McKinsey Value Management Final
Transcript of McKinsey Value Management Final
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Value Management:
Winning in a Value- Driven World
November 9, 2010
GMA Presentation
CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARYAny use of this material without specific permission of McKinsey & Company is strictly prohibited
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Consumers perceive value in many different ways
Comparison to other options
Quality Price
3
What is the
consumer’scomparisonset?
Experience across the purchase cycle1
…during …Before …… and after apurchase
Quality for the price2
ILLUSTRATIVE
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Value
Today, we’d like to discuss “value” through all three lenses:
consumers, retailers, and manufacturersHow is consumer behaviorrelated to value evolving in thecurrent economic environment?
What strategiesand tactics shouldmanufacturers bepursuing to capturethe value segment?
What strategies andtactics are retailers pursuing to capture
the value segment?
Consumers
Retailers Manufacturers
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U.S. consumers have changed the way they shop and claim to be stickingwith new purchasing behaviour as the economy improves
Percent intending tokeep behavior1
Sep 2010Behavior
Percentchangingbehavior
SOURCE: McKinsey Consumer Sentiment Survey V (Sep 2010)
Purchase private label/store brand products more 50
Purchase high-enddesigner/luxury brands less 45
Shop at mass merchantsmore
50
Go out to eat less 60
Shop at Club stores more 35
Shop at dollar stores more 40
1. CONSUMERS
Change sinceFeb’09
76
86
85
88
89
86 +
+
+
+
+
NA
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Overall, U.S. consumers are purchasing more
private label
18.918.718.2
17.1
16.416.516.116.116.016.215.715.915.615.415.114.314.0
14.914.613.613.7
11.6
201010908070605040302012000999897969594939291901989
Recession
3x faster growth thanbranded products
U.S. private label value share, in supermarket channel
Percent, 1989-2009
1 2010 data for 52 weeks ending 4/19/2010
SOURCE: PLMA; Nielsen; IRI; McKinsey analysis
1. CONSUMERS
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0.09
1.91
1.19
2009-102007-092005-07 avg.
Growth in private label market shareHighly penetrated categories MS points
0.31
0.41
0.17
2009-102007-09 (av.)2005-07 avg.
Growth in private label market share“Lower penetrated categories, MS points
While signs of recovery in 2010 slowed private label growth in highlypenetrated categories, lower penetrated ones continued growing
SOURCE: IRI, McKinsey analysis
1. CONSUMERS
Recession may havecause a lasting change
for the categoriestraditionally seen as
“brand-heavy”
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Banquet Brand—Delivering value for
consumers everyday
Banquet brand
▪
Products include single- and family-serve entrées, prepared chicken, pot pies,fruit pies, breakfast sausage and Homestyle Bakes
▪ Targets the “value” segment and has become the clear leader in the single-serve economy segment
1. CONSUMERS
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Big Brands —Delivering value for consumers
everyday
1. CONSUMERS
+22% Unit Growth
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Value
Today, we’d like to discuss “value” through all three lenses:
consumers, retailers, and manufacturersHow is consumer behaviorrelated to value evolving in thecurrent economic environment?
What strategiesand tactics shouldmanufacturers bepursuing to capturethe value segment?
What strategiesand tactics areretailers pursuing
to capture thevalue segment?
Consumers
Retailers Manufacturers
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Traditional grocers are facing pressure from value and specialty
players CAGR07-09/09-12E
4.1%/4.5%
7.2%/8.3%
2.0%/0%
3.5%/6.6%
U.S. grocery sales$ Billion, Percent Examples of players
26 25 27
32 33 37
Differentiated
Traditional
100% = 909
2003
43
1,124
2008
984,368
3641
Value
2013E
2. RETAILERS
SOURCE: McKinsey Retail Practice, Willard Bishop
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Even Walmart is rethinking its strategy in response to recent
consumer and economic trends
▪ Include advertising / in-storemerchandising support tomatch manufacturer dollars
to share of sales
▪ Great Value remains largestPL brand in the U.S.
▪ Take over the delivery ofproduct from the manufacturer
2. RETAILERS
▪ Take over purchase ofraw materials forsuppliers to ensure betterprice
▪ Shifting investment to smallerformat to extend its valueproposition to newconsumer
▪ Recommitting to every daylow price
▪ Restocking some itemsdropped earlier to provide fullrange of choices at best
price
Assortment
Every DayLow Price
Small formats
On-line
Pay-for-growth (CSI)
FOB pricing
PrivateLabel
Rawmaterialspooling
Consumer-focused strategies Supplier-focused strategies
▪ On-line orderingwith FedExshipping
▪ Site-to-storesolution
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Grocers are also sharpening their focus on value
SOURCE: McKinsey
2. RETAILERS
Getting credit forvalue
▪ Devoted a complete section in some storeto Valu Time products to showcase low-priced items
▪
Hurricane promotiontargeting single- and family-serve entrées and ran at thebeginning of the hurricaneseason (see next page)
Operating expense reductionprogram has saved in excess of $1 billionsince 2002
▪
Has dedicated product strategy anddevelopment resources to determinewhere private brands should play based oncategory economics
Targetedexpansion ofprivate brands
Driving down SG&Aand COGS to fundprice investments
Promotionseffectiveness
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Value
Today, we’d like to discuss “value” through all three lenses:
consumers, retailers, and manufacturersHow is consumer behaviorrelated to value evolving in thecurrent economic environment?
What strategiesand tactics should
manufacturers bepursuing to
capture the valuesegment?
What strategies andtactics are retailerspursuing to capture
the value segment?
Consumers
Retailers Manufacturers
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Collaborating to deliver value with effective
promotion
Hurricane Promotion
▪ Variety of hurricane-related ‘stock up’products on one pallet
▪ Combined with $10Publix gift certificate
▪ Provides ‘value’ withright products at theright time
2. RETAILERS
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Winning manufacturers are Collaborating with retail partners todrive growth and value
Are strategic about selecting the right partners
… how Winners do it
Are bold in their ambition
Set the execution team up for success
2 Make hard choices to prioritize and invest with aselect subset of potential partners
“Plant more seeds” for future efforts1
Set clear goals on day one; hold both organizationsaccountable
5
Think about the totality of the business in designingthe scope of the effort4
Proactively seek to collaborate on win/winopportunities – not just a reaction to performanceissues
3
Establish how gains will be shared and drive benefitfor both sides
6
Are willing to invest and invest broadly7
Staff the team with a broad mix of cross-functionaltalent
8
SOURCE: 2010 McKinsey CCM survey
What Winners do…
Are more than 2x more likely tofocus collaboration on supplychain costs (in addition togrowth)
▪ 30% more likely to experienceoperating margin increases
▪ 30% more likely to deliverinventory reductions
3. MANUFACTURERS
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Winners increased trade more thanothers to offset price increases…Percent of respondents
Winning manufacturers1 have responded to value pressure withhigher trade spend which has driven more lift for the top
performers
SOURCE: 2010 McKinsey CCM survey
9
9
Decreased by
more than 1percentage point
Stayed about thesame 30
Increased bymore than 1percentage point
15
82
56
Others
Winners
3. MANUFACTURERS
Lift per point ofprice reduction2
Median 08-09Percent
Lift frommerchandising2
Median 08-09Percent
4.3
18.5
-1.4
10.8
…and drove higher lift frompromotionsPercent of respondents
SOURCE: 2010 McKinsey CCM survey
1 CPGs with above category growth rates2 Indexed to category
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3. MANUFACTURERS
Manufacturers are working aggressively to address the growing
“value” segment
Percent of survey respondentsmanaging private label price gap
▪ Winners are disproportionatelyincreasing customer-facingresources in
– Discount/dollar channels
– Wal-Mart
– Club channels
Winning manufacturers1 areadding resources to drivegrowth with value channels …
… and are nearly twice as likelyto actively manage the pricegap versus private label
34
57
Others
Winners
BASED ON MCKINSEY CCM SURVEY
SOURCE: 2010 McKinsey CCM survey
1 CPGs with above category growth rates
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…while others arefocused on ‘the basics’
VS.
Winners are focused on‘next-level’ capabilities …
Focus areas for winners Focus areas for others
Customer P&L leadership Financial analysis andreporting
Strategic collaboration Consumer/shopper insights
Pricing/trade analyticsMarketing/branding
understanding
Finally, winning manufacturers are building “next-level”capabilities to ensure profitability
3. MANUFACTURERS
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In summary, a winning Value Management approach will require answersto these key questions:
▪ What drives consumer value perception in your categories?
– How do those drivers vary across categories and channels?
– How will they evolve in the next 3-5 years?
▪How can you influence value perception beyond changingprice?
– Can you influence which way consumers view value in yourcategories
▫
Experience across purchase cycle▫ Quality for price
▫ Comparison to other options
– What messages and product offers will be most compelling?
– How can you collaborate with your customers to win in the value-driven world?
In coming months, we will share results from upcoming McKinsey-GMA consumer research that will help address these questions