May15 Corporate Finance - Agribusiness Menu v1.0 · · 2015-07-28Industries/Saudia Dairy &...
Transcript of May15 Corporate Finance - Agribusiness Menu v1.0 · · 2015-07-28Industries/Saudia Dairy &...
Deal Activity
Global Agribusiness
May 2015
Deals
1 Agribusiness News & Multiples 1
2 Markets Update 6
PageSection Overview
Table of Contents
PwC
May 2015
AgribusinessNews &Multiples
1
Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
PwC
May 2015
Section 1 – Agribusiness News & Multiples
2Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
DairyRed MeatPork
Transaction multiples (EV/EBITDA)
Bidder/Target 1: Pershing Square Capital/Mondelez, 2: Groupe Lactalis/Lactalis Puleva, 3:Pepsi-Cola/Wimm-Bill-Dann Food, 4: Bank Hapoalim/Parmalat, 5: Société pour leFinancement de l'Industrie Laitière/Parmalat, 6: Suntory/Cerebos Pacific, 7: SavolaGroup/Almarai , 8: Trian Fund Management/ Danone, 9: Saputo Cheese Morningstar Foods,10: Prominent Achiever / China Mengniu Dairy Co., 11: China Mengniu Dairy Co./YashiliInternational, 12: FB Participações/Vigor Alimentos, 13: Qurain PetrochemicalIndustries/Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff, 14: First Pacific & Wilmar International /GoodmanFielder, 15: Qurain Petrochemical Industries/Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff.16: QurainPetrochemical Industries/Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff.17: First Pacific Company / GoofmanFielder Ltd. 18: Warrnambool Cheese and Butter / Lion Dairy & Drinks, Everyday cheesebusiness.
Trading multiples (EV/EBITDA)
Dairy
M&A News
Egypt: Arla Foods and Eygpt’s largest dairy company,Juhayna Food Industries, have agreed to form a JV tosell Arla Products in Egypt.
Brazil: BRF have been given the final go-ahead toacquire Lactalis from Brazil’s competition authority.
Vietnam: Vinamilk is rumoured to be in talks toacquire several European dairy operations.
Management News
US: The Michigan Milk Producers Association hasappointed Josep Barenys as CFO.
Australia: Brownes’ has appointed Tony Girgis asCEO & Managing Director.
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Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15
Red Meat
M&A News
Denmark: Finnish meat products manufacturer Atriato acquire Aalbaek Specialiteter, one of Europe's largestmanufacturers of organic meat products.
France: German retailer Metro has placed a bid toacquire Classic Fine Foods, in a deal that is potentiallyworth US$400m.
Australia: Chongqing Hondo Agriculture Group plansto acquire US$100m of Australian cattle stations overthe next year.
Management News:
Australia: Meat & Livestock Australia are on thesearch for three new non-executive board members.
Bidder/Target 1: West Face Capital/Maple Leaf Foods, 2: Boparan Holdings/Northern Foods,3: NA/Astarta Holding, 4: Leucadia/National Beef Packing, 5: TMK Holding/ National BeefPacking, 6: NA/Zhongpin, 7: Henan Shineway/Smithfield Foods, 8: DarlingIngredients/VION Ingredients, 9: NA/People's Food Holdings, 10: SigmaAlimentos/Campofrio Food Group, 11: L Sigma Alimentos/Campofrio Food Group, 12: JBSS.A , 13: Condorcet Opportunity / Campofrio Food Group, 14: Tyson Foods / The HillshireBrands, 15: Nutresa / Aldage. 16: H. J Heinz Holding Corp / Kraft Foods Group.
Trading multiples (EV/EBITDA)Transaction multiples (EV/EBITDA)
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15.0x
20.0x
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Aug-10 Aug-11 Aug-12 Aug-13 Aug-14
Sources: S&P Capital IQ, Factiva, PwC research
Nestlé S.A.
Unilev er plc
Unilev er NV
Mondelez International, Inc.
Danone
Kraft Foods Group, Inc.
General Mills, Inc.
Mead Johnson Nutrition Com pany
Keurig Green Mountain, Inc.
Want Want China Holdings Ltd.
Median
Average
Associated British Foods plc
Kraft Foods Group, Inc.
BRF S.A.
Ty son Foods, Inc.
Henan Shuanghui Inv estm ent &
Kerry Group plc
Horm el Foods Corporation
JBS S.A.
Uni-President Enterprises Corporation
Univ ersal Robina Corporation
Median
Average
Pork
M&A News
Russia: The Russian government has announced aplan to invest US$11 bn to expand domestic agriculturalindustries over the next five years, with about a third ofthis directed at meat producers.
UK: The CMA has provisionally approved Pork Farmsacquisition of savoury pastry business from KerryFoods. Bidder/Target 1:Talleys Group/ AFFCO Holdings, 2: Premium Brings Holdings /
Piller Sausages & Delicatessens, 3: Harim Holdings/ Sunjin Holdings Co. 4: LBO /Zhongpin Inc. 5: Mitsubishi Corp / Yonekyu Corp. 6: Henan Shineway IndustryGroup / Smithfield Foods Inc. 7: LBO / People’s Food Holdings Ltd. 8: SigmaAlimentos / Campofrio Food Group, SA. 9: JBS Australia Pty / P&M Smallgoods Pty
Transaction multiples (EV/EBITDA) Trading multiples (EV/EBITDA)
Seaboard Corp.
BRF S.A.
Marudai Food Co., Ltd.
Kraft Foods Group, Inc.
Shandong Longda Meat Foodstuff Co., Ltd.
Shandong Delisi Food Co., Ltd.
SunJin Co., Ltd.
China Putian Food Holding Lim ited
WH Group Lim ited
Median
Average
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5.0x
10.0x
15.0x
20.0x
25.0x
Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14
1Yr Lgd 1Yr Fwd
1 4.2x 1 4.3x
1 2.6x 1 3.6x
1 3 .9x 1 3.3x
1 6.4x 1 5.1 x
1 4.0x 1 2.3x
24.9x 1 5.8x
1 3 .8x 1 2.4x
1 8.7 x 1 6.4x
1 2.0x 1 1 .8x
1 5.9x 1 3.7 x
14.1x 13.6x
15.6x 13.9x
1Yr Lgd 1Yr Fwd
1 5.5x 1 5.3 x
24.9x 1 5.8x
1 3 .8x 1 1 .2x
1 1 .1 x 7 .6x
1 6.1 x 1 3 .4x
1 8.1 x 1 6.2x
1 3 .4x 1 2 .8x
8.0x 6.0x
1 2.1 x 1 0.2x
23 .6x 1 7 .6x
14.6x 13.1x
15.7x 12.6x
1Yr Lgd 1Yr Fwd
6.7 x n.a.
1 3 .8x 1 1 .2x
7 .1 x n.a.
24.9x 1 5.8x
50.8x n.a.
89.3x n.a.
1 1 .7 x n.a.
1 0.2x n.a.
6 .0x 7 .7 x
11.7x 11.2x
24.5x 11.6x
PwC
May 2015
PoultryGrain & BeansFruit, Vegetables & Nuts
Section 1 – Agribusiness News & Multiples
3Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
Grains & Beans
M&A News
Switzerland: Syngenta rejected Monsanto's US$45 bnbid saying it significantly undervalued the company. Ifsuccessful, Monsanto is prepared to address regulatoryconcerns by divesting of Syngenta’s seed business.
UK: BP has sold its 47% stake in Vivergo Fuels toAssociated British Foods (ABF).
Transaction multiples (EV/EBITDA) Trading multiples (EV/EBITDA)
Bidder/Target 1: GrainCorp. / GrainCorp Malt, 2: Tradewinds Malaysia / PadiberasNasional Bhd, 3: Felda Global Ventures / Tradewinds Malaysia, 4: NA/ Kernel Holding, 5:PT Salim Ivomas Pratama / PT Perusahaan Perkebunan London Sumatra, 6: PT BakrieSumatera Plantations / Agri International Resources, 7: Vertical Capacity / IOI Corp., 8:Seaport Terminal (Johor), Acara Kreatif Sdn, Kelana Ventures/Padiberas Nasional, 9:Seaport Terminal (Johor), Acara Kreatif Sdn, Kelana Ventures / Tradewinds Malaysia , 10:Bollore/ Plantations Des Terres Rouges, 11: Seaport Terminal (Johor), Acara Kreatif Sdn,Kelana Ventures / Padiberas Nasional Bhd, 12: , PT Krishna Kapital/ PT Dharma SatyaNusantara. 13: SPC Kappa Co / Kappa Create Holdings Co. 14: Post Holdings / MOMBrands Company.
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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
Wilmar International Lim ited
Bunge Limited
IOI Corp.Bhd
Kuala Lumpur Kepong Berhad
Golden Agri-Resources Ltd
PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk
First Resources Limited
Genting Plantations Berhad
KWS Saat SE
Median
Average
Poultry
M&A News
UK: BRF has entered into a JV with INVICTA FoodGroup to supply meat and poultry products in UK andNordic countries.
Management News
No relevant news.
Bidder/Target 1: Old Mutual Investment Group / Sovereign Food Investment , 2: WestFace Capital / Maple Leaf Foods, 3: EASY BIO & FarmStory / Maniker Co., 4: CherrybroCo ., 5: Sadia Alimentos / Avex S.A., 6: PT Japfa Comfeed / PT Multibreeder Adirama, 7:The Chefs' Warehouse Mid-Atlantic / Michael's Finer Meats & Seafoods, 8: Savola Group /Almarai, 9: Mitsubishi / Yonekyu, 10: Bellisio Foods / Overhill Farms.
Transaction multiples (EV/EBITDA) Trading multiples (EV/EBITDA)
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BRF S.A.
Ty son Foods, Inc.
Campbell Soup Company
Alm arai - Joint Stock Com pany
JBS S.A.
Uni-President Enterprises Corporation
Univ ersal Robina Corporation
Pilgrim 's Pride Corporation
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Co. Ltd.
PPB Group Berhad
Median
Average
Trading multiples (EV/EBITDA)
Bidder/Target 1: Eco-Trade Corp/YaSheng Group, 2: Bonduelle SA/France Champignon, 3:Inversiones Frutícolas / Copefrut, 4: ITOCHU/ Dole, Worldwide Packaged Foods and AsiaFresh Produce Businesses, 5: Dramd Participações e Administração / Rasip Agro Pastoril, 6:Golden Target Pacific / Camposol Holding, 7: Almarai / Continental Farmers Group, 8:Walden International / Le Gaga Holding, 9: D&C Group/ Camposol Holding, 10: GrupoNutresa/ Setas Colombianas, 11: D&C Group/ Camposol Holding, 12: Valles Del Sur/Hortifrut S.A., 13: Arlon Group/ Alico Inc., 14: FMR Rentas Generales/ Fruticola VicontoS.A., 15: D&C Group/ Camposol Holding, 16: Property & Building Corp./ Mehadrin, 17: NA/Hortifrut. 18: Sucocitrico Cutrale Ltda / Chiquita Brands.
Fruit, Vegetables & Nuts
M&A News
UK: The Society of Growers of Topfruit (SGT), FruitGrowers Alliance (FGA) and Norman Collett havecombined to form Avalon Produce Ltd (APL).
Belgium: The merger of Greenyard Foods, UNIVEG,and Peatinvest has been finalised, subject to regulatoryapproval. A partial private placement is possible.
Management News
Europe: Steven Libermann has been appointed asCEO of Findus Southern Europe.
Transaction multiples (EV/EBITDA)
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Aug-09 Aug-10 Aug-11 Aug-12 Aug-13 Aug-14
Felda Global Ventures Holdings Berhad
PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk
KWS Saat SE
Gansu Yasheng Industrial (Group) Co.,
United Plantations Bhd
Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc.
Kulim (Malay sia) Berhad
Select Harv ests Limited
Sarawak Oil Palms Bhd
Kav eri Seed Company Limited
Median
Average
1Yr Lgd 1Yr Fwd
1 3 .8x 1 1 .2x
1 1 .1 x 7 .6x
1 2.4x 1 1 .9x
21 .6x 1 7 .0x
8.0x 6.0x
1 2.1 x 1 0.2x
23.6x 1 7 .6x
5.6x 5.3 x
1 3 .2x 1 3 .6x
56.4x 39.8x
12.8x 11.5x
17.8x 14.0x
1Yr Lgd 1Yr Fwd
1 2 .1 x 1 2 .5x
1 0.5x 1 0.1 x
1 2.2x 1 1 .6x
60.9x 22.2x
1 2.6x n.a.
8.9x 9.0x
22.3x 21 .8x
26.8x 1 0.6x
8.9x 8.0x
1 8.1 x 1 5.8x
12.4x 11.6x
19.3x 13.5x
1Yr Lgd 1Yr Fwd
1 0.1 x 9.4x
1 5.0x 1 3 .6x
1 0.4x 7 .9x
1 5.9x 1 5.6x
1 5.5x 1 4.6x
1 3 .9x 1 1 .0x
1 0.5x 1 0.1 x
9.6x 9.6x
1 4.0x 1 4.9x
1 2.2x 1 1 .6x
13.0x 11.3x
12.7x 11.9x
PwC
May 2015
Forestry & LandscapingFertiliser & Agricultural Chemicals
Section 1 – Agribusiness News & Multiples
4Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
Transaction multiples (EV/EBITDA)
Bidder/Target 1: Placas do Parana /Arauco do Brasil, 2: FV S.A./Fiplasto S.A., 3:Meerwind/Rörvik Timber, 4: BC Investment management / Timber West ForestCorp, 5: LIXIL Group/Hivic Co., 6: Viking Investments Group/China Wood, 7:Viking Investments Group/China Wood, 8: Brookfield Asset Management / WesternForest Products, 9: Samling Strategic / Samling Global, 10: Samling Global / LinguiDevelopments, 11: Mill Road Capital / PRT Growing Service, 12: Rentech /FulghumFibres, 13: Weyerhaeuser / Longview Timber, 14: Boise Cascade Wood Products /Chester Wood & Moncure Plywood, 15: Louisiana-Pacific / Ainsworth Lumber, 16:Interfor / Tolleson Lumber, 17: Rentech / New England Wood.
Trading multiples (EV/EBITDA)
Forestry & Landscaping
M&A News
No relevant news.
Management News
US: The Ohio Nursery and Landscape AssociationExecutive Director Kevin Thompson resigned.
The National Association of Landscape Professionalsappointed Scott Jamieson President of the Board ofDirectors.
Canada: Mark Bishop replaced Reid Carter asAcadian’s President and CEO.
Sources: S&P Capital IQ, Factiva, PwC research
Fertiliser & Agricultural Chemicals
M&A News
US: Boulevard Acquisition Corp is buying DowChemical Company’s AgroFresh unit for up toUS$860m. Dow Chemical is reportedly seeking todivest of between $7 bn and $8.5 bn in assets by mid-2016.
Alltech to acquire 100% of the outstanding stock ofRidley Inc. for US$424m. The transaction is subject toapproval by Ridley shareholders, regulatory review, andother closing conditions.
Denmark: FMC Corporation acquisition ofCheminova A/S has closed after FMC satisfied allconditions and regulatory approvals. The purchaseprice was approximately US$1.8 bn.
Management News
Australia: Ruralco’s Chief Executive and CFO haveboth resigned in the space of three days. Ruralco is nowlooking for their eighth CFO in nine years.
US: FMC Corp announced Jamie Gomez-Arnau as VicePresident of Agricultural Solutions in Europe, MiddleEast, and Africa.
Wayne T. Smith was announced Chairman and CEO ofBASF Corporation.
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25.0x
Aug-09 Aug-10 Aug-11 Aug-12 Aug-13 Aug-14
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5.0x
10.0x
15.0x
20.0x
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30.0x
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Aug-09 Aug-10 Aug-11 Aug-12 Aug-13
Transaction multiples (EV/EBITDA)
Monsanto Com pany
Sy ngenta AG
Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan, Inc.
The Mosaic Company
Saudi Arabian Fertilizer Company
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
Agrium Inc.
Yara International ASA
Israel Chem icals Ltd.
Public Joint Stock Com pany Uralkali
Median
Average
Trading multiples (EV/EBITDA)
Bidder/Target 1: Koor Industries/ADAMA , 2: CF Industries/Terra Industries, 3: ChinaNational Chemical / ADAMA, 4: Uralkali /Silvinit, 5: Sumitomo Chemical / Nufarm, 6:Mineracao Naque/ Vale Fertilizantes, 7: Menoza Trading / OJSC PhosAgro, 8: CJSCHolding / SBU Azot, 8: EuroChem/K+S Aktiengesellschaft, 10: YoungorInvestment/Kingenta Ecologic Engineering, 11: Norica /Grupa Azoty, 12: Grupa AzotySpólka Akcyjna/Zaklady Azotowe Pulawy Spolka Akcyjna, 13: ADAMA /Hubei SanondaCo., 14: Jiang Yin Hanying/Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals, 15: YaraInternational/OFD Holding, 16: EDAILY Co./ KG Chemical, 17: Adorabella/OJSCPhosAgro, 18: Platform Specialty Products/ Chemtura AgroSolutions, 19: YaraInternational/Galvani Indústria, Comércio E Serviços, 20: Boulevard Acquisiton /AgroFresh
West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.
Canfor Corp.
Duratex SA
Deltic Timber Corporation
Sonae Indústria, S.G.P.S., S.A.
Stella-Jones Inc.
Interfor Corporation
Boise Cascade Com pany
Norbord, Inc.
Suzano Papel e Celulose S.A.
Median
Average
1Yr Lgd 1Yr Fwd
1 1 .1 x 9.0x
7 .9x 7 .1 x
8.4x 6.5x
1 9.4x n.a.
7 .9x n.a.
21 .1 x 1 5.2x
1 2.4x 8.8x
8.2x 7 .6x
30.2x 1 4.7 x
1 1 .6x 6.8x
11.3x 8.2x
13.8x 9.5x
1Yr Lgd 1Yr Fwd
1 3 .4x 1 2.1 x
1 5.4x 1 5.2x
1 2 .6x 1 0.3x
8.0x 7 .5x
1 4.8x 1 4.9x
9.2x 7 .9x
1 3 .4x 8.4x
8.1 x 6.1 x
9.1 x 7 .8x
9.1 x 7 .6x
10.9x 8.2x
11.3x 9.8x
PwC
May 2015
ViticultureAgricultural Products & MachineryFishery
Section 1 – Agribusiness News & Multiples
5Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
Agricultural Products & Machinery
M&A News
Canada: Salford Group acquired Valmar Airflo Inc, amanufacturer of seeding and granular applicationequipment.
Management News
China: Noble Agri announced the appointment of MattJansen as CEO, previously at Archer Daniels Midland.
Australia: Nufarm appointed its COO and acting CEO,Greg Hunt, to Managing Director and CEO.
Netherlands: Nutreco CFO Gosse Boon has resigned,following the successful takeover bid by Dutch investorSHV Holdings.
Bidder/Target 1: Woodstream/Zareba Systems, 2: Ag Growth International/Mepu Oy, 3:Converted Organics/TerraSphere Systems, 4: Blount/SpeeCo, 5: Kubota/Kverneland ASA, 6:Paine & Partners/Eurodrip SA, 7: Seoul Moongo Co. / Daedong Industrial Co., 8: Danfoss/Sauer-Danfoss Inc., 9: NA/ China Farm Equipment, 10: Silverfleet Capital / Cimbria, 11: P&PWater Holding / Eurodrip S A, 12: MHR Fund Management / Titan International.
Trading multiples (EV/EBITDA)Transaction multiples (EV/EBITDA)
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15.0x
20.0x
Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14
Transaction multiples (EV/EBITDA) Trading multiples (EV/EBITDA)Fishery
M&A News
US: Copper River Seafoods has acquired a salmonprocessing facility and associated assets in Bristol Bay,Alaska from Extreme Seafoods.
Management News
Canada: President and COO of High Liner Foods,Keith Decker, to become CEO. Bidder/Target 1: Thai Union Frozen Products/MW Brands, 2: Boparan Holdings/Northern
Foods, 3: Corporacion Economica Damm / Pescanova, 4: Luxempart / Pescanova, 5: OrklaBrands / Rieber & Søn, 6: Tiger Brands / Oceana Group, 7: Geveran Trading Co ./ MarineHarvest ASA, 8: Profond Holding / Marine Harvest, 9: China Fishery Group / Copeinca, 10:Geveran Trading Co. / Marine Harvest, 11: RCL Foods / Foodcorp, 12: China FisheryGroup/Copeinca, 13: CFG Investment / Copeinca.
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20.0x
30.0x
40.0x
Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Co.
Marine Harv est ASA
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk
NH Foods Limited
CALBEE, Inc.
Toy o Suisan Kaisha Ltd.
Thai Union Frozen Products Public
SalMar ASA
Lerøy Seafood Group Asa
Guangdong Haid Group Co., Limited
Median
Average
Sources: S&P Capital IQ, Factiva, PwC research
Viticulture
M&A News
No relevant news.
Management News
No relevant news.
Transaction multiples (EV/EBITDA) Trading multiples (EV/EBITDA)
Bidder/Target 1: Advini/Laroche, 2: Nikora/JSC Teliani Valley, 3: Remgro and ZederInvestment /Capevin Holdings, 4: Kirin/Mercian, 5: SVL/Abrau-Durso, 6: Majorityshareholders/Magnotta Winery, 7: Sogrape Vinho/Bodegas Lan, 8: Tempo Beverages/BarkanWine Cellars, 9: FMR Rentas Generales/Viñedos Emiliana, 10: FMR Rentas Generales/Treasury Wine Estates, 11: Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co / Treasury Wine Estates, 12: Privateinvestor/ Schlumberger, 13: Private investor/ Schlumberger.
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20.0x
30.0x
40.0x
50.0x
Sep-09 Sep-10 Sep-11 Sep-12 Sep-13
Diageo plc
Pernod-Ricard SA
Brown-Forman Corporation
Constellation Brands Inc.
Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Joint-Stock
Dav ide Campari - Milano SpA
LT Group, Inc.
Treasury Wine Estates Limited
Distell Group Limited
Yantai Changy u Pioneer Wine Co. Ltd.
Median
Average
Deere & Company
Kubota Corporation
CNH Industrial N.V.
AGCO Corporation
The Toro Company
Turk Traktor v e Ziraat Makineleri
Daedong Industrial Co., Ltd.
Lindsay Corporation
Titan International Inc.
Jain Irrigation Sy stem s Lim ited
Median
Average
1Yr Lgd 1Yr Fwd
1 3 .2x 1 3.6x
1 0.1 x 9.0x
21 .0x 1 6.2x
9.0x 9.6x
1 9.7 x 1 6.1 x
9.9x 9.0x
1 3 .3 x 1 0.2x
7 .5x 7 .2x
9.4x 7 .2x
24.5x 20.6x
11.7x 9.9x
13.8x 11.9x
1Yr Lgd 1Yr Fwd
1 1 .8x 21 .6x
1 3.0x 1 0.7 x
1 0.9x n.a.
5.9x 8.6x
1 3.0x 1 1 .1 x
1 3.5x 1 0.3x
1 4.1 x n.a.
1 0.0x 1 1 .9x
1 7 .4x 1 1 .6x
8.6x 7 .1 x
12.4x 10.9x
11.8x 11.6x
1Yr Lgd 1Yr Fwd
1 8.0x 1 5.6x
1 7 .3x 1 4.8x
20.7 x 1 9.3x
1 7 .3x 1 5.2x
1 5.6x 1 3.2x
1 4.8x 1 3.6x
1 3.6x 9 .1 x
1 3.5x 1 1 .8x
1 8.0x 1 5.5x
22.0x 21 .2x
17.3x 15.0x
17.1x 14.9x
PwC
May 2015
MarketsUpdate
6Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
PwC
May 2015
Macroeconomic and Foreign Exchange Data
Section 2 – Markets Update
7
Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
Source: S&P Capital IQ
FX – Spot rates FX – Week-to-date % change
Macroeconomic indicators
Notes: Data is quarterly reported data taken from the most recently available quarter • Current data is for 2014Q4 as reported by the Economist Intelligence Unit 7 May 2015 •Real GDP growth is calculated as % change year on year • CPI Inflation is calculated as % change year on year • Unemployment rate represents the actual unemployment as apercentage of the labour force • Industrial Production Index is calculated as % change year on year for the index • Producer Price Index in calculated as the % change year onyear for the index of prices faced by firms, with the exception of Brazil whose index is based on a general prices • Exports fob in $US bn • Trade balance is calculated as Exportsfob less imports cif in $US bn • Reported currencies for Exports and Trade Balances converted to $US at most recent conversion rates at time of writing •
Note: Straight line shows historical spot prices, dotted marked line shows futures prices. Price development table is based on most actively traded futures contract.
FX – Year-to-date % changeFX – Month-to-date % change
EUR USD BRL CNY INR
1 EUR - -2.22% -1 .45% -2.1 9% -2.04%
1 USD 2.27 % - 0.7 9% 0.03% 0.1 8%
1 BRL 1 .47 % -0.7 8% - -0.7 5% -0.60%
1 CNY 2.24% -0.03% 0.7 6% - 0.1 5%
1 INR 2.09% -0.1 8% 0.61 % -0.1 5% -
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
110.00
120.00
Apr-2014 Aug-2014 Dec-2014 Apr-2015 Aug-2015 Dec-2015 Apr-2016
EUR USD BRL CNY INR
1 EUR - 1 .1 096 3.3669 6.8838 7 0.7 906
1 USD 0.901 3 - 3 .0344 6.2040 63.8000
1 BRL 0.297 0 0.3296 - 2.0446 21 .0256
1 CNY 0.1 453 0.1 61 2 0.4891 - 1 0.2837
1 INR 0.01 41 0.01 57 0.047 6 0.097 2 -
EUR USD BRL CNY INR
1 EUR - -0.89% -0.20% -0.86% -0.64%
1 USD 0.90% - 0.69% 0.03% 0.25%
1 BRL 0.20% -0.69% - -0.66% -0.44%
1 CNY 0.87 % -0.03% 0.66% - 0.22%
1 INR 0.64% -0.25% 0.44% -0.22% -
EUR USD BRL CNY INR
1 EUR - -8.33% 4.65% -8.30% -7 .48%
1 USD 9.09% - 1 4.1 6% 0.03% 0.93%
1 BRL -4.44% -1 2.40% - -1 2.38% -1 1 .59%
1 CNY 9.06% -0.03% 1 4.1 2% - 0.89%
1 INR 8.09% -0.92% 1 3.1 1 % -0.88% -
Crude Oil - Brent ($ per Bbl. – ICE: ^B) Gold ($ per troy oz. – COMEX: ^GC)
Indicator Australia Brazil China Germany India Japan U.S.
Real GDP Growth (YoY) 2.5% -0.3% 7 .3% 0.7 % 7 .7 % -0.7 % 2.4%
CPI Inflation (YoY) 1 .7 % 6.5% 1 .6% 0.4% 4.0% 2.5% 1 .2%
Unem ploy ment rate 1 .2% 4.6% n/a 4.9% n/a 3.5% 5.7 %
Industrial Production Index (YoY) 3.3% -3.8% 7 .6% 0.8% 1 .9% -1 .4% 4.5%
Producer Price Index (YoY) 2.5% 3.7 % n/a -0.3% 0.3 % 2.4% 1 .3%
Exports ($US bn) 52.0 51 .5 646.1 31 9.6 7 8.0 1 63 407 .6
Trade Balance ($US bn) 1 .1 3.3- 1 50.0 66.2 3 4.2- 1 9- 1 81 .4-
1,100.00
1,150.00
1,200.00
1,250.00
1,300.00
1,350.00
1,400.00
May-2014 Sep-2014 Jan-2015 May-2015 Sep-2015 Jan-2016 May-2016
Latest price 1 ,2 0 6 .7 0 Week-to-date -0 .9 4 %
52-w eek low 1 ,3 3 9 .2 0 Month-to-date 2 .0 6 %
52-w eek high 1 ,1 4 2 .6 0 Year-to-date 1 .9 1 %
Dev elopm en t - Gold
Latest price 6 5 .0 3 Week-to-date -2 .5 0 %
52-w eek low 4 6 .4 0 Month-to-date -2 .6 2 %
52-w eek high 1 1 5 .7 1 Year-to-date 1 1 .7 2 %
Dev elopm ent - Cru de Oil
PwC
May 2015
Commodities (1/2)
Section 2 – Markets Update
8
Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
Corn ($ per bu. – CBOT: ^C)
Oats ($ per bu. – CBOT: ^O)
Soybean Meal ($ per T – CBOT: ^SM)
Wheat ($ per bu. – CBOT: ^W)
Soybeans ($ per bu. – CBOT: ^S)
Sugar #11 ($ per lb – ICE: ^SB)
Source: S&P Capital IQ
Note: Straight line shows historical spot prices, dotted marked line shows futures prices. Price development table is based on most actively traded futures contract.
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
5.00
May-2014 Sep-2014 Jan-2015 May-2015 Sep-2015 Jan-2016 May-20164.00
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
6.50
7.00
May-2014 Sep-2014 Jan-2015 May-2015 Sep-2015 Jan-2016 May-2016
2.00
2.20
2.40
2.60
2.80
3.00
3.20
3.40
3.60
3.80
May-2014 Sep-2014 Jan-2015 May-2015 Sep-2015 Jan-2016 May-20169.00
10.00
11.00
12.00
13.00
14.00
15.00
16.00
May-2014 Sep-2014 Jan-2015 May-2015 Sep-2015 Jan-2016 May-2016
Latest price 9 .4 6 Week-to-date -1 .1 5 %
52-w eek low 1 5 .1 8 Month-to-date -3 .0 6 %
52-w eek high 9 .1 0 Y ear-to-date -7 .5 4 %
Dev elopm ent - Soy bea n
290.00
340.00
390.00
440.00
490.00
540.00
May-2014 Sep-2014 Jan-2015 May-2015 Sep-2015 Jan-2016 May-2016
Latest price 3 07 .1 0 Week-to-date 1 .5 5 %
52-w eek low 5 0 6 .00 Month-to-date -2 .8 5 %
52-w eek high 2 9 8 .6 0 Y ear-to-date -1 1 .6 5 %
Dev elopm ent - Soy bea n
0.11
0.12
0.13
0.14
0.15
0.16
0.17
0.18
0.19
0.20
May-2014 Sep-2014 Jan-2015 May-2015 Sep-2015 Jan-2016 May-2016
Latest price 0 .1 3 Week-to-date -0.7 7 %
52-w eek low 0 .1 9 Month-to-date -2 .4 3 %
52-w eek high 0 .1 2 Y ear-to-date -1 1 .4 3 %
Dev elopm ent - Su ga r
Latest price 5 .1 3 Week-to-date -0.2 2 %
52-w eek low 4 .6 0 Month-to-date 8 .2 3 %
52-w eek high 6 .7 7 Y ear-to-date -1 2 .9 6 %
Dev elopm ent - Wh eat
Latest price 3 .6 0 Week-to-date -2 .1 7 %
52-w eek low 3 .1 8 Month-to-date -1 .6 7 %
52-w eek high 4 .8 2 Y ear-to-date -9 .3 2 %
Dev elopm ent - Corn
Latest price 2 .4 8 Week-to-date 5 .3 6 %
52-w eek low 3 .7 1 Month-to-date 1 .5 9 %
52-w eek high 2 .3 0 Y ear-to-date -1 8 .2 5 %
Dev elopm ent - Oat s
PwC
May 2015
Commodities (2/2)
Section 2 – Markets Update
9
Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
Cocoa ($ per MT – ICE: ^CC)
Rice – Rough #2 ($ per cwt. – CBOT: ^RR)
Crude Palm Kernel Oil ($ per MT – KLSE: ^QF)
Coffee – Columbian ($ per lb – ICE: ^KC)
Soybean Oil ($ per lb – CBOT: ^BO)
Milk – Class III ($ per lb – CME: ^DA)
Source: S&P Capital IQ
Note: Straight line shows historical spot prices, dotted marked line shows futures prices. Price development table is based on most actively traded futures contract.
2,660.00
2,760.00
2,860.00
2,960.00
3,060.00
3,160.00
3,260.00
3,360.00
3,460.00
May-2014 Sep-2014 Jan-2015 May-2015 Sep-2015 Jan-2016 May-2016
Latest price 3 ,1 4 5 .00 Week-to-date 2 .9 1 %
52-w eek low 3 ,3 7 1 .00 Month-to-date 6 .8 6 %
52-w eek high 2 ,6 7 2 .00 Y ear-to-date 8 .0 8 %
Dev elopm ent - Cocoa
9.00
10.00
11.00
12.00
13.00
14.00
15.00
16.00
May-2014 Sep-2014 Jan-2015 May-2015 Sep-2015 Jan-2016 May-20160.29
0.31
0.33
0.35
0.37
0.39
0.41
0.43
May-2014 Sep-2014 Jan-2015 May-2015 Sep-2015 Jan-2016 May-2016
Latest price 0.3 2 Week-to-date -3 .1 9 %
52-w eek low 0 .4 1 Month-to-date 1 .6 7 %
52-w eek high 0.3 0 Y ear-to-date 0.1 2 %
Dev elopm ent - Soy bea n
570.00
620.00
670.00
720.00
770.00
820.00
May-2014 Sep-2014 Jan-2015 May-2015 Sep-2015 Jan-2016 May-20160.14
0.16
0.18
0.20
0.22
0.24
0.26
May-2014 Sep-2014 Jan-2015 May-2015 Sep-2015 Jan-2016 May-2016
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
2.00
2.20
2.40
May-2014 Sep-2014 Jan-2015 May-2015 Sep-2015 Jan-2016 May-2016
Latest price 1 .4 0 Week-to-date 3 .2 9 %
52-w eek low 2 .2 2 Month-to-date 1 .7 5 %
52-w eek high 1 .3 0 Y ear-to-date -1 6 .0 6 %
Dev elopm ent - Coffee
Latest price 9 .6 5 Week-to-date 2 .1 7 %
52-w eek low 1 5 .3 2 Month-to-date -3 .7 9 %
52-w eek high 9 .4 5 Y ear-to-date -1 7 .8 7 %
Dev elopm ent - Rou gh Rice
Latest price 6 0 3 .00 Week-to-date -0.9 4 %
52-w eek low 7 9 4 .5 0 Month-to-date 3 .7 4 %
52-w eek high 5 7 2 .7 5 Y ear-to-date -7 .9 7 %
Dev elopm ent - Palm Oil
Latest price 0 .1 7 Week-to-date -1 .5 5 %
52-w eek low 0.2 5 Month-to-date 1 .7 9 %
52-w eek high 0 .1 5 Y ear-to-date 3 .7 7 %
Dev elopm ent - Milk
PwC
May 2015
Equity Indices
Section 2 – Markets Update
10
Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
MSCI USA
MSCI Pacific
MSCI World/Food Products (Industry Index)
MSCI Europe
MSCI BRIC
MSCI World/Retailing (Industry Group Index)
Source: S&P Capital IQ
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
May-2010 May-2011 May-2012 May-2013 May-20140
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
May-2010 May-2011 May-2012 May-2013 May-2014
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
May-2010 May-2011 May-2012 May-2013 May-20140
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
May-2010 May-2011 May-2012 May-2013 May-2014
0
50
100
150
200
250
May-2010 May-2011 May-2012 May-2013 May-20140
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
May-2010 May-2011 May-2012 May-2013 May-2014
Latest value 2 8 5 .7 0 Week-to-date 1 .4 9 %
52-w eek low 2 2 7 .06 Month-to-date -0 .9 4 %
52-w eek high 2 9 1 .02 Year-to-date 6 .7 6 %
Dev elopm ent - MSCI World/Ret ailing (Indu st ry Grou p Index)
Latest value 2 ,03 7 .4 9 Week-to-date 0.2 6 %
52-w eek low 1 ,7 7 8 .6 6 Month-to-date 0.9 2 %
52-w eek high 2 ,04 1 .7 3 Year-to-date 3 .7 0%
Dev elopm ent - MSCI USA
Latest value 1 ,7 3 7 .1 5 Week-to-date -0 .8 9 %
52-w eek low 1 ,5 2 5 .06 Month-to-date 1 .2 7 %
52-w eek high 1 ,8 4 5 .7 3 Year-to-date 8 .02 %
Dev elopm en t - MSCI Eu rope
Latest value 2 ,5 5 8 .5 2 Week-to-date -0.4 5 %
52-w eek low 2 ,2 3 4 .5 1 Month-to-date 0.9 4 %
52-w eek high 2 ,6 2 4 .6 4 Year-to-date 1 1 .02 %
Dev elopm en t - MSCI Pa cific
Latest value 3 01 .09 Week-to-date -0 .9 7 %
52-w eek low 2 4 4 .9 0 Month-to-date -1 .00%
52-w eek high 3 09 .9 1 Year-to-date 1 4 .9 1 %
Dev elopm ent - MSCI BRIC
Latest value 2 3 3 .2 3 Week-to-date -0.6 9 %
52-w eek low 2 02 .7 5 Month-to-date 0.3 9 %
52-w eek high 2 3 5 .2 8 Year-to-date 6 .6 4 %
Dev elopm en t - MSCI World/Food Produ ct s (Indu st ry In dex)
PwC
May 2015
Section 2 – Markets Update
11Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
Credentials
Advisor to InnerMongolia Yili IndustrialGroup investigations of
NZ dairy processingopportunities including
full due diligence.
Sell Side advice toRavensdown
on divestment of 100%of western Australian
operation to LouisDreyfus Commodities.
PwC advised on the saleof a cornerstone
shareholding in DHL,one of New Zealand’slargest Dairy Farming
Businesses.
Buy side advisory onacquisition of Coop
Farms estate for£249m in one of thelargest land sales in
Britain of circa 40,000acres.
Buy-side financial duediligence on Cardinal
Foods on behalf ofLantmännen ek för.
Disposal of majoritystake in QinYuan
Bakery to EQT GreaterChina II Fund
Sell-side advisory
Bright Sugar Co. Ltd.Acquisition of 60%
stake in Yunnan YinMore Sugar Co. Ltd.
Buy-side advisory
Guan Sheng YuanDisposal of sharesto CITIC Capital
Holdings Ltd.
Sell-side advisory
Sale of
toKoch Fertiliser
Sell-side advisory
Sale of
SellerAdvised by
Advisor to HoogwegtGroep on the
acquisition of 60% ofthe shares in Meelunie
from Coöperatie AVEBE
Advisor toFrieslandCampina on
the sale of itsElsterwerda plant based
in Germany toOdenwald Fruechte
Due diligence advisor toMcCain in the
acquisition of Lutosa
Debt advisor tomanagement of
Heiploeg on its capitalstructure
Total debt€130m
Buy-side due diligence(financial, tax, pensionand IT), tax structuringand indicative valuation
advice on the mergerwith MUH
Financial Advisory
to
PwC
May 2015
Section 2 – Markets Update
12
Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
PwC is a leading global M&A advisor with a stronginternational network
At any given time PwC has approximately 450 live sale mandates. Globally, we advise on over 350 dealsper year.
PwC Ranking FY’14
• Global buyouts: 1st
• Global M&A: 2nd
• Europe M&A: 1st
• European buyouts: 1st
• Asia-Pacific (excl. Japan): 1st
• South Korea M&A: 1st
• Denmark M&A: 1st
• Finland M&A: 1st
• Sweden M&A: 1st
• Nordic group M&A: 1st• Iberian M&A: 1st
• Australasia M&A: 2nd
Source: MergerMarket M&A Trend Report 2014
Volume
1 PwC 135
2 125
3 Deloitte 91
4 Morgan Stanley 89
5 Goldman Sachs 88
Rank Advisor
Asia-Pacific
Volume
1 Goldman Sachs 378
2 PwC 365
3 KPMG 324
4 Morgan Stanley 285
5 JPMorgan 275
Rank Advisor
Global
KPMG
Volume
1 Goldman Sachs 287
2 JP Morgan 202
3 Morgan Stanley 198
4 Barclays 171
5 Bank of America Merrill Lynch 163
Rank Advisor
Americas
Volume
1 PwC 243
2 Rothschild 213
3 KPMG 212
4 Deloitte 175
5 EY 174
Rank Advisor
Europe
PwC
May 2015
Agribusiness Network
Section 2 – Markets Update
13
Global Agribusiness • Deal Activity
Global CF LeaderCornelis Smaal+31 88 792 [email protected] Tomatis+ 54 11 4850 [email protected] Barrichi+ 54 341 446 [email protected] Heraghty+61 282 661 [email protected] Rezende+55 11 3674 [email protected] Barbosa+55 16 2133 [email protected] Coco+55 19 [email protected] Robidoux204 926 [email protected] Oldfield+44 (0) 771 [email protected] Lyn+86 10 6533 [email protected] Wong+86 21 2323 [email protected] Pelle+ 33 (0) 299 231 [email protected]
GermanyNorbert Niedenhof+49 (0) 541 3304 [email protected] Kakra+91 124 [email protected] VS+91 124 [email protected] Satar+62 21 5289 [email protected] Maher+353 (0) 1 792 [email protected] J Wyborn+81 33 546 [email protected] Iwashima+81 3 6266 [email protected] Webster+966 11 211 0400 (Ext. 1555)[email protected] Jansze+31 (0) 88 792 [email protected] Emanuels+31 6 2042 [email protected] ZealandCraig Armitage+64 3 374 [email protected] Hoult+64 9 355 [email protected]
Michael O’Connor+64 3 374 [email protected] McMenamin+64 3 374 [email protected] Scurtescu+40 21 22 53 [email protected] Skinner+65 9823 [email protected] AfricaFrans Weilbach+27 (21) 815 [email protected] Gustafsson+46 709 294 [email protected]. Martin Frey+41 58 792 15 [email protected] Volkova+38 (0) 56 733 [email protected] James+44 (0) 7803 [email protected] Sengbusch44 (0) 7725 [email protected] Johnson+1 612 596 [email protected] Gaffney+1 216 875 [email protected]