MEASURING INCOME AND POVERTY AT A LOCAL LEVEL Sian Rasdale Social Justice Analysis, Scottish...
-
Upload
prosper-evans -
Category
Documents
-
view
215 -
download
2
Transcript of MEASURING INCOME AND POVERTY AT A LOCAL LEVEL Sian Rasdale Social Justice Analysis, Scottish...
![Page 1: MEASURING INCOME AND POVERTY AT A LOCAL LEVEL Sian Rasdale Social Justice Analysis, Scottish Government.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022072015/56649ed95503460f94be72cb/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
MEASURING INCOME AND POVERTY AT A LOCAL
LEVEL
Sian RasdaleSocial Justice Analysis, Scottish Government
![Page 2: MEASURING INCOME AND POVERTY AT A LOCAL LEVEL Sian Rasdale Social Justice Analysis, Scottish Government.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022072015/56649ed95503460f94be72cb/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Why the Family Resources Survey cannot be used
• The FRS sample is designed to be representative of all income levels
• The Scottish Government pay to double the sample size to 4,500 households and get coverage North of the Caledonian Canal
• This ensures National poverty estimates have acceptable confidence intervals of between 1 & 2 percentage points
![Page 3: MEASURING INCOME AND POVERTY AT A LOCAL LEVEL Sian Rasdale Social Justice Analysis, Scottish Government.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022072015/56649ed95503460f94be72cb/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Why the Family Resources Survey cannot be used
• For Local Authority level poverty estimates to have acceptable confidence intervals:
• Additional sample size: 28,000 households
• Additional cost: £14m
• Interviewer capacity does not exist to achieve this
• The FRS Consortium said No
![Page 4: MEASURING INCOME AND POVERTY AT A LOCAL LEVEL Sian Rasdale Social Justice Analysis, Scottish Government.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022072015/56649ed95503460f94be72cb/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Alternatives
• Census 2011
• Scottish Household Survey
• DWP Benefit data
• HMRC Tax Credit data
• Labour Force Survey
![Page 5: MEASURING INCOME AND POVERTY AT A LOCAL LEVEL Sian Rasdale Social Justice Analysis, Scottish Government.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022072015/56649ed95503460f94be72cb/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Scottish Household Survey Development
• The SHS collects income data from the Highest Income Householder & their spouse/partner
• Reporting:– % of households by income band– Nationally & large LAs every year – Smaller LAs every two years
• SHS data recommended for Single Outcome Agreements has been published on the Income and Poverty website……
![Page 6: MEASURING INCOME AND POVERTY AT A LOCAL LEVEL Sian Rasdale Social Justice Analysis, Scottish Government.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022072015/56649ed95503460f94be72cb/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Percentage of small adult households with a net income less than £10,000 per annum
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Abe
rdee
n C
ity
Abe
rdee
nshi
re
Ang
us
Arg
yll &
But
e
Cla
ckm
anna
nshi
re
Dum
frie
s &
Gal
low
ay
Dun
dee
City
Eas
t A
yrsh
ire
Eas
t D
unba
rton
shire
Eas
t Lo
thia
n
Eas
t R
enfr
ewsh
ire
Edi
nbur
gh,
City
of
Eile
an S
iar
(Wes
tern
Isl
es)
Fal
kirk
Fife
Gla
sgow
City
Hig
hlan
d
Inve
rcly
de
Mid
loth
ian
Mor
ay
Nor
th A
yrsh
ire
Nor
th L
anar
kshi
re
Ork
ney
Isla
nds
Per
th &
Kin
ross
Ren
frew
shire
Sco
ttis
h B
orde
rs
She
tland
Isl
ands
Sou
th A
yrsh
ire
Sou
th L
anar
kshi
re
Stir
ling
Wes
t D
unba
rton
shire
Wes
t Lo
thia
n
2005 and 2006 2003 and 2004
![Page 7: MEASURING INCOME AND POVERTY AT A LOCAL LEVEL Sian Rasdale Social Justice Analysis, Scottish Government.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022072015/56649ed95503460f94be72cb/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Scottish Household Survey
• Development work:– Improve weighting so frequencies can be
reported– Impute income from other householders so
household income can be equivalised– Methods may be applied to Scottish House
Condition Survey too
• This will not provide LA poverty figures, but may provide LA low income estimates
![Page 8: MEASURING INCOME AND POVERTY AT A LOCAL LEVEL Sian Rasdale Social Justice Analysis, Scottish Government.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022072015/56649ed95503460f94be72cb/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Child and Working Tax Credit Counts
• HM Revenues & Customs hold data on the number of families and people in receipt of tax credits
• Available at LA level (National statistics) and datazone level (Experimental statistics)
• Recommended proxy for child poverty measure at Local Authority level published on Income and Poverty website…….
![Page 9: MEASURING INCOME AND POVERTY AT A LOCAL LEVEL Sian Rasdale Social Justice Analysis, Scottish Government.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022072015/56649ed95503460f94be72cb/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Percentage of children living in households that are dependent on out of work benefits OR Child Tax Credit
more than the family element
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Ab
erde
en
City
Ab
erde
ens
hire
An
gus
Arg
yll &
Bu
te
Cla
ckm
ann
an
shir
e
Du
mfr
ies
& G
allo
wa
y
Du
ndee
City
Ea
st A
yrsh
ire
Ea
st D
unb
arto
nsh
ire
Ea
st L
oth
ian
Ea
st R
enfr
ewsh
ire
Ed
inb
urgh
, City
of
Eile
an S
iar
(We
ste
rn Is
les)
Fa
lkir
k
Fife
Gla
sgo
w C
ity
Hig
hlan
d
Inve
rcly
de
Mid
loth
ian
Mo
ray
No
rth
Ayr
shire
No
rth
Lan
ark
shire
Ork
ney
Isl
and
s
Pe
rth
& K
inro
ss
Re
nfre
wsh
ire
Sco
ttis
h B
ord
ers
Sh
etla
nd
Isla
nd
s
So
uth
Ayr
shire
So
uth
Lan
arks
hire
Stir
ling
We
st D
unb
arto
nshi
re
We
st L
oth
ian
2005/06 2006/07
![Page 10: MEASURING INCOME AND POVERTY AT A LOCAL LEVEL Sian Rasdale Social Justice Analysis, Scottish Government.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022072015/56649ed95503460f94be72cb/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Points to note about Tax Credit data
• Overall proportion (44%) much higher than child poverty rate (21%)
• Not all entitled people claim• Eligibility rules change
– youngest child criteria for IS is changing • Denominator is estimated population under
20 years old: enumerator is children under 16 or 20 in FTE
• The GROS population estimates are also subject to error
![Page 11: MEASURING INCOME AND POVERTY AT A LOCAL LEVEL Sian Rasdale Social Justice Analysis, Scottish Government.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022072015/56649ed95503460f94be72cb/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Potential Development of the Labour Forces Survey
• Collects data on earnings
• And information about which benefits adults take-up (but not amount)
• Does not collect information about other sources of income
• Potential for imputation methods to be applied to provide household income estimates
![Page 12: MEASURING INCOME AND POVERTY AT A LOCAL LEVEL Sian Rasdale Social Justice Analysis, Scottish Government.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022072015/56649ed95503460f94be72cb/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
What should we prioritise?
• We need to know what would be most useful to you
• How will the data be used?– Monitoring changes over time?– Identifying areas or cohorts for interventions?– Understanding causes and consequences?
• Do you have access to other sources?