Managing the Bubble 2013 Reportpub/Documents/Bubble Long...Crown Employment Trends • These figures...

Managing the Bubble2013 Report

The demographics of crown corporation staff as of December 2013including trends from 2002 to 2013

March 26, 2014 Prepared by:Doug ElliottQED Information Systems Inc.444 19th AvenueRegina, SaskatchewanS4N 1H1Tel: 306-522-5515Cell: 306-536-5131Email: [email protected]: www.sasktrends.ca

Background and Notes

• This is the 2013 version of a series of annual reports documenting research into the demographics of employees in Saskatchewan’s commercial crown corporations. Since the first Managing the Bubble report describing staff in 2001, the employee database has been updated annually to measure and monitor trends over time.

• The database has been expanded in stages by adding additional data elements to provide a more comprehensive measure of staff demographics.

• For December 2001, only data for permanent full-time staff were collected.• For December 2002, coop/summer students and non-permanent staff were added to the database. The

occupation (coded to the National Occupational Classification or NOC code) was also included as a data element.

• For December 2003, the place of work was added. • SOCO was added in 2004.• SGC was added in 2007.• ISC was removed in 2013.

• Funding for human resource initiatives in the crowns to help “manage the bubble” (e.g. Gradworks) began in 2004.

• Virtually all of the statistics in this summary report relate to the twelve years from 2002 to 2013 when all permanent and non-permanent staff were included in the database.

• The crowns were asked to exclude employees who were on long-term disability.

2March 26, 2014 2013 Managing the Bubble Report

Background and Notes (continued)

• The inclusion of the Saskatchewan Gaming Corporation (SGC) in 2007 means that trends over time need to be interpreted carefully. Employee demographics and turnover at SGC are dramatically different from those at other crowns. To deal with this and the statistical effect of removing ISC in 2013, most trends over time are done separately for i) the aggregate of all crowns and ii) all crowns excluding SGC and ISC.

• In some instances, the characteristics of crown staff and the positions they occupy are compared with those in the province as a whole. These comparisons use the Statistics Canada monthly Labour Force Survey (LFS) for comparison purposes. The LFS is a monthly telephone survey with a sample size of approximately 4,000 households in Saskatchewan.

• The LFS statistics were derived by the author from survey microdata. • The LFS figures are annual averages whereas the crown data describes the situation at a point in

time, namely December of the year. • Unless otherwise indicated, the LFS data includes the self-employed.• The LFS is not conducted on Reserve.

• In some cases, rounding errors mean that percentages do not total exactly 100%.


Staffing Categories and Class of Worker

• Not counting students, the total staff complement was 11,723 as of December 2013 with 84% as permanent full-time employees with the remaining 16% split among:

• 6.8% permanent part-time staff, bringing permanent staff to 91% of the total;• 4.6% as contract or term staff; and • 4.6% as “other”, mostly casual, staff.

The crowns hire 400 to 500 coop and summer students in any given year.

• The 11,723 permanent and non-permanent staff represent 2.1% of the 555,000 persons employed in an average month in 2013 in Saskatchewan.


2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Permanent full time 8,908 8,903 8,860 8,940 9,022 9,574 9,658 9,777 9,704 9,694 9,833 9,856Permanent part time 482 499 479 419 421 894 901 844 786 825 869 795Contract/term 807 530 525 560 583 575 636 620 582 603 538 537Seasonal/other 340 426 400 404 495 735 681 605 687 537 517 535

10,537 10,358 10,264 10,323 10,521 11,778 11,876 11,846 11,759 11,659 11,757 11,723Coop and summer students during the course of the year

516 515 461 477 485 478 488 500 435 458 428 447

* excludes SOCO prior to 2004


Detailed Employment by Crown Corporation

• SaskTel and SaskPower together account for 62% of the crown staff. Simple arithmetic means that will have a strong effect on the overall averages for the crown sector. When SaskEnergy, SGI, and SGC are included, the five largest crowns have approximately 95% of the staff.

as of December 31

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013CIC Permanent FT 81 73 54 68 70 68 63 69 65 65 60 52

PT 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0Non-permanent 0 2 0 1 4 4 4 2 2 5 2 1

SaskTel Permanent FT 3,786 3,812 3,657 3,622 3,577 3,476 3,318 3,226 3,192 3,136 3,139 3,208PT 110 89 90 38 49 102 104 111 88 111 107 105

Non-permanent 524 569 562 622 747 726 752 719 749 648 650 646SaskPower Permanent FT 2,369 2,395 2,426 2,444 2,473 2,526 2,588 2,692 2,762 2,739 2,897 3,056

PT 134 142 144 137 134 127 136 140 131 133 129 123Non-permanent 150 145 153 118 110 132 132 113 84 132 137 149

SaskEnergy Permanent FT 815 818 815 823 861 895 937 930 908 919 947 946PT 85 84 86 86 77 76 68 73 68 75 81 102

Non-permanent 74 70 65 50 70 102 97 84 91 78 40 49SGI Permanent FT 1,386 1,387 1,390 1,420 1,447 1,524 1,536 1,573 1,572 1,591 1,618 1,740

PT 107 115 114 113 116 113 107 114 112 109 112 108Non-permanent 92 75 77 106 125 148 187 189 157 148 143 151

SaskWater Permanent FT 84 67 68 80 82 83 85 87 91 98 104 107PT 2 2 2 4 4 4 4 3 4 3 4 3

Non-permanent 3 1 1 9 0 5 3 4 4 1 2 1SOCO Permanent FT ... ... 69 81 86 116 106 110 115 111 112 105

PT ... ... 1 2 3 2 5 4 3 2 2 3Non-permanent ... ... 4 3 2 2 3 0 1 2 1 0

ISC Permanent FT 196 165 195 208 229 243 257 259 289 288 288 …PT 4 27 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 2 …

Non-permanent 303 88 59 41 13 17 19 13 25 40 39 …STC Permanent FT 191 186 186 194 197 196 203 200 192 190 194 204

PT 40 40 40 38 37 35 29 34 37 34 32 36Non-permanent 1 6 4 14 7 7 4 5 1 7 3 0

SGC Permanent FT ... ... ... ... ... 447 565 631 518 557 474 438PT ... ... ... ... ... 433 446 362 340 356 400 315

Non-permanent ... ... ... ... ... 167 116 96 155 79 38 75


Total Staff in the Crowns, 2013

CIC53 0.5%

Sask Tel3,959 33.8%

Sask Power3,328 28.4%

Sask Energy1,097 9.4%

SGI1,999 17.1%

SOCO108 0.9%

Sask Water111 0.9%

STC240 2.0%

SGC828

7.1%

4.4%

Permanent and Non-Permanent Crown Staff, as of December 2013(n = 11,723)

Crown Employment Trends

• These figures include both permanent and non-permanent staff.


SO

CO

Add

ed

SG

C A

dded

ISC

Rem

oved

9,000

9,500

10,000

10,500

11,000

11,500

12,000

12,500

13,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Changes in Total Crown Staff, 2002 to 2013

excluding SOCO, ISC, and SGC

Characteristics of Employees

• Gender• Aboriginal Identity• Membership in a Visible Minority Group• Reporting a Disability• Age• Tenure• Earliest retirement date

Category of Employment by Gender

• The proportion of crown staff who are women hasn’t changed significantly over time. In 2013, 42.9% of staff were women compared with 43.2% in 2004.

• Women make up the majority of staff in non-permanent positions, representing 60.1% of those in term positions and 54.6% of those in seasonal positions.

• The proportion of students who are women is not significantly different from the proportion of permanent staff who are women. In 2013, 46% of the students were women.


41.5%

60.1%

54.6%

42.9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Permanent

Term/contract

Seasonal/other

Total (exceptstudents)

Percent of Crown Staff who are Women

2004

2007

2010

2013

Note: SGC is excluded in the 2004 figures; ISC is excluded in 2013 but included in previous years.

Crown Corporation Employment by Gender

• Over the ten years ending in 2013, most crowns report no dramatic changes in the proportion of women among their permanent staff.

• Over time, the proportion of female employees has declined slightly at SaskTel and increased at SaskPower, SGI, and STC.


0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO

SaskWater

ISC

STC

SGC

Percent of Permanent Crown Staff who are Women

2004

2007

2010

2013

Comparison with Saskatchewan

• In the province as a whole, women make up just under 46% of the employed.

• This compares with 43% of the permanent and non-permanent crown employees.

• Neither percentage has changed appreciably over time.


40%

41%

42%

43%

44%

45%

46%

47%

48%

49%

50%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007* 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013**

Employment by GenderCrown Corporations (permanent and non-permanent as of Dec)

vis-à-vis Saskatchewan (off Reserve only, annual averages)

Saskatchewan

Crowns

women as a percent of total

* SGC added ** excludes ISC

Women in the Crowns: Trends Over Time

• Both SGC and ISC employ a relatively high number of women.

• Removing these two crowns to create a consistent set of statistics lowers the proportion of women working in the crowns from 43% to 42%.

• There is a slight downward trend in the proportion of women working in the crowns but the proportion is effectively unchanged over time.


40%

41%

42%

43%

44%

45%

46%

47%

48%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Percentage of Crown Staff who are Women (permanent and non-permanent)

Total

Excluding SGC & ISC



Women in Under-Represented Positions

• Using the Saskatchewan Human Rights Commission current methodology*, women represent 27.1% of those working in positions classified as under-represented. (The Commission has a target of 47% for these kinds of positions.)

• This is effectively the same proportion as in 2004.

• The proportion is much higher in non-permanent positions than in permanent ones.

* As of 2006, the occupations (at the 4-digit NOC level) in which women represent less than 47% of those working are designated as “under-represented”. Some of the common examples in the crowns are

a) telecommunications workers (3% women);

b) industrial mechanics (5%).

24.4%

52.0%

52.7%

27.1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Permanent

Term/contract

Seasonal/other


Women as a Percentage of Staff (Under-Represented Positions Only)

2004

2007

2010

2013



Women in Under-Represented Positions, by Crown Corporation

• In absolute terms, the largest number of women working in under-represented positions are employed at SaskTel. The largest proportions are working at SaskTel, SGC, and SGI.

• Many crowns, including STC, SaskPower, and SaskEnergy, are making steady progress in increasing the number of women who work in under-represented positions but the proportions are still very low.

• There was a significant decline from 2010 to 2013 at CIC.

** insufficient occupational detail provided for CIC in 2004

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO

SaskWater

ISC

STC

SGC

Women as a Percentage of Staff (Under-Represented Positions Only), Permanent Staff Only

2004

2007

2010

2013

Trends over Time, Women in Under-Represented Positions

• The proportion of crown positions in which a) women are under-represented and b) which are held by women has fluctuated between 26% and 27% for the past ten years.

• The inclusion or exclusion of SGC and ISC in the statistics has little effect on this indicator.


24%

25%

26%

27%

28%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Women as a Percentage of Staff (Under-Represented Positions Only), Permanent and Non-Permanent

Positions

Total

Excluding SGC & ISC


Aboriginal Identity

• In absolute terms, and including SGC, there are now approximately 1,380 permanent and non-permanent Aboriginal employees (excluding students) in the crowns, a dramatic increase from the 570 employees in 2004.

• Aboriginal employees are more common in non-permanent positions than in permanent ones.

• Among students, those reporting an Aboriginal identity make up 13% of the total.


11.5%

15.3%

13.3%

11.8%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Permanent

Term/contract

Seasonal/other


Percent of Staff who Reported an Aboriginal Identity

2004

2007

2010

2013



Aboriginal Identity by Crown Corporation

• All of the crowns except CIC and SaskWater show an increase over time in the proportion of staff who are Aboriginal.

• The most consistent increases over time have been in SaskTel, STC, and SaskEnergy.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO

SaskWater

ISC

STC

SGC

Percent of Permanent Staff who Reported an Aboriginal Identity

2004

2007

2010

2013


Trends in Aboriginal Identity – the Effect of SGC and ISC

• Excluding SGC and ISC, the proportion of permanent and non-permanent staff who self-identify as Aboriginal has increased from 5.4% in 2002 to 10.0% in 2010 before falling back to 9.6% in 2013.

• Including SGC in 2007, changes the proportion to 12%.

• The Saskatchewan Human Rights Commission has a target of 13.1% for Aboriginal employees. The crown sector is at 11.8%.

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Percent of Permanent and non-Permanent Staff who Report an Aboriginal Identity

Total

Excluding SGC & ISC


• Excluding the population living on Reserve (where the Labour Force Survey is not conducted), Aboriginal people make up just under 8% of the employed persons in Saskatchewan.

• This compares with 11.8% of the permanent and non-permanent crown staff in 2013.


0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007* 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013**

Employment by Aboriginal IdentityCrown Corporations (permanent and non-permanent as of Dec)


Crowns

Saskatchewan

Aboriginal employmentas a percent of totalemployment


Membership in a Visible Minority Group

• As with Aboriginal employees in the crowns, those who are members of a visible minority group are much more common among non-permanent staff and among students than among permanent staff.

• The proportion of permanent staff who are members of a visible minority group has increased from 2.3% in 2004 to 6.8% in 2013.

• The proportion increases to 7.3% if non-permanent staff are included.

• The proportion of 2013 students who were members of a visible minority group was 13%.


6.8%

9.5%

15.7%

7.3%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

Permanent

Term/contract

Seasonal/other


Percent of Staff who are Members of a Visible Minority Group

2004

2007

2010

2013


Visible Minority Membership by Crown

• The upward trend among members of a visible minority group is largely a consequence of increases in the larger crowns – SaskPower, SGI, and SaskTel, for example.

• The Saskatchewan Human Rights Commission’s target is 3.8% for employees who are members of a visible minority group; 6.6% in the cities of Saskatoon and Regina.

• CIC reported a decline from 2010 to 2013, but the other crowns show increases over the years.


0% 5% 10% 15% 20%

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO

SaskWater

ISC

STC

SGC

Percent of Permanent Staff who are Members of a Visible Minority Group

2004

2007

2010

2013

Trends in the Number of Staff who are Visible Minority Group Members

• Whether or not SGC and ISC are included or excluded, there is a clear upward trend in the proportion of permanent and non-permanent staff who self-identify as members of a visible minority group.


0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

7%

8%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Percent of Permanent and Non-Permanent Staff who are Members of a Visible Minority Group

Total

Excluding SGC & ISC

Persons Reporting a Disability

• The proportion of permanent and non-permanent staff who report a disability has grown only slightly, increasing from 3.9% in 2004 to 4.7% in 2013.

• The proportion of 2013 students who reported a disability was 1.8%.


4.5%

4.1%

7.5%

4.7%

0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9%

Permanent

Term/contract

Seasonal/other


Percent of Staff who Report Having a Disability

2004

2007

2010

2013


Persons Reporting a Disability by Crown

• Those who report a disability are less common at SaskPower, SaskWater, and SaskEnergy.

• The proportion at SaskTel, on the other hand, is relatively high and increasing.

• The Saskatchewan Human Rights Commission has a target of 9.7% for employees who report a disability.


0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO

SaskWater

ISC

STC

SGC

Percent of Permanent Staff who Report Having a Disability

2004

2007

2010

2013

Trends in the Proportion of Crown Staff Reporting a Disability

• The gradual but slow upward trend in the proportion of permanent and non-permanent crown staff who report a disability is shown in this figure.

• The inclusion or exclusion of SGC and ISC has little effect on this indicator.


3.0%

3.5%

4.0%

4.5%

5.0%

5.5%

6.0%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Percent of Permanent and Non-Permanent Staff Report Having a Disability

Total

Excluding SGC & ISC

Summary of Diversity Measures for 2013

• The proportion of permanent staff in the crowns who are Aboriginal was 11.5% at the end of 2013.

• At the same point in time, 6.8% and 4.5% were, respectively, members of a visible minority group or reported having a disability.

• Women represent approximately one in four employees in under-represented positions.

• In each of the designated groups, the proportions are higher among non-permanent staff.


24.4%

11.5%

6.8%

4.5%

27.1%

11.8%

7.3%

4.7%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Women in under-represented positions

Aboriginal identity

Visible minority

With a disability

Percent of Staff in Target Groups, 2013

Permanent

Permanent and non-permanent

Age, Tenure, and Retirements

In many of these statistics about age, tenure, and retirements, SGC is excluded because a) the Crown has been in existence for only a few years so the staff have abnormally short tenure and b) there are no trends in retirement data.


The “Bubble”: Crown Employees by Individual Age, 2013

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

<19 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66+

Age of Permanent and Non-Permanent Crown Staff as of December 2013(including SGC)

Non-permanentPermanent

24.3% of permanent

staff are 50 to 56 years of age

The “Bubble”: Crown Employees Excluding SGC, 2013


0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

<19 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66+

Age of Permanent and Non-Permanent Crown Staff as of December 2013(excluding SGC)

Non-permanentPermanent

25.1% of permanent

staff are 50 to 56 years of age

The Bubble Advances

• Over the years from 2003 to 2013, the “bubble” has shifted to the right in the age distribution. The width of the peak has narrowed.

• The general aging of the staff over the years shows as a dramatic decline among those in their forties and a corresponding increase among those in their fifties.

• That trend is accompanied by a steady increase in the proportion of permanent staff 60 or older.

• The number of permanent staff under 35 is also increasing.

• In 2003, the most common age was 46 to 48 years of age. In 2013, it was 52 years of age.


0

100

200

300

400

500

600

<19 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66+

Changes in Age Distribution over Time(permanent only, excluding SGC and ISC)

2003

2013

Effect of Crown Sector Human Resource Initiatives

• This chart shows the effect of changes in the age of permanent staff from 2003 to 2013 with the effect of natural aging removed.

• The differences between the lines at older age groups will largely be the result of retirements (including early retirements).

• In younger age groups, the differences are largely from hiring younger staff, net of the relatively high turnover in this age group.

• The net effect of the changes over the period has been to “dampen” the peak which, without interventions, would have led to a very large number of staff in their fifties. Instead, the peak of the “bubble” is at age 52, only a few years older than in 2003.


0

100

200

300

400

500

600

<19 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66+

Effect of Retirement and non-Retirement Turnover, "Managing the Bubble" Initiatives, and New Hirings on the Ages for Permanent Crown Employees (excluding ISC and

SGC)

2003 ten years laterwith no change

actual2013

net effectof retirements

net effectof new

hirings andturnover

Potential Retirements

• In 2013, the average retirement age among permanent crown employees was 58 years.

• The figure shows an increasing number of permanent crown employees who are 55 & older and therefore potential retirees. (491 of these were 60 or older in December 2013.)

• The number of younger crown employees (under 35 years of age) is also increasing.

• The most rapid decline is among those in their forties. The number of employees in this age group has fallen from 4,353 in 2003 to 2,515 in 2013.


0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Under25

25 to29

30 to34

35 to39

40 to44

45 to49

50 to54

55 to59

60 plus

Number of Permanent Staff (excluding SGC and ISC) by Age Group

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 20072008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Changes in the Age of Crown Employees

• This is another view of the same trend, showing that the number of staff in the 30 to 49 age group declined steadily from 2003 to 2012 before starting to increase in 2013.

• Over the same period, the number 50 & older has grown steadily.


0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Employment by Age Group, Permanent Staff Only, Excluding SGC and ISC

Under 30 years

30 to 49 years

50 & older

Age by Crown Corporation, 2013 (Permanent Staff Only)

• The proportion of permanent staff who are 55 or older is highest at STC and CIC.

• The proportion of staff who are under 30 years of age is highest at SGC and lowest at CIC.

• At least part of the reason for the relatively small number of young people at SaskTel and CIC will be the lack of growth in those crowns in recent years.

• Those in the pre-retirement age group (45 to 54) are most common at SaskTel and CIC and least common at SGC, SaskPower, and SaskWater.


6%

8%

17%

14%

14%

18%

11%

15%

25%

14%

33%

37%

40%

37%

35%

42%

47%

28%

41%

38%

38%

37%

26%

32%

31%

32%

25%

33%

22%

31%

23%

18%

17%

18%

20%

8%

17%

25%

12%

18%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO

SaskWater

STC

SGC

All crowns

Permanent Staff by Age Group and Crown, 2013

Under 30 30 to 44 45 to 54 55 or older


• Compared with persons employed in Saskatchewan, the crowns have fewer staff in the 55 and older age group –17% compared with 21% – but there is a similar upward trend as in the province as a whole.

• The crowns employ far fewer young people – 17% compared with 27% in the province as a whole. Note that the provincial figures for this age group will include a large number of students working part-time.


0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007* 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013**

Employment by Age GroupCrown Corporations (permanent and non-permanent as of Dec)


Crowns (15 to 29 years) Sask (15 to 29)Crowns (55 plus) Sask (55 plus)

as a percent of totalemployment


Tenure (years with the same crown)

• Average tenure among permanent staff is gradually stabilizing after declining in the early 2000s.

• The average tenure in 2013 was 14.0 years compared with 14.1 years in 2008.


19%

15%

14%

15%

18%

23%

26%

27%

26%

24%

24%

24%

17%

19%

18%

19%

20%

18%

15%

14%

15%

17%

19%

21%

22%

23%

24%

23%

22%

24%

25%

26%

26%

27%

27%

25%

42%

43%

44%

43%

40%

35%

33%

33%

33%

32%

30%

29%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007*

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013**

Tenure (years with the same crown) for Permanent Staff

Less than 5 years 5 to 9 10 to 19 20 or more


Tenure by Crown, 2013

• The crowns with the highest proportions of new employees (less than 5 years tenure) are:

• SaskWater (41%);• SGC (38%); and• STC (36%).

• At the other end of the scale, the crowns with the most number of employees with twenty or more years of tenure are:

• SaskTel (38%); and• SaskEnergy (35%).


29%

11%

34%

23%

25%

30%

41%

36%

38%

24%

23%

19%

17%

23%

24%

42%

26%

20%

31%

21%

38%

32%

22%

19%

22%

28%

15%

20%

31%

25%

10%

38%

27%

35%

29%

17%

24%

29%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO

SaskWater

STC

SGC

All Crowns

Tenure (years with the same crown) Permanent Staff Only, 2013

Less than 5 years 5 to 9 10 to 19 20 or more

Tenure Comparison with Saskatchewan

• The percentage of persons who have been with their current employer for less than five years is over 50% in Saskatchewan.

• This compares with 24% in the crowns.


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007* 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013**

Employment by TenureCrown Corporations (permanent and non-permanent as of Dec)Relative to Saskatchewan (off Reserve only, annual averages)

Saskatchewan

Crowns

percent with current employerless than five years



Eligibility for Retirement

• Retirement eligibility is defined as the earliest year in which the permanent staff member can retire without penalty.

• Most staff will work well beyond this date because in most cases this is just the year they turn fifty. Eligibility for retirement is still thought to affect the employee’s attachment to the corporation.

• As of 2013, more than one half of the permanent staff could retire by 2019.

35.6%

8.2%7.0% 7.7% 7.5% 7.4%

26.7%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Alreadyeligible

2014-2016

2017-2019

2020-2022

2023-2025

2026-2028

2029 orlater

Eligibility for Retirement among Permanent Staff

Retirement Eligibility by Crown

• The proportion of staff who are already eligible or soon will be eligible to retire is noticeably lower at SOCO and SGC.

• All of the other crowns are equally at risk of a large number of staff choosing to retire in the short term.


54%

50%

39%

45%

47%

19%

36%

55%

28%

44%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO

SaskWater

STC

SGC

All Crowns

Percent of Permanent Staff Eligible to Retire by 2016

Characteristics of Positions

• Scope• Salary• Location• Occupation and Skill Level

Union Membership

• Although some have very few members, seven different unions are represented among staff in the commercial crowns.

• UNIFOR represents the largest proportion of staff; 41.5% of the permanent and non-permanent crown staff are UNIFOR members.


ATU194

1.7%

UNIFOR (formerly CEP)4,865 41.5%

COPE1,645 14.0%

IBEW1,454 12.4%

PSAC334

2.8%

RWDSU293

2.5%

IATSE34

0.3%Out of Scope

2,904 24.8%

Union Membership Among Permanent and Non-Permanent Employees, 2013


Trends in Union Membership

• The proportion of crown staff who are in scope has declined slightly over the years. (Note that the vertical scale is collapsed in the figure.)

• In 2013, union employees represented 73% of permanent staff compared with 76% in 2008 and 78% in 2003.

• Excluding SGC and ISC has little effect on this indicator.

65%

67%

69%

71%

73%

75%

77%

79%

81%

83%

85%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Trends in Union Membership (Permanent Staff Only)

All Crowns Excluding ISC and SGC

in-scope membershipas % of total

Union Membership by Crown

• Not counting CIC or SOCO, in-scope staff are the least common at SaskWater and SaskPower. They are the most common at STC, SGC, and SGI.

• The gradual downward trend in union membership is evident in most of the crowns.


0%

0%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO

SaskWater

ISC

STC

SGC

All Crowns

Percent of Permanent Staff who are Union Members

2004

2007

2010

2013



• In Saskatchewan as a whole, about 35% of paid workers (i.e. excluding the self-employed) are covered by a collective agreement.

• This compares with 75% at the crowns.


0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007* 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013**

Employment by Union MembershipCrown Corporations (permanent and non-permanent as of Dec)

vis-à-vis Saskatchewan (off Reserve only, annual averages, excluding the self-employed)

Crowns

Saskatchewan

percent covered by a collective agreement


Salary Ranges (adjusted for inflation)

• The database includes the range of salaries and wages paid to crown staff but not the actual wage rate.

• Excluding ISC and SGC and adjusted for inflation by using constant 2013 dollars, the average top rate was $41.74 in 2013 compared with $37.05 in 2008.

• Because of lower average pay rates, the inclusion of SGC has a dampening effect on the average wage rate in the crowns but no apparent effect on the trends over time.


$24.00

$26.00

$28.00

$30.00

$32.00

$34.00

$36.00

$38.00

$40.00

$42.00

$44.00

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Wage Rate Ranges, Permanent Staff Only

Minimum

Maximum

constant 2013 dollars

excluding ISC & SGC

excluding ISC& SGC

including ISC & SGC

including ISC & SGC

Salary Ranges (constant 2013 dollars, permanent staff only)

• The increase in the top rate over the past two years is because of a significant increase in the proportion of permanent staff with rates above $40/hour. As a percentage of the total this group has increased from 33% of staff in 2011 to 39% in 2013.

• At the other end of the scale, 23% have a top rate of less than $30.00 (including SGC), down from 26% in 2011.


13%

12%

13%

12%

11%

16%

15%

13%

11%

12%

10%

10%

22%

19%

23%

24%

23%

15%

16%

15%

15%

14%

14%

13%

28%

31%

29%

33%

25%

28%

27%

18%

19%

26%

17%

14%

15%

14%

16%

11%

17%

13%

13%

20%

23%

15%

22%

24%

22%

23%

19%

20%

24%

28%

29%

34%

32%

33%

37%

39%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007*

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013**

Top Rate of Pay Range, Constant 2013 Dollars

Under $25 $25 - $29.99 $30 - $34.99 $35 - $39.99 $40 or more


Salary Ranges by Crown in 2013

• As of 2013, the top rate was highest at CIC and lowest at SGC.


$55.89

$39.35

$49.53

$39.59

$34.94

$38.44

$42.42

$30.62

$23.00

$40.41

$10 $15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45 $50 $55 $60 $65

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO

SaskWater

STC

SGC

All Crowns

Average of Top Rates, Permanent Employees Only, 2013

Growth in Salary Ranges by Crown, Permanent Employees Only

• In the eleven years from 2003 to 2013, and adjusted for inflation, the increase in the top rate has been above the 1.8% average at:

• SaskPower (3.3%);• SaskWater (2.2%); and• STC (2.1%).

• The increases have been lower at:

• SOCO (0.7%);• CIC (0.9%); and• SaskTel (1.0%).

• Note that increases in the average wage rate can occur if:

• there is a general wage rate increase;

• if the number of low-paying positions is reduced; or

• if the number of high-paying positions increases.


0.9%

1.1%

3.3%

1.2%

1.0%

0.7%

2.2%

2.1%

1.8%

3.0%

3.2%

5.4%

3.3%

3.1%

2.8%

4.3%

4.3%

3.9%

0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO*

SaskWater

STC

All Crowns

Average Annual Increase in Top Rates, Permanent Employees Only, 2003 to 2013

Adjusted for Inflation Nominal* 2004 to 2013


• The provincial average hourly wage rate (among all paid workers including seasonal and temporary workers) was $24.72 in 2013.

• Using the midpoint of the salary range as an indicator of average crown salaries, the average crown employee has a rate that is 41% higher than in the province as a whole.

• On average and after adjusting for inflation, the increase from 2008 to 2013 has been 3.8% per year in the crowns. This compares with 2.3% in the province as a whole so the gap between the Crowns and other paid workers is widening.


$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007* 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013**

Average Hourly Wage RateCrown Corporations (permanent and non-permanent as of Dec)


Crowns (midpoint ofranges)

Saskatchewan (paidworkers only)

average hourly wage ratein constant $2013


Workplace Location

• Six out of ten permanent staff work in Regina and more than three quarters work in one of the four largest cities in the province.

• Another 12.7% work in larger communities such as Estevan, Yorkton, and Swift Current. The remaining 7.6% of permanent staff work in the North, a smaller community or out of province.


Regina6,141 57.7%

Saskatoon1,762 16.5%

Prince Albert273

2.6%

Moose Jaw323

3.0%

Estevan552

5.2%

Other cities*798

7.5%

North60

0.6%

Other742

7.0%

Employment of Permanent Staff by Location, 2013

* Yorkton, Melville, Swift Current, Meadow Lake, Melfort, North Battleford, Weyburn, Lloydminster, Humboldt

Hudson BayTisdale

Unity

Saskatoon

Melfort

Prince AlbertLloydminster

North Battleford

Meadow Lake

Humboldt

Permanent and Non-PermanentCrown Employees by RM, 2013

100 or more20 to 99

5 to 191 to 5

none


Workplace Location - North

• The map aggregates data into Rural Municipalities with the far North considered as a single “RM”. The shading represents all of the locations (towns, villages, Reserves, etc.) in the RM.

• At least one crown employee works in 73 of the province’s RMs. They are a significant presence (20 or more staff) in 18 RMs and the Far North.


Workplace Location - South

Unity

Kindersley

Carlyle

Coronach

Swift Current

Yorkton

Moose Jaw

Melville

Estevan

Regina

Weyburn

SaskatoonHumboldt

Permanent and Non-PermanentCrown Employees by RM, 2013

100 or more20 to 99

5 to 191 to 5

none

Workplace Location by Crown

• CIC and SOCO employees work exclusively in Regina and Saskatoon. Most of the other crowns have at least 80% of their permanent staff in either city. The exceptions are SaskPower, SaskEnergy and SaskWater.

• SaskWater and SaskPower have the largest proportion of staff outside the two major centres – the former because of the head office in Moose Jaw and the latter because of the large number of employees in Estevan and Coronach.


84%

58%

67%

82%

29%

92%

85%

74%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO

SaskWater

STC

SGC

All Crowns

Percentage where the Place of Work is Regina or Saskatoon, Permanent Employees Only, 2013

Sample Occupations by NOC Skill Level

• Each of the permanent positions in the crowns has been assigned a 4-digit NOC (National Occupational Classification) code for purposes of analysis and for comparisons across crowns.

• Most of the NOC coding was done by the crowns but some codes were assigned as part of the bubble research (e.g. SaskPower and SGC). The latter will be less accurate than the former.

• The NOC coding enables a classification of occupations into four skill levels plus management.

• Management occupations are not assigned a skill level.

• Positions in skill level A typically require a university degree.

• Positions in skill level B typically require a post-secondary certificate or diploma including a trades certificate. Supervisory positions are also classified as skill level B.

• Intermediate positions typically require a grade 12 certificate and some on-the-job training.

• Positions in skill level D can typically be done with a short on-the-job training period.


Group NOC and Occupation Title Count0 Managerial 12 Senior government managers & officials 2

112 Human resources managers 50121 Insurance, real estate, & financial brokerage managers 77131 Telecommunications carriers managers 71211 Engineering managers 42213 Information systems & data processing managers 41611 Sales, marketing, & advertising managers 179721 Facility operation and maintenance managers 14

A: Professional 1111 Financial auditors & accountants 106(univ degree) 1112 Financial & investment analysis 90

2133 Electrical & electronics engineers 3572171 Information systems analysts and consultants 4702175 Web designers and developers 164112 Lawyers & Quebec notaries 33

B: Technical 1212 Supervisors, finance, & insurance clerks 50(post-secondary) 1222 Executive assistants 27and supervisory 1223 Personnel & recruitment officers 32

1233 Insurance adjusters & claims examiners 3611235 Assessors, valuators, & appraisers 812281 Computer/network operators, web technicians 842282 User support technicians 1756241 Chefs 67244 Electrical power line & cable workers 3597245 Telecommunications line & cable workers 1377253 Gas fitters 2117352 Power systems & power station operators 223

C: Intermediate 1411 General office clerks 4471413 Records & file clerks 731431 Accounting & related clerks 1401442 Personnel clerks 121471 Shippers & receivers 316452 Bartenders 296453 Food & beverage servers 867421 Heavy equipment operators (except crane) 47

D: Labour & 6611 Cashiers 54elemental 6641 Food counter attendants & kitchen helpers 37

6662 Specialized cleaners 118612 Landscaping & grounds maintenance labourers 4

Occupation and Skill Level

• Almost three quarters (72%) of crown positions require a post-secondary education. There has been little change in the mix of skill levels over the course of the past ten years.

• The incorporation of SGC in 2007 added about 250 lower-skilled (skill level D) positions to the permanent staff in the crowns.


0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Managerial

A: Professional (univdegree)

B: Technical (post-sec) & supervisory

C: Intermediate

D: Labour &elemental

Percent of Permanent Staff by NOC Skill Level

2004

2007*

2010

2013**


Skill Level by Crown

• The crowns with the highest proportion of positions that require a post-secondary education (including managers) are:

• CIC (85%); • SaskTel (84%); and• SaskPower (80%).

• Skill level B positions (those that typically require a non-university post-secondary education) are the most common at SaskPower (48%), and SaskTel (54%).

• STC and SGC are the only crowns with a significant number of positions (12% and 23% respectively) that normally require less than grade 12, that is, skill level D positions.


29%

11%

11%

13%

10%

19%

23%

11%

9%

11%

29%

19%

21%

12%

18%

10%

17%

5%

27%

54%

48%

43%

43%

39%

34%

13%

10%

44%

15%

16%

18%

30%

29%

26%

24%

59%

54%

24%

6%

3%

12%

23%

3%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO

SaskWater

STC

SGC

All Crowns

NOC Skill Level for Permanent Employees, 2013

Managerial A: Professional (univ degree)

B: Technical (post-sec) & supervisory C: Intermediate

D: Labour & elemental

Age and Tenure by Skill Level

• Not surprisingly, the highest average ages and the longest tenures are among those employees in management positions. The differences are not, however, dramatic.

• These positions are more likely to see a large number of retirements in the short term because of the demographic characteristics of those in them.

• At the other end of the scale, the professional (skill level A) group tends to be younger and have a lower tenure.


47

41

43

44

42

43

17

11

15

13

8

14

0 10 20 30 40 50

Managerial



C: Intermediate


All permanent staff

Average Age and Tenure by NOC Skill Level for Permanent Employees, 2013

Average age Average tenure (years)

Skill Level by Gender

• Women in the crowns:• are over-represented in

occupations classified as intermediate;

• account for near one half in professional occupations requiring a university degree; and

• are under-represented in management and technical skill-level occupations.

• The proportion of women in management positions has increased somewhat but the proportion in positions classified as requiring a university degree has declined.

• The addition of SGC has significantly increased the proportion of women in low-skill occupations.


0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Managerial



C: Intermediate


Percent of Permanent and Non-Permanent Staff who are Women, by NOC Skill Level

2004

2007*

2010

2013**


Skill Level by Aboriginal Identity

• Relative to the average, Aboriginal employees are over-represented in occupations that are classified in skill levels C and D. This is especially the case when SGC is incorporated into the data.

• The proportion of employees who are Aboriginal has increased from 2003 to 2013 in each of the skill levels with the sharpest increase in the skill level B group.

• The inclusion of SGC in the statistics increases the proportion of Aboriginal people in each of the skill levels.


0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Managerial



C: Intermediate


Percent of Permanent and Non-Permanent Staff who are Aboriginal, by NOC Skill Level

2004

2007*

2010

2013**


Skill Level by Aboriginal Identity

• This is another view of the skill levels for Aboriginal employees in 2013.

• More than four out of five of the 1,367 permanent and non-permanent Aboriginal employees are in either skill level B or skill level C.

• Relatively few are in Managerial and skill level A positions. There are also relatively few in skill level D positions because those low-skill occupations are, except for SGC, rare in the crowns.


Managerial725%

A: Professional (univ degree)

957%


45243%

C: Intermediate56341%


1199%

Skill Levels for Permanent and Non-Permanent Aboriginal Staff in the Crowns, 2013

Skill Level by Membership in a Visible Minority Group

• Since 2002, there have been increases in the proportion of crown employees who are members of a visible minority group in each of the skill level groups.

• Relative to the average, members of a visible minority group are over-represented in professional occupations.

• The proportion of managers who are members of a visible minority group has not increased as quickly as the proportion in other skill levels.


0% 5% 10% 15%

Managerial



C: Intermediate


Percent of Permanent and Non-Permanent Staff who are Members of a Visible Minority Group, by NOC Skill Level

2004

2007*

2010

2013**


Persons Reporting a Disability, by Skill Level

• The proportion of staff in each of the skill levels who report a disability has been relatively stable over the past ten years.


0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%

Managerial



C: Intermediate


Percent of Permanent and Non-Permanent Staff who Report a Disability, by NOC Skill Level

2004

2007*

2010

2013**


New Hires by Skill Level

• Including managers, more than one half (56%) of new hires in 2013 were into positions requiring a post-secondary education.

Note: The number of new hires is measured as those who were first hired in the crown during the twelve months prior to December 31st and who were still working at the end of the year. This does not include internal promotions.


0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Managerial



C: Intermediate


New Hires (permanent only) by NOC Skill Level

2004

2007*

2010

2013**


Departures and Turnover

Number of Departures by Reason

• Departures from permanent positions are captured in the database along with the characteristics of those who have left. Transfers are not included but moves from one crown to another will register as a departure from one crown and a new hire at the destination. The data cover the twelve years from 1999 to 2013. (In 2003, four additional years of retroactive data was obtained for the database.)

• There is no specific reason given for the majority of non-retirement departures; many of the reasons given are simply “resignation” or “job abandonment”. Those who fail to meet their probationary qualifications are considered as hired and then dismissed.

• The 2013 increase in the dismissal/layoff category was because of layoffs at SGC where the number was 102 compared with the five-year average of 37.


Year of Departure2004 2005 2006 2007* 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013**

To take other employment 48 79 96 57 89 36 74 77 77 75Resignation 79 72 131 257 339 273 273 244 297 290Dismissal/layoff 33 45 41 82 97 99 81 71 85 140Personal Reasons 13 34 10 17 31 11 11 13 11 9Moved 22 16 12 7 11 7 3 5 5 3Death 15 11 11 13 14 19 16 17 13 18Other/Unknown 40 60 18 65 23 17 23 23 13 13Non-retirement subtotal 250 317 319 498 604 462 481 450 501 548

Retirement 90 113 149 185 165 172 249 275 310 277Early Retirement Plan 61 142 184 171 129 94 0 0 0 0Retirement subtotal 151 255 333 356 294 266 249 275 310 277

Grand total 401 572 652 854 898 728 730 725 811 825* including SGC** excluding ISC


Non-Retirement Departure Trends

• Excluding SGC, the number of non-retirement departures has averaged 290 per year over the past five years. Including SGC, the average is 500 per year.

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

Annual Number of Non-Retirement Departures, Permanent Employees Only

Voluntary Separation Program

SGC & ISC

Excluding SGC & ISC


Retirement Departure Trends

• The total number of retirements has fluctuated from year to year because of the Early Retirement Plans previously implemented at SaskTel.

• In spite of the annual ups and downs in total retirements, there is a clear upward trend in the number of “normal” retirements. From an average of approximately 100 per year in the early 2000s, the number has been near 290 per year in the last three years.

• The inclusion of SGC has no material effect on the number of retirements. It does, however, have an effect on the rate of retirements because there are so few SGC employees who retire.

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007* 2009 2011 2013**

Annual Number of Retirements, Permanent Employees

Early retirement plan

Normal retirement



Reasons for Departures, 2013, Excluding SGC

• Excluding SGC, the single most common reason for leaving employment was retirement, accounting for almost one half of departures in 2013.

• About four out of ten of those who leave the crowns could be expected to stay in the labour market, more if those who retire decide to re-enter the labour market.

• Departures can be calculated as a percentage of staff to arrive at a “turnover rate”. Excluding SGC, the turnover rate in the crowns was

• 5.8% per year in 2013, • 3.1% from retirements, and • 2.7% for other reasons.

Death183%

Dismissal/Layoff387% Moved

3<1%

Take other employment

7513%

Other/unknown132%

Personal reasons

92%

Resignation15527%

Retirement26646%

Reasons for Departure in 2013 (excluding SGC & ISC)


Reasons for Departures, 2013, Including SGC

• Including SGC dramatically increases the number of resignations. (“Job abandonment” is the terminology that is often used at SGC.)

• Including SGC changes the 2013 turnover rate at the crowns from:

• 5.8% to 7.7% overall;• 2.7% to 2.6% for retirement

turnover; and• 3.1% to 5.1% for non-

retirement turnover.

Death182%

Dismissal/Layoff14017%

Moved3

<1%

Take other employment

759%

Other/unknown132%

Personal reasons

91%

Resignation29035%

Retirement27734%

Reasons for Departure in 2013 (including SGC)

Turnover Rates by Crown Corporation, 2013

• The lowest turnover rates in 2013 were at SaskTel.

• The highest turnover rates are at SGC and CIC. These are exclusively because of higher non-retirement turnovers.


0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO

SaskWater

STC

SGC

Total Incl. SGC

Total Excl. SGC

Turnover Rates by Crown, 2013

Non-RetirementRetirement

Changes in Turnover Rates by Crown Corporation

• There is no consistent pattern in the turnover rates by crown.

• Rates are low but increasing in SaskPower, SaskEnergy, SGI and SOCO.

• Rates have declined in recent years at CIC and STC.


0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO

SaskWater

STC

SGC

Changes in Retirement and Non-Retirement Turnover Rates by Crown

2004

2007

2010

2013

Turnover Rates by Gender, 2013

• With SGC included in the data, non-retirement turnover rates are slightly higher among women than among men.

• Excluding SGC, the turnover rates for women are the same as for men.


6.1%

4.5%

5.1%

3.0%

3.2%

3.1%

2.8%

2.5%

2.6%

2.9%

2.5%

2.7%

8.9%

6.9%

7.7%

5.9%

5.8%

5.8%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%

Women

Men

Both Sexes

Women

Men

Both Sexes

Incl

udin

g S

GC

Exc

ludi

ng S

GC

Turnover Rates by Gender, 2013

Non-Retirement Retirement

Turnover Rates among Permanent Staff by Age Group, 2013

• In 2013, more than one in ten (11.4%) of the permanent staff under thirty years of age left their crown employment. Excluding SGC, the percentage is half that rate at 5.7%.

• In the 30 to 54 age group, both retirement and non-retirement turnover rates are very low even if SGC is included.

• Beyond age 55, almost all departures are retirements.


11.4%

6.0%

5.0%

13.7%

7.7%

5.7%

4.3%

3.8%

12.7%

5.8%

0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18%

Under 30

30 to 44

45 to 54

55 or older

All ages

Under 30

30 to 44

45 to 54

55 or older

All ages

Incl

udin

g S

GC

Exc

ludi

ng S

GC

Turnover Rates by Age Groups, 2013


Turnover Rates for Diversity Groups, 2013

• Non-retirement turnover rates among permanent staff are higher than average for those reporting an Aboriginal identity and, to a lessor extent, for those who are members of a visible minority group.

• SGC has a high turnover rate among its Aboriginal employees. If SGC is included, the Aboriginal turnover rate increases from 7.1% per year to 15.2% per year.


7.7%

15.2%

6.1%

6.2%

5.8%

7.1%

4.3%

4.8%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18%

All employees

Aboriginal identity

Members of a visible minority group

With a disability

All employees

Aboriginal identity

Members of a visible minority group

With a disability

Incl

udin

g S

GC

Exc

ludi

ng S

GC

Turnover Rates by Diversity Groups, 2013


Turnover Rates by Tenure, 2013

• Not surprisingly, the non-retirement turnover rate is higher among those with shorter tenure.

(Note: SGC data by tenure was not available because the crown has not been part of the database for long enough.)


7.4%

4.1%

2.9%

8.1%

5.8%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%

Less than 5 years

5 to 9 years

10 to 19 years

20 or more years

All employees

Exc

ludi

ng S

GC

Turnover Rates by Tenure, 2013


Turnover Rates by Union Membership, 2013

• Both retirement and non-retirement turnover rates are higher among out-of-scope employees than among in-scope employees.


7.6%

8.1%

7.7%

5.8%

6.0%

5.8%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%

In scope

Out of scope

All employees

In scope

Out of scope

All employees

Incl

udin

g S

GC

Exc

ludi

ng S

GC

Turnover Rates by Union Membership, 2013


Retirement Age Trends

• The average age at retirement (excluding those who retire early through SaskTel’s plan):

• was approximately 59 years of age between 1999 and 2005;

• declined to approximately 57 years of age in 2008 and 2009; and

• increased to more than 58 years of age in the most recent three years.


46

48

50

52

54

56

58

60

62

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

Average Age at Retirement

Normal Retirement

Early Retirement(SaskTel)

Retirement Age

• The average age at retirement is not a particularly good predictor of actual retirements.

• In the three years ending in 2013, the average age at retirement was 58 but that is not a particularly common age for retirements.

• Instead, there are a large percentage who retire in their late 50s, i.e. 54 to 60, and a spike at 65 years of age.


0

5

10

15

20

25

30

50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68+

Age at Retirement(3-year average, 2011 to 2013, Normal Retirements Only)

number ofretirees

Comparison with Canada

• The average retirement age using data from the Labour Force Survey is available only at the national level. (Saskatchewan data are not available because the sample size is too small.)

• This is the average age of those who, when asked why they left their last job, said that they had “retired”. This does not preclude them from re-entering the labour force.

• The average retirement age in Canada is 63.7 years among those in the private sector and 61.1 years among those in the public sector (broadly defined to include health and education and the crowns as well as government proper).

• Until recently, the average retirement age in the crowns (excluding the ERP), was tracking the national average for public sector employees. In the last few years, crown staff have been retiring two to three years earlier than other public sector employees.


53

55

57

59

61

63

65

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

Average Age at Retirement

Crowns (excluding ERP)

Canadapublic sector employees

Canadaprivate sector employees

Expected Retirements


Three Measures of Retirement

• The expected retirement year for each permanent crown staff member who was employed as of December 2013 is calculated using a model that predicts their retirement date on the basis of the past behaviour of other crown employees with similar characteristics.

• Permanent staff are expected to retire between after their earliest possible retirement date (typically at 50 years of age), depending on their age, tenure, gender, skill level, union membership, membership in a visible minority group, and whether they work full-time or part-time.

• Retirement packages or other unforeseen circumstance can change these estimates significantly. The hiring of additional staff and turnover of existing staff will also change the estimates because it changes the demographic mix of “current” staff.

Mandatory retirement was removed in November 2007 so age 65 will become less prevalent as a “normal” retirement age in the future.

0

250

500

750

1,000

1,250

1,500

1,750

2,000

2013 orearlier*

2014-16

2017-19

2020-22

2023-25

2026-28

2029-31

2032-34

2035-37

Number of Retirements per Year(three measures for current staff)

At Age 55

Expected

At Age 65

* staff who could have or were expected to retired but were still employed on Dec 31 2013

Expected Retirements by Crown Corporation

• Whereas 44% of permanent crown staff will be eligible to retire before 2017, only 19% can be expected to do so.

• Of the 2,016 retirements expected in the next three years (2014 to 2016), the vast majority will occur in the three large crowns - SaskTel, SaskPower, and SGI.

• This estimate is undoubtedly high, being equivalent to more than 700 retirements per year whereas the current number is about 300 per year. It does, however, represent a plausible, if extreme, scenario


12

671

581

201

414

13

21

60

95

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

CIC

SaskTel

SaskPower

SaskEnergy

SGI

SOCO

SaskWater

STC

SGC

Expected Retirements Before 2017

Expected Retirements by Skill Level

• Compared with other skill levels, an above-average proportion of crown corporation managers will probably retire by 2016.

• In the short term, retirement rates are lower among professionals, namely those in positions that require a university degree.


25%

14%

19%

22%

20%

19%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%

Managerial

A: Professional (univ degree)


C: Intermediate


All skill levels

Expected Retirements Before 2017 by Skill Level (% of staff)


Expected Retirements by Target Group

• Expected retirement rates over the short term do not vary significantly by gender, location, or union membership.

• Compared with the average, however, retirement rates are lower among those who are members of a visible minority group or who report an Aboriginal identity. These staff tend to be, on average, younger than other staff.

19%

20%

10%

7%

29%

20%

20%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

All Staff

Women

Aboriginal Identity

Member of a VisibleMinority Group

Reporting a Disability

OutsideRegina/Saskatoon

In Scope

Expected Retirements Before 2017 (% of staff), Selected Groups of Permanent Employees

Managing the Bubble 2013 Reportpub/Documents/Bubble Long...Crown Employment Trends • These figures...

Documents

Transcript of Managing the Bubble 2013 Reportpub/Documents/Bubble Long...Crown Employment Trends • These figures...