Majors Cost Estimating Tool Workshop - January 19, 2012 ...MAJORS COST ESTIMATING TOOL WORKSHOP...
Transcript of Majors Cost Estimating Tool Workshop - January 19, 2012 ...MAJORS COST ESTIMATING TOOL WORKSHOP...
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MAJORS COST ESTIMATING TOOL WORKSHOP
January 19, 2012
Cost Estimating Tool Overview
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Presentation
• Objectives
• Tool Development
• Estimating Process
• Output options
• Spreadsheet overview
• Estimating Example
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Why?
• Develop a reliable and accurate total project estimate
• Used at the conceptual stage of project development
• Provide uniformity and consistency in the estimating approach and process
• Provide a standardized method of presenting results
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Why? (Continued)
• Format for documenting basis of the estimate, assumptions and calculations
• Structured step by step process so that items are not overlooked
• Establish a baseline project cost and evaluate cost tradeoffs from changes
• Provide accurate information for funding decisions
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Tool Basics
• Major Roadway Item Costs
• Allowance Items & Certainty
• Structure and Specialty Item Costs
• Scope Change and Delivery Allowances
• External Costs
• Risk Adjustments
• Inflation
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Major Roadway Items
• Removing Pavement
• Barrier Wall
• Curb & Gutter
• Earthwork
• Signalized Intersections
• Pavement
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Allowance Items
• Erosion Control
• Lighting
• Roadway Incidentals
• Signing & Marking
• Traffic Control & Staging
• ITS/FTMS
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Allowance Item Factors?
• Majors projects bid from 2002 – 2008
• Analyzed bid tabs from 76 individual
projects within 14 different corridors
• Items categorized by:
Major Roadway Items (MRI)
Allowance Items
Structures
• Allowance item costs compared to MRI
costs
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Allowance Item Cost Breakdown
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Allowance Certainty Factor
• A confidence level that the actual project costs will be “less than” the estimated costs.
• Expressed as a percentage
• The higher the certainty factor selected, the higher the resulting estimate
• Likelihood of overestimating the cost of the allowance items
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Scope Change & Delivery Allowance
• Scope change allowance
― Design contingency
• Project delivery allowance
– Preliminary Engineering
– Final Engineering
– Construction Engineering
– Construction Change Orders & Claims
– Traffic Mitigation
– Public Involvement
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7. Scope Change & DeliveryAllowance Items
• Surveyed all 5 Regions, averaged
results by project type, and
rounded up to nearest whole
percentage
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Output Format
Base Year $ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Design
Real Estate
Construction
TOTAL
Inflated $ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Design
Real Estate
Construction
TOTAL
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0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
1 2 3 4 5
Design
0%
20%
40%
-1 Start Const. 1
1 2 3 4 5
Construction
Cost Distribution Method
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Majors Estimating Tool
• Spreadsheet
• Estimating Example