Mastel at Infrastructure Summit

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OPPORTUNITY IN REALIZINGA BROADBAND SOCIETYACROSS INDONESIA

Dr. Setyanto P. SantosaChairmanMASTEL (the Indonesias ICTs Society)

AtIndonesia International InfrastructureConference 2011Jakarta, 13 April 2011


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STRATEGIC STEPSIN INDONESIA TELCOMS HISTORY

1974 Satellite as National Communications System

1984 - Replace Analog by Digital System

1994 - GSM as standard of Mobile Phone

2004 - Era Competitions

2009 - Beginning of Broadband Era

2011 - Meaningful Broadband


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INDONESIAN TELECOMMUNICATIONS GROWTH

Source: Business Monitor International Report 2Q2008 3


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Fixed line subscribers (PSTN): 8.429.180 subs(3.58 %)

Fixed Wireless Access: 27.481.564 subs(11.67 %)

Mobile: 171.432.531 subs(72.78 %)

Internet users:

Broadband

55 Millions(19,11 %)

300 thousands

( 0.2 %)

INDONESIA ICTS PROFILE


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No Operator Owner Technology SpectrumMarketShare

(Q3/2010)GSM (900/800 MHz) : 30 MHz

3G (2100 MHz) : 10 MhzGSM (900/800 MHz) : 30 MHz3G (2100 MHz) : 10 MhzGSM (900/800 MHz) : 30 MHz3G (2100 MHz) : 10 Mhz

60% Hutchison Whampoa GSM (900/800 MHz) : 30 MHz40% Charoen Phokpand 3G (2100 MHz) : 5 Mhz51% Saudi Telecom Co. GSM (900/800 MHz) : 30 MHz44% Maxis, 5% Lippo 3G (2100 MHz) : 5 Mhz

6 Flexi 100% Telkom CDMA 2000 1x CDMA 800 MHz : 5 MHz 7.4%

21.1% Bakrie Brothers CDMA 2000 1x

78 .9% Public EVDO8 StarOne 100% Indosat CDMA 2000 1x CDMA 800 MHz : 3.75 MHz 0.3%

Jerash Inv. 19.6% CDMA 2000 1xCorp. United Inv. 12.7% EVDOEtrading Sec. 12.0%Qualcom 3.1%, Public 52.7%

10 Sampoerna Telecom 100% Sampoerna CDMA 2000 1x CDMA 450 MHz : 10 MHz 0.1%

CDMA 2000 1xEVDO

1 Telkomsel 65% Telkom, 35% SingTel GSM, 3G (UMTS) 41.1%

2 Indosat 65% Qtel, 14.3% RI Govt,20.7% Public

GSM, 3G (UMTS) 17.5%

3 XL Axiata 66.7% Axiata, 13.3% Etisalat,20.0% Public

GSM, 3G (UMTS) 17.0%

4 HCPT GSM, 3G (UMTS) 4.8%

5 NTS GSM, 3G (UMTS) 3.0%

7 Bakrie Telecom CDMA 800 MHz : 5 MHz 5.3%

9 Mobile-8 CDMA 800 MHz : 6.25 MHz 1.3%

11 Smart Telecom 100% SinarMas CDMA 1900 MHz : 10 MHz 2.0%

Indonesia Mobile Operator
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The Positive Side of Indonesian ICT Development

Mobile Tariffs are among the cheapest in SE AsiaLarge growths in Mobile Subscribers for several years

The growing applications and contents in Internet andMobile services, such as IP-TV, streaming videos, games,entertainments, BlackBerry, etc.Indonesia is among the World's largest users of Web 2.0Social Networking, such as Blogs, Facebook, Twitter,

Multiply, Youtube, Chatting, etc


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The Negative Side of the Indonesian ICT Development

The declining profit margins of Operators due to veryintense tariff competition

The lowering of Quality of Service, especially 3G andmobile Internet services

Low or little profits from Web, Internet and SocialNetworks, due to average low income of Indonesians

ICT growth has not been accompanied by economicgrowth; little value added results


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Mobile & Internet Content Industry


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Global Competitive Index (2010-2011)

The Global Competitiveness Report 2010-2011 World Economic Forum


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Broadband is not just an infrastructure. It isa general-purpose technology that canfundamentally restructure an economy. - World Bank, 2009

[Broadband bukan hanya sebuah prasarana, tetapi teknologi multi-guna yg bisa merestrukturisasi perekonomian secara

mendasar Bank Dunia, 2009 ]


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ROLE OF BROADBAND

Broadband needs to be considered as basic national infrastructure, as it willfundamentally reshape the world in the 21st century and change the wayservices are delivered from e-health to e-education to e-commerce to e-government.

Broadband is the most powerful tool ever devised to drive social andeconomic development, and accelerate progress towards the MillenniumDevelopment Goals.

Broadband is becoming a prerequisite to economic opportunity forindividuals, small businesses and communities. Those without broadbandand the skills to use broadband-enabled technologies are becoming moreisolated from the modern American economy.

Broadband can provide significant benefits to the next generation of entrepreneurs and small businesses the engines of job creation andeconomic growth for the country.


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Digital ProsperityUnderstanding the Economic Benefits of the InformationTechnology Revolution

impact onworkerproductivity 3-5x vs. non-IT capital

in the US, IT wasresponsible for2/3 rds .growth inproductivity between

1995-2002 and virtuallyALLgrowth in laborproductivity

IT usage in China wasresponsible for 38%increase in productivity

growth and 21% GDPgrowth IT industry creates jobs, on averagepaying 84% morethan the average


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CHALLENGE & OPPORTUNITY OF BROADBAND

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

India

Indonesia

Philippines

Thailand

Malaysia

Taiwan

Australia

Korea

Singapore

Broadband Penetration in Household

1500%


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2009

Broadband: 1%Internet: 13%Desa Berdering: 78,2%Desa Internet: 2%

TVRI to Population: 50%(Data : 2010)

e-Gov Index : 1,9

2014

Broadband: 30%Internet: 50%Desa Berdering: 100%Desa Internet: 100%

TVRI to Population : 88%( Data 2010)

e-Gov Index : 3,4

How toAchieve ?


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Usable

determined by the total cost of ownership (COO), incorporating thefollowing five factors: Bandwidth

Last Mile Access Prepaid and Postpaid Subscriber Services Device Use Software Taxes and any other charges

Affordable

involves calculating the real cost of current ownership andprojecting their future changes.It includes access to training, upgrades, technical support,information in local languages, telecenters, reliable electricity,etc.

Empowering

refers to engaged learning and learning how to learn.

Once empowerment becomes a sustained experience, one enters a virtuouscircle of continuous learning that brings benefit to self and others.

Empowerment can be measured through new emerging methods fromthe field of Human Computer Interaction (HCI.) Designers canmeasure empowerment through the use of self reports, through second personobservation (drawn from the field of ethnography), and throughobjective third person measures (now being developed in neuro-engineering )

The more usable and affordable is the system the more it becomes possible toactivate the potential of the technology to empower users.


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Indonesian Economic Pyramid

Percentage of GDP Percentage of Population


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Middle Of Pyramid

Broadband in MOP can help TOP and BOP


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National Telecommunication infrastructures 2010

PALAPA-D (113E) PALAPA C2 (150.5E)TELKOM-1 (108E) TELKOM-2 (118E)


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National Telecommunication infrastructures (Next)

PALAPA-D (113E) PALAPA C2 (150.5E)TELKOM-1 (108E) TELKOM-2 (118E)


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TARGET ICT INDONESIAN 2014


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Priority of Broadband Economy


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Virtuous Circle for Broadband, connecting the elements!

High-SpeedNetworks

Services

Applications

Users

Investments

Relevance

Source: World Bank (forthcoming) Broadband Policy Development in Developing Countries.


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Lets think for Indonesia context

Why the country is at risk if it does not create a big pushin Broadband ?

Why we dont go beyond the small scale thinking for onlyuse USO Fund, to a larger and more ambitious plan ?

Why conditions are now in place to create a big push in

Broadband ?


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Acceleration of Economic Growth

SPEEDOMETER

EconomicGrowth >7%

Innovation DrivenEconomy

National BroadbandPlan


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Words of wisdom . . . . .

We can't solve today'sproblems by thinking the way we thought when we created the problems.

Albert Einstein

Best way to predict the future is to create it now . . . . .


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THANK YOU [email protected]

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