Meer verkeersveiligheid & minder verkeersslachtoffers...2016/06/16  · Mobility in a new context:...

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Road Safety What does a 3 star world look like?

Transcript of Meer verkeersveiligheid & minder verkeersslachtoffers...2016/06/16  · Mobility in a new context:...

Page 1: Meer verkeersveiligheid & minder verkeersslachtoffers...2016/06/16  · Mobility in a new context: the Digital Revolution • 5 years to design a new car…. • 2010: 1,97 billion

Road Safety

What does a 3 star world look like?

Page 2: Meer verkeersveiligheid & minder verkeersslachtoffers...2016/06/16  · Mobility in a new context: the Digital Revolution • 5 years to design a new car…. • 2010: 1,97 billion
Page 3: Meer verkeersveiligheid & minder verkeersslachtoffers...2016/06/16  · Mobility in a new context: the Digital Revolution • 5 years to design a new car…. • 2010: 1,97 billion
Page 4: Meer verkeersveiligheid & minder verkeersslachtoffers...2016/06/16  · Mobility in a new context: the Digital Revolution • 5 years to design a new car…. • 2010: 1,97 billion

STARS!

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Reality check: what you want…

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...and what you can afford!

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Road safety in numbers

Number of road fatalities is rising:

• Netherlands: 570 (2014) => 621 (2015)

• European Union: 25,700 (2014) => 26,000 (2015)

• Worldwide: 1.25 million

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Ambition in road safety

• Ambition should always be

a 5-star world

• Why settle for less…?

• 3 stars is the first step!

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On our way to 5 stars…

• 58,490 kilometres of roads tested in Europe so far

• Different countries, different challenges

• For example, in the Netherlands:

• App. 98% of national road network has 3 stars (RPS 1.0!)

Needs to be updated with RPS 3.0

• Only app. 35% of provincial road network has 3+ stars

• Urban road network: not yet tested, but increasingly important

• Not on a 3* level yet……

• Still a lot of work to be done!

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Infrastructure in Europe

• Differences across Europe, for example:

• Difference in road networks (e.g. quality, density etc.)

• Some countries are focusing on construction of new infrastructure

• Other countries are focusing on reconstruction of existing

infrastructure

• Urbanisation poses a new challenge

• Need for tailor made approach

• Continuous challenges:

• Political will

• Financial resources

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Assessment Programmes Stars in road safety: safe system aproach

• Vehicle safety

• EuroNCAP

• Human safety

• …?

• Infrastructure safety

• EuroRAP

• iRAP

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Vehicle safety

EuroNCAP:

• Internationally comparable standard

• Most cars are currently awarded 5 stars

• Passive safety (in-car) systems are included in EuroNCAP

• Not all safety systems

included in

EuroNCAP

• Unclear how drivers will react

to these systems

• Consequences for star rating?

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First steps towards a 3-star world

• Vehicle safety

• Adapted test protocols and tests in order to incorporate reliable active

support systems in EuroNCAP

• Eliminate perverted fiscal incentives such as overstimulation of

electric cars which prevents people from buying safe cars

• Anticipate new means of transport

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Human safety

• Quality of human behaviour…

• ‘Analogue’ people

• Education

• Enforcement

• (Social) context

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First steps towards a 3-star world

• Human safety

• Driver’s education needs to be adapted in order to enable the use of

autonomous systems

• A guaranteed 3-star level for drivers seems unrealistic. Therefore:

adjust the surroundings (e.g. roads, vehicle) to the driver

• 5-star cars and 5-star roads make 3-star drivers?

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Infrastructure safety

EuroRAP/iRAP:

• Internationally comparable standard

• 3 stars is considered an ‘acceptable minimum’ for now

• Currently, worldwide many roads have 3 stars or less

• ‘En route’ to 3 stars and more:

• 58,490 kilometre of roads have been tested in Europe until now

• RAP has anticipate future trends

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First steps towards a 3 star world

• Infrastructure safety

• RAP organisations should start the dialogue with car manufacturers

in order to make the link between automated cars and infrastructure

• Urbanisation needs to be taken into account in further development

of RAP, e.g. CycleRAP, UrbanRAP…?

• Municipal road authorities become more prominent stakeholders

• At the same time, continuous work needed to secure support from

national and regional road authorities

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Trends and issues

• Automated vehicles and

connected car

• Sustainability

• Urbanisation

• Smart cities

• Ageing population

• Government has utter

confidence in technology

Is EuroRAP ready for that?

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Mobility in a new context: the Digital Revolution

• 5 years to design a new car….

• 2010: 1,97 billion internet users

• 2015: 3,01 billion internet users

• 2020: half of the world population uses mobile

device to go on-line

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Trend: Automated driving and connected car

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First steps towards automated driving

• Many assistive technology systems already available:

• Automatic Cruise Control (ACC)

• Lane Departure Warning System (LDWS)

• Internet of things (IOT) /Connected car

• Radar

• Reliability of safety systems?

• Issues: uniformity, touch screens

• Driver aid or just another distraction

– Example: LDWS

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Automated driving

Levels:

0. No automation

1. Driver assistance

2. Partial automation

3. Conditional automation

4. High automation

5. Full automation

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Automated driving

• How forgiving is the technology?

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Automated driving

• Automated cars do not yet ‘communicate’ with

infrastructure (roads that cars can read)

• Businesses independently go ahead and develop

automated cars without taking infrastructure into account

(e.g. Nissan)

• Autonomous develops into ‘autistic’ and ‘selfish’

• Full benefits only after V2I / V2X communication

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Trend: (Re-)Urbanisation

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Urbanisation

• In 2020, 80% of the European population lives in urban

regions

• In 2030, over 60% of the world population lives in urban

regions

• Accelerated growth of urban populations imposes higher

requirements on the infrastructure in and around cities

• 21 of the 25 most fast growing cities are in countries with

upcoming economies

• Livability and road safety increasingly under pressure

• Need for efficient and safe use of limited space

• New means of transport are emerging

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Elektrische fietsen in alle maten en soorten Bicycle use…

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Elektrische bakfietsen en tandems in alle maten en

soorten …more bicycle types…

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Elektrische scooters in alle maten en soorten New means of transport…

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Lichte elektrische voertuigen (LEV’s) in alle maten en soorten …including LMV’s…

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Elektrische voertuigen en pickup trucks in alle maten en soorten …and other electric vehicles

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Flexible vehicle types for distribution…

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…and multiple purpose vehicles

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• Safety of ITS is still unreliable (touch screens, uniformity)

• ‘Traditional’ cars will be on the road for at least 15 more

years; drivers remain ‘in charge’ for now

• Relation automated cars and infrastructure needs to be

addressed

• Roads that cars can read

• Urbanisation will have a huge impact on mobility

• Investments in infrastructure remain necessary in the near future, but

demands are likely to change

• Continuous need to anticipate on new means of transport

• Municipal road authorities will become leading

Conclusions

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Conclusions

• There’s still a strong (business) case for safe infrastructure

• Don’t miss the boat; constant need for development

• Urbanisation has consequences for EuroRAP

• CycleRAP, UrbanRAP?

• Implementation of ‘Roads that Cars can Read’ is

necessary

• Stay connected with road authorities and business

partners

• Urban road authorities will take the lead, but don’t lose touch with

other road authorities

• Business is an important stakeholder (e.g. Nissan)

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Questions and discussion

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