Mary Ross, P.E./Myung Sung

2

3

Lower Atlantic Regular Gas PriceLower Atlantic Regular Gas Price

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

$3.50

$4.00

$4.50

5/1/2004 5/1/2005 5/1/2006 5/1/2007 5/1/2008 5/1/2009

HIGH: $4.03- July 2008HIGH: $4.03- July 2008

LOW: $1.60- Dec 2008LOW: $1.60- Dec 2008

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Auto Operating CostAuto Operating CostVariable Cost per Mile (In Cents)Variable Cost per Mile (In Cents)

Cost 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 % Change (2004 to 2008)

Gas 6.5 8.2 9.5 8.9 11.7 79.5%

Maintenance 5.4 5.3 4.9 4.9 4.6 -15.4%

Tires 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 2.9%

Average Total Variable Cost 12.6 14.1 15.1 14.5 17.0 34.6%

5

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Cent

s

GasMaintenanceTiresAvg Total Variable Cost

Average Auto Operating CostAverage Auto Operating CostAverage Variable Cost per Mile (In Cents)Average Variable Cost per Mile (In Cents)

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Impact StudiesImpact Studies

Tampa Bay Area Regional Planning Authority (TBARTA)Tampa Bay Area Regional Planning Authority (TBARTA) Express Bus Survey in Hillsborough County and Pinellas Express Bus Survey in Hillsborough County and Pinellas

County, FLCounty, FL

South Florida Regional Transportation Authority South Florida Regional Transportation Authority (SFRTA)(SFRTA)

Tri-Rail Survey in Palm Beach County, Broward County, and Tri-Rail Survey in Palm Beach County, Broward County, and Miami-Dade County, FLMiami-Dade County, FL

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TBARTA- Express Bus TrendsTBARTA- Express Bus Trends

HART Ridership Fiscal Year

% Increase2004 2008

Ridership 184,678 271,004 31.9%

Revenue Hours 21,941 19,760 -11.0%

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TBARTA Express Bus Survey MethodologyTBARTA Express Bus Survey Methodology

Hillsborough Area Regional Transit Authority Express Hillsborough Area Regional Transit Authority Express Buses in Hillsborough County and Pinellas CountyBuses in Hillsborough County and Pinellas County

Conducted: June 24/25/26, 2008Conducted: June 24/25/26, 2008

Surveys Distributed: 904Surveys Distributed: 904

Return Rate: 88%Return Rate: 88%

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TBARTA Express Bus Survey InstrumentTBARTA Express Bus Survey Instrument

Trip Origin?Trip Origin?

Access Mode?Access Mode?

Zip Code?Zip Code?

Household Info?Household Info?

Driver’s License?Driver’s License?

# Cars/Household?# Cars/Household?

Car Availability?Car Availability?

Income?Income?

Destination?Destination?

Egress Mode?Egress Mode?

Off-Stop?Off-Stop?

Trip Frequency?Trip Frequency?

Public Transit use Public Transit use Frequency?Frequency?

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TBARTA Express Bus Survey ResultsTBARTA Express Bus Survey Results

Express Bus Work Trips

Non-Work Trips

Total

Less Than 6 Months 255 59 314

Six Months or More but Less Than Two Years 209 36 245

Over Two Years 254 47 301

TOTAL 718 142 860

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TBARTA Express Bus Survey ResultsTBARTA Express Bus Survey Results

Work Trip Non-Work Trip Total

Park and Ride

Kiss and Ride Other Park and

RideKiss and

Ride Other Park and Ride

Kiss and Ride Other

Less Than 6 Months 107 17 40 0 1 6 107 18 46

Six Months or More but Less Than 2 Years 148 22 43 2 3 6 150 25 49

Over Two Years 168 29 60 2 2 14 170 31 74

TOTAL 423 68 143 4 6 26 427 84 169

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SFRTA- Tri-Rail TrendsSFRTA- Tri-Rail Trends

Tri-Rail Ridership Fiscal Year

% Increase2004 2008

Ridership 2,821,329 3,859,008 36.8%

Revenue Hours 56,523 76,620 35.6%

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SFRTA Tri-Rail Survey MethodologySFRTA Tri-Rail Survey Methodology

FEC Miami-Dade Tri-Rail in Broward County, Palm Beach FEC Miami-Dade Tri-Rail in Broward County, Palm Beach County, and Miami-Dade County, FLCounty, and Miami-Dade County, FL

Conducted: Wednesday, October 22, 2008Conducted: Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Surveys Distributed: 8403Surveys Distributed: 8403

Return Rate: 73%Return Rate: 73%

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SFRTA Tri-Rail Survey InstrumentSFRTA Tri-Rail Survey Instrument

Trip Origin?Trip Origin?

Access Mode?Access Mode?

Zip Code?Zip Code?

Gender?Gender?

AgeAge

Race?Race?

Education?Education?

Household Info?Household Info?

Driver’s License?Driver’s License?

Income?Income?

Number of Cars?Number of Cars?

Car Availability?Car Availability?

Train Stop?Train Stop?

Egress Mode?Egress Mode?

Destination?Destination?

Number of Trips Today?Number of Trips Today?

Public Transit Use Frequency? Public Transit Use Frequency?

Trip Frequency?Trip Frequency?

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SFRTA Tri-Rail Survey ResultsSFRTA Tri-Rail Survey Results

Tri-Rail Work Trips

Non-Work Trips Total

Less Than 6 Months 3,287 1,651 4,938

Six Months or More but Less Than Two Years 3,589 1,220 4,809

Over Two Years 3,224 1,529 4,753

TOTAL 10,100 4,400 14,500

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SFRTA Tri-Rail Survey ResultsSFRTA Tri-Rail Survey Results

Work Trip Non-Work Trip Total

Park and Ride

Kiss and Ride Other Park and

RideKiss and

Ride Other Park and Ride

Kiss and Ride Other

Less Than 6 Months 1,780 561 947 593 581 477 2,373 1,142 1,424

Six Months or More but Less Than 2 Years 2,073 580 936 505 296 419 2,578 876 1,354

Over Two Years 1,983 418 823 387 696 446 2,371 1,115 1,268

TOTAL 5,836 1,559 2,706 1,485 1,573 1,342 7,322 3,133 4,046

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Mode Choice Sensitivity:Mode Choice Sensitivity:Automobile Operating CostsAutomobile Operating Costs

18

Peak of Gas Prices – August 2008Peak of Gas Prices – August 2008

88 Million More Transit Trips than Previous Year 88 Million More Transit Trips than Previous Year Nationwide TotalNationwide Total

Highest Number of Transit Trips Taken in 50 YearsHighest Number of Transit Trips Taken in 50 Years

Source: Light Rail Now Project Team, August 2008Source: Light Rail Now Project Team, August 2008

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Falling Gas Prices – December 2008Falling Gas Prices – December 2008

Over 2.8 Billion Transit Trips in 3Over 2.8 Billion Transit Trips in 3 rdrd Quarter Quarter6.5% Increase from 20076.5% Increase from 2007

Largest Increase in 25 YearsLargest Increase in 25 Years

““The fact that public transit ridership surged while gas prices and The fact that public transit ridership surged while gas prices and highway travel declined, shows a growing demand for more bus highway travel declined, shows a growing demand for more bus

and rail services.”and rail services.”

Source: Philadelphia Business Journal, December 8, 2008Source: Philadelphia Business Journal, December 8, 2008

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Current Gas Prices – March 2009Current Gas Prices – March 2009

Public Transit at Highest Level in 52 YearsPublic Transit at Highest Level in 52 Years

10.7 Billion Trips in 200810.7 Billion Trips in 2008

(4% Increase from 2007)(4% Increase from 2007)

““Despite job loses and falling gasoline prices, record numbers Despite job loses and falling gasoline prices, record numbers of Americans rode subways, buses and commuter rail last of Americans rode subways, buses and commuter rail last

year...”year...”

Source: The Washington Post, March 9, 2009Source: The Washington Post, March 9, 2009

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Impact of Gas Price ShiftsImpact of Gas Price Shifts

Shifts to choices other than transit: Shifts to choices other than transit: Fuel-Efficient VehiclesFuel-Efficient Vehicles Fewer or Shorter TripsFewer or Shorter Trips Trip ChainingTrip Chaining TelecommutingTelecommuting 4-Day Work Weeks 4-Day Work Weeks OthersOthers

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Questions or Comments?Questions or Comments?