Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination...
Transcript of Mapping the Textile Industry - Destination...
1
Olivier Zieschank, EconomistInternational Textile Manufacturers Federation (ITMF)
«Mapping the Textile Industry”
Destination AfricaNovember 11/12, 2017
Cairo
12.11.2017 1
Contents
2
World textile/apparel industry
New disruptive technologies
Geographical distribution of the industry
Implications for the global textile industry
3
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
Apparel sales will grow strongest in Asia and the Middle East
Situation & outlook for the global textile/apparel industry for manufacturing
4
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
Faster
Less labor-intensiveLess energy-
intensive
Less water-intensive
High demand for ever more automated and ever more energy- and water-efficient textile machines
0.000.501.001.502.002.503.003.504.00
2.903.003.103.203.303.403.503.603.70
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
kWh
per k
g of
yarn
(rot
or-s
pinn
ing)
kWh
per k
g of
yarn
(rin
g-sp
inni
ng)
Energy consumption in spinning
(average of countries)
Ring-spinning, lhs Open-end spinning, rhs
Innovation in textile manufacturing
5
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
Industrial trends
Mass customization Industry 4.0
Environmental sustainability Infrastructure projects
6
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
Where are currently the areas of investments in textile manufacturing?
7
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
Spinning MachinesTexturing Machines Weaving Machines
Circular Knitting MachinesFlat Knitting Machines
Finishing Machines
Global Shipments of New Textile Machinery (2007-2016)
units per region
8
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
12.8
8.6
7.2
12.5
14.3
10.5
11.6
9.89.0
7.9
12.0
8.3
7.0
11.9
13.5
9.9
10.7
8.98.3
7.3
.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
mill
ion
spin
dles
World Asia & Oceania Europe, Other Africa
America, North America, South Europe, West Europe, East
Last year world growth: -12%
1. Shipments - Short-staple Spindles
Turkey
9
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
1. Shipments - Short-staple Spindles
units per country in Asia & Oceania
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
China Rest of world
Chinese investments increased last year by : +27%
+ 27%
10
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
1. Shipments - Short-staple Spindles
The biggest investors in 2016
ChinaIndia
BangladeshVietnam
Turkey
Pakistan
mill
ion
spin
dles
relative size = number of units per country
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
1. Shipments - Short-staple Spindles
.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
China India
.0
.2
.4
.6
.8
1.0
1.2
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pakistan Turkey Vietnam Bangladesh
mill
ion
spin
dles
mill
ion
spin
dles
Year Algeria Egypt Morocco Zimbabwe Africa World2015 8736 42432 6480 2592 60240 9'042'9682016 79968 13440 93408 7'882'352
Africa’s position relative to world shipments (units)
11
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
2. Shipments - Open-end Rotors
ChinaIndia
ThailandVietnam
Turkey
Pakistan
relative size = number of units per country
Year Algeria SouthAfrica
Ethiopia Burkina Faso
Djibouti Africa World
2015 568 1120 1688 383'3442016 2700 772 960 402 4834 634'062
Africa’s position relative to world shipments (units)
12
thou
sand
s spi
ndle
s
634.1582.7
.0
100.0
200.0
300.0
400.0
500.0
600.0
700.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
thou
sand
s
World Asia & Oceania Europe, Other
America, North America, South Europe, West
Europe, East Africa
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
3. Shipments - Texturing spindles
The biggest investors in 2016China
India
Chinese TaipeiJapan
Turkey
Indonesia
relative size = number of units per country
Year Egypt Central African
Republic
Algeria Nigeria South Africa Tanzania Africa World
2015 6960 8840 960 2880 720 21320 323'2842016 4560 2160 240 1200 1440 12000 289'482
Africa’s position relative to world shipments (units)
13
thou
sand
s spi
ndle
s
289.5
235.7
.0100.0200.0300.0400.0500.0600.0700.0800.0900.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
thou
sand
s
World Asia & Oceania Europe, Other
Africa America, South America, North
Europe, East Europe, West
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
4. Shipments - Shuttel-less loomsThe biggest investors in 2016
ChinaIndia
Bangladesh
Vietnam
Turkey
Pakistan
relative size = number of units per country
Year Egypt Ethiopia Algeria Angola Morocco Ghana Africa World2015 220 255 246 129 30 104 1061 81'5632016 118 45 2 83 479 84'698
Africa’s position relative to world shipments (units)
14
thou
sand
s
84.7
77.2
.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
thou
sand
s
World Asia & Oceania Europe, Other
Europe, West America, South Africa
Europe, East America, North
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
5. Shipments – Circular knitting machines
The biggest investors in 2016 China
IndiaBangladesh
Vietnam
Turkey
Indonesia
relative size = number of units per country
Year Egypt Ethiopia SouthAfrica
Djibouti Mauritius Morocco Africa World
2015 375 133 146 25 18 23 847 27'4762016 325 54 21 118 47 41 696 27'980
Africa’s position relative to world shipments (units)
15
thou
sand
s spi
ndle
s
28.0
24.2
.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
thou
sand
s
World Asia & Oceania Europe, Other
America, South Europe, West Africa
America, North Europe, East
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
6. Shipments – Electr. flat knitting machines
The biggest investors in 2016
China
India
Bangladesh
Vietnam
Turkey
Italy
relative size = number of units per country
Year Kenya Mauritius Madagascar Morocco Egypt SouthAfrica
Africa World
2015 202 170 85 64 83 17 759 70'1372016 296 90 94 63 10 46 655 139'636
Africa’s position relative to world shipments (units)
16
thou
sand
s spi
ndle
s
139.6
131.4
.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
thou
sand
s
World Asia & Oceania Europe, Other
Europe, West Europe, East America, South
Africa America, North
0
50'000
100'000
150'000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Chinese domestic shipments
Shipments from outside China
Shipments to China from abroad and from China
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
7. Shipments – Finishing Machinery (2016, Fabrics (Woven & Knits) Continuous)
17
mac
hine
s
mac
hine
s
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016 2015 2016
Washing(stand- alone)
Bleaching-Line
Dyeing- Line(CPB)
Dyeing- Line(Hotflue)
Mercerizing-Line *
Relax Drying/Tumbling
Sanforizing/Compacting
Africa Asia Europe South America North America Not specified
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2015 2016
Stentering
Africa Asia
Europe South America
North America Not specified
18
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
Implications for the global textile industry
Textile Mill Consumption
• Advent of synthetic fibres– Wearing comfort improves– Functional clothing– Technical textiles– Easy to control quality and
quantity
• Cotton consumption stagnated in recent years due to both volatile and relative high cotton prices since2010.
• While on paper there are hugecotton stocks, in reality most of thecotton is not freely available (China).
19Source: PCI Fibres (2015)
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Milli
on to
ns
Textile Mill Consumption, World
Wool Cotton Man-made fibres
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
20
Fiber Production - World (in million tons)
2015 2020 ** %-changeCotton * 24.055 25.467 5.9Wool * 1.131 1.147 4.3Acrylic 1.705 1.701 -1.8Nylon (filament) 3.955 4.3 10.4Nylon (staple) 0.144 0.149 2.1Polypropylene (staple) 0.797 0.787 -2.0Polypropylene (filament) 2.735 2.844 3.7Polyester (staple) 15.868 17.262 11.3Polyester (filament) 32.162 40.064 32.2Cellulosic (staple) 4.935 5.736 20.3Cellulosic (filament) 0.39 0.421 9.1Total MMFTotal Fibre Production
62.69187.877
73.26499.878
21.517.3
* Consumption figures
** ForecastSource: PCI Fibres (2015)
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
21
Summary- Growing Global Textile & Apparel Market- Share of e-Commerce is on the rise- New technologies allow mass customized production- Internet of Things (IoT) offers new potential to increase productivity- Sustainability is a trend and an integral part of business (CSR)- Infrastructure Projects (OROB-Initiative) – Creating new opportunities- Textile production concentrated in Asia (especially in China)- Shifts of textile production to other countries (Asia and partially Africa)- Production in other regions (Africa, Americas, Europe) has more potential
due to- Technologies (digital and 3-D printing, automation)- Fashion trends (fast fashion)- Reduced cost differentials- Sustainability (traceability, circular economy)
- Global fiber consumption is on the rise (GDP and population)- Man-made fibers (mmf) are benefiting most- Within mmf, polyester filaments are growing strongly- Wool has become a «luxury» fibre- Is cotton is becoming a «luxury» fiber as well?
Textile/apparel industry | Disruption | Distribution | Implications
22
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!
www.itmf.org