MELJUN CORTES - Operations Management 17th Lecture (PROJECTS-GANTT CHART)

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    MELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACSMELJUN CORTES,

    MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

    Operations Management

    MELJUNELJUN

    MELJUN CORTES,BSCS,ACS

    Department of ICT

    Faculty of Information

    Technology

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    MELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACSMELJUN CORTES,

    MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

    H

    APTER

    17

    ProjectManagement

    MELJUNELJUN

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    MELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACSMELJUN CORTES,

    MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

    Unique, one-time operations designed to accomplishUnique, one-time operations designed to accomplish

    a specific set of objectives in a limited time frame.a specific set of objectives in a limited time frame.

    Build A

    A Done

    Build B

    B Done

    Build C

    C Done

    Build D

    Ship

    JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN

    On time!

    ProjectsProjects

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    MELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACSMELJUN CORTES,

    MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

    Project ManagementProject Management

    How is it different? Limited time frame

    Narrow focus, specific objectives

    Less bureaucratic Why is it used?

    Special needs

    Pressures for new or improves products orservices

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    MELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACSMELJUN CORTES,

    MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

    Project ManagementProject Management

    What are the Key Metrics Time Cost

    Performance objectives What are the Key Success Factors?

    Top-down commitment

    Having a capable project manager Having time to plan Careful tracking and control

    Good communications

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    MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

    Project ManagementProject Management

    What are the Major Administrative Issues? Executive responsibilities

    Project selection

    Project manager selection Organizational structure

    Organizational alternatives

    Manage within functional unit Assign a coordinator

    Use a matrix organization with a project leader

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    MELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACSMELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

    Project ManagementProject Management

    What are the tools? Work breakdown structure

    Network diagram

    Gantt charts Risk management

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    Planning and SchedulingPlanning and Scheduling

    MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

    Locate new

    facilities

    Interview staff

    Hire and train staff

    Select and order

    furniture

    Remodel and installphones

    Move in/startup

    Gantt Chart

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    MELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACSMELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

    Deciding which projects to implement Selecting a project manager

    Selecting a project team

    Planning and designing the project

    Managing and controlling project resources

    Deciding if and when a project should be

    terminated

    Key DecisionsKey Decisions

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    MELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACSMELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

    Project ManagerProject Manager

    Responsible for:

    Work Quality

    Human Resources TimeCommunications Costs

    CO S

    SCS CS

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    Temptation to understate costs Withhold information

    Misleading status reports Falsifying records

    Comprising workers safety

    Approving substandard work

    Ethical IssuesEthical Issues

    MELJUN CORTES

    MBA MPA BSCS ACS

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    Project Life CycleProject Life Cycle

    Concept

    FeasibilityFeasibility

    PlanningPlanning

    ExecutionExecution

    TerminationTermination

    Ma

    na

    g

    eme

    nt

    MELJUN CORTES MBA MPA BSCS ACSMELJUN CORTES

    MBA MPA BSCS ACS

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    Work Breakdown StructureWork Breakdown Structure

    Project XProject X

    Level 1

    Level 2

    Level 3

    Level 4

    Figure 17.2

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    MBA MPA BSCS ACS

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    MELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACSMELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

    PERT and CPMPERT and CPM

    PERT: Program Evaluation andReview Technique

    CPM: Critical Path Method

    Graphically displays project activities

    Estimates how long the project will take Indicates most critical activities

    Show where delays will not affect project

    MELJUN CORTES MBA MPA BSCS ACSMELJUN CORTES

    MBA MPA BSCS ACS

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    The Network DiagramThe Network Diagram

    Network (precedence) diagram Activity-on-arrow (AOA)

    Activity-on-node (AON)

    Activities

    Events

    MELJUN CORTES MBA MPA BSCS ACSMELJUN CORTES

    MBA MPA BSCS ACS

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    The Network Diagram (contd)The Network Diagram (contd)

    Path Sequence of activities that leads from the starting

    node to the finishing node

    Critical path

    The longest path; determines expected project

    duration

    Critical activities

    Activities on the critical path Slack

    Allowable slippage for path; the difference the

    length of path and the length of critical path

    MELJUN CORTES MBA MPA BSCS ACSMELJUN CORTES

    MBA MPA BSCS ACS

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    Project Network Activity on ArrowProject Network Activity on Arrow

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5 6

    Locate

    facilities

    Orderfurniture

    Furniture

    setup

    InterviewHire and

    train

    Remodel

    Move

    in

    Figure 17.4

    AOA

    MELJUN CORTES MBA MPA BSCS ACSMELJUN CORTES

    MBA MPA BSCS ACS

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    Project Network Activity on NodeProject Network Activity on Node

    1

    2

    3

    5

    6

    Locate

    facilities

    Order

    furniture

    Furniture

    setup

    Interview

    Remodel Movein

    4

    Hire andtrain

    7S

    Figure 17.4

    AON

    MELJUN CORTES MBA MPA BSCS ACSMELJUN CORTES

    MBA MPA BSCS ACS

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    Network ConventionsNetwork Conventions

    a

    b

    c ab

    c

    a

    b

    c

    d

    a

    b

    c

    Dummy

    activity

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    MBA MPA BSCS ACS

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    Time EstimatesTime Estimates

    Deterministic Time estimates that are fairly certain

    Probabilistic

    Estimates of times that allow for variation

    MELJUN CORTES MBA MPA BSCS ACSMELJUN CORTES

    MBA MPA BSCS ACS

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    Example 1Example 1

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5 6

    8 weeks

    6 weeks

    3 weeks

    4 weeks 9 weeks

    11 weeks

    1 week

    Locate

    facil

    ities

    Orde

    r

    furnit

    ureFurnitu

    re

    setup

    Interview

    Hirean

    dtra

    in

    Remodel Move

    in

    DeterministicDeterministic

    time estimatestime estimates

    Figure 17.5

    MELJUN CORTES MBA MPA BSCS ACSMELJUN CORTES

    MBA MPA BSCS ACS

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    Example 1 SolutionExample 1 Solution

    P a t h L e n g t h( w e e k s )

    S l a c k

    1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 5 - 61 - 2 - 5 - 61 - 3 - 5 - 6

    1 82 01 4

    206

    Critical PathCritical Path

    MELJUN CORTES MBA MPA BSCS ACSMELJUN CORTES

    MBA MPA BSCS ACS

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    Network activities ES: early start EF: early finish

    LS: late start LF: late finish

    Used to determine Expected project duration Slack time Critical path

    Computing AlgorithmComputing Algorithm

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    MBA MPA BSCS ACS

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    Probabilistic Time EstimatesProbabilistic Time Estimates

    Optimistic time Time required under optimal conditions

    Pessimistic time

    Time required under worst conditions

    Most likely time

    Most probable length of time that will be

    required

    MELJUN CORTES MBA MPA BSCS ACSMELJUN CORTES

    MBA MPA BSCS ACS

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    Probabilistic EstimatesProbabilistic Estimates

    Activity

    start

    Optimistic

    time

    Most likely

    time (mode)

    Pessimistic

    time

    to tptm te

    Figure 17.8

    MELJUN CORTES MBA MPA BSCS ACSMELJUN CORTES

    MBA MPA BSCS ACS

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    Expected TimeExpected Time

    te =to + 4tm +tp

    6

    te = expected time

    to = optimistic time

    tm = most likely timetp = pessimistic time

    MELJUN CORTES MBA MPA BSCS ACSMELJUN CORTES,

    MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

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    VarianceVariance

    2 =(tp to)

    2

    36

    2 = varianceto = optimistic time

    tp = pessimistic time

    MELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACSMELJUN CORTES,

    MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

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    Example 5Example 5

    1-3-4

    a

    3-4-5d

    3-5-7e

    5-7-9f

    2-4-6b

    4-6-8h

    2-3-6g

    3-4-6

    i

    2-3-5c

    Optimistictime Most likelytime Pessimistictime

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    MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

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    Path ProbabilitiesPath Probabilities

    Z =Specified time Path mean

    Path standard deviation

    Z indicates how many standard deviationsof the path distribution the specified tine

    is beyond the expected path duration.

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    MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

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    17

    Weeks

    Weeks

    Weeks

    Weeks

    10.0

    16.0

    13.5

    1.00

    1.00

    a-b-c

    d-e-f

    g-h-i

    Example 6Example 6

    MELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACSMELJUN CORTES,

    MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

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    MELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS, , , ,

    Time-cost Trade-offs: CrashingTime-cost Trade-offs: Crashing

    Crash shortening activity duration Procedure for crashing

    Crash the project one period at a time

    Only an activity on the critical path

    Crash the least expensive activity

    Multiple critical paths: find the sum of crashing

    the least expensive activity on each critical path

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    MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

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    , , , ,, , , ,

    Time-Cost Trade-Offs: CrashingTime-Cost Trade-Offs: Crashing

    Total

    cost

    Total

    cost

    ShortenShorten

    ShortenShorten

    Cumulative

    cost of

    crashing

    Cumulative

    cost ofcrashing

    Expected indirect costsExpected indirect costs

    Optimum

    CRASHCRASH

    Figure 17.11

    MELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACSMELJUN CORTES,

    MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

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    , , , ,, , , ,

    6a

    4d

    5c

    10b

    9e

    2f

    Example 7Example 7

    MELJUN CORTES,MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACSMELJUN CORTES,

    MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

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    , , , ,, , , ,

    Advantages of PERTAdvantages of PERT

    Forces managers to organize Provides graphic display of activities

    Identifies

    Critical activities

    Slack activities1

    2

    3

    4

    5 6

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    , , , ,

    Limitations of PERTLimitations of PERT

    Important activities may be omitted Precedence relationships may not be correct

    Estimates may include

    a fudge factor

    May focus solely

    on critical path 1

    2

    3

    4

    5 6

    142 weeks

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    MBA,MPA,BSCS,ACS

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    Computer aided design (CAD) Groupware (Lotus Notes)

    Project management software

    CA Super Project Harvard Total Manager

    MS Project

    Sure Track Project Manager Time Line

    Technology for Managing ProjectsTechnology for Managing Projects

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    Imposes a methodology Provides logical planning structure

    Enhances team communication

    Flag constraint violations

    Automatic report formats

    Multiple levels of reports Enables what-if scenarios

    Generates various chart types

    Advantages of PM SoftwareAdvantages of PM Software

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    Risk: occurrence of events that haveundesirable consequences

    Delays

    Increased costs

    Inability to meet specifications

    Project termination

    Project Risk ManagementProject Risk Management

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    Identify potential risks Analyze and assess risks

    Work to minimize occurrence of risk

    Establish contingency plans

    Risk ManagementRisk Management

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    SummarySummary

    Projects are a unique set of activities Projects go through life cycles

    PERT and CPM are two common techniques

    Network diagrams

    Project management software available