Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects...

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Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr. Peter Reichl Forschungsgruppe “Cooperative Systems” (COSY) Fakultät für Informatik der Universität Wien Universität Dortmund, 05.12.2014

Transcript of Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects...

Page 1: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

Management-by-Acronym (MBA)

A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects

Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben

Univ.-Prof. Dr. Peter ReichlForschungsgruppe “Cooperative Systems” (COSY)

Fakultät für Informatik der Universität Wien

Universität Dortmund, 05.12.2014

Page 2: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

Management-by-Acronym (MBA)

A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects

Univ.-Prof. Dr. Peter ReichlForschungsgruppe “Cooperative Systems” (COSY)

Fakultät für Informatik der Universität Wien

Universität Dortmund, 05.12.2014

So weich, dass man es blind erkennt…

Page 3: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

Management-by-Acronym (MBA)

A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects

Univ.-Prof. Dr. Peter ReichlForschungsgruppe “Cooperative Systems” (COSY)

Fakultät für Informatik der Universität Wien

Universität Dortmund, 05.12.2014

So weich, dass man es blind erkennt…sounds too much like SaaS

out of scope!!

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Background and Motivation

Starting point: Lehrstuhl Informatik 4, RWTH Aachen

Project ANNABELLE (Anomalies in Normaluser Network Applications Based on Experiments in a Lovely Lehrstuhl-Environment), 1996-1998

M. Berger, O. Kubitz, K. Jakobs, P. Reichl, A. Koch: Project ANNABELLE: Anomalies in Normal-User Network Applications Based on Experiments in a Lovely Lehrstuhl Environment. Proc. 3rd Biennial SSE European Meeting, p. 26, Freiburg, Germany, Oct. 1996.

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Background and Motivation

Starting point: Lehrstuhl Informatik 4, RWTH Aachen

Project ANNABELLE (Anomalies in Normaluser Network Applications Based on Experiments in a Lovely Lehrstuhl-Environment), 1996-1998

M. Berger, O. Kubitz, K. Jakobs, P. Reichl, A. Koch: Project ANNABELLE: Anomalies in Normal-User Network Applications Based on Experiments in a Lovely Lehrstuhl Environment. Proc. 3rd Biennial SSE European Meeting, p. 26, Freiburg, Germany, Oct. 1996.

„Annabelle, ach Annabelle,Du bist so herrlich intellektuell,Du bist so wunderbar negativund so erfrischend destruktiv...“

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Background and Motivation

Starting point: Lehrstuhl Informatik 4, RWTH Aachen

Project ANNABELLE (Anomalies in Normaluser Network Applications Based on Experiments in a Lovely Lehrstuhl-Environment), 1996-1998

M. Berger, O. Kubitz, K. Jakobs, P. Reichl, A. Koch: Project ANNABELLE: Anomalies in Normal-User Network Applications Based on Experiments in a Lovely Lehrstuhl Environment. Proc. 3rd Biennial SSE European Meeting, p. 26, Freiburg, Germany, Oct. 1996.

Page 7: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

Background and Motivation

Starting point: Lehrstuhl Informatik 4, RWTH Aachen

Project ANNABELLE (Anomalies in Normaluser Network Applications Based on Experiments in a Lovely Lehrstuhl-Environment), 1996-1998

M. Berger, O. Kubitz, K. Jakobs, P. Reichl, A. Koch: Project ANNABELLE: Anomalies in Normal-User Network Applications Based on Experiments in a Lovely Lehrstuhl Environment. Proc. 3rd Biennial SSE European Meeting, p. 26, Freiburg, Germany, Oct. 1996.

Page 8: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

Background and Motivation

Starting point: Lehrstuhl Informatik 4, RWTH Aachen

Project ANNABELLE (Anomalies in Normaluser Network Applications Based on Experiments in a Lovely Lehrstuhl-Environment), 1996-1998

After the PhD: Forschungszentrum Telekommunikation Wien (FTW)

WISQY (Wireless Inter-System Quality of Service), 2002-2004

M. Berger, O. Kubitz, K. Jakobs, P. Reichl, A. Koch: Project ANNABELLE: Anomalies in Normal-User Network Applications Based on Experiments in a Lovely Lehrstuhl Environment. Proc. 3rd Biennial SSE European Meeting, p. 26, Freiburg, Germany, Oct. 1996.

P. Reichl, M. Umlauft, J. Fabini et al.: Project WISQY: A Measurement-Based End-to-End Performance Compa-rison of 2.5G and 3G Networks. Proc. 5th Wireless Telecommunications Symposium, Pomona, CA, April 2005.

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Background and Motivation

Starting point: Lehrstuhl Informatik 4, RWTH Aachen

Project ANNABELLE (Anomalies in Normaluser Network Applications Based on Experiments in a Lovely Lehrstuhl-Environment), 1996-1998

After the PhD: Forschungszentrum Telekommunikation Wien (FTW)

WISQY (Wireless Inter-System Quality of Service), 2002-2004

® CAMPARI (Configuration, Architecture, Migration, Performance Analysis and Requirements of 3G IMS), 2004-2006

M. Berger, O. Kubitz, K. Jakobs, P. Reichl, A. Koch: Project ANNABELLE: Anomalies in Normal-User Network Applications Based on Experiments in a Lovely Lehrstuhl Environment. Proc. 3rd Biennial SSE European Meeting, p. 26, Freiburg, Germany, Oct. 1996.

P. Reichl, M. Umlauft, J. Fabini et al.: Project WISQY: A Measurement-Based End-to-End Performance Compa-rison of 2.5G and 3G Networks. Proc. 5th Wireless Telecommunications Symposium, Pomona, CA, April 2005.

P. Reichl, J. Fabini, N. Jordan et al.: Quo Vadis, IMS? Das Projekt CAMPARI als mobilnetz-orientierte Standortbestimmung für das IP Multimedia Subsystem. e&i 123 no. 7/8, pp. 315–322. Springer, Aug. 2006.

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Background and Motivation Successor Projects:

CAIPIRINA (Converging towards All-IP: IMS Realization Issues for NGN Applications), 2006-2008

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Background and Motivation Successor Projects:

CAIPIRINA (Converging towards All-IP: IMS Realization Issues for NGN Applications), 2006-2008

BACCARDI (Beyond Architectural Convergence – Charging, Applica- tions, Realization and Demonstration of 3G IMS), 2008-2010

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Background and Motivation Successor Projects:

CAIPIRINA (Converging towards All-IP: IMS Realization Issues for NGN Applications), 2006-2008

BACCARDI (Beyond Architectural Convergence – Charging, Applica- tions, Realization and Demonstration of 3G IMS), 2008-2010

BIQINI (BACCARDI’s IMS QoS Implementation Initiative), 2010C. Egger, M. Happenhofer, J. Fabini, P. Reichl: BIQINI – A Flow-based QoS Enforcement Architecture for NGN Services. Proc. TRIDENTCOM 2010, Berlin, Germany, May 2010

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Background and Motivation Successor Projects:

CAIPIRINA (Converging towards All-IP: IMS Realization Issues for NGN Applications), 2006-2008

BACCARDI (Beyond Architectural Convergence – Charging, Applica- tions, Realization and Demonstration of 3G IMS), 2008-2010

BIQINI (BACCARDI’s IMS QoS Implementation Initiative), 2010

Empirical observation: obvious correlation between “efficiency level” of the

acronym [in %] and acquired project budget [MEUR]

C. Egger, M. Happenhofer, J. Fabini, P. Reichl: BIQINI – A Flow-based QoS Enforcement Architecture for NGN Services. Proc. TRIDENTCOM 2010, Berlin, Germany, May 2010

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Background and Motivation Successor Projects:

CAIPIRINA (Converging towards All-IP: IMS Realization Issues for NGN Applications), 2006-2008

BACCARDI (Beyond Architectural Convergence – Charging, Applica- tions, Realization and Demonstration of 3G IMS), 2008-2010

BIQINI (BACCARDI’s IMS QoS Implementation Initiative), 2010

Empirical observation: obvious correlation between “efficiency level” of the

acronym [in %] and acquired project budget [MEUR]

EU FP7: similar, but much more hesitant: CHIANTI, SCAMPI, DUPLO …

C. Egger, M. Happenhofer, J. Fabini, P. Reichl: BIQINI – A Flow-based QoS Enforcement Architecture for NGN Services. Proc. TRIDENTCOM 2010, Berlin, Germany, May 2010

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Background and Motivation Successor Projects:

CAIPIRINA (Converging towards All-IP: IMS Realization Issues for NGN Applications), 2006-2008

BACCARDI (Beyond Architectural Convergence – Charging, Applica- tions, Realization and Demonstration of 3G IMS), 2008-2010

BIQINI (BACCARDI’s IMS QoS Implementation Initiative), 2010

Empirical observation: obvious correlation between “efficiency level” of the

acronym [in %] and acquired project budget [MEUR]

EU FP7: similar, but much more hesitant: CHIANTI, SCAMPI, DUPLO …

Research question: can we generalize that? underlying models / metrics?

C. Egger, M. Happenhofer, J. Fabini, P. Reichl: BIQINI – A Flow-based QoS Enforcement Architecture for NGN Services. Proc. TRIDENTCOM 2010, Berlin, Germany, May 2010

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From Evolutionary to Evaluationary Game Theory

Idea: theoretical analysis

Established Framework: Evolutionary Game Theory “survival of the fittest”

Page 17: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

From Evolutionary to Evaluationary Game Theory

Idea: theoretical analysis

Established Framework: Evolutionary Game Theory “survival of the fittest”

Problem: Nash equilibria exist, but asymmetry between applying project consortia and evaluation body (a.k.a. EU)

Page 18: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

From Evolutionary to Evaluationary Game Theory

Idea: theoretical analysis

Established Framework: Evolutionary Game Theory “survival of the fittest”

Problem: Nash equilibria exist, but asymmetry between applying project consortia and evaluation body (a.k.a. EU)

Idea: use “Nash-Potton Equilibrium”

Page 19: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

From Evolutionary to Evaluationary Game Theory

Idea: theoretical analysis

Established Framework: Evolutionary Game Theory “survival of the fittest”

Problem: Nash equilibria exist, but asymmetry between applying project consortia and evaluation body (a.k.a. EU)

Idea: use “Nash-Potton Equilibrium”

original approach: informatics and religion(catholics/protestants vs GOD)

Page 20: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

From Evolutionary to Evaluationary Game Theory

Idea: theoretical analysis

Established Framework: Evolutionary Game Theory “survival of the fittest”

Problem: Nash equilibria exist, but asymmetry between applying project consortia and evaluation body (a.k.a. EU)

Idea: use “Nash-Potton Equilibrium”

original approach: informatics and religion(catholics/protestants vs GOD)

here: project consortia vs. EU

Page 21: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

From Evolutionary to Evaluationary Game Theory

Idea: theoretical analysis

Established Framework: Evolutionary Game Theory “survival of the fittest”

Problem: Nash equilibria exist, but asymmetry between applying project consortia and evaluation body (a.k.a. EU)

Idea: use “Nash-Potton Equilibrium”

original approach: informatics and religion(catholics/protestants vs GOD)

here: project consortia vs. EU

Result: Evaluationary Game Theory – Management-by-Acronym (MBA)

Page 22: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

First idea: Evaluation result E proportional to acronym matching ratio m

Fundamental Metric

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First idea: Evaluation result E proportional to acronym matching ratio m

E = m c2

Fundamental Metric

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First idea: Evaluation result E proportional to acronym matching ratio m

E = m c2

Problem 1: formula already invented and heavily used

Problem 2: no Greek letters ( scientific value???)

Fundamental Metric

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First idea: Evaluation result E proportional to acronym matching ratio m

E = m c2

Problem 1: formula already invented and heavily used

Problem 2: no Greek letters ( scientific value???)

Much better: queuing theoretic approach

• = r / = m degree of efficiency [%]

• = n funding arrival rate ( 1/runtime, Little’s Law!)

• ACK = “Formalprüfungsindikator” (FBI, = 1 if proposal has been properly submitted in time & space etc.)

Fundamental Metric

Page 26: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

First idea: Evaluation result E proportional to acronym matching ratio m

E = m c2

Problem 1: formula already invented and heavily used

Problem 2: no Greek letters ( scientific value???)

Much better: queuing theoretic approach

• = r / = m degree of efficiency [%]

• = n funding arrival rate ( 1/runtime, Little’s Law!)

• ACK = “Formalprüfungsindikator” (FBI, = 1 if proposal has been properly submitted in time & space etc.)

Resulting metric: E = ACK m

Fundamental Metric

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Empirical Validation

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Empirical Validation

28

=40%m < 1

=37.5%m = 1

=24%m 1

=25%m = 1

Simplifying assumption:

constant funding arrival rate

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Empirical Validation

29

Conclusion: no need to worry any more about project content etc.

=40%m < 1

=37.5%m = 1

=24%m 1

=25%m = 1

Simplifying assumption:

constant funding arrival rate

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Empirical Validation

30

Conclusion: no need to worry any more about project content etc.

Open issue: limiting behaviour, e.g. what about other drugs?

=40%m < 1

=37.5%m = 1

=24%m 1

=25%m = 1

Page 31: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

Empirical Validation

31

Conclusion: no need to worry any more about project content etc.

Open issue: limiting behaviour, e.g. what about other drugs?

MARIUANA (Monitoring, Analysis and Reporting of Intrusive, Unwanted and Anomalous Network Activities)???

=40%m < 1

=37.5%m = 1

=24%m 1

=25%m = 1

© Fabio Ricciato

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Empirical Validation

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Conclusion: no need to worry any more about project content etc.

Open issue: limiting behaviour, e.g. what about other drugs?

MARIUANA (Monitoring, Analysis and Reporting of Intrusive, Unwanted and Anomalous Network Activities)???

ViaGra (Via donau Graphics)???

=40%m < 1

=37.5%m = 1

=24%m 1

=25%m = 1

© Fabio Ricciato

© Toni Fuhrmann

Page 33: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

Summary and Conclusions

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Summary and Conclusions

Ode an das Akronym

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Summary and Conclusions

Ode an das Akronym

Wie herrlich ist es, ein Projekt zu planen,

sodann zu leiten auf kühne Bahnen,

Page 36: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

Summary and Conclusions

Ode an das Akronym

Wie herrlich ist es, ein Projekt zu planen,

sodann zu leiten auf kühne Bahnen,

sich nie zu kümmern um Budget und Zahlen,

stattdessen visionär voranzustrahlen.

Page 37: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

Summary and Conclusions

Ode an das Akronym

Wie herrlich ist es, ein Projekt zu planen,

sodann zu leiten auf kühne Bahnen,

sich nie zu kümmern um Budget und Zahlen,

stattdessen visionär voranzustrahlen.

O Kohle mio, du kommst daher

von ganz alleine und ohn‘ Beschwer;

o Kohle, o Kohle mio,

nur Akronyme, es braucht nicht mehr.

Page 38: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

BACCARDI, CHIANTI, WISQY, CAIPIRINA,

und auch CAMPARI brachten viel Gewinn, ja!

Page 39: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

BACCARDI, CHIANTI, WISQY, CAIPIRINA,

und auch CAMPARI brachten viel Gewinn, ja!

MARIUANA…? Man muss nicht viel wagen,

um umso mehr Budget davonzutragen.

Page 40: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

BACCARDI, CHIANTI, WISQY, CAIPIRINA,

und auch CAMPARI brachten viel Gewinn, ja!

MARIUANA…? Man muss nicht viel wagen,

um umso mehr Budget davonzutragen.

O Kohle mio, vorbei der Stress

der Antragsstellung: wie man bemess‘

die Kohle für das Projekt,

das man so mühsam da ausgeheckt.

Page 41: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

BACCARDI, CHIANTI, WISQY, CAIPIRINA,

und auch CAMPARI brachten viel Gewinn, ja!

MARIUANA…? Man muss nicht viel wagen,

um umso mehr Budget davonzutragen.

O Kohle mio, vorbei der Stress

der Antragsstellung: wie man bemess‘

die Kohle für das Projekt,

das man so mühsam da ausgeheckt.

O Kohle mio, du kommst daher

von ganz alleine, ’s ist nicht so schwer;

o Kohle, o Kohle mio:

die Akronyme, die helfen sehr.

Page 42: Management-by-Acronym (MBA) A New Paradigm for Evaluating and Running ICT Research Projects Kooperation erforschen – Kooperationen leben Univ.-Prof. Dr.

The End

Univ.-Prof. Dr. Peter Reichl

Full Professor and Head of Research Group“Cooperative Systems (COSY)”Faculty of InformaticsUniversity of Vienna

Visiting address:Währinger Strasse 29 / 3.381090 Vienna

[email protected]

Thanks for your attention!Any feedback welcome!