Maryland’s Changing Demographics Leadership Challenge XV June 13, 2006 Presented by Mark Goldstein...
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Transcript of Maryland’s Changing Demographics Leadership Challenge XV June 13, 2006 Presented by Mark Goldstein...
Maryland’s Changing Demographics
Leadership Challenge XV
June 13, 2006
Presented by
Mark Goldstein
Maryland Department of Planning
Demographic Topics
• Statewide look at pop change by race & Hispanic Origin
• Foreign born population
• Pop change by race & Hispanic origin by jurisdiction
• Age data
Data Sources
• Decennial Census Data, 1990 & 2000
• Post 2000 Census Population Estimates, 2000 – 2004
Data Definition
• Minority is everyone who is NOT non-Hispanic White
• Includes African Americans, Asians & Pacific Islanders, American Indians, Multi-Race and Hispanics
• Hispanics are an ETHNIC and not a RACIAL minority. Hispanics can be of any race, but in Maryland most (over 90%) are white
Growth in Non-Hispanic White & Minority Population in Maryland,1980-1990
204,465
359,355
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
Non-Hispanic White Minorities
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data, 1990 MARS and 2000 Modified Race data
36% 64%
Growth in Non-Hispanic White & Minority Population in Maryland, 1990 - 2000
-27,520
480,749
-100,000
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
Non-Hispanic White Minorities
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data, 1990 MARS and 2000 Modified Race data
Growth in Non-Hispanic White & Minority Population in Maryland, 2000 - 2004
24,402
237,150
-100,000
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
Non-Hispanic White Minorities
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data, 2000 Modified Race data & population estimates, 2004
Net Domestic Migration For Maryland, 1995 - 2000
-69,002
43,553
-80,000
-60,000
-40,000
-20,000
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
Non-Hispanic White African American
Non-Hispanic White African American
Prepared by the Maryland Dept of Planning, Planning Data Services from Census 2000 Migration DVD
Population Change for Maryland by Race and Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000 *
-27,520
297,304
79,107
1,515
102,823
-50,000
50,000
150,000
250,000
350,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 1990 and 2000 are for non Hispanics. For 2000 includes single race only
Population Change for Maryland by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004 *
24,423
114,134
41,661
284
69,801
11,270
-50,000
50,000
150,000
250,000
350,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two+
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 2000 and 2004 are for non Hispanics.
Share of 2000 – 2004 Pop Change for Maryland
9%
16%
4%
44%
27%
African American Hispanic Asian Two+ NH_White
Maryland Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990
69.6%
24.7%
2.9%0.3%
2.6%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
* Race share is non-HispanicPrepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs
Maryland Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2000
62.3%
27.9%
4.1%0.3%
4.3%1.2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two +
* Race share is non-HispanicPrepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 2000 MARs
Maryland Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004
59.8%
28.6%
4.6%0.3%
5.4%1.3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two +
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
Foreign Born Population
• Totals Over the Decades
• Distribution
• Impact on Population Growth
• Origin of the Foreign Born
• Ability to Speak English
Foreign-Born Entering Maryland by Decade
44,665
86,233
147,953
228,429
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Foreign-Born Entering Maryland by Decade*
90,721
228,429
147,953
86,233
44,665
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
213,500
* For 2000s, estimates for 2000-2004 and extrapolation to 2010
Total Foreign Born in Maryland
94,178124,345
195,581
313,494
518,315
595,089
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2004
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from Decennial Census data and 2004 ACS
Foreign Born as a Pct of Total Population in Maryland
3.0% 3.2%
4.6%
6.6%
9.8%11.0%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2004
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Decennial Census and ACS
Where Foreign-Born Settled During the 1990s
45.4%
23.0%
31.6%
MontgomeryPrince George'sRemainder
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Where Foreign-Born Settled During the 1980s
50.1%
26.2%
23.7%
MontgomeryPrince George'sRemainder
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
“Rest” of the 1980s
8.1%
6.0%
2.8% 2.6%
4.2%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
BaltimoreCounty
BaltimoreCity
Howard AnneArundel
Rest ofState
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
“Rest” of the 1990s
10.7%
6.2%5.0%
3.4%
6.3%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
BaltimoreCounty
BaltimoreCity
Howard AnneArundel
Rest ofState
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
2,477
3,046
3,264
3,470
7,364
7,779
23,211
28,113
29,638
53,784
110,481
232,996
0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000
Washington
Carroll
Wicomico
Charles
Harford
Frederick
Anne Arundel
Howard
Baltimore City
Baltimore Co
Prince George's
Montgomery
Total Foreign Born in Maryland by Jurisdiction – 2000
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
2.9%
2.9%
3.3%
3.4%
3.9%
4.0%
4.6%
4.7%
7.1%
11.3%
13.8%
26.7%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Charles
Kent
Talbot
Harford
Wicomico
Frederick
Baltimore City
Anne Arundel
Baltimore Co
Howard
Prince George's
Montgomery
Foreign Born as a Percent of Total Population – 2000
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Components of Population Change, 1990 – 2000, Maryland
333,634
166,079
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
Net Natural Increase Net Migration
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Components of Population Change, 1990 – 2000, Maryland
333,634
-62,350
228,429
-100,000
-50,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
Net NaturalIncrease
Domestic Migration ForeignImmigration
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Components of Population Change for Montgomery County, 1990 – 2000
73,617
-61,148
103,686
-80,000
-40,000
0
40,000
80,000
120,000
Net NaturalIncrease
Domestic Migration ForeignImmigration
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Components of Population Change for Prince George’s County, 1990 – 2000
78,950
-58,776
52,460
-60,000
-40,000
-20,000
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
Net NaturalIncrease
Domestic Migration ForeignImmigration
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Components of Population Change for Baltimore County, 1990 – 2000
25,361
7,736
24,550
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Net NaturalIncrease
Domestic Migration ForeignImmigration
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Components of Population Change for Howard County, 1990 – 2000
23,40225,005
11,372
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
Net NaturalIncrease
Domestic Migration ForeignImmigration
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Components of Migration for Baltimore City, 1990 – 2000
20,307
-125,231
14,057
-160,000
-120,000
-80,000
-40,000
0
40,000
Net NaturalIncrease
Domestic Migration ForeignImmigration
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Origin of the Foreign Born in Maryland (Entered 1990 – 2000)
79,58575,430
36,97832,064
3,451 9210
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
LatinAmerica
Asia Africa Europe NorthAmerica
Oceania
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
34.8% 33.0%
16.2% 14.0%
Country of Origin for the Foreign Born in Maryland
14,555
14,807
15,071
18,988
19,287
21,007
25,581
31,249
32,276
41,818
0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000
Germany
Vietnam
Nigeria
Jamaica
Mexico
Philippines
China & Hong Kong
Korea
India
El Salvador
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Country of Origin for the Foreign Born in Maryland (cont.)
6,550
7,183
7,928
8,407
8,723
9,019
9,733
10,309
11,050
14,206
0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000
Ghana
Pakistan
Taiwan
Peru
Russia
Canada
Iran
Guatemala
Trinidad and Tobago
United Kingdom
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Origin of the Foreign Born in Montgomery (Entered 1990 – 2000)
36,898 36,113
15,38713,606
1,215 4670
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
LatinAmerica
Asia Africa Europe NorthAmerica
Oceania
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
35.6% 34.8% 14.8% 13.1%
Country of Origin for the Foreign Born in Montgomery County
4,709
5,105
5,108
5,781
6,149
6,795
8,782
12,175
14,318
16,169
24,106
0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000
TaiwanJamaicaMexico
PeruPhilippines
IranVietnam
KoreaChina & Hong Kong
IndiaEl Salvador
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Origin of the Foreign Born in Prince George’s (Entered 1990 – 2000)
25,209
13,23811,231
2,254474 540
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
LatinAmerica
Africa Asia Europe NorthAmerica
Oceania
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
48.0% 25.2% 21.4%
Country of Origin for the Foreign Born in Prince George’s County
3,040
3,161
3,215
4,153
4,243
4,804
6,370
7,570
7,788
8,012
13,913
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000
China & Hong Kong Guyana
Sierra LeoneGuatemala
Trinidad and TobagoIndia
PhilippinesNigeria
JamaicaMexico
El Salvador
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Origin of the Foreign Born in Baltimore County (Entered 1990 – 2000)
9,518
7,142
3,9923,302
549 470
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Asia Europe LatinAmerica
Africa NorthAmerica
Oceania
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
38.8% 29.1% 16.8% 13.4%
Country of Origin for the Foreign Born in Baltimore County
1,349
1,847
1,874
1,933
2,108
2,422
2,485
2,803
2,896
4,020
4,022
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000
Trinidad and TobagoUnited Kingdom
GermanyJamaicaNigeria
PhilippinesUkraine
China & Hong KongRussia
IndiaKorea
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Origin of the Foreign Born in Howard County (Entered 1990 – 2000)
5,939
2,072 1,8771,140
193 1510
5,000
10,000
15,000
Asia LatinAmerica
Europe Africa NorthAmerica
Oceania
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
52.2% 18.2% 16.5%
Country of Origin for the Foreign Born in Howard County
709
736
803
810
811
892
994
1,081
1,863
3,098
4,706
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000
IranPakistanJamaicaTaiwan
GermanyUnited Kingdom
MexicoPhilippines
China & Hong KongIndia
Korea
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Number in Maryland Who Speak English “Not Well or Not at All”
28,033
62,184
111,256
0
40,000
80,000
120,000
1980 1990 2000
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Maryland Residents Who Speak English, “Not Well” or “Not at All” by Language
Spoken at Home59,326
27,001
21,544
3,385
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
Spanish Asian Indo-European Other
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
111,256 total
53.3%24.3%
19.4%
Maryland Residents Who Speak English, “Not Well” or “Not at All” by Language
Spoken at Home
9,9468,777
4,374 4,365
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
Korean Chinese Russian Vietnamese
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Montgomery Co. Residents Who Speak English, “Not Well” or “Not at All” by
Language Spoken at Home24,218
12,979
7,436
1,202
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
Spanish Asian Indo-European Other
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
52.8% 28.3%16.2%
Montgomery Co. Residents Who Speak English, “Not Well” or “Not at All” by
Language Spoken at Home
4,821
3,783
2,469
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
Chinese Korean Vietnamese
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Prince George’s Co. Residents Who Speak English, “Not Well” or “Not at All” by
Language Spoken at Home19,259
3,6922,323
998
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Spanish Asian Indo-European Other
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
73.3% 14.0% 8.8%
Baltimore Co. Residents Who Speak English, “Not Well” or “Not at All” by
Language Spoken at Home
4,461
3,1592,980
439
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Indo-European Spanish Asian Other
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
40.4% 28.6% 27.0%
Baltimore Co. Residents Who Speak English, “Not Well” or “Not at All” by
Language Spoken at Home
2,148
1,139 1,058
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
Russian Chinese Korean
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Population Change by Race and Hispanic Origin for Jurisdictions
• Total Change – 1990 – 2000– 2000 - 2004
• Share of Total Pop – 1990– 2004
Percent Minority Population - 1990
1.0%2.9%3.8%
6.0%7.4%7.6%
11.6%12.3%
15.3%15.8%16.5%17.3%17.8%18.0%18.9%
21.7%22.7%22.8%24.1%
27.5%28.9%30.4%
39.5%58.4%
61.4%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
GarrettAllegany
CarrollCecil
WashingtonFrederick
HarfordQueen Anne'sAnneArundel
Baltimore Co.St Mary's
CalvertCarolineHoward
TalbotCharles
WorcesterKent
WicomicoMontgomery
DorchesterMarylandSomerset
PrinceGeorge'Baltimore City
Percent Minority Population - 2000
1.5%4.8%
7.3%7.4%
10.8%11.4%11.7%
14.0%16.9%
18.7%19.1%19.4%19.5%20.0%21.5%
26.3%27.1%28.3%
31.1%32.5%
37.7%40.0%
44.1%68.8%
75.5%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
GarrettCarroll
CecilAllegany
WashingtonQueen Anne's
FrederickHarfordCalvertTalbot
CarolineSt, Mary'sWorcester
Anne ArundelKent
Baltimore CoHoward
WicomicoDorchester
CharlesMaryland
MongtomerySomerset
Baltimore CityPrince George's
Percent Minority Population - 2004
1.4%6.2%7.8%8.5%
10.9%12.4%
15.2%16.3%17.1%18.0%18.5%19.4%19.8%20.2%
22.0%29.2%30.6%30.8%31.5%
40.2%40.2%
43.4%44.4%
69.9%80.0%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
GarrettCarroll
AlleganyCecil
Queen Anne'sWashington
FrederickHarfordCalvertTalbot
WorcesterCaroline
St. Mary'sKent
Anne ArundelWicomico
Baltimore CountyDorchester
HowardMaryland
CharlesMontgomery
SomersetBaltimore City
Prince George's
Pct Point Change in Minority PopulationShare, 1990 -2004
-4.2%-2.6%
-1.3%-0.9%
-0.3%0.5%
1.6%1.8%
2.4%2.5%
3.3%4.8%4.8%4.9%4.9%5.1%
6.6%7.6%
8.5%9.8%
13.4%14.8%
16.0%18.5%
21.7%
-10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
WorcesterKent
Queen Anne'sTalbot
CalvertGarrett
CarolineDorchester
CarrollCecil
St. Mary'sHarford
AlleganySomerset
WashingtonWicomico
Anne ArundelFrederick
Baltimore CityMaryland
HowardBaltimore
MontgomeryCharles
Prince George's
Population Change for Montgomery Co. by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*
-24,966
43,25839,337
216
44,922
-30,000
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 1990 and 2000 are for non Hispanics. For 2000 includes single race only
Population Change for Montgomery Co. by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004 *
-2,832
8,667
19,218
-39
20,811
2,524
-30,000
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two+
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 2000 and 2004 are for non Hispanics.
Montgomery Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990
72.5%
11.8%8.1%
0.2%
7.4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
* Race share is non-HispanicPrepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs
Montgomery Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004
56.6%
15.3%13.0%
0.2%
13.2%
1.7%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two +
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
Population Change for Prince George’s Co. by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*
-106,814
136,538
4,542 17127,087
-150,000
-100,000
-50,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 1990 and 2000 are for non Hispanics. For 2000 includes single race only
Influence of migration from Wash, D.C.
Influence of migration from Wash, D.C.
Population Change for Prince George’s Co. by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004
*
-28,179
42,978
860 -62
25,106749
-150,000
-100,000
-50,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two+
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 2000 and 2004 are for non Hispanics.
Continued loss of white pop; relatively stronger growth in Hispanics – nearly equal to previous 10-yr. growth
Continued loss of white pop; relatively stronger growth in Hispanics – nearly equal to previous 10-yr. growth
Prince George’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990
41.6%
50.2%
3.8%0.3%
4.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
* Race share is non-HispanicPrepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs
Prince George’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004
20.0%
64.7%
3.9%0.3%
9.7%
1.4%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two +
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
Population Change for Charles County by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*
2,193
13,052
976131
1,017
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 1990 and 2000 are for non Hispanics. For 2000 includes single race only
Nearly 90 % of gain is minority growth
Nearly 90 % of gain is minority growth
Population Change for Charles County by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004 *
-156
12,760
744-36
1,261 688
-2,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two+
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 2000 and 2004 are for non Hispanics.
Growth is entirely minority. In four years nearly equal to previous 10 for AA
Growth is entirely minority. In four years nearly equal to previous 10 for AA
Charles County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990
78.3%
18.1%
1.3% 0.7% 1.7%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
* Race share is non-HispanicPrepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs
Over ¾ white; less than 1/5 AA
Over ¾ white; less than 1/5 AA
Charles County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004
59.8%
32.5%
2.2% 0.6% 2.9% 2.0%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two +
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
White share less than 60%; AA share approaching 1/3
White share less than 60%; AA share approaching 1/3
Population Change for Baltimore County by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*
-26,986
66,671
9,333392
5,643
-30,000
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 1990 and 2000 are for non Hispanics. For 2000 includes single race only
AA - Influence of migration from Baltimore City
AA - Influence of migration from Baltimore City
Population Change for Baltimore County by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004
*
-13,697
29,461
4,678184
4,042 1,861
-30,000
-20,000
-10,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two+
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 2000 and 2004 are for non Hispanics.
Nearly same pattern; but Hispanic growth nearly equal to previous 10 years
Nearly same pattern; but Hispanic growth nearly equal to previous 10 years
Baltimore County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990
84.2%
12.2%
2.2% 0.2% 1.2%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
* Race share is non-HispanicPrepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs
Baltimore County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004
69.4%
23.2%
3.7%0.3% 2.3% 1.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two +
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
Whites < 70%; AA approaching 1/4 ; Asians & Hispanics < 5 %
Whites < 70%; AA approaching 1/4 ; Asians & Hispanics < 5 %
Population Change for Harford Co. by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*
26,867
4,778
1,002 71,348
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 1990 and 2000 are for non Hispanics. For 2000 includes single race only
White growth 5.6/1 to AA growth
White growth 5.6/1 to AA growth
Pop Change for Harford County by Race Hispanic & Origin, 2000–2004 *
9,169
4,842
825 261,315 827
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two+
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 2000 and 2004 are for non Hispanics.
White growth now 1.9 to 1 to AA growth. Hispanic growth =previous 10-year gain
White growth now 1.9 to 1 to AA growth. Hispanic growth =previous 10-year gain
Harford County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990
88.4%
8.4%
1.3% 0.2% 1.5%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
* Race share is non-HispanicPrepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs
Harford County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004
83.7%
10.6%
1.8% 0.2% 2.3% 1.4%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two +
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
Change in shares about equal to previous 10 years for whites, a bit more for AA
Change in shares about equal to previous 10 years for whites, a bit more for AA
Population Change for Frederick County by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*
33,525
4,4201,885
1052,951
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 1990 and 2000 are for non Hispanics. For 2000 includes single race only
Overwhelmingly white. Ratio of white to AA = 7.6 to 1
Overwhelmingly white. Ratio of white to AA = 7.6 to 1
Population Change for Frederick County by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004
*
12,314
3,040 2,104119
3,7831,017
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two+
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 2000 and 2004 are for non Hispanics.
White share much smaller than previous 10 years (78% vs. 55%). AA change almost as much; Hispanic > previous 10 years
White share much smaller than previous 10 years (78% vs. 55%). AA change almost as much; Hispanic > previous 10 years
Frederick County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990
92.4%
5.3%1.0% 0.2% 1.1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
* Race share is non-HispanicPrepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs
Frederick County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004
84.8%
7.1%2.5% 0.2%
3.9% 1.5%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two +
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
White share drops almost as much as in previous 10 years (3.5 vs. 4.1)
White share drops almost as much as in previous 10 years (3.5 vs. 4.1)
Population Change for Carroll County by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*
24,979
539 441 137 5860
10,000
20,000
30,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 1990 and 2000 are for non Hispanics. For 2000 includes single race only
Overwhelmingly white gain (94%)
Overwhelmingly white gain (94%)
Population Change for Carroll County by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004 *
12,130
1,194 799 43 873 2230
10,000
20,000
30,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two+
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 2000 and 2004 are for non Hispanics.
Still mostly white, but less so (79.5%). AA & Hispanic increase greater than in previous 10 years
Still mostly white, but less so (79.5%). AA & Hispanic increase greater than in previous 10 years
Carroll County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990
96.2%
2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.7%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
* Race share is non-HispanicPrepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs
Carroll County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004
93.8%
2.8% 1.2% 0.2% 1.4% 0.6%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two +
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
Population Change for Howard County by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990 – 2000*
27,248
14,105
11,261
162
3,791
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 1990 and 2000 are for non Hispanics. For 2000 includes single race only
White is largest increase but less than ½ of total increase (48.2%)
White is largest increase but less than ½ of total increase (48.2%)
Population Change for Howard County by Race and Hispanic Origin, 2000 – 2004 *
1,987
4,974
8,157
302,487
1,2610
10,000
20,000
30,000
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two+
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs and 2000 Modified Race data
* Race for 2000 and 2004 are for non Hispanics.
White gain now fourth largest
White gain now fourth largest
Howard County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 1990
82.0%
11.6%4.3%
0.2% 2.0%0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic
* Race share is non-HispanicPrepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Data 1990MARs
Howard County’s Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004
68.5%
15.3%10.3%
0.2%3.7% 2.0%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two +
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
White share drops another 4.4 pct pts., Increase spread out
White share drops another 4.4 pct pts., Increase spread out
U.S. Arrest Rates by Age and Gender - 2004 (per 10,000 population)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65+
Males Females
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, using arrest statistics from the FBI (Crime in the U.S. in 2004), and U.S. Census Bureau population estimates
2004 Population Distribution by Race/Hispanic Origin from Maryland
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
0-4
5-9
10-1
415
-19
20-2
425
-29
30-3
435
-39
40-4
445
-49
50-5
455
-59
60-6
465
-69
70-7
475
-79
80-8
485
+
White
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from Census Bureau population estimates
2004 Population Distribution by Race/Hispanic Origin from Maryland
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
0-4
5-9
10-1
415
-19
20-2
425
-29
30-3
435
-39
40-4
445
-49
50-5
455
-59
60-6
465
-69
70-7
475
-79
80-8
485
+
White Afr. American
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from Census Bureau population estimates
2004 Population Distribution by Race/Hispanic Origin from Maryland
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
0-4
5-9
10-1
415
-19
20-2
425
-29
30-3
435
-39
40-4
445
-49
50-5
455
-59
60-6
465
-69
70-7
475
-79
80-8
485
+
White Asian
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from Census Bureau population estimates
2004 Population Distribution by Race/Hispanic Origin from Maryland
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
0-4
5-9
10-1
415
-19
20-2
425
-29
30-3
435
-39
40-4
445
-49
50-5
455
-59
60-6
465
-69
70-7
475
-79
80-8
485
+
White Hispanic
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from Census Bureau population estimates
Montgomery Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004
56.6%
15.3%13.0%
0.2%
13.2%
1.7%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two +
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
Montgomery Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004, Males 15-19
54.4%
16.3%11.6%
0.2%
15.1%
2.5%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two +
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
Montgomery Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004, Males 20-24
45.5%
16.8%13.4%
0.2%
22.1%
2.0%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two +
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
Montgomery Population Share by Race & Hispanic Origin, 2004, Males 25-29
40.5%
17.0% 15.9%
0.2%
24.8%
1.5%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
White AfricanAmerican
Asian AmericanIndian
Hispanic Two +
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning from U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates
2004 Percent Minority by Age Group for Montgomery County
43.4%
49.7%52.5%
49.4%
32.2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Total 0-14 15-29 30-44 45+
Source: Census Bureau Population Estimates
Summary – A Few Key Points
• Maryland is a diverse state and one that is becoming more diverse over time
• This diversity is being promoted by net out-migration of non-Hispanic whites, in-migration of African Americans and steady and significant foreign immigration
Summary – A Few Key Points
• Foreign immigration plays a major role in population growth in the State in general, and an even larger role for particular counties
• Although the minority population is growing in 19 out of 24 jurisdictions, it is not uniform as to its race/ethnic makeup
Summary – A Few Key Points
• In many jurisdictions, growth in Asians and Hispanics over the 2000-2004 period nearly matches, or exceeds, growth over the previous 10 years
• Spanish speakers are the largest share of those that have trouble speaking English, although this can vary by jurisdiction.
Summary – A Few Key Points
• In almost all cases, minority population is younger than the non-Hispanic white population
• As a result, minority share of the population in key crime age cohorts will be larger than their share of the general population