Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian...

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Discover the corridor potential Turkmenistan and its corridor connections Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility

Transcript of Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian...

Page 1: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

Discover the corridor potential Turkmenistan and its corridor connections

Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility

Page 2: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

Contents

• Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T) corridor development

• Lessons learned from TEN-T

• Current and future freight flows

• Turkmenistan in a corridor perspective

• Making the corridor attractive

• Conclusion: discover the corridor potential

Page 3: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

Some important action points:

• Base transport planning and investment on prospects for economic growth, social development and environmental impact

• Integrate transport over modes, territories and sectors

• Create supportive institutional and regulatory frameworks

• Promote sustainable transport technologies

Overlapping goals with EU’s Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T) policy.

United Nations High Level Advisory Group on Sustainable Transport Recommendations for governments, businesses, and civil society

Page 4: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

European Union Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T) corridors Functioning of the internal market and climate change mitigation

Key words:

• Multimodality

• Cross-border

• Interoperability

• Decarbonization

• Resilience

Page 5: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

TEN-T corridor studies Panteia is involved in 7 out of 9 EU corridor studies

Page 6: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

Lessons learned from TEN-T Corridor approach Creating the conditions for economic growth

• Corridor approach as an infrastructure and economic concept • Connecting Networks

• Investing in infrastructure augments economic growth and job creation

• Hinterland connections to ports

• International cooperation

• Last mile approach (smooth and efficient pre- and end haulage and transhipment)

• Infrastructure should be used in an optimal way

• Sufficient capacity and sufficient demand

Page 7: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

Turkmenistan in a corridor perspective Growth potential and infrastructure should reinforce each other

Key to Turkmenistan’s Development Strategy • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic

Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural Gas Corridors • Turkmenistan invests heavily in infrastructure

Linking up to current developments: • Kars (Turkey)-Tiflis (Georgia)-Baku (Azerbaijan)

Railway Project • Marmaray Tunnel under Bosphorus

• North-South Corridor • Rail connections with Iran, Afghanistan • Viking Train project (directly connecting the Black

and Baltic Seas) • Volga-Don River • New motorways and bridges • New Ashgabat Airport

Future project: • Kyrgystan-China connection

Page 8: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

Existing – traffic flow Turkmenistan in middle of biggest tradeflows in the world

Source data: Panteia

Turkmenistan

Corridor connects important networks

Page 9: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

2030 - Scenario – International volumes

Future growth scenario:

• Turkmenistan import volumes grow. Largest growth in high value & containerized goods

• Turkmenistan export volumes grow.

• Petrochemical promising prospects

• Trade balance is favorable for Turkmenistan

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Import importcontainerized

Export exportcontainerized

Turkmenistan international volumes in million ton in 2030

2012

2030

Source data: Panteia

Page 10: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

2030 - Scenario –Transit volumes

World economic developments generate more transit traffic:

• 220 million ton growth in total transit traffic

• Annual growth 3.3%, above global average, especially containerized goods, oil & gas, chemicals and building materials

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100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2015 2030

Transit Volume in million ton

Afgan import

EU->Caspian

Caucasus->Asia

EU->Asia

Afgan export

Caspian->EU

Asia->Caucasus

Asia->EU

Source data: Panteia

Page 11: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

Making the corridor attractive

Hinterland connections

Competitive transport

Added value for the Turkmenistan economy

Sustainability

Page 12: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

Hinterland connections corridor cooperation makes even more attractive corridor

Coordinating infastructure works in all corridor countries favors the corridor.

• Heavy investment in Turkmenistan rail infrastructure

• Developing intermodal terminals

• Missing links (including last-mile connections)

• Harmonizing border crossing procedures

Page 13: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

Competitive transport

Optimal use and quality transport services Price Transit time Reliability

• Complexity of tax systems (state borders)

• Information exchange between the parties

• Regulatory issues with regard to multimodal transport

• Smooth customs procedures

• Fast and efficient last mile haulage (such as in port area)

• Efficiency of transhipment points (such as ports and breaks-of-gauge).

Focus moves from infrastructure and border management to quality logistics services.

Turkmenbasy International Sea Port Project

Page 14: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

Added value for the Turkmenistan economy Local economic spin-off Strategy of Economical, Political and Cultural Development of Turkmenistan up to 2020

• Agriculture

• Textile

• Cotton

• (Petro)chemical products

• Mineral Fertilizers

• Methanol

• Polymeres

• Turkmenbasy Port opportunities

• Shipyard

• Passenger terminal

Infrastructure investment of 1.- $ brings return on investment of 1.50 $

(Frauenhofer institute – 2015)

Page 15: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

Sustainability as a must-have: Next to acknowledging People and Planet, sustainability strengthens the business case.

• Legal norms (air quality, water quality, etc.)

Next phase of corridor development:

• Optimal use of infrastructure

• Better load factors through smart use of data

• Enables highly efficient multimodal transport

…leading to:

• Excellent service towards the customer

• Competitiveness

• Greening

Page 16: Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural

Conclusion: discover the corridor potential Investments make the corridor work

The corridor will have the potential to:

• enhance economic development in Turkmenistan

• increase sustainable economic growth

• enhance regional and international economic cooperation

Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility [email protected]