Market Overview: Smart Safes & Recyclers US Conference/workshop-1-smart-safe-and...Market Overview:...

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Market Overview: Smart Safes & Recyclers MF Hudson Associates February 14, 2017 [email protected]

Transcript of Market Overview: Smart Safes & Recyclers US Conference/workshop-1-smart-safe-and...Market Overview:...

Page 1: Market Overview: Smart Safes & Recyclers US Conference/workshop-1-smart-safe-and...Market Overview: Smart Safes & Recyclers MF Hudson Associates February 14, 2017 Mike@mfhudsonassociates.com.

Market Overview: Smart Safes & Recyclers

MF Hudson Associates

February 14, 2017

[email protected]

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agenda■ Current Addressable Market ■ Future of Cash in Retail■ Market Proposition (Recyclers)■ Market Proposition (Smart Safes)■ Value Proposition to the Retailer■ Compare to ATM Trends■ Q & A

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panel■ Emily Shempp, Bank of America■ Peter Wolf, Glory Global Solutions■ John Rhoads, FireKing Security

Group■ Michael Hudson

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purposeEvaluate the Future of Retail Cash Management, which is

more than just ATMs and Off-Premises Cash

Dispensers

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Current Addressable Market

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Total U.S. market for retail cash management, across all segments, is roughly 1.5 mm locations, and all locations

utilize cash in their business

KEY FINDINGSFACTS:♦ Consumer sales occurs with cash

Association of Certified Financial Crime Specialists, August 2014

♦ Cash usage increases risk of loss ♦ Robbery ♦ Internal Theft♦ Poor Accountability

National Retail Federation (NRF): Loss Prevention

All retailers fit into one of four designations of demand with respect to cash management

Observations

All likely segments in the general retail category (QSR, c-store, grocery, big box, pharmacy, other) are accounted for

1. No Tech2. Low Tech3. Semi Automatic4. Automatic

- Source: US Census Bureau & National Retail Federation

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Current Addressable Market

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U.S. Retail Locations Using Cash

MARKET SEGMENT # of US LOCATIONS

• Quick Serve Restaurants 200,000• C-Store / G-Store 125,000• Grocery / Supermarket 65,000• Other Restaurant 230,000• Liquor & Specialty Food 90,000• Pharmacy / Drug Store 45,000• General Retail (including DIY, Big Box) 160,000• Clothing 145,000• Electronics / Appliances 135,000• Other Retailers (Hobby, Office Supply, Dept.) 310,000

• TOTAL U.S. RETAIL MARKET 1,500,000U.S. Census Bureau

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Current Addressable Market

1/3 of the total market are either “No-Tech” of

“Low-Tech” Retailers

2/3 of the total market are either “Semi-Automatic Cash Handling (Smart

Safes)” of “Fully Automatic (Recycler)”

Retailers

1.0 mm Locations

500 K Locations

- Source: Industry Experts in interviews

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Service Addressable Market

The SAM for retail cash management, across all segments, is roughly 1.0 mm locations, 66% of the Total

OBSERVATIONS

• Typically, the “bottom of the Pyramid” represents 30 – 35 % of the total locations in every segment

• If 33% of the TAM is outside the qualifiers for SAM, this represents 500K locations

CONCLUSION500,000 Locations are not likely candidates for any technology

Another 500,000 Locations already have some “Low Tech” form of cash management, and, historically, have resisted change (low or no ROI)

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Market Penetration

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Current Solutions in the Market

No cash management technology Low Sales Volume 500,000 locations

No Tech

Drop safe or Intelligent ‘B’ safe Cash Controller Low cash volume 500,000 locations Reluctant to change

Low Tech

Accountability & Reporting Semi-Automatic safe

counting Carriers & Banks Third Party service 425,000 – 450,000 locations

Smart Safe

Full automation End-to-end cash

management TCRs: Recyclers –

Deposit and Withdrawals 50,000 – 75,000 locations

Recycler

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Market Competition: U.S. Smart Safes

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Market Competition: U.S. Recyclers

Enjoined until 2017

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End-to-End Cash Management Solution: State of the Business

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End-to-End Solutions Combine All of the Pieces Into One:

• Smart Safe = Semi Automatic Cash Management

• Recycler = Fully Automated Cash Management

Automated Cash Management & Recycler Solution

SMART SAFE

RECYCLER

Sales Counter Return on Investment• Accountability• Analytics• Accuracy • Cost Management

Cash Office Return on Investment• Reduce Payroll Hours• Analytics• Reduce (Eliminate) Cash Float• Accuracy • Increase Customer Facing Contact• Cost Management• Eliminate G&A Expense

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Summary Observations

Market Size

Total= 1.5mm LocationsServiceable = 1.2 mm Locations

Smart Safe Market Penetration = 10 - 12%(fewer than 150,000 units, total)

Current Annual Smart Safe Market = $ 55 mm (10,000 units)

Recycler Opportunity

Top Echelon Retailers = 100K – 150K Locations

Innovators and Technology Leaders

$ 5 Billion market ASP @ $50 K each

Intense Service Support Required