Market AnalysisMarket Analysis - Toledo Metropolitan Area ... 07 TEMS Presentations... · Market...
Transcript of Market AnalysisMarket Analysis - Toledo Metropolitan Area ... 07 TEMS Presentations... · Market...
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Market AnalysisMarket Analysis
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• Production and design services provided by:– Lauerer Markin Group– Thread Information Design
• Strategy support provided Great Lakes Marketing
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We finally have the CATALYST (global sourcing)!!We finally have the CATALYST (global sourcing)!!CoBA6
UnrealizedUnrealizedpotential and potential and underutilized underutilized
assetsassets
Emergence Emergence of global of global sourcingsourcing++ ==
Leadership & Leadership & Global LogisticsGlobal Logistics
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Slide 3
CoBA6 College of Business Administration, 5/17/2006
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Situational AnalysisSituational Analysis• U.S. transportation system is overwhelmed
– Passenger vehicle traffic will increase 50% by 2030– Freight traffic will increase by 50% by 2020
• Cannot build enough highways and rail to meet demand• China to become top US trading partner within three
years• Imports from Asia/China
– Doubling by 2000-2010– Exponentially shifting to high-value, time-sensitive goods
• Asian exporters (and U.S. DOT) deeply concerned about US distribution bottlenecks
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Situational AnalysisSituational Analysis• Trucking industry is challenged by:
– New hours of service rules
– High cost of fuel
– Shortage of drivers and equipment
– Increased costs of drayage/cartage
– Increased highway congestion
• Port throughput and efficiencies are enhanced by a transfer of product from boat to rail
• Rail transport to the distribution centers requires an intermodal/rail ramp
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Situational AnalysisU.S. Dept. of TransportationSituational AnalysisU.S. Dept. of Transportation
“America's freight network is a lifeline for our nation's manufacturers, farmers and businesses…”
Norman Mineta, U.S. Secretary of transportation
March 2003The JOURNAL of COMMERCE
The solution for U.S. businesses will require “lots of money,” said Eskew, but that money should be targeted strategically using a holistic strategy. By that, Eskew means taking into account how all air-, ground- and water-based transport systems work together and increasing the integration of the different modes. “All the port capacity in the world won’t prevent bottlenecks if there isn’t enough rail freight capacity on which to unload the ocean shipments,”
Mike Eskew
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Situational AnalysisU.S. Dept. of TransportationSituational AnalysisU.S. Dept. of Transportation
• “…Understanding the nature of freight flows will help ensure our ability to remain competitive in the global marketplace and to continue to meet the economic and transportation challenges of the 21st century."
The agency is estimating that by 2020 America's transportation system will handle cargo valued at almost $30 trillion, compared with $9 trillion today.Volumes, in tons, will increase by almost 70 percent over the current 15 billion tons. The department also says that international freight volumes will almost double by 2020. As a result, each state will experience large freight volumes onits transportation infrastructure over the next 20 years, with the potential for increased congestion and greater inefficiencies throughout the nation's transportation system.”
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PlanningPlanning
• Containerized intermodal transportation and distribution is the key strategy for the future
• Transportation terminals must be either retro-fitted or newly developed to handle intermodal traffic
• Retro-fit is time consuming and expensive• Green/brownfield development is recommended
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Shipping ContainersShipping Containers• International shipments (except for bulk goods) are
delivered by shipping containers
• Shipping containers require significant maneuvering and staging areas with specialized material handling equipment
• Single source, port-to-door routing from manufacturer to distributor is often desired
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Points of CongestionPoints of Congestion• “West Coast ports anticipate double-digit container growth, fuel
costs are climbing to all time highs, and capacity is tight. Concerns abound that increasing volume will compound existing infrastructure problems and further expose intermodal disconnects, labor strife, driver shortages and the cost of moving product in highly congested areas”…
• …“Many importers, contract manufacturers, and retailers are considering strategic, long-term measures to alleviate stress in their supply chains by creating more reliable transportation options.”
• Inbound Logistics – June 2005
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North American Coastal PortsNorth American Coastal Ports
Primary West Coast Ports1. Port of Los Angeles – 4,874,730 TEUs
2. Port of Long Beach – 3,764,257 TEUs
3. Port of Vancouver – 1,664,906 TEUs
4. Port of Oakland – 1,197,331 TEUs
5. Port of Seattle – 1,049,105 TEUs
6. Port of Tacoma – 940,638 TEUs
TEU = Twenty Foot Equivalent Unit
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Alternative Investment Example at VancouverAlternative Investment Example at Vancouver
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Holistic ApproachHolistic Approach
Intermodal Transfer
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Holistic ApproachHolistic Approach
Intermodal Transfer
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FlowFlow
Re-distribution
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FlowFlow
With an industrial park adjacent to rail ramps, containers can be shuttled (via hostlers) directly from the train to the facility
For industrial locations in the area, but not adjacent, a short dray or even a longer cartage still provides operating economies of scale and savings
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Cargo AirportCargo AirportCombined with rail and truck, air cargo ground operations become extremely efficient
Enables operators to provide full-service options to customers who have combinations of time sensitive cargo as well as bulk shipments
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Service from CaliforniaService from California
Toledo
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Maritime DistanceMaritime DistancePrince
Rupert** Vancouver** Los Angeles*
Shanghai2,905.04 miles
4,675.21 kilometers3,175.79 miles5,110.94 kilometers
3,544.67 miles5,704.59 kilometers
Yantai2,910.01 miles
4,683.21 kilometers3,182.00 miles5,120.93 kilometers
3,554.60 miles5,720.57 kilometers
Xiamen3,143.50 miles
5,058.97 kilometers
3,416.12 miles5,497.71 kilometers
3,798.04 miles6,112.35 kilometers
Hong Kong3,313.03 miles
5,331.80 kilometers
3,543.43 miles5,702.60 kilometers
3,951.42 miles6,359.19 kilometers
*2-3 more days at sea to LA and 2-3 more days return**Rapidly growing in capacity and importance
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Modernized Flow (example)Modernized Flow (example)
Toledo
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Value of Lake Erie West RegionValue of Lake Erie West Region
• Incomparable location• Existing infrastructure • Complete transmodal capability• Anchor clients already here or nearby• Central to North American industrial sector
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Access to MarketsAccess to Markets
300 Mile Radius
Toledo
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300 Mile Demographics300 Mile Demographics
2005 Population Estimate 49,415,140
Estimated Median Age 36.74
Estimated Average Age 37.46
Estimated Average Household Income $62,611
Estimated Per Capita Income $24,532
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Example: Automotive IndustryExample: Automotive Industry
This 300 mile (500 KM) radius contains:
37 of 64 assembly plants in the US and Canada
126 of the top 150 OEM supplier headquarters and over 60% of their facilities in the US and Canada
The destination of more than half of all imported automotive parts
China is becoming top-tier one supplier to US
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Value Proposition for Global LogisticsValue Proposition for Global Logistics
• Logistics hub for global sourcing– Existing and growing need
• Embedded supply chain– Rapidly growing customer
demand• Distribution solution based
execution– Low-hanging fruit– Built-in Opportunity
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PotentialPotential
• As supplier locations change, identifying and securing the optimum distribution point(s) becomes paramount for long-term, cost-effective logistics
• A strategically located transportation/logistics hub, with rail ramps offering more efficient global connectivity, will bring a distinct, substantial, and NECESSARY competitive advantage to regional industrial base
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Lake Erie West Hub
VisionVisionFaster/CheaperCustomer
DirectR
edistribution
Improved Service
Levels
Embedded Supply Chain
Maximum Efficiency
Con
trolle
d
Bord
er
Secu
re
Multi ModalExce
llent Capacity
Usage
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Points of DifferentiationPoints of Differentiation
Coastal Port Lake Erie West HubLanded goods RedistributionShipper to port Customer direct
Ocean specific Unlimited geography
Multi-modal support Multi-modal integration
Customer-dependent supply chain Embedded supply chain
National security issues Controlled borders
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StrengthsStrengths
• Lack of congestion– Slot-free airport– Exclusive airspace for Toledo, not dependent on Detroit or
Cleveland– Access to global markets via air and water– Railroad with capacity available in existing rights of way– Minimal highway congestion
CoBA2CoBA3
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Slide 29
CoBA2 College of Business Administration, 5/17/2006
CoBA3 College of Business Administration, 5/17/2006
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Elements of the Lake Erie West Global Logistics Hub
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StrategiesStrategies
• Develop vision– Prepare situation analysis– Define value proposition– Define internal partners
• Define external strategic partners• Plan for long-term development• Develop promotional campaign
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VISIONVISIONSituational Value Internal Analysis Proposition Partners
ID EXTERNAL ID EXTERNAL PARTNERSPARTNERS
LONG TERM LONG TERM DEVELOPMENT PLANDEVELOPMENT PLAN
MARKETINGMARKETING
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Strategy ExecutionStrategy Execution
• Vision– Conduct moderated planning sessions for situational
analysis, development of value proposition and identification of internal partners
– This must yield an overall, mutually agreed-upon strategic foundation
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Strategy ExecutionStrategy Execution
• ID external partners– Identify major, ramp-based commercial
developers/investors– Develop plan to establish anchor clients such as:
FedEx, UPS, BAX/Schenker, DHL, Yellow Freight, etc.
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Deal-Flow Analysis DefinitionDeal-Flow Analysis Definition
ExistingAssetUse
StrategyAlignment
New Customers
New Revenue New Jobs
Percentage of re-use
Desirability of co-use
Alignment with vision
Regional impact
Potential to attract new customers
New sources of revenue
New jobs created
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Deal-Flow AnalysisExample: Heartland HubDeal-Flow AnalysisExample: Heartland Hub
0
25
50
75
100
Existing Asset Use
Strategy Alignment
New Customers
New Revenue New Jobs
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Deal-Flow AnalysisDeal-Flow Analysis
• Score– Add the points
400 – 500 = Must execute300 – 400 = Prioritize200 – 300 = Look for improvements0 – 200 = Low probability for success; potential threats
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Impact AnalysisImpact Analysis
5%
15%
30%30%
20%
GatekeeperInfluencersValue AddersUsersImplementers
Heartland Hub
Proportional impact at each phase
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GatekeeperGatekeeper
• Asset Management• Decision Maker
– For example:• Port Authority
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InfluencersInfluencers• Regulatory Impact• Specific Execution • Impact on Funding
– For example:• TAGNO• Toledo Mayor’s Office• Port Authority• Chamber of Commerce• LCIC…
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Value AddersValue Adders• Provide support services• Greatest potential to differentiate our hub
– For example:• Maintenance providers• Fuel depot…
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UsersUsers
• Generate Revenue– For example:
• Anchor clients• Distribution companies…
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ImplementersImplementers
• Develop and Operate Assets– For example:
• Investors• Developers• Operators…
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Phases of Impact AnalysisPhases of Impact Analysis
• Start-up Phase• Development Phase• Marketing Phase• Usage Phase• Enhancement Phase
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Phases of Impact AnalysisStart-up Phase
Phases of Impact AnalysisStart-up Phase
30%
30%
5%
5%
30%GatekeeperInfluencersValue AddersUsersImplementers
Heartland Hub
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Phases of Impact AnalysisDevelopment Phase
Phases of Impact AnalysisDevelopment Phase
10%
20%
10%
20%
40%GatekeeperInfluencersValue AddersUsersImplementers
Heartland Hub
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Phases of Impact AnalysisMarketing Phase
Phases of Impact AnalysisMarketing Phase
35%
20%
15%
10%
20%
GatekeeperInfluencersValue AddersUsersImplementers
Heartland Hub
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Phases of Impact AnalysisUsage Phase
Phases of Impact AnalysisUsage Phase
5%5%
30%
50%
10%
GatekeeperInfluencersValue AddersUsersImplementers
Heartland Hub
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Phases of Impact AnalysisEnhancement Phase
Phases of Impact AnalysisEnhancement Phase
25%
15%
20%
20%
20%
GatekeeperInfluencersValue AddersUsersImplementers
Heartland Hub
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Near Term/Mid Term ProcessNear Term/Mid Term ProcessFinalize Vision/Value proposition
Identify target segments
Develop promotional campaign
Engage investors/developers
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Heartland Hub
VisionVisionFaster/CheaperCustomer
Direct Redistribution
Improved Service
Levels
Embedded Supply Chain
Maximum Efficiency
Con
trolle
d
Bord
er
Secu
re
Multi ModalExce
llent Capacity
Usage
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Points of DifferentiationPoints of Differentiation
Coastal Port Heartland HubLanded goods RedistributionShipper to port Customer direct
Ocean specific Unlimited geography
Multi-modal support Multi-modal integration
Customer-dependent supply chain Embedded supply chain
National security issues Controlled borders
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Engage Investors/DevelopersEngage Investors/Developers
• Identify transportation/distribution investors• Entice large-scale institutional money• Motivate rapid development/expansion• Assist in their business development
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Identify Target SegmentsIdentify Target Segments
• Initial focused geographical development– China inbound– China outbound– Integration with Canadian ports
• Automotive industry service• Leverage complementary ports
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Deploy Promotional CampaignDeploy Promotional Campaign
• Engage federal/state government partners• Develop image and brand• Gain local commitment from strategic partners• Build external awareness• Engage investment partners
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Critical Success FactorsCritical Success Factors• Speak with one voice
– Internal unity• Clearly define roles and responsibilities
– Secure long-term commitments• Execute vision in steps
– Work toward a series of continuous victories– Communicate successes
• Adapt to market influences– Monitor response/impact– Adjust execution accordingly
• Make sure everybody wins– Share the rewards/recognition– Ensure continuous reinvestment
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Select ImplementerSelect Implementer
Toledo Port Authority
Pursue PartnersPursue PartnersToledo Port Authority