Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 John O’Donnell Group Financial...
-
Upload
helen-norton -
Category
Documents
-
view
212 -
download
0
Transcript of Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 John O’Donnell Group Financial...
![Page 1: Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 John O’Donnell Group Financial Director.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022083006/56649f355503460f94c53d40/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Meet the ManagementMeet the Management
AIB Investor DayLondon, 8th November 2006
John O’Donnell
Group Financial Director
![Page 2: Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 John O’Donnell Group Financial Director.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022083006/56649f355503460f94c53d40/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
2
A number of statements we will be making in our presentation and in the accompanying slides will not be based on historical fact, but will be “forward-looking” statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in the forward looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward looking statements include, but are not limited to, global, national and regional economic conditions, levels of market interest rates, credit or other risks of lending and investment activities, competitive and regulatory factors and technology change. Any ‘forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of the Group speak only as of the date they are made.
visit www.aibgroup.com/investorrelations
Forward Looking Statements
![Page 3: Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 John O’Donnell Group Financial Director.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022083006/56649f355503460f94c53d40/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
3
Some topical themes
Capital allocation and management
Funding
Net interest margin
![Page 4: Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 John O’Donnell Group Financial Director.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022083006/56649f355503460f94c53d40/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
4
Capital allocation
Allocation to support organic growth our priority Best value creator
Plentiful supply for business exceeding benchmark return
Business divisions as mini plcs, individual EPS assessment
Primary focus on return on regulatory capital; supported and
complemented by return on economic capital Detailed appraisal of return on incremental capital
Basel II - conservative view of quantum and timing of benefits
![Page 5: Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 John O’Donnell Group Financial Director.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022083006/56649f355503460f94c53d40/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
5
Capital outlook
Recourse to shareholders
not on agenda
Management
Actions
15% Internal
Capital
Generation Rate
Further Options
Assumptions
ROE 20%40% Div payout (8%)
12%25% Leverage 3%
15%
Asset sales & leasebacks
Securitisation, other assets
2 year visibility
on capital
(Target tier 1 7%)
![Page 6: Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 John O’Donnell Group Financial Director.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022083006/56649f355503460f94c53d40/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
6
Source of funds
0
20
40
60
80
100
2005 H1 2006
CapitalSenior Debt
ACSCDs & CPsDeposits by banks
Customer a/cs
52%
24%
10%
10%
49%
25%
10%
7%
%
4% 6%3%
![Page 7: Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 John O’Donnell Group Financial Director.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022083006/56649f355503460f94c53d40/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
7
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2015 2020 2025 Perp.
ACS Snr-Priv.Place. Snr-Benchmk Tier (ii) Tier (i)
Euro 82%
STG 14%
US$ 4%
Step-up issues – adjustedto earliest step-up date
Moody’s S&P Fitch
Aaa AAA AAA
Aa3 A+ AA-
Aa3 A+ AA-
A1 A(Lwr)/A-(Uppr) A+
A2 A- A+
€ (m)
Asset Covered Securities 3,500
Senior Debt - Private Placements 2,800
Senior Debt - Benchmark Issues 6,750
Tier (ii) 3,500
Tier (i) 2,700
Total 19,250
Debt Distribution October 2006€ (m)
Debt funding – well distributed and diversified
![Page 8: Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 John O’Donnell Group Financial Director.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022083006/56649f355503460f94c53d40/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
8
Net interest margin – loans growing faster than deposits
28
14
27
16
28
20
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2004 2005 Jun-06
Loans
Deposits
%
![Page 9: Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 John O’Donnell Group Financial Director.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022083006/56649f355503460f94c53d40/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
9
Net interest margin - re-investment of customer account funds
Objective to reduce income volatility
Average maturity c. 3.5 years
October re-investment tranche positive; breaking
long negative sequence
Lesser negative in 2007, turning positive in 2008
![Page 10: Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 John O’Donnell Group Financial Director.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022083006/56649f355503460f94c53d40/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
10
Net interest marginMix and competition
Branch loans 32 14 11 6
Home loans 29 31 34 33
Market / other loans 39 55 55 61
Total loans 100 100 100 100
1998 2002 2003 June 2006% of loan book % of loan book % of loan book % of loan book
Business mix (Republic of Ireland)
Margin on branch loans up to 4% higher than other loan categories No material ongoing front book / back book issue
Relative growth in other products also has mix effect e.g. corporate loans, term deposits
Competition expected to remain strong Product margins resilient
![Page 11: Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 John O’Donnell Group Financial Director.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022083006/56649f355503460f94c53d40/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
11
Financial snapshot
All businesses performing strongly and generating good
returns
Income momentum underpinned by buoyant and well spread
pipelines
Investing to sustain growth and maintaining significant
positive income / cost growth gap
Asset quality remains very solid
Growth built on robust capital and funding foundations
Well set to continue high quality growth
![Page 12: Meet the Management AIB Investor Day London, 8 th November 2006 John O’Donnell Group Financial Director.](https://reader036.fdocuments.in/reader036/viewer/2022083006/56649f355503460f94c53d40/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)