Market Outlook Report, 22nd January
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Transcript of Market Outlook Report, 22nd January
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7/29/2019 Market Outlook Report, 22nd January
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Market OutlookJanuary 22, 2013
www.angelbroking.com
Market OutlookJanuary 22, 2013
Dealers Diary
The Indian market is expected to open flat to negative mirroring similar opening in
SGX Nifty and most other Asian markets as investors await the outcome of the
Bank of Japans policy meeting scheduled today.The US markets were closed on Monday due to the Martin Luther King Day.
Meanwhile, European stocks ended on a positive note taking cue from the strong
closing to US indices last week and encouraging comments from the German
Bundesbank. The bank said in its monthly review that the prospects for the German
economy have improved, as companies expectations have brightened.
Nonetheless, the central bank slashed its forecast for German economy in 2013 to
0.4% from 1.6% earlier and warned that the economy could sink into recession in
the winter months.
The Indian markets ended higher for a third consecutive session with yesterdays
close. Sentiments remained mildly positive after global ratings agency Moody's
reaffirmed India's sovereign rating at 'Baa3' and the outlook as 'stable' for the time
being, citing potential for growth, robust domestic savings and a dynamic private
sector. Going ahead investors would be watchful of the earnings data coupled with
reports on weekly jobless claims, leading economic indicators, and new and
existing home sales.
Markets Today
The trend deciding level for the day is 20,107 / 6,081 levels. If NIFTY trades above
this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally
up to 20,158 20,214 / 6,096 6,110 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below
20,107 / 6,081 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct up to
20,051 20,000 / 6,067 6,051 levels.
SENSEX 20,000 20,051 20,107 20,158 20,214
NIFTY 6,051 6,067 6,081 6,096 6,110
News Analysis
Import duty on gold hiked to 6% 3QFY2013 Result Review: NTPC, HDFC, Cairn India, Asian Paints,
Shree Cements, DB Corp, Alembic Pharmaceuticals
3QFY2013 Result Preview: HUL, Bank of MaharashtraRefer detailed news analysis on the following page
Net Inflows (January 18, 2013)
FII 4,334 3,141 1,193 13,722 13,722
MFs 688 703 (16) (1,949) (1,949)
FII Derivatives (January 21, 2013)
Index Futures 840 922 (82) 7,734
Stock Futures 1,906 1,665 241 34,297
Gainers / Losers
United Breweries 748 9.4 Opto Circuits 96 (8.5)
Reliance Comm. 89 6.9 Oberoi Realty 303 (4.0)
JSW Energy 74 6.5 TTK Prestige 3,336 (3.8)
JP Power 38 5.6 M and M Financial 1,079 (3.6)
Jet Air India 606 5.4 Pantaloon Retail 243 (3.5)
BSE Sensex 0.3 62.8 20,102
Nifty 0.3 17.9 6,082
MID CAP (0.1) (10.1) 7,155
SMALL CAP 0.0 1.3 7,372
BSE HC (0.4) (32.9) 8,034
BSE PSU (0.1) (11.5) 7,850
BANKEX (0.2) (31.2) 14,520
AUTO (0.3) (35.4) 11,263
METAL (0.1) (11.7) 10,769
OIL & GAS 1.3 125.3 9,696
BSE IT (0.1) (8.8) 6,397
Dow Jones 0.4 53.7 13,650NASDAQ (0.0) (1.3) 3,135
FTSE 0.4 26.6 6,181
Nikkei (1.5) (165.6) 10,748
Hang Seng (0.1) (10.9) 23,591
Straits Times 0.3 10.1 3,221
Shanghai Com 0.5 11.2 2,328
INFY 0.2 0.1 $52.2
WIT (7.2) (0.7) $9.2
IBN 0.5 0.2 $44.2
HDB 0.2 0.1 $39.6
Advances 1,370 690
Declines 1,514 822
Unchanged 137 89
BSE 2,367
NSE 11,588
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Market OutlookJanuary 22, 2013
Import duty on gold hiked to 6%
The government has hiked import duty on gold from 4% to 6% with immediate
effect. The move is aimed at curtailing demand for gold and thus reducing the
import bill. The current account deficit widened to a record-high level of 5.4% of
GDP in 2QFY2013. Following this, the Finance Minister had indicated at apossible hike in import duty of gold which after crude oil imports contributes
substantially to the trade deficit in the economy. Gold imports in FY2012 increased
by 38.7% yoy slightly lower than the 41.6% yoy increase in FY2011. On a positive
note, according to World Gold Demand Council, gold demand has moderated in
1HFY2013. The value of demand for gold in 1HFY2013 has declined by 16.6%
yoy as compared to 2HFY2013.
We believe that the stability in the macroeconomic environment particularly with
regard to inflation is key to curbing the demand for gold since gold serves as a
hedge against elevated inflation in India. We believe that reduction in demand for
gold would augur positively to shift household savings towards financial assetsfrom physical assets and reduce the import bill, thereby helping to narrow the
current account deficit which is one of the key concerns facing the economy.
3QFY2013 Result Review
NTPC (CMP:`163/ TP: -/ Upside: -)
NTPC has announced its 3QFY2013 results. The companys top-line performance
was below our expectations, growing by 2.9% yoy to`15,775cr. However, on the
EBITDA front, the OPM expanded by 670bp to 25.3% mainly on account of 638bp
yoy decrease in fuel cost (due to higher availability of domestic coal).
Consequently, net profit grew by 22% yoy to`2,597cr.
FY2013E 72,809 23.0 9,898 12.0 12.5 13.8 1.7 10.9 2.5
FY2014E 81,951 23.7 11,033 13.4 12.9 12.3 1.5 10.0 2.4
HDFC (CMP:`815 / TP: - / Upside: -)
HDFCs standalone net earnings grew by 16.2% yoy to `1,140cr for 3QFY2013,
slightly below our estimates, on back of lower-than-estimated growth on the
operating income front. Stability witnessed on the spreads as well as on the asset
quality front, was the key positive takeaways from the results.
During 3QFY2013, HDFCs loan book grew
by a healthy 21.7% yoy, with loans to the individual segment growing by 24.8%
yoy. HDFC has been incrementally growing its individual loan book much faster
than its corporate loan book over the last nine months in order to improve its
margins and non-interest income such as processing fees. Including loans sold,
around 85% of the loans over the last nine months have been disbursed to theindividual segment. The asset quality continued to be strong with the gross NPA
ratio at 0.75%, lower than the 0.82% reported in 3QFY2012 and 0.77% in
2QFY2013. As of 3QFY2013, HDFC continues to maintain a 100% PCR. HDFCs
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Market OutlookJanuary 22, 2013
NII rose by a healthy 18.8% yoy to `1,624cr. Its pace of deposit accretion has
accelerated over the last year growing by 43.2% yoy compared to overall loan
fund growth of 22.2% yoy, which is expected to sustain healthy NII growth going
ahead. For 3QFY2013, the banks profits on sale of investments were higher by
9.5% yoy at`96cr. Other income was higher by 63.5% yoy at`8cr.
At the current market price, HDFCs core business (after
adjusting `259/share towards the value of its subsidiaries) is trading at 4.6x
FY2014E ABV of `124.1 (including subsidiaries, the stock is trading at 4.5x
FY2014E ABV of`177.6). However, considering the valuations, the stock appears
to be fairly valued in our view. Hence,
FY2013E 7,446 3.5 4,928 32.2 158.0 1.1 35.4 24.7 5.0
FY2014E 8,923 3.5 5,902 38.5 177.6 1.0 32.6 20.6 4.5
Cairn India (CMP:`340/ TP:`382/ Upside: 12%)
Cairn India announced 3QFY2013 results which were slightly below our
expectations. The companys top line increased 38.2% yoy to `4,278cr (below our
expectation of`4,576cr) due to higher volumes and higher rupee realizations. The
companys gross production averaged 205kbopd (+21.0% yoy) during the
quarter. Although gross crude oil realization decreased by 5.0% yoy to
US$96.2/bbl, INR depreciation against the USD offset this impact. Although
EBITDA grew by 28.0% yoy to`3,259cr in line with increase in net sales; however,
EBITDA margin contracted by 33bp yoy to 76.2%. The company recorded an
exceptional forex gain of `235cr on account of forex fluctuation during
3QFY2013. Excluding this exceptional gain, adjusted net profit grew by 49.0% yoy
to`2,921cr (slightly below our estimate of`2,986cr). Reported net profit grew by
39.5% yoy to`3,156cr. The company has lowered its guidance to 200-215kbopd
at the end of FY14 against earlier production guidance of 240kbopd.
FY2013E 17,567 76.2 11,652 61.09 22.0 5.6 1.1 3.8 2.9
FY2014E 17,643 72.3 10,837 56.82 17.5 6.0 1.0 3.4 2.4
Asian Paints (CMP:`4,310/ TP: -/ Upside: -)
Asian Paints posted a 18.6% yoy growth in topline to `3,037cr aided by both
higher volume and better realizations. The occurrence of festivals during the
quarter helped in boosting the volumes of decorative business. However, demand
for industrial business remained subdued due to slowdown in project execution.
OPM rose by 117bp yoy to 16.3% due to higher realization and decline in raw
material costs. Bottomline rose by 30.6% yoy to `350cr.
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Market OutlookJanuary 22, 2013
FY2013E 11,198 15.4 1,123 117.1 36.4 36.7 12.0 23.3 3.6
FY2014E 13,184 15.7 1,358 141.5 35.0 30.4 9.5 19.2 3.0
Shree Cement (CMP:`4,495/ TP: -/ Upside: -)
For 2QFY2013 Shree Cement posted a 19.4% yoy growth in topline to `1,428cr.
However, the cement division posted a marginal 3.1% yoy growth in topline
`1,115cr impacted by poor demand during the quarter. Cement prices too fell on
a sequential basis during the quarter, although they were higher on a yoy basis.
Power business posted a strong 87.8% yoy growth in topline to `449cr, due to
higher capacity operational during the quarter on account of commissioning of
new plants. OPM was down by 175bp yoy to 26%. Bottomline rose by 267% yoy to
`217cr due to superior operating performance and a 65% yoy reduction in
depreciation to`82cr.
FY2013E 5,701 29.7 839 241 27.1 18.7 4.5 7.3 153
FY2014E 6,210 28.1 908 261 23.6 17.2 3.7 6.4
Note: * Computed on TTM basis
DB Corp (CMP:`230/ TP:`264/ Upside: 14.7%)
DB Corp has announced its 3QFY2013 results. The company posted an 11% yoy
growth in its top-line to`439cr, in line with our expectations, on the back of 11%
yoy growth in advertising revenue (aided by festive season). However, on the
EBITDA front, the companys margins were better than our expectations,
expanding by 308bp yoy to 27.1% on account of reduction in losses in emerging
editions. Consequently, net profit grew by 28% to `71cr. At the current market
price, DB Corp is trading at 16x FY2014E consolidated EPS of `14.4.
FY2013E 1,581 23.3 212 11.6 21.0 19.9 3.9 10.9 2.5
FY2014E 1,784 25.0 265 14.4 22.3 16.0 3.3 8.8 2.2
Alembic (CMP:`71/ Target:`91/ Upside: 28%)
For 3QFY2013, Alembic Pharmaceuticals (Alembic) posted sales at`372cr (below
expectation of `426cr), mainly driven by the domestic markets, which grew by
14.6% yoy, while exports declined significantly during the quarter by 21.7%. On
the operating front, the margin came in at 18.7%, posting an expansion of 78bp
yoy and much higher than our expectation of 13.6%. However, in spite of the
same the net profit came in at`48.3cr, which was much higher than the expected
`28.9cr. The same came on the back of higher-than-expected OPM, higher other
income and lower interest expenses.
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Market OutlookJanuary 22, 2013
FY2013E 1,624 14.2 124 6.6 27.8 10.7 2.6 6.4 0.9
FY2014E 1,855 15.6 171 9.1 30.0 7.8 2.0 4.9 0.8
3QFY2013 Result Preview
HUL (CMP:`496/ TP: -/ Upside: -)
HUL is expected to announce its 3QFY2013 results today. We expect the topline to
grow by 12.6% yoy to `6,591cr. OPM is expected to decline by 238bp yoy to
12.8%. Bottomline is expected to grow by 3.1% yoy to `790cr.
FY2013E 25,350 13.3 3,185 14.7 84.5 33.6 26.6 30.4 4.1
FY2014E 28,974 13.5 3,685 17.0 75.8 29.1 18.8 26.0 3.5
(CMP:`59/ TP:`64 / Upside: 7.9%)
Bank of Maharashtra is scheduled to announce its 3QFY2013 results today.
We expect the bank to report a 13.9% yoy growth in Net Interest Income to
`735cr. Growth in non-interest income is expected to be moderate at 12.6%
yoy to`169cr. Operating expenses are expected to increase at a higher pace
of 28.5% yoy to`475cr. While, provisioning expenses are expected to increase
by 7.2% yoy, tax expenses are expected to decline by 36.3% yoy, which wouldaid 12.6% yoy growth in net profit to`153cr. At the CMP, the stock is trading
at 0.7x FY2014E ABV.
FY2013E 3,576 3.1 605 9.3 70.7 0.6 14.0 6.4 0.8
FY2014E 3,893 3.1 765 12.0 79.8 0.7 16.1 4.9 0.7
Quarterly Bloomberg Brokers Consensus Estimate
Net sales 6,621 5,770 15 6,155 8
EBITDA 1,072 970 11 977 10
EBITDA margin (%) 16.2 16.8 15.9
Net profit 884 753 17 807 10
Net profit 312 276 13 280 11
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Market OutlookJanuary 22, 2013
Net sales 5,280 4,737 11 4,634 14
EBITDA 1,683 1,383 22 1,467 15
EBITDA margin (%) 31.9 29.2 31.7
Net profit 160 242 (34) 132 21
Net sales 911 755 21 923 (1)
EBITDA 231 216 7 218 6
EBITDA margin (%) 25.4 28.6 23.6
Net profit 173 138 26 187 (8)
Net sales 2,474 2,880 (14) 3,222 (23)
EBITDA 189 210 (10) 334 (44)
EBITDA margin (%) 7.6 7.3 10.4
Net profit 12 67 (83) 143 (92)
Net sales 16,175 13,999 16 13,195 23
EBITDA 1,678 1,343 25 1,405 19
EBITDA margin (%) 10.4 9.6 10.6
Net profit 1,091 992 10 1,137 (4)
Net sales 237 2,604 (91) 288 (18)
EBITDA (34) 1,085 (103) 6 (690)
EBITDA margin (%) (14) 41.7 2.0
Net profit 584 692 (16) 522 12
Economic and Political News
Government to auction 700Mhz spectrum for 4G services next year Mineral output declines by 0.7% in Nov12 to`17,000cr India's forex reserves rise by US$1.3bn to US$296bn as on Jan 11, 2013
Corporate News
JLR to assemble newXF variant from the Pune plant HCL Tech signs transformational deal with D&M Group Tecpro receives`140cr from West Bengal Power Development Corp. Apollo Hospitals signs`400cr contract for cancer technology Aurobindo Pharma gets US nod for anti-bacterial injections ITC to invest`1,000cr in food, consumer goods sectorSource: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint
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Date Company
January 22, 2013 HUL, Kotak Mah. Bank, Indiabulls Fin., Bank of Maharashtra, Tata Sponge
January 23, 2013 Rcom, Zee Entertainment, Sun TV Network, Syndicate Bank, Rallis, Greenply
January 24, 2013 Larsen & Toubro, Sesa Goa, Andhra Bank, Ashok Leyland, Vijaya Bank
January 25, 2013 Maruti, Reliance Power, Shriram Trans., Oriental Bank, LMW, Sarda Energy
January 26, 2013
January 27, 2013 Persistent
January 28, 2013 Mundra Port, Bank of India, Adani Power, JSW Steel , Reliance Infra., Amara Raja Batteries
January 29, 2013Sterlite Inds, Idea Cellular, Dabur India, Crompton Greaves, Glenmark Pharma., United Phosphorus, Areva, IndocoRemedies
January 30, 2013 Titan Inds., Power Fin.Corpn., Colgate, Central Bank, IOB, Ipca labs, Dena Bank, Jyoti Structures, PVR
January 31, 2013ICICI Bank, Punjab Natl.Bank, Siemens, Grasim Inds, Lupin, Union Bank, Godrej Consumer, Mahindra Satyam,Allahabad Bank, Tata Global, Thermax
February 01, 2013 Bharti Airtel, BHEL, Adani Enterp., IDFC, Marico, Corporation Bank, TVS Motor, Hind. Const.
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Result Calendar
Global economic events release calendarDate Time Country Event Description Unit Period Bloomberg Data
Last Reported Estimated
January 22, 2013 2:00PM Germany PMI Manufacturing Value Jan A 46.00 46.80
January 23, 2013 3:00PM UK GDP (YoY) % Change 4Q A 0.20
8:30PM US Existing home sales Millions Dec 5.04 5.10
January 24, 2013 8:30PM US Consumer Confidence S.A./ 1985=100 Jan 65.10 65.50
11:00AM India RBI Cash Reserve ratio % Jan 29 4.25 4.25
7:00PM US GDP Qoq (Annualised) % Change 4Q A 3.10 1.00
January 25, 2013 7:00PM US Unnemployment rate % Jan 7.80 7.80
3:00PM UK PMI Manufacturing Value Jan 51.40 --
January 29, 2013 5:30PM UK BOE Announces rates % Ratio Feb 7 0.50 0.50
11:00AM China Consumer Price Index (YoY) % Change Jan 2.50 --
3:00PM UK CPI (YoY) % Change Jan 2.70 --
12:00PM India Monthly Wholesale Prices YoY% % Change Jan 7.18 --
January 30, 2013 3:30PM Euro Zone Euro-Zone GDP s.a. (QoQ) % Change 4Q A (0.10) --
January 31, 2013 7:00PM US Housing Starts Thousands Jan 954.00 --
7:00PM US Consumer price index (mom) % Change Jan --
February 1, 2013 8:30PM Euro Zone Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence Value Jan A (26.50) (26.00)
3:30PM Euro Zone Euro-Zone CPI (YoY) % Jan 2.20 --
11:00AM India Qtrly GDP YoY% % Change 4Q 5.30 --
11:00AM China Industrial Production (YoY) % Change Feb 10.30 --
February 7, 2013 7:00PM US Initial Jobless claims Thousands Jan 19 335.00 355.00
2:00PM Germany PMI Services Value Jan A 52.00 52.00
3:00PM UK Jobless claims change % Change Dec (3.00) 0.50
February 8, 2013 8:30PM US New home sales Thousands Dec 377.00 385.00
11:00AM India RBI Repo rate % Jan 29 8.00 7.75
February 11, 2013 11:00AM India RBI Reverse Repo rate % Jan 29 7.00 6.75
2:25PM Germany Unemployment change (000's) Thousands Jan 3.00 --
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
January 22, 2013
Market Outlook
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Market OutlookJanuary 22, 2013
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Macro watch
Exhibit 1 :Q uarterly G D P trends
Source: CSO, Ang el Research
Exhibit 2 :IIP trends
Source: M O SPI, Ang el Research
Exhibit 3 :M onthly WPI inflation trends
Source: M O SPI, Ang el Research
Exhibit 4 :M a nufacturing a nd services PM I
Source: Ma rket, Angel Research; N ote: Level above 50 indicates expansion
Exhibit 5 :Expo rts an d impo rts growth trends
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Exhibit 6 :Key policy rates
Source: RBI, Angel Research
3. 5
5. 7
9. 0
7. 5
11.2
8. 5
7. 68 .2
9. 2
8. 0
6. 76. 1
5. 3 5. 5 5. 3
3. 0
4. 0
5. 0
6. 0
7. 0
8. 0
9. 0
10.0
11.0
12.0
4Q
FY09
1Q
FY10
2Q
FY10
3Q
FY10
4Q
FY10
1Q
FY11
2Q
FY11
3Q
FY11
4Q
FY11
1Q
FY12
2Q
FY12
3Q
FY12
4Q
FY12
1Q
FY13
2Q
FY13
(%)
2. 7
1 .0
4. 3
(2.8) (1.3)
2. 5
(2.0) (0.1)
2. 0
(0.7)
8. 3
(0.1)(4.0)
(2.0)
-
2. 0
4. 0
6. 0
8. 0
10.0
Dec
-11
Jan
-12
Fe
b-
12
M
ar-
12
Apr-
12
M
ay
-12
Jun
-12
Ju
l-12
Aug
-12
Sep
-12
O
ct-12
Nov
-12
(%)
7 .7
6 .9
7 .4
7 .7
7 .5 7 .67 .6 7 .5
8 .0 8 .1
7 .5
7 .2
6 .2
6 .4
6 .6
6 .8
7 .0
7 .2
7 .4
7 .6
7 .8
8 .0
8 .2
Dec-11
Jan-12
Feb-12
M
ar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
O
ct-12
Nov-12
(%)
48.0
50.0
52.0
54.0
56.0
58.0
60.0
Dec-11
Jan-12
Feb-12
M
ar-12
Apr-12
M
ay-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
O
ct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
M fg . PM I Services PM I
(30.0)
(15.0)
0 .0
15.0
30.0
Jan
-12
Fe
b-
12
M
ar
-12
Apr
-12
M
ay
-12
Jun
-12
Ju
l-12
Aug
-12
Sep
-12
O
ct-12
Nov
-12
Dec
-12
Exp orts yoy g ro wth Im ports yo y growth( %)
8.00
7.00
4.25
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
Dec
-11
Jan
-12
Fe
b-1
2
M
ar-
12
Apr-
12
M
ay
-12
Jun
-12
Ju
l-12
Aug
-12
Sep
-12
O
ct-12
Nov
-12
Dec
-12
Repo rate Reverse Repo rate C RR(%)
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Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E
Agri / Agri Chemical
Rallis Neutral 141 - 2,739 1,466 1,686 14.8 14.8 7.0 8.1 20.1 17.4 4.3 3.6 22.6 22.5 2.0 1.7
United Phosphorus Buy 142 170 6,292 8,421 9,263 16.5 16.5 15.0 17.0 9.5 8.4 1.4 1.2 15.6 15.5 0.8 0.7
Auto & Auto Ancillary
Amara Raja Batteries Neutral 290 - 4,951 2,911 3,321 16.2 16.2 17.3 19.8 16.8 14.6 4.6 3.6 31.1 27.6 1.6 1.4
Apollo Tyres Accumulate 87 96 4,377 13,713 15,341 11.2 11.2 12.5 14.8 7.0 5.9 1.3 1.1 20.2 19.9 0.5 0.4
Ashok Leyland Buy 26 31 6,998 14,226 16,256 9.4 10.0 2.1 2.8 12.5 9.3 2.2 2.0 12.9 16.0 0.6 0.5
Automotive Axle# Neutral 387 - 585 1,103 1,240 11.0 11.3 39.1 45.0 9.9 8.6 1.8 1.7 19.5 22.8 0.6 0.5Bajaj Auto Neutral 2,054 - 59,442 20,775 23,889 18.5 19.0 107.6 126.4 19.1 16.3 7.9 6.2 45.8 42.8 2.5 2.1
Bharat Forge Accumulate 247 278 5,745 6,754 7,565 15.5 15.7 18.8 23.2 13.2 10.7 2.3 2.0 18.5 19.7 1.0 0.9
Bosch India* Neutral 9,248 - 29,037 9,973 11,320 17.8 18.0 396.2 455.7 23.3 20.3 4.4 3.7 18.8 18.2 2.5 2.2
CEAT Buy 111 163 381 4,989 5,634 8.2 8.5 27.1 40.8 4.1 2.7 0.5 0.4 13.2 17.2 0.3 0.2
Exide Industries Neutral 127 - 10,765 6,112 7,074 13.1 14.9 6.1 8.2 20.7 15.5 3.2 2.7 16.0 18.8 1.5 1.2
FAG Bearings* Accumulate 1,645 1,807 2,734 1,715 1,939 17.6 18.4 127.7 150.6 12.9 10.9 2.6 2.1 21.7 21.1 1.3 1.1
Hero Motocorp Accumulate 1,773 1,923 35,406 23,990 27,038 13.8 14.6 105.8 120.2 16.8 14.8 6.8 5.5 44.3 41.0 1.2 1.0
JK Tyre Buy 122 165 501 7,517 8,329 6.6 6.6 37.2 41.3 3.3 3.0 0.6 0.5 18.8 17.8 0.4 0.3
Mahindra and Mahindra Accumulate 882 998 54,125 40,035 46,272 11.5 11.6 54.4 62.1 16.2 14.2 3.6 3.0 24.2 23.2 1.1 0.9
Maruti Neutral 1,575 - 45,493 43,384 51,903 7.3 8.6 67.3 94.6 23.4 16.7 2.7 2.4 12.1 15.1 0.9 0.7
Motherson Sumi Neutral 200 - 11,734 24,285 27,317 6.7 7.2 8.1 10.6 24.8 18.9 5.2 4.2 22.9 24.7 0.6 0.6
Subros Buy 29 35 175 1,286 1,479 9.4 9.7 2.6 5.1 11.3 5.8 0.6 0.6 5.6 10.3 0.4 0.4
Tata Motors Neutral 323 - 86,087 190,883 217,164 12.8 13.1 35.5 42.5 9.1 7.6 2.4 1.9 30.2 27.6 0.5 0.4
TVS Motor Neutral 45 - 2,147 7,298 8,123 6.1 6.4 4.6 5.8 9.9 7.8 1.6 1.4 17.4 19.4 0.3 0.2
Capital Goods
ABB* Sell 684 573 14,502 7,790 9,653 4.5 7.8 8.7 22.1 78.7 31.0 5.4 4.8 7.1 16.5 1.8 1.5BGR Energy Neutral 259 - 1,872 3,567 4,357 11.8 10.9 24.6 26.8 10.5 9.7 1.5 1.4 30.7 26.3 1.0 0.9
BHEL Neutral 232 - 56,699 47,801 43,757 18.5 18.0 24.6 21.8 9.4 10.6 2.8 2.4 33.5 24.5 1.1 1.2
Blue Star Buy 169 224 1,519 2,538 2,681 4.6 5.7 7.3 11.3 23.0 15.0 3.4 2.9 15.6 20.7 0.7 0.6
Crompton Greaves Buy 114 135 7,313 12,320 14,390 5.5 7.2 4.3 7.8 26.5 14.6 1.9 1.8 7.4 12.6 0.6 0.6
Jyoti Structures Buy 43 51 355 2,794 3,048 10.6 10.6 9.2 11.7 4.7 3.7 0.5 0.4 11.9 13.5 0.3 0.3
KEC International Buy 64 78 1,642 6,909 7,907 6.2 7.2 5.4 8.8 11.8 7.3 1.4 1.2 17.0 23.6 0.4 0.4
LMW Reduce 2,269 1,992 2,556 2,369 2,727 11.7 11.7 143.4 166.0 15.8 13.7 2.6 2.4 17.4 18.4 0.6 0.5
Thermax Neutral 586 - 6,981 5,552 5,767 9.3 10.2 28.3 30.9 20.7 19.0 3.7 3.3 19.3 18.4 1.1 1.0
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Market Outlook
Stock Watch
January 22, 2013
-
7/29/2019 Market Outlook Report, 22nd January
10/16
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E
Cement
ACC Neutral 1,335 - 25,069 11,012 12,333 21.1 20.9 77.0 80.3 17.4 16.6 3.3 3.0 19.5 18.7 2.0 1.7
Ambuja Cements Neutral 200 - 30,782 10,210 11,811 26.0 25.7 11.2 12.6 17.8 15.8 3.8 3.4 20.3 20.7 2.6 2.2
India Cements Neutral 86 - 2,649 4,293 4,666 17.7 18.1 8.6 10.8 10.0 8.0 0.7 0.7 7.5 9.0 1.0 0.9
J K Lakshmi Cements Neutral 142 - 1,739 2,171 2,544 22.5 22.5 21.6 23.2 6.6 6.1 1.2 1.0 19.0 17.8 0.9 1.2
Madras Cements Neutral 230 - 5,474 3,814 4,045 28.8 27.1 18.3 18.7 12.6 12.3 2.3 2.0 19.4 17.0 2.1 1.8
Shree Cements^ Neutral 4,495 - 15,659 5,701 6,210 29.7 28.1 240.7 260.7 18.7 17.2 4.5 3.7 27.1 23.6 2.2 1.8
UltraTech Cement Neutral 1,925 - 52,774 21,277 23,939 22.3 23.2 101.5 119.0 19.0 16.2 3.5 3.0 19.9 19.8 2.4 2.3Construction
Ashoka Buildcon Buy 205 286 1,078 2,032 2,311 22.4 22.4 27.0 31.6 7.6 6.5 0.9 0.8 13.0 13.4 1.9 2.2
Consolidated Co Neutral 17 - 308 2,262 2,522 5.9 6.3 0.9 1.6 18.2 10.7 0.5 0.5 2.7 4.6 0.4 0.4
IRB Infra Buy 127 164 4,234 3,843 4,212 43.1 43.6 16.8 17.8 7.6 7.1 1.3 1.1 18.3 17.0 3.2 3.5
ITNL Accumulate 213 225 4,146 6,564 7,054 27.2 27.4 26.3 29.0 8.1 7.4 1.3 1.1 17.0 16.3 2.8 2.8
IVRCL Infra Neutral 43 - 1,333 4,249 6,897 7.8 8.2 0.3 3.4 140.9 12.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 4.4 0.9 0.6
Jaiprakash Asso. Accumulate 91 100 19,663 13,842 15,863 26.9 26.4 3.7 4.6 24.9 20.0 1.5 1.4 6.2 7.3 2.9 2.6
Larsen & Toubro Accumulate 1,567 1,748 96,374 61,031 69,753 11.2 11.6 73.8 85.5 21.3 18.3 3.4 3.0 13.5 14.1 1.8 1.5
Nagarjuna Const. Neutral 57 - 1,463 5,947 6,569 8.5 8.6 3.1 4.1 18.4 13.9 0.6 0.6 3.3 4.2 0.7 0.6
Punj Lloyd Neutral 56 - 1,856 11,892 13,116 9.0 9.0 1.8 3.2 30.9 17.4 0.6 0.6 2.0 3.5 0.6 0.5
Sadbhav Engg. Buy 130 168 1,955 2,344 2,804 10.6 10.7 7.2 8.7 18.0 14.9 2.2 1.9 13.0 13.5 1.2 1.0
Simplex Infra Buy 197 251 973 6,882 8,032 9.1 9.1 23.2 31.3 8.5 6.3 0.7 0.7 9.1 11.2 0.5 0.4
Unity Infra Buy 44 59 325 2,180 2,455 13.7 13.4 13.3 15.0 3.3 2.9 0.4 0.4 12.5 12.5 0.5 0.5
Financials
Allahabad Bank Accumulate 185 199 9,245 6,403 7,186 2.7 2.8 30.5 33.6 6.1 5.5 0.9 0.8 14.9 14.6 - -
Andhra Bank Neutral 123 - 6,855 4,706 5,444 2.9 3.0 21.4 22.4 5.7 5.5 0.9 0.8 15.1 14.2 - -Axis Bank Buy 1,384 1,641 59,108 15,959 18,660 3.2 3.2 119.2 139.0 11.6 10.0 2.2 1.9 20.3 20.1 - -
Bank of Baroda Neutral 882 - 36,275 15,284 18,032 2.5 2.6 109.6 137.7 8.1 6.4 1.2 1.0 15.5 17.1 - -
Bank of India Neutral 381 - 21,881 12,568 14,758 2.2 2.4 41.6 64.1 9.2 6.0 1.2 1.0 11.6 16.0 - -
Bank of Maharashtra Accumulate 59 64 3,487 3,576 3,893 3.1 3.1 9.3 12.0 6.4 4.9 0.8 0.7 14.0 16.1 - -
Canara Bank Neutral 521 - 23,085 10,828 12,005 2.1 2.2 64.7 80.4 8.1 6.5 1.1 1.0 13.2 14.7 - -
Central Bank Neutral 88 - 6,489 7,252 8,236 2.5 2.6 16.8 21.4 5.2 4.1 0.9 0.8 13.1 14.8 - -
Corporation Bank Buy 470 551 6,960 4,835 5,570 2.0 2.2 105.0 99.8 4.5 4.7 0.8 0.7 17.5 14.8 - -
Dena Bank Accumulate 120 132 4,190 3,125 3,457 2.7 2.8 26.2 24.2 4.6 5.0 0.8 0.7 19.6 15.6 - -
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Market Outlook
Stock Watch
January 22, 2013
-
7/29/2019 Market Outlook Report, 22nd January
11/16
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E
Financials
Federal Bank Accumulate 501 576 8,570 2,682 2,968 3.3 3.2 48.6 51.7 10.3 9.7 1.4 1.2 13.8 13.2 - -
HDFC Neutral 815 - 125,585 7,336 8,802 3.5 3.5 31.5 37.8 25.8 21.5 5.2 4.6 34.8 32.1 - -
HDFC Bank Neutral 659 - 156,020 21,615 26,671 4.4 4.5 28.7 35.9 23.0 18.3 4.4 3.7 20.7 22.0 - -
ICICI Bank Buy 1,177 1,397 135,282 22,219 26,447 2.9 3.0 69.1 82.9 17.0 14.2 2.1 1.9 14.2 15.6 - -
IDBI Bank Accumulate 112 119 14,331 7,990 9,279 1.8 2.1 16.8 22.1 6.7 5.1 0.8 0.7 11.7 13.9 - -
Indian Bank Buy 211 252 9,070 5,902 6,563 3.2 3.2 41.3 43.2 5.1 4.9 0.9 0.8 18.4 16.8 - -
IOB Accumulate 87 98 6,938 7,063 8,308 2.3 2.5 12.6 20.4 6.9 4.3 0.6 0.6 9.0 13.3 - -J & K Bank Neutral 1,315 - 6,373 2,830 2,910 3.6 3.6 234.8 197.4 5.6 6.7 1.3 1.1 25.1 18.0 - -
LIC Housing Finance Buy 283 328 14,297 1,799 2,255 2.3 2.4 20.3 27.3 13.9 10.4 2.2 1.9 16.9 19.7 - -
Oriental Bank Accumulate 338 369 9,866 6,330 7,105 2.6 2.7 58.4 65.1 5.8 5.2 0.8 0.7 14.5 14.4 - -
Punjab Natl.Bank Neutral 892 - 30,270 19,688 22,497 3.2 3.3 138.9 1 64.5 6.4 5.4 1.1 1.0 16.7 17.3 - -
South Ind.Bank Buy 28 34 3,802 1,583 1,789 3.0 2.9 3.5 4.1 8.2 7.0 1.4 1.2 19.1 17.7 - -
St Bk of India Neutral 2,498 - 167,610 60,677 69,712 3.3 3.3 224.3 257.3 11.1 9.7 1.9 1.6 17.6 17.7 - -
Syndicate Bank Accumulate 142 158 8,518 6,810 7,807 3.0 3.0 28.0 27.2 5.1 5.2 0.9 0.8 19.4 16.4 - -
UCO Bank Neutral 82 - 5,447 5,235 6,086 2.3 2.4 12.0 14.9 6.9 5.5 1.1 0.9 12.0 13.5 - -
Union Bank Accumulate 269 286 14,799 9,963 11,536 2.8 2.9 40.8 46.8 6.6 5.8 1.1 0.9 16.2 16.4 - -
United Bank Buy 78 90 2,801 3,498 3,858 2.5 2.8 15.1 21.6 5.1 3.6 0.6 0.6 12.5 16.1 - -
Vijaya Bank Accumulate 63 66 3,107 2,333 2,728 2.0 2.2 7.3 10.4 8.6 6.1 0.9 0.8 9.3 12.1 - -
Yes Bank Accumulate 512 576 18,314 3,364 4,260 2.8 3.0 36.3 42.6 14.1 12.0 3.1 2.6 24.6 23.6 - -
FMCG
Asian Paints Neutral 4,296 - 41,209 11,198 13,184 15.4 15.7 117.1 141.5 36.7 30.4 12.0 9.5 36.4 35.0 3.6 3.0
Britannia Buy 490 584 5,853 5,627 6,581 4.9 5.7 18.3 24.7 26.8 19.9 9.8 7.5 39.1 42.7 1.0 0.8
Colgate Neutral 1,496 - 20,341 3,146 3,573 20.6 21.4 36.4 42.5 41.1 35.2 38.0 31.8 102.0 98.5 6.3 5.5
Dabur India Neutral 128 - 22,310 6,124 7,101 17.0 16.8 4.7 5.4 27.5 23.6 11.6 9.1 44.5 41.5 3.7 3.1
GlaxoSmith Con* Neutral 3,773 - 15,866 3,084 3,617 15.3 15.5 101.2 118.3 37.3 31.9 11.4 9.2 33.5 31.9 4.8 4.0
Godrej Consumer Neutral 714 - 24,289 6,355 7,548 16.7 17.4 20.3 25.4 35.2 28.1 7.4 6.2 23.2 25.1 4.0 3.3
HUL Neutral 496 - 107,201 25,350 28,974 13.3 13.5 14.7 17.1 33.7 29.1 26.6 18.8 84.5 75.8 4.0 3.5
ITC Neutral 291 - 228,982 29,148 34,191 35.7 36.1 9.4 11.1 31.0 26.2 10.3 8.6 35.9 35.7 7.5 6.4
Marico Neutral 225 - 14,519 4,840 5,643 13.6 13.6 6.4 8.1 35.0 27.7 6.9 5.6 26.3 23.3 3.1 2.5
Nestle* Neutral 4,790 - 46,186 8,487 10,081 21.2 22.1 113.0 142.5 42.4 33.6 25.4 17.5 70.5 61.6 5.5 4.5
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Market Outlook
Stock Watch
January 22, 2013
-
7/29/2019 Market Outlook Report, 22nd January
12/16
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E
FMCG
Tata Global Neutral 154 - 9,523 7,207 7,927 9.1 9.5 6.9 8.2 22.3 18.9 2.4 2.3 8.9 9.8 1.2 1.1
IT
HCL Tech^ Neutral 714 - 49,599 24,453 27,269 19.8 18.7 45.0 50.0 15.9 14.3 3.8 3.2 24.4 22.6 1.9 1.7
Hexaware* Buy 90 118 2,682 1,941 2,118 20.8 19.0 10.7 10.7 8.5 8.5 2.1 1.8 25.3 22.0 1.1 1.0
Infosys Neutral 2,798 - 160,671 40,746 44,283 28.9 28.8 162.6 172.9 17.2 16.2 4.1 3.5 23.5 21.3 3.3 2.9
Infotech Enterprises Accumulate 174 191 1,941 1,900 2,064 18.2 17.8 19.1 21.2 9.1 8.2 1.4 1.2 15.2 14.6 0.7 0.5
KPIT Cummins Accumulate 118 130 2,270 2,221 2,390 16.1 15.9 11.3 13.0 10.5 9.1 2.3 1.8 21.9 20.9 1.0 0.9Mahindra Satyam Neutral 118 - 13,930 7,670 8,308 20.3 19.3 9.9 10.8 12.0 10.9 3.4 2.6 28.0 23.5 1.4 1.2
Mindtree Neutral 791 - 3,261 2,339 2,502 20.9 18.4 75.4 78.1 10.5 10.1 2.6 2.0 24.6 20.3 1.1 1.0
Mphasis& Accumulate 375 396 7,879 5,531 5,874 17.6 17.5 35.4 37.7 10.6 10.0 1.6 1.3 14.7 13.5 0.9 0.8
NIIT Buy 28 36 459 1,048 1,161 9.1 10.9 4.1 6.2 6.8 4.5 0.7 0.6 10.3 14.1 0.3 0.2
Persistent Reduce 568 539 2,274 1,277 1,398 26.8 25.2 48.0 53.9 11.8 10.5 2.3 1.9 19.0 17.9 1.5 1.2
TCS Accumulate 1,332 1,465 260,624 62,954 70,871 29.0 28.9 71.6 79.1 18.6 16.8 6.2 5.0 33.2 29.7 3.9 3.4
Tech Mahindra Accumulate 1,004 1,087 12,833 6,671 7,290 19.8 19.0 94.1 106.4 10.7 9.4 2.5 2.0 24.0 21.6 2.0 1.7
Wipro Accumulate 397 421 97,850 43,231 47,241 20.0 20.0 26.2 28.1 15.2 14.1 2.9 2.5 19.3 17.9 1.9 1.7
Media
D B Corp Accumulate 230 264 4,221 1,581 1,784 23.3 25.0 11.6 14.4 19.9 16.0 3.9 3.3 21.0 22.3 2.6 2.2
HT Media Accumulate 106 121 2,484 2,111 2,272 15.0 15.2 7.4 8.3 14.4 12.8 1.6 1.4 11.3 11.4 0.8 0.7
Jagran Prakashan Buy 109 126 3,452 1,503 1,681 23.1 23.1 6.4 7.3 17.1 15.0 4.2 3.8 25.8 26.5 2.5 2.2
PVR Neutral 263 - 762 682 786 17.3 16.9 17.6 19.7 15.0 13.4 1.8 1.6 14.9 14.5 1.5 1.2
Sun TV Network Neutral 424 - 16,713 1,942 2,237 77.2 75.5 17.6 19.1 24.1 22.2 5.8 5.2 25.8 25.2 8.1 7.0
Metals & Mining
Bhushan Steel Neutral 433 - 9,816 11,307 14,287 29.5 29.1 45.1 51.0 9.6 8.5 1.1 1.0 12.2 12.2 2.9 2.3Coal India Neutral 351 - 221,894 66,666 70,292 25.7 27.3 24.2 26.6 14.5 13.2 4.3 3.5 33.1 29.1 2.4 2.1
Electrosteel Castings Buy 26 34 887 1,984 2,074 10.6 11.6 1.8 2.6 14.6 9.9 0.5 0.2 3.6 5.1 0.6 0.6
Hind. Zinc Accumulate 131 145 55,140 12,446 13,538 52.3 52.9 15.0 16.4 8.7 8.0 1.7 1.5 21.4 19.7 2.6 1.9
Hindalco Neutral 123 - 23,502 79,148 89,258 9.4 9.0 15.0 15.6 8.2 7.9 0.7 0.6 8.8 8.4 0.7 0.6
JSW Steel Neutral 865 - 19,302 39,586 41,459 17.6 17.0 78.7 90.1 11.0 9.6 1.1 1.0 10.2 10.7 0.9 0.9
MOIL Neutral 257 - 4,313 941 1,019 47.3 48.3 25.8 28.1 9.9 9.1 1.6 1.4 16.7 16.2 2.2 1.9
Monnet Ispat Buy 268 344 1,709 2,501 3,264 22.2 24.6 41.8 55.2 6.4 4.9 0.7 0.6 11.3 13.4 1.8 1.3
Nalco Reduce 49 44 12,564 6,898 7,841 9.9 14.7 2.0 3.2 24.6 15.3 1.1 1.0 4.3 6.8 1.4 1.2
NMDC Buy 162 198 64,149 11,209 12,525 78.4 78.3 18.5 20.6 8.7 7.9 2.1 1.8 27.0 24.6 3.8 3.2
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Market Outlook
Stock Watch
January 22, 2013
-
7/29/2019 Market Outlook Report, 22nd January
13/16
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E
Metals & Mining
SAIL Neutral 92 - 37,856 47,252 60,351 14.2 14.8 9.6 11.7 9.6 7.8 0.9 0.8 9.4 10.6 1.3 1.0
Sesa Goa Neutral 187 - 16,244 4,551 6,640 32.8 34.4 33.7 39.3 5.6 4.8 0.9 0.8 18.3 18.3 4.2 2.9
Sterlite Inds Neutral 114 - 38,194 43,185 45,442 23.3 23.7 16.8 17.9 6.8 6.3 0.8 0.7 11.6 11.2 0.9 0.8
Tata Steel Accumulate 414 463 40,213 145,725 154,108 8.3 9.5 22.0 44.5 18.8 9.3 0.9 0.8 4.9 9.3 0.6 0.5
Sarda Buy 129 153 464 1,442 1,494 17.6 17.3 27.2 28.7 4.8 4.5 0.5 0.5 11.5 11.0 0.7 0.6
Prakash Industries Buy 50 73 670 2,694 2,906 14.6 16.6 16.4 20.8 3.0 2.4 0.3 0.3 11.4 12.8 0.5 0.3
Godawari Power andIspat Buy 116 143 369 2,342 2,470 13.7 15.3 27.7 33.8 4.2 3.4 0.4 0.4 10.9 11.4 0.6 0.6
Oil & Gas
Cairn India Accumulate 340 382 64,997 17,567 17,643 76.2 72.3 61.1 56.8 5.6 6.0 1.1 1.0 22.0 17.5 2.9 2.4
GAIL Neutral 388 - 49,236 46,652 54,142 15.7 15.7 34.0 35.3 11.4 11.0 2.0 1.7 18.5 16.8 0.8 0.6
ONGC Reduce 337 312 287,978 147,139 154,821 33.9 33.7 30.7 32.3 11.0 10.4 1.9 1.7 18.3 17.2 1.7 1.6
Reliance Industries Neutral 920 - 301,275 362,700 380,031 7.9 8.0 60.0 63.3 15.3 14.5 1.5 1.4 11.1 10.6 0.8 0.8
Gujarat Gas* Neutral 309 - 3,963 3,128 3,707 13.2 11.7 22.8 23.5 13.6 13.1 4.1 3.6 33.2 29.2 1.1 0.9
Indraprastha Gas Neutral 274 - 3,833 3,213 3,643 23.3 23.5 24.3 25.7 11.3 10.6 2.6 2.2 25.0 22.1 1.3 1.1
Petronet LNG Accumulate 158 179 11,869 32,210 41,362 6.1 5.8 15.4 15.6 10.3 10.1 2.7 2.2 29.1 24.1 0.5 0.4
Gujarat State PetronetLtd.
Neutral 77 - 4,327 1,079 1,034 91.8 91.9 8.8 8.4 8.8 9.2 1.5 1.3 17.9 15.0 3.7 3.8
Pharmaceuticals
Alembic Pharma Buy 71 91 1,337 1,624 1,855 14.2 15.6 6.6 9.1 10.7 7.8 2.7 2.1 27.9 29.9 0.9 0.8
Aurobindo Pharma Accumulate 195 208 5,690 5,463 6,279 15.0 15.0 12.4 14.0 15.8 14.0 2.0 1.7 18.8 17.8 1.6 1.4
Aventis* Neutral 2,310 - 5,320 1,482 1,682 17.5 16.6 82.9 87.8 27.9 26.3 4.4 3.5 16.3 14.8 3.4 2.9
Cadila Healthcare Accumulate 880 926 18,010 6,148 7,386 18.6 19.6 32.7 44.8 26.9 19.6 5.9 4.7 23.7 26.6 3.3 2.7
Cipla Neutral 404 - 32,434 8,151 9,130 25.8 24.8 20.2 21.6 20.0 18.7 3.6 3.1 19.4 17.6 3.8 3.3
Dr Reddy's Neutral 1,922 - 32,623 10,696 11,662 20.7 21.0 83.7 92.9 23.0 20.7 4.7 4.0 22.4 20.8 3.3 2.9
Dishman Pharma Buy 109 145 883 1,280 1,536 20.2 20.2 10.4 14.5 10.5 7.5 0.9 0.8 8.7 11.0 1.4 1.2
GSK Pharma* Neutral 2,177 - 18,438 2,651 2,993 31.7 31.2 76.0 82.4 28.6 26.4 8.3 7.4 20.1 26.3 6.2 5.3
Indoco Remedies Buy 64 89 586 685 837 15.2 15.2 7.4 8.9 8.6 7.2 1.3 1.1 16.4 17.0 1.0 0.9
Ipca labs Neutral 525 - 6,626 2,850 3,474 21.0 21.0 29.9 37.3 17.6 14.1 4.2 3.3 26.7 26.4 2.5 2.1
Lupin Accumulate 594 655 26,566 8,426 10,082 19.7 20.0 26.1 31.1 22.8 19.1 5.3 4.2 25.8 24.7 3.3 2.7
Ranbaxy* Neutral 484 - 20,452 12,046 11,980 16.0 15.8 37.3 32.1 13.0 15.1 5.0 4.0 45.3 29.7 1.7 1.7
Sun Pharma Neutral 700 - 72,343 9,902 12,313 42.6 42.6 26.7 29.1 26.2 24.0 5.0 4.2 20.7 19.1 6.6 5.2
Power
GIPCL Accumulate 72 78 1,084 1,523 1,568 30.3 30.3 5.4 11.5 13.3 6.2 0.7 0.7 5.6 11.3 1.2 1.0
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Market Outlook
Stock Watch
January 22, 2013
-
7/29/2019 Market Outlook Report, 22nd January
14/16
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E
Power
NTPC Neutral 162 - 133,370 72,809 81,951 23.0 23.7 12.0 13.4 13.5 12.1 1.6 1.5 12.5 12.9 2.5 2.3
Real Estate
Anant Raj Neutral 92 - 2,721 657 875 52.0 56.1 8.4 12.7 11.0 7.3 0.7 0.6 6.3 8.9 5.4 4.1
DLF Neutral 257 - 43,613 9,878 12,033 44.7 46.1 9.6 13.4 26.8 19.1 1.7 1.6 6.4 8.7 6.9 5.7
HDIL Neutral 121 - 5,064 2,441 3,344 55.1 48.2 22.7 26.6 5.3 4.5 0.5 0.4 8.8 9.4 3.9 2.9
MLIFE Neutral 415 - 1,694 813 901 26.2 26.6 32.0 37.1 13.0 11.2 1.4 1.2 10.4 11.0 2.5 2.1
TelecomBharti Airtel Neutral 355 - 134,812 80,353 86,654 30.9 31.3 8.6 11.8 41.5 30.1 2.5 2.4 6.1 7.8 2.4 2.2
Idea Cellular Neutral 120 - 39,594 21,797 23,142 26.9 27.7 3.1 4.7 38.1 25.7 2.8 2.5 7.4 9.8 2.3 2.1
Rcom Neutral 89 - 18,370 21,032 22,084 31.8 30.2 2.9 4.0 30.4 22.3 0.5 0.5 1.6 2.2 2.5 2.3
zOthers
Abbott India Accumulate 1,443 1,590 3,066 1,629 1,886 11.8 13.3 60.8 79.5 23.8 18.2 4.9 4.1 22.0 24.4 1.7 1.4
Bajaj Electricals Accumulate 195 217 1,949 3,497 3,968 6.6 7.6 9.8 15.5 19.9 12.6 2.6 2.2 12.7 17.4 0.6 0.5
Cera Sanitaryware Accumulate 433 495 547 460 596 16.4 16.2 34.7 45.0 12.5 9.6 3.1 2.4 27.7 27.8 1.3 1.0
Cravatex Buy 420 545 109 272 308 7.2 7.3 37.5 45.4 11.2 9.3 2.7 2.1 23.7 22.7 0.5 0.4
CRISIL Neutral 1,003 - 7,041 982 1,136 34.3 34.3 34.3 40.0 29.2 25.1 13.2 10.6 50.9 46.9 6.8 5.7
Finolex Cables Neutral 58 - 890 2,304 2,552 9.9 9.1 8.2 10.1 7.1 5.8 1.0 0.9 13.7 14.7 0.3 0.3
Force Motors Buy 455 537 593 2,318 2,700 5.0 5.7 45.0 67.0 10.1 6.8 0.5 0.5 5.0 7.0 0.1 0.1
Goodyear India Accumulate 320 360 738 1,494 1,607 6.4 7.8 23.9 33.0 13.4 9.7 2.1 1.8 16.5 20.1 0.3 0.2
Greenply Industries Sell 411 309 992 1,925 2,235 10.6 10.9 29.6 44.1 13.9 9.3 2.3 1.8 16.8 21.0 0.8 0.7
Hitachi Reduce 158 146 363 873 989 4.4 6.5 6.4 12.2 24.9 13.0 2.0 1.8 8.3 14.4 0.5 0.4
Honeywell Automation* Accumulate 2,551 2,842 2,255 1,809 2,117 5.5 7.5 84.9 135.3 30.1 18.9 3.3 2.8 11.3 16.0 1.1 1.0
Styrolution ABS India* Accumulate 701 744 1,233 1,059 1,116 8.5 9.5 36.0 42.0 19.5 16.7 2.8 2.5 15.4 16.0 1.2 1.1ITD Cementation Buy 248 334 286 1,455 1,630 12.4 12.6 29.8 40.5 8.3 6.1 0.7 0.6 8.2 9.8 0.6 0.6
Jyothy Laboratories Neutral 150 - 2,422 1,228 1,443 9.0 10.9 3.9 6.4 38.6 23.5 3.8 3.5 10.1 15.6 2.5 2.1
MCX Neutral 1,401 - 7,144 553 624 65.3 66.3 62.5 72.0 22.4 19.5 6.2 5.3 27.5 27.4 9.9 8.3
MRF Neutral 13,432 - 5,697 13,030 14,405 10.3 10.6 1,418.1 1,677.1 9.5 8.0 1.7 1.4 19.1 18.7 0.5 0.5
Page Industries Accumulate 3,417 3,602 3,812 836 1,023 20.2 20.6 105.6 133.4 32.4 25.6 16.5 11.6 59.3 53.2 4.6 3.8
Relaxo Footwears Accumulate 860 933 1,032 1,019 1,208 11.0 12.5 47.0 66.7 18.3 12.9 4.6 3.4 28.2 30.1 1.2 1.0
Sintex Industries Accumulate 71 79 2,130 4,751 5,189 16.3 16.6 13.6 15.8 5.2 4.5 0.7 0.6 12.9 13.2 0.8 0.7
Siyaram Silk Mills Buy 296 366 277 1,043 1,149 12.3 12.9 65.7 73.3 4.5 4.0 0.9 0.7 21.0 19.6 0.5 0.5
S. Kumars Nationwide Neutral 14 - 401 6,765 7,393 18.1 18.0 6.4 7.5 2.1 1.8 0.1 0.1 6.1 6.7 0.6 0.6
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Market Outlook
Stock Watch
January 22, 2013
-
7/29/2019 Market Outlook Report, 22nd January
15/16
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E FY13E FY14E
zOthers
SpiceJet Reduce 46 43 2,235 5,720 6,599 5.3 6.8 3.6 5.4 12.8 8.6 18.5 5.9 - - 0.5 0.4
TAJ GVK Buy 70 108 436 300 319 35.8 36.2 7.9 9.1 8.8 7.6 1.2 1.0 13.9 14.4 1.8 1.5
Tata Sponge Iron Buy 313 384 482 750 803 18.6 18.4 65.4 69.1 4.8 4.5 0.7 0.7 16.5 15.3 0.3 0.2
TTK Healthcare Buy 540 643 420 374 425 7.9 9.5 24.1 32.7 22.5 16.5 19.7 22.5 0.9 0.8
TVS Srichakra Buy 261 322 200 1,461 1,625 6.9 8.2 24.6 53.7 10.6 4.9 1.3 1.1 12.9 24.9 0.4 0.3
United Spirits Neutral 1,808 - 23,646 10,289 11,421 12.8 12.8 26.0 45.3 69.5 39.9 3.2 2.9 5.8 7.6 2.7 2.4
Vesuvius India Neutral 344 - 698 560 611 16.1 17.0 24.7 28.8 13.9 12.0 2.1 1.8 15.8 16.2 1.1 1.0Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on January 21, 2013
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Market Outlook
Stock Watch
January 22, 2013
-
7/29/2019 Market Outlook Report, 22nd January
16/16
Market OutlookJanuary 22, 2013