Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian...
Transcript of Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility · 2016-12-22 · • Trans-Caspian...
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Discover the corridor potential Turkmenistan and its corridor connections
Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility
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Contents
• Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T) corridor development
• Lessons learned from TEN-T
• Current and future freight flows
• Turkmenistan in a corridor perspective
• Making the corridor attractive
• Conclusion: discover the corridor potential
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Some important action points:
• Base transport planning and investment on prospects for economic growth, social development and environmental impact
• Integrate transport over modes, territories and sectors
• Create supportive institutional and regulatory frameworks
• Promote sustainable transport technologies
Overlapping goals with EU’s Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T) policy.
United Nations High Level Advisory Group on Sustainable Transport Recommendations for governments, businesses, and civil society
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European Union Trans-European Transport Network (TEN-T) corridors Functioning of the internal market and climate change mitigation
Key words:
• Multimodality
• Cross-border
• Interoperability
• Decarbonization
• Resilience
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TEN-T corridor studies Panteia is involved in 7 out of 9 EU corridor studies
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Lessons learned from TEN-T Corridor approach Creating the conditions for economic growth
• Corridor approach as an infrastructure and economic concept • Connecting Networks
• Investing in infrastructure augments economic growth and job creation
• Hinterland connections to ports
• International cooperation
• Last mile approach (smooth and efficient pre- and end haulage and transhipment)
• Infrastructure should be used in an optimal way
• Sufficient capacity and sufficient demand
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Turkmenistan in a corridor perspective Growth potential and infrastructure should reinforce each other
Key to Turkmenistan’s Development Strategy • Trans-Caspian Corridor in the Silk Road Economic
Belt/One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy • Natural Gas Corridors • Turkmenistan invests heavily in infrastructure
Linking up to current developments: • Kars (Turkey)-Tiflis (Georgia)-Baku (Azerbaijan)
Railway Project • Marmaray Tunnel under Bosphorus
• North-South Corridor • Rail connections with Iran, Afghanistan • Viking Train project (directly connecting the Black
and Baltic Seas) • Volga-Don River • New motorways and bridges • New Ashgabat Airport
Future project: • Kyrgystan-China connection
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Existing – traffic flow Turkmenistan in middle of biggest tradeflows in the world
Source data: Panteia
Turkmenistan
Corridor connects important networks
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2030 - Scenario – International volumes
Future growth scenario:
• Turkmenistan import volumes grow. Largest growth in high value & containerized goods
• Turkmenistan export volumes grow.
• Petrochemical promising prospects
• Trade balance is favorable for Turkmenistan
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Import importcontainerized
Export exportcontainerized
Turkmenistan international volumes in million ton in 2030
2012
2030
Source data: Panteia
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2030 - Scenario –Transit volumes
World economic developments generate more transit traffic:
• 220 million ton growth in total transit traffic
• Annual growth 3.3%, above global average, especially containerized goods, oil & gas, chemicals and building materials
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2015 2030
Transit Volume in million ton
Afgan import
EU->Caspian
Caucasus->Asia
EU->Asia
Afgan export
Caspian->EU
Asia->Caucasus
Asia->EU
Source data: Panteia
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Making the corridor attractive
Hinterland connections
Competitive transport
Added value for the Turkmenistan economy
Sustainability
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Hinterland connections corridor cooperation makes even more attractive corridor
Coordinating infastructure works in all corridor countries favors the corridor.
• Heavy investment in Turkmenistan rail infrastructure
• Developing intermodal terminals
• Missing links (including last-mile connections)
• Harmonizing border crossing procedures
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Competitive transport
Optimal use and quality transport services Price Transit time Reliability
• Complexity of tax systems (state borders)
• Information exchange between the parties
• Regulatory issues with regard to multimodal transport
• Smooth customs procedures
• Fast and efficient last mile haulage (such as in port area)
• Efficiency of transhipment points (such as ports and breaks-of-gauge).
Focus moves from infrastructure and border management to quality logistics services.
Turkmenbasy International Sea Port Project
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Added value for the Turkmenistan economy Local economic spin-off Strategy of Economical, Political and Cultural Development of Turkmenistan up to 2020
• Agriculture
• Textile
• Cotton
• (Petro)chemical products
• Mineral Fertilizers
• Methanol
• Polymeres
• Turkmenbasy Port opportunities
• Shipyard
• Passenger terminal
Infrastructure investment of 1.- $ brings return on investment of 1.50 $
(Frauenhofer institute – 2015)
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Sustainability as a must-have: Next to acknowledging People and Planet, sustainability strengthens the business case.
• Legal norms (air quality, water quality, etc.)
Next phase of corridor development:
• Optimal use of infrastructure
• Better load factors through smart use of data
• Enables highly efficient multimodal transport
…leading to:
• Excellent service towards the customer
• Competitiveness
• Greening
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Conclusion: discover the corridor potential Investments make the corridor work
The corridor will have the potential to:
• enhance economic development in Turkmenistan
• increase sustainable economic growth
• enhance regional and international economic cooperation
Menno Menist - Director International, Transport and Mobility [email protected]