Mathematics & Reason

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Mathematics & Reason How understanding maths and reason changes your view of the World.

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Mathematics & Reason. How understanding maths and reason changes your view of the World. What is Mathematics?. The search for pattern. Betrand Russell. “Mathematics, rightly viewed, possesses not only truth, but supreme beauty.”. Monty Hall Problem. 1. 2. 3. Monty Hall Problem. 1. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Mathematics & Reason

Page 1: Mathematics & Reason

Mathematics & Reason

Mathematics & Reason

How understanding maths and reason changes your view of the World.

How understanding maths and reason changes your view of the World.

Page 2: Mathematics & Reason

What is Mathematics?

What is Mathematics?

The search for pattern.

The search for pattern.

Page 3: Mathematics & Reason

Betrand RussellBetrand Russell

“Mathematics, rightly viewed, possesses not only truth, but supreme beauty.”

“Mathematics, rightly viewed, possesses not only truth, but supreme beauty.”

Page 4: Mathematics & Reason

Monty Hall ProblemMonty Hall Problem

1 2 3

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Monty Hall ProblemMonty Hall Problem

1

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Simpson’s ParadoxSimpson’s Paradox

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Page 7: Mathematics & Reason

Simpson’s ParadoxSimpson’s Paradox

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Page 8: Mathematics & Reason

Bayes’s TheoremBayes’s Theorem

A patient goes to see a doctor. The doctor performs a test with 99 percent reliability--that is, 99 percent of people who are sick test positive and 99 percent of the healthy people test negative. The doctor knows that only 1 percent of the people in the country are sick. Now the question is: if the patient tests positive, what are the chances the patient is sick?

A patient goes to see a doctor. The doctor performs a test with 99 percent reliability--that is, 99 percent of people who are sick test positive and 99 percent of the healthy people test negative. The doctor knows that only 1 percent of the people in the country are sick. Now the question is: if the patient tests positive, what are the chances the patient is sick?

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Bayes’s TheoremBayes’s Theorem

9900

100

9801

99

1

99

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Penney Ante Game

Penney Ante Game

Mathematics in Gambling

Mathematics in Gambling

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Penney Ante Rules

1. You pick a 3-coin sequence (e.g. H T H)

2. I pick a 3 coin sequence (e.g. T T H)

3. We toss a coin repeatedly

4. Whoever’s sequence appears first wins. T H H H H T H you win

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H H H T T TH H T T T

HH T H T H

TH T T T H

H

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Penny Ante is a scam ! Imagine you choose H H

H . Eventually we get the

first appearance of H H H : 

. . . . . . . . . . . ? H H H

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Was OJ Simpson Guilty?

Was OJ Simpson Guilty?

Mathematics & Statistics in the

Courtroom

Mathematics & Statistics in the

Courtroom

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O.J. Simpson abused his wifeand she was murdered.

1 in 1,000 abused womenare killed by their

husbands. But 80% of murdered abused

womenare killed by the husbands.

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3 Dice… which one would you choose?

3 Dice… which one would you choose?

33

33

33

33

33

66

22

22

22

55

55

55

11

44

44

44

44

44

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MC EsherMC Esher

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Are there examples of this way of thinking in

mathematics?

Are there examples of this way of thinking in

mathematics?

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33

33

33

33

33

66

22

22

22

55

55

55

vs

BLUEBLUE beats GREENGREEN on average

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22

22

22

55

55

55

vs

GREENGREEN beats REDRED on average

11

44

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44

44

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33

33

33

33

33

66

22

22

22

55

55

55

11

44

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44

44

?

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vs

REDRED beats BLUEBLUE!!

11

44

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44

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33

33

33

33

33

66

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625625

671671

Two blues beat two reds

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Benford’s LawBenford’s Law

• Take a list of data.• Examine how many of the numbers start with a 1, 2, 3, etc

• Take a list of data.• Examine how many of the numbers start with a 1, 2, 3, etc

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Benford’s LawBenford’s Law

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Understanding Mathematics

Understanding Mathematics

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Picasso’s GuernicaPicasso’s Guernica

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Perelman’s PoincarePerelman’s Poincare

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Why do we study such old maths?

Why do we study such old maths?