,000 $35,000ExoMars $5,189 $13,244 $23,267 $18,352 $6,470 $6,385Technology $11,764 $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 $10,000R&A $23,333 $24,938 $25,925 $26,712 $27,069 $27,511Program Management & Reserve $23,937 $30,398 $34,674 $28,619 $31,580 $31,142Total Mars $527,607 $386,525 $299,586 $344,483 $339,280 $411,973

FY09 MARS PROGRAM PLAN

Mars Exploration Program FY09 President's Budget Submit

Mission OpsR&A

Prog Mgt, Technology

MSL

Scout 2013

ExoMars

Mars 2016

MSR 20/22

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13

$ th

ousa

nds

MSR

PLANETARY BUDGET CHANGES07-12

FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 Total

Content Changes from FY08 -75.9 6.6 -108.3 -90.4 22.5 54.8 -190.7

Outer Planets Flagship 11.2 130.3 204.1 220.6 566.2

Lunar Science Research 20.0 60.0 60.0 60.0 70.0 270.0

Planetary / Mars R&A 16.3 28.0 27.5 36.8 40.7 41.3 190.6

GRAIL 35.1 122.4 122.8 113.1 24.9 418.3

Discovery Future -43.5 -68.1 -163.3 -204.0 -173.3 10.8 -641.4

In-Space Propulsion / RPS -0.6 -17.6 -18.6 -16.4 -15.2 -15.5 -83.9

MSL 74.3 44.0 9.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 127.8

Mars Scout 2011 slip to 2013 -58.7 -138.3 -91.5 38.5 134.7 -115.3

ExoMars 13.2 23.3 18.4 6.5 61.4

Other Mars -73.7 0.9 -40.7 -182.4 -292.2 -417.4 -1,005.6

All Other -48.7 23.0 9.0 30.6 28.4 -21.0 21.3

FY09 President's Budget, $1330M

GRAIL9%

Juno18%

Lunar Science Program8%

PDS & Curation 1%

MSL17%

Future Discovery4%

Discovery Op Msn + M34%

Mars Op Msn8%

Scout 13, ExoMars & beyond2%

Cassini, Rosetta, Hayabusa

7%

OPF 1%

NF Op Msn + Mgt1%

R&A

Technology5%

PLANETARY DIVSISION BUDGET SPLITS

MARS BUDGET HISTORY

Mars, as % of Total Planetary Funding, Since 1959

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Mariner

Viking

Mars Observer

MGS, Pathfinder, Mars 98, Odyssey, MER, MRO, Phoenix,

MSL, Scout…

1985-2013 average = 27.3%

MARS PROGRAM CONTENT

Existing Flight Missions (5)Mars OdysseyMars Recon OrbiterMER-SpiritMER-OpportunityPhoenix

Missions in Development (3)MSL Flagship ($1830M)Mars Scout 2 ($475M)ExoMarsx2 ($61M)

Additional Missions Funded in FY09 Budget (2)Mars 2016 Ramp Up ($220M)Mars Sample Return ($68M: studies & tech)

COMPARE TO ALL OTHER PLANETARY CONTENT

Existing Flight Missions (4)CassiniNew HorizonsMESSENGERDawn

Missions in Development (2)Outer Planets FlagshipLADEE Lunar Micro-Orbiter

Additional Missions Funded in FY09 Budget (3)Discovery 2014Lunar micro-landers 2014New Frontiers 2016

PLANETARY BUDGET RUNNOUT TO 2020

Research (Cassini, R&A, Lunar Sci,+)

Discovery Program

New Frontiers Program

Technology (AMMOS/RPS)

Mars Program

Flagship (w /out ESA, 2017)

$0

$250

$500

$750

$1,000

$1,250

$1,500

$1,750

$2,000

$2,250

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20

2.4%/yr SMD Growth Line

RECENT MEP BUDGET HISTORY

MEP ’07-08 BUDGET EVENTS

Jan: PHX $25M Build Cost Increase.June: MSL Sample Caching, $2M Added.May: MEP Next Decade MSR Re-Focus.Aug: Phoenix launch.Sep: Phoenix $5M Mission Ops Increase.Sep: MSL $62M Re-baseline.Sep: Funded New MER Extensions Thru FY08 ($10M) With Commitment for FY09 ($10M) If Still Operating.Feb: FY09 Budget Request Released. R&A Increased. No Mars Cancellations.

MARS NEXT DECADE

Mars Exploration Program FY09 President's Budget Submit

Mission Ops R&A Prog Mgt, Technology

MSLScout 2013

ExoMars Mars 2016

MSR 20/22

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$700,000

$800,000

$900,000

$1,000,000

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20

$ th

ousa

nds

MARS PROGRAM PLAN

Mars Program - Next DecadeLaunch Year

2020

TBD mission based on

budget and science feed-forward

TBD mission based on

budget and science feed-forward

MSR Element #1MSR Element #1

Sample Receiving Facility online by 2022

MSR Element #2MSR Element #2

MSL

August 2006: MSL Confirmed at a development (C/D) cost of $972M.– Program added $32M to increase reserves to 35% (~60% on the S-Curve).

Late ’06/early ’07: ~$20M in descopes were taken to control cost growth:– TLS, Corer, Sample Crusher, CheMin dual X-ray source, EDL latitude

performance.June ’07: MSL descopes and cash of $62M. Sources of growth included:

– Instruments; SAM, CheMin, ChemCam, Malin Space Science Systems cameras.

– Mechanical Design of Rover body, Corer/drill, Sample Acquisition/Sample Processing and Handling

– Actuator Design– Thermal Protection System testing– Parts Procurements– Fabrication Services/Labor

Jan ’08: MSL estimated need for $165M-$200M cash. Sources of growth include:– Actuators, Thermal Protection System testing– Parts, Subsystems, Testing– Fabrication Services/Labor

MSL COST GROWTH HISTORY

MSL GROWTH BY SUBSYSTEM

Largest contributors to growth

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

Chem

Cam

Groud

Dat

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Proj S

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Miss

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mPSE

FS PP

Miss

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Projec

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Msn

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Flight

Sys

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Mgm

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mFSW

Therm

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SA/SPaH

GN&C

PL M

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proj

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&T

GN&C rada

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Mec

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Mec

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Mec

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Avioni

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$ t

ho

us

an

ds

April EAC July EAC Nov EAC

NOTE: See also Aerospace Corp EVM Charts in b/u at WBS levels 3/4

Radar

ATLO

w/EMs

ATLO

ATLO KSCFlt. A

vionicsD

escent Stage

DrillR

adar

CDRJune 2007

LaunchSept. 2009July 2008March 2008

ShipMay 2009

Deliveries

As of Jan. 2008EAC increased > $200M

Since June 2007

KSCDeliveries

Jan. 2009

MSL Development Flow CompressionF

lt. Heatshield

Flt. Avionics

Descent S

tage

Drill

As of June 2007CDR

Possible delays but flexibility available

Flt. H

eatshield

Original content marked “SBU”; deleted for publication

Sensitive But Unclassified (SBU)

MSL PROJECT BUDGET GROWTH HISTORY

MSL Historical Direct LCC

$1,400

$1,450

$1,500

$1,550

$1,600

$1,650

$1,700

$1,750

$1,800

$1,850

PNAR(2/2006)

NAR(8/2006)

Confirmation(8/2006)

Current(12/2007)

Projectedw /PICA

JPL projectedEAC

$(M

)

12/07/07Current JPL

Projected

Blue line $1699Mcorresponds tothe 70% onSRB’s S-curvedevelopment cost predicted at confirmation

SOME THOUGHT QUESTIONS

What does a balanced planetary program look like?

What should we fly for MEP 2016?

What Mars efforts could be proposed to Discovery and New Frontiers?

What Mars-Moon flight program synergies exist?

Is MSR the right central organizing theme?

Is there a serious science loss if MSL arrival slips?

BACKUP

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15

B C & D E

LADEE Launch Goal Mini Lander Launch Goal

Lunar Research and Analysis

ILN Operation Start Goal

Mission of OpportunityScience-Funding-Opportunity Driven

A

Node I & II Operations

Science Definition

Cruise

B EA

Launch date to be set during Phase A

TBD during Phase A

LUNAR ROBOTIC SCIENCE MISSION INITIATIVE

LADEE

Mini Lander

LRO

E+

Possible Intl. Partner Early Operations

EC/D

ESMD SMD

B C & D E

SMD-Discovery Mission

Cruise

GRAIL

SDT

B/C/D duration finalized during A

020308

SM

D-F

ull

Mo

on

Mis

sio

ns

Science Definition SDT

* FY07 * FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13

FY09 President's Budget * 1,200.4 1,246.5 1,334.2 1,410.1 1,537.5 1,570.0 1,608.7

Discovery 119.4 147.6 247.0 258.3 256.0 326.1 140.5Discovery Future 4.4 35.2 50.4 49.1 65.4 239.8 90.7GRAIL 35.1 122.4 122.8 113.1 24.9 5.7M3 6.6 3.9 2.7 2.6 0.5Discovery Research 11.9 15.7 18.8 16.5 15.7 16.9 17.3Operating Missions and Data Analysis 96.5 57.7 52.6 67.3 61.3 44.6 26.8

New Frontiers 106.3 132.2 263.9 250.3 232.3 227.7 236.9Juno 87.8 110.1 245.0 225.2 168.0 14.4 17.8Other Missions and Data Analysis 18.5 22.2 19.0 25.1 64.3 213.3 219.1

Technology 84.2 68.7 64.9 69.3 69.6 71.3 73.0

Planetary Science Research 178.1 273.2 270.8 315.8 355.6 373.2 382.6Research & Analysis 111.7 137.4 142.4 145.1 150.4 155.2 159.0 Outer Planet Mission Studies 4.2Lunar Science Research 42.0 105.0 122.0 140.0 150.0 151.9Operating Missions and Analysis 20.4 18.6 19.5 21.4 22.2 22.3 22.7Education and Directorate Management 46.0 71.0 3.9 27.4 43.1 45.7 49.0

Mars Exploration 634.1 541.8 386.5 299.6 344.5 341.1 413.8MSL 2009 416.8 355.0 223.3 69.0 54.6 37.6Scout 2013 5.3 2.3 6.7 68.5 152.5 170.7 121.8JPL Building Support 26.8 14.2Mars R&A 14.2 23.3 24.9 25.9 26.7 27.1 27.5Operating Missions and Data Analysis 171.0 147.0 131.6 126.2 90.5 69.9 69.3 Mars Next Decade 10.0 20.2 35.8 195.2

Outer Planets 78.3 82.9 101.1 216.7 279.4 230.6 362.0Cassini 78.3 82.9 81.8 81.5 75.3 10.0 10.0Outer Planets Flagship 19.3 135.2 204.1 220.6 352.0

* FY07 and FY08 reflect latest Operating Plan, in FY09 structure

PLANETARY PROGRAM BUDGET CONTENT

-- -- ---- --{

--

FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013

Mars Exploration 634.9 553.5 386.5 299.6 344.5 341.1 413.8

2009 Mars Science Lab 416.8 305.5 223.3 69.0 54.6 37.6

Mars Scout (2013) 5.3 57.7 6.7 68.5 152.5 170.7 121.8

Mars Research and Analysis 14.2 27.4 24.9 25.9 26.7 27.1 27.5

Operating Missions and Data Analysis 171.8 149.4 131.6 136.2 110.7 105.7 264.5

Mars Sample Return

10.0 20.2 31.0 160.2

Mars Technology Program

5.0 13.0 23.0 18.013.7

ExoMars

Mars-16

5.0 35.0-- -- --6.0 6.03.0

9.2 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 10.0