Marta C. Gonzalez Associate Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Center ... ·...
Transcript of Marta C. Gonzalez Associate Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Center ... ·...
MartaC.Gonzalez
AssociateProfessorofCivilandEnvironmentalEngineering,
CenterforAdvancedUrbanism
AboutMe
BS & MSc in Physics (2002)
PhD in Physics 2003-2006
Postdoc 2006-2009Understanding IndividualMobilityPatterns,Nature,2008
Understanding theSpreadingPatternsofMobilePhoneViruses,Science,2009
CityScience
• Interdisciplinaryapproachtostudyingcities.
• Combinesmodelsandmethodsfromstatisticalphysics,machinelearning,andtransportationtounderstandurbansystems.
• Applicationsinurbanplanning,transportation/logistics,epidemiology,energy,etc.
Highlights• InvitedspeakerNationalAcademiesofSciences(NAS)oftheapplied
StatisticscommitteetospeakonData-drivenUrbanPolicy,December2016
• Invitedspeaker,NationalAcademiesofEngineering(NAE)GeneralAssemblyMeeting,onBigDatainCivilEngineering,April2015
• SelectedfortheNAS-TRBNCHRBreportMobilePhoneDatatounderstandHumanBehavior
• BestPaperAward,ACMSIGKDDConferenceonKnowledgeDiscoveryandDataMining,Chicago,August2013
• BestPaperAward,ACMSIGKDDConferenceonKnowledgeDiscoveryandDataMining,Beijing,August2012
Mobility
Energy
Environment
ICT
SupportSustainableUrbanPolicythroughScienceandEngineering
WhatareweusingTravelModelfor?Wehavedevelopedaportablepipelinetogenerateurbandemandmodelsfrommobilephonedataandweareinterestednowinitsapplicationsforbettercities.Examplesofcurrentprojects:
1-WithinBlocks:BuildingOccupancyModelsforEnergyModeling
2- Metro:HelpingtoplanthefirstmetroinRiyadh(SaudiArabia)
3- PlanningforElectricVehiclesintheBayArea
4- UnderstandingTraveltimeReliability5- UnderstandingAirqualityinBejing integratingAQSensorsandaTrafficModel
6-DistributingTravelDemandduringtheOlympicGames
Sponsors: MITIndustryLiaisonsponsors:
1. MITEnergy2. Infonavit (Mexico)3. MITEnvironmentalSolutionsInitiative4. Ford5. PhilipsLightingGrandChallenge6. Natl.Sc.Foundation(Portugal)7. Natl.Sc.Foundation(Singapore)8. KACST(SaudiArabia)
1. UNFoundation2. Bill&MelindaGatesFoundation3. SiebelInstitute4. CambridgeSystematics5. USDepartmentofTransportation
DetailsinCVon-line:http://humnetlab.mit.edu/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/cv2016.pdf
MobilityoflowestIncomeGroup
Vision:DataScienceforInformedUrbanPolicy
DataMiningforSocialGoodWeinvestigate theinterplaybetween
Salary,CostofLand,TravelTime
TimeGeo:aspatiotemporalframeworkformodelingurbanmobilitywithoutsurveys (ShanJiang, Yingxiang Yang,DanieleVeneziano,Shounak Athavale,MartaC.Gonzalez),PNAS(2016)
Researchexample1,link:http://humnetlab.mit.edu/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/PNAS-2016-Jiang-E5370-8.pdf
Stay&PassbyExtractionHome&WorkDetection
• MartaC.Gonzalez
1Sampledayofastudent
1) WitharoamingdistanceΔd1 (300mts.),weclusterspatiallycloselocationswithinΔd1 .
2) AtimethresholdΔt(10minutes) separatevariousstaypoints Si.
3) Homeisdefinedasthemostfrequentlyvisitedlocationduringnightsofweekdays&daysofweekendsoverthestudyperiod;Aphoneuser’s“work”isdefinedasthemostfrequentlyvisitedloaction workinghoursoftheweekday
d1
d7
d2d3 d5d6
d4
d8d9
(a)
s1 s2
s3
(b)
• MartaC.Gonzalez
TheModel(learnsspatio-temporalfeaturestocreatesynthetictrajectories)
FeaturesExtractedfromdataofActive Users
FlowchartoftheModel
CircadianRhythm MobilityRates PreferentialReturn RankingofExplorations
Comparisonwithtraveldemandmodelsbasedontravelsurveys
TheTimeGeo modelingframeworkofurbanmobilitywithoutsurveysPNAS (August), 2016Link:
ModelsResultsModeled Trajectoriesofactive(smartphone) user
Modeled Trajectoriesfromsparse(mobilephone)dataofasampleuser (withprevious locationsused).
Note:Onsparsedata“nextlocation”predictionwithmachinelearningmethodsfail.
Note:Thismechanisticmodeldoesnotusehistoricdatafortraining;itcanbeenriched withexistingmethods to“predictnextlocations”(work inprogress forKDD’16)
DetectionofDifferencesinmobilitybyincomegroupinBogota
(usingmobilephonedata)
Link:http://humnetlab.mit.edu/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/bogotatrb_2017.pdf
ComparisonofTotaltripsCDRmodelvs.SurveymodelofSteerDaviesGleaves
Extractionoftravelersbyincomegroup
Comparisson of Mobility Diversity
𝐷" =−∑ 𝑝"' log 𝑝"'+
',-log 𝑘"
NodeDiversity
Obs: Lowincomegroupvisitmorefocuseddestinationsthanthehighincomegroups
Commuting conditions by income group
Obs:Lowincomegroupsufferconsiderablymorefromcongestiondespitesmallerdifferencesincommutingdistancewithintheurbancore.Opportunity:Focusedinfrastructureplanningorridesharingplanning.
DemandManagementforLargeEvents
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Yanyan XuPhD.PostdoctoralAssociateDepartment ofCivilandEnvironmentalEngineering, MITEmail: [email protected]
Link:
Link:http://humnetlab.mit.edu/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Demand_management.pdf
Venues,Airbnb,hotels,BRT&Metro
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(a) DataIntegrated(b) Numberofaudiencesarrivevenuesandwhen?(useddata:Olympicsschedule,capacity
ofvenues)
CollectivedemandManagementTraveltime
Marginalcostperlink
Werankroutespertotalmarginalcost
RecommendationsofCarreductionperOriginandDestinationdivertedtotransitduringtheevent
Itispossibletoachievevehicledemanddecrease:~1.3%withatotaltraveltimedecrease:~10.5%inhighcontrastwithcarreductionbyplatenumber.