Maryland Real Estate Market Activity 02-07-2011

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  • 8/7/2019 Maryland Real Estate Market Activity 02-07-2011

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    . . . . . . . . . 2

    Publish Date: February 7, 2011Weekly Activity

    Pending Sales . . . . . . . . . 3

    Housing market activity in our nation's capital will struggle to clear the high

    water mark set during the spring 2010 tax credit. This dynamic reared its

    head as sellers placed about 1,100 fewer properties on the market than

    they did during the same week in 2010. That made for a 29.8 percent

    New Listings

    Active Listings

    Days on Market Until Sale

    Most Recent Month

    . . . . . . . . . 8

    Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale

    . . . . . . . . . 5

    Months Supply of Inventory

    Housing Affordability Index

    . . . . . . . . . 4

    decrease and this year's trendline has begun to diverge somewhat from

    last year's.

    Pending Sales posted their smallest year-over-year gain in over two

    months. Buyer activity increased 2.3 percent over year-ago levels,

    following seven consecutive weeks of double-digit gains. After hovering

    somewhat above it, the current Pending Sales trendline has begun to

    converge with the previous year's.

    Fortunately, the number of Active Listings for sale continued to fall. Thismetric dropped 6.2 percent from a year prior to just under 54,000 homes.

    That's the sixth consecutive week of inventory drops a factor that will help

    maintain price stability even as we're comparing a non-incentive market to

    an incentive market. . . . . . . . . . 7

    . . . . . . . . . 6

    All data provided by RealEstate Business Intelligence, LLC | An MRIS company

    Reports are created and maintained by 10K Research and Marketing. Data current as of 2/7/2011. This report may be reproduced by MRIS members. 1

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    New ListingsAs of February 7, 2011

    Last Three Months Weekly New Listings

    3,180 3,324 - 4.3%

    3,170 3,274 - 3.2%

    2,882 3,020 - 4.6%

    1,780 1,931 - 7.8%

    2,897 2,978 - 2.7%

    2,662 2,789 - 4.6%2,349 2,209 + 6.3%

    1,656 1,295 + 27.9%

    1,597 1,875 - 14.8%

    3,159 3,400 - 7.1%

    3,068 3,644 - 15.8%

    3,066 3,618 - 15.3%

    2,620 3,730 - 29.8%

    34,086 37,087 - 8.1%3-Month Total:

    1/29/2011

    1/22/2011

    12/4/2010

    12/11/201012/18/2010

    12/25/2010

    1/1/2011

    1/8/2011

    1/15/2011

    11/13/2010

    11/20/2010

    11/27/2010

    For the week

    ending:

    11/6/2010

    One Year

    Ago

    One Year

    Change

    Current

    Activity

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    4,500

    Current Activity

    One Year Ago

    1,000

    1,500

    2,000

    2,500

    3,000

    3,500

    4,000

    4,500

    11/6/10 11/13/10 11/20/10 11/27/10 12/4/10 12/11/10 12/18/10 12/25/10 1/1/11 1/8/11 1/15/11 1/22/11 1/29/11

    Current Activity

    One Year Ago

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    1/4/03 5/4/03 9/1/03 12/30/03 4/28/04 8/26/04 12/24/04 4/23/05 8/21/05 12/19/05 4/18/06 8/16/06 12/14/06 4/13/07 8/11/07 12/9/07 4/7/08 8/5/08 12/3/08 4/2/09 7/31/09 11/28/09 3/28/10 7/26/10 11/23/10

    Historical New Listings

    Compared to Last Year: Down (-)

    Compared to 2003: Down (-)

    All data provided by RealEstate Business Intelligence, LLC | An MRIS company

    Reports are created and maintained by 10K Research and Marketing. Data current as of 2/7/2011. This report may be reproduced by MRIS members. 2

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    Pending SalesAs of February 7, 2011

    Last Three Months Weekly Pending Sales

    2,008 1,866 + 7.6%

    1,941 1,798 + 8.0%

    2,066 1,829 + 13.0%

    1,319 1,290 + 2.2%

    1,772 1,709 + 3.7%

    1,732 1,558 + 11.2%

    1,755 1,471 + 19.3%

    1,354 926 + 46.2%

    1,250 1,047 + 19.4%

    1,671 1,449 + 15.3%

    2,056 1,780 + 15.5%

    2,201 1,984 + 10.9%

    2,135 2,087 + 2.3%

    23,260 20,794 + 11.9%

    1/1/2011

    11/6/2010

    1/8/2011

    1/15/2011

    For the week

    ending:

    Current

    Activity

    One Year

    Ago

    One Year

    Change

    3-Month Total:

    11/13/2010

    1/29/2011

    1/22/2011

    12/4/2010

    12/11/2010

    11/20/2010

    11/27/2010

    12/18/2010

    12/25/2010

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    2,000

    2,200

    2,400

    Current Activity

    One Year Ago

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    2,000

    2,200

    2,400

    11/6/10 11/13/10 11/20/10 11/27/10 12/4/10 12/11/10 12/18/10 12/25/10 1/1/11 1/8/11 1/15/11 1/22/11 1/29/11

    Current Activity

    One Year Ago

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    1/4/03 5/4/03 9/1/03 12/30/03 4/28/04 8/26/04 12/24/04 4/23/05 8/21/05 12/19/05 4/18/06 8/16/06 12/14/06 4/13/07 8/11/07 12/9/07 4/7/08 8/5/08 12/3/08 4/2/09 7/31/09 11/28/09 3/28/10 7/26/10 11/23/10

    Historical Pending Sales

    Up (+)

    Down (-)

    Compared to Last Year:

    Compared to 2003:

    All data provided by RealEstate Business Intelligence, LLC | An MRIS company

    Reports are created and maintained by 10K Research and Marketing. Data current as of 2/7/2011. This report may be reproduced by MRIS members. 3

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    Active Listings for SaleAs of February 7, 2011

    Last Three Months Weekly Inventory for Sale

    67,212 64,633 + 4.0%

    65,616 63,226 + 3.8%

    65,029 63,138 + 3.0%

    64,335 62,819 + 2.4%

    63,363 62,402 + 1.5%

    62,614 61,189 + 2.3%61,130 60,685 + 0.7%

    60,287 60,121 + 0.3%

    59,085 59,318 - 0.4%

    58,473 58,992 - 0.9%

    55,281 56,367 - 1.9%

    55,099 56,834 - 3.1%

    54,606 57,200 - 4.5%

    53,959 57,505 - 6.2%

    11/20/2010

    One Year

    Change

    12/18/2010

    1/15/2011

    11/13/2010

    12/11/2010

    12/25/2010

    1/1/2011

    11/27/2010

    1/22/2011

    1/8/2011

    1/29/2011

    12/4/2010

    11/6/2010

    Inventory as of:Current

    Inventory

    One Year

    Ago

    10/30/2010

    52,500

    55,000

    57,500

    60,000

    62,500

    65,000

    67,500

    70,000

    Current Inventory

    One Year Ago

    59,914 59,984 - 0.1%3-Month Avg:52,500

    55,000

    57,500

    60,000

    62,500

    65,000

    67,500

    70,000

    10/30/10 11/6/10 11/13/10 11/20/10 11/27/10 12/4/10 12/11/10 12/18/10 12/25/10 1/1/11 1/8/11 1/15/11 1/22/11 1/29/11

    Current Inventory

    One Year Ago

    20,000

    30,000

    40,000

    50,000

    60,000

    70,000

    80,000

    90,000

    1/11/03 5/11/03 9/8/03 1/6/04 5/5/04 9/2/04 12/31/04 4/30/05 8/28/05 12/26/05 4/25/06 8/23/06 12/21/06 4/20/07 8/18/07 12/16/07 4/14/08 8/12/08 12/10/08 4/9/09 8/7/09 12/5/09 4/4/10 8/2/10 11/30/10

    Historical Weekly Inventory for Sale

    Even

    Down (-)

    Compared to Last Year:

    Compared to 2003:

    All data provided by RealEstate Business Intelligence, LLC | An MRIS company

    Reports are created and maintained by 10K Research and Marketing. Data current as of 2/7/2011. This report may be reproduced by MRIS members. 4

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    Days on Market Until Sale

    86 124 - 31.2%

    86 123 - 30.2%

    85 119 - 28.9%

    78 110 - 29.5%

    74 108 - 31.4%

    72 100 - 27.9%71 95 - 24.8%

    76 92 - 17.4%

    82 91 - 10.4%

    83 90 - 7.5%

    86 84 + 1.7%

    90 85 + 5.9%

    81 102 - 20.8%

    2-2010

    4-2010

    3-2010

    1-2010

    Current

    Year

    One Year

    Previous

    One Year

    ChangeMonth

    5-2010

    6-2010

    12-Month Avg:

    12-2010

    8-2010

    9-2010

    10-2010

    11-2010

    7-2010

    112

    8590

    12-2008 12-2009 12-2010

    December 2010 90

    + 5.9%- 23.9%

    U +Com ared to Last Year:

    112

    8590

    12-2008 12-2009 12-2010

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    1-2003 1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010

    December 2010 90

    + 5.9%- 23.9%

    Historical Days on Market Until Sale

    Up (+)

    Up (+)

    Compared to Last Year:

    Compared to 2003:

    All data provided by RealEstate Business Intelligence, LLC | An MRIS company

    Reports are created and maintained by 10K Research and Marketing. Data current as of 2/7/2011. This report may be reproduced by MRIS members. 5

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    Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale

    93.6% 90.2% + 3.8%

    93.9% 90.0% + 4.4%

    94.2% 90.4% + 4.1%

    94.7% 91.3% + 3.7%

    94.9% 92.2% + 2.9%

    94.7% 92.9% + 2.0%

    94.3% 93.4% + 0.9%

    93.6% 93.8% - 0.2%

    93.0% 94.1% - 1.2%

    92.8% 94.1% - 1.4%

    92.5% 94.4% - 2.0%

    92.0% 93.9% - 2.0%

    93.7% 92.6% + 1.2%

    5-2010

    6-2010

    12-Month Avg:

    12-2010

    8-2010

    9-2010

    10-2010

    11-2010

    7-2010

    2-2010

    4-2010

    3-2010

    1-2010

    Current

    Year

    One Year

    Previous

    One Year

    ChangeMonth

    90.9%

    93.9%

    92.0%

    80%

    82%

    84%

    86%

    88%

    90%

    92%

    94%

    96%

    98%

    100%

    12-2008 12-2009 12-2010

    December 2010 92.0%

    - 2.0%+ 3.3%

    Does not account for list prices from any previouslisting contracts or seller concessions.

    Historical Percent of Original List Price Received at Sale

    90.9%

    93.9%

    92.0%

    80%

    82%

    84%

    86%

    88%

    90%

    92%

    94%

    96%

    98%

    100%

    12-2008 12-2009 12-2010

    88%

    90%

    92%

    94%

    96%

    98%

    100%

    102%

    1-2003 1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010

    December 2010 92.0%

    - 2.0%+ 3.3%

    Down (-)

    Down (-)

    Does not account for list prices from any previouslisting contracts or seller concessions.

    Compared to Last Year:

    Compared to 2003:

    All data provided by RealEstate Business Intelligence, LLC | An MRIS company

    Reports are created and maintained by 10K Research and Marketing. Data current as of 2/7/2011. This report may be reproduced by MRIS members. 6

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    Housing Affordability Index

    152 152 + 0.2%

    149 155 - 4.4%

    149 146 + 2.2%

    144 146 - 1.6%

    139 136 + 1.7%

    132 131 + 1.3%

    131 131 + 0.4%

    134 134 + 0.1%

    142 141 + 0.9%

    144 144 - 0.3%

    145 147 - 1.2%

    148 144 + 2.8%

    142 142 + 0.1%

    5-2010

    6-2010

    12-Month Avg:

    12-2010

    8-2010

    9-2010

    10-2010

    11-2010

    7-2010

    2-2010

    4-2010

    3-2010

    1-2010

    Current

    Year

    One Year

    Previous

    One Year

    ChangeMonth146 144

    148

    12-2008 12-2009 12-2010

    December 2010 148

    + 2.8%+ 27.7%

    The Housin Affordabilit Index measureshousin affordabilit for the MRIS service

    Historical Housing Affordability Index

    146 144148

    12-2008 12-2009 12-2010

    90

    100

    110

    120

    130

    140

    150

    160

    1-2003 1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010

    December 2010 148

    + 2.8%+ 27.7%

    Even

    Up (+)

    The Housing Affordability Index measures housing affordability for the MRIS serviceregion. The higher the number, the more affordable our housing is.

    An HAI of 120 would mean that the median household income was 120% of thenecessary income to qualify for the median priced home under prevailing interest rates.

    Compared to Last Year:

    Compared to 2003:

    All data provided by RealEstate Business Intelligence, LLC | An MRIS company

    Reports are created and maintained by 10K Research and Marketing. Data current as of 2/7/2011. This report may be reproduced by MRIS members. 7

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    Months Supply of Inventory

    6.1 8.3 - 26.6%

    6.1 8.2 - 24.9%

    6.2 8.2 - 24.1%

    6.6 8.1 - 19.5%

    6.7 8.1 - 18.1%

    7.0 8.0 - 11.7%

    7.3 7.7 - 6.1%

    7.5 7.6 - 0.9%

    7.5 7.4 + 2.3%

    7.7 7.2 + 6.3%

    7.5 6.9 + 8.9%

    6.9 6.5 + 5.5%

    6.9 7.7 - 9.9%

    2-2010

    4-2010

    1-2010

    Current

    Year

    One Year

    Previous

    One Year

    Change

    3-2010

    Month

    5-2010

    6-2010

    12-Month Avg:

    12-2010

    8-2010

    9-2010

    10-2010

    11-2010

    7-2010

    9.1

    6.56.9

    12-2008 12-2009 12-2010

    December 2010 6.9 Months

    + 5.5%- 28.1%

    Historical Months Supply of Inventory

    9.1

    6.56.9

    12-2008 12-2009 12-2010

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010

    December 2010 6.9 Months

    + 5.5%- 28.1%

    Up (+)

    Up (+)

    Compared to Last Year:

    Compared to 2003:

    All data provided by RealEstate Business Intelligence, LLC | An MRIS company

    Reports are created and maintained by 10K Research and Marketing. Data current as of 2/7/2011. This report may be reproduced by MRIS members. 8