Market Overview 1 INVESTMENT CASTING MARKET OVERVIEW NORTH AMERICA Scott Hanson President Auburn...
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![Page 1: Market Overview 1 INVESTMENT CASTING MARKET OVERVIEW NORTH AMERICA Scott Hanson President Auburn Investment Casting.](https://reader035.fdocuments.in/reader035/viewer/2022062417/5516ea51550346f5558b48c7/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Market Overview 1
INVESTMENT CASTINGMARKET OVERVIEW
NORTH AMERICA
Scott HansonPresident
Auburn Investment Casting
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Market Overview 2
Investment Casting Trends
North American Investment Casting Industry
“Across the Board” increase in activity
Foundries & Suppliers are busy
Raw Material Cost/Availability
Energy Cost
Offshore Sourcing
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Market Overview 3
Investment Casting Trends - cont’d
Segment summary
Aerospace – commercial – record level of new orders military – D.O.D. in transition
IGT – Significant spare part demandNew Build Growth forecasted for Asia, Mid-East & Africa
Automotive - activity in complex applications& Turbocharger Systems
General Industry – growing with overall economy
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Market Overview 4
Market Segments
Aerospace
Jet Engine Blades & Vanes (Airfoils) Integral Wheels & Nozzles Hardware and Structures
Airframe Hardware and Structures
Missile & Rocket Components Other Military Ordnance
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Market Overview 5
Market Segments
Industrial Gas Turbines
Blades & Vanes (Airfoils) Hardware and Structures Turbine and Combustor Components
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Market Overview 6
Market Segments
Automotive
Valves Turbocharger Components Complex Powertrain Parts Chassis Applications - Passenger Car and Motorcycle
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Market Overview 7
Market Segments
General Industry
Medical Implants, Instruments & Testing Equipment Industrial Valves / Pumps Petrochemical Food Processing Off-Road Equipment Firearms Construction Equipment Hand & Power Tools Recreational & Sporting
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Market Overview 8
North American IC Industry
United States, Canada & Mexico
Approx. 46% of worldwide investment casting production
130 companies
170 foundries (not including dental, art or jewelry)
30,000+ direct workers
All market segments
All ‘castable’ alloys
All size capability
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Market Overview 9
North American Investment Casting2005 Sales ($ Million - USD)
Aerospace 1,600
IGT 800
Automotive 250
General Industry 550
TOTAL: $3,200 Aerospace50%
IGT25%
Auto8%
General Industry
17%
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Market Overview 10
North American Investment Casting Market by Alloy Type
Aluminum & Copper: 7%
Titanium: 9%
Steel: 33%
Superalloy: 51%
2005 Casting Dollars$3.200M
Steel
Titanium
Aluminum & Copper
Superalloy
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Market Overview 11
2005
North America 3,200
Europe 1,700
Asia 2,000
Other 100
TOTAL: 7,000
Worldwide Investment Casting ($ Million - USD)
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Market Overview 12
New Aircraft Builds> 50 Passenger
Aerospace - Commercial
Large Transports
World traffic up 6%
Load factors & New
Orders at Record Level
2005-2009 build
forecast avg. 970 / year
Asian Market Growing
Rapidly
New Programs
A380 / 747-8
A350 / 787
China Regional
0
300
600
900
1200
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009ROM Associates: 2- 06
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Market Overview 13
Aerospace – Commercial cont’d
Concerns / Issues:
Airline losses continue
High Fuel Prices
Several US Airlines in Chapter 11
Airlines adopting the ‘Low Cost Business Model’
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Market Overview 14
Aerospace – Commercial cont’d
Business Jets
New orders up significantly
Delivery of new aircraft 30% higher
Corporate ownership/leasing & Fractional Shares
Increased demand for used aircraft
Airframe & Engine Manufacturers very busy
Private Jets
New Market starting to develop
Low cost replacement for some General Aviation models
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Market Overview 15
Aerospace - Military
Increase proposed for D.O.D Budget
Demand for engine spare parts for Fighter, Helicopter & Transport aircraft
Some Advanced Aircraft Programs being pushed out
Future Combat Systems- Smart Munitions - Lightweight Armament- Battle Field & Ship Board
Applications
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Market Overview 16
Industrial Gas Turbines
High Spare Parts Demand
Increase in Aero derivatives
Growing ‘After Market’ Business
Large Frame Growth in Asia, Mid-East & Africa
Limiting/Competing factors Infrastructure for NG Price / Availability of NG
Future Technology: Wind Power Coal Gasification
0
300
600
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
New Land-basedTurbine Builds – 50MW +
2-06 Consensus Industry Forecast
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Market Overview 17
Automotive
New Investment Casting Applications
Design Activity in Commercial Trucks, Passenger Cars & High Performance Vehicles
Driven by new emission standards and fuel efficiency
Turbocharger Demand straining capacity
Titanium Alloy components growing
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Market Overview 18
General Industry
Dispersed among many casting suppliers
Wide range of size & alloys
Applications across all industries
Many Niche opportunities
High volume applications susceptible to offshore sourcing
Overall, should continue to increase with growth in economy
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Market Overview 19
Aerospace 1,725 8%
IGT 850 6%
Automotive 265 6%
General Industry 570 3.5%
TOTAL: 3,410 +6.5%
% Change
North American Investment Casting2006 Estimated Sales ($ Million - USD)
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Market Overview 20
Opportunities for Consideration
- Machined Parts- Finished / Ready to Assemble - Low Volume & Custom Parts- Military Munitions & Support Equipment- Military Spares- ‘After Market’ for Aerospace & IGT- Medical Instruments & Testing Equipment- Conversions from other processes- Combining Multiple Parts into Integral Casting- Higher Value Alloys- Larger Castings- International Customers- Die Casting Prototyping
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Market Overview 21
ICI + 6.5
GDP + 3.5
Ind. Production + 3.8
DeWolf - Commercial + 4%
SFSA +10%
BICTA + 8%
% Change
2006 Forecast Comparison
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Market Overview 22
Summary
Overall North American IC growth will continue
All Market Sectors will benefit
Off-Shore Sourcing effect on N. American foundries?
Some concern with Raw Materials & Energy
Opportunities for New Casting Applications
Need to focus on market Niches & Supplying Value Added Features / Services
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Market Overview 23
Acknowledgement
The Investment Casting Institute wishes to acknowledge the
following companies for their contribution to this report.
- Alcoa Howmet
- Blayson Olefines, LTD.
- Doncasters Inc.- ESCO Turbine Group
- Hitchiner Mfg. Co.- ROM Associates