May 2010 market update presetation
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Transcript of May 2010 market update presetation
Weichert, Princeton Office May 2010 Market Update
Seminar
Offers analysis of the Princeton & Greater
Princeton, NJ real estate markets & effective
strategies to buy and sell.
Presented by:
Joshua D Wilton
Broker/ Sales Rep.
Weichert Realtors
Princeton, NJ
O 609-921-1900
www.weichert-princeton.com
www.facebook.com/weichertprinceton
Agenda
1. The Market
2. Strategies for Buying
3. Strategies for Selling
Agenda
1. The Market
The Markets
‘Trichet: Economy in Deepest Crisis Since WWII’
- NY Times 5/15/10‘Fed's Hoenig Says Low Rates Can Lead to Bubbles:’
- NY Times 5/15/10
The Markets
‘April retail sales beat expectationsImage by Getty Imagesvia DaylifeApril retail sales rose 0.4 percent, the government said moments ago, a figure that was twice what forecasters were expecting, a sign that consumers are opening their wallets and spending.Removing auto sales from April retail sales did nothing to impact the number, indicating that new car sales rose at the same pace as other consumer goods. Same thing if you remove the volatile fuel and food costs.March retail sales were revised upward and grew at a rate of 1.2 percent.
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/economy-watch/2010/05/april_consumer_beats_expectati.html
The Markets
‘Europe Clouds U.S. RecoveryThe recovery is beating expectations as new data show consumer and manufacturing strength. But worries persist that it still isn't strong enough to heal deep wounds or withstand a new shock from Europe.
http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet?data_tool=latest_numbers&series_id=LASST34000003
Where are we in US……
http://data.bls.gov/PDQ/servlet/SurveyOutputServlet?data_tool=latest_numbers&series_id=LASST34000003
in NJ…
Otteau.com
Housing Drives the Economy…
Otteau.com
Current Market Drivers…Housing Affordability highest in 18
years (low home prices & low interest rates)…
Pent up demand…
Demographics…
Realtor.ord
National RE Market Newx
Pending Home SalesMar. index: 102.9Monthly: Up 5.3%Yearly: Up 21.1%
Realtor.org
National RE Market Newx
Existing-Home SalesMar.: 5.35 millionMonthly: Up 6.8%Yearly: Up 16.1%
http://www.nahb.com/generic.aspx?sectionID=734&genericContentID=106491
The Economic Effect of Homeownership…
Single Families Built
post 2004
Single Families Built
After 2004
Non Moving Owners
Appliances $2769 $1919 $1065
Furnishings $5288 $2365 $942
Repairs & Alterations
$4275 $4642 $2413
Forecast for 2010 (mid-Atlantic region)
Source: NAR, November 2008 Forecast
Otteau Recap:
2010: A More Balanced 2010: A More Balanced MarketMarket
Shortage of ListingsShortage of Listings
$350,000 and under $350,000 and under
(mid-atlantic)(mid-atlantic)
2010: A More Balanced 2010: A More Balanced MarketMarket
$350,000 & Below
Sellers Market
Scarce, low inventory
Price stability, moderate increase
1-2 months absorption rates
Highly competitive listing environment
$1,000,000 Plus
Buyer’s Market
Excessive inventory levels
Price instability, reduction
20+ months absorption rates
Highly influenced by finance securitization
2010: A More Balanced 2010: A More Balanced MarketMarket
Foreclosures/Distressed Properties StabilizeForeclosure Averages
•National Average: 14.41%
•MD: 8.24%
•NY: 7.78%
•CT: 7.0%
•DC: 6.42%
•PA: 6.12%
•DE: 5.92%
•NJ: 5.69%
•VA: 5.29%
2010: A More Balanced 2010: A More Balanced MarketMarket
Foreclosures within the Company-owned FootprintRegion Jan-09 Jan-10 %Var
Waters 6620 3541 -46.5%
McDonald 17121 10157 -40.7%
Green 23570 14706 -37.6%
Minsky 15224 10189 -33.1%
Ashby/Doepper 14736 11975 -18.7%
Chappell 16522 14082 -14.8%
Bixon 12605 11484 -8.9%
Williams 6225 6287 1.0%
Prevete 8150 9871 21.1%
Total 120,773 92,292 -23.6%
2010: A More Balanced 2010: A More Balanced MarketMarket
No Second Wave Foreclosures
in the Company-owned Footprint
(mid-atlantic)
A long term outlook in NJ & Mercer County
Source: NAR, November 2008 Forecast
NJ Housing Permits
Source: CensusSource: Census
RESIDENTIAL BUILDING PERMITS AUTHORIZED 2000-2008
COUNTY 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Total
Atlantic County 1,625 1,685 2,020 2,285 2,075 2,002 1,893 1,136 794 15,515Bergen County 2,847 1,784 1,771 1,289 2,142 2,972 2,164 2,957 1,311 19,237Burlington County 2,775 2,184 2,359 1,805 1,516 1,475 2,784 1,037 976 16,911Camden County 796 757 1,160 1,934 1,413 1,706 1,183 1,191 895 11,035Cape May County 1,242 1,403 1,422 1,693 2,149 2,433 1,580 1,081 485 13,488Cumberland County 255 256 310 374 566 630 737 683 336 4,147Essex County 1,491 1,548 1,588 2,235 2,343 3,128 3,284 1,854 1,314 18,785Gloucester County 1,337 1,635 1,802 1,859 2,050 2,075 1,141 920 788 13,607Hudson County 1,338 1,116 1,534 2,116 3,808 4,498 4,275 3,081 3,229 24,995Hunterdon County 616 685 602 814 648 506 350 316 206 4,743Mercer County 1,283 1,355 1,428 1,188 1,641 1,296 847 700 625 10,363Middlesex County 2,460 1,884 1,999 2,306 2,622 3,206 2,567 1,597 1,020 19,661Monmouth County 2,912 2,194 2,372 2,756 2,628 2,584 2,820 2,060 1,526 21,852Morris County 2,684 1,577 1,914 1,555 1,427 2,503 1,670 1,052 795 15,177Ocean County 5,633 3,830 3,534 4,009 3,818 2,904 2,114 2,160 1,527 29,529Passaic County 457 631 689 829 763 647 850 760 432 6,058Salem County 161 180 170 307 334 297 298 148 198 2,093Somerset County 2,282 1,439 1,530 1,260 1,362 1,220 1,058 926 791 11,868Sussex County 719 808 679 587 612 668 603 360 302 5,338Union County 776 551 681 1,198 1,399 1,278 1,593 1,123 673 9,272Warren County 896 765 877 585 620 560 512 258 146 5,219 New Jersey 34,585 28,267 30,441 32,984 35,936 38,588 34,323 25,400 18,369 278,893
NJ Housing Permits
Source: CensusSource: Census
In thousand units
Long Term Supply …
Source: NAR, November 2008 Forecast
Richardson Commercial
Long Term Demand in Mercer County …
Source: NAR, November 2008 ForecastSource: https://edis.commerce.state.nc.us/docs/countyProfile/NJ/34021.pdf
(Mercer County) Population & Growth Population Annual Growth Rate2013 Total Population 383,677 0.6%2008 Total Population 371,963 0.7%2000 Total Population 350,761
Long Term Demand in Mercer County …
Source: NAR, November 2008 ForecastSource: https://edis.commerce.state.nc.us/docs/countyProfile/NJ/34021.pdf
Estimated Pop. by Age Pop by Age, % Est.2013 Median Age 392008 Median Age 382000 Median Age 362008 Total Pop 0-19 98,816 26.6%2008 Total Pop 20-29 49,307 13.3%2008 Total Pop 30-39 49,497 13.3%2008 Total Pop 40-49 58,288 15.7%2008 Total Pop 50-59 51,605 13.9%2008 Total Pop 60+ 64,450 17.3%
• Buffett Says U.S. Housing Will Recover by 2011 on Lower Supply
• March 1 (Bloomberg) -- Billionaire Warren Buffett said the U.S. residential real estate slump will end by about 2011, predicting that’s how long it will take demand for homes to catch up with the supply.
• “Within a year or so, residential housing problems should largely be behind us,” Buffett wrote Feb. 27 in his annual letter to shareholders of his Berkshire Hathaway Inc.”
‘Yoda has spoken…’
Economics 101:As supply goes up, prices
go ___.
Source: NAR, November 2008 Forecast
Princeton Boro Inventory Trends
Princeton Twp Inventory Trend
Lawrence Inventory Trends
Hopewell Inventory Trends
Hopewell Inventory Trends
Hopewell Inventory Trends
Ewing Inventory Trends
West Windsor Inventory Trends
Plainsboro Inventory Trends
YTD Closed Homes Snapshot:2008 2009 2010
Princeton Twp.
52 31 33
West Windsor
88 68 70
Hopewell 59 38 44
Plainsboro 64 43 59
1. Real Estate is Local
Top Five Rules for Understanding the Real
Estate Market:
2. Real Estate is Local
3. Real Estate is Local
4. Real Estate is Local5. Real Estate is Local
1. Understand the Local Market That You are Buying into…
Market Absorption Scale(Absorption Rate in Months)
5-6 months absorption rate indicates a normal market.
Absorption Rate by Price Range
Weichert has been studying market conditions for more than 3 decades and has found a direct correlation between market
absorption and property values.
As absorption rates increase beyond a normal market level of 5-6 months, property
values depreciate annually.
Sample Market Absorption RateSample Market Absorption Rate
107 current active listings
4 reported sales in last 30 days
=
24.3months absorptionrate
Anytown., NJ
5-6 Months Market Absorption Rate indicates a normal market.
5/4/10Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
Princeton Boro: All Styles
59 6 9.8 17 11 5 8.5% 0 0 3
Pton -Boro Condo/ Thouses
22 2 11 5 3 2 9.1% 0 0 1
Pton-BoroSingle Family
37 4 9.3 12 8 3 8.1% 0 0 2
Pton Twp: All Styles
133 21 6.3 38 8 25 18.8% 3 6 11
Pton Twp: Condo/ Thouses
10 5 2 2 -6 0 0 0 3 3
Pton Twp:Single Family
123 16 7.7 36 14 25 20.3% 3 3 8
5/4/10Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
West Windsor: All Styles
153 39 3.9 51 3 55 35.9% 5 4 21
West Windsor Condo/ T.Houses
34 8 4.3 12 1 11 32.4% 0 3 10
West Windsor55+
13 4 3.3 3 -2 -- -- 1 0 0
West Windsor Single Family
106 27 3.9 36 4 44 41.5% 4 1 11
Lawrence: All Styles
243 33 7.7 47 2 72 29.6% 6 6 26
Lawrence:Condo/THouses
68 15 4.5 15 -4 31 45.6% 4 0 13
Lawrence: 55+
23 2 11.5 2 -2 -- -- 0 2 2
Lawrence: Single Family
152 16 9.5 39 8 41 27% 2 4 11
5/4/10Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
PlainsboroAll Styles
71 22 3.2 22 13 18% 6 0 15
PlainsboroCondo/ THouses
38 11 3.4 13 9 23% 4 0 11
Plainsboro55+
10 1 10 0 1 10% 1 0 2
PlainsboroSingle Family
23 10 2.3 9 3 13% 1 0 2
Cranbury:All Styles
28 6 4.6 7 8 28% 1 0 1
Cranbury:55+
2 1 2 1 0 1 50% 0 0 1
Cranbury: Single Family
26 5 5.2 6 1 7 26% 1 0 0
5/4/10Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
Ewing: All Styles
272 22 12.4 61 27 78 28.7% 6 6 18
Ewing : Condo/ T.Houses
44 3 14.7 10 5 11 25% 0 2 6
Ewing 55+:
7 0 99 1 1 -- -- 0 0 0
Ewing:Single Family
221 19 11.6 50 21 67 16.7% 6 4 12
East Windsor:All Styles
186 23 8.1 36 -1 42 22.6% 8 6 17
East Windsor:Condo/ THouses
103 9 11.4 20 3 23 22.3% 3 5 5
East Windsor:55+
22 1 22 2 -1 -- -- 1 1 0
East Windsor: Single Family
61 13 4.7 14 -3 19 31.1% 4 0 12
5/10/10Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
Hopewell Twp.All Styles
190 27 7 61 34 42 22% 10 10 17
Hopewell Twp. Condo/ T.Houses
16 9 8 (1) 7 44% 1 1 3
Hopewell Twp.:55+
10 0 99 - - - - - - -
Hopewell Twp Single Family 164 18 9 53 35 35 21% 9 9 14
Hamilton: All Styles 582 101 6 129 28 181 31% 41 21 72
Hamilton:Condo/ THouses 113 27 4 20 (7) 40 35% 8 4 20
Hamilton:Single Family 427 71 6 109 38 141 33% 33 17 52
Hamilton: 55+41 3 14 - - - - - -- -
5/10/10Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
RobbinsvilleAll Styles 136 17 8 38 11 39 29% 9 6 12
RobbinsvilleCondo/ T.Houses
69 9 8 18 9 16 23% 2 5 9
Single Family67 8 8 20 12 23 34% 7 1 3
Hightstown Boro: All Styles 77 4 19 14 10 12 16% 4 3 4
Pennington26 3 9 6 3 8 31% 1 1 4
Hopewell Boro20 3 7 5 2 6 30% 2 1 2
5/4/10Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
South
Brunswick
All Styles
209 31 7 57 26 57 26% 8 3 27
South BrunswickCondo/ T.Houses
62 15 4 21 6 20 32% 6 1 12
South Brunswick
55+
25 2 12.5 1 1 0 0% 0 0 4
South Brunswick
Single Family
122 14 10 35 21 37 30% 2 2 11
Monroe:
All Styles450 41 11 110 69 72 16% 36 3 51
Monroe:
55+275 24 11 71 47 36 13% 18 1 35
Monroe:
Single Family
176 17 10 39 27 36 20% 18 2 16
/2010Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
Montgomery
All Styles
153 37 4.1 52 29 58 38% 2 3 18
Montgomery
Condo/Twnhms
24 10 2.5 11 3 7 29% 0 2 6
Single Family
129 27 4.8 41 26 51 39.5% 2 1 12
Hillsborough
All Styles
215 43 5 65 21 63 29% 8 10 26
Hillsborough
Condo/Townhouses
86 20 4.3 33 19 19 22% 3 3 8
Hillsborough
Single Family
129 23 5.6 32 2 44 34% 5 7 18
Source: otteau.com, 4th quarter 2009
54Market Scale for Supply & Market Scale for Supply & DemandDemand
High Supply/Low Demand Low Supply/High DemandNormal
Ma
rke
t A
bso
rpti
on
in M
on
ths 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
No
rma
l
Weichert has been studying market conditions for more than 3 decades and has found a direct correlation between market absorption and property values.
As absorption rates increase beyond a normal market level of 5-6 months, property values depreciate annually.
Note: This Market Scale is valid only for absorption rates between 1 and 12 months.
Understand the Market That You are Buying/ Selling in…
I want to live/ sell in West Windsor…..
Market Absorption Scale(Absorption Rate in Months)
5-6 months absorption rate indicates a normal market.
Market Absorption RateComparable Properties
Market Absorption Rate is the number of months it will take to sell the current inventory of homes if nothing new comes on the market and the rate of sales stays the same
5-6 Months Absorption Rate indicates a Normal Market
140 current active listings
37 reported ‘pending’ sales in last 30 days
3.8 month absorptionrate
West WindsorAll Listings
=
Market Absorption RateComparable Properties
Market Absorption Rate is the number of months it will take to sell the current inventory of homes if nothing new comes on the market and the rate of sales stays the same
5-6 Months Absorption Rate indicates a Normal Market
64 current active listings
10 reported ‘pending’ sales in last 30 days
6.4 month absorptionrate
West Windsor$0 - $500k
=
Market Absorption RateComparable Properties
Market Absorption Rate is the number of months it will take to sell the current inventory of homes if nothing new comes on the market and the rate of sales stays the same
5-6 Months Absorption Rate indicates a Normal Market
37 current active listings
14 reported ‘pending’ sales in last 30 days
2.6 month absorptionrate
West Windsor$500k - $700k
=
Market Absorption RateComparable Properties
Market Absorption Rate is the number of months it will take to sell the current inventory of homes if nothing new comes on the market and the rate of sales stays the same
5-6 Months Absorption Rate indicates a Normal Market
29 current active listings
13 reported ‘pending’ sales in last 30 days
2.2 month absorptionrate
West Windsor$700k - $1M
=
Market Absorption RateComparable Properties
Market Absorption Rate is the number of months it will take to sell the current inventory of homes if nothing new comes on the market and the rate of sales stays the same
5-6 Months Absorption Rate indicates a Normal Market
10 current active listings
0 reported ‘pending’ sales in last 30 days
99 month absorptionrate
West Windsor$1M +
=
Market Absorption RateComparable Properties
Market Absorption Rate is the number of months it will take to sell the current inventory of homes if nothing new comes on the market and the rate of sales stays the same
5-6 Months Absorption Rate indicates a Normal Market
64 current active listings
10 reported ‘pending’ sales in last 30 days
6.4 month absorptionrate
West Windsor$0 - $500k
=
Market Absorption RateComparable Properties
Market Absorption Rate is the number of months it will take to sell the current inventory of homes if nothing new comes on the market and the rate of sales stays the same
5-6 Months Absorption Rate indicates a Normal Market
34 current active listings
3 reported ‘pending’ sales in last 30 days
11.3 month absorptionrate
West Windsor$0 - $500k
Single Family
=
Market Absorption RateComparable Properties
Market Absorption Rate is the number of months it will take to sell the current inventory of homes if nothing new comes on the market and the rate of sales stays the same
5-6 Months Absorption Rate indicates a Normal Market
30 current active listings
7 reported ‘pending’ sales in last 30 days
4.2 month absorptionrate
West Windsor$0 - $500k
=
2. ‘I am going to time the Market and buy/ sell at the time when
inventory & buyer count is in my favor…’
Source: MLS
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1/7/2007 4/1/2007 6/24/2007 9/23/2007 12/16/2007
Gross # of Guests 2009
Weekly Guests Thru the Weichert Princeton Open Houses, 2009
Source: MLS
Inventory Levels, Princeton Twp. New Jersey, 2009
3. ‘I am going to wait until the price comes down further and then make an offer/ if I lower my
price I will get lower bids…
Source: MLS
Source: trend mls
Relationship of Price Reductions to ‘Pending Sales’
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Princeton Pendings
Princeton Price Reductions
3/16/10Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
PlainsboroAll Styles
74 18 4.1 36 17 9 12.2% 0 1 7
PlainsboroCondo/ THouses
36 7 5.1 22 15 2 5.6% 0 0 5
Plainsboro55+
17 3 5.7 3 0 - - 0 0 1
PlainsboroSingle Family
21 8 2.6 11 2 7 3.3% 0 1 1
Cranbury:All Styles
24 1 24 5 2 5 20.8% 1 1 2
Cranbury:55+
1 0 99 0 -1 - - 0 1 0
Cranbury: Single Family
23 1 24 5 3 5 21.7% 1 0 2
3/16/10Towns Active
ListingsPending in Last 30 Days
Absorption Rate in Months
New Listings in 30 Days
Net Gain (Loss) to Market
Listings Reduced in 30 Days
% of Invent. Reduced
Expired Listings
W/drawn Listings
Closed Listings
Princeton Boro: All Styles 31 1 31 10 6 4 12.9 2 1 3
Pton -Boro Condo/ Thouses 10 1 10 4 1 1 10 2 0 1
Pton-BoroSingle Family 21 0 99 6 5 3 14.3 0 1 2
Pton Twp: All Styles 102 8 12.8 30 21 10 9.8 1 0 6
Pton Twp: Condo/ Thouses 13 2 6.5 4 2 2 15.4 0 0 3
Pton Twp:Single Family 89 6 14.8 26 19 8 9 1 0 3
Source: trend mls
Relationship of Price Reductions to ‘Pending Sales’
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Princeton Pendings
Princeton Price Reductions
Source: trend mls
Relationship of Price Reductions to ‘Pending Sales’
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
West Windsor Pendings
West Windsor Reductions
Source: trend mls
Relationship of Price Reductions to ‘Pending Sales’
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Lawrence Pendings
Lawrence Reductions
Seeing the Opportunity.Seeing the Opportunity.
Seeing the Opportunity.Seeing the Opportunity.
Q. If this were 2005, where would you place the Price and Rate dots?
Prices Rates
High
Mid-Range
Low
A. In 2005, the V would look somewhat like this one, where prices were on the high end of the scale and rates were in the lower range.
Seizing the Opportunity.Seizing the Opportunity.
In recent history, there has never been an opportunity like this, with low prices and low rates. In real estate, this circular area at the bottom of the V is called the “Buying Zone” – it’s an unbelievable time to buy.
Prices Rates
High
Mid-Range
Low
Jeff Smith,
Loan Officer
Weichert Financial Services
Financial Benefits and Financial Benefits and Process of Home-Process of Home-
Ownership.Ownership.
‘I don’t want to buy a house and then watch it drop in value!’
Purchase Price $329,000 Loan Amount $317400
Down Payment $11,515 Monthly P&I $1802
Appreciation/Depreciation Home Value1st Year -3% $319,1302nd Year 0% $319,1303rd Year 1% $322,3214th Year 3% $331,9905th Year 5% $348,5905 Year Appreciation/Depreciation $19,500
Tax Benefit Vs Paying Rent @
$1600/mo1st Year $5,000 $19,2002nd Year $5,000 $19,2003rd Year $5,000 $19,2004th Year $5,000 $19,2005th Year $5,000 $19,2005 Year Total $25,000 $96,000
Total Gain $44,200Create Equity
v Pay Rent
Purchase Price $329,000 Loan Amount $317400
Down Payment $11,515 Monthly P&I $1802
Appreciation/Depreciation Home Value1st Year 5 $319,1302nd Year 3% $319,1303rd Year 2% $322,3214th Year 2% $331,9905th Year 2% $348,5905 Year Appreciation/Depreciation $48,590
Tax Benefit Vs Paying Rent @
$1600/mo1st Year $5,000 $19,2002nd Year $5,000 $19,2003rd Year $5,000 $19,2004th Year $5,000 $19,2005th Year $5,000 $19,2005 Year Total $25,000 $96,000
Total Gain $73,529Create Equity
v Pay Rent
+ The Amortization Schedule on a Loan
Yearly Schedule of Balances and PaymentsYear
Beginning Balance
Payment Principal InterestCumulative
PrincipalCumulative Interest
Ending Balance
2010 $315,646.96 $21,625.92 $4,374.96 $17,250.96 $6,128.00 $24,508.72$311,272.0
0
2011 $311,272.00 $21,625.92 $4,621.30 $17,004.62 $10,749.30 $41,513.34$306,650.7
0
2012 $306,650.70 $21,625.92 $4,881.98 $16,743.94 $15,631.28 $58,257.28$301,768.7
2
2013 $301,768.72 $21,625.92 $5,157.36 $16,468.56 $20,788.64 $74,725.84$296,611.3
6
2014 $296,611.36 $21,625.92 $5,448.28 $16,177.64 $26,236.92 $90,903.48$291,163.0
8
Appreciation (conservitive): $19,500
+Amortization: $20,109
+ Tax Benefit of Home Ownership
$25,000+
Low Interest Rates: $5000___________________
total 5 year gain = $69,609
1 Source: Freddie Mac 2 As reported in the Washington Post 12/26/09 3 As reported on CNBC 12/22/09
• “It's hard to imagine that the rates can go much lower than they are.” ~ Amy Crews Cutts, deputy chief economist at Freddie Mac2
• "I don't think there's any question rates are headed up.” ~ Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s3
Average annual rate (30-year fixed-rate mortgage)1
How Long Will Interest RatesRemain Low?
The interest rate assumption is based on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage.
Today’s rate:
$200,000
5% down payment
$1,019.96
After increase:
$200,000
5% downpayment
$1,139.15$119 difference per month –or nearly $43,000 over 30 years.
Assuming a 1% increase in interest rates.
The interest rate assumption is based on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage.
Today’s price:
$200,000
5% down payment
$1,019.96
After increase:
$210,000
5% down payment
$1,196.10
Assuming a 1% increase in interest rates and a 5% rebound in home prices.
$176 difference per month –or more than $63,000 over 30 years.
The interest rate assumption is based on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage.
Today’s price:
$250,000
5% down payment
$1,274.95
After increase:
$275,000
5% down payment
$1,566.33$291 difference per month –or nearly $105,000 over 30 years.
Assuming a 1% increase in interest rates and a 10% rebound in home prices.
• The first step is to meet with, me, Jeff
Smith!
Establish Establish YourYour Buying Buying PowerPower
The Impact of Pricing on the Salability of Your Home..…
‘Great speech but does it really work?
We know the best way to evaluate pricing
Does this really work?
We know the best way to evaluate pricing
Does this really work?
22. . The Effect of The Effect of StagingStaging on the on the
Value of a HomeValue of a Home..
The process of preparing homes for sale regardless of
Price, Location, or Condition
To achieve the maximum sales price in the minimum marketing time.
The GOAL is to appeal to the broadest range of BUYERS.
The Way You Live In Your Home…
… And The Way We Market And Sell A House Are Two Different
Things.
“The Investment in Home Staging
is Always Less than Your First Price Reduction!”
Buyers Only Know What They See …
… Not The Way It Is Going To Be.
Based on a StagedHomes.com survey of over 400 homes across Canada & the Continental US prepared for sale by an
Accredited Staging Professional (ASP™) from June 2007 through November 2007.
The average increase in sales price of an ASP Staged vs. non-Staged home is
6.9%.That is an additional
$31,050 on a $450,000 sale.
The average marketing
time of an ASP Staged vs. non-Staged home is 80%
less.
3.3.The Effect of ‘The Effect of ‘Pre-Pre-Inspection’Inspection’ on the Sale of on the Sale of
YourYour Home. Home.
What is
‘Pre-Inspection?’
Home Inspection
WHAT DOES PRE-INSPECTION INCLUDE? The standard home inspector's report will review the condition of the home's heating system, central air
conditioning system (temperature permitting), interior plumbing and electrical systems; the roof, attic, and visible insulation; walls, ceilings, floors, windows and doors; the
foundation, basement, and visible structure.
PRE-LISTING Home Inspection
DOESN’T THE BUYER DO THE HOME INSPECTION?
All Negotiations, including real estate, are all about negotiation and control.
Who is in control?
Right Price
Right Staging
All Repairs are done in advance.
Offer a Home Warranty to the buyer..
PRE-LISTING Home Inspection
Data on where most sales fall apart: attorney review, home inspection.
Fall Thru Percentage 2007: 26%Fall Thru Percentage 2008: 10.2%.
Home Improvements
I am moving out of the house, I do not want spend too much money to move.
Or
I just spent $$ on a new kitchen, I want $$$$$$ back on that investment when I move.
Reality of today’s market is that you will see the return on your investment not in an inflated sales price but in retaining the highest percentage of your list price and staying on the market the fewest # of days.
Please consult with your Realtor & staging professional as to which improvements you should finish to make your home the most salable.
Weichert Family of Companies
What will a real estate company
do for me?
Making Your Purchase as Making Your Purchase as Smooth as PossibleSmooth as Possible
Buying a home involves the careful coordination of many people.
Choosing a real estate team you can count on will make the process smoother
and easier.
• Time is money.
The Weichert The Weichert DifferenceDifference
• Stress kills.
• Time is life.
Educate You.
Negotiate on your behalf.
Offer advice on due diligence.
Manage all aspects of the transaction
process.
What Will a Weichert Agent Do for Me?
We’re Here to HelpWe’re Here to Help
The Entire Process is reviewed by Legal Council.
Become a Fan!
www.facbook.com/weichertprinceton
www.slideshare.net/jdwiltonwww.slideshare.net/jdwilton
Presentation available at all 3 sites, download file through Monday.
Resource and website list:
Realtor.org
http://www.facebook.com/pages/
NAR-Research/73888294183#
Remodeling.com
Resource and Website Resource and Website ListList
http://www.realtor.org/research/research/housinginx
Remodeling.com
www.Otteau.com
www.Pre-listing-inspection.com
Resource and Website Resource and Website List:List:
www.Housemaster.com
www.Stagingshoppingcenter.com
Resource and website Resource and website list:list:
www.Stagedhomes.com
www.realestatestagingassociation.com
www.foreclosurepoint.com
www.realtytrac.com