Manpower Employment Outlook Survey: United States - Q1, 2006
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Transcript of Manpower Employment Outlook Survey: United States - Q1, 2006
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8/9/2019 Manpower Employment Outlook Survey: United States - Q1, 2006
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1st Quarter 2006
Manpower Employment Outlook SurveyUnited States
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ContentsUnited States Employment Outlook 2
Regional Comparisons
Sector Comparisons
Global Employment Outlook 14
International Comparisons Americas
International Comparisons Asia Pacific
International Comparisons Europe
About the Survey 20
About Manpower 21
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
The United States Employment Outlook
Increase Decrease No Change Dont Know Net EmploymentOutlook
Seasonally Adjusted
% % % % % %
1st Quarter 2005 24 10 59 7 14 212nd Quarter 2005 30 7 58 5 23 213rd Quarter 2005 31 6 57 6 25 21
4th Quarter 2005 29 8 57 6 21 20
1st Quarter 2006 23 10 61 6 13 20
Once seasonal variations are removed from the data,
a clearer picture of the hiring landscape emerges and
shows continued stability. The Net Employment Outlook
for the first three months of 2006 is identical to fourth
quarter levels and is similar to a year ago. This marks
a two-year period of very steady hiring projections
among U.S. employers.
Throughout this report, we use the term Net Employment
Outlook. This figure is derived by taking the percentage
of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity
and subtracting from this the percentage of employers
that expect to see a decrease in employment at their
location in the next quarter.
Nearly 16,000 interviews have been conducted with
employers across the United States to measure
anticipated employment trends between January and
March 2006. All participants were asked, How do you
anticipate total employment at your location to change
in the three months to the end of March 2006 as
compared to the current quarter?
Among U.S. employers polled, 23% anticipate an
increase in hiring activity for the first quarter of 2006,
while 10% expect to decrease staff levels. Sixty-one
percent of employers surveyed foresee no change in
hiring plans, while 6% are unsure of their staffing needs.
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally AdjustedSeasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
The results of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey in the United States include Puerto Rico.
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Net EmploymentOutlook
Seasonally AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
% % % %%%
Construction 25 12 59 134 29
Education 17 4 75 13 144
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 24 4 65 7 20 20
Manufacturing Durables 26 9 60 5 17 21
Manufacturing Non-Durables 24 9 62 5 1815
Mining 23 7 65 5 2116
Public Administration 19 7 66 12 158Services 25 8 60 7 17 21
Transportation & Public Utilities 23 8 63 6 15 17Wholesale & Retail Trade 22 17 55 6 5 21
At the overall national level, the margin of error on the data is +/ 0.8%.
Net Employment Seasonally Incr ease Decrease No Change Dont KnowOutlook Adjusted
% % % %
Midwest
Northeast 22 12 60 6 10 1626 8 60 6 18 24
19 11 66 4 8 17
South
West 29 9 53 9 20 25
% %
According to seasonally adjusted survey data, employers
in six out of 10 industry sectors surveyed foresee
minimal changes in hiring activity as they transition into
2006. Durable and Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing,
Wholesale/Retail Trade, Finance/Insurance/Real Estate,
Education and Public Administration employers expect
the hiring pace to be about the same as it was during
the fourth quarter of 2005.
Construction employers report their most optimistic job
forecast in 27 years, while the hiring pace is likely to
soften from the fourth quarter in the Transportation/Public
Utilities and Services sectors. A more visible slowdown
is expected in the Mining sector, where hiring managers
report a moderate slide in employment plans.
Year-over-year comparisons show that employers in
half of the industry sectors surveyed are less confident
about hiring at the start of 2006 versus a year ago.
A decline in hiring expectations is reported in the
Mining, Durable and Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing,
Transportation/Public Utilities and Finance/Insurance/Real
Estate industry sectors while those in the Wholesale/Retail
Trade and Services sectors are expected to hold
steady. The hiring outlook is brighter in several areas,
particularly in the Construction sector. Education and
Public Administration employers also expect stronger
hiring activity when compared with a year ago.
hiring for the coming quarter than they were in early
2005. Conversely, employers in the Midwest foresee
slightly less employment activity for the coming quarter.
Overall, employers in the West report the most positive
employment outlook for the January to March period,
while employers in the Northeast issued the weakest
hiring expectations.
Among the U.S. regions, stronger hiring patterns are in
store for the South and the West when compared with
fourth quarter projections. Little change is anticipated in
the Midwest, while employers in the Northeast foresee
a noticeable slowdown in the hiring pace.
The employment outlook in the Northeast and the
South is relatively unchanged from a year ago.Employers in the West are slightly more optimistic about
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
Regional ComparisonsMidwest
Net EmploymentOutlook
Seasonally Adjusted
Increase Decrease No Change Dont Know
%%%%% % All Industries 19 11 66 4 8 17
Construction 17 19 63 1 -2 23
Education 710 79 4 3 5
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 21 6 69 4 15 16Manufacturing Durables 24 10 62 4 14 18
Manufacturing Non-Durables 22 9 66 3 13 18
Mining 0 0 100 0 70
Public Administration 18 10 68 4 8 13
Services 20 7 69 4 13 17
T ransportation & Public Utilities 24 637 6 17 20
Wholesale & Retail Trade 16 18 62 4 -2 19
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally AdjustedSeasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06-5
0
5
10
15
2025
30
35
The Midwest Region comprises the following states: Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio,South Dakota, Wisconsin.
In the Midwest, 19% of employers surveyed foresee an
increase in hiring for the first quarter of 2006, while
11% plan to reduce staff levels. The result is a Net
Employment Outlook of 8%. When seasonal factors
are removed from the data, the survey shows that
employers expect the hiring pace to remain consistent
with the fourth quarter and to slow down slightly
compared with a year ago.
Employers in four out of the 10 industry sectors surveyed
suggest that hiring activity in the new year will be about
the same as it was at the close of 2005. That is the
case for the Construction, Transportation/Public
Utilities, Finance/Insurance/Real Estate and Services
sectors. The employment outlook is a bit weaker in the
Durable and Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing, and
Education sectors. Mining, Wholesale/Retail Trade
and Public Administration employers report good news
a slight increase in the hiring pace compared with
fourth quarter.
Year-over-year comparisons show a decline in
employer confidence in half of the industry sectors
surveyed Mining, Wholesale/Retail Trade, Services,
Durable Goods Manufacturing and Finance/Insurance/Real
Estate. The job market is expected to remain relatively
unchanged in the Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
and Education sectors. Transportation/Public Utilities,
Public Administration and Construction employers are
more upbeat about hiring than they were a year ago
at this time.
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Net EmploymentOutlook
Seasonally Adjusted
Increase Decrease No Change Dont Know
% % % % % % All Industries 22 12 60 6 1610
Construction 24 5912 5 12 32
Education 16 2 76 6 14 13
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 23 6 64 7 17 19
Manufacturing Durables 27 9 58 6 18 22
Manufacturing Non-Durables 26 12 14 17
Mining 25 25 0 -6Public Administration 13 8 5 7
Services 21 12 9 14
Transportation & Public Utilities 24 10
58
5071
61
60
4
08
6
6 14 16
Wholesale & Retail Trade 18 22 54 6 -4 8
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally AdjustedSeasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Northeast
The Northeast Region comprises the following states: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania,Rhode Island, Vermont.
Among employers surveyed in the Northeast, 22%
anticipate an increase in payrolls for the beginning months
of 2006 and 12% expect to reduce employment levels.
This yields a Net Employment Outlook of 10%. Theseasonally adjusted data show that, among the four
U.S. regions, employers in the Northeast are least
optimistic about hiring in the new year. The results
suggest a decline in hiring activity compared with fourth
quarter, and a jobs picture that is likely to be about the
same as it was last year at this time.
Compared with fourth quarter, job seekers are likely to
have a more challenging search in the Mining,
Wholesale/Retail Trade, Services, Transportation/PublicUtilities, Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing, Finance/
Insurance/Real Estate and Public Administration sectors.
Hiring in Education is expected to remain unchanged,
while the hiring pace is likely to accelerate in the Durable
Goods Manufacturing and Construction sectors.
When compared with the beginning months of 2005,
the hiring pace is expected to decline in half of the
industry sectors surveyed. Those sectors are Mining,
Wholesale/Retail Trade, Non-Durable Goods
Manufacturing, Finance/Insurance/Real Estate and
Services. Little change in hiring activity is predicted
for the Transportation/Public Utilities and Education
sectors. On the bright side, the hiring pace is likely to
pick up in the Public Administration, Durable GoodsManufacturing and Construction sectors.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
South
Net EmploymentOutlook
Seasonally Adjusted
Increase Decrease No Change Dont Know
% % % % % % All Industries 26 8 60 6 18 24
Construction 29 588 5 21 31
Education 19 3 76 2 16 17
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 25 2 65 8 23 22
Manufacturing Durables 29 8 58 5 21 26Manufacturing Non-Durables 23 8 64 5 15 18
Mining 27 6 61 6 21 26
Public Administration 17 694 10 13 16
Services 29 7 56 8 22 24
Transportation & Public Utilities 23 657 5 16 19
Wholesale & Retail Trade 27 14 52 7 13 28
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally AdjustedSeasonally Adjusted89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
The South Region comprises the following states: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana,Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia.
Twenty-six percent of employers in the South are likely
to increase staff levels, while 8% expect to trim payrolls
in the January March period, resulting in a Net
Employment Outlook of 18%. On a seasonally adjustedbasis, employers anticipate a slight improvement in the
hiring pace over fourth quarter and little change from
a year ago.
Quarter-over-quarter comparisons also reflect the relative
stability of the job market in the South. Mining, Durable
Goods Manufacturing, Finance/Insurance/Real Estate
and Services employers report hiring intentions that are
about the same as fourth quarter. A mild slow-down in
hiring activity is predicted by Public Administration and Transportation/Public Utilities employers, while those in
the Construction and Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing
sectors foresee a slight uptick in the hiring pace.
The most noticeable changes in employer optimism
can be found in the Education sector, where there is a
moderate drop in confidence about hiring gains, and
among Wholesale/Retail Trade employers, who anticipatea respectable increase in employment activity.
The employment outlook is more positive than it was
a year ago in half of the industry sectors including
Mining, Construction, Durable Goods Manufacturing,
Wholesale/Retail Trade and Education. The hiring pace
is likely to be about the same as it was at the start
of 2005 in Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing,
Transportation/Public Utilities, Finance/Insurance/Real
Estate and Services. Public Administration employersare the only group to report decreased hiring
confidence compared with a year ago.
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West
Net EmploymentOutlook
Seasonally Adjusted
Increase Decrease No Change Dont Know
% % % % % % All Industries 29 9 53 9 20 25
Construction 32 10 51 7 22 36
Education 25 3 67 5 22 19
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 28 2 61 9 26 24
Manufacturing Durables 27 10 53 10 17 19
Manufacturing Non-Durables 27 12 53 8 15 19
Mining 20 7 66 7 13 19
Public Administration 27 6 57 10 21 23
Services 32 7 51 10 25 30
Transportation & Public Utilities 23 12 58 7 11 12Wholesale & Retail Trade 29 13 50 8 16 28
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally AdjustedSeasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
The West Region comprises the following states: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon,Utah, Washington, Wyoming.
In the West, 29% of employers plan to add staff, while
9% expect personnel reductions. This creates a Net
Employment Outlook of 20%. When seasonal variations
are removed from the data, it reveals the strongestemployment outlook among the four regions, a designation
the West held in the fourth quarter as well. Hiring
projections are up from fourth quarter and a year ago.
Compared with fourth quarter, hiring activity is likely to be
stronger in the Construction, Wholesale/Retail Trade,
Finance/Insurance/Real Estate, Services and Public
Administration sectors. Durable Goods Manufacturers
foresee no change in the hiring pace. The employment
outlook is weaker among Mining, Non-Durable Goods
Manufacturing, Transportation/Public Utilities and
Education employers.
The hiring pace in the Construction, Public Administration,
Wholesale/Retail Trade and Services sectors is expected
to be up over last year at this time. Education and
Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing employers foresee
little change in hiring levels. Employers with less optimistic
hiring plans for the new year include those in the Mining,
Durable Goods Manufacturing, Transportation/Public
Utilities and Finance/Insurance/Real Estate sectors.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
Sector ComparisonsSome variation in first quarter hiring plans is revealed
among the 10 industry sectors on a seasonally adjusted
basis. Construction employers anticipate the most
promising hiring intentions moving into the new year.
A solid hiring pace is expected in Finance/Insurance/Real
Estate, Durable and Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing,
Services, Mining, Transportation/Public Utilities and
Wholesale/Retail Trade. Education and Public
Administration employers are more reserved about
job prospects for the January March period.
Construction
Educatio n
Finance, Insurance & Real Estat e
Manufacturing Durables
Manufacturing Non-Durables
Mining
Public Administration
Services
Transpor tation & Public Utilities
Wholesale & Retail Trade
20
29
1314
0 4540
1621
1215
17
17
21
521
1721
15
15
18
20
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
13
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
Manufacturing Durable Goods
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06-10
-505
101520253035
Durable Goods Manufacturers expect the hiring
momentum to remain steady as they enter 2006,
according to seasonally adjusted data. The first quarter
employment outlook is similar to estimates from the last
three quarters. However, employer confidence has taken
a slight dip since a year ago at this time.
The strongest hiring activity for the sector is expected in
the South, while employers in the Midwest are more
reserved in their staffing plans.
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
0
5
10
15
20
25
For the first three months of the year, Finance/Insurance/
Real Estate employers report hiring plans similar to
those issued the last two quarters, according to
seasonally adjusted data. Employer confidence is downslightly from last year at this time.
Among the regions, employers in the West revealed
the most optimism in their hiring plans while those in
the Midwest have cooler staffing expectations.
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Mining
On a seasonally adjusted basis, Mining employers
exhibit a notable decline in hiring plans for the January
March period. A moderate drop in hiring activity is
expected over fourth quarter and last year at this time.
In the Mining sector, hiring is expected to be most
active in the South, while a much more dismal jobs
picture is predicted for the Northeast.
Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
According to seasonally adjusted data, Non-Durable
Goods Manufacturers plan to hire at a steady pace
during the first quarter. The employment outlook is
in-line with results from the last three quarters, and downslightly from a year ago.
There is little variation in the Non-Durable Goods
Manufacturing employment outlook across the regions.
Employers in the West are most optimistic about hiring
by a small margin, while those in the Northeast are a bitmore reserved.
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
-10-505
1015202530
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
Public Administration
The new year brings continued stability for the Public
Administration sector, according to the seasonally adjusted
data. Employers foresee little change in the hiring pace over
fourth quarter, and a mild improvement from last year.
Employers in the West are most confident about adding
staff, while those in the Northeast anticipate slower hiring
than in the other three regions.
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
-10-505
1015202530
Services
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Confidence among Services employers takes a slight
tumble during the first quarter, according to seasonally
adjusted survey data. The hiring pace is likely to slow
down slightly when compared with the fourth quarter,
however, it is identical to expectations from a year ago.
Employers in the West are most likely to welcome job
seekers, while those in the Northeast report markedly
less optimistic hiring plans.
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Wholesale & Retail Trade
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06-15-10
-505
101520253035
Transportation & Public Utilities
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
When seasonal variations are removed from the data,
Transportation/Public Utilities employers show a
measured decrease in confidence regarding employment
prospects for the first quarter. Compared with fourthquarter and a year ago, moderately weaker job prospects
are expected.
Hiring plans are most promising in the Midwest, while
the least amount of employment activity is expected in
the West.
Another quarter of healthy hiring is expected in the
Wholesale/Retail Trade sector, according to seasonally
adjusted survey results. Hiring plans for the first quarter
of 2006 are similar to those from fourth quarter and last
year at this time. This marks two years of stability in the
Wholesale/Retail Trade sector.
For the January March period, hiring intentions are
strongest in the South and West, while employers in the
Northeast are notably less optimistic.
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50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
Line shows seasonally adjusted data.
International Comparisons Americas
Over 21,000 interviews have been conducted across
the United States, Canada and Mexico to measure
employment prospects for the first quarter of 2006.
The overall regional outlook shows employers in allthree countries reporting positive hiring intentions for
the first three months of 2006.
Employers in the U.S. are most optimistic about hiring,
reporting the same Net Employment Outlook as three
months ago, which is stable from last year at this time.
Employer hiring expectations are slightly weaker than
last year in Canada but remain favorable. Mexican
employers intend to start the new year on a confidentnote, reporting a Net Employment Outlook equal to the
most positive first quarter Outlook recorded since the
survey began in the country in Q3 2002.
Canada Mexico
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
Line shows seasonally adjusted data.
USA
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
International Comparisons Asia Pacific
Nearly 13,000 interviews have been conducted across
Asia Pacific to measure anticipated employment trends
between January and March 2006.
Employment prospects are positive in all countries and
territories surveyed by Manpower in Asia Pacific, with
employers in Australia, China, Hong Kong, Japan, New
Zealand and Taiwan reporting improved Net Employment
Outlooks compared to the final months of 2005. Indian
employers once again reported the most optimistic
hiring expectations in Asia Pacific and among the other
22 countries and territories surveyed internationally.
Employers in Singapore are least optimistic in the
region with a considerable slowdown expected inthe first quarter. Notably, employers in Australia and
Japan reported their most positive first quarter Net
Employment Outlooks since the survey began in their
region in Q3 2003.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
Australia
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
Hong Kong
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
China joined the survey in Q2 2005.
China
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
India joined the survey in Q3 2005.
India
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International Comparisons Europe
Over 11,000 interviews have been conducted across
12 European labor markets to measure anticipated
employment trends for the first quarter of 2006. European
employers first-quarter hiring plans, with the exceptionof the UK, Norway and Ireland, are reserved. Year-over-
year, the Net Employment Outlooks have decreased in
seven of the 12 countries surveyed. Compared to last
quarter, the Outlooks have decreased in 10 countries.
Employer hiring expectations are strongest in the UK,
Norway and Ireland. The least optimistic and only negative
employment prospects were reported by employers in
Germany, Austria and Italy. While the German Outlook
worsened from last quarter, the first quarter Outlook is
slightly improved from one year ago. Austrian employers,
like those in Italy, are intending to make more workforce
reductions than additions and are the least optimistic theyhave been since the survey began in the country in Q3
2003. Similarly, employment prospects in France are the
most conservative they have been since the survey was
established. The number of French employers planning
to hire in the first quarter is the same as those
anticipating cutbacks.
With seasonal variations taken into account, employment
prospects in the UK are improved from the fourth quarter
of 2005 but weaker compared to last year at this time.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
Austria50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
Belgium
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
France50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
Germany
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50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
Ireland50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
Italy
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
Netherlands50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
Norway
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
Spain50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
Sweden
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
Switzerland joined the survey in Q3 2005.No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
Switzerland50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-202003 2004 2005 2006
Line shows seasonally adjusted data.
UK
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conductedquarterly to measure employers intentions to increase ordecrease the number of employees in their workforce duringthe next quarter. The survey has been running for more than
40 years and is one of the most trusted surveys of employmentactivity in the world. Various factors underpin the success of theManpower Employment Outlook Survey:
Unique: It is unparalleled in its size, scope, longevity and areaof focus.
Projective: The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is themost extensive, forward-looking employment survey in theworld, asking employers to forecast employment over the nextquarter. In contrast, other surveys and studies focus onretrospective data to report on what occurred in the past.
Focused: For more than four decades, the survey has derivedall of its information from a single question.
Independent: The survey is conducted with a representativesample of employers from throughout the countries in which itis conducted. The survey participants are not derived fromManpowers customer base.
Robust: The survey is based on interviews with more than45,000 public and private employers across 23 countries andterritories to measure anticipated employment trends eachquarter. This sample allows for analysis to be performed acrossspecific sectors and regions to provide more detailed information.
Methodology The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted using
a validated methodology, in accordance with the higheststandards in market research. The research team for the 23countries and territories where the survey is currently conductedincludes Manpowers Market Intelligence team; the OrganizationResearch and Analysis Division of Right ManagementConsultants an independent operating division of ManpowerInc.; NOP World and Grupo IDM. The survey has beenstructured to be representative of each national economy. Themargin of error for all national, regional and global data is notgreater than +/- 4.0%.
In the United States, the national survey is conducted byManpowers North American Market Intelligence Team andincludes 16,000 employers. With this number of interviews, the
margin of error for the United States survey is +/- 0.8%.
Survey Question All employers participating in the survey worldwide are asked thesame question, How do you anticipate total employment at yourlocation to change in the three months to the end of March 2006as compared to the current quarter?
Net Employment Outlook Throughout this report, we use the term Net EmploymentOutlook. This figure is derived by taking the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and
subtracting from this the percentage of employers that expect tosee a decrease in employment at their location in the next quarter.
The result of this calculation is the Net Employment Outlook.
Seasonal AdjustmentSeasonal adjustments have been applied to the data forCanada, United Kingdom and the United States to provideadditional insight into the survey data. These adjustments makeit possible to review the data without the employmentfluctuations that normally occur at the same time each year, thusproviding a clearer picture of the data over time. Manpowerintends to add seasonal adjustments to the data for othercountries in the future, as more historical data is compiled.
History of the Survey 1962 1st generation of the Manpower Employment Outlook
Survey launched in the United States and Canada.
1966 Manpowers UK operation launches the equivalent of theUnited States survey, naming the report the QuarterlySurvey of Employment Prospects. The survey adopts thesame forward-looking research format as the United Statessurvey and is the first of its kind in Europe.
1976 2nd generation of Manpowers Employment Outlook Survey launched in the United States and Canada.Research methodology is updated to evolve withadvancements in the field of market research.
2002 Manpower UKs Quarterly Survey of EmploymentProspects is updated to adopt an enhanced researchmethodology. Manpowers operations in Mexico andIreland launch the survey in their respective countries.
2003 3rd generation of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is launched, expanding the program to a total 18countries and territories worldwide: Australia, Austria,Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Ireland,Italy, Japan, Mexico, Netherlands, Norway, Singapore,Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom and United States.
2004 Manpower operations in New Zealand launch theManpower Employment Outlook Survey.
2005 Manpower operations in China, India, Switzerland and Taiwan launch the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey.
About the Survey
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About Manpower Inc.Manpower Inc. (NYSE: MAN) is a world leader in the employmentservices industry, offering customers a continuum of services tomeet their needs throughout the employment and business cycle.
The company specializes in permanent, temporary and contract
recruitment; employee assessment; training; career transition;organizational consulting services and professional financialservices. Manpowers worldwide network of 4,300 offices in72 countries and territories enables the company to meet theneeds of its 400,000 customers per year, including small andmedium size enterprises in all industry sectors, as well as theworlds largest multinational corporations. The focus of Manpowers work is on raising productivity through improvedquality, efficiency and cost-reduction, enabling customers toconcentrate on their core business activities. In addition to theManpower brand, the company operates under the brand namesof Right Management Consultants, Jefferson Wells and Elan.More information on Manpower Inc. is available atwww.manpower.com.
About Manpower USA In the United States, Manpower offers businesses a range of HR services, in addition to providing administrative, industrialand contact center personnel. Under the ManpowerProfessional brand, the company places contract professionals
on assignment in areas such as information technology,scientific, finance, engineering and telecommunications. Moreinformation about Manpowers US operation can be found atwww.us.manpower.com.
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Manpower Inc., 5301 N. Ironwood Rd., Milwaukee, WI 53217Tel: 414 961 1000
www.us.manpower.com