McCAIN CLOSES IN ON OBAMA IN FOUR BATTLEGROUND STATES

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FOR RELEASE: JULY 24, 2008 McCAIN CLOSES IN ON OBAMA IN FOUR BATTLEGROUND STATES, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY/WALL STREET JOURNAL/ WASHINGTONPOST.COM POLL FINDS --- COLORADO: McCain 46 – Obama 44 MICHIGAN: Obama 46 - McCain 42 MINNESOTA: Obama 46 - McCain 44 WISCONSIN: Obama 50 - McCain 39 Arizona Sen. John McCain has inched ahead of Illinois Sen. Barack Obama in Colorado; come within inches in Minnesota and narrowed the gap in Michigan and Wisconsin, according to four simultaneous Quinnipiac University polls of likely voters in these battleground states, conducted in partnership with The Wall Street Journal and washingtonpost.com and released today. Voters in each state say energy policy is more important than the war in Iraq. And by margins of 22 to 31 percentage points, voters in each state support offshore oil drilling, and by seven to 12-point margins, drilling in the Alaskan National Wildlife Refuge. Sen. McCain has picked up support in almost every group in every state, especially among independent voters and men voters. The Republican now leads Obama among independent voters in Michigan and Minnesota. Overall results show: Colorado: McCain is up by a nose 46 – 44 percent, compared to a 49 – 44 percent Obama lead June 26; Michigan: Obama tops McCain 46 – 42 percent, compared to a 48 – 42 percent lead last time; Minnesota: Obama edges ahead 46 – 44 percent, compared to a 54 – 37 percent Obama lead; Wisconsin: Obama leads McCain 50 – 39 percent, compared to 52 – 39 percent. “Sen. Barack Obama’s post-primary bubble hasn’t burst, but it is leaking a bit. It’s been a good month for Sen. John McCain. His movement in these key states, not large except for Minnesota, jibes with the tightening we are seeing in the national polls,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. -more- Peter A. Brown, Assistant Director, Clay F. Richards, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute (203) 582-5201 Rubenstein Associates, Inc., Public Relations Pat Smith (212) 843-8026

Transcript of McCAIN CLOSES IN ON OBAMA IN FOUR BATTLEGROUND STATES

Page 1: McCAIN CLOSES IN ON OBAMA IN FOUR BATTLEGROUND STATES

FOR RELEASE: JULY 24, 2008

McCAIN CLOSES IN ON OBAMA IN FOUR BATTLEGROUND STAT ES, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY/WALL STREET JOURNAL/

WASHINGTONPOST.COM POLL FINDS ---

COLORADO: McCain 46 – Obama 44 MICHIGAN: Obama 46 - McCain 42 MINNESOTA: Obama 46 - McCain 44 WISCONSIN: Obama 50 - McCain 39

Arizona Sen. John McCain has inched ahead of Illinois Sen. Barack Obama in Colorado; come

within inches in Minnesota and narrowed the gap in Michigan and Wisconsin, according to four

simultaneous Quinnipiac University polls of likely voters in these battleground states, conducted

in partnership with The Wall Street Journal and washingtonpost.com and released today.

Voters in each state say energy policy is more important than the war in Iraq. And by

margins of 22 to 31 percentage points, voters in each state support offshore oil drilling, and by

seven to 12-point margins, drilling in the Alaskan National Wildlife Refuge.

Sen. McCain has picked up support in almost every group in every state, especially

among independent voters and men voters. The Republican now leads Obama among

independent voters in Michigan and Minnesota. Overall results show:

• Colorado: McCain is up by a nose 46 – 44 percent, compared to a 49 – 44 percent Obama lead June 26;

• Michigan: Obama tops McCain 46 – 42 percent, compared to a 48 – 42 percent lead last time; • Minnesota: Obama edges ahead 46 – 44 percent, compared to a 54 – 37 percent Obama lead; • Wisconsin: Obama leads McCain 50 – 39 percent, compared to 52 – 39 percent.

“Sen. Barack Obama’s post-primary bubble hasn’t burst, but it is leaking a bit. It’s been a

good month for Sen. John McCain. His movement in these key states, not large except for

Minnesota, jibes with the tightening we are seeing in the national polls,” said Peter Brown,

assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

-more-

Peter A. Brown, Assistant Director, Clay F. Richards, Assistant Director, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute (203) 582-5201

Rubenstein Associates, Inc., Public Relations Pat Smith (212) 843-8026

Page 2: McCAIN CLOSES IN ON OBAMA IN FOUR BATTLEGROUND STATES

Quinnipiac University Poll/July 24, 2008 – page 2

“The good news for McCain is that he has improved his standing in Colorado and

Michigan, two states that are critical to each man’s strategy. Obama wants to break through in the

Rocky Mountain and Southwestern states that have been going Republican for decades. McCain

sees recently Democratic Michigan as his top takeaway target,” Brown added.

“One reason for McCain’s progress may be the energy issue. The results show increased

support for additional drilling – which McCain supports and Obama opposes. Roughly one in ten

voters say they have changed their minds and now favor drilling because of the jump in energy

prices. They support Obama, but with voters saying that the energy issue is now more important

to their presidential vote than is the war in Iraq, this group represents an opportunity for the

Republican.

“Voters are even more closely divided when it comes to which candidate’s spouse best fits

the image of a First Lady than they are in their vote for president.”

President Bush’s approval ratings are:

• 31 – 62 percent in Colorado; • 25 – 69 percent in Michigan; • 28 – 66 percent in Minnesota; • 26 – 68 percent in Wisconsin.

Colorado

Obama leads 50 – 39 percent among Colorado women likely voters, while men back

McCain 55 – 37 percent. White voters back McCain 51 – 41 percent as Hispanic voters go with

Obama 57 – 29 percent. Obama leads 51 – 43 percent with voters 18 to 34 years old, while

voters 35 to 54 are tied 46 – 46 percent. McCain leads 51 – 37 percent among voters over 55.

Voters say 37 – 27 percent that Cindy McCain better fits their idea of a First Lady than

Michelle Obama. Men prefer Ms. McCain 43 – 20 percent while women split with 33 percent for

Ms. Obama and 32 percent for Ms. McCain.

“Not surprisingly, Obama’s strength is in the Denver/Boulder precincts where he leads

almost two-to-one, while he trails everywhere else in the state. As the presidential race has tilted a

bit toward McCain, GOP Senate candidate Bob Schaffer has moved into a dead heat after trailing

Democrat Mark Udall by 10 points a month ago,” Brown said.

In the U.S. Senate race, U.S. Rep. Mark Udall, the Democrat, and Republican Robert

Schaffer are tied 44 – 44 percent, compared to a 48 – 38 percent Udall lead June 26.

-more-

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Quinnipiac University Poll/July 24, 2008 – page 3

Colorado voters support 68 – 15 percent a constitutional amendment outlawing

discrimination or preferential treatment in public employment, contracting or education.

By a 50 – 39 percent margin, Colorado voters say a candidate’s position on energy policy

is more important than their position on the war in Iraq. Voter split 33 – 33 percent on which

candidate has the best energy policy, with 34 percent undecided.

Michigan

Michigan women voters back Obama 50 – 38 percent, while men back McCain 47 – 42 percent.

White voters back McCain 48 – 40 percent, as black voters support Obama 90 – 4 percent. The

Democrat leads 51 – 41 percent among voters 18 to 34, a big drop, and squeaks by 46 – 43 percent

among voters 35 to 54. Voters over 55 tie 43 – 43 percent.

Voters split on who better fits their idea of a First Lady, with Obama at 29 percent and McCain

at 28 percent. Women prefer Obama 33 – 25 percent as men like McCain 31 – 25 percent.

A candidate’s energy policy is more important than his position on the war in Iraq,

Michigan likely voters say 50 – 40 percent. Obama has the best program for helping solve the

crisis and making America less dependent on foreign oil, voters say 35 – 28 percent.

“Obama and McCain are doing equally well in raiding the other party’s base: Ten percent

of 2004 Kerry voters favor McCain, while 13 percent of 2004 Bush backers are with Obama. In

order to close the gap, McCain needs to do a little bit better winning back the Democrats who

voted for Ronald Reagan and their children,” Brown said.

Minnesota

Obama tops McCain 51 – 38 percent with women, while men back McCain 49 – 42

percent. White voters split 45 – 45 percent. The Democrat leads 50 – 45 percent among voters

18 to 34 years old. Voters 35 to 54 split, with 45 percent for Obama and 44 percent for McCain

with the Democrat up 46 – 42 percent among voters over 55.

In the First Lady contest, 28 percent prefer Obama while 26 percent back McCain.

Women back Obama 32 – 24 percent and men back McCain 28 – 25 percent.

By a 49 – 41 percent margin, Minnesota voters say a candidate’s energy policy is more

important than his policy on the war in Iraq. And voters say 34 – 26 percent, with 40 percent

undecided, that Obama has the best energy policy.

-more-

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Quinnipiac University Poll/July 24, 2008 – page 4

In the Minnesota U.S. Senate race, Republican incumbent Sen. Norm Coleman tops

Democrat Al Franken 53 – 38 percent, compared to 51 – 41 percent June 26.

“Sen. McCain is gaining strength, particularly among younger voters, independents and

the Twin Cities suburbs, but the situation remains fluid with more than a third of independent

voters saying their minds are not yet made up,” said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the

Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

“Democrat Al Franken still faces an uphill battle in his quest to unseat Sen. Norm

Coleman, with almost 20 percent of the voters in his own party voting for the Republican

incumbent.”

Wisconsin

Wisconsin women likely voters back Obama 56 – 31 percent while men back McCain

49 – 43 percent. White voters back Obama 48 – 42 percent. He leads 60 – 31 percent among

voters 18 to 34 years old, 47 – 43 percent among voters 35 to 54 years old and 47 – 41 percent

among voters over 55.

Voters split on which spouse better fits their idea of a First Lady, with 29 percent for

Obama and 28 percent for McCain. Women like Obama 33 – 24 percent, while men like McCain

32 – 24 percent.

Wisconsin voters say 52 – 41 percent that a candidate’s energy policy is more important

than his policy for the war in Iraq, and say 34 – 29 percent that Obama has the best energy policy.

“Wisconsin remains the most liberal of swing states, giving Obama a comfortable double-

digit lead, although men and Catholics prefer McCain. As it is everywhere, energy is emerging as

a dominant campaign issue. Wisconsin voters feel Obama is the best candidate to address the

energy crisis,” Richards said.

From July 14 – 22, Quinnipiac University surveyed:

• 1,425 Colorado likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent; • 1,684 Michigan likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percent; • 1,261 Minnesota likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent; • 1,094 Wisconsin likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public

opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and

nationwide as a public service and for research.

These surveys of Colorado, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan are conducted in

partnership with The Wall Street Journal and washingtonpost.com.

For more data -- http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml , or call (203) 582-5201.

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1. If the election for President were being held to day, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Repub lican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean mor e toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners". LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union COLORADO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Obama 44% 7% 86% 47% 37 % 50% 41% 57% 50% McCain 46 87 7 39 55 39 51 29 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 3 2 2 4 4 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 7 5 5 10 5 9 6 10 6 IMP ISSUE Q7...... Denvr/ Ar ap/ RestOf War Econ Terr Bouldr Je ff West State Obama 64% 47% 8% 59% 42 % 39% 35% McCain 32 44 91 31 48 53 55 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 - 3 2 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - DK/NA 4 7 2 7 9 6 7 WHITE.... .............................. AGE IN YRS....... NoColl Co llege BrnAgn 18-34 35-54 55+ Degree De gree Men Wom Evngl Cath Obama 51% 46% 37% 36% 48 % 35% 46% 16% 46% McCain 43 46 51 54 46 57 44 78 47 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 2 3 1 3 2 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 5 5 10 7 5 4 8 4 6 PresVt2004.. BushJobAppQ10 Bush Kerry App Dis Obama 12% 84% 7% 66% McCain 81 9 86 24 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - DK/NA 5 6 6 7 TREND: If the election for President were being hel d today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Repub lican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided) As of today, do you lean more t oward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners". LIKELY VOTERS Jul 24 Jun 26 2008 2008 Obama 44 49 McCain 46 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 3 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - DK/NA 7 5 1a. (If candidate choice given q1)Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN CAND CHOICE Q1 CO Tot Obama McCain Made up 79% 80% 77% Might change 20 19 21 DK/NA 1 1 2

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1. If the election for President were being held to day, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Repub lican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean mor e toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners". LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union MICHIGAN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Obama 46% 8% 84% 41% 42 % 50% 40% 90% 52% McCain 42 85 9 44 47 38 48 4 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 4 4 1 2 - 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 9 6 6 11 7 11 10 7 9 IMP ISSUE Q7...... Wayne Oa k/ RestOf War Econ Terr County Ma comb SthW State Obama 60% 50% 12% 57% 40 % 46% 45% McCain 30 39 84 33 48 44 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 - 2 2 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - DK/NA 10 9 4 8 10 8 10 WHITE.... .............................. AGE IN YRS....... NoColl Co llege BrnAgn 18-34 35-54 55+ Degree De gree Men Wom Evngl Cath Obama 51% 46% 43% 40% 39 % 35% 44% 27% 39% McCain 41 43 43 45 53 54 43 60 50 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 1 3 1 3 1 2 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 6 8 13 11 7 8 12 11 8 PresVt2004.. BushJobAppQ10 Bush Kerry App Dis Obama 13% 81% 7% 64% McCain 79 10 87 24 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - DK/NA 8 7 5 9 TREND: If the election for President were being hel d today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Repub lican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided) As of today, do you lean more t oward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners". LIKELY VOTERS Jul 24 Jun 26 2008 2008 Obama 46 48 McCain 42 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - DK/NA 9 8 1a. (If candidate choice given q1)Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN CAND CHOICE Q1 MI Tot Obama McCain Made up 76% 78% 74% Might change 21 19 24 DK/NA 2 3 2

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1. If the election for President were being held to day, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Repub lican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean mor e toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners". LIKELY VOTERS................. ......................... Union MINNESOTA Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Obama 46% 5% 86% 40% 42 % 51% 45% 54% McCain 44 90 7 48 49 38 45 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 3 3 - 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 8 4 6 9 6 10 8 8 IMP ISSUE Q7...... Twin Tw in War Econ Terr Cities Su burb West East Obama 70% 48% 3% 54% 39 % 39% 50% McCain 26 43 91 36 52 47 42 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - DK/NA 3 8 6 7 8 12 7 WHITE.... .............................. AGE IN YRS....... NoColl Co llege BrnAgn 18-34 35-54 55+ Degree De gree Men Wom Evngl Cath Obama 50% 45% 46% 43% 51 % 41% 50% 30% 41% McCain 45 44 42 46 44 51 40 62 49 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 3 1 2 1 3 - 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 5 8 10 10 4 6 10 7 8 PresVt2004.. BushJobAppQ10 Bush Kerry App Dis Obama 12% 82% 6% 67% McCain 82 10 86 23 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - DK/NA 5 7 6 8 TREND: If the election for President were being hel d today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Repub lican, for whom would you vote?(If undecided) As of today, do you lean more t oward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners". LIKELY VOTERS Jul 24 Jun 26 2008 2008 Obama 46 54 McCain 44 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - DK/NA 8 8 1a. (If candidate choice given q1) Is your mind mad e up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN CAND CHOICE Q1 MN Tot Obama McCain Made up 75% 78% 71% Might change 23 20 27 DK/NA 2 2 2

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1. If the election for President were being held to day, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for wh om would you vote?(If undecided q1) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? Thi s table includes "Leaners". (* for "Terrorism" subgroup use additional caution when interpreting findings due to larger margin of error.) LIKELY VOTERS................. ......................... Union WISCONSIN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Obama 50% 12% 86% 47% 43 % 56% 48% 55% McCain 39 82 6 38 49 31 42 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 3 1 2 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 9 5 7 12 7 11 9 10 IMP ISSUE Q7...... Mi lwak RestOf War Econ *Terr Milwak Vi cnty South State Obama 65% 53% 8% 56% 35 % 56% 51% McCain 25 38 87 37 50 36 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 - 1 - 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - DK/NA 9 9 5 6 15 7 9 WHITE.... .............................. AGE IN YRS....... NoColl Co llege BrnAgn 18-34 35-54 55+ Degree De gree Men Wom Evngl Cath Obama 60% 47% 47% 45% 55 % 42% 53% 34% 43% McCain 31 43 41 43 37 51 34 54 48 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 7 9 11 10 6 7 11 11 9 PresVt2004.. BushJobAppQ10 Bush Kerry App Dis Obama 16% 84% 9% 69% McCain 76 9 83 20 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - DK/NA 7 7 6 9 TREND: If the election for President were being hel d today, and the candidates were Barack Obama the Democrat and John McCain the Republican, for wh om would you vote?(If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward Obama or McCain? This table includes "Leaners". LIKELY VOTERS Jul 24 Jun 26 2008 2008 Obama 50 52 McCain 39 39 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - DK/NA 9 8 1a. (If candidate choice given q1)Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the election? CANDIDATE CHOICE GIVEN CAND CHOICE Q1 WI Tot Obama McCain Made up 72% 72% 71% Might change 27 27 27 DK/NA 2 2 2

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2a. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Mark Udall the Democrat and Bob Shaffer the Re publican, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q2a) As of today, do you lean more to ward Udall or Schaffer? This table includes "Leaners". (CO only) LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Udall 44% 10% 83% 46% 37 % 50% 41% 61% 49% Schaffer 44 82 7 38 54 35 48 32 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 1 1 - 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - DK/NA 11 8 9 15 8 15 11 7 11 2a. If the election for United States Senator were being held today, and the candidates were Al Franken the DFL candidate and Norm Coleman the Republican candidate, for whom would you vote? (If undecided q2a) As of today, do you lean more toward Franken or Coleman? This table includes "Leaners". (MN only) LIKELY VOTERS................. ......................... Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Franken 38% 3% 73% 32% 35 % 41% 37% 47% Coleman 53 94 19 55 58 48 54 44 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) - - - - - - - - DK/NA 8 2 7 11 5 10 7 8 2. Is your opinion of -- Barack Obama favorable, un favorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Favorable 51% 21% 83% 57% 45 % 57% 49% 63% 56% Unfavorable 35 66 7 26 41 29 38 23 36 Hvn't hrd enough 11 11 8 13 11 11 11 11 7 REFUSED 3 2 2 4 3 3 2 4 1 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Favorable 54% 21% 79% 55% 50 % 58% 49% 85% 59% Unfavorable 29 60 7 28 35 24 33 2 24 Hvn't hrd enough 14 15 12 14 13 15 15 10 13 REFUSED 3 4 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Favorable 55% 30% 85% 48% 53 % 58% 55% 59% Unfavorable 26 49 6 29 30 23 27 23 Hvn't hrd enough 16 19 7 22 16 17 16 16 REFUSED 2 3 1 1 2 2 2 1 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Favorable 55% 28% 80% 54% 53 % 57% 54% 58% Unfavorable 28 58 5 28 33 24 30 23 Hvn't hrd enough 14 11 12 16 12 15 14 16 REFUSED 3 3 3 2 2 4 3 2

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3. Is your opinion of -- John McCain favorable, unf avorable or haven't you heard enough about him? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Favorable 54% 78% 29% 53% 60 % 49% 58% 45% 54% Unfavorable 30 12 52 29 28 32 29 33 33 Hvn't hrd enough 12 9 16 13 10 15 10 19 11 REFUSED 3 2 3 4 2 4 3 3 1 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Favorable 53% 82% 27% 59% 58 % 49% 59% 15% 47% Unfavorable 30 9 50 26 29 30 26 50 36 Hvn't hrd enough 14 8 20 12 11 17 12 32 14 REFUSED 3 1 4 3 2 4 3 2 4 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Favorable 51% 79% 30% 54% 57 % 45% 54% 43% Unfavorable 27 6 51 21 25 30 27 37 Hvn't hrd enough 18 13 17 21 15 22 17 17 REFUSED 3 2 3 5 3 3 3 4 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Favorable 52% 83% 24% 56% 62 % 44% 55% 47% Unfavorable 28 8 50 24 25 31 27 30 Hvn't hrd enough 17 9 23 17 11 22 15 21 REFUSED 3 - 3 2 2 3 2 2 4. Is your opinion of -- Michelle Obama favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Favorable 30% 11% 53% 31% 24 % 36% 29% 35% 32% Unfavorable 26 47 6 21 31 21 27 19 18 Hvn't hrd enough 40 39 37 45 41 40 40 41 45 REFUSED 3 2 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Favorable 33% 13% 50% 33% 29 % 36% 29% 67% 37% Unfavorable 17 31 5 18 18 16 19 4 16 Hvn't hrd enough 45 52 40 42 47 43 48 28 39 REFUSED 5 4 4 7 6 4 5 1 8 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Favorable 32% 15% 52% 30% 26 % 39% 31% 35% Unfavorable 17 32 5 18 22 13 18 17 Hvn't hrd enough 47 52 42 48 49 46 48 44 REFUSED 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Favorable 31% 12% 49% 30% 25 % 37% 31% 30% Unfavorable 14 30 4 13 15 13 15 10 Hvn't hrd enough 50 56 42 53 54 47 50 56 REFUSED 4 2 5 4 6 3 4 4

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5. Is your opinion of -- Cindy McCain favorable, un favorable or haven't you heard enough about her? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Favorable 29% 43% 19% 24% 30 % 29% 30% 30% 18% Unfavorable 9 3 16 8 7 10 8 14 9 Hvn't hrd enough 58 51 60 63 58 57 57 54 67 REFUSED 4 3 5 5 5 4 5 3 7 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Favorable 24% 37% 18% 24% 26 % 23% 26% 15% 19% Unfavorable 9 1 14 10 9 9 8 15 12 Hvn't hrd enough 61 59 62 59 57 64 61 66 61 REFUSED 6 2 6 7 8 4 5 5 8 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Favorable 21% 32% 14% 21% 19 % 22% 21% 19% Unfavorable 8 2 15 8 9 8 8 13 Hvn't hrd enough 68 65 68 68 69 67 67 62 REFUSED 3 1 3 3 4 3 3 5 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Favorable 21% 32% 13% 21% 21 % 20% 22% 17% Unfavorable 9 2 18 6 8 9 8 9 Hvn't hrd enough 66 65 63 68 64 67 66 70 REFUSED 5 2 6 5 6 4 4 4 6. Who do you think better fits your idea of what a First Lady should be - Michelle Obama or Cindy McCain? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Michelle Obama 27% 4% 56% 26% 20 % 33% 25% 34% 31% Cindy McCain 37 67 9 32 43 32 41 25 31 DK/NA 36 29 35 42 37 35 34 42 38 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Michelle Obama 29% 7% 54% 25% 25 % 33% 24% 67% 34% Cindy McCain 28 56 9 26 31 25 32 4 21 DK/NA 43 37 37 49 45 41 44 29 45 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Michelle Obama 28% 6% 56% 19% 25 % 32% 26% 33% Cindy McCain 26 51 6 27 28 24 26 25 DK/NA 46 43 38 54 47 45 47 43 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Michelle Obama 29% 11% 48% 27% 24 % 33% 27% 30% Cindy McCain 28 54 10 26 32 24 29 24 DK/NA 43 35 42 47 43 43 45 46

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7. Which of the following will be the single most i mportant issue in your vote in the election for President this year?(READ OPTIONS) LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Terrorism 9% 18% 2% 6% 12 % 6% 9% 6% 8% The war in Iraq 17 12 23 15 17 17 16 21 18 The economy 48 43 50 53 44 50 48 44 41 Illegal immigration 11 15 5 10 14 8 11 12 17 Health care 10 7 14 9 8 11 9 12 11 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 4 4 4 4 3 5 4 1 3 DK/NA 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 5 1 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Terrorism 8% 17% 2% 8% 11 % 6% 9% 4% 7% The war in Iraq 13 10 17 12 11 16 14 12 12 The economy 59 57 63 58 57 61 58 63 62 Illegal immigration 5 6 2 5 6 3 5 2 4 Health care 9 7 12 8 9 9 8 15 9 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 3 3 1 5 4 3 3 2 2 DK/NA 3 1 2 3 3 2 3 2 4 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Terrorism 7% 16% 1% 7% 9 % 5% 8% 7% The war in Iraq 16 7 26 13 14 18 16 13 The economy 52 55 52 51 52 52 53 56 Illegal immigration 5 6 2 7 6 4 5 5 Health care 12 6 15 13 10 14 12 12 SOMETHING ELSE (VOL) 4 4 2 4 5 4 4 4 DK/NA 4 5 3 4 4 4 3 3 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Terrorism 6% 13% 1% 3% 8 % 4% 6% 3% The war in Iraq 16 12 21 15 18 15 16 16 The economy 54 49 55 59 56 52 55 58 Illegal immigration 5 10 3 4 4 6 5 6 Health care 12 10 12 13 7 16 11 11 SOMETHING ELSE(VOL) 4 4 3 3 4 3 4 4 DK/NA 3 1 4 3 2 4 3 2 8. If elected, John McCain would be the first perso n to become President at age 72 - Does that make you more likely to vote for McCain, less likely to vote for McCain, or doesn't it make a difference? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds More likely 2% 4% 2% 1% 3 % 1% 2% 2% 3% Less likely 23 7 37 26 22 23 23 20 17 Doesn't make diff 74 89 60 72 74 74 74 76 80 DK/NA 1 - 1 2 1 2 1 1 - Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds More likely 2% 2% 2% 3% 2 % 2% 3% 1% 1% Less likely 24 8 37 23 24 24 21 43 29 Doesn't make diff 73 89 60 72 72 73 75 55 69 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 - 1 Cont’d

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8. (cont’d) If elected, John McCain would be the fi rst person to become President at age 72 - Does that make you more likely to vote for McC ain, less likely to vote for McCain, or doesn't it make a difference? Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds More likely 2% 3% - 3% 3 % 1% 2% 1% Less likely 23 5 35 23 19 26 22 27 Doesn't make diff 74 91 64 73 78 71 75 71 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds More likely 2% 4% - 1% 1 % 2% 2% 1% Less likely 23 8 38 21 21 24 21 22 Doesn't make diff 75 87 61 77 78 72 77 76 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 2 1 1 9. If elected, Barack Obama would be the first Afri can-American President. Does that make you more likely to vote for Obama, less likely to v ote for Obama, or doesn't it make a difference? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds More likely 6% 2% 11% 5% 5 % 7% 6% 7% 5% Less likely 3 5 1 3 5 2 4 - 4 Doesn't make diff 90 92 86 92 90 90 90 92 91 DK/NA 1 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 - Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds More likely 5% 2% 10% 3% 6 % 4% 2% 24% 5% Less likely 5 7 4 4 6 5 5 3 5 Doesn't make diff 89 90 86 92 87 91 91 72 89 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds More likely 5% 3% 8% 4% 5 % 5% 4% 5% Less likely 3 4 3 4 3 3 3 1 Doesn't make diff 90 91 89 91 91 90 91 93 DK/NA 1 2 - 1 1 1 1 - Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds More likely 6% 3% 11% 4% 5 % 7% 4% 7% Less likely 4 6 3 3 5 3 4 4 Doesn't make diff 89 91 85 93 90 89 92 88 DK/NA 1 - 1 - - 1 - -

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10. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as President? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Approve 31% 62% 4% 22% 35 % 27% 33% 22% 25% Disapprove 62 26 94 70 57 66 59 73 72 DK/NA 7 12 1 8 8 7 7 5 3 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Approve 25% 59% 3% 22% 29 % 22% 28% 4% 19% Disapprove 69 34 95 71 67 70 65 93 77 DK/NA 6 7 1 7 4 8 7 3 4 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Approve 28% 67% 4% 22% 33 % 23% 28% 20% Disapprove 66 26 94 69 62 70 66 77 DK/NA 6 8 2 8 5 7 6 3 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Approve 26% 60% 4% 21% 30 % 22% 28% 21% Disapprove 68 33 94 72 64 71 66 72 DK/NA 6 7 3 7 6 7 6 7 11. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewha t dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Very satisfied 2% 4% - 1% 2 % 2% 2% 1% 2% Smwht satisfied 20 37 5 16 23 17 22 12 16 Smwht dissatisfied 33 40 28 31 33 33 33 36 31 Very dissatisfied 45 19 66 52 42 48 43 51 50 DK/NA - - - - - - - - 1 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Very satisfied 2% 3% 1% 2% 2 % 1% 2% 2% 1% Smwht satisfied 13 29 4 11 16 12 15 4 10 Smwht dissatisfied 34 47 26 31 32 36 35 26 31 Very dissatisfied 50 20 69 56 50 50 48 69 58 DK/NA 1 1 - - - 1 1 - - Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Very satisfied 2% 4% - 2% 2 % 1% 1% 2% Smwht satisfied 20 42 6 17 21 18 20 14 Smwht dissatisfied 32 40 26 32 31 34 33 32 Very dissatisfied 45 14 66 48 44 46 44 51 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Very satisfied 2% 4% 1% 2% 2 % 2% 2% 1% Smwht satisfied 16 36 3 13 19 13 17 15 Smwht dissatisfied 36 44 27 36 36 36 36 34 Very dissatisfied 45 16 67 48 42 48 44 50 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1

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12. Do you think going to war with Iraq was the rig ht thing for the United States to do or the wrong thing? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Right thing 41% 72% 10% 36% 47 % 36% 43% 34% 32% Wrong thing 54 21 84 60 48 58 51 61 64 DK/NA 6 7 5 4 5 6 6 5 4 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Right thing 33% 67% 5% 34% 37 % 30% 36% 7% 26% Wrong thing 58 25 88 57 57 60 54 88 69 DK/NA 9 8 6 9 6 10 9 5 6 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Right thing 37% 77% 10% 33% 43 % 31% 38% 31% Wrong thing 55 15 87 58 50 60 55 63 DK/NA 8 9 4 9 7 9 7 7 WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Right thing 35% 75% 12% 30% 46 % 27% 37% 31% Wrong thing 58 20 82 63 50 64 56 60 DK/NA 7 5 6 7 4 9 7 9 13. Regardless of how you intend to vote, what woul d you prefer the next president do about the war in Iraq? A) Begin immediately a withdrawal of American troop s with a fixed date to have them all out within 18 months. OR B) Keep troops in Iraq until the situation is more stable and then begin to withdraw them without a fixed date for full with drawal. LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds A) Begin immediate withdrawal /18 mos 37% 14% 65% 37% 28 % 44% 35% 44% 52% B) Stay until stable/ No fixed dates 57 83 28 56 66 49 59 53 44 DK/NA 6 3 7 7 6 7 6 3 4 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds A) Begin immediate withdrawal /18 mos 41% 15% 62% 40% 34 % 46% 37% 59% 46% B) Stay until stable/ No fixed dates 53 80 31 55 62 46 56 37 49 DK/NA 6 4 6 5 4 8 7 4 5 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds A) Begin immediate withdrawal/18 mos 38% 14% 58% 38% 35 % 41% 38% 41% B) Stay until stable/ No fixed dates 54 83 34 55 57 51 55 52 DK/NA 8 4 8 7 7 8 7 7 Cont’d

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13. (cont’d) Regardless of how you intend to vote, what would you prefer the next president do about the war in Iraq? A) Begin immediately a withdrawal of American troop s with a fixed date to have them all out within 18 months. OR B) Keep troops in Iraq until the situation is more stable and then begin to withdraw them without a fixed date for full with drawal. LIKELY VOTERS................. ......................... Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds A) Begin immediate withdrawal/18 mos 40% 14% 66% 38% 33 % 46% 37% 43% B) Stay until stable/ No fixed dates 54 84 27 55 64 46 57 50 DK/NA 6 1 8 7 3 8 5 7 14. Which best describes your family's financial si tuation - Getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Getting ahead 13% 15% 13% 12% 16 % 11% 13% 14% 14% Falling behind 20 13 25 22 18 22 19 25 21 Holding steady 66 72 62 64 65 66 67 61 65 DK/NA 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - - Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Getting ahead 11% 18% 10% 7% 14 % 9% 12% 11% 12% Falling behind 27 15 33 29 25 29 25 37 26 Holding steady 61 67 57 63 61 62 63 52 62 DK/NA - - - - - 1 1 - - Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Getting ahead 14% 21% 8% 12% 15 % 12% 13% 15% Falling behind 24 13 32 23 21 26 24 26 Holding steady 62 65 59 63 63 61 62 59 DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 - Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Getting ahead 10% 16% 7% 7% 13 % 7% 10% 9% Falling behind 25 13 32 27 22 28 24 24 Holding steady 64 70 61 65 65 64 66 67 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 1

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15. As you think about your own financial situation , which of the following economic issues worries you the most right now -- A ) declining retirement fund values, B) declining real estate values, C) ri sing health care costs D) rising gasoline prices, or E) rising food prices ? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds A) Retirement funds 10% 10% 10% 10% 9 % 10% 10% 10% 9% B) Real estate val 9 10 11 7 10 8 10 9 17 C) Health care cost 20 12 25 22 22 18 20 17 22 D) Gasoline prices 42 50 36 41 42 43 42 49 40 E) Food prices 13 11 14 14 10 16 14 10 9 DK/NA 6 6 5 6 6 6 5 6 3 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds A) Retirement funds 12% 13% 13% 10% 13 % 11% 13% 6% 13% B) Real estate val 12 14 9 13 14 10 13 6 12 C) Health care cost 18 15 21 18 15 20 17 23 17 D) Gasoline prices 43 44 43 42 44 43 41 52 44 E) Food prices 10 10 10 10 8 12 11 9 8 DK/NA 5 5 4 6 6 5 5 4 5 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds A) Retirement funds 10% 10% 8% 10% 10 % 10% 10% 12% B) Real estate val 10 17 7 9 11 9 10 11 C) Health care cost 22 19 25 22 20 24 22 21 D) Gasoline prices 39 42 39 37 39 39 39 36 E) Food prices 13 7 16 13 13 12 13 13 DK/NA 6 5 4 9 8 5 6 7 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Retirement funds 12% 14% 13% 11% 12 % 13% 12% 16% Real estate val 5 4 4 5 6 4 4 1 Health care cost 23 18 25 23 24 21 23 23 Gasoline prices 42 51 36 42 41 42 41 46 Food prices 15 13 17 14 13 16 14 10 DK/NA 4 1 5 6 4 4 4 4 15x. As you may know, there is a proposed state con stitutional amendment on the November ballot. It says that the state shall not d iscriminate against or grant preferential treatment to any group or individual o n the basis of race, sex, color, ethnicity, or national origin in the operati on of public employment, public contracting, or public education. Do you thi nk that you will vote for or against this state constitutional amendment? (CO on ly) LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds For 68% 64% 71% 71% 66 % 70% 67% 74% 67% Against 15 17 15 12 17 13 15 13 13 DK/NA 17 19 14 17 17 18 18 12 20

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16. To help solve the energy crisis and make Americ a less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Building new nuclear power plan ts? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Support 58% 73% 39% 60% 79 % 40% 60% 52% 67% Oppose 34 20 52 33 18 49 32 38 30 DK/NA 8 8 8 7 3 12 8 10 3 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Support 58% 71% 47% 63% 73 % 46% 62% 31% 58% Oppose 31 19 39 30 22 38 27 53 32 DK/NA 11 10 13 7 4 17 10 16 10 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Support 59% 70% 46% 63% 73 % 45% 60% 63% Oppose 30 21 43 25 22 39 29 28 DK/NA 11 10 11 12 5 16 11 8 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Support 56% 75% 42% 56% 75 % 41% 57% 59% Oppose 33 19 46 33 20 45 32 35 DK/NA 10 6 12 11 5 15 11 6 16b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q16 AND Q16a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America le ss dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Building new nuclea r power plants? (If support q16)Previously, did you oppose building new nuclear power plants? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Always support 48% 66% 30% 47% 67 % 32% 51% 37% 48% Support now 10 6 9 13 12 8 9 15 19 Oppose 34 20 52 33 18 49 32 38 30 DK/NA 8 8 8 7 3 12 8 10 3 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Always support 51% 64% 39% 54% 66 % 38% 54% 27% 49% Support now 8 7 8 8 7 8 9 4 9 Oppose 31 19 39 30 22 38 27 53 32 DK/NA 11 10 13 7 4 17 10 16 10 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Always support 50% 64% 36% 54% 64 % 37% 52% 52% Support now 8 6 10 9 9 8 8 11 Oppose 30 21 43 25 22 39 29 28 DK/NA 11 10 11 12 5 16 11 8 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Always support 48% 68% 32% 49% 65 % 34% 49% 52% Support now 8 7 9 7 9 7 8 8 Oppose 33 19 46 33 20 45 32 35 DK/NA 10 6 12 11 5 15 11 6

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17. To help solve the energy crisis and make Americ a less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil supplies i n currently protected areas off shore? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Support 59% 82% 34% 57% 67 % 51% 59% 61% 55% Oppose 37 15 60 40 32 42 37 35 41 DK/NA 4 3 5 4 2 7 4 4 3 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Support 63% 86% 45% 62% 67 % 59% 65% 45% 57% Oppose 32 10 48 34 30 33 30 46 38 DK/NA 5 3 7 4 2 8 5 9 6 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Support 59% 86% 40% 60% 64 % 55% 61% 57% Oppose 34 12 51 33 31 37 33 37 DK/NA 7 2 8 7 5 8 6 6 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Support 59% 80% 38% 61% 67 % 52% 59% 57% Oppose 34 16 54 33 31 37 34 38 DK/NA 7 4 8 6 2 11 7 4 17b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q17 AND Q17a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America le ss dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil supplies i n currently protected areas off shore? (If support q17) Previously, did you oppose drillin g for new oil supplies in currently protected areas off shore? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Always support 50% 71% 27% 48% 58 % 43% 50% 48% 48% Support now 9 11 7 8 9 8 9 12 8 Oppose 37 15 60 40 32 42 37 35 41 DK/NA 4 3 5 4 2 7 4 4 3 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Always support 52% 74% 37% 50% 55 % 50% 54% 40% 45% Support now 11 13 8 12 12 9 11 5 12 Oppose 32 10 48 34 30 33 30 46 38 DK/NA 5 3 7 4 2 8 5 9 6 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Always support 51% 77% 34% 49% 56 % 46% 52% 46% Support now 9 10 6 11 8 9 9 11 Oppose 34 12 51 33 31 37 33 37 DK/NA 7 2 8 7 5 8 6 6 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Always support 50% 69% 29% 54% 59 % 43% 51% 49% Support now 9 10 9 7 8 9 8 8 Oppose 34 16 54 33 31 37 34 38 DK/NA 7 4 8 6 2 11 7 4

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18. To help solve the energy crisis and make Americ a less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil in the Ala skan national wildlife refuge? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Support 52% 75% 25% 52% 63 % 42% 54% 45% 53% Oppose 44 22 70 44 35 52 42 51 42 DK/NA 4 3 5 4 2 6 4 5 5 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Support 53% 75% 40% 52% 61 % 47% 55% 38% 54% Oppose 41 19 54 44 37 45 40 52 42 DK/NA 6 6 6 4 3 8 5 10 4 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Support 51% 78% 30% 53% 55 % 47% 52% 51% Oppose 44 17 65 42 42 46 43 45 DK/NA 5 5 5 5 4 7 5 3 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Support 51% 73% 30% 53% 64 % 40% 52% 51% Oppose 43 22 64 43 35 50 43 46 DK/NA 6 5 6 4 1 10 6 3 18b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q18 AND Q18a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America le ss dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Drilling for new oil in the Alaskan nat ional wildlife refuge? (If support q18) Previously, did you oppose drilling for new oil in the Alaskan national wildlife refuge? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Always support 44% 67% 20% 41% 54 % 34% 46% 33% 43% Support now 8 9 5 11 9 8 8 12 10 Oppose 44 22 70 44 35 52 42 51 42 DK/NA 4 3 5 4 2 6 4 5 5 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Always support 44% 67% 29% 42% 49 % 39% 45% 33% 41% Support now 10 9 11 10 12 8 10 5 13 Oppose 41 19 54 44 37 45 40 52 42 DK/NA 6 6 6 4 3 8 5 10 4 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Always support 43% 69% 25% 44% 48 % 38% 44% 42% Support now 8 10 5 9 7 9 8 9 Oppose 44 17 65 42 42 46 43 45 DK/NA 5 5 5 5 4 7 5 3 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Always support 42% 64% 21% 46% 53 % 33% 43% 43% Support now 9 9 9 7 10 7 9 8 Oppose 43 22 64 43 35 50 43 46 DK/NA 6 5 6 4 1 10 6 3

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19. To help solve the energy crisis and make Americ a less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - A government funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Support 86% 78% 94% 89% 80 % 91% 86% 89% 88% Oppose 12 20 5 10 18 7 13 8 12 DK/NA 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 - Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Support 86% 79% 90% 86% 83 % 87% 87% 74% 89% Oppose 11 16 7 10 14 9 10 16 9 DK/NA 4 4 4 3 3 4 3 9 2 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Support 88% 77% 96% 90% 86 % 89% 88% 89% Oppose 10 21 3 8 12 9 10 9 DK/NA 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Support 88% 80% 95% 87% 83 % 91% 88% 91% Oppose 9 17 2 11 14 5 9 8 DK/NA 3 3 3 2 3 4 3 1 19b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q19 AND Q19a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America le ss dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - A government funded program to develop ren ewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels? (If support q19)Previously, did you oppose a government funded program to develop renewable energy sources like solar power, wind power and biofuels? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Always support 79% 71% 87% 84% 76 % 83% 80% 80% 83% Support now 6 7 7 5 5 8 6 10 5 Oppose 12 20 5 10 18 7 13 8 12 DK/NA 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 - Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Always support 81% 75% 85% 82% 78 % 83% 82% 71% 81% Support now 5 5 5 5 6 4 5 3 8 Oppose 11 16 7 10 14 9 10 16 9 DK/NA 4 4 4 3 3 4 3 9 2 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Always support 82% 72% 90% 83% 79 % 85% 82% 84% Support now 6 6 5 6 7 5 6 4 Oppose 10 21 3 8 12 9 10 9 DK/NA 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Always support 83% 73% 91% 82% 80 % 85% 83% 86% Support now 5 6 4 5 4 6 5 5 Oppose 9 17 2 11 14 5 9 8 DK/NA 3 3 3 2 3 4 3 1

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20. To help solve the energy crisis and make Americ a less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Releasing oil from the Strategic Petrol eum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Support 42% 42% 50% 38% 37 % 46% 41% 48% 43% Oppose 49 52 38 54 59 40 51 43 50 DK/NA 9 6 11 8 4 13 8 9 7 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Support 53% 47% 59% 50% 49 % 55% 52% 56% 55% Oppose 39 44 33 42 46 33 39 35 38 DK/NA 8 9 7 8 4 12 9 9 7 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Support 45% 41% 47% 47% 39 % 50% 45% 46% Oppose 46 53 40 45 55 37 45 49 DK/NA 9 6 13 9 6 13 10 5 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Support 47% 42% 55% 45% 38 % 55% 46% 49% Oppose 43 53 32 47 58 31 45 43 DK/NA 10 5 13 8 4 15 9 8

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20b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q20 AND Q20a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America le ss dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's stockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages? (If support q2 0)Previously, did you oppose releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the government's s tockpile of oil set aside for emergencies and shortages? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Always support 35% 34% 41% 32% 30 % 39% 34% 38% 35% Support now 7 7 9 6 7 8 7 10 8 Oppose 49 52 38 54 59 40 51 43 50 DK/NA 9 6 11 8 4 13 8 9 7 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Always support 44% 38% 50% 43% 39 % 48% 43% 50% 46% Support now 9 9 10 7 10 7 9 7 9 Oppose 39 44 33 42 46 33 39 35 38 DK/NA 8 9 7 8 4 12 9 9 7 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Always support 38% 36% 41% 37% 32 % 43% 38% 37% Support now 7 5 6 9 7 7 7 9 Oppose 46 53 40 45 55 37 45 49 DK/NA 9 6 13 9 6 13 10 5 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Always support 41% 35% 49% 40% 32 % 49% 40% 46% Support now 6 8 6 5 6 6 6 3 Oppose 43 53 32 47 58 31 45 43 DK/NA 10 5 13 8 4 15 9 8

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21. To help solve the energy crisis and make Americ a less dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Mandating higher mi leage standards for cars? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Support 72% 60% 83% 76% 68 % 75% 72% 68% 73% Oppose 23 35 12 19 29 18 23 25 23 DK/NA 5 5 4 4 3 7 5 7 3 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Support 72% 62% 77% 73% 71 % 72% 74% 56% 75% Oppose 23 33 17 22 27 20 22 35 22 DK/NA 5 5 6 5 2 8 5 9 4 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Support 79% 67% 86% 82% 79 % 78% 80% 80% Oppose 17 30 10 13 17 17 16 17 DK/NA 4 3 4 5 4 5 4 4 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Support 78% 75% 87% 74% 77 % 79% 79% 83% Oppose 17 22 9 21 21 14 17 13 DK/NA 4 3 4 5 2 7 4 4 21b. (COMBINED RESULTS Q21 AND Q21a) To help solve the energy crisis and make America le ss dependent on foreign oil, do you support or oppose - Mandating higher mileage standards for cars? (If support q21)Previously, did you oppose mandating higher mileage standards for cars? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Always support 67% 54% 79% 71% 63 % 71% 67% 67% 70% Support now 5 5 4 5 5 4 6 1 3 Opposed 23 35 12 19 29 18 23 25 23 DK/NA 5 5 4 4 3 7 5 7 3 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Always support 65% 57% 69% 66% 61 % 68% 67% 51% 66% Support now 7 6 8 7 10 5 7 6 8 Opposed 23 33 17 22 27 20 22 35 22 DK/NA 5 5 6 5 2 8 5 9 4 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Always support 73% 62% 79% 75% 73 % 73% 74% 76% Support now 6 5 6 7 6 5 6 4 Opposed 17 30 10 13 17 17 16 17 DK/NA 4 3 4 5 4 5 4 4 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Always support 73% 68% 79% 70% 73 % 72% 74% 79% Support now 6 7 8 4 5 7 6 4 Opposed 17 22 9 21 21 14 17 13 DK/NA 4 3 4 5 2 7 4 4

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22. Which is the best way to help solve the energy crisis and make America less dependent on foreign oil - A) building new nuclear power plants, B) drilling offshore and in Alaska, C) developing renewable energy sources like solar p ower, wind power and biofuels, D) releasing oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve or E) mand ating higher mileage standards for cars? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds A) Nuclear power 9% 11% 7% 8% 13 % 4% 9% 7% 13% B) Drilling 21 37 8 17 27 16 22 21 21 C) Renewable energy 54 36 70 58 45 62 54 56 57 D) Strategic Reserve 4 4 5 3 3 5 3 10 2 E) High milage cars 5 4 7 6 5 6 5 2 3 DK/NA 7 9 4 7 8 6 6 3 5 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds A) Nuclear power 7% 8% 6% 8% 11 % 4% 7% 8% 6% B) Drilling 18 35 8 17 21 16 19 16 16 C) Renewable energy 56 40 62 59 49 61 57 46 59 D) Strategic Reserve 7 4 12 4 6 7 5 16 7 E) High mileage cars 6 5 5 6 6 5 6 5 6 DK/NA 7 6 7 5 7 6 6 9 6 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds A) Nuclear power 8% 11% 4% 9% 12 % 3% 8% 10% B) Drilling 18 36 7 15 20 16 18 16 C) Renewable energy 56 39 69 55 53 59 57 59 D) Strategic Reserve 3 2 4 2 1 5 3 3 E) High mileage cars 9 7 10 11 8 11 9 8 DK/NA 6 4 6 7 6 7 6 5 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds A) Nuclear power 7% 13% 2% 8% 13 % 2% 8% 10% B) Drilling 6 30 7 13 19 12 15 11 C) Renewable energy 59 45 75 58 51 67 60 63 D) Strategic Reserve 4 3 3 4 2 5 3 3 E) High mileage cars 8 7 9 9 10 8 8 7 DK/NA 6 3 4 8 5 6 6 5

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23. Regardless of whom you support, which candidate for President - Barack Obama or John McCain - has the best program for helping solve the energy c risis and making America less dependent on foreign oil? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Obama 33% 7% 62% 36% 28 % 38% 32% 40% 37% McCain 33 60 6 28 40 26 35 26 25 DK/NA 34 34 32 35 32 35 34 34 38 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Obama 35% 6% 60% 33% 32 % 37% 30% 66% 41% McCain 28 57 8 29 37 21 32 3 26 DK/NA 37 37 32 38 31 42 38 31 33 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Obama 34% 7% 58% 31% 32 % 35% 33% 39% McCain 26 48 5 30 32 20 27 26 DK/NA 40 45 36 39 36 45 41 35 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Obama 34% 9% 64% 30% 32 % 37% 33% 39% McCain 29 62 6 25 39 21 30 26 DK/NA 37 28 30 45 30 42 37 36 24. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, w ould you rather the new president - Focus more on development of new source s of oil, natural gas, or nuclear power which some say could be a risk to the environment or Focus more on wind, solar, and biofuels, which some say could take longer to produce significant amounts of energy? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Oil/Gas/Nuclear 36% 55% 18% 32% 47 % 26% 37% 34% 33% Wind/Solar/Bio 55 36 76 58 45 65 55 56 63 DK/NA 9 10 5 10 8 9 8 10 4 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Oil/Gas/Nuclear 33% 51% 22% 33% 41 % 27% 33% 33% 27% Wind/Solar/Bio 58 40 70 60 52 64 59 54 66 DK/NA 8 9 8 7 7 9 8 13 7 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Oil/Gas/Nuclear 31% 55% 17% 29% 37 % 26% 31% 31% Wind/Solar/Bio 61 39 77 61 54 68 61 62 DK/NA 8 6 6 10 9 7 8 6 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Oil/Gas/Nuclear 32% 47% 18% 33% 44 % 21% 32% 34% Wind/Solar/Bio 62 49 77 60 51 73 61 62 DK/NA 6 4 5 7 5 7 6 4

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25. Regarding the upcoming presidential election, w ould you rather the new president - Focus more on development of new sources of oil and natural ga s or Focus more on conserving energy? LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Oil/Gas 44% 60% 32% 39% 49 % 39% 44% 40% 39% Conserving energy 49 34 64 53 43 55 49 55 57 DK/NA 7 6 4 9 7 6 7 5 4 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Oil/Gas 44% 58% 38% 41% 45 % 43% 44% 39% 48% Conserving energy 49 35 56 52 48 49 49 53 47 DK/NA 7 7 6 7 7 8 7 8 5 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Oil/Gas 42% 59% 28% 40% 47 % 36% 41% 35% Conserving energy 52 35 66 54 48 57 53 59 DK/NA 6 6 5 7 5 7 6 5 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Oil/Gas 40% 53% 29% 38% 44 % 35% 39% 37% Conserving energy 54 39 66 56 52 56 54 57 DK/NA 7 8 6 6 4 9 7 7 26. Which is more important to you when you decide how to vote for President - A candidate's position on energy policy or A candidate's position on the war in Iraq LIKELY VOTERS................. ................................ Union CO Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht His HsHlds Energy policy 50% 46% 51% 54% 53 % 47% 52% 38% 50% War in Iraq 39 42 39 37 38 39 37 51 41 DK/NA 12 12 11 9 9 14 11 11 9 Union MI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht Blk HsHlds Energy policy 50% 48% 54% 49% 55 % 46% 51% 49% 52% War in Iraq 40 43 39 40 36 44 39 45 40 DK/NA 10 9 7 11 8 10 10 6 8 Union MN Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Energy policy 49% 53% 42% 52% 51 % 46% 49% 45% War in Iraq 41 38 48 38 39 42 41 45 DK/NA 11 9 10 10 9 12 11 11 Union WI Tot Rep Dem Ind Me n Wom Wht HsHlds Energy policy 52% 52% 46% 57% 54 % 50% 53% 53% War in Iraq 41 43 47 36 41 41 41 40 DK/NA 7 5 7 8 6 8 7 7