MarketStreet Lynnfield - WordPress.com Table of Contents...
Transcript of MarketStreet Lynnfield - WordPress.com Table of Contents...
TRAFFIC IMPACT AND ACCESS STUDY
MarketStreet Lynnfield Lynnfield, Massachusetts
PREPARED FOR
National Development
PREPARED BY
101 Walnut Street
PO Box 9151
Watertown, MA 02471
617.924.1770
MARCH 2017
ii Table of Contents \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Table of Contents
Table of Contents .......................................................................................................................... ii
List of Tables .................................................................................................................................. iv
List of Figures ................................................................................................................................. v
Executive Summary ...................................................................................................................... vi
Introduction .................................................................................................................................... 1
Project Description .............................................................................................................................. 1
Study Methodology ............................................................................................................................ 2
Existing Conditions ....................................................................................................................... 3
Study Area ............................................................................................................................................... 3
Roadway Geometry ............................................................................................................................. 4
Roadways ........................................................................................................................................ 4
Intersections ................................................................................................................................... 4
Traffic Volume Data............................................................................................................................. 9
Seasonality of Count Data ............................................................................................................. 10
Vehicular Crash History................................................................................................................... 11
Pedestrian and Bicycle Facilities .................................................................................................. 13
Parking Demand Assessment ....................................................................................................... 13
Future Conditions ........................................................................................................................ 15
Background Traffic Growth ........................................................................................................... 15
Historic Traffic Growth ............................................................................................................ 15
Site-Specific Growth ................................................................................................................ 16
No-Build Traffic Volumes ...................................................................................................... 16
Future Roadway Conditions .......................................................................................................... 16
Trip Generation .................................................................................................................................. 16
Internal Capture......................................................................................................................... 17
Pass-by/Diverted-link Vehicle Trips ................................................................................... 17
iii Table of Contents \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Trip Generation Comparison ................................................................................................ 18
Trip Distribution and Assignment .............................................................................................. 20
Shared Parking Assessment .......................................................................................................... 22
Traffic Operations Analysis ....................................................................................................... 26
Level-of-Service and Delay Criteria ............................................................................................ 26
Level-of-Service Analysis ................................................................................................................ 27
Signalized Intersection Capacity Analyses ...................................................................... 28
Unsignalized Intersection Capacity Analyses ................................................................. 32
Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................... 35
iv Table of Contents \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
List of Tables
Table No. Description Page
Table 1 Existing Traffic Volume Summary .............................................................................. 10
Table 2 Intersection Vehicular Crash Summary (2010 – 2014) ....................................... 12
Table 3 Phase I and II Parking Occupancy Summary ......................................................... 14
Table 4 Proposed Trip Generation Summary ........................................................................ 18
Table 5 Trip Generation Comparison – Unbuilt Portion ................................................... 19
Table 6 Trip Generation Comparison – Full Development ............................................. 20
Table 7 Trip Distribution Summary............................................................................................ 21
Table 8 Existing Parking Comparison ....................................................................................... 22
Table 9 Projected Peak Parking Generation .......................................................................... 23
Table 10 Projected Increase in Parking Supply ....................................................................... 24
Table 11 Required Parking Summary .......................................................................................... 24
Table 12 Level-of-service Criteria ................................................................................................. 27
Table 13 Signalized Intersection Capacity Analysis ............................................................... 29
Table 14 Unsignalized Intersection Capacity Analysis.......................................................... 33
v Table of Contents \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
List of Figures
Figure No. Description Following Page
Figure 1 Site Location Map and Study Area Intersections .......................................... 3
Figure 2 Study Area Intersection Lane Geometry and Traffic Control ................... 4
Figure 3 2017 Existing Conditions Weekday Evening Peak Hour
Traffic Volumes .........................................................................................................10
Figure 4 2017 Existing Conditions Saturday Midday Peak Hour
Traffic Volumes .........................................................................................................10
Figure 5 2024 No-Build Conditions Weekday Evening Peak Hour
Traffic Volumes .........................................................................................................16
Figure 6 2024 No-Build Conditions Saturday Midday Peak Hour
Traffic Volumes .........................................................................................................16
Figure 7 Trip Distribution – Office ......................................................................................21
Figure 8 Trip Distribution – Retail .......................................................................................21
Figure 9 2024 Build Conditions Weekday Evening Peak Hour
Traffic Volumes .........................................................................................................21
Figure 10 2024 Build Conditions Saturday Midday Peak Hour
Traffic Volumes .........................................................................................................21
vi Executive Summary \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Executive Summary
VHB, Inc. has prepared a traffic impact and access study (TIAS) to assess traffic impacts
associated with the modification to the remaining buildout of the MarketStreet
Lynnfield development program to include a Town Center Theater, medical office, and
retail uses. MarketStreet Lynnfield development is located along Walnut Street in
Lynnfield, Massachusetts. Currently the site consists of a mix of retail, office, and
residential uses as part of Phase I, completed in 2013, and Phase II, completed in the
spring of 2015. The final phase (Phase III) of the development is what is being
contemplated in this traffic assessment.
The original TIAS for the MarketStreet Lynnfield development was based on 475,000
square feet (sf) of retail and office uses, 180 units of multi-family residential, and 48
units of senior housing. This updated TIAS considers the existing conditions of the
MarketStreet Lynnfield development (Retail Phases I and II, multi-family residential,
and senior housing) and proposed uses for the remaining buildout of the
development. The modified development program remains within the 475,000 sf of
approved development envelope.
The following summarizes the modified development program and the previously
approved development program.
� Phase I and II Development (currently built and occupied): 357,902 square
feet (sf) general retail (including 92,943 sf restaurant, 221,959 sf retail, and
43,000 sf grocery), 12,743 sf office, 180 units multi-family residential, and 48
units senior housing.
� Approved Development: 395,000 sf retail (including restaurant and grocery),
80,000 sf office, 180 units multi-family residential, and 48 units senior housing.
Based on a comparison of the current Phase I and II development to the approved
development, the build out of the site can include an additional approximately 37,098
sf retail and approximately 67,257 sf office. For the purposes of this assessment, VHB
has assessed the possibility of modifying the approved development program to
include a Town Center Theater (eight screen, 800 seats), 25,420 sf of medical office
space (including 5,500 sf urgent care clinic and 19,920 sf medical office), and 21,480 sf
of retail space (including 5,000 sf restaurant and 16,480 retail). This assessment
considers the following nine intersections:
vii Executive Summary \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Lynnfield:
� Walnut Street at Market Street/I-95 SB Ramps
� Walnut Street at I-95 NB Ramps
� Walnut Street at Salem Street
� Market Street at King Rail Drive (roundabout)
� Audubon Road at King Rail Drive
Wakefield
� Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road at Audubon Road
� Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road at I-95 Southbound Ramps
� Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road at Salem Street
� Salem Street at I-95 Northbound Ramps
Turning movement counts (TMC), collecting peak hour data, were conducted at each
of the study area intersections during the weekday evening peak period from 4:00 PM
to 6:00 PM and on a Saturday midday peak period from 11:00 AM to 2:00 PM in
March 2016 (Lynnfield locations) and January 2017 (Wakefield locations). Concurrent
with the TMCs, 72-hour automatic traffic recorder (ATR) counts were conducted along
Market Street to the west of Walnut Street both in March 2016 and January 2017.
The proposed project is expected to result in a total 168 net new trips (59
entering/109 exiting) during the weekday evening peak hour and 336 net new vehicle
trips (173 entering/163 exiting) during the Saturday midday peak hour. It should be
noted that the trip generation projections assume the Town Center Theater’s peak
hour of generation is concurrent with the roadway peak hour and the medical office is
open and fully operational. Therefore, the trip generation projections may be highly
conservative, particularly during the Saturday midday.
A shared parking assessment was conducted for the proposed buildout of the site.
The results of the shared parking assessment in combination with a comparison of the
existing site parking occupancy versus the projected parking demand indicate
proposed construction of approximately 383 parking spaces (149 new spaces plus 234
replaced spaces) in a structured parking garage can accommodate the buildout of the
development. Based on the zoning requirements for the Town of Lynnfield, the
required number of parking spaces for the buildout of the development is less than
the existing supply of 2,275 spaces.
Capacity analyses were conducted for each of the study area intersections under 2017
Existing conditions, 2024 No-Build conditions (without the proposed development),
and 2024 Build conditions (with the proposed development). The results of the
analysis indicate operational impacts associated with the proposed buildout of the site
viii Executive Summary \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
would be imperceptible to the average driver along Walnut Street, Salem Street, and
Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road. It should be noted that the analysis is highly
conservative as it considers the Town Center Theater’s busiest periods are concurrent
with peak commuter periods, which is typically not the case. In addition, the analysis
assumes the medical office space is open and fully operational on weekends, however
it may operate on reduced hours with reduced or no doctors/staff on weekends.
1 Introduction \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
1 Introduction
This traffic study documents the findings of the traffic evaluation conducted for the
project including an assessment of existing conditions, projection of future traffic
volumes without and with the additional project elements being contemplated,
analysis of impacts of the proposed additional development.
Project Description
VHB, Inc. has prepared a traffic impact and access study (TIAS) to assess traffic impacts
associated with the modification to the remaining buildout of the MarketStreet
Lynnfield development program to include a Town Center Theater, medical office, and
retail uses. MarketStreet Lynnfield development is located along Walnut Street in
Lynnfield, Massachusetts. Currently the site consists of a mix of retail, office, and
residential uses as part of Phase I, completed in 2013, and Phase II, completed in the
spring of 2015. The final phase (Phase III) of the development is what is being
contemplated in this traffic assessment.
The original TIAS for the MarketStreet Lynnfield development was based on 475,000
square feet (sf) of retail and office uses, 180 units of multi-family residential, and 48
units of senior housing. This updated TIAS considers the existing conditions of the
MarketStreet Lynnfield development (Retail Phases I and II, multi-family residential,
and senior housing) and proposed uses for the remaining buildout of the
development. The modified development program remains within the 475,000 sf of
approved development envelope.
The following summarizes the modified development program and the previously
approved development program.
� Phase I and II Development (currently built and occupied): 357,902 square
feet (sf) general retail (including 92,943 sf restaurant, 221,959 sf retail, and
2 Introduction \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
43,000 sf grocery), 12,743 sf office, 180 units multi-family residential, and 48
units senior housing.
� Approved Development: 395,000 sf retail (including restaurant and grocery),
80,000 sf office, 180 units multi-family residential, and 48 units senior housing.
Based on a comparison of the current Phase I and II development to the approved
development, the build out of the site can include an additional approximately 37,098
sf retail and approximately 67,257 sf office. For the purposes of this assessment, VHB
has assessed the possibility of modifying the approved development program to
include a Town Center Theater (eight screen, 800 seats), 25,420 sf of medical office
space (including 5,500 sf urgent care clinic and 19,920 sf medical office), and 21,480 sf
of retail space (including 5,000 sf restaurant and 16,480 retail).
Study Methodology
This traffic assessment has been conducted in three stages. The first stage involved an
assessment of existing traffic conditions within the project area including an inventory
of existing roadway geometry; observations of traffic flow, including daily and peak
period traffic counts; and a review of vehicular crash data.
The second stage of the study established the framework for evaluating the
transportation impacts of the proposed project. Specific travel demand forecasts for
the project were assessed along with future traffic demands on the study area
roadways due to projected background traffic growth and other proposed area
development that will occur, independent of the proposed development. The year
2024, a seven-year time horizon, was selected as the design year for analysis for the
preparation of this traffic impact and access assessment to satisfy the Executive Office
of Environmental Affairs/Executive Office of Transportation [EOEA/EOT] guidelines.
The third and final stage involved conducting traffic analyses to identify both existing
and projected future roadway capacities and demands. This analysis was used as the
basis for determining potential project impacts and potential mitigation measures.
3 Existing Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
2 Existing Conditions
Evaluation of the transportation impacts associated with the proposed project requires
a thorough understanding of the existing transportation system in the project study
area. Existing transportation conditions in the study area include roadway geometry,
traffic controls, daily and peak period traffic flow, and vehicular crash information data.
Each of these elements is described in detail below.
Study Area
Based on a review of the anticipated trip generation and trip distribution for the
proposed project, a study area was established which includes the following nine
intersections which are shown in Figure 1:
Lynnfield:
� Walnut Street at Market Street/I-95 SB Ramps
� Walnut Street at I-95 NB Ramps
� Walnut Street at Salem Street
� Market Street at King Rail Drive (roundabout)
� Audubon Road at King Rail Drive
Wakefield
� Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road at Audubon Road
� Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road at I-95 Southbound Ramps
� Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road at Salem Street
� Salem Street at I-95 Northbound Ramps
A
u
d
u
b
o
n
R
d
W
a
l
n
u
t
S
t
M
a
r
k
e
t S
t
A
u
d
u
b
o
n
R
d
Pleasure
S
ale
m
S
t
I
-
9
5
N
B
I-9
5
S
B
INTERSTATE
95
K
in
g
R
a
il D
r
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
Island R
d
SITE
\\mawatr\ts\09800.01\graphics\FIGURES\Networks.dwg
Figure 1Site Location Map and
Study Area Intersections
MarketStreet Lynnfield
Lynnfield, Massachusetts0 20 800 Feet
Signalized Study Area IntersectionS
Unsignalized Study Area Intersection
4 Existing Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
The existing conditions evaluation consisted of an inventory of the traffic control;
roadway, driveway, and intersection geometry in the study area; the collection of daily
and peak period traffic volumes; and a review of recent vehicular crash history.
Roadway Geometry
The major travel routes and intersections within the study area are described below.
Figure 2 shows the observed existing intersection lane geometry and traffic control at
each study-area intersection.
Roadways
Salem Street
Salem Street is an east/west running roadway that extends from Wakefield in the west
to Peabody in the east. Within the study area, Salem Street is under local jurisdiction
and classified as an urban collector between Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road and
Walnut Street and as an urban minor arterial west of Audubon Road/Pleasure Island
Road and east of Walnut Street. Salem Street provides a single travel lane in each
direction with turning lanes present at major intersections and the posted speed limit
is 30 mph within the study area. Salem Street provides access to Route 1 and
Interstate 95/ Route 128. Sidewalks are provided along the north side of Salem Street
in the Town of Lynnfield and along the south side of Salem Street in the Town of
Wakefield.
Walnut Street
Walnut Street is a north/south running, urban minor arterial roadway that extends
from Summer Street in the north to the Saugus line in the south. The length of the
roadway is under local jurisdiction, aside from the segment between Market Street/I-
95 SB Ramps and Salem Street, which is under Massachusetts Department of
Transportation (MassDOT) jurisdiction. Within the study area, Walnut Street provides
a single travel lane in each direction, with a posted speed limit of 30 mph. Sidewalks
are present on the east side of Walnut Street for the length of the roadway within the
study area.
Intersections
The following sections describe the study-area intersections in detail.
LG
Walnut S
t
I-95 SB
Market St
INTERSTATE
95
King Rail Dr
Audubon Rd
Signalized IntersectionS
neg = Negligible
S
S
S
S
S
SS
I
-
9
5
N
B
Audubon R
dP
leasure Island R
d
Salem St
I-95 N
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
N
B
\\mawatr\ts\09800.01\graphics\FIGURES\Networks.dwg
Figure 2Intersection Lane Geometry and
Traffic Control
MarketStreet Lynnfield
Lynnfield, MassachusettsNot to Scale
5 Existing Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Walnut Street at Market Street/I-95 Southbound
Ramps
� Four-way signalized intersection.
� Walnut Street runs north/ south; Market Street intersects Walnut Street from
the west; the I-95 southbound ramps intersect Walnut Street from the east.
� The Walnut Street Northbound approach consist of an exclusive left-turn lane,
an exclusive through lane, and a channelized yield-controlled right-turn lane.
� The Walnut Street southbound approach consists of an exclusive left-turn lane
and a shared through/ right-turn lane.
� The Market Street eastbound approach consists of exclusive left-turn, through,
and right-turn lanes.
� The I-95 southbound off-ramp westbound approach consists of an exclusive
left-turn lane, an exclusive through lane, and a channelized yield-controlled
right-turn lane.
� Pedestrian facilities include sidewalks along the east side of Walnut Street and
north side of Market Street and crosswalks located across the westbound
approach of the I-95 southbound ramps and across the southbound approach
of Walnut Street.
� Surrounding land use consists mainly of commercial uses, such as the
MarketStreet Lynnfield Shopping Center, and residential uses.
Walnut Street at I-95 Northbound Ramps
� Four-way signalized intersection.
� Walnut Street runs north/ south; the I-95 northbound off-ramp intersects
Walnut Street from the west; the I-95 northbound onramp intersects Walnut
Street from the east.
� The northbound Walnut Street approach consists an exclusive through lane
and a channelized yield-controlled right-turn lane.
� The southbound Walnut Street approach consists of an exclusive left-turn lane
and an exclusive through lane.
� The I-95 northbound off-ramp eastbound approach consists of an exclusive
left-turn lane and two exclusive right-turn lanes.
� The east/ west running Salem Street intersects Walnut Street approximately
two-hundred feet south at a signalized intersection.
6 Existing Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
� Pedestrian facilities include sidewalks along the east side of Walnut Street and
crosswalks located across the westbound approach of the I-95 northbound
on-ramp.
� Surrounding land use consists mainly of residential land uses.
Walnut Street at Salem Street
� Four-way signalized intersection.
� Walnut Street runs north/ south; Salem Street runs east/ west.
� The Walnut Street northbound approach consists of a shared through/ left-
turn lane and a channelized yield-controlled right-turn lane
� The Walnut Street southbound approach consists of an exclusive left-turn
lane, two exclusive through lanes, and a channelized right-turn lane.
� The Salem Street eastbound approach consist of an exclusive left turn lane
and a shared through/ right-turn lane
� The Salem Street westbound approach consists of exclusive left-turn, through,
and right-turn lanes.
� Trucks over 2 ½ tons are not permitted to travel on Walnut Street south of
Salem Street
� Pedestrian facilities include sidewalks along the east side of Walnut Street
north of the intersection, along the west side of Walnut Street south of the
intersection, along the north side of Salem Street to the west of the
intersection, and both sides of Salem Street to the east; crosswalks are located
across all approaches.
� Surrounding land use consists mainly of residential land uses.
Market Street at King Rail Drive (Roundabout)
� Four-way roundabout intersection.
� Market Street runs east/south; the site driveway intersects from the west; King
Rail Drive intersects from the north.
� Each approach consists of one shared entry lane to the roundabout.
� Pedestrian facilities include a sidewalk along the north side of Market Street
and the site driveway; a crosswalk is located across the southbound approach
of King Rail Drive.
7 Existing Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
� Surrounding land use consists mainly of commercial uses, such as the
MarketStreet Lynnfield Shopping Center.
Audubon Road at King Rail Drive
� Three-way unsignalized intersection.
� King Rail Drive runs north/ south; The stop-controlled Audubon Road
intersects from the west.
� The King Rail Drive southbound and northbound approaches each consist of a
single general purpose lane.
� The Audubon eastbound approach consists of exclusive left-turn and right-
turn lanes.
� Pedestrian facilities include a sidewalk along the north side of Audubon Road
and along the west side of King Rail Road north of the intersection.
� Surrounding land use consists mainly of commercial uses, such as the
MarketStreet Lynnfield Shopping Center and Boston Sports Club.
Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road at Audubon
Road
� Three-way signalized intersection.
� Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road runs north/ south; Audubon Road
intersects from the east.
� The Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road northbound approach consists of an
exclusive through lane and a shared through/right-turn lane.
� The Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road southbound approach consists of a
shared through-left-turn lane and an exclusive through lane.
� The Audubon Road westbound approach consists of an exclusive left-turn
lane and a shared left-turn/right-turn lane.
� Pedestrian facilities include sidewalks along both sides of Audubon
Road/Pleasure Island Road north of the intersection, along the west side of
Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road south of the intersection, and along the
south side of Audubon Road. Crosswalks are located across the southbound
approach of Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road and across the westbound
approach of Audubon Road.
� Surrounding land use consists of commercial, residential, institutional, and hotel
uses.
8 Existing Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road at I-95
Southbound Ramps
� Four-way signalized intersection.
� Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road runs north/ south and is known as
Pleasure Island Road south of the intersection; the I-95 southbound off-ramp
intersects Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road from the east; the I-95
southbound on-ramp intersects Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road from the
west.
� The Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road northbound approach consists of an
exclusive left-turn lane and two exclusive through lanes.
� The Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road southbound approach consists of a
channelized yield-controlled right-turn lane and two exclusive through lanes.
� The I-95 southbound off-ramp westbound approach consists of an exclusive
left-turn lane and a channelized yield-controlled right-turn lane.
� Pedestrian facilities include sidewalks along the east side of Audubon
Road/Pleasure Island Road and a crosswalk located across the westbound
approach of the I-95 southbound off-ramp.
� Surrounding land use consists of institutional and hotel uses.
Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road at Salem
Street
� Four-way signalized intersection.
� Salem Street runs east/ west; Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road intersects
Salem Street from the north; a Dunkin Donuts Driveway intersects Salem
Street from the south.
� The Dunkin Donuts Driveway northbound approach consist of an exclusive left-
turn lane and a shared through/right-turn lane.
� The Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road southbound approach consist of a
shared through/left-turn lane and an exclusive right-turn lane.
� The Salem Street eastbound approach consists of an exclusive left-turn lane,
two exclusive through lanes, and an exclusive right-turn lane.
� The Salem Street westbound approach consists of an exclusive left-turn lane
and a shared through/right-turn lane.
9 Existing Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
� Pedestrian facilities include sidewalks along the south side of Salem Street and
along the east side of Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road; crosswalks are
located across the Dunkin Donuts Driveway northbound approach and across
the Salem Street westbound approach.
� Bicycle facilities include a bike lane on the Salem Street westbound approach.
� Surrounding land use includes office, scattered residential, and Dunkin Donuts.
Salem Street at I-95 Northbound Ramps
� Three-way signalized intersection.
� Salem Street runs east/ west; the I-95 northbound ramps intersect Salem
Street from the north.
� The Salem Street eastbound approach consists of an exclusive through and a
shared through/ left-turn lane.
� The Salem Street westbound approach consists of two exclusive through lanes
and a channelized yield-controlled right-turn lane.
� The I-95 northbound off-ramp southbound approach consists of two exclusive
left-turn lanes and a channelized yield-controlled right-turn lane.
� Pedestrian facilities include a sidewalk along the south side of Salem Street.
� Surrounding land use consists mainly of residential uses.
Traffic Volume Data
Turning movement counts (TMC), collecting peak hour data, were conducted at each
of the study area intersections during the weekday evening peak period from 4:00 PM
to 6:00 PM in and on a Saturday midday peak period from 11:00 AM to 2:00 PM in
March 2016 (Lynnfield locations) and January 2017 (Wakefield locations). Concurrent
with the TMCs, 72-hour automatic traffic recorder (ATR) counts were conducted along
Market Street to the west of Walnut Street both in March 2016 and January 2017. A
summary of the ATR traffic data is presented in Table 1. All traffic count data is
contained in the Appendix to this document.
10 Existing Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Table 1 Existing Traffic Volume Summary
Weekday Evening Peak Hour Saturday Midday Peak Hour
Location
Weekday
ADT a Volume
K
Factor b
Dir. Dist. c
Saturday
ADT a Volume
K
Factor Dir. Dist.
Market Street west
of Walnut Street
(March 2016) 15,200 1,285 8.5% 52% WB 20,600 1,900 9.2% 54% WB
Market Street west
of Walnut Street
(January 2017) 12,900 1,095 8.5% 50% WB 22,100 2,045 9.3% 51% WB
a. daily traffic expressed in vehicles per day. Based on daily volumes collected in March 2016 and January 2017. Exact peak hours of the ATRs may not coincide with the peak hour of the TMCs.
b. peak period volumes expressed in vehicles per hour c. percent of daily traffic that occurs during the peak period d. directional distribution of peak period traffic
As shown in Table 1, the March 2016 counts indicate that Market Street carries
approximately 15,200 vehicles on a typical weekday with 8.5-percent during the
evening peak hour and approximately 20,600 vehicles on a typical Saturday with 9.2-
percent during the midday peak hour. The January 2017 counts indicate that Market
Street carries approximately 12,900 vehicles on a typical weekday with 8.5-percent
during the evening peak hour and approximately 22,100 vehicles on a typical Saturday
with 9.3-percent during the midday peak hour. A comparison of the counts shows
that the March 2016 counts were higher during the weekday by approximately 17-
percent and the January 2017 counts were higher on a Saturday by approximately
seven-percent.
Seasonality of Count Data
MassDOT historical traffic counts were reviewed to understand the seasonality of
traffic count data collected in the month of March and January. The statewide data for
seasonal variation of traffic volumes indicate that traffic counts in March are generally
higher (by as much as three percent) than the average month. Since the November
count data were found to be higher than annual average conditions, no further
seasonal adjustment factors were applied to the data. However, the statewide data for
seasonal variation of traffic volumes indicate that traffic counts in January are
generally lower (by as much as four-percent) than the average month. To account for
the seasonal variation, the January count data were adjusted upward by approximately
three percent to represent average month conditions. The MassDOT seasonal factors
are included in the Appendix to this document. Figures 3 and 4 illustrate the 2017
Existing weekday evening and Saturday midday peak hour traffic volumes.
PM-EX
Signalized IntersectionS
neg = Negligible
Walnut S
t
I-95 SB
Market St
INTERSTATE
95
King Rail Dr
Audubon Rd
S
S
S
S
S
SS
Walnut S
t
2
1
5
n
e
g
4
6
5
28
5
36
0
I-95 SB
Market St
65
220
95
120
110
390
185
355
130
15
220
5
S
S
S
11
0
ne
g
40
15
67
0
70
5
19
0
38
0
55
neg
310
10
20
265
20
190
105
155
I
-
9
5
N
B
Audubon R
dP
leasure Island R
d
Salem St
I-95 N
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
N
B
11
85
13
0
20
5
23
0
23
5 5
15
5 5 16
5
10
0
16
0
30
35
0
21
5
40
0
10
10
15
81
0
5 20
0
36
0
28
5
75
0
27
0
80
60
5
14
0
40
67
5
45
225
450
neg
460
395
neg
405
455
20
155
220
5
205
215
160
140
95
25
\\mawatr\ts\09800.01\graphics\FIGURES\Networks.dwg
Figure 32017 Existing Conditions
Weekday Evening Peak Hour Traffic Volumes
MarketStreet Lynnfield
Lynnfield, MassachusettsNot to Scale
SAT-EX
Signalized IntersectionS
neg = Negligible
Walnut S
t
I-95 SB
Market St
INTERSTATE
95
King Rail Dr
Audubon Rd
S
S
S
S
S
SS
Walnut S
t
3
4
0
n
e
g
4
9
5
140
120
35
90
115
70
I-95 SB
Market St
35
400
80
115
225
515
300
565
175
45
285
5
S
S
S
75
195
15
355
260
45
155
330
neg
110
325
neg
75
20
60
55
16
0
20
5
14
5
30
0
60
neg
195
15
60
245
15
215
120
125
neg
I
-
9
5
N
B
Audubon R
dP
leasure Island R
d
Salem St
I-95 N
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
N
B
33
5
10
55
35
15
15
15
0
15
11
0
25
0
15
15
27
5
25 5
29
5
10
5
12
5
25
53
5
10
5
33
5
36
0
36
0
63
5
11
0
75
68
0
10
0
30
51
5
40
\\mawatr\ts\09800.01\graphics\FIGURES\Networks.dwg
Figure 42017 Existing Conditions
Saturday Midday Peak Hour Traffic Volumes
MarketStreet Lynnfield
Lynnfield, MassachusettsNot to Scale
11 Existing Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Vehicular Crash History
To identify potential vehicle crash trends in the study area, vehicular crash data for the
study area intersections were obtained from Massachusetts Department of
Transportation (MassDOT) for the most recent five-year period (2010-2014) available.
A summary of the MassDOT vehicle crash history is provided in Table 2 and the
detailed crash data is provided in the Appendix to this document.
In addition to summarizing the crash history, crash rates were also calculated for the
study area intersections. Intersection crash rates are calculated based on the number
of crashes at an intersection and the volume of traffic traveling through that
intersection on a daily basis. The MassDOT average intersection crash rate for District
4 (the MassDOT district designation for the Town of Lynnfield/Wakefield) is 0.73 for
signalized intersections and 0.56 for unsignalized intersections. In other words, on
average, 0.73 crashes occurred per million vehicles entering signalized intersections
and 0.56 crashes occurred per million vehicles entering unsignalized intersections
throughout District 4. The crash rate worksheets for the study area intersections are
included in the Appendix to this document.
12 Existing Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Table 2 Intersection Vehicular Crash Summary (2010 – 2014)
Walnut Street at
Market Street
Walnut Street at
I-95 NB Ramps
Walnut Street at
Salem Street
King Rail Drive at
Market Street
King Rail Drive at
Audubon Road
Audubon Road at
Site Driveway
Audubon Road at
I-95 SB Ramps
Audubon Road at
Salem Street
Salem Street at I-
95 NB Ramps
Signalized? Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes No
MassDOT Average Crash Rate 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.56 0.56 0.73 0.73 0.73 0.56
Calculated Crash Rate 0.37 0.34 0.49 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.00 0.23 0.30
Exceeds Average? No No No No No No No No No
Year
2010 0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 2
2011 1 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
2012 1 2 6 0 0 3 0 2 2
2013 6 0 7 0 0 2 0 4 2
2014 9 6 10 0 0 3 0 4 5
Total 17 16 24 0 0 9 0 11 11
Average 4.25 3.20 4.80 0.00 0.00 1.80 0.00 2.20 2.20
Collision Type
Angle 4 6 7 0 0 1 0 2 6
Head-on 5 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 2
Rear-end 7 3 3 0 0 4 0 5 0
Sideswipe, opposite direction 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sideswipe, same direction 1 2 6 0 0 2 0 3 0
Single vehicle crash 0 1 5 0 0 2 0 0 3
Not Reported/Unknown 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Severity
Fatal Injury 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Non-Fatal Injury 4 5 4 0 0 3 0 3 8
Property Damage Only 13 11 19 0 0 6 0 8 3
Not Reported/Unknown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Time of day
Weekday ,7:00 AM - 9:00 AM 1 0 4 0 0 2 0 5 1
Weekday, 4:00 – 6:00 PM 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 0
Saturday 11:00 AM – 2:00 PM 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Weekday, other time 8 12 14 0 0 6 0 5 7
Weekend, other time 6 2 4 0 0 1 0 0 3
Pavement Conditions
Dry 11 13 20 0 0 7 0 8 6
Wet 4 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 4
Snow 2 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0
Ice 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1
Slush 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Not Reported/Unknown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Source: MassDOT
13 Existing Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
As shown in Table 2, none of the study area intersections had calculated crash rates
over the district average. The majority of collisions within the study area were rear-
end and angle crashes which resulted in property damage. There were no crashes
involving non-motorists (bike, pedestrian).
Pedestrian and Bicycle Facilities
A field inventory was conducted to determine the current availability of pedestrian
facilities in the vicinity of the Site. Currently, a fairly extensive pedestrian and bicycle
infrastructure is available near the Site, including continuous sidewalks along the east
side of Walnut Street, the north side of Salem Street in the Town of Lynnfield, the
south side of Salem Street in the Town of Wakefield, and along the east side of
Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road, and the east side of Walnut Street within the
vicinity of the study area. The Site includes an extensive pedestrian and bicycle
network which connects to the off-site facilities.
Parking Demand Assessment
A parking supply/demand assessment was completed for the existing built portions of
the MarketStreet Lynnfield development. The parking supply was reviewed based on
the existing site plan and verified through a field inventory conducted in March 2016.
Based on the review, the development currently has a parking supply of 2,275 spaces.
For the purpose of understanding the existing parking supply versus demand, an
existing condition parking occupancy assessment was conducted which considered
both the number of parked vehicles as well as the location of the parked vehicles.
Parking occupancy counts were conducted on Wednesday, March 2, 2016 from 3:00
PM to 8:00 PM and Saturday, March 5, 2016 from 4:00 PM to 9:00 PM on a
continuous, half-hour incremental basis. To confirm the March 2016 parking
occupancy counts were still valid, VHB conducted a visual parking occupancy
assessment during the weekday and Saturday peak period in January 2017. The
results of the visual assessment indicated that parking occupancy in January 2017 was
similar to March 2016, and therefore the results of the March 2016 parking occupancy
assessment are still believed to be valid. Table 3 provides a summary of the parking
occupancy.
14 Existing Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Table 3 Phase I and II Parking Occupancy Summary
Time
Weekday Saturday
Demand % of Supply Demand % of Supply
3:00 PM 711 31% n/a n/a
3:30 PM 696 31% n/a n/a
4:00 PM 703 31% 1587 70%
4:30 PM 741 33% 1498 66%
5:00 PM 815 36% 1498 66%
5:30 PM 957 42% 1547 68%
6:00 PM 1077 47% 1665 73%
6:30 PM 1139 50% 1572 69%
7:00 PM 1167 51% 1584 70%
7:30 PM 1058 47% 1620 71%
8:00 PM n/a n/a 1558 68%
8:30 PM n/a n/a 1400 62%
Peak Period 7:00 PM 6:00 PM
Peak Occupancy 1167 51% 1665 73% Source: Parking occupancy counts conducted by VHB on Wednesday, March 2, 2016 and Saturday, March 5, 2016.
As shown in Table 3, the maximum parking demand on a weekday is at 7:00 PM with
approximately 51-percent of the spaces occupied. The maximum parking demand on
a Saturday is at 6:00 PM with approximately 73-percent of the spaces occupied.
15 Future Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
3 Future Conditions
Traffic volumes in the study area were projected to the year 2024, reflecting a typical
seven-year traffic planning horizon. Independent of the project, volumes on the
roadway network under year 2024 No-Build conditions were assumed to include
existing traffic and new traffic resulting from background development. Anticipated
site-generated traffic volumes were added to the year 2024 No-Build traffic volumes
to reflect the year 2024 Build conditions in the study area.
Background Traffic Growth
Traffic growth on area roadways is a function of the expected land development,
economic activity, and changes in demographics. A frequently used procedure is to
estimate an annual percentage increase and apply that increase to study area traffic
volumes. An alternative procedure is to identify estimated traffic generated by specific
planned major developments that would be expected to affect the project study area
roadways. For the purpose of this assessment, both methods were utilized.
Historic Traffic Growth
To develop the 2024 No-Build conditions, two elements of traffic growth were
considered. MassDOT historic traffic volumes at two permanent count stations along
I-95 (station 5099 south of Walnut Street and station 595 south of Peabody town line)
were reviewed to identify trends. Based on this review, traffic volumes have fluctuated
over the past five years with no specific trend. Therefore, to provide a conservative
analysis, a one-percent annual growth rate was assumed for the future conditions
analysis.
16 Future Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Site-Specific Growth
In addition to the historic traffic growth, VHB contacted the Town of Lynnfield and the
Town of Wakefield to identify any other development projects planned within the
vicinity of the site. Based on these discussions, no projects were identified which
would affect traffic volumes in the vicinity of the site.
No-Build Traffic Volumes
The 2024 No-Build traffic volumes were developed by applying the one-percent per
year growth rate to the 2017 Existing conditions volumes. Figures 5 and 6 display the
resulting 2024 No-Build peak hour traffic volumes.
Future Roadway Conditions
Another factor affecting background traffic conditions is the implementation of
roadway improvements within the study area. No roadway improvement projects
have been identified by the Town of Lynnfield or the Town of Wakefield within the
study area.
Trip Generation
The rate at which any development generates traffic is dependent upon a number of
factors such as size, location, and concentration of surrounding developments. As
previously discussed, the proposed modification to the development plan consists of
an eight screen, 800 seat Town Center Theater, 25,420 sf of medical office space
(including 5,500 sf urgent care clinic and 19,920 sf medical office), and 21,480 sf of
retail space (including 5,000 sf restaurant and 16,480 retail). Trip generation estimates
for the proposed uses were projected using trip generation rates published by the
Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) Trip Generation, 9th Edition1. The number of
vehicle-trips generated by the proposed uses were estimated based on ITE LUC 445
(Multiplex Movie Theater), ITE LUC 720 (Medical/Dental Office), and ITE LUC 820
(Shopping Center). It should be noted that there is no ITE LUC for the new style of
high-end theaters as is being proposed, therefore trip generation projections from ITE
LUC 445 (Multiplex Move Theater) are conservative.
�
1 Trip Generation, 9th Edition, Institute of Transportation Engineers, Washington D.C., 2012.
INTERSTATE
95
S
SS
S
S
S
PM-NB
Signalized IntersectionS
neg = Negligible
Walnut S
t
I-95 SB
Market St
King Rail Dr
Audubon Rd
SS
S
Walnut S
t
2
3
0
n
e
g
5
0
0
150
105
25
220
230
170
I-95 SB
Market St
70
220
110
120
110
390
185
355
130
15
220
5
S
165
235
5
435
490
20
495
420
neg
245
480
neg
11
0
ne
g
40
15
72
0
75
0
20
5
40
5
60
neg
340
10
20
285
20
195
105
155
I
-
9
5
N
B
Audubon R
dP
leasure Island R
d
Salem St
I-95 N
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
N
B
87
0
5 21
5
10
10
15
12
75
13
0
22
5
24
0
5 5 16
5
15 5
23
5
10
0
18
5
30
35
0
24
0
44
5
38
5
30
0
80
5
29
0
85
65
0
15
0
45
72
5
50
\\mawatr\ts\09800.01\graphics\FIGURES\Networks.dwg
Figure 52024 No-Build Conditions
Weekday Evening Peak Hour Traffic Volumes
MarketStreet Lynnfield
Lynnfield, MassachusettsNot to Scale
INTERSTATE
95
S
S
S
SS
S
SAT-NB
Signalized IntersectionS
neg = Negligible
Walnut S
t
I-95 SB
Market St
King Rail Dr
Audubon Rd
SS
S
Walnut S
t
3
6
5
n
e
g
5
3
0
150
130
35
95
125
75
I-95 SB
Market St
40
400
95
115
225
515
300
565
175
45
285
5
S
85
210
15
385
280
45
165
355
neg
120
350
neg
75
20
60
55
17
0
22
0
16
0
32
5
60
neg
210
15
65
260
15
230
120
125
I
-
9
5
N
B
Audubon R
dP
leasure Island R
d
Salem St
I-95 N
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
N
B
36
0
10
60
35
15
15
16
0
15
12
0
26
5
15
15
27
5
25 5
29
5
10
5
16
0
25
53
5
12
0
39
5
38
5
38
5
68
5
11
5
80
73
0
10
5
45
50
72
5
\\mawatr\ts\09800.01\graphics\FIGURES\Networks.dwg
Figure 62024 No-Build Conditions
Saturday Midday Peak Hour Traffic Volumes
MarketStreet Lynnfield
Lynnfield, MassachusettsNot to Scale
17 Future Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Internal Capture
Given the mixed-use nature of the Project, it is expected that there will be shared
business between the various components of the development. While these shared
trips represent new traffic to the individual uses, they do not represent new vehicle
trips on the surrounding roadway network. Examples of this could be a customer of
the proposed Town Center Theater using one of the commercial establishments on
the Site. In such instances, the trips between the uses would be considered internal
trips as they can be expected to have no impact to the adjacent roadway system.
Guidelines provided by the National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP)
for the calculation of internal capture trips were used in the analysis.
Pass-by/Diverted-link Vehicle Trips
Based on an understanding of the operational characteristics of mixed-use facilities, it
is expected the Project will draw a percentage of its traffic from the vehicular traffic
that is already on the area roadway network, particularly during peak periods. These
trips, which are considered pass-by or diverted-link trips, are already on the roadway
system traveling to and from locations other than the Site (such as home, work or
shopping destinations).
Pass-by trips are attracted to the Site as they pass through the area, in close proximity
to the Site, and do not require a noticeable detour to visit the Site. The rate at which
pass-by trips are attracted to a site is highly dependent on the type of land use, the
proximity of the site to major traffic corridors, and the location and type of nearby
land uses.
Diverted-link trips are attracted from the traffic flow on roadways in proximity to the
Site but require a diversion from another roadway to gain access to the site.2 The Site
is located adjacent to major arterial roadways (I-95, Salem Street, and Walnut Street)
that is anticipated to contribute vehicle trips, in the form of pass-by and diverted-link
trips, to the proposed Site. An example of a multiple-stop diverted-link trip chain is
that of a restaurant patron leaving his/her place of work in the evening, traveling to
the Site, and then leaving the Site to travel home.
For analysis purposes, a 34-percent and 26-percent pass-by/diverted-link trip rate was
applied to the retail use (ITE pass-by data) during the weekday evening and Saturday
midday peak periods, respectively, as allowed by MassDOT’s updated guidelines for
traffic impact analysis. Pass-by adjustment was not applied to the theater or medical
�
2 Trip Generation Handbook – An ITE Recommended Practice, Institute of Transportation Engineers, March 2001.
18 Future Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
office uses. Table 4 provides a summary of peak hour net new trip estimates for the
Project.
Table 4 Proposed Trip Generation Summary
Peak Period
Town
Center
Theater 1
Medical
Office 2 Retail 3
Gross
Total
Shared
Trips 4
Pass-by
Trips 5
Net New
Trips
Weekday Evening
Enter 23 24 40 87 14 14 59
Exit 41 61 43 145 22 14 109
Total 64 85 83 232 36 28 168
Saturday Midday
Enter 125 53 61 239 51 15 173
Exit 115 40 57 212 34 15 163
Total 240 93 118 451 85 30 336 1 Trip Generation estimate based on ITE LUC 445 (Multiplex Movie Theater) for 800 seats. 2 Trip Generation estimate based on ITE LUC 720 (Medical/Dental Office) for 25,420 sf of space. 3 Trip Generation estimate based on ITE LUC 820 (Shopping Center) for 21,480 sf of space. 4 Internal capture rates based on NCHRP Report 684, Saturday midday rates assumed to be the same was weekday
evening rates. 5 Pass-by rates based on ITE data.
As shown in Table 4, the proposed project is expected to result in a total of 168 net
new trips (59 entering/109 exiting) during the weekday evening peak hour and 336
net new vehicle trips (173 entering/163 exiting) during the Saturday midday peak
hour.
It should be understood that the Town Center Theater traffic generation projections
were based on “peak of generator” (which is the busiest period) for both review
periods. With that in mind, the assessment should be considered highly conservative
as the peak hour of Town Center Theater operations very likely fall outside of the
weekday evening commuter and Saturday midday peak hour periods. In addition, the
medical office was assumed to be open seven days a week, however the medical office
portion (19,920 sf) may operate on reduced hours with reduced or no doctors/staff on
weekends. Therefore, the trip generation projections during the Saturday Midday
peak hour may be highly conservative.
Trip Generation Comparison
Trip generation estimates were also made for the previously approved unbuilt portion
of the development which includes approximately 37,098 sf retail and approximately
19 Future Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
67,257 sf office. For this projection trip generation rates published by the Institute of
Transportation Engineers [ITE] Trip Generation, Ninth Edition3was utilized. The number
of vehicle-trips generated by the approved uses were estimated based on ITE LUC 710
(General Office Building) and ITE LUC 820 (Shopping Center).
Table 5 provides a comparison between the previously approved unbuilt portion of
the development and proposed development.
Table 5 Trip Generation Comparison – Unbuilt Portion
Peak Period
Approved
Development 1
Proposed
Development 2 Net Increase
Weekday Evening
Enter 67 59 -8
Exit 149 109 -40
Total 216 168 -48
Saturday Midday
Enter 90 173 83
Exit 81 163 82
Total 171 336 165 1 Trip Generation estimate based on ITE LUC 710 (General Office Building) for 67,257 sf of space and ITE LUC 820
(Shopping Center) for 37,098 sf of space. 2 From Table 4.
As shown in Table 5, when compared to the approved unbuilt portion of the
development, the proposed development is expected to result in a decrease of 48
total trips (-8 entering/-40 exiting) during the weekday evening peak hour and an
increase of 165 total trips (83 entering/82 exiting) during the Saturday midday peak
hour.
Table 6 provides a comparison between the trip generation estimate for the entire
development that was previously approved versus the empirical trip generation for the
built portion of the development plus the projected trip generation for the proposed
development. It should be noted that since the empirical trip generation data
includes pass-by trips, pass-by trips were also included in the trip generation
estimates based on ITE data to provide a direct comparison.
�
3 Trip Generation; Ninth Edition; Institute of Transportation Engineers; Washington, D.C.; 2012.
20 Future Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Table 6 Trip Generation Comparison – Full Development
Peak Period
Phases I, II, and III
Approved 1
Empirical +
Proposed Phase
III Development 2 Net Increase
Weekday Evening
Enter 780 1,001 221
Exit 917 890 -27
Total 1,697 1,891 194
Saturday Midday
Enter 1,123 1,464 341
Exit 1,036 1,165 129
Total 2,159 2,629 470 1 Based on the trip generation estimate (including pass-by trips) for entire development from the ExENF. 2 Based on empirical data for the built portion of the development plus ITE trip generation estimates (including pass-by
trips) for the proposed development.
As shown in Table 6, with the proposed development, the site is projected to generate
an additional 194 total trips (221 entering/-27 exiting) during the weekday evening
peak hour and an additional 470 total trips (341 entering/129 exiting) during the
Saturday midday peak hour when compared with the trip generation estimates that
were previously approved for the entire development.
It should be reiterated that the Town Center Theater traffic generation projections
were based on “peak of generator” (which is the busiest period) for both review
periods. With that in mind, the assessment should be considered highly conservative
as the peak hour of Town Center Theater operations very likely fall outside of the
weekday evening commuter and Saturday midday peak hour periods. In addition, the
medical office was assumed to be open seven days a week, however the medical office
portion (19,920 sf) may operate on reduced hours with reduced or no doctors/staff on
weekends. Therefore, the trip generation projections during the Saturday Midday
peak hour may be highly conservative.
Trip Distribution and Assignment
The directional distribution of traffic approaching and departing the development is a
function of several variables. These include the population densities, shopping
opportunities, competing uses, existing travel patterns, and the efficiency of the
roadways leading to the Site.
21 Future Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Due to the varying trip characteristics of the redevelopment uses – Town Center
Theater, medical office, and retail – each use is expected to experience a different
distribution pattern. Thus, regional trip distribution percentages were calculated
separately for the medical office component and the Town Center Theater and retail
components.
The medical office trip distribution patterns were determined using journey-to-work
data derived from the 2010 US Census for the Town of Lynnfield. The trip distribution
for the Town Center Theater and retail components were developed based on a
gravity model utilizing the 2010 US Census data for communities included in the
market trade area. Based on the distribution of population within the projected
market trade area, arrival and departure patterns for project-related traffic were
estimated and adjusted, if appropriate, based on known local factors such as locations
of competing opportunities and efficiency of local roadways. The assignment of site-
generated traffic to specific travel routes was based on observed traffic flow
conditions on available routes, and the assumption that most motorists will seek the
fastest and most direct routes to and from the Site. The trip distribution patterns are
shown in Table 7 and the calculations are included in the Appendix to this document.
Figures 7 and 8 illustrate the medical office, and Town Center Theater and retail trip
distributions, respectively.
Table 7 Trip Distribution Summary
Percent of New Site-Generated
Traffic Assigned to Route
Travel Route
Direction
(to/from) Medical Office
Town Center
Theater/Retail
Route 128/I-95 North 26% 15%
Route 128/I-95 South 26% 35%
Walnut Street North 17% 14%
Walnut Street South 8% 6%
Salem Street East 18% 7%
Salem Street West 3% 13%
Montrose Avenue South 2% 10%
Total 100% 100%
The projected site-generated traffic volumes, summarized in Table 4, were distributed
on the study area roadways using the trip distribution shown in Table 7 and added to
the 2024 No-Build peak hour traffic volumes to develop the 2024 Build peak hour
traffic volumes. The 2024 Build traffic volumes are shown in Figures 9 and 10.
TD-OFFICE
Walnut S
t
I-95 SB
Market St
I
-
9
5
N
B
INTERSTATE
95
King Rail Dr
Audubon Rd
Signalized IntersectionS
S
S
S
S
S
SS
Walnut S
t
2
0
%
18%
I-95 SB
Market St
20%
(17%)
(20%)
(46%)
29%
54%
(45%)
S
S
S
11%
(6%)
(3%)
3%
(1
7%
)
(6
%)
(1
1%
)
11
%
6%
6%
(17%)
17%
Audubon R
dP
leasure Island R
d
Salem St
I-95 N
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
N
B
xx = Entering Trips
(xx) = Exiting Trips
(1
1%
)
(8
%)
(1
8%
)
8%
26
%
17
%
46
%
(3
8%
)
17
%
(2
6%
)
(2
0%
)
\\mawatr\ts\09800.01\graphics\FIGURES\Networks.dwg
Figure 7Trip Distribution - Medical Office
MarketStreet Lynnfield
Lynnfield, MassachusettsNot to Scale
TD-RETAIL
Walnut S
t
I-95 SB
Market St
I
-
9
5
N
B
INTERSTATE
95
King Rail Dr
Audubon Rd
Signalized IntersectionS
S
S
S
S
S
SS
Walnut S
t
2
6
%
7%
I-95 SB
Market St
11%
(14%)
(26%)
(24%)
22%
42%
(35%)
S
S
S
32%
(4%)
(13%)
13%
(3
6%
)
(9
%)
(2
7%
)
32
%
4%
9%
(36%)
36%
Audubon R
dP
leasure Island R
d
Salem St
I-95 N
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
N
B
xx = Entering Trips
(xx) = Exiting Trips
27
%
(6
%)
(7
%)
6%
13
%
14
%
39
%
(2
9%
)
36
%
(1
3%
)
(1
1%
)
\\mawatr\ts\09800.01\graphics\FIGURES\Networks.dwg
Figure 8Trip Distribution - Retail and Theater
MarketStreet Lynnfield
Lynnfield, MassachusettsNot to Scale
PM-BD
Signalized IntersectionS
neg = Negligible
INTERSTATE
95
S
SS
S
S
S
Walnut S
t
I-95 SB
Market St
King Rail Dr
Audubon Rd
SS
S
Walnut S
t
2
4
5
n
e
g
5
0
0
155
105
25
220
230
170
I-95 SB
Market St
70
230
105
140
140
440
205
395
130
15
275
5
S
165
235
5
450
490
20
500
430
neg
245
485
neg
11
0 2
75
15
73
0
77
0
20
5
42
0
65
neg
340
10
20
290
20
225
125
155
I
-
9
5
N
B
Audubon R
dP
leasure Island R
d
Salem St
I-95 N
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
N
B
89
0
5 21
5
10
10
15
12
75
13
0
22
5
26
0
5 5 20
5
15 5
24
0
11
0
17
5
30
39
0
23
5
43
5
40
5
31
5
81
5
29
0
85
66
0
16
0
45
73
0
50
\\mawatr\ts\09800.01\graphics\FIGURES\Networks.dwg
Figure 92024 Build Conditions
Weekday Evening Peak Hour Traffic Volumes
MarketStreet Lynnfield
Lynnfield, MassachusettsNot to Scale
SAT-BD
Signalized IntersectionS
neg = Negligible
INTERSTATE
95
S
S
S
SS
S
Walnut S
t
I-95 SB
Market St
King Rail Dr
Audubon Rd
SS
S
Walnut S
t
4
1
5
n
e
g
5
3
0
165
130
35
95
125
75
I-95 SB
Market St
40
425
95
140
270
565
345
650
175
45
350
5
S
85
210
15
435
280
45
170
375
neg
120
370
neg
75
20
11
5
55
18
5
26
0
16
0
37
5
70
neg
210
15
65
275
15
290
180
125
I
-
9
5
N
B
Audubon R
dP
leasure Island R
d
Salem St
I-95 N
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
S
B
I
-
9
5
N
B
40
0
10
60
35
15
15
15
5
20
12
0
32
5
15
15
33
0
25 5
29
5
13
0
16
0
30
61
5
12
0
39
0
41
5
40
5
71
0
11
5
80
74
5
12
0
35
56
5
45
\\mawatr\ts\09800.01\graphics\FIGURES\Networks.dwg
Figure 102024 Build Conditions
Saturday Midday Peak Hour Traffic Volumes
MarketStreet Lynnfield
Lynnfield, MassachusettsNot to Scale
22 Future Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Shared Parking Assessment
VHB conducted a shared parking assessment for the built portion of the development.
The assessment was conducted based on data from the Urban Land Institute (ULI)
Shared Parking, 2nd Edition publication. The projected parking generation assumes
there will be sharing between uses in the development. Parking demand varies for
different months, and the month of December typically experiences the highest
parking demands at shopping centers due to the holiday season. To establish a direct
comparison, the built portion of the development projected parking generation for
the month of March was compared with data collected during the parking occupancy
counts, and is summarized in Table 8.
Table 8 Existing Parking Comparison
Period
Projected
March Parking
Generation 1
Observed
March Parking
Demand 2
Weekday 2,032 1,167
Weekend 2,137 1,665 1 March parking generation estimate for the built portion of the development.
2 Based on parking occupancy counts conducted in March 2016.
As shown in Table 8, the observed parking demand is less than the projected parking
generation for the month of March during both the weekday and weekend. The
observed demand is approximately 57-percent of the projected parking generation
during the weekday, and approximately 78-percent of the projected parking
generation during the weekend.
A shared parking assessment was also conducted for the development including the
proposed development, to identify the number of parking spaces that would be
necessary during the peak month (December) and the peak day of the peak month
(Peak December). The peak month and peak day of the peak month account for
increased parking demand that is typical at shopping centers during the holiday
season. These projections not typically realized during any other period through the
year. Table 9 summarizes the projected parking generation.
23 Future Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Table 9 Projected Peak Parking Generation
Period
Existing
Development 1
Existing
Development +
Proposed
Development 2 Increase
Weekday 2,392 2,595 203
Weekend 2,470 2,700 230
Peak Day 3 2,470 2,787 317 1 Peak (December) parking generation estimate for the built portion of the development. 2 Peak (December) parking generation estimate for the built portion of the development plus the proposed development. 3 Peak day of the peak month (December) parking generation estimate.
As shown in Table 9, based on the shared parking assessment for the development
including the proposed component would require approximately 203 additional
spaces during the weekday and approximately 230 additional spaces during the
weekend. On the peak day of the peak month (December), the proposed
development would require approximately 317 additional spaces. It should be
reiterated that these parking demand projections are for the peak month and peak
day of the month that occurs during the holiday season.
It should be noted that the existing parking supply of 2,275 spaces is less than the
projected peak parking generation by 117 spaces on the weekday and 195 spaces on
the weekend for the built portion of the development. As indicated in Table 8, the
actual parking demand in March is less than the projected parking generation for
March by approximately 22-percent. Therefore, it is possible that the projected peak
(December) parking generation in Table 9 is overstated as well. Also, parking loss due
to snow storage, and special events should be considered when considering the future
needs of the facility.
As previously mentioned, a comparison of the March 2016 parking occupancy counts
with the projections from the shared parking assessment indicates that the observed
parking demand on the site is approximately 78-percent of the projected parking
demand. The buildout of the remaining portion of the site will result in a loss of 234
spaces. To determine a more realistic estimate of parking needed to support the
buildout of the site, the parking rate for the site developed through the comparison of
the observed parking demand versus the projected parking demand was applied to
the projected parking demand for the full development. Table 10 summarizes the
projected increase in parking supply to accommodate the buildout of the
development.
24 Future Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Table 10 Projected Increase in Parking Supply
Existing
Parking
Supply 1
Reduction in
Parking
Supply for
Development
Buildout 2
Projected
Peak Day
Parking
Demand 3
Proposed
Increase in
Parking
Supply
Parking –
unadjusted
2,275 234
2,787 746
Parking – with site
parking rate applied 4
2,174 133
1 Based on parking supply count conducted in March 2016. 2 Loss in parking spaces on site to accommodate the buildout of the development. 3 From Table 9. 4 Parking demand estimates with site parking rate of 78-percent applied.
As shown in Table 10, using the unadjusted projected parking demand for the total
development results in an increase of 746 parking spaces to accommodate the
buildout of the development and replace the removed spaces. Applying the
calculated site parking rate of 78-percent to the projected parking demand results in
an increase of 133 parking spaces to accommodate the buildout of the development
and replace the removed spaces. Since the development includes two uses (Town
Center Theater and medical office) that do not currently exist on site, the site parking
rate may change with the buildout of the site. Therefore, to allow for a potential
change in the site parking rate, the proposed buildout of the site is anticipated to
include the construction of approximately 383 parking spaces (149 new spaces plus
234 replaced spaces) in a structured parking garage.
In addition to the shared parking assessment based on ULI, the number of required
parking spaces for the proposed development based on the Town of Lynnfield Zoning
Bylaws was identified. Table 11 summarizes the required parking.
Table 11 Required Parking Summary
Existing
Development 1
Existing
Development
+ Proposed
Development 2 Increase
Required Spaces 1,563 2,005 442 1 Based on requirements outlined in the Town of Lynnfield Zoning Bylaws. 2 Based on requirements outlined in the Town of Lynnfield Zoning Bylaws. Assumed parking requirement of 1space/3 seats
for theater use since no information is provided in Zoning Bylaws.
As shown in Table 11, the required increase in parking supply based on the zoning
bylaws for the proposed development is 442 spaces. It should be noted the required
number of spaces for the entire development is less than the existing supply of 2,275
25 Future Conditions \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
spaces. However, the maximum observed March parking demand for built portion of
the development (1,665 spaces) is slightly higher than the required number of spaces.
As previously discussed, March is considered an average month for parking and
therefore the parking occupancy counts do not represent peak parking conditions.
26 Traffic Operations Analysis \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
4 Traffic Operations Analysis
Measuring existing traffic volumes and projecting future traffic volumes quantifies
traffic within the study area. To assess quality of flow, roadway capacity analyses were
conducted with respect to the 2017 Existing conditions and projected 2024 No-Build
and 2024 Build traffic volume conditions. Capacity analyses provide an indication of
the adequacy of the roadway facilities to serve the anticipated traffic demands.
Level-of-Service and Delay Criteria
Level-of-service (LOS) is the term used to denote the different operating conditions
that occur on a given roadway segment under various traffic volume loads. It is a
qualitative measure of the effect of a number of factors including roadway geometrics,
speed, travel delay, freedom to maneuver, and safety. Level-of-service provides an
index to the operational qualities of a roadway segment or an intersection. Level-of-
service designations range from A to F, with LOS A representing the best operating
conditions and LOS F representing the worst operating conditions. Level-of-service at
intersections is a function of average vehicle control delay and has different ranges for
signalized and unsignalized intersections. Therefore, a minor increase in vehicle delay
may result in a change in level-of-service if the intersection is operating close to the
upper range for a particular level-of-service designation. Table 12 summarizes the
level-of-service criteria.
27 Traffic Operations Analysis \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Table 12 Level-of-service Criteria
Level-of-service
Signalized
Intersection
Control Delay
(sec/veh)
Unsignalized
Intersection
Control Delay
(sec/veh)
A 0 – 10 0 – 10
B > 10 – 20 > 10 – 15
C > 20 – 35 > 15 – 25
D > 35 – 55 > 25 – 35
E > 55 – 80 > 35 – 50
F > 80 > 50
As shown in Table 12, and increase in intersection control delay from 80 seconds to 81
seconds would result in a change in level-of-service from LOS E to LOS F, however the
increase in intersection control delay is only one second.
For this study, capacity analyses were completed for the signalized and unsignalized
study area intersections. Level-of-service (LOS) designation is reported differently for
signalized intersections and unsignalized intersections. For signalized intersections,
the analysis considers the operation of each lane or lane group entering the
intersection and assigns a LOS designation to each. Overall intersection data is then
calculated in order to represent the overall conditions at the intersection. The
evaluation criteria used to analyze the signalized study area intersections is based on the
percentile-delay method (Synchro results). For unsignalized intersections, the analysis
assumes that traffic on the mainline is not affected by traffic on the side streets. The
LOS is determined primarily for left-turns from the main street and all movements from
the minor street. The evaluation criteria used to analyze the unsignalized study area
intersections is based on the 2010 Highway Capacity Manual (HCM)4.
Level-of-Service Analysis
Levels-of-service analyses were conducted for the 2017 Existing, 2024 No-Build, and
2024 Build conditions for the signalized and unsignalized study-area intersections.
�
4 Transportation Research Board, Highway Capacity Manual, Washington, D.C., 2010.
28 Traffic Operations Analysis \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Signalized Intersection Capacity Analyses
Table 13 presents a summary of the capacity analyses for the signalized intersections
in the study area. The capacity analyses worksheets are included in the Appendix to
this document.
29 Traffic Operations Analysis \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Table 13 Signalized Intersection Capacity Analysis
2017 Existing Conditions 2024 No-Build Conditions 2024 Build Conditions
Location Movement v/c a Del b LOS c 50 Q d 95 Q e v/c Del LOS 50 Q 95 Q v/c Del LOS 50 Q 95 Q
Walnut Street at Market Street Driveway/ I-95 SB Ramps
Weekday EB L 0.69 56 E 81 135 0.73 61 E 80 133 0.77 62 E 93 150
Evening EB T 0.36 38 D 70 113 0.38 39 D 69 111 0.43 38 D 86 132
EB R 0.48 3 A 0 40 0.49 4 A 11 48 0.52 4 A 25 63
WB L 0.29 26 C 48 79 0.33 27 C 57 90 0.32 25 C 52 82
WB T/R 0.59 32 C 155 214 0.58 32 C 158 218 0.57 30 C 160 217
NB L 0.53 9 A 61 m86 0.57 10 B 77 m83 0.65 14 B 88 m97
NB T/R 0.60 9 A 94 m134 0.70 10 B 139 m147 0.71 11 B 138 m145
SB L 0.11 28 C 13 46 0.12 29 C 13 47 0.13 32 C 15 48
SB T/R 0.40 26 C 117 #276 0.45 29 C 133 #324 0.50 32 C 144 #328
Overall 18 B 19 B 20 C
Saturday EB L >1.20 >120 F ~142 #230 >1.20 >120 F ~108 #225 >1.20 >120 F ~149 #276
Midday EB T 0.71 50 D 174 #248 0.68 49 D 148 #251 0.74 52 D 183 #327
EB R 0.60 6 A 44 72 0.55 5 A 31 100 0.57 6 A 52 146
WB L 0.35 29 C 43 77 0.38 29 C 47 88 0.40 30 C 47 88
WB T/R 0.88 51 D 306 #446 0.87 51 D 279 #446 0.87 50 D 300 #486
NB L 0.81 25 C 263 m403 0.81 24 C 263 m400 0.97 41 D 386 m#529
NB T/R 0.43 9 A 94 m144 0.50 11 B 121 m204 0.51 10 A 115 m150
SB L 0.11 30 C 15 35 0.12 30 C 16 42 0.15 31 C 16 42
SB T/R 0.52 30 C 132 191 0.50 30 C 142 230 0.64 36 D 157 251
Overall 42 D 35 C 46 D
Walnut Street at Route 95 NB Ramps
Weekday EB L 0.57 40 D 126 195 0.59 40 D 139 217 0.63 41 D 150 231
Evening EB R 0.78 45 D 163 218 0.82 47 D 182 248 0.82 47 D 182 248
NB T 0.90 80 F 538 m514 1.00 83 F ~595 m570 1.01 82 F ~617 m573
NB R 0.18 0 A 0 m0 0.20 0 A 0 m0 0.20 0 A 0 m0
SB L 0.85 44 D 122 #310 0.95 61 E ~173 #359 0.99 73 E ~196 #387
SB T 0.30 9 A 74 193 0.34 10 A 88 221 0.36 10 A 153 213
Overall 45 D 49 D 50 D
Saturday EB L 0.93 69 E 236 #407 0.96 74 E 251 251 1.09 107 F ~325 #517
Midday EB R 0.86 66 E 190 #285 0.88 80 E 202 #307 0.88 79 E 202 #307
NB T 0.78 72 E 197 328 0.78 73 E 192 339 0.81 74 E 209 352
NB R 0.08 0 A 0 m0 0.08 0 A 0 m0 0.08 0 A 0 m0
SB L 1.17 120 F ~161 #367 >1.20 >120 F ~167 #381 >1.20 >120 F ~286 #480
SB T 0.33 11 B 120 195 0.35 11 B 118 195 0.38 11 B 139 223
Overall 65 E 73 E 88 F
a. Volume to capacity ratio. b. Average total delay, in seconds per vehicle. c. Level-of-service. d. 50th percentile queue, in feet. e. 95th percentile queue, in feet. ~ Volume exceeds capacity, queue is theoretically infinite. # 95th percentile volume exceeds capacity, queue may be longer. m Volume for 95th percentile queue is metered by upstream signal.
30 Traffic Operations Analysis \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Table 13 Signalized Intersection Capacity Analysis (continued)
2017 Existing Conditions 2024 No-Build Conditions 2024 Build Conditions
Location Movement v/c a Del b LOS c 50 Q d 95 Q e v/c Del LOS 50 Q 95 Q v/c Del LOS 50 Q 95 Q
Walnut Street at Salem Street
Weekday EB L 0.64 34 C 132 154 0.61 34 C 121 172 0.61 34 C 121 172
Evening EB T/R 0.83 42 D 260 280 0.79 39 D 231 312 0.79 39 D 231 312
WB L 0.29 44 D 18 39 0.25 44 D 16 40 0.25 44 D 16 40
WB T 0.49 46 D 71 104 0.52 49 D 70 115 0.52 49 D 70 115
WB R 0.48 11 B 0 40 0.49 11 B 0 54 0.49 11 B 0 55
NB L/T/R 1.08 96 F ~596 #962 1.14 110 F ~663 #1033 1.16 116 F ~674 #1040
SB L 0.44 9 A 12 m22 0.48 12 B 13 m30 0.51 14 B 15 m41
SB T 0.32 5 A 32 42 0.34 5 A 30 52 0.34 5 A 30 57
SB R 0.05 0 A 0 m0 0.05 0 A 0 m0 0.05 0 A 0 m0
Overall 44 D 49 D 50 D
Saturday EB L 0.39 43 D 52 89 0.39 51 D 50 93 0.39 51 D 50 93
Midday EB T/R 0.49 31 C 101 155 0.52 32 C 100 169 0.52 32 C 100 169
WB L 0.33 46 D 25 54 0.29 45 D 22 54 0.29 45 D 22 54
WB T 0.66 57 E 87 139 0.64 55 E 86 148 0.64 55 E 86 148
WB R 0.50 16 B 0 47 0.49 16 B 0 57 0.51 17 B 0 60
NB L/T/R 0.71 25 C 304 466 0.75 27 C 350 #585 0.76 27 C 362 #601
SB L 0.23 17 B 47 m69 0.23 17 B 48 m68 0.27 17 B 56 m76
SB T 0.33 25 C 196 m254 0.34 23 C 202 m253 0.34 22 C 210 m262
SB R 0.05 0 A 0 m0 0.05 0 A 0 m0 0.05 0 A 0 m0
Overall 26 C 27 C 27 C
Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road & Audubon Road/Market Street
Weekday WB L 0.48 25 C 30 73 0.50 26 C 32 74 0.55 27 C 39 84
Evening NB T 0.23 2 A 12 24 0.24 2 A 13 26 0.25 2 A 13 26
SB T 0.77 10 B 140 211 0.79 11 B 155 232 0.80 11 B 160 234
Overall 10 A 10 B 11 B
Saturday WB L 0.36 10 B 17 28 0.34 10 B 15 30 0.39 10 B 20 37
Midday NB T 0.31 3 A 5 21 0.31 3 A 6 21 0.38 3 A 6 23
SB T 0.18 7 A 10 20 0.16 7 A 8 20 0.18 8 A 9 22
Overall 6 A 6 A 6 A
a. Volume to capacity ratio. b. Average total delay, in seconds per vehicle. c. Level-of-service. d. 50th percentile queue, in feet. e. 95th percentile queue, in feet. ~ Volume exceeds capacity, queue is theoretically infinite. # 95th percentile volume exceeds capacity, queue may be longer. m Volume for 95th percentile queue is metered by upstream signal.
31 Traffic Operations Analysis \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Table 13 Signalized Intersection Capacity Analysis (continued)
2017 Existing Conditions 2024 No-Build Conditions 2024 Build Conditions
Location Movement v/c a Del b LOS c 50 Q d 95 Q e v/c Del LOS 50 Q 95 Q v/c Del LOS 50 Q 95 Q
Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road & Route 128 SB On-Ramp/Route 128 SB Off-Ramp
Weekday WB L/T 0.72 27 C 97 191 0.74 29 C 108 #219 0.74 30 C 110 #222
Evening WB R 0.04 0 A 0 0 0.04 0 A 0 0 0.04 0 A 0 0
NB L 0.59 15 B 29 #76 0.64 18 B 34 #109 0.65 19 B 34 #113
NB T 0.22 7 A 30 58 0.23 7 A 34 61 0.24 7 A 36 64
SB T 0.71 20 C 106 174 0.73 21 C 120 186 0.74 21 C 124 192
SB R 0.47 1 A 0 0 0.50 1 A 0 0 0.51 1 A 0 0
Overall 13 B 13 B 13 B
Saturday WB R/T 0.49 18 B 43 95 0.50 18 B 45 91 0.50 18 B 45 91
Midday WB R 0.04 0 A 0 0 0.04 0 A 0 0 0.05 0 A 0 0
NB L 0.26 6 A 15 40 0.29 7 A 118 43 0.30 7 A 18 43
NB T 0.15 5 A 16 34 0.16 5 A 18 37 0.19 5 A 22 42
SB T 0.17 12 B 22 42 0.17 12 B 22 45 0.20 12 B 26 52
SB R 0.12 0 A 0 0 0.12 0 A 0 0 0.13 0 A 0 0
Overall 8 A 8 A 8 A
Paradise Road/Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road & Salem Street
Weekday EB L 0.61 12 B 81 136 0.65 13 B 93 155 0.67 13 B 98 162
Evening EB T/R 0.50 10 A 97 161 0.54 10 B 113 186 0.54 10 B 113 186
WB L 0.04 24 C 2 10 0.04 24 C 2 10 0.04 24 C 2 10
WB T 0.43 26 C 52 75 0.41 27 C 48 80 0.42 27 C 48 80
WB R 0.22 3 A 0 21 0.22 3 A 0 227 0.22 3 A 0 27
NB L 0.05 20 B 5 13 0.04 20 B 3 15 0.04 20 B 3 15
NB T/R 0.08 12 B 5 16 0.06 13 B 3 21 0.06 13 B 3 21
SB L/T 0.66 34 C 79 #174 0.72 38 D 87 #193 0.73 39 D 87 #193
SB R 0.81 14 B 164 #358 0.87 18 B 197 #524 0.88 20 B 209 #543
Overall 15 B 17 B 18 B
Saturday EB L 0.55 9 A 47 106 0.57 9 A 50 116 0.63 10 A 60 136
Midday EB T/R 0.32 6 A 35 81 0.33 6 A 36 88 0.32 6 A 37 88
WB L 0.09 21 C 4 19 0.08 21 C 4 19 0.08 21 C 4 19
WB T 0.30 20 C 30 61 0.30 20 C 31 65 0.31 21 C 33 65
WB R 0.12 3 A 0 16 0.12 3 A 0 19 0.12 3 A 0 19
NB L 0.18 21 C 11 31 0.16 21 C 10 32 0.16 21 C 11 32
NB T/R 0.12 14 B 5 21 0.10 14 B 4 23 0.10 14 B 4 23
SB L/T 0.30 23 C 19 51 0.32 24 C 21 54 0.31 24 C 22 54
SB R 0.36 3 A 16 43 0.38 3 A 19 47 0.42 4 A 24 57
Overall 9 A 9 A 10 A
a. Volume to capacity ratio. b. Average total delay, in seconds per vehicle. c. Level-of-service. d. 50th percentile queue, in feet. e. 95th percentile queue, in feet. ~ Volume exceeds capacity, queue is theoretically infinite. # 95th percentile volume exceeds capacity, queue may be longer.
32 Traffic Operations Analysis \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
Table 13 Signalized Intersection Capacity Analysis (continued)
2017 Existing Conditions 2024 No-Build Conditions 2024 Build Conditions
Location Movement v/c a Del b LOS c 50 Q d 95 Q e v/c Del LOS 50 Q 95 Q v/c Del LOS 50 Q 95 Q
Salem Street & I-95 NB Ramps
Weekday EB L/T 1.02dl 15 B 53 112 1.07dl 13 B 63 119 >1.20dl 17 B 60 124
Evening WB T/R 0.52 4 A 21 50 0.52 3 A 25 50 0.56 4 A 25 54
SB L 0.41 15 B 24 59 0.46 19 B 31 82 0.43 16 B 27 68
SB R 0.01 0 A 0 0 0.01 0 A 0 0 0.01 0 A 0 0
Overall 10 A 9 A 11 B
Saturday EB L/T 0.47 9 A 25 51 0.50 9 A 28 58 0.53 9 A 29 63
Midday WB T/R 0.39 6 A 20 42 0.40 6 A 21 46 0.42 6 A 23 51
SB L 0.33 11 B 15 38 0.35 12 B 17 43 0.36 12 B 19 48
SB R 0.04 0 A 0 0 0.04 0 A 0 0 0.04 0 A 0 0
Overall 8 A 8 A 8 A
a. Volume to capacity ratio. b. Average total delay, in seconds per vehicle. c. Level-of-service. d. 50th percentile queue, in feet. e. 95th percentile queue, in feet. ~ Volume exceeds capacity, queue is theoretically infinite. # 95th percentile volume exceeds capacity, queue may be longer.
As shown in the Table 13, the majority of the signalized study area intersections are
expected to experience minimal operational impacts (an increase in overall
intersection delay of one second or less) with the addition of the proposed project
traffic. Two of the signalized study area intersections are expected to experience
minor operational impacts during the Saturday midday peak hour only; Walnut Street
at Market Street/I-95 SB ramps (an increase in overall intersection delay of 11
seconds) and Walnut Street at I-95 NB ramps (a change in overall intersection delay of
15 seconds). It should be noted that the Saturday midday peak hour analysis is highly
conservative as it considers the Town Center Theater’s peak hour of generation is
concurrent with the roadway peak hour and the medical office is open and fully
operational. The operational impacts at the signalized study area intersections would
be imperceptible to the average driver along Walnut Street, Salem Street, and
Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road.
Unsignalized Intersection Capacity Analyses
The analytical methodologies typically used for the analysis of unsignalized
intersections use conservative analysis parameters, such as high critical gaps5. Actual
field observations indicate that drivers on minor streets generally accept smaller gaps
�
5 ‘Critical gap’ is defined as the minimum time, in seconds, between successive major-stream vehicles, in which a minor-
street vehicle can make a maneuver
33 Traffic Operations Analysis \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
in traffic than those used in the analysis procedures and therefore experience less
delay than reported by the analysis software. Consequently, the analysis results tend
to overstate the actual delays experienced in the field. For this reason, the results of
the unsignalized intersection analyses should be considered highly conservative.
Table 14 presents a summary of the capacity analyses for the unsignalized
intersections in the study area. The capacity analyses worksheets are included in the
Appendix to this document.
Table 14 Unsignalized Intersection Capacity Analysis
2017 Existing Conditions 2024 No-Build Conditions 2024 Build Conditions
Location Movement D a v/c b Del c LOS d 95 Q e D v/c Del LOS 95 Q D v/c Del LOS 95 Q
King Rail Drive at Audubon Road
Weekday EB L 105 0.19 12 B 18 105 0.17 12 B 15 125 0.21 12 B 20
Evening EB R 155 0.17 9 A 15 155 0.16 9 A 15 155 0.17 9 A 15
NB L 110 0.08 8 A 8 110 0.08 8 A 5 110 0.08 8 A 8
Saturday EB L 120 0.22 12 B 23 120 0.20 12 B 18 180 0.30 13 B 33
Midday EB R 125 0.16 9 A 15 125 0.14 9 A 13 125 0.15 10 A 13
NB L 75 0.06 8 A 5 75 0.06 8 A 5 75 0.06 8 A 5
King Rail Drive at Market Street Driveway
Weekday EB L/T/R 250 0.35 9 A 50 250 0.33 8 A 25 305 0.43 10 B 50
Evening WB L/T/R 670 0.73 16 C 175 670 0.68 13 B 150 730 0.74 16 C 175
NB L/T/R 255 0.38 10 B 50 255 0.38 10 A 50 260 0.43 12 B 50
SB L/T/R 175 0.30 10 A 25 175 0.29 9 A 25 215 0.38 11 B 50
Saturday EB L/T/R 350 0.58 15 C 100 350 0.56 15 B 75 415 0.70 21 C 150
Midday WB L/T/R 1040 1.14 91 F 775 1040 1.10 79 F 700 1170 >1.20 >120 F 1050
NB L/T/R 325 0.75 26 D 150 325 0.62 19 C 100 325 0.70 26 D 125
SB L/T/R 305 0.73 29 D 150 305 0.69 26 D 125 360 0.90 51 F 250
a. Demand of critical movement. b. Volume to capacity ratio. c. Average total delay, in seconds per vehicle. d. Level-of-service. e. 95th percentile queue, in feet.
As shown in the Table 14, the unsignalized study area intersections of King Rail Drive
at Audubon Road (during both peak hours) and King Rail Drive at Market Street
Driveway (during the weekday evening peak hour) are expected to experience minimal
operational impacts (an increase in intersection delay of three seconds or less) with
the addition of the proposed project traffic. The operational impacts at these
locations during the peak hours specified would be imperceptible to the average
driver. The unsignalized study area intersection of King Rail Drive at Market Street
Driveway (during the Saturday midday peak hour) is expected to experience moderate
operational impacts (an increase in intersection delay of 54 seconds or less). However,
this intersection is internal to the site and the impacts associated would only be
experienced by customers of the site and not by traffic traveling adjacent to the site.
34 Traffic Operations Analysis \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
It should be noted that the Saturday midday peak hour analysis is highly conservative
as it considers the Town Center Theater’s peak hour of generation is concurrent with
the roadway peak hour and the medical office is open and fully operational.
35 Conclusion \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
5 Conclusion
VHB, Inc. has prepared a traffic impact and access study (TIAS) to assess traffic
impacts associated with the modification to the remaining buildout of the
MarketStreet Lynnfield development program to include a Town Center Theater,
medical office, and retail uses. MarketStreet Lynnfield development is located along
Walnut Street in Lynnfield, Massachusetts.
This assessment considers the following nine intersections:
Lynnfield:
� Walnut Street at Market Street/I-95 SB Ramps
� Walnut Street at I-95 NB Ramps
� Walnut Street at Salem Street
� Market Street at King Rail Drive (roundabout)
� Audubon Road at King Rail Drive
Wakefield
� Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road at Audubon Road
� Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road at I-95 Southbound Ramps
� Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road at Salem Street
� Salem Street at I-95 Northbound Ramps
Turning movement counts (TMC), collecting peak hour data, were conducted at each
of the study area intersections during the weekday evening peak period from 4:00
PM to 6:00 PM and on a Saturday midday peak period from 11:00 AM to 2:00 PM in
March 2016 (Lynnfield locations) and January 2017 (Wakefield locations). Concurrent
with the TMCs, 72-hour automatic traffic recorder (ATR) counts were conducted
36 Conclusion \\mawatr\ts\09800.01\reports\TIAS_FINAL_032817.docx
along Market Street to the west of Walnut Street both in March 2016 and January
2017.
The proposed project is expected to result in a total 168 net new trips (59
entering/109 exiting) during the weekday evening peak hour and 336 net new vehicle
trips (173 entering/163 exiting) during the Saturday midday peak hour. It should be
noted that the trip generation projections assume the Town Center Theater’s peak
hour of generation is concurrent with the roadway peak hour and the medical office
is open and fully operational. Therefore, the trip generation projections may be
highly conservative, particularly during the Saturday midday.
A shared parking assessment was conducted for the proposed buildout of the site.
The results of the shared parking assessment in combination with a comparison of
the existing site parking occupancy versus the projected parking demand indicate
proposed construction of approximately 383 parking spaces (149 new spaces plus
234 replaced spaces) in a structured parking garage can accommodate the buildout
of the development. Based on the zoning requirements for the Town of Lynnfield,
the required number of parking spaces for the buildout of the development is less
than the existing supply of 2,275 spaces.
Capacity analyses were conducted for each of the study area intersections under 2017
Existing conditions, 2024 No-Build conditions (without the proposed development),
and 2024 Build conditions (with the proposed development). The results of the
analysis indicate operational impacts associated with the proposed buildout of the
site would be imperceptible to the average driver along Walnut Street, Salem Street,
and Audubon Road/Pleasure Island Road. It should be noted that the analysis is
highly conservative as it considers the Town Center Theater’s busiest periods are
concurrent with peak commuter periods, which is typically not the case. In addition,
the analysis assumes the medical office space is open and fully operational on
weekends, however it may operate on reduced hours with reduced or no
doctors/staff on weekends.